Will depleted funds put an end to Russia's war in Ukraine? | Conflict Zone

Leading Russian economist Sergei Guriev says Western sanctions are working but warned that the billions Putin still gets will be used to kill Ukrainians. Guriev, who fled Moscow in 2013, says the price cap on Russian oil appears to be working, meaning less money for the Kremlin to buy military technology from third countries like India, China and Turkey. But while Russian technocrats are working to keep the economy afloat, “they help Putin to continue destroying Russia's future.” Asked about whether Putin has changed his long-term goals, Guriev, now a professor and provost at Sciences Po in Paris, says the president has always been corrupt: “He's not an empire builder - he's more of a palace builder.”
Correction from April 13, 2023: In the interview Conflict Zone referred to Mr Guriev as a former Kremlin advisor. We would like to correct the record and state he was in fact a leading Russian economist, former head of the Moscow’s New Economic School and former chief economist at the EBRD (European Bank of Reconstruction and Development). We apologize for the error.
#russia #ukrainewar #putin
Chapters
00:00 Intro
00:51 Sarah Kelly welcome
01:08 How long can Putin hold on & fund war?
01:40 Frozen central bank assets vs. oil & gas revenue
02:10 Impact of economic sanctions on battlefield, artillery production
02:40 Classified economic data
03:00 Military technology from third countries: Turkey, India, China, Kazakhstan, & Emirates
04:20 Macroeconomic instability, Russian GDP
04:56 Way of Iran or Venezuela
05:45 Russian recession and decline
06:30 Bureaucrats and alleged Russian war crimes
07:20 Immorality and funding Putin´s war machine to kill Ukrainians & Russia´s future
08:02 Russian businessmen "suicides"
08:20 Murder of Boris Nemtsov, attempted assassination of Alexsei Navalny
09:10 Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov on isolation of Moscow, China, Xi Jinping, Global South
09:45 Syria, Eritrea, Nicaragua supporting Russia
10:07 "Friendship without limits" would be weapons without limits and cash without limits
10:20 Russia buys munitions from North Korea and Iran, not China
10:40 Ambassador Fu Cong on rhetoric vs reality
11:35 Western price cap on Russian oil and India
12:45 Bakhmut and Russian domestic stability
13:25 Predicting mass protests and riot police joining them in Russia
14:46 Personal choice to leave Russia in 2013
16:10 e Ilya Yashin, who didn't leave and Vladimir Kara-Murza imprisoned
16:27 Dimitry Peskov on travel restrictions
16:56 Very few happy people in Russia´s inner circle and ICC warrants
18:05 Putin Cold War speech to Bundestag
18:40 Black Sea palace builder, not empire builder
19:50 Putin´s COVID isolation
20:45 His initial social contract growth and corruption vs democracy and checks & balances
22:14 When he´s gone the system will have to change
23:00 New Perestroika or North Korean style repression
23:15 He bet everything he had on war in Ukraine
23:53 Slobodan Milosevic in The Hague,
24:00 Peace requires returning all occupied territory, borders of 1991, pay reparations and send war criminals to tribunals, Russian anti-war committee
25:00 Lessons from post-WWII Germany
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[@northascrowsfly]

The lack of interruptions and interjections by the news anchor was a refreshing change. 👍🏼

[@janniemeyer9951]

Sarah brought the best out of this ex Russian banker although I disagree with some of his political views on the reasons why Putin is acting the way he is. Still good points of views.

[@thomasjosullivan9179]

I agree totally

[@N3therWolf]

@MSD Group lmaooo yes they can. Remember the horror winter Europe was gonna gave without Russian gas? Yeah... 🤡

[@nopelip8508]

@@N3therWolf Those memories stil warm my heart, i guess we could have even let the heater run with open windows, would not have run out of gas... EZ

[@maxking3]

As DW is funded as an (editorially independent) public broadcaster, they have the luxury to give people up to 30 minutes for interviews that can go to a certain level of detail. Pretty much like NPR. Unlike coporate media, where you have 3 minutes until the next ad break and all you want to get across is sensationalist headlines and opinion hosts talking to an audience that already agrees with them.

[@JanLion-zb1bd]

And Sergei saying he is not brave ... too modest. It was smart to leave in time and he is brave enough to give this remarkably open interview. I admire him.

