Winners and Losers After DeepSeek - ft. Robert Armstrong | Prof G Markets

  Рет қаралды 68,131

The Prof G Pod – Scott Galloway

The Prof G Pod – Scott Galloway

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 270
@leemartinez2975
@leemartinez2975 7 күн бұрын
Great guest, Robert Armstrong. Ian Bremmer is another great guest.
@ralphkuehn6077
@ralphkuehn6077 7 күн бұрын
Two minutes of banter (no matter how mundane) between Scott and Ed is like drinking freshly squeezed orange juice.
@christopherd.winnan8701
@christopherd.winnan8701 7 күн бұрын
Its more like grapefruit for Ed. Poor kid does not yet understand that banter means listening to the boss's lifestyle flexes and just smiling politely.
@new_skyspirit
@new_skyspirit 6 күн бұрын
I swear it's my best part of the show. I find myself rewinding sometimes. Mans is actually hilarious. Although I know it's a PR nightmare waiting to happen on one of the edginess jokes 😅
@robc6220
@robc6220 5 күн бұрын
It’s the worst part of the show. It’s like the mindless small talk people insist on before meetings. I don’t know you, idgaf what you did on the weekend. Probably another reason why I’m so unsuccessful.
@Mareloko41
@Mareloko41 6 күн бұрын
11:43 that’s the smile that tells how proud is Prof G of Ed’s analysis
@JayseabeeSTL
@JayseabeeSTL 7 күн бұрын
This is my favorite comment I’ve seen about the DeepSeek vs Nvidia news so far: “The one good takeaway from the Deepseek vs Nvidia news, I think, is people might finally realize we don't need to devote more than half the world's energy resources, or set up a Dyson Sphere around the sun, just to help computers solve trillions of multiplication problems to spit out another thousand mediocre web apps.” - Jeff Geerling
@ttacking
@ttacking 6 күн бұрын
Well, I just wrote "Them chizzles ate. our. lizzunch." So, ya might push that one aside now?
@TR-lh9yz
@TR-lh9yz 5 күн бұрын
That's awesome. I can understand why we would want to keep pushing down the path of robotic automation to produce actual goods. But the "generative AI" interest escapes me completely. Do we really need computers spending huge amounts of resources to quickly create endless mountains of content that could only ever be consumed by other AI?
@brigittelee9730
@brigittelee9730 6 күн бұрын
Lovin’ Robert Armstrong this morning 👍🏼
@north41baller
@north41baller 6 күн бұрын
The winner of the DeepSeek R1 release are the cloud computing providers and the customers. Amazon just released DeepSeek R1 as a Bedrock Foundation model on AWS. AWS has profited enormously from creating services for Open Source software like Postgres, Redis, RabbitMQ, etc. Open Source AI models will be the exact same. If the AI companies cannot maintain a significant performance advantage, in the long run, open source models on cloud infrastructure will be lower cost variations of frontier foundation models that will crowd out proprietary competition because they are more cost effective to operate.
@simon-2962
@simon-2962 7 күн бұрын
I like that you put links to the headlines articles in the description :) I haven’t noticed them before and wanted to say thank you 😊
@Zachattaqr
@Zachattaqr 7 күн бұрын
Great guest! Really brought insight and humor
@JBarker66
@JBarker66 4 күн бұрын
57:48 my accounting teacher's advice was once your stock hits 100% gain, sell half the shares and rebalance -- and keep the rest in that initial stock basically forever. He did this with Microsoft and that stock alone let him retire a millionaire as it rose and split over and over again for the next 20 years. Keep spreading out, you only need one or two big hitters.
@nomansjam3950
@nomansjam3950 7 күн бұрын
I laughed at the blind climber/dog joke 😅
@grantgausman9573
@grantgausman9573 7 күн бұрын
Regarding the job market, this is the toughest market I've seen since graduating college in 2023. I've been out of work for 4 months now, having previously worked in wealth management/financial advising. There are minimal, almost non-existent entry-level white collar jobs in finance. Myself, peers, friends, and colleagues can't even land an interview let alone get a job. I've been turned down from minimum wage jobs from Lowe's, Home Depot, Walmart, McDonald's, Target, restaurants/service industry, etc., as well. The market is brutal right now unless you're working in the trades/blue collar. The contrast from 2023 is stark when I was initially seeking jobs post-grad.
