Would America Really Defend Taiwan?

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Select footage from the AP Archive

[@PolyMatter]

If you're a Nebula subscriber, make sure to watch my "When Will China Invade Taiwan?" video after this one. If not, sign up for $2.50/month and watch it over a month before it's available on KZbin! go.nebula.tv/polymatter

[@Omer1996E.C]

Well, after getting all the necessary monopolized technologies and skills, I believe the US would still defend Taiwan, but with much less incentives. I believe, eventually the US would get bored and re-establish relations with China, but after years, while the Chinese are known for their leadership's commitment to whatever they do. Simply, the US would certainly defend Taiwan, but up to a rational/economical point/limit

[@jacktam7673]

@@Omer1996E.C Taiwan is a de facto independent country and a very important part of island chain of defense. That is for sure. I think the key for Taiwan to maintaining the status quo is to enhance the forces and become a permanent neutral country as Switzerland does, which can guarantee that Taiwan has the ability to avert the crisis and hurts caused by conflicts between two superpowers.

[@MOBXOJ]

About to watch it right now, excited ngl

[@Omer1996E.C]

@@jacktam7673 that's hard, Taiwan is definitely not like Switzerland, it's a historical part of China, so the Chinese government would be ready to lose alot just to gain Taiwan, even if it wasn't for their semiconductors. The US won't defend them for too long for sure, it follows it's interests, the US isn't just led by ideological individuals, but interest seekers

[@jacktam7673]

@@Omer1996E.C Firstly, in terms of history, Chinese people really like to use the phrase “from antiquity “. But they never define the so-called “antiquity”. According to their logic, we are all the descendants of African apes, we’re all Africans?🤡 sorry no offense. Secondly, what if China really occupies Taiwan? It is not just the problem of semiconductors. It’s the problem of geopolitics for US and allies! That must be the nightmare of the world and US. US will not just wait and see.

[@bodilsoldeberg5412]

It amazes me that Taiwan managed to keep a hold of these islands so close to the mainland

[@tianxiabai1185]

it was our intention to leave them unoccupied by PLA so they can serve as communication channels~

[@user-pj6ch6cc4d]

@@tianxiabai1185 Do you have a source for that?

[@joeyliao8937]

If you look at the historical record, the PLA hasn't had much luck winning anything other than land battles with overwhelming human waves... so back in the day, a well dug in army could really defend a small stronghold. True, today Kinmen would probably fall in hours, but that is no surprise given how the PLA has modernized. Also in 2022 we could not shoot down a small DJI drone that was flying above the outpost, but that was more because weapons use was not authorized for fear of starting an international incident.

[@dingliedangliedoodle9261]

Only due to US backing. This civil war would have long been over and that chapter in Chinese history closed.

[@pathat8869]

​@joeyliao8937 not just kinmen. China's military could take all of taiwans outlying islands(kinmen,matsu,pratas,penghu and any islands that taiwan has in south china sea)

[@leeswecho]

The peace is maintained by "being ambiguous enough that both sides can interpret the terms optimistically enough to their satisfaction". That is a beautiful single-sentence explanation to a very complex topic, thank you so much for this channel.

[@jacktam7673]

I think only China is deluding itself by saying Taiwan is its province 🤡

[@sanriosonderweg]

And still it evades the base line issue, its none of america's business.

[@cloudfrog3955]

@@sanriosonderweg no it is very important to the U.S any way you look at it. it is morally right to uphold the status quo because it keeps the world as peaceful as possible and secondly it is economically important to the U.S because both China and Taiwan are big players in the U.S economy. It is literally America's business in every sense of the word.

[@bobg9922]

It’s a Schrödinger armistice

[@leeswecho]

@@sanriosonderweg America entered into its current arrangement from a state of alliance with the Republic of China (Taiwan). It is very much in America’s business to ensure the fair treatment of the ROC.

[@austinchen1004]

Many Taiwanese people, including me live and work in Xiamen. And it is funny to know that if war breaks out, I’m dead.

[@jacktam7673]

Warning! CCP regime is watching behind you 😎

[@colbyboucher6391]

I would hope, considering Chinese propaganda's insistence that you're really just lost family, that they'd simply roll in and go "See? China now." If there were a real attempt at defending it, though...

[@butterfly7562]

..谁跟你说的，真打仗你的待遇还会更好，因为有劝降作用懂吧

[@jacktam7673]

@@butterfly7562 Hello Chinese

[@Yuhyuhmuhmuh]

I don't think anyone wants the war to continue

[@ChrMuslimThor]

"Sleepy villages" "100K people" Wild to hear as a Norwegian.