[@jetli740]

or he scone with large sum of cash

[@steenrasmussen2371]

Still he have money😊

[@airis3333]

@MSD Group im looking :D yes they can ,because these economies are much bigger then huilos ruzzlandia, and not under sanctions :D

[@PharisaerWatch]

@MSD Group haha...working here in Germany, full order books. U.S. doing good as well. France and UK? they have always been some troublemakers in different ways (strikes, nurturing big companies only) but thanks for your worries

[@Kodakcompactdisc]

@@msdgroup9164🙄

[@tomparatube6506]

I like the way he answers the questions. Very straightforward, no diplomatic bs, or beating around the bush. Bravo Mr Sergei Guriev!👍👍👍

[@SuperKREPSINIS]

Straightforward propoganda

[@christianevanherck6023]

@@SuperKREPSINIS you mean prapagondo

[@GwynBleys]

He started by saying that he doesnt know anything and then made claims like he does lol.. Both of you are paid clowns.

[@user-zz2of4zk6b]

And I like the hostess better. Sara's articulation is brilliant!

[@user-cc1ip8ix4j]

Это жулик и аферист, который должен был сидеть в тюрьме, он вор, который убежал их России ограбив ее, кстати, его отец тоже грабил Россию и продвигал своего бездарного сына в России, так что желаем американцам поближе познакомиться с вором и аферистом Гуриевым из России

[@zomfgeclipse]

High quality interview from both people

[@brucemiller3012]

Ms Kelly is an excellent interviewer. She speaks clearly and is very understandable. Her questions are excellent and to the point. Excellent work here

[@marmotd2319]

💯 % Share your opinion

[@daydays12]

@@marmotd2319 me too!

[@ridgemondhigh4891]

Imagine if it had been Tim Sebastian interviewing Lavrov, Peskov . . . or Mr. Magog himself.

[@marmotd2319]

@@ridgemondhigh4891 they will be interviewed war tribunal prosecutors ✊

[@alanbrown4446]

Tripple *** for this GREAT interview. Not only for the great performance of the two participants - sharp, incisive, intellegent and well informed, but also to the producers. I will look out for this channel again.

[@SuperKREPSINIS]

Propoganda

[@christianevanherck6023]

@@SuperKREPSINIS You should provide a fact-based argument, if you have one.

[@GreedyGrom]

This guy obviously has personal interests. Can’t fully believe ANY information source.

[@christianevanherck6023]

@@GreedyGrom and that includes YOU! Why should anyone believe this unsubstantiated claim of yours?

[@user-wj7zz9sy3n]

Как легко люди верят в ложь!

[@apach47]

Mr Guriev is very smart and insightful. It is always a great pleasure listening him talk

[@ardeladimwit]

"He is not much of an Empire-builder, but a palace builder and he has a lot of palaces."

[@tattabridge]

20 palaces!!!!!!

[@USMC2673]

Great interview. Great to hear from ppl who have fled Russia. I hope his vision of a Russian future without autocracy comes true.

[@tinaforbes1059]

Snowdon had to moved to Russia 🇷🇺 for telling the truth about American government lied .

[@konstantinospapadopoulos4643]

Lol what autocracy? Have you seen France? Canada? US? … speaking about autocracy

[@bob1234881]

​@Konstantinos Papadopoulos lol yes, people can say what they like, go on strike, vote etc... can't do any of that in Russia.

[@USMC2673]

@@konstantinospapadopoulos4643 Good point. The US from my point of view is very flawed, but if the current state of Russia is as the interviewee described then it is an autocratic nation veiled as a democracy. That might be the case in the US as well. I do not try to make comparisons between countries.

[@danwotsa4522]

​@@alhambrabiker1476 ability to protest is progressive?

[@alejandroaragoncr]

What a great interview! Excellent questions and even better answers. Definitely two top professionals. Thanks

[@daniera7635]

Thank you Sergei for your detailed insight. Excellent interview Sarah.

[@PsilocybinCocktail]

Never heard of this chap before, but am EXTREMELY impressed at his ability to get the point across in English, with the occasional barbed witticism. Russians like him are a hope for the future, even if we have to go through a Nuremburg first.

[@D-E-S_8559]

You'll NEVER have a pro-western Russia otherwise Nato will be a braindead "defensive idea".....

[@Davidadventures]

Good post Rob. Hopefully, Russia's Nuremburg will sift out the criminals and help those who want a democratic Russia remain strong.

[@PGj141]

​@@Davidadventures nice joke, David. There are (and were in 2014) only 4 percent of russians who thought that it's russian's who put down lives of 298 people from MH17. ... by that time there was already a huge mass of information from NL/JIT on investigation. Other 140mln inhabitants put blame on other "forces" - Ukrainie, USA, etc. And we're not talking about information epoch and times when they're were much less restrictions on internet in russia. So what you hope for simply does not have any ground. They write "donos" every day on each other. That's 404 country and people. Even scientists and young people do that massively.

[@StompingRabbits]

Russia's Nuremberg? 😂😆😅😋😁 🇷🇺 WINNING!