@VirginiaBronson
@VirginiaBronson 7 күн бұрын
It’s not even as bad as it could be, either. May worsen. My peers graduated in 2011, 2012. Dead in the water lol as bad as it feels, it could be worse!
@TisDana
@TisDana 6 күн бұрын
Very true.
@Oakbeast
@Oakbeast 6 күн бұрын
Wow, you guys are fresh fish Good luck out there. It’s a bloodbath.
@mrwilliamwonder
@mrwilliamwonder 5 күн бұрын
Get used to the tradesmen living in the best houses and driving the best cars and stealing girls away from suits.
@TR-lh9yz
@TR-lh9yz 5 күн бұрын
@@Oakbeast I think you might be the fresh fish. Were you in the workforce in 2008-2009? THAT was a bloodbath. It's super soft right now, has been since the COVID blip in 2020.
@grantgausman9573
@grantgausman9573 7 күн бұрын
This is your best episode this year. Great insight & commentary, the guest was great as well. I really enjoyed listening; more of this please! Also bring Claire on the pod more often, she brings good energy.
@ttacking
@ttacking 6 күн бұрын
52:43 😂😂 Greatest. Reaction. Ever. Especially, to a question i didn't understand.
@autohelix
@autohelix 7 күн бұрын
Here's the reality we need more registered nurses and Physicians assistants. We don't need more MBA students. Also local government is hiring in many areas in the country municipalities, County and State level. Maybe your MBA can be used in place of a MPA. I hate to say it but people need to Pivot in the job market. We need more people in healthcare. It is the fastest growing field, and will continue to be the fastest growing field as the population ages. Many registered nurses can make what Engineers do. Normal Engineers not the California software engineers.
@christianromero9596
@christianromero9596 7 күн бұрын
I love this podcast so much!!@🎉
@Jazzersize
@Jazzersize 7 күн бұрын
Do these hosts disclose their portfolios?
@Delrin3030
@Delrin3030 7 күн бұрын
Scott generally does. He seems quite transparent
@Fivehe
@Fivehe 6 күн бұрын
We’re told Ed’s 401k is mostly domestic index like VTI or VOO
@robc6220
@robc6220 5 күн бұрын
@@Delrin3030*occasionally does.
@dosesandmimoses
@dosesandmimoses 6 күн бұрын
55:00- Crunchy Tune! Loves it
@ad6mly
@ad6mly 6 күн бұрын
The big thing with deepseek is the open source element of it. That breaks down the whole openAI business model and allows the general population to iterate and improve deepseek
@TimonDias
@TimonDias 6 күн бұрын
loved the opening
@B0SSNASS
@B0SSNASS 6 күн бұрын
Thank you for the statement about taking some profits off the table. Daddy is not looking to buy a jet but thank you for reinforcing that profit taking is okay.
@Quackacs
@Quackacs 6 күн бұрын
Oh look the banter joke.... its so great to hear it again, and again, and again, and ....... again.
@GrinnR
@GrinnR 7 күн бұрын
Deepseek's impact on the markets is driven by its efficiency claims, both in cost and compute. Neither claim is backed by evidence, and they will not provide it. The real story is this - China learned that it can strongly impact the US market with nothing more than a press release. Imagine XYZ company starts selling a Tesla EV equivalent and announces they can produce them for $1,000 and ship them worldwide for $50. The car is real, and nothing special, but would the US market react in the same way? Would no one even ASK for proof? Furthermore, if the claims turn out to be true (unlikely), that means that it's possible to do even MORE with compute, for less cost. That is good for US companies, not bad. Almost all the reporting on this topic is embarrassing and disappointing due to missing these two key points.
@jimgsewell
@jimgsewell 6 күн бұрын
My friend, DeepSeek R1 can be downloaded today for free, and ran locally, on relatively inexpensive hardware. It’s real, the proof is readily available. It also doesn’t deliver AGI, so the AI race is still underway. The claimed hardware and dollars required to create the R1 model, is an interesting but immaterial side note.
@riplajan
@riplajan 5 күн бұрын
@@jimgsewellI was gonna say, the scariest thing for nvda is deepseek is open-source. Open ai is in a panic because they no longer have a monopoly on the inner workings of the LLM.
