Why Jack Grealish is Perfect for Pep Guardiola

[@footballheritage942]

Don’t know if you guys could look at Ederson and how he compares to the likes of Alison and other goalkeepers. A lot of people have attacked Ederson because of his save percentage, at least compared to other top class goalkeepers, and yet he has kept a lot clean sheets. Obviously, all the data has to be taken in context, I’d like to hear what you guys make of Ederson’s abilities and stats compared to other top goalkeepers.

[@EverydayOrdeals]

Mate, even Ake looks better at City, he was bought for 40M. The ball rarely comes to the back, they counter press quickly & get the ball back, since City hog the ball a lot, so u have 60% of the game, + the time it goes to outs & all that, then you have the fact that they counter press very quickly + the depth they have. Add all this up & the ball barely sees the back line except for a counter situation. There are fewer traditional things a GK has to do in the city's system. Ederson is amazing with his feet, apart from that he does just enough to get by

[@footballheritage942]

@@EverydayOrdeals That is why I would like them to do a video. So that they can clear up shallow and foolish analysis like yours. City have the ball because their pressing formation, or do you think Man City plays with 9 players who do all the work and 2 passengers who are just standing there waiting for the game to end.

[@moooos2836]

@@EverydayOrdeals They did not let Ake go for a reason. Ake understands the system and provide proper passing option for modfield. This reason alone makes him valuable, its hard to find smart defenders.

[@shaunhutchinson4707]

@@footballheritage942 His point is that Clean Sheets is a stupid stat. A good enough team can carry a keeper to several clean sheets if he rarely has to save any shots on target. Clean sheets isn't just a metric for the keeper, it also demonstrates how well the outfield players are organised when giving up possession or are pressed on a counter, or just how good they are at retaining possession and spend more time pressing forward which obviously relieves a lot of defensive pressure. Doesn't take a genius to work out the less chances a team are allowed to get, the more likely it is a keeper will keep a clean sheet.

[@EverydayOrdeals]

@@shaunhutchinson4707 Exactá.

[@Anthony-jp5fn]

i think a really underrated part of grealish’s game is how much he draws fouls and attention from the opposition, like that champions league game against atlético last season, it seemed like when grealish came on atlético stopped focusing on trying to win and just started fouling grealish for the rest of the game, gave city so much control of that match.

[@lesliekay2097]

A team like city don't look for fouls to create a lot of set pieces, they actually want to play football. Grealish only slows that down. You only have 3 players or less to aim at if you're crossing a ball to be headed

[@pendafen7405]

other men *have* to look at Jack and touch him when they see him it's like magical attraction🍯might as well exploit that quality

[@James-tz8qe]

I've never understood why getting fouls is seen as a positive thing unless you're running the clock down near the end or you're in a corner with nowhere to go, it just kills the momentum of attacks

[@Anthony-jp5fn]

@@lesliekay2097 my point isn’t the awarded fouls it’s that he shifts the oppositions attention on fouling him whenever they’re near him sometimes, like in that atlético game whenever it was on his side of the pitch instead of doing something useful they would just foul him, it helps when we’re closing out a game and he comes on and keeps possession and gets fouls. and grealish doesn’t just slow our game down lol he’s good, just hasn’t been too fortunate w his numbers.

[@jimmyschaft228]

@@lesliekay2097 Respectfully, City had 21 goals from set-pieces / corners last year. That's huge number. Adding Haaland should only increase that as a threat.

[@richardhorrocks1460]

Goals and assists tell a very limited story. How many times would Iniesta skip past three or four players, open up the defence, lay on a perfect pass for someone else to make the final 'assist' pass for the scorer? No assist or goal credited to Iniesta, but it was he who made the goal. Grealish has the potential to do something similar... to create chaos and space for others to benefit from. He just needs to do it whilst maintaining his tactical duties. I'm sure he is learning very quickly under Pep.

[@vic19tor]

Comparing Grealish to Iniesta is offensive

[@richardhorrocks1460]

@@vic19tor What???

[@James-tz8qe]

Nice to finally see some balance on Grealish in the media. Everything City do is a collective effort, it's not about one player breaking through a defence or producing something out of nothing. He does a lot of good for the team otherwise he wouldn't get picked to start.

