Revealing my MASSIVE Low Risk High Return Bet

Friends! In this video, I'm going to Reveal my MASSIVE Low Risk High Return Bet
MY PORTFOLIO & DISCORD: / patientinvestor
MY TWITTER: / patientinvestt
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The stock analysis platform that I use:
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[@thepatientinvestor9580]

I use IBKR to invest in international stocks: www.interactivebrokers.com/mkt/?src=pntinvY&url=%2Fen%2Fhome.php

[@VanChuong-on2gh]

Every crash/collapse brings with it an equivalent market chance if you are early informed and equipped, I've seen folks amass up to $1m amid economy crisis, and even pull it off easily in favorable conditions. Unequivocally, the collapse is getting somebody somewhere rich

[@mandyyonge]

I do not disagree, there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such execution are usually carried out by investment experts with experience since the 08' crash

[@Cynthia-mm1cv]

The issue is people have the "I want to do it myself mentality" but not equipped enough for a crash, hence get burnt. Ideally, advisors are reps for investing jobs, and at first-hand encounter, my portfolio has yielded over 300% since 2020 just after the pandemic to date.

[@RolandWingo]

i'm blown away! mind sharing more info please? i am a young adult living in Miami where i've encountered several millionaires, and my goal is to become one as well

[@Cynthia-mm1cv]

Lucia Alicia Cruz is my FA, simply do due diligence . You'd find necessary details online to work with and set up an appointment.

[@RolandWingo]

Thank you for the lead, curiously searched Lucia on the web by her full name and spotted her consulting page, no sweat. Just sent her an email, hoping she gets back to me soon..

[@Scottweeier846]

I lost over $70k when everything started to tank. Not because I was in an exchange that went belly up. I was just stupid to hold and because that's what everyone said. I'm still responsible. It just taught me to be a better investor now that I understand more of what could go wrong. It took me over two years of being in the market, I'm really grateful I found one source to recover my money, at least $10k profits weekly. Thanks Natalie Strayer.

[@Josephbasta827]

I'm surprised that you just mentioned Natalie Strayer here also Didn’t know she has been good to so many people too this is wonderful, i'm in my fifth trade with her and it has been super.

[@Charlottehornets4]

The very first time we tried, we invested $2000 and after a week, we received $9500. That really helped us a lot to pay up our bills.

[@Jessecote875]

Natalie Strayer has really set the standard for others to follow, we love her here in Canada 🇨🇦 as she has been really helpful and changed lots of life's

[@Rodriguezpaul-9]

I'm new at this, please how can I reach her?

[@Nguyenvictory83]

After I raised up to 125k trading with her I bought a new House and a car here in the states also paid for my son's surgery Glory to God shalom.

[@Phillipp-t1z]

Thank you for your videos mate.. If there is one thing I have learned in recent months it is to remain calm, especially when it comes to investments in cryptocurrencies. Learn not to sell in a panic when everything goes down and not to buy in euphoria when everything goes up. I advise y'all to forget predictions and start making a good profit now because future valuations are all speculations and guesses. Bitcoin going up is good for the entire market and you can not tell if it's going bearish or bullish. I Would say More emphasis should be put into day trading as it is less affected by the unpredictable nature of the market.I have made over 16btc from day trading with Whitney Eston insights and signals. in less than one month, this is one of the best medium to backup your assets incase it goes bearish...

[@Phillipp-t1z]

Whitney Eston program is widely available online..

[@TariqOsman646]

I appreciate the professionalism and dedication of the team behind Whitney's trade signal service.

[@Heather53466]

sounds familiar, I have heard her name on several occasions.. and both her success stories in the wall Street journey!

[@LoriArredondo]

It was quite challenging to understand the different trends on my own until i found out about Eston. Trading made easy.

[@Sebastian-x1h]

The key to financial stability is having the right investment suggestions for a diverse portfolio. Many investment failures and losses happen when you invest without proper guidance.

