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Will Israel Cause a World War?

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Whatifalthist

Whatifalthist

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 2 800
@WhatifAltHist
@WhatifAltHist Жыл бұрын
Get 50% off your first order of CookUnity meals - go to cookunity.com/whatif50 and use my code WHATIF50 at checkout to try them out for yourself! Thanks to CookUnity for sponsoring this video!
@SayNoToDemocide1
@SayNoToDemocide1 Жыл бұрын
The comments section's gonna be juicy. Oy Vey!
@mastertroll1780
@mastertroll1780 Жыл бұрын
Where did you get your "30 years war" mid-east map? 12:03
@EricEngle-f1q
@EricEngle-f1q Жыл бұрын
一边美国不要战争,一边中国也不要战争。所以正确答案是:不。不会第三个全地球战争。
@EricEngle-f1q
@EricEngle-f1q Жыл бұрын
Your questions are good but your method is questionable so your answers are shit.
@chimera9818
@chimera9818 Жыл бұрын
Probably not unless Israel politicians or our neighbors (I am Israeli) do something incredibly stupid
@SacredCowStockyards
@SacredCowStockyards Жыл бұрын
The problem with thinking Israel is like Bosnia is, I'm not too sure that any of the powers involved actually want war. Bosnia was just an excuse, everyone involved in WWI was roaring to go to war.
@memyselfandi8544
@memyselfandi8544 Жыл бұрын
World War I was planned out by western powers. People have no power. And very little information.
@Filon2137Potocki
@Filon2137Potocki Жыл бұрын
A very good point
@ngkngk875
@ngkngk875 Жыл бұрын
I don’t think the “powers” involved want war but the ones fighting definitely do for their respective reasons.
@ElTigre12024
@ElTigre12024 Жыл бұрын
I’ve heard reports that behind the scenes many Arab countries are happy Israel is dealing with Hamas. Who knows if that’s true though…..
@memyselfandi8544
@memyselfandi8544 Жыл бұрын
@@ElTigre12024 Zionism is part of a larger plan, that depends on the false impression that Palestine rightfully belongs to Yiddish speakers who calls themselves Jews, but have no claim by blood nor faith. It’s like everything, a fake narrative created by the state and media. Anyone who actually reads the Bible and believes it is the word of God, cannot take liberties with any word of scripture. Those ain’t Jews. Talmud isn’t scripture. It’s pagan traditions from Babylon. Kabbalah is witchcraft. Ashkenaz was not a Semite. So, once everyone is educated on this stuff, they can talk responsibly. Also, Armageddon is unstoppable. So, buckle up. The Torah is in the Bible, read it first yourself. Those are not Jews. “I know your afflictions and your poverty-yet you are rich! I know about the slander of those who say they are Jews and are not, but are a synagogue of Satan.” ‭‭Revelation‬ ‭2‬:‭9‬ ‭NIV‬‬
@maxwellmueller9384
@maxwellmueller9384 Жыл бұрын
As a young, conservative Canadian, I can guarantee you I will never be willing to die on the other side of the world for "my" country.
@montanarepublic3296
@montanarepublic3296 Жыл бұрын
Same here brother. From your friends to the South. Our homes are lost to us.
@Seiven2077
@Seiven2077 Жыл бұрын
same here. Hi, from Toronto
@steveballmersbaldspot2.095
@steveballmersbaldspot2.095 Жыл бұрын
Yep, no way am I putting my life on the line to line to pockets of the elites.
@timbeck6726
@timbeck6726 Жыл бұрын
Old Boy🇨🇦, ditto.
@NathanDayspring-re4ok
@NathanDayspring-re4ok Жыл бұрын
"come on boys let's get it over with!" "The Sarge is so vague."
@Peanutbreese2001
@Peanutbreese2001 Жыл бұрын
As a 22 year old American from the Midwest. I’m not dying for Israel, Taiwan, or any other foreign country especially for a country that hates me anyway
@2shae245
@2shae245 Жыл бұрын
Based
@laillahilaallah001
@laillahilaallah001 Жыл бұрын
Mashallah
@MrOraas
@MrOraas Жыл бұрын
Good man, being midwestern you lads make up most of the fighting men. It's highly doubtful the us will ever be invaded, even with a seriously weakened military there are still the militias. A weak us world presence might give us a chance to like you yanks again.
@Omer1996E.C
@Omer1996E.C Жыл бұрын
Idk if Israel hates you, but Israel is for sure using you. Specifically your tax dollars
@benverboonen1108
@benverboonen1108 Жыл бұрын
Nobody hates you. Stop thinking like that
@thehappyhollistic5715
@thehappyhollistic5715 Жыл бұрын
As a British man I’ll die for my countrymen but not for my unelected incompetent government. We used to be country of morals, community, progress… I’ve witnessed such an awful regression. The government hates the native British person. We just want good jobs, safe cities, sense of community… we don’t want people that hate us, drain our resources, take away family values, make unaffordable to raise children of our own… it’s created an unsafe, hedonistic, materialistic society. All vices that most religions and philosophers have warned us about. It is sinfulness that history has warned us about.
@Post_and_Ghost
@Post_and_Ghost Жыл бұрын
Hopefully Farage takes over the conservatives after Labor destroys them in the next election. This Yankee is wishing you the best.
@Ren21798
@Ren21798 Жыл бұрын
yea i understand
@Ben-rq5re
@Ben-rq5re Жыл бұрын
I can't imagine there's much chance the UK will get seriously involved in any conflict unless an enemy turns up at Dover - the manufactured immigration of the last 20 years has resulted in a large percentage of the population who actively dislike our country and values, while also alienating the domestic population from any sense of community or shared desire to fight. Suffice to that if the government tried to enforce any sort of draft to bolster our laughably-understaffed armed forces then they would be laughed out of power at best..
@SlippinJimmy09
@SlippinJimmy09 Жыл бұрын
As an American, I will not die for my government but for my country and for my people.
@H.Hardrada
@H.Hardrada Жыл бұрын
Well, think of it this way. It's important, every so often, to be reminded that we have to fight for the things we take for granted. Don't despair, fight!
@mrvictorian4004
@mrvictorian4004 8 ай бұрын
Who's here after Iran launched their drones and missiles?
@phil3751
@phil3751 8 ай бұрын
Me bro
@FiggFig
@FiggFig 8 ай бұрын
Same
@thepatriarchy8443
@thepatriarchy8443 8 ай бұрын
Me as well.
@SuhbanIo
@SuhbanIo 8 ай бұрын
me
@the_firelord8307
@the_firelord8307 8 ай бұрын
Me
@sinakeyhani929
@sinakeyhani929 Жыл бұрын
As Iranian I often laugh when I see videos titling “Will Iran and Israel go to war”. You give 20% chance to it but it is probably around 5%, it is more likely Iran and Taliban go to war over water. Situation for Iranian regime is very bad, they fall to a point that they are throwing all their forces to police people and they are failing at it. There were several rallies in the world especially in the west to sympathize with Gaza, and yet there wasn’t any in Iran, the reason is that the regime tried multiple times and couldn’t even bring 10k to it. The regime itself is no longer a theocracy anymore, just recently a video came out of an official sleeping with a man and nothing happened to him because there wasn’t anybody to replace him. Instead the whistle blower was imprisoned. All these can also be considered as a reason for Islamic republic regime to initiate the war to unify people but they most likely won’t do that because they know they are old and themselves can’t go to war so they must draft young people and the moment they give a gun to them, they will definitely shoot them, even their own guards are starting to shoot them. So rest assured, if Israel or US don’t start a war the chance of Iran starting one is fairly low. At worst Iran will use its numerous proxy groups to hurt Israel or recruit Afghan refugees to do his dirty work.
@thinkpolhub
@thinkpolhub Жыл бұрын
spot on
@tankwfw
@tankwfw Жыл бұрын
This is my view as well. Iran is in no position to launch a war right now, at least not a war that will result in American intervention
@laikanbarth
@laikanbarth Жыл бұрын
Iran is trying to have a proxy war with Israel. All of their blathering and complaining about Israel for 40 years has achieved nothing. I so want the Iranians to be free of their Authoritarian government. I’ve met people from Iran in the states who fled during the revolution. They are absolutely wonderful people!!
@thinkpolhub
@thinkpolhub Жыл бұрын
@@laikanbarth yeah the Iranian people are pretty nice and chilled I visited there severely as a kid
@noahtylerpritchett2682
@noahtylerpritchett2682 Жыл бұрын
Iran will use oil money for mercenaries from Afghanistan and Pakistan because there's a reliable amount of pashtun refugees. Pakistan evicted over a million pashtuns recently. Iran has a manpower of mercenaries if they're ever willing.
