Why Is Nvidia Stock Crashing and is it a Buying Opportunity? | NVDA Stock Analysis | DeepSeek News

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Parkev Tatevosian, CFA

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 799
@bibliotheek357
@bibliotheek357 2 күн бұрын
This is hands down the best and most sensible youtube channel. I always heed your advice. Very underrated (in terms of views)!
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
Wow, thank you!
@mambocowboy
@mambocowboy 2 күн бұрын
People thought NVDA was a bargain at $132 and now too scared to buy below $120....
@calgcfc1
@calgcfc1 2 күн бұрын
@@mambocowboyit’s so funny and those same people will say I can’t believe I didn’t buy when it goes back up to 140-150 and the process will repeat
@evelynmurphy9102
@evelynmurphy9102 2 күн бұрын
Thank you so much for the timely post Park! You’re always looking out for us!
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
My pleasure, Evelyn.
@varishdwivedi1271
@varishdwivedi1271 2 күн бұрын
Perfect timing. Thanks​@@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@johnf8122
@johnf8122 2 күн бұрын
Does anyone think that Nvidia and the rest of the MAG 7 didn't already know about this Chinese company and this so-called development but are still doing a large outlay for AI?
@Hopelevelheaded
@Hopelevelheaded 2 күн бұрын
Yes.... or the responses would have been stronger, do you believe Jensen would allow the company to fall 17% if hadn't been caught out?
@dltn42
@dltn42 2 күн бұрын
They know.... The problem is the bubble
@R1D1CK69
@R1D1CK69 Күн бұрын
@@dltn42 is it really bubble? because I think these companies printing money
@rickyismyuncle4485
@rickyismyuncle4485 Күн бұрын
You're a smart guy. Yes Deep is nothing new. So why now you ask? Well because nvidia reached 150. It's pure manipulation, but according to tech analysis this will be the last drop before we break through that stiff 150 barrier.
@DayAndNightTo2099
@DayAndNightTo2099 Күн бұрын
​@rickyismyuncle4485 at this point i want to sell at 148. I came in at 130, watched it go yo 150 then again to 130 then again to 150 but now it went way down to 118, bought +50% more shares at 118. But i want to exit once it moves a little up, i dont like to hold large moving companies
@travisb4925
@travisb4925 2 күн бұрын
I took this as a buying opportunity. Added 12 shares today and ready to buy more
@rosenashvilletn3710
@rosenashvilletn3710 2 күн бұрын
Are there willing sellers right now
@MarvinHaggler
@MarvinHaggler 2 күн бұрын
This is it people! Get out before too late.😅
@Scott-jf1nh
@Scott-jf1nh 22 сағат бұрын
Me too. I bought 5.5 shares at 118.38. Now it is back up to 128.
@JJ-is4wm
@JJ-is4wm 18 сағат бұрын
good job
@summersanders7309
@summersanders7309 4 сағат бұрын
Same!
@mlshulse
@mlshulse 2 күн бұрын
The timing of this news seems to be strategic, it was released after TikTok was banned, Trump threatening tarrifs, Mag 7 reporting this week, and decision on interest rates. Do we even know this information is honest?
@NiceGuyPCTV
@NiceGuyPCTV 2 күн бұрын
I feel like it might be timed to coincide with Trump's AI initiative, Project Stargate
@goozebump
@goozebump 2 күн бұрын
The released deepseek the same day at the inauguration that Sam waltman and Trump was bragging about the 500 billion they wanted to spend😂 it couldn't be more a slap in the face
@Steve-rj7hk
@Steve-rj7hk 2 күн бұрын
The only thing we don't know is weather if deep seek is using NVDA chips or they are using their own chips. CNBC reported that deep seek AI is working excellent. They tried it .
@mlshulse
@mlshulse 2 күн бұрын
@goozebump I didn't realize that, they are very smart in China and are using their leverage strategically.
@mlshulse
@mlshulse 2 күн бұрын
@Steve-rj7hk who knows, nobody is being transparent at the moment.
@sjnix7044
@sjnix7044 2 күн бұрын
1: China lies about EVERYTHING 2: They are STILL using NVIDIA chipsets 3: NVIDIA earnings are in less than 30 days 4: This will bounce 5: Do you REALLY want Temu AI?
@jennytang2725
@jennytang2725 2 күн бұрын
Have you tried DeepSeek? It’s very impressive
@amlybelmont8989
@amlybelmont8989 2 күн бұрын
😂😂😂😂
@lyndapham4022
@lyndapham4022 2 күн бұрын
Temu AI 😂😂😂
@amolsw
@amolsw 2 күн бұрын
hahaha.
@OnlyZaf-iq5bn
@OnlyZaf-iq5bn 2 күн бұрын
We don't even trust tiktok why are we going to trust Chinese AI spy chips?