[@tanjiro2507]

​@@StompingRabbits when? When they tryed to take Kiyv in 3days, keep Kherson forever russian or take Bahamut after...9months? 😂😂😂

[@erictrudel1164]

Great interview with a really smart person. 👌

[@robertrowan8738]

brilliant interview, a clear incite into the whole situation with someone who knows exactly what he is talking about.

[@johnmurphy6241]

Great interview! Like the way the guest is given time to speak - very good.

[@shannonbrown5913]

This dude was smart to get out ten years ago.

[@TheGreenReaper]

And even smarter to stay out.

[@Spindlysneaker]

The smartest people always leave first before the war even starts at all.

[@pot_head64]

Smart enough to steal money and disappear))

[@Spindlysneaker]

@@pot_head64 making statements out of the blue air doesn't make yourself smart at all btw. Rather dumb instead.

[@fricholas7608]

​@@pot_head64settle down troll. Lol

[@Eternalspring22]

“Autocratic regimes end in unpredictable ways” this is so true, same as abusive relationships. Peace!

[@guillermoelenes]

it was your fault and you know it.

[@hoang1730]

So when China collapse? People said about that decades ago and China is still rising and challenge the West, right?

[@Eternalspring22]

@@guillermoelenes what is you talking about Willis?

[@jan.tichavsky]

It looks good from outside for a long time, then it suddenly crumbles. Too bad we don't know how much it will take to finally break the regime.

[@oldowleye3161]

@@guillermoelenes ...lol...😂

[@Wozzaatwozza]

Sergei, you are an inspiration to humanity. Your context is, your vulnerable, your kind, you think of others, and you want the world to be a better place. Your doing your best for a distance. You are an ambassador for Russian people to the world that Russian people are good people. You give the rest of us hope for reform and democracy for Russia. I hope that you have a bigger role to play in the future. I hope one day Russia becomes diplomatic and you become finance minister and help steer Russia to economic reform and the quality of life for Russians throughout the entire state are enriched by your wisdom and context. You can measure a man’s strength by his ability to be vulnerable. You are an honourable man. We need more like you. Thank you Sergei. And thank you DW for your professionalism. This is the best interview I’ve seen in the last 3 years. Commitment before ego

[@teashea1]

A very excellent presentation - wonderful interviewer and knowledgeable economist being interviewed. Also - fine production values

[@maddog1046]

One of the best insights to the current conflict I have heard! Thank you very much!!!

[@wolfswinkel8906]

he's saying nothing different from the dozens of "analysts" and "experts" they've interviewed.

[@jonatikoisuva2695]

​@@wolfswinkel8906 And most of it never comes true 🤷

[@80-80.]

This is fantastic insight.

[@richardhouser508]

This man says he is not brave at all, but I think he is. Slava Ukraine! Glory to the Heroes!

[@EhEhEhEINSTEIN]

I wish a couple other people were "less brave" in that I don't think Navalny and Kara-Murza are fulfilling their potential in Russian jails.

[@markuss4133]

​@@EhEhEhEINSTEIN for now, I have to agree.I guess they thought their actions would have more impact or they are true idealists. Mfor sure I miss their input and as things are now, they made the wrong choice. But I guess they would not have made the same decision. Easy to be captain hindsight...

[@tasreasfatemsa8266]

Gordon Zhang's brother

[@nsevv]

Brave people are those who don't take photo riding horse half naked shirtless.

[@aoknights4425]

@@tasreasfatemsa8266 haha gordan chang of russia

[@sempressfi]

"he's not an empire builder, he's more of a palace builder" 😂 Over the course of the interview, it seemed like he started to relax enough to show personality and make slightly snarky remarks. Would love to talk to him for an afternoon about all of this, seems like he'd be fun to have serious yet comedic convos with about these fragile minded autocrats. Great interview as always, DW 💙💛

[@ctcole77]

Dictator Putin is also a bank account builder.........his own bank account.

[@wilsonh9145]

Russian equipment deployed to Ukraine are old equipment, no SAM 350, no SAM 400, no SAM 500. Soldiers rotation is just 3 months, only volunteers can be deployed again, recently captured drones are using toy grade electronics, missiles are using white boxes printed circuit boards! Most of the frontline soldiers are mercenary！ If Russia wanted to finish the war fast, they can always bomb Kyiv and the Western military equipment import railways. Look at the map, Kyiv is encircled by Russia n Belarus, why Kyiv is so peace, only very occasionally being visited by Russian drones? Sometimes are wooden drones? Why they didn't bomb the railways that military equipment are shipping in? Both Russia and Iran (China's trading agent?) ..... Korea and some other warlords bought a lot of Western military equipment from Ukraine officers ! You can tell Russia is planned for this, it is to exhaust the West! Are they running out of money ? Look at how the rest of the world buying oil and gas from them. Even Sudi is also buying oil from Russia, then sold to Europe at a mark up! Russia is still selling to EU..... the high price guaranteed profits for everyone !