[@oto946]

I think a video about Manchester City’s defensive style would be very interesting.

[@Grgonaldo]

I think they already made 2 or 3 videos about it but I support your claim none the less

[@ektran4205]

high possession numbers tend to over inflate defensive stats

[@spa2damax]

@@ektran4205 it doesn't over inflate them, it's a clever way to minimise your opponents chances. It's the same result with a different approach. Pep wants to 'defend with the ball' that's why he loves players like grealish and Rodri who are totally press resistant and recycle the ball. David Silva was the best ever for this.

[@spresso007]

@@ektran4205 stay mad

[@aimenh.a.5898]

The best form of defense is attack

[@a-manthegeneral]

When Grealish came I was very critical of him, but as he played I was surprised by the amount of flak he kept getting even though he played well. Incredible dude, hope he stays until the end of his contract at Man City.

[@muthurafahmed9752]

Sad he wants to leave at next season.

[@fader1912]

@@muthurafahmed9752 it’s all bs rumours. Jack will likely retire with us just like stones and the other English players. There’s no better English team to be at for them

[@jake7763]

@@fader1912 Unless he goes back to Villa when he's older

[@clobbopus_used_beat]

Such a good assessment. I wasn't sure what his contribution was exactly but Pep likes him and this makes sense as to why

[@aguerokhok5174]

Knowing Pep, Jack won't be playing that much if he isn't doing exactly what Pep wants from him

[@CountFisco]

Glad to see a video on this. People often forget that G/A tallies are influenced far more by the players role, how direct and close to the goal they will be playing, than their own ability. Particularly in a Pep system

[@AD-fr3yv]

One of the best tifo irl video. Great work

[@Javadamutt]

I wish the official stats also included secondary assists. Usually the player who sprung the counter attack or got the ball to the person in the dangerous position to allow the defense splitting pass.

[@msstry1]

The hockey assist, yea I agree alot of the time the last 2 people get the credit for the goal (assister and goalscorer) but the person that broke up play and got the ball in position to score is often forgotten

[@eriklindgren5955]

This is an excellent video. Incredibly well-written and clearly presented. Great work, Jon and co.

[@aramanon]

I like that, Grealish' extremely disciplined width for City does make Cancelo better giving JC attacking space inside

[@pushyoch.8252]

Jesus Christ?

[@MoeLester4444]

He’s so calm with the ball and he crates space and time for others.

[@BlueMumbaikar]

Anyone watching this post treble? Wow, this analysis is so good. Tifo guys rock!

[@cfcsquare3939]

Dan James 🤣... perfect moment to show some love to your team John!

[@sihi5634]

It’s mad how often this happens, player is potentially overrated but either way almost everyone agrees he’s a very good player, player then gets a big move or more attention and then proceeds to get absolutely slated by about 50% of fans saying he’s awful, truth is he’s still a very good player he just gets used very differently by pep, their wingers never have scored loads of goals like they do at Liverpool, people just don’t have a clue unfortunately.

[@FoobRMann]

Having watched (and admired) him at Aston Villa, I've felt he'd be a better fit at a club like Dortmund or Real Madrid, where his creativity would be less... constrained

[@Kururin7x]

true he needs more freedom because thats what he excels in

[@marshallspencer9178]

Jon as always great video. Incredible amount of information presented in a clear concise way. Most importantly though you've reminded me how amazing the classic Oregon State logo was.

[@chaupiamarighambi5859]

Due to his 100 million price tag jack will always be judged on his goals+assists no matter what angle you look at

[@bexclue3007]

true. bc people don't know how to evaluate players. people are so daft they can't even come up with the thought that if City was so desperate for goals, they probably would not have spent those 100m on a player who scored 14 goals in his previous two season. But they did. And they played him a lot. And the team scored the most goals in Europe. Sounds like _something_ went right.