@margaretmagness707
@margaretmagness707 2 күн бұрын
I’ve been waiting to hear from you about this! 😅
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
Hope it was helpful.
@vietnammg
@vietnammg Күн бұрын
wait until the panic sellers find out DeepSeek uses Nvidia GPU lol
@thewonderingworld9301
@thewonderingworld9301 Күн бұрын
Cheap ones though
@daddo1600
@daddo1600 15 сағат бұрын
Right. Cheap ones and ALOT less of them
@daddo1600
@daddo1600 15 сағат бұрын
AMD came out and said it’s using their Mi300X
@mikedelape6609
@mikedelape6609 Сағат бұрын
@@daddo1600all of this is being refuted, they lied, they are actually using 50,000 nvidia GPU’s and they did not spend 6 million dollars
@christoschristodoulides4986
@christoschristodoulides4986 2 күн бұрын
Thank you Parkev for this timely video. In a flurry of news and opinions, it's good to have a rational voice on your bavk
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
I appreciate that!
@piusbozumbil4650
@piusbozumbil4650 2 күн бұрын
Massive buying opportunities - buying the dip. I cannot understand the market sometimes, AI demand will be off the chain because the barrier to entry is now even lower! Thank you, Parkev. The analysis was awesome!!
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
Thanks for sharing
@rosenashvilletn3710
@rosenashvilletn3710 2 күн бұрын
who is selling. Are they actually willing to sell? lol
@senpai8435
@senpai8435 2 күн бұрын
Will fall more this week
@budyn1412
@budyn1412 2 күн бұрын
My thinking exactly. Loading up on SMH.
@MarvinHaggler
@MarvinHaggler 2 күн бұрын
This is it people! Get out before too late.😅
@Shepp6769
@Shepp6769 2 күн бұрын
It’s like the market has been just waiting for anything to pull the NVDA rug
@pargolf3158
@pargolf3158 2 күн бұрын
Not a concern. Nio and Li were supposed to do the same thing to Tesla. How did that work out over the past couple years?
@kizo172
@kizo172 2 күн бұрын
Lol true. I remember their EV craze and the huge losses in 2020s
@steveford5416
@steveford5416 3 сағат бұрын
China ev are going to struggle for the next 10 years easily 😮
@MattRodriguez-h7j
@MattRodriguez-h7j 2 күн бұрын
Added more shares. We ride to 200 this year
@v-22
@v-22 2 күн бұрын
🤦‍♂️
@vina_colada
@vina_colada 2 күн бұрын
the stock could still go down another 20%...i wouldnt act so fast personally..
@HTXJM
@HTXJM 2 күн бұрын
Where are you getting this information?​@@vina_colada
@user-bb9kj4ez2g
@user-bb9kj4ez2g 2 күн бұрын
​@@vina_colada maybe. But it could also go up again within two days and the chance to buy the dip is gone.
@ocjon1965
@ocjon1965 2 күн бұрын
😂
@TheAlien41
@TheAlien41 2 күн бұрын
Thanks, Parkev. I really appreciate your sound advice. I remember when Netflix got a huge haircut and look where it is today.
@evelynmurphy9102
@evelynmurphy9102 2 күн бұрын
@@TheAlien41 no kidding!!
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
My pleasure!
@Toma-i8k
@Toma-i8k 2 күн бұрын
Long story short: It's down because of a random Chinese app. Yes, it's a buying opportunity.
@thebarnetts7195
@thebarnetts7195 2 күн бұрын
Yep, and that app crashed a few hours ago. Nobody can get on. Looks more like a Deepfake. lol
@yoshy2628
@yoshy2628 2 күн бұрын
@@thebarnetts7195 it's down because of a cyberattack.
@yoshy2628
@yoshy2628 2 күн бұрын
With what, all my funds are stuck.
@Toma-i8k
@Toma-i8k 2 күн бұрын
@ No one should trust Chinese apps.
@bojankojic108
@bojankojic108 2 күн бұрын
​@@yoshy2628 exactly. "buy buy buy more" with what? for me is "hold, dont sell now, hold, dont sell now"
@chillchannel2399
@chillchannel2399 2 күн бұрын
Nicely said. The first video of yours I’ve seen. I really like your thoughtful analysis. Keep it up
@thomascooper6542
@thomascooper6542 2 күн бұрын
Thank you so much. I really needed to see your presentation today.
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
Glad it was helpful!
@beto8493
@beto8493 2 күн бұрын
Remember, we actually don’t know the number of GPUs or the cost of training DeepSeek’s model; all we know is what the company claims-and they have every reason to lie.