@tylerdurdan7128
@tylerdurdan7128 Жыл бұрын
Why would anyone in their right mind want to get involved in this never-ending morally void vendetta over a tiny scrap of land with no resources and very little strategic value.
@theghostofmaximumvolume3414
@theghostofmaximumvolume3414 Жыл бұрын
Because the 'Bible' said so... - Christian Death Cult
@wizzyno1566
@wizzyno1566 Жыл бұрын
Let them fight it out. I.e. let the jews have it...
@dylan-5287
@dylan-5287 Жыл бұрын
There are a lot of religious fundamentalists who believe this is all key to the end of the world. Gotta build that third temple.
@zhcultivator
@zhcultivator Жыл бұрын
yep
@lastword8783
@lastword8783 Жыл бұрын
Remember in the movie kingdom of heaven? Balian: What is Jerusalem worth? Saladin: Nothing....everything!
@arian8100
@arian8100 Жыл бұрын
As Iranian living abroad, I would agree with your analysis to 80%. The average Iranian, regardless of being secular or religious is just tiered. If Iran declares war on anyone, it will break into several regional factions fighting amongst themselves. The Iranian ruling class know this that's why the fund externally to keep the war on foreign territory. Iran would never ever be the first to declare war because they will not be able to recruit enough manpower. If on the other hand Israel or America declares war first, we'll see a totally different story. 😊
@Lonovavir
@Lonovavir Жыл бұрын
If it comes to a global war expect the lack of motivation to be countered with lots of conscription.
@imaxinsertnounherex
@imaxinsertnounherex Жыл бұрын
Honestly, the Americans are not too far behind. A lot of people are tired of war here. If the Feds try to get another middle eastern war going, I expect to see factionalism.
@teaadvice4996
@teaadvice4996 Жыл бұрын
​@@imaxinsertnounherexnah most people will do nothing. I'm just doing my job
@Iamabot4708
@Iamabot4708 Жыл бұрын
I doubt there would be factions. We would just refuse to fight. There would be no point in destroying the country. Just because rich people want to go to war, it's An illogical thing to do​@@imaxinsertnounherex
@HebrewHammerArmsCo
@HebrewHammerArmsCo Жыл бұрын
Lols OK, I know a few Iranians living in Iran and allot of the not living in Iran, None of them support the government. And hey, It wasn't Israel or America who made a video and put it on Iranian State TV nuking Israel and America.. It wasn't an American or Israeli leader who stood up on Iranian State TV and stated they were going to develop a nuclear weapon and nuke Big Satan and Little Satan... You kids just keep living in your little fantasy world.. Oh and that top secret base you built under the mountain to store your ICBMs, Fighter Jets etc.. Imagine whats going to happen when the tunnel entrances collapse from a few JDAMS
@SplitFinn
@SplitFinn 11 ай бұрын
“They just couldn’t get men to die for wokeness”. Absolutely spot on.
@Ribulose15diphosphat
@Ribulose15diphosphat 10 ай бұрын
And a 180° turn on wokeness still wouldn't change the Health Problem. Trump _might_ make America patriotic again, but the Obesity is a long term issue.
@TheMsdos25
@TheMsdos25 10 ай бұрын
@@Ribulose15diphosphat Maybe we can finally fix America's toxic food supply and completely backwards approach to nutrition by framing it as a strategic/national security issue. That seems to be the only thing the elites care about now.
@Bigzthegreat
@Bigzthegreat 5 ай бұрын
@@Ribulose15diphosphat They would just make the training longer to account for that.
@ronwatford7331
@ronwatford7331 21 күн бұрын
​@Ribulose15diphosphat that's why we have RFK (?) for that now. Also, people trying carnivore for just 4-6 months would be enough of a huge change.
@fibonaccino69
@fibonaccino69 Жыл бұрын
I like to put on your videos while doing chores, because pondering global war and destruction is the only thing thats more depressing than doing chores.
@sherryviera5696
@sherryviera5696 Жыл бұрын
😂
@Shiftinggers
@Shiftinggers Жыл бұрын
Nothing like cooking some mashed potatoes, gravy and steak while listening to doomer videos
@JjkJjk-or9kc
@JjkJjk-or9kc Жыл бұрын
OnG
@pineapplefluffs
@pineapplefluffs Жыл бұрын
Same! I listen to it when I'm doing chores.
@happyd1479
@happyd1479 7 ай бұрын
😂same here
@matro2
@matro2 Жыл бұрын
I'm not dying for Israel.
@wizzyno1566
@wizzyno1566 Жыл бұрын
You might have no choice in the matter...
@chico9805
@chico9805 Жыл бұрын
@@wizzyno1566 There's always a choice - Jail is preferable to the draft, and if a nukes fly well that's a total game over anyways.
@wizzyno1566
@wizzyno1566 Жыл бұрын
​@@chico9805that's actually what I meant - we might all die for Israel.
@memyselfandi8544
@memyselfandi8544 Жыл бұрын
This is scriptural. People are kept ignorant by society. CNN didn’t tell them, so they cannot wrap their minds around the idea of Armageddon.
@kaiserpuppydog7174
@kaiserpuppydog7174 Жыл бұрын
You don't want to help our "best friend", who has done so much for us, like:
@petergama6074
@petergama6074 Жыл бұрын
If the countries actually cared about their people maybe the people would fight for them
@LitmusPapyrus
@LitmusPapyrus Жыл бұрын
Real
@PeruvianPotato
@PeruvianPotato Жыл бұрын
Nah, if said country is predominately Atheist and rife with the postmodernist influence of previous generations, they still wouldn't care.
@luismedina5792
@luismedina5792 Жыл бұрын
the thing is even if they lend a honest hand the people will see it as another trap or fasl help. they lost trust and expect us to figure out what to do
@guidoow420
@guidoow420 Жыл бұрын
70000 dollars per year might change someone's minds😂
@therearenoshortcuts9868
@therearenoshortcuts9868 Жыл бұрын
motivation for war: 1) fight for God --> gone from scientific revolution in 1800s 2) fight for your tribe/race --> gone from ending adolf in 1940 3) fight for freedom --> gone from Iraq/Afghan war in 2000s --> you realize you are actually fighting for the military industrial complex/global homo 4) fight for your family?? --> 2020s - what family? men are inzels
@NathanDayspring-re4ok
@NathanDayspring-re4ok Жыл бұрын
Being a student of history and seeing the cycles that repeat over and over is not doomer, your just good at noticing stuff most people cant comprehend or have interest in.
@redvoid01
@redvoid01 Жыл бұрын
I know right the metahistory of hayden white is great and the books of Enzo Traverso explain a lot of whats i going on and will keep hapening
@benverboonen1108
@benverboonen1108 Жыл бұрын
History does not repeat itself. But it does rhyme
@thevoid5503
@thevoid5503 11 ай бұрын
It's just how history works. It's as normal to me as a cheese sandwich.
@lumpy1space2princess
@lumpy1space2princess 5 ай бұрын
I think deep down a lot of leftists know what they’re doing is bad, but are conditioned to throw buzzwords to discredit anything that threatens their narrative.
@thatfatman6978
@thatfatman6978 8 ай бұрын
Getting ready to see how Israel will retaliate to Iran's response to Israel's attack. Four months after you made this video, BB is trying very hard to make the answer to this video a resounding yes.
@wangmiester
@wangmiester 3 ай бұрын
This aged very well... Always solid content mate
@WhoAreYouForYou
@WhoAreYouForYou Жыл бұрын
Regarding the point of 24:42 of "rallying around the flag": Interestingly enough, the Israel-Hamas war actually saw a huge decline in Bibi Netanyahu's popularity, even among his most reliable camps. The reason is that the public in Israel felt that the Hamas invasion could have been pushed back right away or completely prevented, unlike the 9/11 attacks that cough everyone by surprise. And even now after the offensive ground invasion started, Bibi's popularity is still below what it was before the war. Dues, going to war is not a magic trick to make the public rally around the flag. If the Biden administration will go to war, it will not rally the nation automaticlly. If anything, it will bring an even bigger wave of isolationism because of the sense of going to an unjust war. It will require a direct attack on the U.S to convince the public to rally around the flag, and not a war oversees. We are more resembling America during WW2 before the attack on Pearl Harbor, where there was very little public support to go to war overseas, but it changed dramatically after the attack.
@Gabe23grif
@Gabe23grif Жыл бұрын
I agree that it will take an attack on the homeland. Most of the knowledgeable people will know that it will be a false flag. For example if some Islamic extremist does some type of terrorism than immediately everyone will point the finger at the border being wide open. I just don’t see a war or attack bringing Americans together due to Americans being so skeptical now.