[@Musa41811]

Your analysts are on par with those working for the big 4 consulting firms! Insane quality and very well presented. Kudos to your team 👏

[@FanofAslan]

Grealish needs to be let off the positional leash to allow his flair and skill to thrive and to turn touches to assists and goals. Pep asks him to dwell in particular positions, rather like a set chess opening. This inhibits Jack's influence on the game. Look at Grealish for England vs Germany when he came on.

[@justagent.exe.]

really impressive players like Vinicius Junior, Ousmane Dembele, Rafael Leao... Dan James 😬

[@jahnvansohn9906]

This aged tremendously after the Manchester derby, we‘ll see how it goes on to age

[@itsfal.4581]

thank you for this video , its so hard to explain this to non city fans . i feel like people should learn about tactics more than just judge players based on goals and assists .

[@karlos777x]

Most people only repeat whatever journalists said, and journalists are not football coaches, just look at stats and have an opinion.

[@baasitshahrin3944]

Your theory proved last night

[@alfiewright1396]

Incredible analysis, this is some of the most detailed football content out there

[@apple2722]

He is useful for Pep but in longer term given the media pressure he suffers. That is the out of the tactics picture that is about human nature. He has to be given a little more freedom to boost the confidence up. Personally I wish to see the free Grealish in the midfield rather than the outball on the left.

[@daegograndynte2771]

@FriedIcecreamIsAReality Pep already say in his interview. The only thing he demand from his player is for them to stick to their space and don't occupied other position unless the one who occupied that space switch with you. Its a simple 5 lane football that was not made by Pep but by Johan Cryuff and that is one of the rules that is required to play at City. And no, Pep appreciate them a lot and he give a lot of leniency to some of the players. Especially Sterling where he still kept playing him when he still has a bad form for almost half of the season. When he stop using him, Sterling become agitated and demand play time and that was when the relationship broke. As for Gabby. It is not Pep fault that Gabby played down the wing. After world cup, he asked for a change of position to the wing because during world cup, he failed to score even 1 goal and it make his confidence fell. Since then, Pep use him as a winger more and at that time, City use other player who ain't a winger to play as a striker. But last season, he opt to play as a striker again and his form increase and his confidence also increase. But comes January, his rise of form and confidence comes too late because at that time, City already finished negotiation with Alvarez and semi completed Haaland negotiation. I heard from people ITK that Haaland negotiation has been complete before February. And from then, Gabby don't have much choice and he then leave to Arsenal.

[@2InchTerror]

Big ups for the Oregon State shirt with the old logo

[@dislecsyk991]

Grealish at Villa was always better than his "underlying numbers". If we scored, you could guarantee he either scored, assisted or played the pass before the assist which opened everything up. And he did it by putting the fear of God into almost every right back he came up against, because he was so good with the ball at his feet. Pep doesn't want him to run with the ball, which is why he LOOKS so much worse than he did at Villa.

[@pumelelabanca1442]

Pep does give the ball to Mahrez and B.Silva when they play as rw. Jack never stays wide for some reason. He drifts for some reason.

[@homoerectus3355]

@@pumelelabanca1442 I think it’s because he’s not super two footed or fast so he prefers playing more inside than on the wing

[@haydenc.haughey116]

Please explain the Oregon State shirt Jon

[@edge803]

6 months later you was correct. Grealish has been fantastic this season. His become such a important player for city. Great content .

[@MilesMalcom]

Nice OSU shirt, shout out from Oregon, USA!!

[@conquistadorechocolate1127]

Grealish is a one man creative outlet, but he needs more of the ball to do so. I think Pep has to let him make mistakes for him to thrive if that makes sense

[@ammarbaagu]

allowing him to make more mistakes means City are more vulnerable to counter attacks from his side due to City more narrow structure. Jack is at his best just like he plays vs Wolves. He attacks the fullback and made runs while retaining the ball. And he clearly can do that based on the stats in the video

[@conquistadorechocolate1127]

@@ammarbaagu he stays too out wide for him to impact the game as well as he can imo

[@YodasPapa]

@Nafis Wazed He's giving freedom to Cancelo in 2 ways. First, he hold the ball to make it safer for cancelo to come forward. Second, he holds his width to give Cancelo space. It would also work for KDB and Silva, but both of them prefer to drift right.