@jackguillot8312
@jackguillot8312 2 күн бұрын
It’s a HUGE Lie
@mlshulse
@mlshulse 2 күн бұрын
@@jackguillot8312 agree
@Krisoz-l4s
@Krisoz-l4s Күн бұрын
We always tend to justify our losses by this kind of statements, by blaming others. Only evidence we have is that Deepseek works very well and it is cheap. Time will tell if it keep running like this for months to come. Also Its a well known fact that China is leading USA on 57 of the 64 critical technology and they spend 5 times more on research than USA
@Shaunshahriar
@Shaunshahriar Күн бұрын
Nvdia sure does lie
@DomoDigi
@DomoDigi 2 күн бұрын
Thanks Parker. Been watching CNBC all morning and all these so-called experts are either befuddled or too scared to give a concise answer. Gracias 👍🏾
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
Glad to help
@CraneRTW
@CraneRTW 2 күн бұрын
You have to be in it to win it. I bought some more today. I love it.
@autofashi0n
@autofashi0n 2 күн бұрын
Nvidia CEO should speak and say something about it !
@devpro712
@devpro712 2 күн бұрын
say what?
@ashkanzaker6077
@ashkanzaker6077 2 күн бұрын
He cannot just make a comment every time a more efficient model is out !
@anonymoushuman524
@anonymoushuman524 2 күн бұрын
Why should he over react?
@DonaldCoC
@DonaldCoC 2 күн бұрын
He did? He said they still need their chips and investors are overreacting
@anonymoushuman524
@anonymoushuman524 2 күн бұрын
@ Oh, I didn't know that he gave a response. I was just saying that he wouldn't overreact to this change.
@dvb1701
@dvb1701 2 күн бұрын
I wasn't initially going to buy the dip, but it went down too much to resist. Also added to AMD, which is less dependent on AI spending but is down a crazy amount. Definitely need to follow all the news, though.
@SamWitney
@SamWitney 2 күн бұрын
Your crazy to buy! You don't understand what this news means. DeepSeek has came out with better AI on older hardware and much less hardware then any American company is capable of. They also made it open source across the world meaning that everyone has access to it to develop their own AI now. Nothing that costs billions of dollars anymore. You can kiss anyone invested in AI in U.S to go bankrupt now. I'd pull whatever you put in and keep the h3ll out of these stocks, period. Or your going to go broke faster then you can understand.
@andrewstewart9073
@andrewstewart9073 2 күн бұрын
Please keep us updated on this one
@christosgotzai
@christosgotzai 2 күн бұрын
The fact that NVDA is sold out won’t change
@muhammadsayyafurrahman6017
@muhammadsayyafurrahman6017 2 күн бұрын
That are not sold out for perpetuity..also if the price differential is so huge, you'd cancel the order and simply pay the penalty... Too soon to say anything.
@youtubeuser8482
@youtubeuser8482 2 күн бұрын
Won’t change anything 😂
@SamWitney
@SamWitney 2 күн бұрын
I don't see why it would change. It doesn't change buying GPU's. That's not what this is about. NVidia will continue to be sold out as they always have been, but this does open up the market to much more opportunity. Essentially it just went from being "controlled and private" to "Open Source". This let's anyone develop AI now and puts the control of the cost in the buyers hands. Meaning NVidia will need to be competitive again. NVidia will stay a monopoly for now, but it does open the door to AMD and Intel being able to develop competitive chips. So, this is very good for buyers.
@drajdew1664
@drajdew1664 Күн бұрын
@ DeepSeek has shifted the power from GPU makers to software.
@armandoweckmann5699
@armandoweckmann5699 2 күн бұрын
I add more to my portfolio! 🎉
@amnesie6615
@amnesie6615 2 күн бұрын
Good luck with that :D China wins.. OPEN SOURCE and way more efficency ;)
@StateofPeaches99
@StateofPeaches99 2 күн бұрын
Why does Nvida history shows it gets around 140-150 and bad new comes out from all news feeds and the stock crashes. Seem it more to Nvidia as if the stock is been manipulated. Bad new feeds start I think to lower the stock to create buying opportunities.
@mdmoz1777
@mdmoz1777 2 күн бұрын
Stock Market DeepBSeek is year-round.
@littlebobbystrong4143
@littlebobbystrong4143 2 күн бұрын
I agree totally!
@matrixist
@matrixist 2 күн бұрын
It has been manipulated to the upside.
@rickyismyuncle4485
@rickyismyuncle4485 2 күн бұрын
Deepseek is old news but you are correct. Manipulated for the rich to buy more at the better price.
@FreightExinc
@FreightExinc 2 күн бұрын
Was eagerly waiting for this video ❤
@stevec912
@stevec912 2 күн бұрын
when was the last time you remember china telling the truth??..Great buying opportunity
@kaavincraig4765
@kaavincraig4765 2 күн бұрын
Even if they are I won't want to trust their sw. Just like I don't trust ticktock or AliExpress or temu appa
@Toma-i8k
@Toma-i8k 2 күн бұрын
Xi spying on easy minded Americans again who are most likely conspiracy theorists lol, he did that with tiktok and now OpenAI.