@joelmontague5004
@joelmontague5004 6 күн бұрын
I’ve been saying this for a while due to the way the tech job market has fluctuated in the past 10 years. I genuinely think we’re gonna be talking seriously about unionization in tech in the next few years, especially if people keep losing jobs to AI and if H1B Visa recipients continue to b scapegoated.
@dennyw2383
@dennyw2383 6 күн бұрын
Deepseek is the beginning of PC comparing to Mainframe moment. Pretty much all good news for everyone, more use cases, cheaper and higher quality AI products, except Mainframe people who have NOT made their money back.
@Nassuvian_Celtic
@Nassuvian_Celtic 6 күн бұрын
“AI is going to enable 1 worker to do the work of 10”. Feel like we hear this every year…
@f.s.b.8796
@f.s.b.8796 5 күн бұрын
This is a very interesting interview. I side with Ed who sees the deepseek phenomenon as rather made-up by China. I also liked Robert Armstrong's views.
@AI-MetaWalker
@AI-MetaWalker 4 күн бұрын
Either way…it has opened up a new AI frontier which is open source and not closed and monopolistic…there are further models which will be released by in the coming weeks…those will be refined further…welcome to competition and a free market…rather than rent seeking dominance 🎉
@skyguymd
@skyguymd 7 күн бұрын
Robert is fantastic. Thanks for having him on!!
@TonyCanones
@TonyCanones 6 күн бұрын
0:47 now THAT’S GOOD!!! 😂😂😂
@Matthew-us2ys
@Matthew-us2ys 7 күн бұрын
My favorite workout podcast, thanks for existing!
@mrwilliamwonder
@mrwilliamwonder 5 күн бұрын
When I workout I don't listen when I get into it. I don't seem to be able to walk and chew gum at the same time.
@kennethburnside4780
@kennethburnside4780 5 күн бұрын
I do lyft for a side hustle, I listen to your show and people always ask about it. I think I’ve turned on 30 to 40 people in the last year.
@Jamie-dz8dg
@Jamie-dz8dg 7 күн бұрын
Scott hit on a great point regarding Deepseek. If people want (and can leverage) the Temu of LLMs, then Deepseek is their baby. If not, they are likely going to look to the 'bespoke' AI tools that cost more to develop.
@kartikeya24jha
@kartikeya24jha 7 күн бұрын
Perhaps a contrarian view but I feel the biggest beneficiary of this would be Google (assuming they’re able to execute). Simply because Google has distribution; LLM and search seem to be such a natural fit. If Google is able to give users AI generated inputs at very low cost along with the search results. It would simply become the default product for a lot of day to day users. Ofc more complex tasks, I guess a bit like Saas companies we will have people developing for specific use cases.
@relicreturns
@relicreturns 7 күн бұрын
Feels like Ed went big on Nvida
@gavinertl7363
@gavinertl7363 7 күн бұрын
Hahah I caught the same vibe
@19shall820
@19shall820 7 күн бұрын
Is it just me or is Ed really bland and pedestrian? He lacks any real insight and it’s painful and boring watching him be pushed forward to offer his opinion and become a star…
@hedgehog_fox
@hedgehog_fox 7 күн бұрын
@@19shall820 0 insight other than regurgitating CNN talking points.
@oceanwave4502
@oceanwave4502 6 күн бұрын
Not many know: DeepSeek was also trained with Huawei's GPU. (Ascend 910C)
@chewbaccasworld3672
@chewbaccasworld3672 6 күн бұрын
@@19shall820 I like Ed.
@Habib_Osman
@Habib_Osman 6 күн бұрын
China proved it's on the cutting edge of technology. Deepseek is not just cheaper, it's countless times more efficient and when efficiency is all that matters, that just means the product is much better.
@jonevansauthor
@jonevansauthor 6 күн бұрын
If DeepSeek is a big step up in efficiency, that just means your massive AI data centre will get more work done. Getting more work done is the key. You want the enormous super computer. The value isn't in the model, it's in the work. A better, Open Source model can be built upon and we can all get more work done. So Nvidia are still going to sell all their GPUs. It doesn't matter how they did it if they've improved on Chat GPT in either how well it does the work, or how efficiently it does it, if they've made the model open source and everyone else can build on it or duplicate it.