@donkeysaurusrex7881
@donkeysaurusrex7881 Жыл бұрын
He estimated it only worked about 25% of the time, but in any event it isn’t what happened here. While Netanyahu was facing large internal opposition, he wasn’t facing a civil war, and a defeat of this magnitude couldn’t help but tag him as a failed leader even if it did bring about national unity. Indeed there is likely more national unity in Israel than before the attacks as shown by everyone being okay with a doomed politician like Netanyahu staying in power to take the international heat for Israel’s actions. If there was significant opposition to what was being done new elections would have been called so he could be replaced, but instead he’ll almost certainly stay in power until the actions in Gaza are over.
@Acarson87
@Acarson87 Жыл бұрын
No it won't, if anything the 9/11 attacks is what started the distrust of the US Govt. You are more likely to get more people thinking it is a false flag made up by the government to get us into a foreign war (Gulf war, Iraq war, Afghanistan war comes to mind.) People don't even remember why we invaded Afghanistan to begin with 22 years ago.
@effexon
@effexon Жыл бұрын
signs are Putin is in same spot as you suggest Bibi... PBS documentary gave good short 30min spotlight backing your point why it was failure on Israel side, eg soldier staff were complaining for years breaking apart monitoring balloon systems and people were almost laughing and shrugging off watching training videos in Gaza tv of preparing that strike. Ukraine had partial similar thing that south was taken very fast but Kyiv people fought back to prevent total collapse of Zelenskyi government. George WH Bush is few presidents to manage that by very succesful operation in 1990 to beat Iraq Saddam's troops and had courage to settle there while criticized. Although that Pearl Harbor moment could be sort of manufactured by pushing via sanctions other country left with no choice but to act or government implodes anyway(US put sanctions on Japan before attack).
@gareonconley1956
@gareonconley1956 Жыл бұрын
man, dont give them ideas but yes good analysis
@justinstone4633
@justinstone4633 Жыл бұрын
Apparently, Israel has been publicly toying with flooding the Palestinian tunnels by pumping in sea water...which would eventually make the ground level litteraly collapse depending on how extensive the tunnel system is when it collapses.
@redbeard1891
@redbeard1891 Жыл бұрын
They allready started lol. 3 days in now.
@NeoZondix
@NeoZondix Жыл бұрын
@@redbeard1891 wow
@achilles7607
@achilles7607 Жыл бұрын
Maybe they shouldn't make tunnels?🤦
@laikanbarth
@laikanbarth Жыл бұрын
Oh well, they started the war on October 7!! Their actions have consequences. I don’t even know what they thought they’d achieve by attacking those innocent civilians?!!
@ITAMAR_L
@ITAMAR_L Жыл бұрын
they fucked around, now they're finding out@@laikanbarth
@jwil4286
@jwil4286 Жыл бұрын
Last time I was this early, Epstein was still under video surveillance in his cell.
@0HOON0
@0HOON0 Жыл бұрын
Probably lives in Israel now.
@ArnoldFu
@ArnoldFu Жыл бұрын
It’s important to realize most nations enter wars within a week of the first hostilities, usually due to an alliance pact or because the war exposed obvious vulnerabilities within one of the sides. If the conditions today didn’t provoke other nations to join, they won’t in the future.
@clamum9648
@clamum9648 Жыл бұрын
Yeah I think that's a pretty good point
@_Dovar_
@_Dovar_ Жыл бұрын
Oppose the draft. Don't fight for Your slave masters. Don't waste Your only life for Ukraine, zionism or Taiwan. The enemy, who imports millions of foreigners to police and replace You, who makes owning a house and having a healthy family near impossible - they are here, in our countries.
@Cheese23145
@Cheese23145 Жыл бұрын
And if the conditions change?
@CodyseusRex
@CodyseusRex 3 ай бұрын
@@_Dovar_exactly right, I say fuck the government
@LenardChurch
@LenardChurch Жыл бұрын
The problem with an advanced nation fighting a less advanced one. Is that the advanced army tends to fight with its hands tied behind its back and beer googles on. This leads them to fail because they won't just outright destroy their opposition. This is a simplification. So keep that in mind
@AngryNegativeHistoryProject
@AngryNegativeHistoryProject Жыл бұрын
Beer goggles always saves
@Godfrey544
@Godfrey544 Жыл бұрын
The Soviets were not holding back in Afghanistan and still lost
@Godfrey544
@Godfrey544 Жыл бұрын
@dangosaurus they tried and failed. out side of nukes. they tried everything else. including toy land minds to wound children and slow the parents down.
@katanabluejay
@katanabluejay Жыл бұрын
@dangosaurus They killed a third of Afghanistan's population, they practically did
@yolanda8563
@yolanda8563 Жыл бұрын
​@@katanabluejayyes ONLY a third... Russia goes gloves off Afghanistan would be a Russian parking lot today... same goes the US Coalition in the 2000s and the 19th century British Empire.
@GideonTheChaddite
@GideonTheChaddite Жыл бұрын
Where as WW1/WW2 were Red vs Blue essentially, WW3 would seem like more to a bar brawl free-for-all. Everyone is out for themselves more than they are with forming tight coalitions that drag all their allies into a fight they can't get their young to partake in, whether that be from physical issues, mental issues, or just genuine lack of motivation to be involved in a war.
@shorewall
@shorewall Жыл бұрын
That's why I believe in the 30 years war scenario more. We are past the era of peace. Large regional conflicts are gonna be breaking out all over, and the US can't fight them all.
@buddhastl7120
@buddhastl7120 Жыл бұрын
Not really. Heavily Jewish-controlled globalist nations vs nations that resist.
@leflavius_nl5370
@leflavius_nl5370 Жыл бұрын
"control your own meals" also order this box of totally unknown to you origin and be totally dependent on this weird new supplier for all your food!
@Seiven2077
@Seiven2077 Жыл бұрын
😆
@the1necromancer
@the1necromancer Жыл бұрын
Dude's gotta make money somehow. Probably reading off a script anyway.
@hebercluff1665
@hebercluff1665 Жыл бұрын
​@@the1necromancer If I had a KZbin channel, I'd probably accept sponsorships too. I love money, and most of the audience just skips the sponsored bit anyway, so no big deal.
@leflavius_nl5370
@leflavius_nl5370 Жыл бұрын
@@the1necromancer Very valid, totally normal to advertise ofc. Just gotta keep people with *actual ideals* but maybe a little less judgment sharp.
@optomix3988
@optomix3988 Жыл бұрын
Interesting perspective. A "symphony of horror" is a good way to describe the situation the world faces constantly.
@RealLifeIronMan
@RealLifeIronMan Жыл бұрын
Well armed first world countries (especially the US and Israel) have learned you can never win against a local guerilla militia. Such conflicts can only go one of two ways. The foreign military gives up, or the foreign military goes scorched earth. Unfortunately, Israel can't win against hammy mass using conventional strategies. Homer mass only loses when they no longer have civilian support; either their hearts or their hands. Humming mass isn't going to lose the hearts of gazan civilians any time soon. So the only scenario where Israel wins is where they get rid of the hands.
@Pabloignacioalvarez
@Pabloignacioalvarez Жыл бұрын
Great song title bro
@kamikazeblackjack
@kamikazeblackjack Жыл бұрын
​@@RealLifeIronManAka children of holocaust will recreate it
@optomix3988
@optomix3988 Жыл бұрын
or name for a death metal band@@Pabloignacioalvarez
@therearenoshortcuts9868
@therearenoshortcuts9868 Жыл бұрын
2010s was a low key horror movie 2020s will be a faster paced action movie LOL
@kevincronk7981
@kevincronk7981 Жыл бұрын
One thing to note with the comparison between a potential ww3 and ww1 is that the tensions for ww1 were there for a looooong time before they finally blew up. My great great grandfather left Germany for the US in time to fight for the US army in the Spanish American war, because he could tell that the war which would eventually be known as ww1 was going to happen, and he didn't wanna be in Germany when it did. The Spanish American War was in the 1890s, about 2 decades before ww1 broke out, and my great great grandfather was already able to tell for certain that it was going to happen eventually just from being a somewhat wealthy, informed German. Just because all the pieces are in place for ww3 doesn't mean it's going to happen yet, it could even take a few decades before those pieces finally fall down and start the war. And in 20 years, who knows if it will still be the middle east that's a big hot spot, although more realistically it probably will be, I don't think it's ever going to be stable after how much colonialism fucked it up and how much it has continued to get fucked up ever since.
@ianeons9278
@ianeons9278 Жыл бұрын
“They are hours in which decades happen” - Vladimir Lenin is a quote that oddly fits into many of our lives. For example there’s months where I’m not doing very much than what I regularly do and there’s days in which the next few months or years are completely changed, like leaving a school or signing up for a new program.