@mlshulse
@mlshulse 2 күн бұрын
@@stevec912 exactly, they are pissed and trying to cut us off at the knees.
@rawdawgg_
@rawdawgg_ 2 күн бұрын
Exactly! Keep emotions out and load up!
@goozebump
@goozebump 2 күн бұрын
Cope much. You can download it yourself. It's free to run locally and open source. Don't be mad because the Chinese can innovate be happy there is more competition and cheaper. Heck you can download it and train it and start your own company providing AI services if you were smart and not just hateful because your stock went down
@aracelicampos9387
@aracelicampos9387 2 күн бұрын
Thank you so much!!! Always love your analysis!🙏🙏🙏
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
You are so welcome
@tristan2037
@tristan2037 2 күн бұрын
Parkev, bless you my man! I'm just commenting to boost your traffic :)
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
I appreciate that
@WorldWideWeasel
@WorldWideWeasel 2 күн бұрын
Just bought 3 more shares. Currently at 15.
@Jacob99174
@Jacob99174 2 күн бұрын
WWW Same, just grabbed a handful more!
@handmadehearts
@handmadehearts 2 күн бұрын
Step by step! Good job.
@Robsbrd99
@Robsbrd99 Күн бұрын
@WorldWideWeasel Good man. I started back in March of 2024 with zero. I now have 76. Be patient, buy the dips and buy regularly.
@ElsaAndAnnie
@ElsaAndAnnie Күн бұрын
Very proud of you folks
@nicolasbellic.
@nicolasbellic. 20 сағат бұрын
I bought 10 😂 its small but it begins here !
@kwakwe
@kwakwe 2 күн бұрын
This is so CRAZY!!! Here's an analogy.... *So the Ai industry is a goldmine *Nvidia sells shovels that can be used for so many things including being used for shoveling snow, digging pits, digging for gold, marble, etc *Most big Ai tech companies buy big shovels from Nvidia to use for gold mining *Deepseek figured out a way to use a ladle and spoon to dig for gold *Naive investors think that's the end of Nvidia because no other industry (besides gold miners) needs shovels. *Naive investors proceed to dump their stocks so they can buy back higher when the dust settles. Right??🤔
@KeanuReevesIsMyJesus
@KeanuReevesIsMyJesus 2 күн бұрын
One thing I’ll add is that the ladles and spoons being used are also produced by Nvidia. So if everything DeepSeek disclosed is true, that just means more small fries can now participate in gold mining. This will open up the floodgates for Nvidia.
@agator10008
@agator10008 2 күн бұрын
Even funnier , nvidia also sells ladle and spoons in this case)) bcoz china also using nvidia to its AI. Thats f*cking meme)
@garyyolandadyer6720
@garyyolandadyer6720 2 күн бұрын
I think you're right, I hope so
@tomascoox
@tomascoox 2 күн бұрын
Head on the nail! 😂
@belgiumhr3524
@belgiumhr3524 2 күн бұрын
not right! The value of Nvidia was based of that only they made shovels that could dig gold (or at least their shovels were super optimized for it). Now it seems you don't need or not that many 'specialized' shovels ,there are more type of shovels that will do. Result, Nvidia loses their pricing power and margins (and probably even volume) will drop. Printing money right now with my shorts, but not selling them , they will be at 75 (probably less) in 6 months.
@IronCondorSimulations
@IronCondorSimulations 2 күн бұрын
I love days like this. As a contrarian for 25 years of investing, I wait for these days and just buy more.
@The_human_Frank
@The_human_Frank Күн бұрын
What would you recommend to buy?
@kaitofv12345
@kaitofv12345 Күн бұрын
I am 13 years old and have never bought any stock in my life. After seeing nvidia crash I was wondering whether I should I take advantage of it and buy it or just save my money. I have enough money to buy 4 stocks.
@bojankojic108
@bojankojic108 Күн бұрын
check with parents first.
@kaitofv12345
@kaitofv12345 Күн бұрын
@ I did check with them but then my Dad said he wasn’t comfortable buying it and now it went up by 7-8 percent 🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️
@bojankojic108
@bojankojic108 Күн бұрын
@@kaitofv12345 did you buy today? i didnt. im waiting to get to 140 and then sell. ladt 6 months this stock is just stalling with many very low dips. ask father where he would invest.
@feicao6356
@feicao6356 Күн бұрын
@@bojankojic108As an adult investor, I recently bought 590 shares in total with average cost 125.42
@steveford5416
@steveford5416 3 сағат бұрын
Spend 30 dollars and buy Intelligent Investor the book by Benjamin Graham
@mysticery
@mysticery 2 күн бұрын
Problem with nvidia stock is that even with good news, it dips…. Baffles me honestly.
@testing3166
@testing3166 2 күн бұрын
Yup. Good news, stock drops. Bad news and stock plummets.