[@msstry1]

@Nafis Wazed kdb all day

[@hollis218]

Always annoyed me how the average football fan (and alarmingly some pundits on tv) look at football stats of players like: ‘You weren’t the one who passed the ball for the assist, you’re rubbish’ Such lazy analysis 🙄🤦🏽‍♂️

[@AdityaTiwari-es3lq]

he is overhated ...... that too by rival fans .....city fans love him ♥

[@yoshooie6512]

In fairness I don't think he's worse than he was at villa. I just don't like his playing style much at all. People think he should be a make stuff happen guy but he slows everything down. I'm sure it's useful in specific scenarios but I just think that means he's a utility player like John o shea or Dirk kuyt. By all means good but not exactly Henry

[@ralphngwalla]

Slowing the game down is sometimes really helpful for City to gain and regain control of certain moments in games which is crucial for how Pep wants his players to move the opposition and find spaces between the lines

[@yoshooie6512]

@@ralphngwalla yeah I think a lot of what grealish did at villa is covered or unnecessary at city. Mind I do not like him for England either. Find he's a bit of a black hole on the ball when he comes on. Rolling the ball along the edge of the area and then getting hacked down or turn around and pass back

[@Kaisar9000]

@@yoshooie6512 Good thing you aren't City manager though.

[@yoshooie6512]

@@Kaisar9000 no but I am good friends with him hang on I'll get him. Hi it's me pep guardiola, I'm good friends with yoshooie and they have incredible footballing insight

[@Will-sg8jt]

@@yoshooie6512 I love grealish for England as he passes the ball around the outside of the box which allows people to find a pass into the box and Is the one player who almost never loses it

[@akshaym3129]

not all players need to have high goals/assists or tackles/interceptions to be vital to a team's success.. great vid!

[@sergeantpickles4202]

Tifo: produces well argued video with statistical backing Comments: lol Grealish is actually bad haha use ur eyes bro. The football community has a long way to go in understanding analysis.

[@Weirdbloke10]

Its this new generation who watch match highlights and goal clips from tiktok and think they can actually understand players through that . who just can not wrap their head around anything beyond HIGH G/A = good player low G/A = bad player

[@Johndoe-gf7eu]

So why is grealish not happy with getting goals and assists himself? Its a load of bollocks 😂😂😂😂

[@haroldsimarmsta750]

not everyone can do analysis fro data. its originally used by colleges and scientists, of course majority of the people wont really know what they mean.

[@Wolf-hd1hr]

Jack grealish does, what david silva used to. Hold the possession and slow the tempo.

[@yugam-jain]

8:17 I think the increased chances from the right hand side of the pitch might have to do with KDB's positioning as well, as we see him time and time again in the right half space and sometimes right flank trying to curl balls to the back post for Haaland or a late runner into the box (mainly Gundogan)

[@10angrytigers]

To me Grealish has gone from strength to strength each year. Finally a video that proves all the nay waters wrong.

[@man.q9035]

Brilliant analysis. This guy should be a pundit. Explains Peps system perfectly

[@leothecat9609]

Sky aren't interested in telling you how football actually works

[@goggles163]

JG is one of the best creative and exciting players in the league and now his spark is being doused. Although he’s doing a good job for Pep it’s a real shame that he went to City, he used to be one of my favourite players to watch

[@Yeern101]

jack grealish pr team working overtime

[@jordan_roadhouse4798]

Nah, more like you just have a hate boner for him.

[@Johndoe-gf7eu]

Man city pr team more like, shameful club

[@Johndoe-gf7eu]

They even make their players change their idols when they join cos their idols were united players 😂😂😂😂swear city is like a cult 😂😂😂

[@arifirfandi]

And here we are on the third week of June, CITEHH won their treble-with Super Jack’s vital role in securing the line for his teammates. 🏆 🏆 🏆

[@jorgetwo4279]

Is it possible to see something on West Ham? We challenged for Europe for two seasons, then all of a sudden we cannot click together. As well with very few tactical changes that make the Hammers predictable. I will say it may be because of our new signings having to adjust as well but still it feels like a horrid start to a long season.