[@marmotd2319]

Sarah Kelley is perfect interviewer , straight to poin, as Tim👍👍👍 Thanks and keep going🙏

[@travelswithted673]

I hope that men like him and Navalny can lead Russia in the future and not ex KGB agents.

[@sunnydisinfectant]

Amazing interview, he speaks very openly and honestly. A good reminder that Russians have been driven to this point, and real change is possible if good people continue to speak out like him

[@suportbghelp4938]

How many banks can gone, before good people become speak about change in west?West child even have a future with all this over dept?

[@Davidadventures]

@@suportbghelp4938 These posts from an honest Russian man really bothers Russian bots that are directed from the Kremlin, don't they. Perhaps when your true identity is discovered, you too will be before the International Court for war crimes.

[@PGj141]

Yeah, Tom, that's all what russians are capable of - to sit in France/wtv and blame single person for the war, though almost 200K of their soldiers has already died and another hundreds of thousands keep pressing buttons to fire rockets to UA (with quite a support from their families etc)

[@StompingRabbits]

The change is already occurring, the GAE "global American empire" is getting obliterated...we're going broke and the Russians are getting wealthy...

[@thomasherrin6798]

​@@suportbghelp4938 China's total debt is bigger than the whole of the Wider West's debts all together at 57 Trillion USD so the West can sleep at night, China should be having nightmares!?!

[@jenya_pu]

As always, top analytics and great insights! Thank you, Sergey Guriev!

[@SuperKREPSINIS]

Great propoganda

[@islam_shokuev]

​@@SuperKREPSINIS bot

[@SuperKREPSINIS]

@@islam_shokuev good you admitting you're a bot

[@perfectlycontent64]

Great interview. Sergei's perspective was new to me. I haven't heard that explanation of how Putin became imperialist before. Most experts seem to indicate he'd always harbored imperialist ambitions. The idea that he mainly wanted to maintain his personal wealth (obtained through corruption), and needed a distraction (imperialism) as economic growth stagnanted seems more believable to me.

[@atikzimmerman]

Sergey Guriev is a close ally of Navalny, whose whole narrative was about corruption as a key issue in Russia, so they keep using it even these days. It was a good political narrative because it diminishes you opponent, but became kind of irrelevant now

[@Laughing_Lord]

In fact, most of us are imperialists simply because we are an imperial nation. Just like the Americans, I see a lot in common between us. Confidence in our own exceptionalism and even messianism. Most nations find this difficult to understand. I think only Americans understand the difference between just life (not personal, but as a society) and life for the sake of realizing some idea or task. And for the sake of this idea, you are ready to give a lot. I just want to say that in our imperialism there is nothing unusual and deep hidden meanings, it’s just part of the culture for Russians it’s unthinkable to live outside the great mission. It’s sad that Putin put us on the path of destruction instead of the creative path. This is perhaps the easy path. But it’s not the right one You can conquer and dominate peacefully. How does China simply buy a foreign government and land, tanks are not needed for this.

[@KUZBASSforever]

Draw conclusions about the primitiveness of the Russians.

[@user-cc1ip8ix4j]

Сергей вор, пропагандист, аферист, который хочет развала великой России, так как боится, что придётся отвечать за воровство

[@andrewfiles4184]

Russia, despite having good quality educated scientists and a rich cultural history has never built a thriving economy for its people who remain largely impoverished .. Russia outside of energy deposits and selling arms is an impoverished country due to its corrupt leadership which unfortunately is part of its culture as well… Russia will undoubtedly fall, the question is, will the Russian people allow Putin to make the collapse worse than it has to be… Unfortunately it appears so.

[@brianwarburton4482]

Excellent interview. It is always a pleasure to listen to the views of someone who has a good insight into the mechanics of this war.

[@AjayTiwari-en9nz]

What was excellent about the interview? He didn't answer a single question properly.

[@tasreasfatemsa8266]

People like you need dream in stead of watching the reality.

[@calisto2735]

@@AjayTiwari-en9nz And by "properly" you mean, licking Putin's balls like you? 🤷🏻‍♂️

[@rae6918]

@@AjayTiwari-en9nz you dont fare well with sarcasm do you

[@robertlee8805]

And he's a Russian dissenting Putler's regime. There's HOPE.

[@martinims]

I could comment a lot but it would be just repeating other comments below. Great interview and a very intelligent individual. Given the opportunity, with people like him, Russia. could really prosper.