@francisgeorge3754
@francisgeorge3754 6 күн бұрын
construction sites in my part of town are now empty of workers....for 3 or 4 days now.
@MatthewKanwisher
@MatthewKanwisher 5 күн бұрын
Guess they will have to pay real American wages and have those people pay taxes
@KaiSosceles
@KaiSosceles 7 күн бұрын
It doesnt matter how much it cost China to train DeepSeek. Its an open source application. The money was spent, and its gone, and now what remains is a product anyone can use. And people have used it. Have ran these models on mac minis instead of supercomputers. That value is immediate and none of us paid a dime for it to exist, and dont need to pay a dime for it going forward--regardless of how much money it took to train.
@GEInman
@GEInman 5 күн бұрын
As a Boomer-I note: My employer donated funds from my paycheck to Social Security "because that's the way it's done." I also contributed to an IRA. How do you think I can receive the Social Security payments and then donate the amount to a charity? Which charities do you suggest? Thanks.
@sidnickels
@sidnickels 6 күн бұрын
I like the addition of Clara and hope she’s on more. 👌🏾
@SW-lw6mt
@SW-lw6mt 7 күн бұрын
I think you need an AI expert to chat about Deepseek, cause it's not that simple.
@john-s3w6c
@john-s3w6c 7 күн бұрын
I feel a deflationary song coming on........."Anything you can buy, I can buy cheaper. I can buy anything cheaper than you! Fifty cents?, Forty cents!, Thirty cents?, Twenty cents! No, you can't!, Yes, I can, Yes!, I can...............
@mrwilliamwonder
@mrwilliamwonder 5 күн бұрын
I don't see it. Nothing is cheaper than before
@john-s3w6c
@john-s3w6c 2 күн бұрын
@@mrwilliamwonder On Bloombergs today....'Market Minutes';- US Bond Yields hint at stagflation risk.
@alexyooutube
@alexyooutube 7 күн бұрын
32:22 About ORCL shares dropped on Deepseek news, because its share went up quite a bit upon Project Stargate Announcement. It went up from $172 (2025-01-20) to $186 (2025-01-22). Upon the news of Deepseek, it dropped to $158 (2025-01-26). It was an oversold. Now, it bounced back to $170 today (2025-01--30), i.e.the Pre-Stargate Announcement level.
@malekhakim7436
@malekhakim7436 7 күн бұрын
27:44 yea that went over my head too Scott 😅
@aemonlin
@aemonlin 6 күн бұрын
What is Magnificent 10 at 07:52? Never heard of it
@Beangoeszoom
@Beangoeszoom 6 күн бұрын
Top 10 stocks by market cap in the US
@aemonlin
@aemonlin 6 күн бұрын
@Beangoeszoom thanks
@CharlieHuang-e6c
@CharlieHuang-e6c 7 күн бұрын
Hi Ed, Deepseek disclosed that they trained Deepseek - V3 model (which is the smaller version model released in Dec 2024) about 6 million dollar. But they did not disclose how much money they spend to train the R1 model (which is the current model with COT and comparable to OpenAI-01). Just to add that note. I think it can be easily verified on their website. They did not lie on this point. I think the company is decent to share all the secret technique in Open Source. FYI
@mattinterweb
@mattinterweb 6 күн бұрын
To Ed's point, Geoffrey Hinton the British data scientist widely consider the Godfather of AI stated yesterday that he is dubious of the relative cost of DS stated. He thinks OpenAI probably spent 100 m on their final training run, not billions, opposed to DS's 6 mil. So still a very significant drop in cost, but one that is now more believable. Source and fascinating interview: kzbin.info/www/bejne/rKnOc3hoaN93o7M
@christopherd.winnan8701
@christopherd.winnan8701 7 күн бұрын
"Our FT writers have been writing for months that this would happen." That is a very bold statement. Please provide non pay-walled evidence. How many FT bureau staff are based in China these days? Why do you have so many staff focussing on an uninvestable economy?