[@pendafen7405]

Not a bad word said about our little bull Jarrod, mind🐮

[@cedarstuff]

Keeps the ball and moves forward, then lays it off to a more direct attacker. Doesn't score, doesn't assist. Good for Pep and City, but a waste of his individual potential. He'll get money and silverware at City, but little individual acclaim.

[@nolant5791]

Great analysis, thanks Jon :)

[@jonnyanderson3042]

How often do you think the tifo team draw genitals on the tactics board? I wonder if you just get the one when your hired and then never again or perhaps it's more of a daily thing.

[@pumelelabanca1442]

Can not wait to see your analysis for harry maguire next.

[@EverydayOrdeals]

100M for small microscopic runs, that every player will do in the same position is absolute stupidity. Paying 100M for something so small is the reason we have extreme inflation in the market today.

[@nipplehead]

Spot on. Literally any winger in the Prem could perform Grealish's role with (arguably) the world's best LB behind him and best CM next to him.

[@EverydayOrdeals]

​@@nipplehead Btw I'm not saying that Grealish is bad. If Grealish was bought by Liverpool, I wouldn't have had this problem bc that team can use all his abilities well + add more on top of them. But in the pep's system, every guy does the exact same thing. The same side rotations, same cut back from CM to LW to switch positions, same cutbacks, same runs from the outside of the box, same runs from midfield, same pass to the cm, same pass to the winger, same lofted post to the back post, same cut back in the box. Even the long-range shots look revised & absolutely robotic, only the goal from Kompany looked anything but all of these.

[@yogeshwarvishwanath4678]

And such a small details r the reason city left united way a head

[@EverydayOrdeals]

@@yogeshwarvishwanath4678 They were way past United before this 100M transfer, in-fact they have regressed.

[@godalbinothe]

Or maybe it was Barcelona tripling back for Dembele, Coutinho, and Griezmann for 9 figure transfers years before this? 🤷‍♂️ How people still blame Man City for inflation is blatant ignorance

[@arta1575]

Great video

[@dtnpaul1114]

Fantastic analysis man

[@SLM3573]

as someone said there are 3 types of lies, lies, damn lies and statistics he was a big fish in a small pond at Villa now he is a cog in a machine. He is not affecting games maybe thats because Pep doesnt want him to but if you are what you say you are then you still do it as well. In all honesty City was the wrong move for him as its all about the system and individual brilliance is limited to the final 3rd with Pep so his strengths of picking up the ball deep and running at people has been clipped now and it shows

[@uvie_egua]

Apt, he isn’t affecting games because he’s not been good enough. Of course Pep won’t criticise him in public but the fact is you’ll shine if you’re good enough.

[@pendafen7405]

Imo Jack thrives when he is up against it, which means he's ideal for a struggling low-midtable Prem side. The lad is best in crisis mode, when it's acceptable to throw everything on the table and just gun it because what else do you have to lose? The City experiment has show us that he either can't play safe tactical games on the front foot, or doesn't want to. Don't know why he's like that---adrenaline junkie? Hero/saviour complex? Or he needs stakes and drama because he was raised on Gaelic football?

[@haroldsimarmsta750]

@@pendafen7405 kinda similiar to maguire. in a big team they struggle but for middle to top half team they can be outstanding

[@rhizonhaze5597]

I think grealish is hampered by the fact that he's not playing with a true Left back. One who can exploit the with and make crosses into the box from the left. Joao Cancelo is doing a great job but he's better at right back and he doesn't allow grealish to cut inside and create havoc. The brought in Sergio Gomez as alternative for Cucurela but clearly he's not ready.

[@AzureSkyes]

That's why City wanted Cucurella. Biggest loser from that not happening (apart from Cucurella himself) was Grealish. Consigned to another season of suffering with Cancelo at LB, completely stifling Jack's play.

[@hungotuan4431]

I don't know if Jack can be a starter but as a rotation choice he is doing great

[@EverydayOrdeals]

Here's what boggles me. Why would one play 100M for playing someone in such a limited way? He isn't 22, He's 27. Every player in his system does the same side rotations with the CM, LW, and LB/CM. I can understand if Liverpool buys a guy for this, but when every guy in his system plays the exact same way, why would one spend 100M for the same rotation, same cut back, same lofted pass, same back post lofted cross ? Help me understand.