[@operasinger2126]

Thanks Sergei Guriev and female host!

[@kcpth]

Awesome interview... guest speaker I felt was very intelligent in his answers and has very in depth knowledge. Kudos to everyone involved

[@Charles-yq8vv]

Great interview, someone with real insights is always nice, as opposed to the regular talking heads.

[@tasreasfatemsa8266]

Collective west hyperfocused on ruble, as Russian economy wins sanctions war----- from Duran Who is lying?

[@jetli740]

you think he an expert? ha ha his expert is as good as you or me, he not in russia he has no idea what going on all his knoweledge is base on what he got from the west media

[@ticiusarakan]

Yea, right, insight from france by man who dont live there about 10 years))) stop smoking weed man

[@PGj141]

0 insights he is far away from average inhabitant of his former country

[@LearnWithVikram7]

It is sad to see citizens of free world becoming dumb and numb. While mostly never too good at emotions and loyalty, science and logic was its strength. Just 2 question to golden civilization. 1. If Russia is losing steam economically then why Ukrainian planning counter offensive? Just sit back and let Russia collapse. 2. If Ukraine with 100 billion dollar per year can defeat Russia then why spend a trillion dollar on NATO? Just give a little more to Ukraine and let it protect all its supporting nations

[@douglasbruce4991]

A very pragmatic thinker and analyst.

[@LearnWithVikram7]

It is sad to see citizens of free world becoming dumb and numb. While mostly never too good at emotions and loyalty, science and logic was its strength. Just 2 question to golden civilization. 1. If Russia is losing steam economically then why Ukrainian planning counter offensive? Just sit back and let Russia collapse. 2. If Ukraine with 100 billion dollar per year can defeat Russia then why spend a trillion dollar on NATO? Just give a little more to Ukraine and let it protect all its supporting nations

[@oj1822]

​@@LearnWithVikram7 Nice try Putin, we're not falling for your tricks

[@LearnWithVikram7]

@@oj1822 don't worry. you have fallen already to your corrupt leaders and this won't be first time. nothing ever changes

[@oj1822]

@@LearnWithVikram7 oh yes and Russia is such a transparent, non corrupt country. LOL

[@LearnWithVikram7]

@@oj1822 it can be corrupt and non transparent. So will then you win proxy war because of your moral superiority? Everyone willing to take out Putin bible but no one willing to tell what the military endgame is and how is that to be achieved. Politicians love such brainwashed people

[@bart170]

Good talk. Talented man. Protect him.

[@isaacbugalho]

Very very good interview!! Thank you!

[@xbreaker]

The words of Sergei, saying that he hopes that Russia will become a free, democratic pro-European country, actually gives me hope for the future of Russia.

[@danwotsa4522]

You mean Pro europe, under US hegemony?

[@user-yj7um6hv1d]

Why would we become "pro-European" in the first place? 🤔 Being democratic does not equal "pro-European"/"pro-American". Majority of ordinary Russians view Europe in a negative light.

[@NewBeginnings413]

@@bbbbbbears6999 bahahaha 😂😂😂😂😂 that was a good joke

[@TerraThink]

The West had the perfect opportunity in the early 90s after the Soviet collapse. Russia and the rest of the former Soviet Union couldn't get enough of all things Western. But that promising attitude slowly soured when they noticed how the West was only there to loot their gigantic natural resources. They kept expanding NATO toward Russia despite Russian protests. They bombed Russia's closest ally Serbia in 1999 while Russia was too weak to do anything about it. They realized that the West only wanted a weak Russia and nothing else. After all, why would a global hegemon like the U.S want any potential rival to have a say in how things are run? The organizing and funding of countless coup and revolution attempts all around Russia's neighborhood (usually kicking out a leader Russia has a good relationship with and installing one that hates Russia), didn't help to thaw the slowly freezing relationship.

[@suportbghelp4938]

@@TerraThink Simple truth west guys hate to hear.They prefer story about boggymen Russia and heroic NATO who need Russia for enemy to exist and serve USA interest worldwide. :)

[@MD-4mee]

Great interview.

[@sergejmolev1260]

Спасибо Сергею. Он нужен России, демократической России!

[@nhoramartinez6415]

Great interview! Sergei very comfortable with his point of view. Honest answers.

[@Miamcoline]

Super interesting interview! Thank you again DW. You guys have become truly a next level of news media even surpassing the BBC in quality of coverage.

[@percyzhang1230]

BBC is trash

[@PharisaerWatch]

Z-fans disagree 🤣

[@nicolasolton]

Supporters of the half-Zwastika?

[@din6675]

Great interview. Good questions, interesting guy.