@beefeekeefee
@beefeekeefee 7 күн бұрын
In his magnum opus The Best and the Brightest David Halberstam included a gloriously funny passage about the British aristocracy and their interaction with the Chinese when they began trading in the mid 1800's. Ed would do well to fire up his chatgpt and find it. Key words include gunpowder, monocles and arrogance.
@sanesanyo
@sanesanyo 6 күн бұрын
Guys you are just not getting it. Even if we assume their claims are wrong (which i dont think is the case, people are convulting training costs of the base model with fine tuned model i.e..R1), Open AI behaves like closed AI , not disclosing chain of thought tokens, not disclosing how the models were trained & then on the side you have a chinese company open sourced the model (only the weights though) as well as a paper on all the training details. Even if the chinese are lying, they have helped the open source community & potentially the world as well.
@paxdriver
@paxdriver 7 күн бұрын
Everyone keeps getting this wrong about Nvidia: it's not that their chips are so great, it's the power of CUDA low level programming API's. If it were just hardware then everyone would be using ASICs and FPGAs for training / inference rather than GPUs. RISC-V chips that are simple and just require concurrency are very easy to design compared to Nvidia products but Nvidia has the software development ecosystem everyone wants in tandem with their hardware.
@MaxTyco
@MaxTyco 5 күн бұрын
When you talk about MBAs not getting a job within the first 3 months, I would assume a fair majority is the fact that they didn’t get the job offer they wanted or the company they wanted.
@MrShiva81
@MrShiva81 7 күн бұрын
Prof G may know lot about Liquor stocks, can you please cover about beaten down spirit and beer stocks like Diageo. It is non US as well.
@Felipe-n3j
@Felipe-n3j 7 күн бұрын
Breaking News! World leaders are congratulating CHINA , DEEPSEEK RI for helping the world for FREE ! Thank you CHINA!😊😊😊
@Judy-kc2ts
@Judy-kc2ts 7 күн бұрын
I downloaded DeepSeek and asked it what to do if you didn’t vote for Trump and don’t approve of his policies. The response included 12 very valid actions and was entirely in support of democracy.😮😂
@billyzhao3427
@billyzhao3427 7 күн бұрын
American economy : running strong (though Stanford graduates can’t find jobs) - Chinese economy : crashing because their youth can’t find jobs. I think they both lie on some degrees and calling each other lairs. What’s more important is their own people believe their own government and calling the other lairs…
@doublezero0068
@doublezero0068 7 күн бұрын
Editors might want to make a cut at 28:30 Tragedy took place between filming and going live
@thomasemmet2177
@thomasemmet2177 Күн бұрын
Robert didn’t once mention the refinancing wall of US govt debt. That’s why “interest rates must come down”.
@moonboy5851
@moonboy5851 6 күн бұрын
Do people realise AI just went from a US technology to a global technology? Bullish AF for AI infra
@moosejoose4
@moosejoose4 5 күн бұрын
don't rebalance by selling your long term winners, just add into new under-allocated positions to round out the portfolio pie.
@hudooguru2
@hudooguru2 7 күн бұрын
China lies alot. Rofl. Well said Ed.
@readyready-u8j
@readyready-u8j 7 күн бұрын
Where do the assets that Ed is saying trade at a discount to value trade? I thought he was talking about private investments
@DL-hu9yw
@DL-hu9yw 7 күн бұрын
25:58: This is the most convoluted bs I’ve seen in awhile, though ofc protects the elite’s interests rofl: “maybe this is great for Google right maybe this is great for Microsoft who were shoveling money on the assumption that they had to build it themselves at great expense and then they wake up on Tuesday morning and they say maybe we don't have to own it at all it won't be at great expense so that maybe their capex capex budget they're they're they basically investment budget just went down and their revenues did not I that's possible it will be fascinating.”
@davidseek
@davidseek 7 күн бұрын
Paris literally sucks…
@SportsIncorporated
@SportsIncorporated 6 күн бұрын
I was told almost a half century ago. (So does it remain true?) That Paris was just another dirty city. (or something like that)
@majorkuntz
@majorkuntz 6 күн бұрын
Too many Arabs. They’ve ruined the place, as per usual.
@patronspatron7681
@patronspatron7681 7 күн бұрын
Ok Prof G. Why isn't Claire's photo included in the channel's thumbnail?