@paperandmedals8316
@paperandmedals8316 Жыл бұрын
As a marine Corp combat veteran I know is one thing, war requires the power to deploy. Few countries in the world can deploy further than a border they share. There is no country interested in Israel that can deploy to Israel. Iran attempting to deploy to Israel would see those planes or ships destroyed long before they were close to Israeli borders. Egypt owns the Suez Canal and would not risk commeroc shipping avoiding using the canal losing Egypt massive revenues. Jordan is a vassal state of Israel and an Israel state security partner. Anything is possible, but current conditions drawn out into the future doesn’t have large powers being involved. Israel has capacity to reach its goals.
@HesderOleh
@HesderOleh Жыл бұрын
Jordan isn't a vassal state of Israel, it is a vassal state of America. Israel can't pull the strings, but if you have seen the footprint of the US in Jordan, including just the embassy which is one of the largest US embassies in the world, it is clear that America is what is propping up the King of Jordan.
@paperandmedals8316
@paperandmedals8316 Жыл бұрын
@@HesderOleh geopolitical strategists Peter Zeihan identifies Jordan as a vassal state of Israel. A large embassy doesn’t mean anything. Israel financially supports Jordan. Now that money absolutely comes from the US, but Israel hands that money over to Jordan. Point is Jordan is not a threat to Israel
@HesderOleh
@HesderOleh Жыл бұрын
@@paperandmedals8316 Peter Zeihan is sometimes wrong. I have seen many specialists on youtube point to things that Zeihan has said and despite them considering his commentary to be accurate, that he is mistaken on some details in an area of their expertise. In this case he is wrong on the details. Any money coming via Israel is dwarfed in orders of magnitude by that coming from the USA directly. There are no Israeli military or Mossad crawling over every corner, but there are US military and CIA assets. What would you consider Lebanon a client state of Syria or Iran?
@paperandmedals8316
@paperandmedals8316 Жыл бұрын
@@HesderOleh you’re trying to make my post yours. My point is a world war is not going to kick off because of this. I’ve read your other comments. You have a habit of chiming in to tell people they’re wrong. Don’t perpetuate the stereotype. Some people are on your side, but not most. You’re not helping yourself or your people by being the little shit who has to tell everyone they’re wrong. Only 2% of you in the US last I heard. Don’t make more enemies. Take care.
@alexcheremisin3596
@alexcheremisin3596 Жыл бұрын
Jordan is in no way an Israeli proxy, both are under USA's umbrella though
@michaelthayer5351
@michaelthayer5351 Жыл бұрын
I don't anticipate escalation because though global, or at least Islamic, opinion may be against Israel it comes down to her neighbors. Lebanon, and importantly there Hezbollah, are mostly staying out of it because of Lebanon's economic woes and Hezbollah not having recovered from its involvement in Syria. Syria as stated above likely won't intervene as it is trying to pick up the pieces from their horrendous civil war and are in no mood for another fight. Egypt has made peace with Israel since Sadat's days and the military government led by Sisi is unwilling to estrange the US especially when they need diplomatic support vis-à-vis Ethiopia's dam on the Nile. Jordan is for all intents and purposes an Israeli Client State at this point. Saudi Arabia and the rest of the Gulf Arabs, while they may protest in public still want to use Israel as a counter to Iranian influence and are unlikely to intervene, especially given their exhaustion with the war in Yemen, and while the Houthis may try and strike Israel their capabilities are limited. Iran might want to, but has immense internal problems, and is overstretched as it is maintaining it's influence in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon and has no direct route to Israel and therefore must rely on Proxies who are, as stated with Hezbollah, exhausted after the Syrian Civil War. For now I anticipate most of Israel's neighbors adopting a "wait and see" approach hoping that Israel gets bloodied enough that they can force concessions.
@hishamalaker491
@hishamalaker491 Жыл бұрын
As a Palestinian-Syrian, I am telling you Syria wouldnt dare attack Israel, else Israel would be in damascus not in 6 days but 6 hours 💀. Or worse case scenario Syria gets nuked but I doubt Israel would nuke them when they cant just take damascus really fast. I mean I despsie Israel and all but their strength in the 6 day war compared to now plus a weakened Syria shows us that Syria wouldnt mess with them I am not joking when I said that Damscus would fall in 6 hours. 56 years later 1/10th of the time thats their new record also I despise Iran just as much I despise Israel. Iran Prosecutes its Sunni Arab Minority and at time displaces them Israel does the same how does that make Iran my ally? Also they are Shia for allahs sake they are heretics while the Jews are the people of the book. My religious conservative father told me that he would perfer a Christian or a Jew over a Shia I agree with him. Since Christians and Jews are our Abrahahamic brothers following a different religion but with shared values also they dont claim anything from our religion which doesent make them heretics there even quranic verses praising christians while the Shias on the other hand with the insults of the prophets wife and his comapnions plus over-glorification of Ali with some shias like the (alawites in Syria who also rule it look at Bashar Al-assad) Worshipping him. Also I am pretty sure that a Arab Muslim would get more rights in Tel Aviv than in Ahvaz. Quite frankly I am glad that Iran and Israel are fighting to me its two enemies fighting exhausting each other.
@nomadmarauder-dw9re
@nomadmarauder-dw9re 10 ай бұрын
Go join the IDF.
@phillies4eva
@phillies4eva Жыл бұрын
I’ve been waiting for so long for this video! Happy holidays!! Hopefully cooler heads will prevail
@hamzamohamed2010
@hamzamohamed2010 8 ай бұрын
Who’s watching this after Iran & Israel attacked each other?
@tanimation7289
@tanimation7289 8 ай бұрын
Can you tell me what happened exactly?
@SuhbanIo
@SuhbanIo 8 ай бұрын
me
@SuhbanIo
@SuhbanIo 8 ай бұрын
@@tanimation7289 Basically, Israel attack the Iranian embassy in Syria so Iran backfired by firing hundreds of missiles at Israel
@tanimation7289
@tanimation7289 8 ай бұрын
@@SuhbanIo I see.
@Bulmachan224
@Bulmachan224 8 ай бұрын
Well that's not what happened is it? Didn't Israel attack first?
@tommyNix4098
@tommyNix4098 Жыл бұрын
I totally disagree that Russia is losing in Ukraine. The exact opposite is true. Russia has achieved their main objectives and are biding their time while incrementally moving forward. Ukraine is now crippled and on life support provided by the US.
@FallingPicturesProductions
@FallingPicturesProductions Жыл бұрын
Demographically Russia is fucked for the rest of the century. Sure, the big cities of St Petersburg and Moscow are still fine, but you can't have a pair of supercities running a continent-sized country for long before everything starts utterly falling apart.
@villek3722
@villek3722 3 ай бұрын
The war would have already ended if Russia had achieved its objects.
@michaelwarenycia7588
@michaelwarenycia7588 3 ай бұрын
9 months later, and we have invaded part of Russia and are still kicking.
@odderlendsolvang3790
@odderlendsolvang3790 3 ай бұрын
​@@michaelwarenycia7588 dude look at the map.
@remionthemoon
@remionthemoon 2 ай бұрын
I don’t understand how people see the Ukraine Russia war map and think “Russia is losing”, while we’re at it let’s account for all the nato and western aid plus the destruction of Nordstream into this equation.
@LONNZILLA
@LONNZILLA Жыл бұрын
Only if a couple major powers take the bait. But it's definitely possible.
@jwil4286
@jwil4286 Жыл бұрын
One already has (Russia).
@heyhoe168
@heyhoe168 Жыл бұрын
​@@jwil4286 we are talking about real powers. i.e. china/usa
@Sceptonic
@Sceptonic Жыл бұрын
​@@heyhoe168🔥
@jwil4286
@jwil4286 Жыл бұрын
@@heyhoe168 and who’s to say China doesn’t make a fool of themselves with Taiwan
@heyhoe168
@heyhoe168 Жыл бұрын
@@jwil4286 it did not yet. USA does 98% of Taiwan talking. It is a trap so obvious, even blind would see it.
@chrisschene8301
@chrisschene8301 Жыл бұрын
Very few Americans in lower middle class dodged the draft. I was in the military, my genx son was an army ranger. The was the children of the upper class and elites who dodged. Same today: maximum wokeness comes from the Ivy League. I was a poor kid on welfare and I couldn’t afford college: the military paid for my education.
@tann_man
@tann_man Жыл бұрын
Fun fact: the original objectors of the Vietnam war were clean cut christian men. The CIA then used the hippy psyop to discredit antiwar sentiment
@nikosgreek352
@nikosgreek352 Жыл бұрын
Surely you're not implying the sons of our dear elites are just common spoiled cowards, using their advanced education to spin a narrative of "resistance", to cover said cowardice.... That would be so homophobic/racist/sexist/transphobic/toxically masculine (pick one).....