@adoolz2020
@adoolz2020 2 күн бұрын
Im baffled that you are baffled. It is priced to perfection, it dips due to this, and once it gets to be somewhat more fair valuation, the dips get bought, it might take longer this time due to the uncertainty of the threat.
@ssing7113
@ssing7113 2 күн бұрын
Yeah it dipped when it went up 800% right… Selective biases…. You’re looking at one of ten thousand viewpoints
@Krisoz-l4s
@Krisoz-l4s Күн бұрын
The hedgefunds cannot offload all stock at once so they keep selling at every good news when fools like us buy. They accumulated the stock when we hadnt even heard of AI. That is how it works. Find stock that a few have heard of, or nobody wants to touch, if you want to make money
@testing3166
@testing3166 Күн бұрын
@@ssing7113 he is likely looking at past year, likely since owing it.
@MrYunus999
@MrYunus999 Күн бұрын
I remember when everybody was panicking when meta was crashing I will Keep buying nvidia like I did meta
@JamesSusanka
@JamesSusanka 2 күн бұрын
I have been noticing a pattern that there is always this kind of news almost always a week or two before earnings.
@Xhsr268
@Xhsr268 2 күн бұрын
All the tech companies have actually considered the improvement of the efficiency by roughly 5 times per year in the algorithm of the models, but still based on that the projected computing needs will still be 10x per year hence they are planning such a big spending. In my opinion they won’t change that much on the spending.
@SamWitney
@SamWitney 2 күн бұрын
American companies have shown no return on investment for AI. In fact it's billions of dollars on promises right now and nothing has panned out. DeepSeek has made this much, much worse as their AI is open source, meaning it's significantly cheaper and the source code is available for everyone world wide to develop AI now. This is probably the largest blow to the tech industry in the tech industry days. Nothing is bouncing back, companies are now free to develop their own. It's means Microsoft doesn't need OpenAI anymore. They can develop their own. Huge moment in the tech industry.
@Xhsr268
@Xhsr268 2 күн бұрын
Deepseek is open weights and open architecture but it has not disclosed the training data and the codes to train the model. This doesn’t mean anyone else can train the same way as they do. Microsoft has their own models for a while it’s not like they have to learn everything from deepseek. Look deepseek has created some innovative in their architecture and training process but all largely based on published papers and standing on the shoulders of other previous open source models like llama. The roads are just being built but you are expecting cars are running all over it
@azrielshacham6829
@azrielshacham6829 2 күн бұрын
Why we are not hearing any comments from the USA industry: Nvidia, AMD, Meta, Microsoft, Google?
@amnesie6615
@amnesie6615 2 күн бұрын
Because they were shocked too. China wins ... WAY more efficency and OPEN SOURCE!
@salalfda5433
@salalfda5433 Күн бұрын
May be they want this to happen so they’d buy more
@MFFL674
@MFFL674 Күн бұрын
they'll address it at earnings next month.
@Krisoz-l4s
@Krisoz-l4s Күн бұрын
They themselves are still scratching their heads and building up a face saving case
@berserksc2
@berserksc2 2 күн бұрын
Great video awesome advice and perfect timing!
@nickgeorgoulis4579
@nickgeorgoulis4579 2 күн бұрын
Very precise and comprehensive as always. Thank you professor for your amazing videos!
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
Glad you like them!
@MrsIdontMiss
@MrsIdontMiss 2 күн бұрын
Very good take. I’m gonna subscribe
@Rani22-h6f
@Rani22-h6f 2 күн бұрын
Thank Parkev For putting things into perspective on this very volatile day. Much appreciated on a timely review
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
Glad it was helpful!
@lee0067
@lee0067 2 күн бұрын
Parkev's book is a buy!
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
Thanks!
@MrAnonik
@MrAnonik 2 күн бұрын
That whole Deepseek R1 is on an o1 level and OpenAI already has o3 which is way, way beyond that. Compute is a huge issue with o3. And even if OpenAI did the same thing as Deepseek and reduced the costs of o3's prompts 10x or even 50x, that'd still be way too high. Companies will still need much more computing power and new tech to make their AIs better, cheaper, and faster. It's a war - you can't be stagnant with what you already have, so you both invest in new Nvidia's tech and optimize your AI the way Deepseek did - this is the only recipe to be the winner in this race. Nvidia is still a huge buy.
@DoesNotInhale
@DoesNotInhale 2 күн бұрын
yap yap yap you have no idea what you are talking about
@MrAnonik
@MrAnonik 2 күн бұрын
@@DoesNotInhale enlighten me then 😂
@aliheidari7302
@aliheidari7302 2 күн бұрын
Hi Parkev, thank you for sharing useful information. I'm already a subscribed member, how can I access to your spreadsheets? much appreciated.
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
If you are a member at the investor tier, you can see the links to the spreadsheets in the member benefits section on my KZbin channel.