@LaurentBeaudry
@LaurentBeaudry 7 күн бұрын
Aren’t those numbers all very inflated and is there some gouging going along if China did it for the right price? What does it say about our economic way of making money or the greed that the consumer is victim of?
@MrShiva81
@MrShiva81 7 күн бұрын
Robert Armstrong is Awesome. Please bring him in more often.
@lairdgarvin1170
@lairdgarvin1170 4 күн бұрын
Id like to offer another analogy. To my way of thinking DeepSeek is akin to the cotton gin. Modern wage slaves are unlikely to profit from this technology. Unlike with the cotton gin, the value of wage slaves will likely be lower as more intelligent work can be accomplished by lesser educated/credentialed people. The initial market reaction is accurate. DeepSeek will be deflationary. It reduces costs and has to be used to remain competitive. As some readers know, the inventors of the cotton gin did not die in the lap of luxury. I would suspect this was a plot to attenuate American economic power and so far it is successful. BTW as usual --- luv the show.
@MauricioGonzalezFilms
@MauricioGonzalezFilms 7 күн бұрын
6:47 - these first steps from a 2 year old market release! (decades of research) What’s it looking like in 2035+😮
@b.justbe
@b.justbe 7 күн бұрын
We are in the 14K download speed point in AI development.
@jimgsewell
@jimgsewell 6 күн бұрын
I can't wait for 28.8 speed 😉
@mattgreenwood6021
@mattgreenwood6021 7 күн бұрын
You can always do inference on lower-end hardware-just adjust the quantization. Deepseek must use low end hardware because they don't have the ability to leverage high end Nvidia hardware -- after all, openly admitting they used high-end hardware would also mean admitting they got their hands on restricted Nvidia tech. This entire deepseek story is quite suspect and the markets reaction laughable.
@johnfitzpatrick8310
@johnfitzpatrick8310 7 күн бұрын
The DeepSeek market correction was an overreaction. This LLM, being a distillation of open source LLMs, does not invalidate the AI scaling laws previously propelling the market. Compute capacity still rules in AI, although now we now find that we can get even more out of it. Reduced cost will drive further AI growth and consequently increased demand for chips, servers and energy.
@skiinian85
@skiinian85 7 күн бұрын
This sounds like Seth Rogan if he didn't smoke weed hahaha
@Illopp00ify
@Illopp00ify 7 күн бұрын
Not sure there is anything extraordinary about 50K H100s in Singapore, it has over 70 data centers itself of 1.4GW. China has their own chips for inference, and everything is cheaper in China, including their energy and 110GW of Solar + Battery.
@TheWhatMan80
@TheWhatMan80 7 күн бұрын
China isn't the only place that lies...
@stubb1qaz
@stubb1qaz 7 күн бұрын
OpenAI is an Open, Transparent, Non-Profit, Sam Altman owns none of it and will never profit from it and Sam Altman never lies.
@Redcrane05
@Redcrane05 5 күн бұрын
There's a glut in the MBA market, is that the take away?
@e.oconnell8461
@e.oconnell8461 7 күн бұрын
There are a number of issues with DeepSeek (e.g., data collection from users; back-end data leakage; model theft?) so be careful in using.
@majorkuntz
@majorkuntz 6 күн бұрын
Don’t trust anything coming out of China even if it’s open source. I simply won’t use it.
@donaldjohnson-y6n
@donaldjohnson-y6n 7 күн бұрын
The international trade theory is going to burn you. 12 years ago, when there were fewer conflicts and Europe hadn't start pulling the plug on its own energy sources, there was an argument to be made that there was a lot of potential growth outside of the U.S. If you invested in VXUS since then, you are not a happy camper. And things are not going to suddenly turn around internationally. Good luck, Scott, with making that trade work. It will have the same outcome as betting against the Yen.
@lukehightower4198
@lukehightower4198 7 күн бұрын
take what you want, give what you can
@EternalAshley
@EternalAshley 7 күн бұрын
Do you guys know about the ICP blockchain - Onicai project currently running Deepseek R1 models on 32-bit canisters on fully on chain.
@patrickspellman8758
@patrickspellman8758 6 күн бұрын
Marc Andreessen would be a good guest
@majorkuntz
@majorkuntz 6 күн бұрын
He lacks integrity. He thinks Zuck is a ‘good guy’. Laughable.