@ShasOGuelLa
@ShasOGuelLa Жыл бұрын
Indeed, though still tough sell getting people to go die in the ditches again when they know for a fact their rulers will never need see one in their lives.
@a3cools115
@a3cools115 Жыл бұрын
My generation will not die for Israel or Zionist occupation government in Washington
@thefrog4990
@thefrog4990 Жыл бұрын
I’m lower middle class. I still refuse to fight and they’re not going to make me lmaooo
@n721sw
@n721sw Жыл бұрын
"a shit ton of dynamite laying everywhere and people walking around dropping matches" I am stealing that!
@renaissancepress247
@renaissancepress247 Жыл бұрын
Part of the issue with the analysis is that the percentage of people that could join the military in the U.S. is so wrongly calculated. You could fake someone who had some anxiety or lower level depression or is overweight but not uselessly so and whip them into shape to fight. The military has had the luxury of ultimate choice and so raised the bar ridiculously high. It's almost like playing possum on the world to make them miscalculate. Give 6 months of training and PT under solid guidance and it would all work out fine.
@alextrebek5237
@alextrebek5237 Жыл бұрын
You make more $$$ working for chickfilet rather than being AN OFFICER. Let thag sink in. Now add recent people IN THE MILITARY posting tiktoks talking about leadership failures and chikfilet doesnt work on sunday. The military is any day your chain of command wants you. No amount of bearing and discipline ameliorates material incentive with a demoralized people.
@riddell26
@riddell26 11 ай бұрын
​@@alextrebek5237its funny that you think conscription gives a shit about moral.
@gordonipock9385
@gordonipock9385 10 ай бұрын
I follow the war in Ukraine closely. I don't understand how you can say Russia is losing the war? If one judges solely on the territory gained or loss by the Russians, I can understand how someone can think the war is a stalemate, but the Russians are not fighting for quick territorial gains. Since the peace talks fell apart in early 2022, Russia has been fighting to destroy the Ukrainian Army and its combat capability. The kill ratio heavily favors the Russians. Over a half-million Ukrainian soldiers have been killed, and most of the weapons belonging to Ukraine and NATO have been destroyed. Ukraine is exhausted, running out of men to fight, out of weapons with nowhere to get more because US and NATO stocks have been depleted. Ukraine is on the verge of collapse. Also, this has been trench warfare in the east where Ukraine has built up heavily fortified positions. It has taken time to crack this positions, but Russia has been doing it steadily. Once these are eliminated it will be a sprint to the Dnieper River for the Russians. You need to get your information about this war from better sources.
@duuplo
@duuplo Жыл бұрын
I almost thought I made it through a WhatifAltHist video without an editing hickup, thank god I stuck around till the very end
@FredrickMoss5374
@FredrickMoss5374 Жыл бұрын
24:38 George H W Bush?
@LucasFernandez-fk8se
@LucasFernandez-fk8se Жыл бұрын
I don’t mind editing hiccups I just want the videos to be produced faster then once every month and a half
@snapdragonzoroark
@snapdragonzoroark Жыл бұрын
LMAO
@williaminnes6635
@williaminnes6635 Жыл бұрын
The big issue with Turchin is that the norm with data science is that you don't run a model back that far because the underlying model changes too much. You don't even run it back 20 years. It's a disturbing scenario, of course.
@MLGDouglas
@MLGDouglas Жыл бұрын
I used to think it was interesting and held validity but after my first semester in college as a history major I don’t. There is no way you can quantify the rise and fall of empires, and plus the generalizations that it makes can be seen to undermine the complexity and nuances of history. There are correlations of time periods and cycles, but correlation is not always causation, just because something happened over and over again in the past doesn’t mean that it will happen again this time, although it is plausible to say that it increases the chance. Excuse my treatise.
@williaminnes6635
@williaminnes6635 Жыл бұрын
@@MLGDouglas I thought it was interesting and held validity having been a history major, but having dipped my fingers in data science, no longer consider it valid.
@Kaiserboo1871
@Kaiserboo1871 Жыл бұрын
@@MLGDouglas I think it’s valid, but only to a certain extent. History is not just 1 cycle or formula. It’s thousands upon thousands of different cycles and formulas all acting both independently and dependently on each other. They simultaneously strengthen and hinder each other in different ways. Some cycles strengthen the advancement of other cycles while hindering or even reversing the other different cycles. We can map out a couple of cycles and formulas, but we can’t map them all out. And the moments the dots on those cycles and formulas intersect is when History is made.
@MLGDouglas
@MLGDouglas Жыл бұрын
@@Kaiserboo1871 Well Said!
@williaminnes6635
@williaminnes6635 Жыл бұрын
@@Kaiserboo1871 as Mark Twain put it, history doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme
@jackniessen
@jackniessen Жыл бұрын
Your war of the 2020’s map is outdated now and I would suggest a new one. East Africa is particularly outdated as a lot of white countries near the coast are now light blue, while some of the more northerly blue countries have turned red. Also we now know a Latin American front is almost inevitable so you need the American continent too, and you have ukraine as white when it should be a dark blue country, while switzerland should realistically probably be light blue and tbh I would probably make afghanistan a yellow since the taliban will likely just be fighting a guerilla war against everyone. Eritrea should be light blue and somalia should probably be divided into light blue somaliland and yellow lower somalia
@1mol831
@1mol831 Жыл бұрын
Who in Latin America?
@theroyalcow2062
@theroyalcow2062 Жыл бұрын
@@1mol831 Venezuela and Guyana.
@jackniessen
@jackniessen Жыл бұрын
@@1mol831 well the American mexico invasion and also the venezuela guyana invasion
@MegrelMamba
@MegrelMamba Жыл бұрын
Georgia should definitely be light blue
@Integrationist
@Integrationist 5 ай бұрын
Yeah just gloss over the part about the lobbyists and "American" elites
@remionthemoon
@remionthemoon 2 ай бұрын
The man said Ukraine won the Russian war, there’s clearly a Bias here.
@funwithfacts19
@funwithfacts19 3 ай бұрын
This aged like red wine.
@StoneCBears
@StoneCBears Жыл бұрын
Whatifalthist, you might as well start to publish a book series on geopolitics and cultural history with all of your references lol.
@MrObear
@MrObear Жыл бұрын
^^ Thats a Great Idea!!!
@HAMRADIO-w3g
@HAMRADIO-w3g Жыл бұрын
As a Christian, the point of Christ was to detach from worldy doctrines that force you to access God through a mediator. God needs no priest. Hence, Israel has no religious significance other than historical monuments. No amount of bloodshed will ever make desolate stone and sand worth it.
@shorewall
@shorewall Жыл бұрын
100%. No such thing as the Holy Land. We are made in God's image, we are the Holy Land.
@alexdugin5315
@alexdugin5315 Жыл бұрын
I would like to give my 2 cents on the situation, as someone who has lived in Israel for most of my life (immigrated here at the age of 5, 25 years ago). Israeli politics have been at a stalemate for the last, maybe 12 years or so. Israel has a multiple party system where there are 120 seats in parliament, and in order to form a government, several parties have to form a coalition of at least 61 MPs, where every X percent of the votes give you a seat. This system has been working really poorly to a point where we've had like 5 elections over 2 years because no party could form a coalition. The problem with the system stems from the way the votes usually divide. We have two large parties, one center left and one center right (Netanyahu's party), who politically are very similar, and could form a coalition but disagree on who should lead it, so they never do. Other than that, we have the Arab parties who take roughly 10-15 of the seats, but would never join a coalition, and some of their MPs even denouncing the state of Israel, the Haredi parties who are around 18 seats and growing, and the fringes who can't do anything on their own, but since without them you can't form a coalition, all of politics boil down to the major parties appeasing them so that they can stay in power. The Haredi are not far right or right wing at all. They are weird religious fundamentalists who are more akin to the American Amish than anything else in the modern west. The Haredi movement was formed as a reaction to the secularization and liberalization of Jews in the 19th century, and their entire goal is to keep members of their community from straying from the orthodoxy. They have their own schools, many of which don't teach basic skills like math or foreign languages. They are exempt from military draft and a large portion of thier men don't work, but study religious texts all of their lives. Because of their way of life, they are heavily reliant on state welfare, and 99.9% of Haredi politics is just trying to secure as much money for their community, while ignoring major issues such as economic issues, wars or anything really. At this point in time, Netanyahu has managed to form a very narrow coalition by heavily appeasing the far right (the religious zionists) and the Haredi, hence why it is a far right government, but because of how narrow the coalition is, the popular support for the current government is low.