[@jameshallahan4376]

Wow - he’s a good guy, level headed, smart - hopefully he is being protected

[@nublex]

Guriev is one of the academically most literate economists i know. if you watch more of his interviews, some of them over an hour or two long - where he really gets a chance to shine intellectually - you can really grasp the whole scope of brain-drain of russia.

[@PraneshSacher]

great interview ..... it does give more clarity to important questions ......

[@fieldsofgold775]

A good report. Good questions and good answers. I admire people who can articulate their ideas. & in a foreign language too. He articulates in english better than some native english speakers. An Insightful discussion.

[@clearytheory8826]

Interviewer does a great job. Well done. She elicited more illuminating responses.

[@NguyenVinh-di6rl]

Always love watching DW. Thank you.

[@Burkhard_Ehnes]

outstanding!!!!! Could HE take over? Thank you DW! That's journalism second to none!

[@NoNicknameAtAll210]

Excellent insights from someone who knows what he is speaking about. Brave citizen of the world.

[@arikotiranta2689]

Russia not need enything.attager.

[@douglasmaclean5836]

Wow great interview. This reporter is a sharp cookie.

[@johnlawrence8738]

Bravo - well done in presenting questions and all answers

[@juliane__]

What a thoughtful interview. Really like to see and hear more of this!

[@str8ballistik]

I don't understand any human who eagerly wants another human to be a king over them.

[@str8ballistik]

@@alexsilent5603 agreed I don't understand that mentality of lining up to worship someone who wanted power over you but at least the Brits have a government where their supposed king is mostly just a symbol and the British people control their own government and their own lives

[@ridgemondhigh4891]

Nobody, except cronies, indoctrinated and brainwashed people truly wants that.

[@TerraThink]

@David B I'll gladly kneel for a worthy man just like it's likely been for most of human history. We need great and worthy leaders - always has, always will. But these silly democrats (as in politicans manufactured by democracy)... Weak in body, weak in mind. Little to no original thought. A bunch of yes-men focusing most of their energy on how to get elected and re-elected. I can't look up to them. Therefore it's embarrasing to have them over us with titles like Prime Minister or Head of Government Agency x, y o z. And worse? They keep lying to us to get elected and re-elected. And the supposedly "independent" media keeps repeating their one-sided lies for months and years for their own benefits.

[@martynanstis1620]

@@alexsilent5603you clearly do not understand how uk politics work. Go study some more 🤡.

[@suportbghelp4938]

@@str8ballistik Great Brits just elect Indian to rule them, yeah they are in full control, nice story bro. :)

[@nguyyen6192]

Ms Guriev provided an intelligent and insightful view of the war, the Russian economy, the Kremlin's politics. He also gave us a hopeful peek into the future for Russia when democracy, lawful order and humanism are restored.

[@user-tj7nb9fu9t]

You had milions of slaves,and you talk about humanism?

[@Laughing_Lord]

I don’t think it’s real. Rather, a shameful peace treaty awaits us. And then the arrival of a real empire builder and a burning wave of revanchism. As it was with Germany. A humiliating peace - reparations and then the arrival of a leader who promised to make Germany great again. I think in 2040 -2060 we are waiting for the arrival of such a leader, if not earlier

[@bc-guy852]

This is the best interview that I have ever seen, covering the future of russia and the conclusion of the war. This host had great questions and the guest is imminently qualified.

[@misha17422]

He can fund it for as long as he lives as long as his people are tolerating him. Nothing really to lose for him. It’s really a question of what brings him down first.

[@suportbghelp4938]

Him?Its about who will broke first West or East.Ukraine is a just play ground.

[@rolfbertshit]

This is probably the best interview i have seen about Russia from a person who has intimate knowledge of the Russian Society and Putin's inner circle. Well done DW

[@leaveourstatuesalone.3378]

People like this are the future for a better Russia,

[@sharingtherealworld]

Freedom for all the Slavs! Glory to Ukraine!

[@jeanneknight4791]

Please bring back Dr Jeffrey Sonnenfeld from Yale School of Management to explain his most recent take on Russian economy. Mr. Guriev is wonderful, by the way!

[@jamesgough1887]

Great interview. Sergai is right on the money. Best interview since this war started and I fully support his choice to leave Russia. He is more useful to Russia on the outside. I only hope the Russian people could get his message. Russia without corruption and oppression and with freedom of expression would be a much better place for Russians to live.

[@malteschaper3782]

Interesting interview. Thanks for taking the time. In many long interview (and sometimes even short ones) nothing really is being said and I leave without knowing anything more or differently. Not in this case. Thanks!

[@evabrunson8413]

An excellent analysis of the financial drivers behind the current situation and the march towards war. Lovely to have a really in-depth interview and the interviewer asking intelligent questions. Not just grabbing sound bites. Brilliant.