@bnbnbnmmm
@bnbnbnmmm 6 күн бұрын
As a person who works with LLMs for a living, this expert knows nothing about the field and it's quite embarrassing. Every open source model can be run in your local machine. The delta here is that the training and inference uses different techniques than in the past and it is substantial. However, deepseek is currently quite bad in many things and the API doesn't work at all. Ed's claims have a lot of merit.
@chrisbradley3224
@chrisbradley3224 6 күн бұрын
Inference is still expensive and DeepSeek in no way means we will not be pouring massive resources into AI. So many people outside the industry do not understand computing.
@ttacking
@ttacking 6 күн бұрын
52:44 that's me watching the nightly news with trump in office
@jimgsewell
@jimgsewell 6 күн бұрын
None of the AI leaders have hit AGI, so the race isn’t over. All of the AI leaders can incorporate the same techniques that DeepSeek uses, into their own models, so DeepSeek’s current advantage is short lived. The biggest contributor to the market downturn is Trump announcing new 25%-100% tariffs on Taiwanese chips. If Trump actually follows through with tariffs this steep, expect the selloff to grow. We are still at the beginning of AI. The industry should expect occasional leaps forward in ability and efficiency as new training/design techniques are discovered/invented. DeepSeek R1 is a terrific model. If your AI needs can be satisfied with that level of model, congratulations, you have an inexpensive solution available today. If you are waiting for AGI, the race for best foundation model, is still going strong.
@SN-sz7kw
@SN-sz7kw 7 күн бұрын
Quite frankly, the majority of Americans care about AI as much as they care about bitcoin. Less than nothing. In fact they dread its potential to make their lives even more complicated & dystopian for zero reason at all. The idea of tax dollars pouring into it while they can’t afford healthcare & higher education is enraging. Seeing China knock the legs out from under the industry is actually gratifying. It’s as if there’s an obscene profit margin built in to the American effort. You think?
@jimgsewell
@jimgsewell 6 күн бұрын
What tax dollars are being spent on AI?
@briancase6180
@briancase6180 7 күн бұрын
When someone says "several orders of magnitude" and the metric is most certainly NOT several orders of magnitude different (the training costs were not claimed to be 'several orders of magnitude' lower), then I tend to stop listening to anything that person says. Why? Because he probably doesn't even know that he doesn't understand what he's talking about. He's already made several other either slightly or totally wrong statements / claims. He clearly doesn't really know much about either AI or the technology. Bzzzt. Next.
@jimgsewell
@jimgsewell 6 күн бұрын
Open AI charges $60/m token output for their 01 model. DeepSeek R1 is estimated to cost $0.03 - $0.05/m token output. That’s a few orders of magnitude difference.
@cobraspottedwolf8791
@cobraspottedwolf8791 7 күн бұрын
Love RA
@jonkuderer
@jonkuderer 3 күн бұрын
MBA students are graduating too young and never networked in college. It's who you know not what you know. That's the whole point of the HARVARD degree, networking.
@gtjj22
@gtjj22 6 күн бұрын
Chat and DeepSeek will replace search. I don’t even use google anymore.
@SylviaKincses
@SylviaKincses 7 күн бұрын
Thanks for not doing porn jokes
@tonyjones3514
@tonyjones3514 7 күн бұрын
you don't like them?
@donaldjohnson-y6n
@donaldjohnson-y6n 7 күн бұрын
@@tonyjones3514 It makes the videos unshareable. There is a lot of good content in his podcasts that people would like to share, and they can't reasonably say ignore the first 30 seconds of dirty jokes while you are at the office.
@alexk729
@alexk729 7 күн бұрын
@@donaldjohnson-y6nnot only that, the porn jokes are aweful. They are not thoughtful or funny.
@pkal244
@pkal244 7 күн бұрын
​@@alexk729if you didn't know Prof G you'd think "why the hell is my friend or family sending me a video of a dirty old man??"