[@Hyper1555]

You hit the nail on the it's head yet again! This video in combination with your dca video has opened my eyes even more! You don't need the best companies at the best time, you just need to see the bigger picture, not be a sheep and make use of diverse investment strategies of long and short over multiple sectors so you are ahead in rotation and ahead of all the fear and optimism. I was getting bigger in reits when few were talking about them, wanted to buy LVMH and Ulta when they crashed (but didn't due to buying my home) and mix them up in short high gains and longer term bets. Every interesting rotation thinking!

[@hallowiegehts9227]

REITs are historically low evaluated. They will be massive in this rotation. But not all, only the top picks. I risked a lot with a massive % on them during this bear marcet for them

[@ranaeid7416]

I fully agree with you on both companies. I have been in your group since one month and have learned a lot from you and the members. I'm aligning my portfolio with yours and already on the right track to make profits. Thank you very much for your honesty and transparency.

[@chesu5032]

Good analysis! thanks! I like MCD as well but I am personally skeptical of PEP. I agree that the PEP has pricing power over customers but not over the retailers. As far as I know Carrefour started to pull PEP products due to its price increases. Anyhow, time will show how things will workout :). I am neither buying nor selling PEP, it is a hard bet for me..

[@jovokrneta1412]

Are you invested in MPW?

[@Steve-nb9kg]

SCHD or VBR are good investments now if you don't want to try to pick individual stocks.

[@tianminggoh3229]

Coming back to this video just to thank you for the sharing. Bought PEP at 164 - one of the best investments I've made within this month.

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@tianminggoh3229 I have much more in my group we are up 50% ytd, consider joining the link is in the description

[@tianminggoh3229]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 Ah okay let me check it out!

[@DaNnYbOii9o9]

I also see this coming but the money from the bond market into these stocks

[@pawelp531]

I just spent a few hours in Dubai airport food court. Plenty of great food choices, but still there is McDonald's almost at every table

[@Mrgattes1]

Excellent point on quality investment stocks. You're the only one who has picked up on this

[@karsinds]

I'm buying PEP, MCD and V. I think Visa will be resilient in a recessionary environment.

[@BarsonlineOrg2013]

Yes, MacDonalds is a great business and it can go another 50% down! Then, it will start to be interesting! What about the current dividend yield!? 2%? 3%? Excuse me, but with a real inflation of at least 5% and in future probably higher, the risk is not worth it! Let the sotkcs crash another 50% and the dividend get to at least 5-6%, the we can talk. Right now it looks more, like somebody already made profits with this stocks and now trying to squeeze out even more....not with me :))) Instead i prefer to buy Alibaba with less then half the P/E, lower risk and a better business model. :)

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@BarsonlineOrg2013 let's revisit mcdonalds in 6 months or so

[@drew9312]

I agree with you on small caps. Great video.

[@tonimontana5153]

Thanks for the good video!

[@wernerschonenberger3038]

Tail risk "hedging" ... touchy subject! I prefer a leveraged hedge like UVIX, TMF, ... to profit from a market downturn! I might loose some money in the short run (I consider it to be insurance premium against "stockmageddon") but it'll make me slerp well and make me some money over time! The big question is "How big of a downturn/risk can you take? -10%?, -20?, ... of your portfolio?" MCD and PEP will also tank in a (flash?) crash 'cause all the panickers aka "Mr. Market is off his antidrpressents" (W. Buffet) are selling their SPYs ...

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@wernerschonenberger3038 it doesn't work, zoom out on uvxy, tail risk hedging is costly even when it does work, you have to get in and out of put options

[@jefferywinchester5830]

Well if i'm learning anything from your patreon than that means it doesn't matter if i think rates would or should come down, it only matters if everyone else thinks that. 😉

[@aliciaperis8536]

Love your content! I thought from other videos that MCD was still a bit overvalued. What changed? Also, Where can I see more about how you draw the line between long term investments and short term investments? Thanks!!

