Will the Iran protests lead to regime change? - expert explains

Last year, Iran was rocked by some of the biggest protests the country has seen since the foundation of the Islamic Republic - as people were calling not just for women’s rights, but ultimately for regime change. (Subscribe: bit.ly/C4_News_Subscribe)
Yet how realistic is that in a nation where the crackdown against the protests has been brutal and where the leaders are unwilling to alter the theological and ideological basis of their power?
In this week’s episode of the Fourcast, we speak to the head of middle eastern studies at the Royal United Services Institute, Dr Aniseh Bassiri Tabrizi. She discusses whether the regime is weak right now and how worrying it is that as Iran becomes more ostracised from the west, it draws closer to Vladimir Putin’s Russia.
Sources: AP, Al Jazeera
Producer: Freya Pickford
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[@LunaticTheCat]

At this point, it seems like an inevitably. The majority of Iranian people are highly educated and hold Western leaning values, and I believe these protests will continue until this Isalmaic Fundamentalist regime that suppresses the values most Iranians hold is overthrown. I believe it's only a matter of time before something happens that makes these protests blow up in size, potentially to a size so great that the regime is overthrown. I'm sure there are many smart Iranians planning and organizing a mechanism for overthrowing the regime whenever the opportunity presents itself.

[@athenagilani5724]

Just a little correction we hold Iranian/Persian values not Western values.

[@arpitshelar4258]

@@athenagilani5724 yess 100% right.

[@salvador754]

Me too❤ quiet before the storm murder cranks up Iranians doesn't coward them they coming

[@yo2trader539]

Western values???

[@salvador754]

@@yo2trader539 u have recognize the great unjust suffering,discrimination of ur women how brave and valuable they are not pets ask them how they how been treated is too much. Western values for YOU!

[@davidnelson3026]

The end is near for that brutal regime in 2023 . . .Stopping economy alone is enough to end that regime

[@jakereevesward4562]

You said that the last time there was protests and the time before that and...I think you get the idea. Unless these protests are on the level of the 1979 revolution in terms of millions people lining the streets, nothing will happen.

[@rezakarampour6286]

Search on KZbin . ' The End of American Empire Is Here . '

[@rezakarampour6286]

Search . ' What the Media Won't Tell You about Iran . '

[@zillahusnain3595]

@@rezakarampour6286 Bro, why are you deceiving yourself. Are you from Iran? Revolution can't sustain anymore. If you are an Iranian, I advise you to have a genuine democracy instead.

[@zillahusnain3595]

@Farshid Qarabaghi Hi bro, are you from Iran?

[@Rayomand85]

Disappointing to see how she downplays the revolutionary movement of brave Iranian people and calling it scattered demonstration. Very clear she is in favour of regime’s reformist., how could Channel 4 invites such person, and not true opposition and analysts as @PahlaviReza

[@khorooshiiiran3928]

Could not agree with you more.

[@stoobydoo2638]

Would love to get such an analysis from the opposing point of view.... of course this would never happen. The Iranian regime is mindless.

[@ali.mass1]

No you can get it but its mainly in Persian.

[@omidpourhossein]

Declaring the IRGC terrorist and cutting off cooperation with the Islamic Republic is the best thing Europe has don

[@currentaf8455]

Love this segment. From india.

[@bluebell1753]

Tyrants of Iran can bend the truth , twist the truth , misuse and abuse the truth for their own pleasures and evil intent , but even the Almighty God will never change the truth ..... He sees it all , and Justice for tyrants shall be at hand ..... To the BRAVE people of Iran who stands up and continues fighting for their Rights , for Justice , and for their God-given FREEDOM , My greatest respect .........

[@voulathomacos-lagonas8445]

Hopefully the little men in robes who are touring and killing have FALLEN

[@robertmarquez343]

You know what leads to people on happiness people dying for ridiculous reasons by their own people and how it's socially okay because it's a girl

[@mahraz1]

@Channel 4 News presenter: Your guest's analysis of the JCPoA situation is hardly correct...And I'm afraid she is not the only one...

[@boyboilNEO9055]

Support from Australia 🇦🇺🇮🇷

[@Ophadelax]

She's a regime apologist absolute bias individual not talking about how hard it is for avarage Iranian who's country should be the one of the richest on paper, have to swap their valuable items for rice and bread sham on you and your so called expert

[@LunaticTheCat]

It's absolutely tragic how long the great, intelligent people of Iran have been held back by this brutal, regressive theocratic regime. As I assume you know, Iran has one of the most intelligent populations in the world with a plethora of brilliant engineers, chemists, physicists, mathematicians, etc. and I really hope that one day this regime will be overthrown and the Iranian people will be able to show the world the greatness they are capable of.

[@lobomorunga1]

The Iranian people need something like a "Jewel of the Nile". A phantom, for the regime to chase.

[@Hambastegy]

Excellent host with excellent questions! Lady is not updated, entire opposition (majority of Iranian) are shouting only Regime Change! Islamic Republic Must Go!!!

[@rezakarampour6286]

Search KZbin . ' What the Media Won't Tell You about Iran . '

[@rezakarampour6286]

Reza Pahlavi US / Zionist puppet to sell out Iran MUST Come! .

