Why Range Analysis is King ( 500 NL VS Goose.Core!)

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[@tonyng1600]

after hearing you talking i think i can kinda figure out what he has by the turn if i assume he doesnt have JT, but the problem for most of us is we cant think that fast in real game doing 3-4 table at once on rush cash.

[@irsphilip]

Hey Avery, I wonder what you think about my thought-process: I thought that on this board, it's slightly less likely that he'd raise a hand like T9cc/J9cc, since he's being dominated by all of your Axcc. So I'd be much more inclined to call down if the board was AQKchc (on this board he's also likely gonna raise QT/QJ/T9cc 100% of the time). Also, I like the fact that we have the Jd here instead of Jh, since this unblocks his QJhh, which is a combo he'd bluff more than QJdd for example (giving the added back-door flush equity). I thought his most likely bluffs here are QThh, QJhh, with a low frequency of the other suited versions of these two hands. Also, he might raise J9cc, T9cc around 50% of the time I'd guess. KTs might even be used to call you down sometimes, especially the combo which is not hearts, since this unblocks all your T8hh, T9hh, QThh, KThh (even though it sucks since some pros at 500zoom might even blast off with KJ). So I think he'd raise KTs less than 50% of the time for sure. I also think that he wouldn't raise ATcc more than 50% of the time, since this is also a good hand to call down with. On a club runout we might even get paid off, since we can still have bluffs like KThh and other suited aces which are no clubs. Also, I think this spot might be overbluffed by the PFR by some of the pros at 500zoom. It's easy to blast off as the PFR here with 22-TT, QT, QJ, KT, KJ and flushdraws.

[@Mr2mmm2]

You are the best of the best! As always, never disappointing ;)

[@playitsmartpoker]

Woohoo!

[@xxChacaronXX]

What are the most important street to hand reading? Preflop and flop right? Then River because you have the most information. Turn seems like it’s the simplest after you know your position OTF.

[@playitsmartpoker]

There is no "most" important. They are all equally important. Its like weight lifting. You will not get in great shape if you work out a lot but eat terrible. You will also not get in great shape if you eat very clean but never train. You need to do them all well.

[@changanhe8192]

Sir, Lets say his check value range is thin on the flop like 4 combos and thats all his value range on later street,How many bluff do he need in this senarios? In theory he need around 10-11 combo bluffs on the flop right ？ And he need around 6-7 bluffs on the turn and 2 combo bluff on the river right ?

[@Xlewis100X]

Enjoy your videos - Learnt alot - Thank you!

[@playitsmartpoker]

Glad to hear it!

[@popovoleksii2714]

Thanks for the video! How do you train this skill except just in game? Do you visualize the picture of the range in your head (like the piosolver grid or something) or you think in words (like "he has low pocket pairs and broadways bla-bla-bla)?

[@playitsmartpoker]

Glad you enjoyed it- You can ( and should ) train this skill off the tables through hand history review ( something I do with my students). I visualize it like a pio grid but I try to hand bucket rather then look at each combo since in any specific range spot there will only be a few number of hand classes. ( "he has suited broadways, small pairs, flush draws etc")

[@studyforliving-ct5qt]

I love your videos. its informative. But i wish one day i can see you buying a decent microphone, it should only costs 1buyin of nl200. anyway. much appreciated for your contribution😊

[@playitsmartpoker]

its not the money lol. I will get a new mic some day 😄

[@lucasdesiqueira6122]

Thsnks for the video

[@playitsmartpoker]

glad you enjoyed it :)

[@wizard4462]

Perfect analysis once again!! What stakes are you playing now?

[@playitsmartpoker]

Right now I am mainly coaching with my poker time but I am playing 200/500 nl online to stay sharp / give my students the most cutting edge exploits. I will likely return to high stakes next year

[@AT-in9ld]

the ad at the beginning is way too long makes me want to click away just saying

[@playitsmartpoker]

That's cool, anyone who clicks away is just missing out 🙂

[@Xlewis100X]

You don’t know about fast forward yet?

[@xiwu6448]

I like the ending music very much

[@playitsmartpoker]

great!

[@markolekic1835]

Great Vid coach!:)

[@playitsmartpoker]

🙂

[@hsubox]

Wouldn't he keep his suited Aces with a club in his raising range on flop?

[@playitsmartpoker]

On that board its pretty unlikely since I have so many 2 pair sets and straights that beat him. AT clubs makes sense with the gut shot

[@LinusHate]

Great analysis against very good, very agressive high stakes regs, but i would argue that most of the pool, even good regs are much more value heavy than bluff heavy on this type of boards multiway where they know they dont have the range advantage. Humans tend to underbluff much more than GTO so we have to be careful making this type of calls against most of pool that underbluff a lot in this type of spots. I have burnt a lot of money calling too much to regs that underbluffed in spots like this...

[@playitsmartpoker]

Yes you certainly need to pick and choose your villains or you will be massively punting calling into too strong of range from the vast majority of the pool . Glad you enjoyed it

[@johnd5619]

excellent video!

[@playitsmartpoker]

glad you enjoyed it !

[@luansilva-ej6ns]

nice call

[@playitsmartpoker]

thank you friend

[@bludmop7281]

Heeeeeere, Dont forget though to do all this analysis in 30 seconds!

[@playitsmartpoker]

15 - I mainly play zoom 😁

[@Heviserdarlove]

🔥🔥

[@playitsmartpoker]

🧨🧨

[@TheLazarussLedd]

I highly doubt he is bluffing that much, pretty sure steffen is bluffing very sparingly here and knows very well how narrow his value range is. Actually if you think about it this is best combo to bluff? So this actually might be only combo he is willing to do this and maybe QTh. Steffen is beast, kinda scary hand I would click sit out personally when I see this LOL, what a beast like he sees this flop 3 way and goes yap gonna just blast off 3 way vs UTG range here.

[@playitsmartpoker]

I like his bluff/play even if hes overdoing it the population is not calling down kj ever or even any 1 pair holdings

[@camaleonsacor1618]

Goose is an amazing player but he played this hand really poorly... I love the analisis but it would be cool to see a harder hand haha, here the situation, as you said yourself, is preety narrow. Your calldown is very nice but tbh he is reping just nothing and he went full bananas here. Preety poor range awareness from him and also preety poor choose of who to bluff xD. He was preety obvioulsy not in his A game in this hand. Thanks for content as allways!

[@playitsmartpoker]

Glad you enjoyed- I think his play is very good vs the pool. Very few players are calling down here kj or any 1 pair holdings

[@camaleonsacor1618]

@@playitsmartpokerI wouldnt argue that with you since I never played that pool. Maybe he just chose a bad villan to do so. Cheers!.

[@playitsmartpoker]

yes I am a station 😁@@camaleonsacor1618

[@kevinwolfe371]

'Promo sm' 😉