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@aliciaperis8536 in my investment group, the link is the description

[@micalda1]

If you look at historical PE ratios of Pepsi and MCD, going back 30-50 years. 20+ PE is not the norm, it's the exception. You're not going to lose money over the long run but I think you are a little optimistic at these valuations. The valuations I would call fair prices and definitely not cheap.

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@micalda1 I don't look back 30 to 50 years because in this case every single stock is overvalued, you have to use more logic than old multiples, what's the chances of mcdonalds going back to 10 pe or something, very low, even tho it traded this way 50 years ago

[@micalda1]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 I think if the S&P 500 returns to normal valuations so will MCD. I hope I'm wrong though. You will make money over the long run though regardless with MCD.

[@jessediaz3210]

Would you take MCD over LVMUY or MA ? Thanks, great videos !

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@jessediaz3210 mcd

[@kangleli5095]

Excellent video! How much % to allocate MCD and PEP in your long term portfolio?

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@kangleli5095 it depends on your risk tolerance I can't answer this question

[@timclark2925]

yes....with your style of investing; that is an amazing ytd return.....wow

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@timclark2925 thank you

[@anderson6379]

Thanks for sharing 🙏

[@MountainGoater]

Other stocks don't have to go down for Russell to go up, simply more will come in from money market funds. You saw this with the sell off of mega cap bought back immediately.

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

1 day is too early to judge

[@MountainGoater]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 I do really like your videos btw, but mostly what weve seen in the past is the rest of the Market simply catches up - rather than a 'catch-down'

[@stevenbond4637]

great video, all the people who like crap food but don't want the physical effects of eating junk have a new tablet that allows them to eat crap food without the physical effects of eating junk, lol, I think McDonalds should be dishing out Ozempic or whatever with the Happy Meals, lol, I'd be more worried about the sales of apples and running shoes

[@jmatando5105]

Great video

[@TheEcaporaso]

Another great video - thanks! I'm looking to build a position in Pepsico or Mcdonalds.

[@missunique65]

small cap growth cos- your faves please

[@Coda1850]

Interesting vid - thx for sharing.

[@luca7180]

Thanks. This is another good video

[@christophhoth73]

i am a value investor. and i dont like any stocks all others like, been buying cheap stocks that will soon go up likely. i have the same thesis u have. big rotation will come.

[@bella3008]

What are you buying?

[@christophhoth73]

@@bella3008 I have been buying vici properties, epr properties lately and I will increase the Positions very likely, just waiting the upcoming earnings. I used the last 2 years to open Positions in cheap dividend Stocks like altria, british American tobacco, rio tinto and others. Im Not into McDonalds and Pepsi that much, but my thesis has been the same when I bought Kraft Heinz. That fat loss drug wont kill the habit it will just Eliminate the result of that Hobbit. I can even see a case where ppl would do less diet and consume those stuff even more and just take a Pill to stay skinny.

[@brunoduarte8817]

Could you do another one on Decisive Dividend Corp. You've spoken of it a lot as a good bet, but it's been going south since. Is it an even better opportunity or has something changed dramatically? Thanks.

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@brunoduarte8817 I've said it like 20 times I am waiting for the next report to find out if something permanently changed or not, but insiders have bought and company has bought back shares

[@brunoduarte8817]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 Sorry, I don't usually look at these comments in depth. Just thought my question would fit well in this video. Thanks! Good sign that insiders are buying. I've been kind of eaguer to pull the trigger on this one.

[@TheLuckyyy13]

Good video. At what valuation did you buy LVMH?

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@TheLuckyyy13 19.8x earnings, it's now at 21

[@TheLuckyyy13]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 Yeah, it's getting low and attractive again. Bought a bit now, waiting to DCA down if it gets even lower.