[@LearnWithVikram7]

It is sad to see citizens of free world becoming dumb and numb. While mostly never too good at emotions and loyalty, science and logic was its strength. Just 2 question to golden civilization. 1. If Russia is losing steam economically then why Ukrainian planning counter offensive? Just sit back and let Russia collapse. 2. If Ukraine with 100 billion dollar per year can defeat Russia then why spend a trillion dollar on NATO? Just give a little more to Ukraine and let it protect all its supporting nations

[@evabrunson8413]

@@LearnWithVikram7 If you had someone breaking into your home, vandalising your possession and hurting your family. Would you stand back and do nothing ?

[@LearnWithVikram7]

@@evabrunson8413 good question. but lets make analogy complete. before that person broke in, who is my neighbour, I used to slap his children (Russians in Donbass), broke the fence between our house (minsk agreement), started piling up guns and invited his arch enemy to my house (US and Crimea retake bill and Munich conference call for nukes) and ignore warnings ( Feb 2022). Now coming to present, that person doing vandalization is ready to stop but it is your call to make it fight to death along with all your children knowing for sure that your neighbour will never disappear but your distance lover would disappear one day. Knowing well enough you are his 5th of 6th love post world war 2. Your neigbour needs coexistence too. For that find equilibrium today. You will have to give up territory lost and be non threatening. If it is unpalatable and you will fight to last, it will go to last. If you decide to find equilibrium two years later you would have lost even more ...

[@evabrunson8413]

@@LearnWithVikram7 DURING covid I decided that visiting Russia to see St Petersburg and Moscow when the world became normal was a must. Followed by connecting with my fathers family in Ukraine, as a child of WW Two he refused to do so. Hence, Russian aggression, rape of women young and old, along with the latest atrocity of beheading and behaving like ISIS clearly indicates what Russia snd its people are about. It is Putin who is threatening WW3, it is Russians that have attacked, they do not want peace, they want to destroy, from envy and desperation as PUTINS grasp on power weakens. He has destroyed an entire generation and the future of the country through sending first born to be slaughter with poor training and little protection gear. Ann those who could have left and will probably never return. We are witnessing the start of a lost generation. Whilst his henge men and women call for the use of nuclear missiles. Putin and his regime have to be destroyed to stop Crimea, Georgia or Chechnya ever happing again. If Putin wins, Poland, Latvia, SLOVENIA will be next.

[@evabrunson8413]

One final point, I presume you reside in India, would you stand back if China attacks north india, steels your land and rales you women .?

[@maxcuthbert100]

Possibly the best interview/information about the state of the Russian state I've heard since this whole mess occurred.

[@soundscare]

Too bad it’s not accurate

[@nopelip8508]

@@soundscare Yeah he the truth is even worse, but he was polite enough to not tell the devastating truth in case any russians watch this interview.

[@soundscare]

@@nopelip8508 you agree. He misinformed.

[@nopelip8508]

@@soundscare No, i disagree. He did not misinform, but he could have given some more information. For example on how much Russia is faking its economic data to look better than it actually is right now.

[@952a259]

Great speaker, and very interesting interview! Thank you DW!

[@kevine.lemaster8473]

Why can't we have new media like this in the US? Great questions, minimally biased, and informative...

[@drunkensailor112]

Most Americans are too dumb for this kind of journalism.

[@ritwik5774]

minimally biased? that's a bad joke mate.

[@TheMargarita1948]

FREEDUMB!! That’s why.

[@markwilson1096]

vice news

[@UncleTonyshotsauce]

America created international news ,KZbin ,Google and social media. Apparently you don't know anything about the freedom America have given the world.

[@miserydevelopmentltd]

Very good interview and guest to have on the channel 👍🏼

[@sykaax]

It is the most smart person in terms of economy which talking about russia and a specialy in public. it is very nice desision to invite him here.

[@Dirk80241]

This is a super interview!

[@Lappland67.92]

No respect for this guy! All Respect & Love to The Brave Ukrainian People. God Bless Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇺🇲🇨🇦🇬🇧🇻🇦🇪🇪🇵🇱💪💪💪🌻🌻🌻

[@2dadventuresdevelopmentrob147]

The higher you put someone on a pedestal, the harder they fall

[@treesetc3305]

Brilliant interview. Great guest and presenter.

[@paulpedro9328]

You are Smart and Brave man

[@paulpedro9328]

Right, you are brave man. You are able to share the most dangerous information any Russian could ever share. YOu are the man

[@colinobrien3806]

class interview this guy knows his stuff and he is a lot braver that he suggests he is

[@mattayele1906]

10 months ago this same guy was saying "Russia ruining out of shells and rockets" ok mate, will be another years and he will still be saying the same thing

[@user-di8wk3pr9m]

He said so and it happened so. You can observe that, compared to october/november last year Russian artillery capacity shrink considerably.