[@victory5392]

زن💚 زندگی🤍 آزادی❤ Woman💚 Life🤍 Freedom❤ پاینده ایران و ایرانی 🐈‍⬛🐈🐅🦁✌️✌️✌️✌️ Victory ✌️ ✌️ ✌️ ✌️ ✌️ ✌️ ✌️ ✌️ ✌️ ✌️ 😉

[@LunaticTheCat]

Indeed, the Iranian people are some of the most educated in the world, and this barbaric regime has been suppressing the great people of Iran for far too long. Hopefully, at some point in the future, something will happen that will make the protests blow up to a size so great that revolution can be achieved.

[@Green_Iran]

🇮🇷ایران🇮🇷

[@spiruish]

The youth among the Iranian army need to change sides. How much injustice towards your sisters and brothers can you endure ? A cabal of self-serving, pseudo-religious gangsters are abusing your intelligence and integrity.

[@AP-nj1mr]

I hope we can rid ourselves of the tyranny of Islamic Republic. Long live Iran.

[@h.n1977]

They will overcome it

[@shahesmail313]

You mean the protests that just took place on the social media since the beginning?🤣🤣

[@dekelpolak4190]

𝗙𝗿𝗲𝗲 𝗜𝗿𝗮𝗻 The World Cup games have barely started but already, we have seen one of the most memorable pictures: Iran’s soccer team staying rebelliously silent while their national anthem is playing before the beginning of their match against England. There have been other protests in Iran against the regime of the Ayatollahs, but this one feels different. They are no longer only against the government’s treatment of women, but have become a demand to transform the regime altogether and open it up to the rest of the world. Despite killing more than 400 peaceful protesters, the demonstrations are continuing in full force. The Iranian government is hostile not only toward Israel and toward its own people; it is hostile toward the entire world. Its stated goal is to impose Shiite Islamic law on the entire world, and it will not rest until it achieves it, however long it takes. Unfortunately for them, the Iranian people do not share the goals or dogmas of the regime; they want to live as people live in the free world, where people can do what they want, live how they want, and say what they want within acceptable limits. In short, the Iranian people want to be free and feel free. I have said before that Iran is a very ancient and very intelligent nation. I believe that if the will of the people triumphs, Iran and Israel will not be enemies and will resume the warm relationship that the two countries had cultivated before the Ayatollahs overthrew the Shah and set off a dark chapter in the country’s history. Oppression stymies development. Only free people can grow and change and develop, and change is intrinsic to human nature. If not this time, then perhaps next time, but in the end, the Iranian people will free themselves from the regime that wishes to oppress them and bind all of humanity to its yoke.

[@victory5392]

زن 💚زندگی 🤍 آزادی ❤

[@NasirHussain-is4qc]

If so relax sanctions. West is responsible for restricting Iranian peoples Energy and intelligent.

[@Hambastegy]

Is she an Islamic Republic lobbyist?😅

[@chairmankim9628]

Sure sounds like it.

[@rezaaghideh9089]

None Sense being spoken in this Video by "expert". How do you come to conclusion that there is No United demand?

[@walter2201]

This really fell off so much for all them liberals crying support over these people

[@Green_Iran]

iran

[@H.A.-lq5sz]

No

[@barmala2015]

Learn to respect law of the land...

[@english_with_hamid99]

😂😂😂

[@soundslight7754]

Why does she speak like a Spanish speaker?

[@50cent76]

Cén fáth nach dtugtar drones chun an fhriotaíocht agus Stráice Gaza a fheiceáil go dtí go scriostar Tel Aviv?

[@rafatjahandideh4933]

I'm not quite sure that she's a real expert! She's got to be kidding! People from all backgrounds and classes and ages have been demanding a regime change over the last many years, and yet she claims that there is no unity and people are not clear what they want! Let me reiterate it. They are loud and clear about the regime change.

[@iainclark5964]

I think it would be wonderful if Islam was replaced in Iran with Zoroastrianism, the ancient religion of Persia!

[@sweetjustice1809]

When Islam is gone, the qorld will be free of evil.

[@samim8089]

Praise to khamini De@th to hypocrite Iran is safe from Isis because of regime

[@english_with_hamid99]

Liar

[@serazvictoria9845]

what you want to change? like western? like regime before??

[@LunaticTheCat]

Most certainly Democracy.

[@serazvictoria9845]

@@LunaticTheCat western says"democracy", in reality they want erasing islamic world

[@dwight9850]

Will it lead to regime change? No

[@dwight9850]

@Farshid Qarabaghi if protest became riots and violent uprisings, governments will just label them as terrorists and treat them like terrorists.

[@dwight9850]

@Farshid Qarabaghi The government are terrorists?? They kept the country stable, secure, and progressing. While the people whining and arguing about how unsatisfied and unhappy they are with the way life is in the country. Then staring protests, riots, chaos, and disturbing the peace.

[@dwight9850]

@Farshid Qarabaghi how?? Look at Syria, Somalia, and Iraq. between Iran and those three countries, where would you rather be ?

[@dwight9850]

@Farshid Qarabaghi As i mentioned, if protest became violent riots, governments will label them as terrorists and treat them like terrorist. Governments today aren't like the ones in the 20th century or other past centuries. They have many new strategies and tactics to counter any revolts or uprisings that threatens the regime's power.

[@LunaticTheCat]

Not right now, but if something happens that makes the protests blow up in size, then regime change is absolutely a possibility. It's happened before, and it certainly can happen again.

[@MrMalmir]

We'll change regime in London, time to export Sharia law to Europe you had your time to export democracy.

[@english_with_hamid99]

Terrorist

[@floydpurdy4236]

Julie lemay Edison