@kevinmaraj8155
@kevinmaraj8155 Күн бұрын
Hey buddy pretty solid vid in simple to follow language as usual good job! Thanks and keep it up 👍
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Күн бұрын
Thanks, will do!
@ankitkabra20
@ankitkabra20 2 күн бұрын
Thanks Parkev, for the quick update on the NVDA news! Will you be adjusting the beta in your DCF to reevaluate the valuation, considering the analysis that 90% of the business revenue comes from the data center segment?
@frozenjs0501
@frozenjs0501 2 күн бұрын
Thanks for yr timely update.
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
My pleasure
@JamesBond-gg4wg
@JamesBond-gg4wg 2 күн бұрын
This is noting more then market manipulations, I think the Chinese themselves are surprised from the publicity, yesterday it was Apple, today it’s NVDA, Just ignore it or use it.
@jneils725
@jneils725 2 күн бұрын
Exactly
@sunmand6136
@sunmand6136 2 күн бұрын
or chinese psyops, upvoted you.
@JamesBond-gg4wg
@JamesBond-gg4wg 2 күн бұрын
@ ''Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. '' So the saying goes. When someone tricks you, you're supposed to learn your lesson the first time around. I know how this game works, Iam trying to help poor bastards not to loose thier money and Iam doing it for free. Deep seek is an April fools bluff, it popped out of nowhere and suddenly the whole stock market dropped?! Give me a break.
@faisal-ca
@faisal-ca 2 күн бұрын
Well, if the demand drops, then all the big companies that could not get enough of Blackwell Nvidia chips will end up getting their orders filled sooner.
@Schu012
@Schu012 Күн бұрын
Great detailed and well timed video. Thanks!
@enginvarol5761
@enginvarol5761 2 күн бұрын
Thanks for the great ideas and your videos Parkev🎉❤
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
My pleasure!!
@Jay3rd313
@Jay3rd313 2 күн бұрын
This is a massive overreaction. I’m deep green and went it dropped to 117 I bought more shares. META dropped all the way to 609 in premarket I grabbed 5 more shares of META and it broke out to a new ATH.
@Wetcamerainc
@Wetcamerainc Күн бұрын
Cause the stock market is rigged not because youre smart
@Jay3rd313
@Jay3rd313 Күн бұрын
@ Gotta be smart to navigate a rigged stock market right lol? I’ve made way more money than I’ve lost.
@Bugnetblue
@Bugnetblue 2 күн бұрын
Certainly an emotional roller coaster. I am in for at least five years so not an issue for me. Let's see how this plays out.
@Viv8ldi
@Viv8ldi 2 күн бұрын
Memo: Large tech companies like amazon and microsoft have been pouring millions into nvidida
@modersalloum3899
@modersalloum3899 2 күн бұрын
When do you think we will know for sure, professor
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
After Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft report earnings and the management team answers questions from wall street analysts about this development.
@DarrylHebbes
@DarrylHebbes 2 күн бұрын
Deepseek did use Nvidia GPUs
@dianeuranowski3694
@dianeuranowski3694 2 күн бұрын
Very interesting point!
@MarcoJr666
@MarcoJr666 2 күн бұрын
DeepSeek used the mid level Nvidia GPUs
@mrxcs
@mrxcs 2 күн бұрын
A fraction of the quantity and not top of the line. Meaning, the market is fine with less quantity and weaker GPUs, meaning the growth market for Nvidia disappeared overnight.
@Matt91593
@Matt91593 2 күн бұрын
​@mrxcs even if they did, it just means the top of ai will come quicker with better gpus. Ai won't stop with mid level stuff.
@hunterbarnes9497
@hunterbarnes9497 2 күн бұрын
@@mrxcsyou know Nvidia does a lot more than just make GPU’s for lame LLM’s right?
@jimmyt5241
@jimmyt5241 2 күн бұрын
I give it 2-3 months nvidia will be at 153-165 new highs
@fabiosantosk
@fabiosantosk 2 күн бұрын
Ohh! 🎉
@Superflow66
@Superflow66 2 күн бұрын
Thank you 🙏🏼 All the best moving forward
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
Same to you!
@minuslr
@minuslr 2 күн бұрын
Its a buy for me. Assuming that DeepSeek has made a good model and its true that they only spent $5M on training, since it is open-source I don't think there are too many secrets here that can't be copied. By the way the inference to deliver this to a bandwidth millions of users is definitely not in that price. They are running on Nvidia hardware and more efficient training just means the whole market will be able to afford to expand quicker. Nvidia are supply constrained with datacenter GPUs with forward orders and by the time the orders are filled the expanded market will ask for more
@marcobergamini6859
@marcobergamini6859 Күн бұрын
Thank you for the update. I was waiting long time for and entry point on Nvidia, so if not today, when? 😊
@bradoates3843
@bradoates3843 2 күн бұрын
Buy!! Deepseek is literally using NVDA GPU’s lol
@yuenianwu-1901
@yuenianwu-1901 2 күн бұрын
deepseek will use huawei's chips to train models
@tristan2037
@tristan2037 2 күн бұрын
Deepseek's point is that they used a much cheaper, simpler NVDA GPU compared to the high-end sophisticated ones, which would not be good for NVDA stock.