[@jasongroves6224]

£100 million rotation player

[@hungotuan4431]

@@EverydayOrdeals So our dear Pep need a finisher on the wings (remember, this is before the arrival of Erling Monstrous Haaland). Jack has the bravery and the finishing skills suitable for Pep due to his time being Villa's carry so Boom! 100 million. Unfortunately Jack is not adjusted to the City system yet so he is just a rotation right now

[@edwardking9359]

@@EverydayOrdeals Jack grealish fits into registration better, and is far better for marketing reasons than an unknown youngster from a different country. Plus, he's used to the level of competition in the Premier league, and on his day is a damn good player while being happy to sit on the bench. There's not another player in world football that fits all of those categories.

[@GrahamPlays]

Great work Jon, fantastic video and insights!

[@BobbySpringer1]

It's not all about goals and assists, kids. It's about the result at 90 minutes!

[@nyemikeonukwu6964]

Nice analysis. Can u do a video on rashford as a 9 this season. I get the impression that his instructions are very different from the classic no 9 e.g. haaland. I sense that he tries to drag defenders out of possession. I.e. his off the ball duties have increased with him playing through center.

[@98Hogsmeade]

What a great video!

[@tswelopeleseleka9641]

This makes a lot of sense Tjanks Tifo

[@ahmedhimad515]

not saying he isn’t good rn but his potential is being wasted. pep isn’t using him the best way, grealish is not a touchline winger. he’s best when he operates in the half spaces but he rarely gets to do that at city. he should be moved to lcm or just be played with a left back that can overlap and hold width

[@AzureSkyes]

Spot on 💯

[@aramanon]

Just from an eye test before seeing data, the fake 'scandal' about the kid is anti-City bias in the none-TIFO press and FIFA kids not seeing him on KZbin. Grealish goes from being Villas only vaguely top tier player, but even there his best highlights were all flying up the pitch on his own and earning free kicks. Odd that with City he doesn't have to set off on runs round the box on his own and actually looks silly running past KDB and Gundowang to fail to earn a free kick- he has gotten over that quickly last year. He gets more ball and uses it better providing width with Mahrez that Silva, Sterling and Foden don't always do being inside forwards more than wingers. Ignore the price, we wanted Grealish, Villa charged the MCFC tax and we paid it to make the team better and your newspapers favourite quotable assists and goals markers do not matter a jot.

[@alant8140]

Excellent video!

[@Pothers18]

"He's ahead of really impressive players... Dan James" 🤣🤣🤣🤣

[@ptbauro]

Vinicious Junior, Dembele and Leao 🤣🤣🤣🤣

[@ankaramesi3824]

Even Dan James better than grealish

[@kingdaniel1956]

And then G.souness attacks him for hugging the ball now knowing jack about how city play and then questions grealish even when he says he's doing all the gaffer wants

[@msdm83]

At villa he liked to get the ball on the ring in the half way like and dribble in towards the centre. At City last year it crowded out the centre and reduced width in the left. This year he's much more discipline positionally and give and goes quicker. He's looking like a pep player now

[@amiangrobbelaar9621]

Giroud for France in the 2018 world cup. Simply there for his role in the team and not g/a.

[@seabass8738]

“he’s in front of really impressive players…. dan james” 💀💀 really snuck him in

[@TKGriffiths]

Someone send this video to Souness

[@RenewedRS]

Reminder that Jack wasn't fit for half of the season when he got 6G 10A at Villa. We'd have finished top 10 and he'd have had even better stats if he hadn't contracted HIV of the shins.

[@sithembilemabunda7024]

Sometimes, numbers don't tell the full story.

[@uvie_egua]

You’re talking like grealish and mahrez have played lot of games this season, grealish has played 212 premier league minutes which isn’t even up to 3 complete games yet you bring Man Citys attacking statistics for the whole season (so far) as if all attacks through the left have gone through grealish. He isn’t underrated or bringing anything special, he’s underperforming. You don’t fork out 100M for “progressive runs” with no end product. Other players have progressive runs AND better end product.