@FarberBob678
@FarberBob678 Жыл бұрын
Great explanation!
@Lestibournes
@Lestibournes Жыл бұрын
You left out why the Hareidi switched their support to be exclusively on the Right, which is that the Right is pro national identity and pro tradition, while the left is anti to both and supports mass assimilation and forced secularization. It's really that you have two blocks: those who are Jewish above all else, called The Right. And those who see themselves more as Westerners than as Jews, called The Left. Even if the Likud leaders are sometimes really on the "Left", the party members and voters on the Right, so those politicians talk like right-wingers to get elected. However, defections do happen. Also the reason why Netanyahu has difficulty forming a coalition is because he's being boycotted by former coalition partners. They are doing it either due to personal ambition, or because Netanyahu is blocking them from implementing their deluded suicidal policies and they're desperate to get him out of the way so that they can implement the destruction of the state in the name of "peace".
@DavidDHorstman
@DavidDHorstman Жыл бұрын
If I understand you right, it sounds like a leader who appealed to both center left and center right voters could unite the nation fairly easily, if such a person were to appear.
@FarberBob678
@FarberBob678 Жыл бұрын
@@DavidDHorstman I think Beni Gantz fits that description well enough
@DavidDHorstman
@DavidDHorstman Жыл бұрын
​@@FarberBob678 For sure, he looks like a good guy.
@Guitar.Gemini
@Guitar.Gemini Жыл бұрын
The Aldemari Dominion is using the Empire like a magic golem to crush their opponents.
@namestitanfallltscompeteti1789
@namestitanfallltscompeteti1789 3 ай бұрын
who is watching in 2024 October 1st?
@TheEaterOfEwoks
@TheEaterOfEwoks 3 ай бұрын
LOL half tempted to post WRONG on all the people making calls 9 months ago.
@awesomehpt8938
@awesomehpt8938 Жыл бұрын
It’s more likely that the conflict in Ukraine or one in Taiwan will.
@memyselfandi8544
@memyselfandi8544 Жыл бұрын
I don’t think so. Jerusalem is the end game. Temple Mount. The Antichrist.
@Sceptonic
@Sceptonic Жыл бұрын
​@@memyselfandi8544you are welcome to go delete yourself for your extremist fundamentalist cause, just dont drag us all with your delusions
@reecev2087
@reecev2087 Жыл бұрын
@@memyselfandi8544retarded take
@tylerknight2993
@tylerknight2993 Жыл бұрын
⁠​⁠@@memyselfandi8544It’s unknown if this looming crisis will be the end times. If it doesn’t turn out that way and it’s at a different time, I can’t imagine how worse things could possibly get.
@rizkyadiyanto7922
@rizkyadiyanto7922 Жыл бұрын
@@memyselfandi8544 self-fulfiling propechy.
@adolfojuangarcia1906
@adolfojuangarcia1906 Жыл бұрын
It's great seeing you back. That was worried you had an accident. Worth the wait!
@Hazard1996
@Hazard1996 Жыл бұрын
You should do an yearly Bingo card, and then review it by the end of the year, and present the next one
@serbiancapybara2.068
@serbiancapybara2.068 3 ай бұрын
Dude has a crystal ball.
@genzu1111
@genzu1111 Жыл бұрын
Whoaaaa hold on, you really think russia lost the ukraine war?! You are very wrong on this and that alone discredits all your other analysis
@sinnoboy0000
@sinnoboy0000 Жыл бұрын
Seriously what 🤣
@sugaashow
@sugaashow Жыл бұрын
He said that? Where?
@genzu1111
@genzu1111 Жыл бұрын
Towards the end he talks about that war, says russia lost while showing a map that contradicts that showing the land-bridge russia gained which was their goal and ukraine is never getting that land back. For someone that analyzes geo politics idk how he could get something so wrong
@sugaashow
@sugaashow Жыл бұрын
@@genzu1111 wow. yeah that’s bizarre.
@airevolt1
@airevolt1 10 ай бұрын
He's a Jew tool. Whenever you hear his fake chuckle you know he's trying to mislead you.
@hugoguzman4985
@hugoguzman4985 Жыл бұрын
Absolutely wild that you'd cite CatGirlKulak in public 😂 you're DEFINITELY gonna need that cancelation insurance!
@RealLifeIronMan
@RealLifeIronMan Жыл бұрын
I take it you are not a fan of this channel?
@hugoguzman4985
@hugoguzman4985 Жыл бұрын
@@RealLifeIronMan oh no, I love this channel and I *also* follow CGK lmaooooo... I just know not to cite here on public forums, unless I'm prepared to be canceled!
@hebercluff1665
@hebercluff1665 Жыл бұрын
​@@hugoguzman4985but why? What's wrong with her channel? (I'm curious enough to ask, but not curious enough to check it out for myself.)
@doomsdaybooty1072
@doomsdaybooty1072 Жыл бұрын
Ok so who is she
@MrStickyMouse
@MrStickyMouse Жыл бұрын
For a supporter of the American Global Empire, at least you're honest about who runs it.
@ypsawbones3646
@ypsawbones3646 Жыл бұрын
Well he is American Why would not support his empire
@MrStickyMouse
@MrStickyMouse Жыл бұрын
@@ypsawbones3646 Usually the first victims of empires are their own citizens
@ypsawbones3646
@ypsawbones3646 Жыл бұрын
@@MrStickyMouse But the first beneficiaries as well They are the first to take the hit when the empire falls making it a good incentive to not fall
@MrStickyMouse
@MrStickyMouse Жыл бұрын
@@ypsawbones3646 They are run by a hostile foreign elite who only sees them as numbers to be squeezed in terms of tax and bodies to be fed to the meat grinder for their forever wars.
@MrStickyMouse
@MrStickyMouse Жыл бұрын
All the while they are demographically replacing us.
@scottduncan92
@scottduncan92 Жыл бұрын
I love when Rudyard talks about civilizational cycles. It's not like a want a civil war or world war, but it's just so spot on that how can it not be true? Our society/world is set for a redo. That probably means war. What world do you want to have on the other side?
@abeddoughan7192
@abeddoughan7192 9 ай бұрын
I wanna know how you came to the conclusion that Israel is a stable democracy because that just baffles me
@braysher
@braysher Жыл бұрын
Longtime listener, first time caller. So grateful that you make these videos! Your perspective is fascinating and while there have been times i struggle to agree, ive grown so much from the way you frame things. One topic not mentioned in this vid that I think is critical to either escalation/escalation is big tech. Quite understandably, big tech is driven by shareholder value so in a sense we've screwed ourselves, but the amount of subversion and extremism coming from echochambers help create revenue (more time on platform = more ad $) is ripping us apart - reducing empathy and hacking pack mentality. It hurts to see but it's so clear. I'm not sure there's a clear fix either as it's just a flaw of our existing political/monetary system. Observationally as someone not in the US, but in a five eyes country, wouldn't be surprised if Biden doesn't go for war in the middle east and Trump pledging he will (feeding into the big tech echo chamber) as a PR campaign tactic. Alternatively, I could also see the other happening (possibly more strategic for trump) given his existing base. Not supporting Israel if thigs escalate would ruin confidence in US allyship and possibly give China more of a reason to invade Taiwan (not that allyship justifies anyone of any country dying in war). Again, all thoughts based on no fact. What happens will happen, but it sure is fascinating to watch and guess. I really hope the dominoes don't start (or continue) to fall but there are so many variables that the incremental chance (particularly next year) will be a test that's for sure.
@Shilo-fc3xm
@Shilo-fc3xm Жыл бұрын
Rudyard, I have been here watching along for I don't even know how long. Years. At least three, probably more like five. No idea but I ALWAYS upvote. Never commented before but I have a request. When I watch your videos I do so with an active pause button because I read and observe and consider each individual pane. You often publish your maps and infographics without keys/colour coding or titles. I know your videos are both complex and time consuming to produce but could you please, PLEASE (and I say this respectfully and understand the paradigm) find something else to sacrifice for production time. Always loved your content but it's very frustrating. Lol. Thanks, mate.
@stevecooper7883
@stevecooper7883 Жыл бұрын
Balian: What is Jerusalem worth? Saladin: Nothing.......everything!
@maced_
@maced_ Жыл бұрын
Me in 2022: "Whatifalthist makes the best history KZbin videos, there won't be anything better." Me in 2023: "Whatifalthist is making even better history KZbin videos, there won't be anything better."
@sheldoniusRex
@sheldoniusRex Жыл бұрын
Me in 2025: "Everything in Whatifalthist's videos came true. Now I live in a cave with my AK 47 and a mangy dog."