[@salamonshevda5239]

you are right but forgeting where 6T money will go from money market funds

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@salamonshevda5239 I am not

[@salamonshevda5239]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 i think M7 will keep growing based on EPS forecats and IV. As 6T money in money market funds will rush buy bonds and equities, which will cause FOMO and eventually recession will knock the door 😁 Hence, I invested in VBK and IWM

[@user-nz8tz1vq2f]

But wasn't mega cap tech also outperforming the market during ZIRP?

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@user-nz8tz1vq2f they were but not by this much

[@vespertillio8225]

I really hope your right!🤞

[@jorgeb2078]

Hello! Where can we find your complete portfolio? Great video. I am newly and big fan😊

[@barryallen6927]

Most of these youtubers dont show their portfolio because they are lagging the broader market, and hence making money from their private discord channel or some sh1t like that. Always remember if you are making so much money buying X, then you would be buying more of X, not selling advice.

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@barryallen6927 before making accusations why don't you check my track record, people in my group have doubles their portfolios over the last 3 years they got 27% in 2022, 28% in 2023 and 49% in 2024, real F** people, I am not even pushing 1000$ courses or anything , I have this cheap group where I share everything live and if it was for free people wouldn't pay attention

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@jorgeb2078 my portfolio is in my group, check the description

[@Meowmeow.age.6]

Why not get JACK and WEN? The holy trinity of fast food is all cheap. I personally bought some JACK. I own a few MCD shares. I am scaling in.

[@mohamadsaleh779]

If PEP and MCD were at 20 PE and Amazon was at 40, I consider Amazon way cheaper and has way more growth than the other two

[@jacksonsouster5116]

Wow. So you really put 95% of your portfolio into MCD and PEP? That’s awesome.

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@jacksonsouster5116 I didn't, I said stocks like pepsi, mcd, reits, small caps, 95% in this directional bet not in 2 stocks

[@jacksonsouster5116]

Okay, I see. Not just 2 stocks. I’m surprised you didn’t buy any 10 year treasuries, or something like that. (Same directionality without the recession risk 🤷🏻)

[@jacksonsouster5116]

Okay, I see. Not just 2 stocks. I’m surprised you didn’t buy any 10 year treasuries, or something like that. (Same directionality without the recession risk 🤷🏻)

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@jacksonsouster5116 I have ideas with much higher upside potential

[@maartendejong9060]

Would you say Visa is part of the quality bubble, or is it (more or less) fairly valued?

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@maartendejong9060 no Visa is different, I'm talking about stocks like Costco

[@maartendejong9060]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 Thanks, I agree. I'd say Visa is one of the cheaper options among the high quality stocks at the moment.

[@maartendejong9060]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 Agreed. Visa is one of the cheaper high-quality stocks right now in my opinion. I agree with your take on Pepsi and McDonald's. I would personally add JNJ, Pfizer and Starbucks as well.

[@johnrogers9065]

How do you think SCHD would do in a market crash?

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@johnrogers9065 better than average

[@johnrogers9065]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 I'm loading up!

[@moneygambler2327]

McDonald is bet that people will still like fries in a 5 years. Must have stock tbh.

[@zhixuan2793]

Can you do valuation for BKNG? Great company and looks undervalued now.

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@zhixuan2793 fairly valued

[@zhixuan2793]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 undervalued using p/FCF method. Fairly valued with PE valuation. How do u decide with valuation method to use?

[@zhixuan2793]

Are u buying noc and kof? I find their valuations too high.

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@zhixuan2793 because you're not using the right valuation methods for those specific stocks, we can't value every stock the same way

[@uncomplicatedi]

The amount of motivated reasoning in the video is off the charts. Am I the only one who remembers 2007 and 2008?

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@uncomplicatedi can you defined motivated reasoning

[@uncomplicatedi]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 To make the argument you are making about interest rates the underlying causes that the Fed was reacting to have to be ignored. The situation in 2024 could not be more different than that in 2007. The motivated reasoning is to conflate to completely unrelated underlying situation based only on a chart of a metric that is SET BY A GOVT AGENCY who themselves are reacting to highly individual underlying market conditions. This is definitionally motivated reasoning.