[@jacobstarling5397]

all statistics in the video are from last season, not this one

[@EVansNDou]

GREAT VIDEO 5STARssssss

[@Jack-vo6wj]

Loving the old school OSU shirt

[@maxweider9112]

I go to OSU! Love the shirt, but I have so many questions.

[@reun1clus]

Actually most people know that Grealish is the perfect player for Guardiola… the problem isn’t the style of play or abilities of the player… it’s his output

[@Tex_Mex_A_Lex]

Oregon State????

[@danpreston564]

I tried telling people attacking Grealish that he had great numbers last season.

[@rhettconaway]

Love the OSU shirt!

[@kattphatt]

I miss David Silva. Pep would have loved a 25y.o David Silva, alongside Rodri and KDB omg.

[@winterbird4447]

He is perfect because he makes up their english quota while being satisfied to sit on the bench and play a minor role. And when he gets the chance he is not shite.

[@steeldragon7534]

Thank you like wtf are they on about

[@roshawnseeny2531]

Are you mad?? He always starts for city

[@FaraazAhmad]

Is it time to call bluff on xG or xA? there have been instances where players consistently either overperform or underperform it, and it doesn't 'level out'? or will these inconsistencies be used to improve the model?

[@finndaniels9139]

Vast majority of players will conform with their underlying expected numbers, the outliers are a small minority and these players are exceptional as a result. Son will always overperform his xG, and this makes him a cheat code in that he will always score more than he should. Until he physically declines this won’t change.

[@edwardking9359]

if a player is consistently overperforming their xg they are really good at shooting, if they're consistently underperforming their xg they're wasteful. Created xg and xa are markings of how creative a player is, which is much more reliable than actual assists

[@hyp3459]

You use the xG and xA as a baseline to understand how good a player truly is at shooting/finishing. Consistantly coring well above your xG means you are a great finisher. xG is an average of all the data.

[@znhait]

With statistics, you need a very large sample space--sometimes, infinity--to get the true values. Personally, I would rather watch a game with my own two eyes than rely on stats.

[@znhait]

@@edwardking9359 If they're consistently underperforming or overperforming, it means that the stat should be based more on the individual than on a large database. If Son keeps scoring 25 goals from 20 xG, then the model is wrong for him.

[@Akira9212]

Let's be honest, no1 thinks Jack is worth 100M which is fair. Not even Man City, nor Jack himself. Do you blame a rich guy for going to a shop and buying something overpriced? If the store puts a price tag on a product, are you gonna walk into the store and demand they reduce the price because you don't think it's worth that much? So I don't get all the criticism. Maguire, Lukaku etc... compared to them, Jack is doing alright. I respect Souness but the same guy that is taking shots at Jack is backing Maguire by saying it's Man United's fault that he lost confidence and isn't performing well by not creating an environment for him to shine etc etc.

[@DEAJRMA]

Any update on this or?

[@andrewb777]

I was looking forward to a relationship analysis, but this was nice too…

[@pendafen7405]

the fic pairing absolutely nobody wants

[@aarons745]

Superb video, it will age well when Grealish starts to get higher numbers, and everything clicks for him at City.

[@tinnguyen2031]

no wonder Arsenal is rumored to link with Grealish. This is exactly how Arsenal plays

[@AnimeTheorysReddit]

Grealish cooked dalot

[@dimitarnikolov3340]

Grealish be like "Wha'?! That's awesome, mate!" upon watching this.

[@adampayne84]

But is Pep the right coach for Jack? I can see how he benefits them, but he's gone from being the player getting all the headlines at villa, to being some to facilitate other players at city. He's earning his keep and will win titles. But will he be getting the headlines, goals and assists that he arguably could?

[@AzureSkyes]

Completely agree Pep is not the right coach for Jack. He uses him as a tool to help City win matches, but he doesn't facilitate Jack's play in the slightest. I hope Grealish uses the next couple of seasons to learn all he can from Pep and then moves to play under a manager who will appreciate and use him better. Either that or Guardiola wakes up and finally gives Jack the chance to properly shine in that City team.