@luismedina5792
@luismedina5792 Жыл бұрын
me in 2060: that whatifalthis guy had some good content late at night sock child Jimmy, there was no other gen z like him.
@DISTurbedwaffle918
@DISTurbedwaffle918 Жыл бұрын
As an American, I actively make fun of anyone who joins the military out of a sense of patriotism. Patriotism for what? Buttsex and Israel?
@stevenpage1932
@stevenpage1932 11 ай бұрын
Thank you for your analysis.
@christopherwitecki6649
@christopherwitecki6649 Жыл бұрын
"Russia will lose" Didnt a US senator just admit they never expected Ukraine to win?
@williaminnes6635
@williaminnes6635 Жыл бұрын
You need to throw the narrative the occasional bone if you want to be allowed to remain up and monetized.
@Reece-3601
@Reece-3601 Жыл бұрын
The Earth is a beautiful garden, and Israel a bitter weed..
@doomsncrew
@doomsncrew Жыл бұрын
If the USA get involved in a major military conflict, I bet they will just do the same thing as the Russians: they will recruit among the convicts and ex-convicts in order to avoid calling for a draft. The USA prison population is by far the largest in the world, it is 90% male, only 7,3% of the USA prison population are foreigners, so it makes it a convenient "human resource" for recruiting people who could get sent to the carnage. Ex-convicts could also form an important "human resource" for that matter.
@AmericanAdvancement
@AmericanAdvancement Жыл бұрын
I don’t think that would be an option since it would be viewed as “inhumane” by the left and they, unlike the right, would violently push back in the cities. A draft would be a nonstarter because that would be the straw that broke the camel’s back for the right and push them into full scale revolt. I think that the option that would be used at first is private military contractors (PMCs for short) since they are paid at least triple what the military pays so you’ll have plenty of people to fill their ranks and you don’t have to worry about the flag draped caskets filling the news feeds. I also believe that as the war drags on the boomer leadership will make a horrible miscalculation and initiate the draft thinking that the American people would rally behind them like the WW2 generation before them did, but quickly realize that nobody on the left or the right will be want to be drafted by draft dodgers. I personally hope that doesn’t happen because that would be the final nudge needed to cause this country to descend into absolute madness
@doomsncrew
@doomsncrew Жыл бұрын
@@AmericanAdvancement well, deep down, the left would know that if convicts and ex-convicts are recruited yo go to war, it would lower the risk that the leftists would have to go to war themselves. They would view it as inhumane but having to go to a major war is too scary, most people would prefer someone else to go there instead.
@_Morph1ne_
@_Morph1ne_ Жыл бұрын
Swarthoid criminals with no discipline don’t exactly make good soldiers.
@brianm5637
@brianm5637 3 ай бұрын
We haven’t passed an actual constitutionally mandated budget in 20 years. Congress has been passing a series of ‘continuing resolutions ‘ which allocate further spending, which is a complete abdication of Congress’ duty.
@tylermurnaghan
@tylermurnaghan 8 ай бұрын
21:07 this just proves the die roll theory correct. Lord have mercy
@tea9721
@tea9721 8 ай бұрын
His analysis was pretty spot on, save for the Sunni’s. Hezbollah and Iran working in tandem. The Sunnis seem to be assist the US more so than Israel, but time will tell if they change their minds
@TheHoneyBadger-yh5vj
@TheHoneyBadger-yh5vj Жыл бұрын
God bless you and your work sir. I admire your passion and dedication. Respect from Croatia-Europe 💜💜💜💙💙💙
@zlboyle90
@zlboyle90 Жыл бұрын
I can see Israel being abandoned to ensure that a more important part of the world stays friendly to the US. The Middle East is not worth getting in the middle of a massive or several smaller wars with the current internal issues facing the US. Besides I would rather have to deal with a hostile power than Israel anyway, they are at least honest and easier to handle.
@squarecoffee8750
@squarecoffee8750 Жыл бұрын
Honest.. ....
@danielsurvivor1372
@danielsurvivor1372 Жыл бұрын
Yep, US just can't afford to lose soft power in Europe. So technically it makes sense for them to abandon Middle East campaign but rn they ain't
@bilalhamurabi3362
@bilalhamurabi3362 Жыл бұрын
Youre delusional. 2/3 of biden governnent senate and congress are jews. There was no benefit of usa supporting israel to begin with. They will abandon everything but not israel.
@dawall3732
@dawall3732 Жыл бұрын
Saudi Arabia's biggest problem is the nepotism that has cemented incompetence within their military system. Everybody is thinking that Saudi Arabia and its allies are going to be powerhouses within the Middle East. Saudi Arabia's primary claim to fame is funding dissident organizations within other countries. Their own military power while on paper looks viable in truth is not. Their obsession over nepotism and the flashy technology. They prefer that they don't actually have the infrastructure to maintain or support, which means that they are essentially a paper tiger. Having the flashest, most expensive military technology in the entire region is meaningless. If you can only keep it running for a single day and the people who are running it when it's functional are themselves incompetent.
@gil6875
@gil6875 Жыл бұрын
I was looking for this video for quite some time
@mohebts7206
@mohebts7206 9 ай бұрын
At this date they just targeted Iran embassy in Damascus.... so yeah
@postapocalypse0763
@postapocalypse0763 8 ай бұрын
15:40 Wait... is this why the New York tunnels were sealed when discovered?
@Owlr4ider
@Owlr4ider Жыл бұрын
Current Israel is not WW1 Bosnia(which was a part of Serbia back than mind you) and the world today isn't Europe in the era leading up to WW1. The reason WW1 started was not because of Bosnia but because France wanted Alsace Lorraine back from Germany, after losing it(again) during the Franco-Prussian war. This shaped French diplomacy to be extremely war hungry and anti German. German-British politics during the time period were also very complicated, with both sides making making gross miscalculations which ended up with Britain abandoning Germany in favor of its historical rival: France, while also raising the war hunger in both British and German societies. Austrian society has also been war hungry in order to restore the glory of the Austrian Empire which is why the crisis in Sarajevo ultimately led to war, a war that would have remained local(Austria vs Serbia) if it wasn't for the above mentioned points, which allowed Austria to drag in Germany and Serbia to drag in France who dragged in Britain and Russia. Today you're trying to equate Germany to Iran and France to the US yet neither nation has a border with Israel nor each other. Moreover Iran is not a major power like Germany, France and Britain were at the time. Also there are massive anti war sentiments throughout the western world, and also in many non western countries(though their governments do seem to be war hungry, at least in the press). So no, the current situation is nothing like WW1. As for the 30 years war analogy, that's much closer, though again Israel isn't Germany and all the other parties don't have a border with it. It's much harder for the US, Russia or China to intervene in Israel than it was for France, Britain or Sweden to intervene in Germany. So while the political climate may be similar, the practicality of war just isn't there.
@tythorn13
@tythorn13 Жыл бұрын
Rome comparison is over used. Modern USA politics is more similar to 1930s Spain.
@hamzamohamed2010
@hamzamohamed2010 11 ай бұрын
Difference is that America is a grey power meanwhile Spain was irrelevant and still mostly os
@josephmay6454
@josephmay6454 2 ай бұрын
love your channel, but you need to do more proof reading and corrective editing. for example, you said America took out Assad in Iraq. America took out Saddam Hussein
@Kai-xi8ot
@Kai-xi8ot Жыл бұрын
Can’t wait for my cookie in the mail, man I love this channel I watch every video every post now and it keeps my attention and exceeds my expectations. Love your videos man
@hebercluff1665
@hebercluff1665 Жыл бұрын
Tell me if it's a raisin cookie. Those ones don't count
@sophiad7325
@sophiad7325 5 ай бұрын
That’s so rude 🤣 you should support the Kurds… we are cool and always help defeat terrorists, why not be cool with us, we are not religiously motivated, we have far more western values than most. The Kurdish area in Iraq is the safest place in that S show. And plus IM A FAN 🤣❤
@matthewaamot2961
@matthewaamot2961 4 ай бұрын
Love the Kurds!!! 🙏🙏🙏
@Dougplugthugspicyfriedchicken
@Dougplugthugspicyfriedchicken Жыл бұрын
Won’t be surprised if it does.
@paulcombetto2269
@paulcombetto2269 Жыл бұрын
Israel has nuclear weapons. They might use them against Iran in a dire situation.
@stevecooper7883
@stevecooper7883 Жыл бұрын
Samson Option
@fij715
@fij715 Жыл бұрын
Iran also has nuclear weapons and they have Chemical weapons in Lebanon.
@Ali-bu6lo
@Ali-bu6lo Жыл бұрын
Israel only seems to go for that option if their homeland is being overrun. There's no way the Islamic republic can do that, much less their proxies. A war between Iran and Israel would be limited to missile and air strikes plus proxies attacking Israel while Israel would try to help the Iranian people topple the regime.