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@uncomplicatedi we'll find out in the next year I guess, even your thesis isn't something that's cretain, no thesis is until it happens

[@uncomplicatedi]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 You are making claims that must be defended. My argument isn't a thesis its pointing out that your thesis is flawed based on motivated reasoning. Your response isn't a well argued case that actually the reasons the interest rates changed were the same or that the reasons don't matter and you can make that case. Instead you have just claimed that I have to make a case for a thesis I didn't present.

[@drew9312]

Easy to sit on the sidelines and theorise. At least TPI is doing something and I bet he’ll be right.

[@davidcunningham2074]

buy what is unloved. mcd's is definitely unloved but profitable.

[@Tomjones12345]

I thought your largest position was in construction/housing like bird construction?

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@Tomjones12345 did I say what was my largest position was? I said I have 95% of my portfolio in the rotation bet, it could include 50 stocks, I don't have 95% of my portfolio in pepsi

[@Tomjones12345]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 no I didn't mean to imply you had 95% in Pepsi. What I thought was you would have probably mentioned those other sectors in this video, not necessarily explicitly state each position

[@Mishabtw]

Despite the horrendous value prop of the current S&P500, I would bet Pepsi and MCD both underperform the S&P500 or a total cap weighted US stock index by a hefty margin over the next 20 years. I think the risk of losing money or having huge losses in the short term is very low for either of these companies. The volatility of these mature business is quite low and they will be durable through a recession. Despite that, the growth will not be there and 24 trailing and 20 fwd pe on low growth business isn't exactly attractive. While I don't think you will do poorly with either of these businesses, I don't think they will exactly be long term home runs. What kind of annualized return do you expect with these? Anyway, I like how level headed you are about this. Not fretting the short term trends and just digging for good value on quality businesses. What I said above is how I feel about those businesses. I hope I am wrong and these investments work out great for you. They just don't interest me quite yet.

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@Mishabtw this is not a 20 year investment, I hold them for 3 months or so, get my 15-20% and get out live lvmh and others, not everything is a long term investment

[@missunique65]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 that's why Buffet isn't buying here -

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@missunique65 i don't need him to be buying, he bought para and lost money, we can all be wrong

[@arturturk5926]

Mcdonalds is on the BDS list for supporting israel....

[@ziaulislam87]

Why would Pepsi with no growth be valued same as big 7 with decent valuation that are growing fast. I dont get it

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@ziaulislam87 I didn't say it will be valued the same, but we can make the same argument for Apple

[@ziaulislam87]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 apple, Nvidia, Tesla; I agree are overvalued but you can't say that for Google, Facebook and even Microsoft that are growing double digits with high margin quality business. That's not the case for Pepsi. If rotation occurs to that degree, it would mean Google and Pepsi will have same valuation. Which makes no sense.

[@ramonburchell6366]

I think he’s looking at pep mcd as cyclic swing trades ,,

[@void__star]

21x pe? It was 10x in 2010...

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@void__star check margins, earnings growth, many different factors , dream on getting 10x

[@ssing7113]

And cars use to cost $500. . Don’t expect things to stay static

[@void__star]

@@ssing7113 P/E is a ratio that takes into account inflation.

[@Robb-H]

I disagree with this thesis and more agree with your other prediction about the crash happening in around 6 months. I see the AI narrative continuing to play out and I see only the occasional rate cut not changing anything materially. We may get episodes of rotations but nothing long lasting. If we do get a crash in 2025 the rotation would happen at that time in a major way and not in a major way this early.

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@Robb-H you have to watch the first video because they complete each others rotation first then crash in 2025

[@jensditrich3980]

if MCD and Pepsi are amazing buying opps, how lucky are those who find better stuff at half valuation, double+ growth, better biz, better management and 10x more runaway 😍

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@jensditrich3980 not lucky because I found them, you just can't go all in one thing

[@LDP..]