[@eseoghenetuoyo1357]

Do they same for sancho and the narrative on him will change too. I think this is just working back from favorable stats.

[@ayelejoseph7989]

100mil for him to carry the ball and retain possession? 😂 y’all can’t be serious with this. City will get the ball forward regardless. City without grealish is a much better team and if you watch football instead of these useless numbers you’ll see he slows the team down more than anything

[@ayelejoseph7989]

@T P everyone else got better …

[@haroldsimarmsta750]

@T P thats a lazy analysis

[@chinazanwala9538]

Thank you

[@haroldsimarmsta750]

@T P ​ @T P if only he is one of the major contributor of the goals. Without him, they will keep on winning nonetheless. like, pep can even make pedro, bojan, ferran into good players for his system however he likes, even tho bojan only has a glimpse.

[@haroldsimarmsta750]

@T P and that forward line kept bottling the champions league. you kept lazily assuming everything like a salty guy. such retorics for pinpointing that i know football more than Mr.Josep Guardiola Sala

[@colinabraham258]

imagine if they had Messi instead of Jack....

[@o.binwheelie9733]

Same player according to the Aston Villa goalie 👍

[@elr492]

Messi was not that good at keeping possession and, even less, tracking down to defend. That is why Guardiola ended up playing him as a false 9, rather than a winger or midfielder. He was integral to that team because someone had to risk losing the ball and who better than the best of his time.

[@pumelelabanca1442]

@@elr492 what are you saying? Messi was 100% better than both Eto and Henry at ball retention. Pep played messi as a false nine because he was so good at that. He could drop off from the center backs and join the midfield. Also Messi only started not defending in 2013.

[@elr492]

@@pumelelabanca1442 there is a famous video where Guardiola explains why Messi does not run all the game and instead walks the pitch. Looking around. Messi was not that good at defending and placing defensive burdens on him was counterproductive. This happened way before 2013. Only at the very very start of his career he ran back and he was subbed when he tired, which is a waste. A player who does not run cannot actively press all game. If he is a winger, you need to find a way to solve the issue of the other team's LB. If he plays as a false 9, not so much. The CB probably wont attack you much. So changing Messi's position had both offensive and defensive reasons. The same thing has been tried in Argentina NT. In 2018 Messi was moved to the center with two wingers at his side because Sampaoli wanted someone to track back the LB and RB (it did not work).

[@pumelelabanca1442]

@@elr492 Go watch rewatch Pep's Barca and see how much pressing they did. Look at who was leading that press. Messi was pressing and working hard as a false 9. Messi only started walking aroung in 2013 when he started vomiting on the field. Before then he was pressing like everyone else. Moving messi to false 9 was a tactical choice that helped with ball retention and adding numbers in midfield. Not because he was not good at ball retention or had low work rate like you have stated. As if messi was ever worse on the ball than either eto, henry, pedro or david villa.

[@aprilp660]

This vid aged like fine wine

[@andresquesnel1350]

Nice OSU shirt!

[@peterparkerlovesmj]

I would love to see Pep play Jack on the right side

[@o.binwheelie9733]

Luke Ayling with a hairband.

[@Omar_Little]

Luke ayling is Luke ayling with a hairband.

[@o.binwheelie9733]

@@Omar_Little I thought he favoured the bobble but you're probably right

[@o.binwheelie9733]

@joooooeeeeeee I'd love to see a dedicated tifo video about him to be honest lol. One of my favourite players.

[@danielwickwar5434]

So he's the most expensive water carrier ever. Gets the ball, attracts defenders and gives it to someone else. An academy kid could do that, it's demeaning a brilliant talent to be relegated to that role, no matter how many medals he gets.

[@Johndoe-gf7eu]

And he will accept it, becos man city the cult will brainwash him

[@pendafen7405]

A tragedy. At least he's rich and pretty, that goes a long way as consolation.

[@danielwickwar5434]

@@pendafen7405 I'd absolutely swap my life for his, in case that wasn't clear 😂

[@samgibb-randall5743]

Props for pronouncing João Cancelo correctly! Great video