[@ritwik5774]

@@user-di8wk3pr9m And your source is? oh wait western media isn't it? :)

[@user-di8wk3pr9m]

@@ritwik5774 Sure. What's your source?

[@paulgibbon5991]

The rate of use is 30% of this time last year.

[@Wombat-gm4ne]

Great interview DW.

[@oinochoe]

Sergei Guriev some day will become our president!

[@HappyHammer55]

An insightful and informed interview.

[@finnjacobsen684]

Most interesting conversation.

[@Ludovit110]

Great interview, thank you!

[@Elliott_Wave]

Excellent questioning.

[@patwilson2546]

At the end of February the Russian deficit was already 2.6T rubles. At the end of March, despite no improvement in income or expenditures, the deficit was reported as 2.4T rubles. Given the situation, a figure of over 4T rubles was expected. How did Russia do it? Russia reports that 2.2T rubles were acquired through a "special tax maneuver". Take Russian figures as you will.

[@PeterSedesse]

Yeah, they just added ' future anticipated tax revenues' onto the current tax revenues. It is like saying you earned double in 2022 because you expect you will earn the same amount in 2023. The actual ' books ' dont matter, what matters is cashflow. They have about 90 billion in the bank and have a 30 billion deficit every month. By june they are out of cash.

[@bobroberts2371]

There is always China to provide funding. Or even team up with Chine to roll across Europe.

[@bobroberts2371]

I'm thinking that conscripting people to work in factories is next.

[@maxsmith3580]

2.6 Trillion Rubles at 85 Rubles to a Dollar is around 30-31 billion Dollars, its less then 2 % of Russian GDP. there is a reason you used Rubles, it makes the situation look a lot more worst then it is. Do you work for a EU/US 'agency' where such things are done everyday.

[@clasbin77]

It is obvious the Budget lifted itself by the bootstraps through sheer patriotic willpower and shouted "Long live our beloved leader and father of the motherland!"

[@firecat5338]

"... Russia is not genetically inferior. Whoever says that Russia always has to stay autocratic is russophobe and racist." These are some of the most patriotic words I've heard!

[@sadanandahalageri9391]

Wow!!! The man was so in

[@alanccvoo]

I thought they already figthing w shovels, pots n pans..😂

[@RagingGoblin]

The fact of the matter is, nobody outside of a couple of people in Russia really know how good or -- more likely -- bad the Russian economy is faring. All statistics released are extremely obviously tampered with or have simply lost all meaning -- like the rate of the Ruble. A currency that isn't traded or can't be traded simply can't have a steady rate -- as long as we attach any meaning to 'rate'. The IMF is to be blamed, too, since they're in the habit of blindly accepting meaningless or unconvincing data given straight by the Russian government.

[@din6675]

That's exactly right.

[@ajaykumarsingh702]

Isn't traded, can't be traded ??? 😂😂😂 Lol ! Are you out of your mind ? Russia is having open trade with the rest of the world as usual. The West wasn't the only trading partner of Russia.

[@reorioOrion]

How are things with American banks? They are fine?

[@pumalee1997]

If you use rubles to buy his resources, you will know how valuable rubles are. I heard that unfriendly countries must use rubles to buy.

[@carlcarl9681]

The dollar is safe and sound, why else dollar needs quantitative easing every few years?? Because dollar is weak and un backed ? 😂😂

[@jamescottle3418]

good interview...the guy knows what hes talking about.

[@randysmith7627]

Incredible interview Thank you

[@sureshsanji8602]

6 months ago the news was Russia ran out of missiles now this😂😂

[@UncleTonyshotsauce]

Russia missiles still hitting Ukraine capital earlier rate ,no 🤔

[@darweb3417]

Excellent, best yet.

[@JustinTimeEnglishClip]

Great insight. Thanks so much. I wish Sergei Guriev good luck in building a democratic Russia.

[@katfinn9352]

This was a very interesting interview with great questions. Thank you to the interviewee and the interviewer.

[@UFCSTARS]

Really good interview, great questions, great guest!

[@PGM991]

we're at war, but we're still buy/sell opponent stuff. human war is complicated...

[@CM_7]

Nothing new here …

[@gheorghefalcaru]

FANTASTIC INTERVIEW !!!! THANK YOU!

[@madmadagascar]

A sophisticated interview, good questions.

[@jeremygibbs7342]

I love these DW interviews

[@MichaelGalt]

Great interview. Once more have to come to DW for quality reporting.