@bradoates3843
@bradoates3843 2 күн бұрын
@@tristan2037 DeepSeek’s cheap Teemu tech will run its course and fall behind the others. they made a great point managed do develop quickly, however, AI is advancing quickly and they won’t keep up.
@mrxcs
@mrxcs 2 күн бұрын
They don't need top of the line or so many, basically the market is fine with the current GPUs, no need to buy new ones.
@Lance-d4i
@Lance-d4i Күн бұрын
@@yuenianwu-1901They’re not.
@yimonthant2010
@yimonthant2010 2 күн бұрын
When NVDA going dip, i look out your channel if you have new update.. 😂 thanks for the analysis. Appreciate much. 👍
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Күн бұрын
Appreciated!
@ivaniliev93
@ivaniliev93 2 күн бұрын
latest news is they lied a bit on the price of training (by 5 times they decreased the price). But guys, I want to have an artificial inteligence generate TV sereies for me. I don't want to watch stupid netflix shows, I want content for me. How is this going to happen without Nvidia?
@lovebedi
@lovebedi 2 күн бұрын
That wud help.nvidia but wont be big chunk. The TAM is limited.
@user-iq7ry6hm8f
@user-iq7ry6hm8f 2 күн бұрын
AI won't create any show like you haven't seen before. It just aggregates information from sources, doesn't create anything new
@baffinsansterre
@baffinsansterre Күн бұрын
DeepSeek R1 magic is in the software, now open source BTW. In that new environment, hardware is much less relevant. As a game changer, I expect lower sales, margins & PER for NVDA. Stock price will go lower.
@bl1204
@bl1204 2 күн бұрын
Thank you Parkev for the video
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
My pleasure!
@jumpman45up2sum
@jumpman45up2sum 2 күн бұрын
Lost 28k on monday. Bad enough it was Monday
@armandoverdugo868
@armandoverdugo868 2 күн бұрын
Thanks for information! Already I’m member how can I get the excel sheets?
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
The excel spreadsheets are available to members at the investor tier. Thanks for being a member.
@SoulfulMole
@SoulfulMole 2 күн бұрын
Yeah I bought some, cautiously, still keeping cash on the sidelines
@541-RAIDER
@541-RAIDER 2 күн бұрын
I was planning on adding NVIDIA to my Roth IRA portfolio. Today was perfect! Added over 40 shares. I might add more this week, I'll keep an eye on how it moves. I like your channel. Thanks for the content
@ivanxyz1
@ivanxyz1 2 күн бұрын
In the end, what matters is how much compute power you have. Americans will find plenty of ways to use whatever compute power they have. If somebody finds a way way to make more cups of lemonade per dollar, will any company make less lemondade? No. They will just make more lemonade at a lower price and still make a bunch of money. The demand for AI will be insatiable.
@SamWitney
@SamWitney 2 күн бұрын
Wrong! software can be bloated or lean. If it's bloated then it will run like crap on tons of the most expensive hardware. If it's lean and developed well, then it will run on anything in the last 10 years. This is what DeepSeek has shown. But this has always been the case. Linux has always ran on much less hardware then Windows. AI software running on half the hardware requirements or less is huge!!!! Like massively huge! OpenAI and all American AI companies will go out of business due to this laziness on their behalf.
@dicecorporation
@dicecorporation 2 күн бұрын
Correct assessment imo. Just like with the exoskeleton for army purposes. It could make life easier for soldiers, but instead they are now just projected to wear 3-6x the amount of extra weight on them. The same will happen to AI if it gets more accessible. There will be more demand for it, not less
@HowardT1879
@HowardT1879 Күн бұрын
Thank for explaining this in such detail.
@valeriatraveller1969
@valeriatraveller1969 2 күн бұрын
Many thanks for your timely analysis on this topic!
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
Glad it was helpful!
@reubenlane
@reubenlane Күн бұрын
Palosi just bought nvid stock back, just saying...
@susanzhou8942
@susanzhou8942 2 күн бұрын
Hi, professor, I am one of your members but I can't access the spreadsheet of your holdings. Pls show me how. Thanks
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
If you're member at the investor tier, you go to my channel page on youtube, go to member benefits section, expand member benefits link, and the spreadsheets will be there.
@mnbvlkjhgpoiuyt
@mnbvlkjhgpoiuyt Күн бұрын
if this tech really becomes more affordable and open source, then it becomes affordable for a lot more companies, which means the demand for GPUs should only increase
@dextertopaz
@dextertopaz Күн бұрын
Hey there, if possible I would be interested in a comparison of CAT and CMI and your feedback regarding their soundness as investments. Thank you for considering and thank you for your videos!