MCD and pepsi are making more money because they are price gouging their customers with inflated prices that are completely disconnected with current food and cost inflation rates

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@LDP.. they are still making money

[@quokkapirquish6825]

McDonalds food is so cheap! in fact it is much cheaper than buying fresh food from the supermarket!

[@RoTelnCheese]

No crash habibi, up only 🚀

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@RoTelnCheese I hope because I will make more on the way up

[@touchofgrace3217]

This is why this part of the cycle is referred to as euphoria. People get caught up in the momentum and think they will ride that wave indefinitely. Unfortunately, that wave is going to morph into a rip current as institutional investors employ their rotation.

[@RoTelnCheese]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 there’s still too many bears, when they have all become bulls then it’ll be time to take big profits off the table. We are not there yet, plenty of room to run. Especially in the mid to small cap stocks that haven’t ran up yet.

[@mohamadsaleh779]

​@touchofgrace3217 For sure a crash will come eventually, maybe 30% or even more. But if the market is up 30% or more in a couple of years then a crash will just bring prices back to today's levels. I invest in both value stocks a growth stocks. I guess only time will tell

[@geoffreywon1706]

Compelling theory.

[@ZelenoJabko]

I share your investment thesis 100%. However, I yawn at only 15% discount, while a P/E ratio is still above 20. I would much rather put it into small-cap value like VBR or AVUV.

[@bekijk233]

🔥

[@tbaloni]

SBUX will be a better investment than Mcdonalds atleast in my preditction for the future

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@tbaloni it's possible

[@herokorai8346]

"I go to twitter and everyone is a quality investor.. no value investors, no posts about Buffet, etc.." Then you are on the wrong platform or in the wrong crowd.

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@herokorai8346 what other platforms exist other than KZbin and x? I know there's specific value investing communities but I'm saying in terms of a general community

[@daniell6303]

So is there a place where Buffett doesn't appear every 4 seconds? I'd love to see that. I always see his face with stocks he has never bought, and he's old enough to never will.

[@Ro22666]

Not very compelling returns though. Pepsi 5% yield + 8% growth + some dividends. Meh. Lots of small caps with single digit multiples growing at double digits with much better downside protection.

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@Ro22666 I own the small caps too but the returns will be compelling if you hold for a short period

[@3rdworldbig733]

Boycott by the fastest growing global demographic?? Nobody mentions this when talking about McDonald’s, sbucks, Nike…. It’s not just a blip on the way, if a whole generation grows up boycotting these brands?

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@3rdworldbig733 I think you're speaking from your emotions instead of logic, the picture will get clearer in 6 months

[@ahmedyamany5065]

Absolutely you are right, they are already dead in many countries, ignore this misleading video

[@3rdworldbig733]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 also it seems like the global situation can worsen. Globalisation is receding. France Uk USA for example have been kicked out of multiple African countries, who would rather work with Russia and china? If the Iran situation kicks off, or any other Muslim country enters the fray, it could very well solidify lower prices for these equities…

[@jovlee7175]

UR NETWORTH? PROOF

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@jovlee7175 I don't have to prove anything to you, if you're curious about my trades you can join my group and ask people that have doubled their account in the last 3 years following me , thank you

[@emotionaldischarge]

Interesting thesis. Although the magnificent seven also did amazing well during COVID when interested rates were low

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@emotionaldischarge I'm not saying they didn't, but there wasn't such outperformance, Russell went up close to 150% , now it hasn't made a new high

[@Qilian1188]

You told us to message you on X why are you ghosting us???

[@thepatientinvestor9580]

@@Qilian1188 I'm sorry I get a lot of spam email and they get filtered out, what's your x handle?

[@Qilian1188]

@@thepatientinvestor9580 QilianHoldings

[@adriannieswiec1481]

Nextracker Inc.

[@johnrogers9065]

Would love a video on Nextracker!