@Edgedable
@Edgedable 6 күн бұрын
I love his dad jokes ☹️
@DividendFactory
@DividendFactory 6 күн бұрын
30:15 - I am still amazed that people do not understand what it takes to run AI compute (just inference) for a thousand, hundred thousand, millions, billions of customers 24/7. People and businesses without expertise are going to run the models? How, in which app and collaboration suites? They are going to build it themselves? No? ISVs are going to? OK, then where do they run the AI compute? You still need to incredibly large scale infrastructure all around the world. The model gets optimized 10x ,100x ,1000x ... Great you can sell your products and services to 10x 100x 1000x more customer than $AMZN $GOOG $META $MSFT had anticipated because the compute capacity was the bottleneck. $NVDA going down? It is still a made race for the biggest AI cloud providers to scale up globally.
@PitchThePM
@PitchThePM 7 күн бұрын
How much of the hype around DeepSeek is just a result of the novelty phase of the product? Additionally, since the explosion of users will increase the cost/demand for more advanced chips, do you think the conversation around how cheap it was to make the model is misplaced?
@someguy5927
@someguy5927 7 күн бұрын
16:56 struggling to find work? Or too proud to start at the bottom?
@yamuiemata
@yamuiemata 7 күн бұрын
Whoever edits these episodes...needs to show us the faces of the people after Scott finishes his corny jokes😂 The intro ruins the fun especially since we get a preloaded ad🤦.
@ivanvidic
@ivanvidic 7 күн бұрын
install the plugin that skips ads.
@cxns155
@cxns155 7 күн бұрын
Let Ed tell a joke. DO IT!
@ForwardGo-u2b
@ForwardGo-u2b 5 күн бұрын
he is the joke though, so cynical so incurious
@MrGeoC
@MrGeoC 6 күн бұрын
How did the deepseek story even break? Was it from the scaleAI guy? Is he credible?
@stuart_oneill
@stuart_oneill 7 күн бұрын
Supposedly lower cost, lower cost GPU's, lower number of GPU's. Supposedly. From the functional point of view I think Deepseek as an Opensource product can be downloaded and run off line or online. Thats dramatic. The process it uses to create results is far better than the others.
@vlxneutron2835
@vlxneutron2835 7 күн бұрын
So we're the ai companies here misrepresenting the cost to build to pump up their stock values believing they held all the cards?
@KaiSosceles
@KaiSosceles 7 күн бұрын
"Should interest rates come down." > This is like a person walking into a bank and saying "I want to borrow money...and i want to set the interest rate i borrow at." Its a ridiculous notion. The US Govt is the largest borrower of US Dollars in the world. Of course the leader of that government wants lower interest rates. All borrowers do. But lenders have the power, and until Trump is the one lending money, he has no say in the matter.
@michaeloconnor6683
@michaeloconnor6683 7 күн бұрын
learn about the passive bid, that's all that matters
The Trouble With Tariffs + Why Palantir Could Dominate AI - ft. Aswath Damodaran | Prof G Markets
1:03:20
Trump’s Short-Lived Trade War | Raging Moderates
1:06:34
The Prof G Pod – Scott Galloway
Рет қаралды 70 М.
Quilt Challenge, No Skills, Just Luck#Funnyfamily #Partygames #Funny
00:32
Family Games Media
Рет қаралды 55 МЛН
The evil clown plays a prank on the angel
00:39
超人夫妇
Рет қаралды 53 МЛН
Meta & Microsoft Brush Off DeepSeek + Starbucks Stages a Comeback | Prof G Markets
53:53
The Prof G Pod – Scott Galloway
Рет қаралды 54 М.
Mel Robbins - The “Let Them Theory” and How It Can Change Your Life | Prof G Conversations
52:54
What does Elon Musk want?
21:29
Garys Economics
Рет қаралды 1,1 МЛН
ChatGPT vs DeepSeek: CRAZY Chess
24:46
GothamChess
Рет қаралды 1,2 МЛН
How to reboot Britain's capital markets | FT Film
20:51
Financial Times
Рет қаралды 344 М.
Ian Bremmer - Top Geopolitical Risks of 2025 | Prof G Conversations
47:54
The Prof G Pod – Scott Galloway
Рет қаралды 186 М.
Ark's Cathie Wood on DeepSeek, AI, Crypto, Trump
16:41
Bloomberg Television
Рет қаралды 378 М.
Quilt Challenge, No Skills, Just Luck#Funnyfamily #Partygames #Funny
00:32
Family Games Media
Рет қаралды 55 МЛН