@kevincronk7981
@kevincronk7981 Жыл бұрын
29:18 Saudi Arabia is anything bit revolutionary. Besides for the Sunni-Shia rivalry, which isn't as strong as the rivalry between either of them and Jews or Christians, the main reason Saudi Arabia is so opposed to Iran is because Iran is revolutionary, and Saudi Arabia is an absolute monarchy.
@moshesne4597
@moshesne4597 Жыл бұрын
All forty minutes of this video basically says that Israel will not cause a third world war to break out, so the answer to the question in the title is NO.
@theanarchist4312
@theanarchist4312 7 ай бұрын
More like israel wants one, but the current onditions of the rest of the world make it less likely for one to start as everyone has their own problems and a massive war will just lead to destruction
@TwinleaftheDragon
@TwinleaftheDragon Жыл бұрын
Alright, I'll be expecting my cookie here in a few days. I like snickerdoodles the most!
@MuhammadRaiyan135
@MuhammadRaiyan135 Жыл бұрын
Glad to see alot of ur maps and lists are now in HD 😂❤
@guillaumejarry764
@guillaumejarry764 Жыл бұрын
Life is hard but, watching my favorite KZbinr, just in time for a steak and a godfather I made myself on a Saturday night, it ain't so bad.
@stevenwallace5456
@stevenwallace5456 Жыл бұрын
Your intro makes me feel like I'm dodging cliffs with my jet in the 80s don't ever change it!
@urdad9724
@urdad9724 Жыл бұрын
I’m scared of an American civil war causing a larger conflict at this point a weakened U.S. changes up the entire balance of world power and now seeing trump banned on the ballot in Colorado with possibly more states to follow makes me nervous of a civil war if the democrats win again in 2024
@Azrael1st
@Azrael1st 11 ай бұрын
They already caused Ww2
@MediumDSpeaks
@MediumDSpeaks Жыл бұрын
Theres a feeling ive had for a while that because of the US printing money and the inflationary nature of our economy (also printing of money all over during COVID) it was more important to keep markets high than anything else as it is THE sign of stability and success for a country. I have feel like as inflation is typically about 2% per year, and we have seen most prices increase by a whole number factor, 2, 3, 4, 6, 10 times more expensive than in 2019, within a few years, I feel like the inflation is a slow fuse on a length of time within which the society can function before the currency collapses. When inflation increases the fuse gets shorter, or burns quicker rather. I feel like we BORROWED the prosperity of future years and put them into 2020-23, maybe even 2009 forward as weve been in the largest bull market of all time since the 08 recession. I just wonder which years did we borrow, because the bill WILL come due. When will the next 2008 happen? And was our mitigatioj of 2008 just a postponement? With prices going up faster and faster I wonder if we may not be much closer to the years whove had their prosperity stolen. We have a debt to the future and its coming due...
@Post_and_Ghost
@Post_and_Ghost Жыл бұрын
Well in 2022 and 2023 we experienced all the biggest bank failures ever aside from the 2008 crisis. The money printing is likely just artificially keeping things afloat so it looks a little different than last time.
@ValwithaVee
@ValwithaVee Жыл бұрын
Bro I can't imagine the amount of research you have done for your videos. I studied International Relations for years and you seem to know your way around everything Geopolitics. Bravo!
@HeathenHammer80
@HeathenHammer80 10 ай бұрын
Got your back on Pluribus! Your channel is needed in an age where the majority of people don’t want to tell the truth and an equal number of people don’t want to hear it
@hypergraphic
@hypergraphic Жыл бұрын
I think you're totally wrong about Russia. Sure they got their ass handed to them in the first year but they've already made 2200 tanks this year and 1 million rounds of artillery ammo. Ukraine on the other hand cannot survive without foreign aid and the average age of soldiers is 43. Plus the Russians a lot of soldiers in reserve not even in Ukraine yet. I'm no Russia bro, but I think you wrong on what's going on there.
@I_am_that_one_guy
@I_am_that_one_guy 4 ай бұрын
I will fight for the land my children's feet touch. Is that over there? No.
@indigenous7786
@indigenous7786 3 ай бұрын
So this seems pretty relevant right now
@FoxtrotYouniform
@FoxtrotYouniform Жыл бұрын
You should read 'Modern Times' by Paul Johnson. It really is incredible how hungry for war so much of the population of Europe was leading into WW1. I fear a similar hunger forming in certain states today.
@charlesnielsen1327
@charlesnielsen1327 Жыл бұрын
Pretty sure he’s read it
@AOT_HxH95
@AOT_HxH95 Жыл бұрын
Western leftists who don't want to die for Israel sure sing a different tune with Ukraine.
@qwertyqart
@qwertyqart Жыл бұрын
People aren’t willing to die for economic zones and corporate profits and rightfully so.
@0psec_not_good
@0psec_not_good Жыл бұрын
Another fantastic video essay, as always Rudyard. For some reason it showed that I wasn’t subscribed to your channel any longer, although I know I have been for almost 2 years. Odd how KZbin does that sometimes.
@iymspartacus7089
@iymspartacus7089 Жыл бұрын
Surprisingly I agreed with this far more than I expected to.
@billybill1272
@billybill1272 Жыл бұрын
One mistake. Nothings on Biden’s mind 😂
@markborishnikoff5485
@markborishnikoff5485 Жыл бұрын
Yeah I don’t know if I believe Biden wants a war just to stay in power. Also Biden has failed at everything, I don’t think that would work in his favor.
@wulfsorenson8859
@wulfsorenson8859 Жыл бұрын
But Israel is definitely on the mind of his Jewish handlers and donors.
@223sushi
@223sushi Жыл бұрын
I don't disagree with your assessment of Iran mostly except for the Azerbaijan part of it. But that's because you wouldn't have looked too deeply into it. About the republic of Azerbaijan thing, as an iranian Azeri myself who has lived amongst the Azeris in Iran, while there is strong sense of brotherhood with the Republic of Azerbaijan Azeris and the fact that we want to reunification ourselves, the thing is that the Republic of Azerbaijan wants us (Iranian azeris) to join them and leave Iran, while us (Iranian Azeris) want the Republic of Azerbaijan to join us in Iran, mainly because us Iranian Azeris have more in common with the other Iranian groups in the country and the fact that our last two dynasties of Iran were of Azeri origins, plus all the political movements in Iran were highly influenced and mostly lead by the Azeri peoples in history. Even the current regime in power has alot of Azeri/half Azeri people (as much as we hate the government). Meanwhile the Azeris of the Republic of Azerbaijan under the Aliyev dynasty have done everything to distance themselves from their Iranian half of their roots and white washed history and their culture, much to the alienation of the Azeri and other Iranians in the country. Its to the point that the Aliyevs are met with distain in Iran, because of their very anti Iranian stance. I think if the Republic of Azerbaijan decides to Invade the ethnic Azeri parts of Iran, they will be met with bullets from the Iranian Azeris rather than their support. There has been precidence for this if we look at the Iran-Iraq war, where the Arabs in Khuzestan/Arabestan part of Iran while they do have sympathies and brotherhood with the Iraqi arabs, met Sadam Hussains army with resistance, when Sadam and the Americans thought this part of the country would meet him with open arms.
@Ash-wz8bo
@Ash-wz8bo Жыл бұрын
As a fellow Iranian Azeri, I do agree on what you said. There's a problem among the westerners that see Iran as a country with a majority Persian and some minority groups, yet it's not like that at all. Persians at most make 50% of Iran's population. If the Azeris(20%) and the Kurds(8-9%) were to be separated from Iran, then there will be no country called Iran anymore. And throughout history Iran has always been a multi-ethnic country and many of these ethnic groups are so similar that sometimes it's hard to make a distinction.
@elsanto4000
@elsanto4000 10 ай бұрын
It's baffling how you say azeris in Iran want republic of Azerbaijan to join Iran(a country which has beenracistto turks and pretty much to all other ethnicities and is in a very bad economic situation). The idea seems very proposterous luke you're someone who has been to Iran for the past 20 years. But I do agree the boomers will mostly be opposed to such incursions even though the younger generations would mostly welcome Azerbaijani forces.
@tristantinnon1926
@tristantinnon1926 5 ай бұрын
I've binge-watched this channel in shifts. I don't do this for channels outside specific consistent quality and relevance. There IS greatness, at least on KZbin across various subjects and genres. We're still a highly "factual" age, and it is a knack/trick to make these things interesting to non-autistics and obsessives. The present-tenseness "applied theory" aspect is really central to this here. Anyway, I highly recommend this so cheers.
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