@Doms_world499
@Doms_world499 Күн бұрын
Thank you for this was seriously reconsidering keeping my shares on nvda after today.
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Күн бұрын
Glad it was helpful!
@rh8233
@rh8233 2 күн бұрын
Thanks for the video Professor !
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
My pleasure!
@SuccessReset
@SuccessReset 2 күн бұрын
Thanks really appreciate the insight!!!
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
Glad it was helpful!
@robertmccamman4630
@robertmccamman4630 2 күн бұрын
I bought another 100 shares. We will see how it goes. Why then is China still trying to buy nvidia chips?
@hollyjames2
@hollyjames2 2 күн бұрын
Many thanks Parkev.
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
Most welcome!
@delir.6488
@delir.6488 2 күн бұрын
I knew it was not moving until BlackWell was running
@OnlyZaf-iq5bn
@OnlyZaf-iq5bn 2 күн бұрын
Eh?
@ascatt27
@ascatt27 5 сағат бұрын
Nivida has done very little on the PPs. Since the stock split.
@drakemyers3432
@drakemyers3432 18 сағат бұрын
The main issue is not that they produced this at a fraction of the price - it's that they produced it on lower power chips. If they can do that, then how necessary are high power chips to AI?
@laarats8426
@laarats8426 2 күн бұрын
Thanks for all your hard work, brilliantly insightful videos
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
Glad you like them!
@eneasota
@eneasota 10 сағат бұрын
I was thinking the same, It may take a while before the panic and fear goes away and logic takes over, but in my opinion NVIDIA is a company with a high internal value because they make a high end product that is in high demand, and when people can achieve a lot with little investment, the demand will skyrocket because more and more governments, compaies and individuals that didn't have the economic power to be invoolved, can now enter the game without risking much. When the confusion cloud goes away, NVIDIA will bounce the same as it went down, like never seen in the Wall Street.
@cemkurtulusny
@cemkurtulusny 2 күн бұрын
Such a good sound reasonable reading. Thank you, doc, you are indeed a fresh honest voice in this game of smoke and mirrors.
@imdoc7872
@imdoc7872 2 күн бұрын
Awesome video. I have no choice but to sit back and see where this goes. I already placed my bet last year on NVIDIA. Ive maxed out that part of my portfolio. Also, have we verified that what this chinese company is saying is accurate?
@James-29337
@James-29337 2 күн бұрын
Great sound straight forward investment info. Thank you, sir.
@syrox1191
@syrox1191 2 күн бұрын
Possible review on GEV or Vistra on how this may affect their future?
@RossHbn
@RossHbn 2 күн бұрын
Thank you again, Parkev.
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
My pleasure!
@Damoclesword
@Damoclesword Күн бұрын
I agree totally with you now is too soon to have. clear conclusion. LLM only comes to public’s eye less than a year. We are now only in the infancy stage of AGI. In any case, Deepseek means both positive and negative to NVDA’s business story. We do need to have a bit more patience on this matter. In the meantime, I am not selling NVDA. I even actually bought some more Monday. Fingers crossed.
@nazm.8795
@nazm.8795 2 күн бұрын
Great video. Thanks
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 2 күн бұрын
You are welcome!
@shakibulislam8545
@shakibulislam8545 2 күн бұрын
Thank you for this nice explanations and analysis on NVDA. I have invested half of my NVDA's investment target on 120$ and I will invest 25% more the moment it goes beflow 105 and rest if it goes below 90. I just hope that it won't dive below 80$ anyway...
@RelocatetoOmaha
@RelocatetoOmaha 2 күн бұрын
Well said it was a very big over reaction.
@JoeBoss-t3h
@JoeBoss-t3h 2 күн бұрын
What do you think of the market being 3 standard deviation from the historical mean making it a statistical outlier?
@ivaniliev93
@ivaniliev93 2 күн бұрын
Left or right?
@JoeBoss-t3h
@JoeBoss-t3h 2 күн бұрын
@ what do you think wise crack?
@ivaniliev93
@ivaniliev93 Күн бұрын
@@JoeBoss-t3h right
@thien-10
@thien-10 2 күн бұрын
Im gonna hold Nvidia. I dont trust China.
@v-22
@v-22 2 күн бұрын
😂 go ahead hold the 👜
@rubencvc8191
@rubencvc8191 2 күн бұрын
@@v-22what do you mean
@MarcoJr666
@MarcoJr666 2 күн бұрын
Go hold longer😂 and tell me
@robertcosta9272
@robertcosta9272 2 күн бұрын
I’m holding as well
@garyalu5636
@garyalu5636 Күн бұрын
Or Trump and Musk
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