[@vschmerz]

Ha, yeah

[@keyboardcommando7000]

Thats about half of yalls population

[@user-sv4kd9zo1y]

It's a good day when both Real life lore and PolyMatter upload!

[@The88Cheat]

👀 Real Life Lore uploaded too? 🎉

[@Encolas]

Indeed. Between Real Life Lore, Polymatter, Wendover Productions, Caspian Report and Kamome, we can be reliably saturated with high quality geopolitics content.

[@yeetandrepeat4251]

​@@Encolasalthough Real-life lore used to have more of a unique approach. While all the other channels you listed feel like quality production, real life lore has succumbed to a boring audio book of Wikipedia pages

[@yeetandrepeat4251]

​@@EncolasNeo, is another channel you may enjoy, quite similar to PolyMatter

[@Encolas]

@@yeetandrepeat4251 Used to watch, I’ll need to revisit. But I think that’s more in the mega projects category, which also has a number of great channels

[@MrHistory269]

PolyMatter and Real Life Lore making China related videos on the same day? It’s definitely a good morning.

[@Uohhhh777]

Shushe ne hua che bing chilling bing chilling

[@shahdeen-en5qn]

Good mythical morning, some would say

[@LuisSierra42]

It's NOT a coincidence

[@osheridan]

​@@LuisSierra42:0

[@chronicandironic8701]

Not a coincidence at all bro

[@arnaudcampagne7796]

One of the most well-developed answers I've ever heard on a particularly complex subject! Thank you PolyMatter

[@Alpherix]

As a Chinese born American, thank you poly matter to bringing this issue to our eyes. You have such a rich perspective telling these amazing stories! Keep on going!

[@darkgeneration100]

Im pretty sure the dude is a Chinese American Econ student. Alot of his content focuses on China more than anything else. Love his content tho

[@osheridan]

​@@darkgeneration100​​it's a major and interesting player on the global stage

[@arv7539]

​@@darkgeneration100dude sounds so asian american its unreal

[@TheGrinningViking]

Family in US intelligence ay?

[@zooplanton]

Both sides are becoming confident in winning such a war. So WW3 is probably going to happen. The question is when, not if. Even with US investing trillions and trillions into the war, it's still unlikely to win. China still could win, but the cost would be enormous.

[@gtbkts]

Thanks for the awesome content and great videos!

[@Blastoise9000]

Watching this immediately after Real Life Lore’s video is a trip. Seems there’s a lot weighing on China these days. Either way, looking forward to this one.

[@Uohhhh777]

He is being paid by China 😢

[@danzwku]

which Real Life Lore video?

[@Blastoise9000]

@@danzwku this one here, which goes into detail about China’s current demographic crisis and it’s implications on the country’s future, potential invasion of Taiwan, etc. He uploaded a couple hours ago. kzbin.info/www/bejne/gZrEpp6Girtpfsk

[@Blastoise9000]

@@Uohhhh777 what? lol

[@J_X999]

​@@Blastoise9000Having watched RLL for years now, this China video is based more for clicks and likes than actual unbiased content. His upload schedules give it it away. For every 3 legitimately insightful videos, there will be 1 video catering for public narrative. Works well though

[@Ryan-ew9hb]

Top quality videos. Thanks for the research and being a trusted source.

[@KC_G4S]

This is one of the best videos on the geopolitics of the China-Taiwan conflict I’ve ever seen. It summarizes and delivers neatly what think-tanks and academics have been saying on this issue for the past year or two, but through a much more accessible medium. Thank you PolyMatter!

[@Hand-in-Shot_Productions]

I find this quite an informative video! Thanks for posting this!

[@johnetizen]

Thank you Polymatter. Keep up the great work.

[@sampotter4455]

Great video! Best graphics of any channel.

[@brans0217]

Always amazing videos…. Thank you for the content

[@prevaloir5362]

What is amazing about them?

[@shantanusapru]

An excellent & objective analysis!!

[@asliceofcheese9989]

polymatter really uploaded just in time for my workout routine

[@siinamotatributeaccount8373]

Love your videos so much PolyMatters!

[@diegoparrillo8517]

Honestly you are the reason I subscribed to nebula. You are my favourite creator and I really would like to meet you and shake your hand

[@JosephSolisAlcaydeAlberici]

China has to deploy at least one million soldiers to invade Taiwan in a naval amphibious invasion that would make the 1944 Normandy invasion look like a milder one.

[@TheGrinningViking]

Taiwan is part of China. We just want to control the microchips.

[@johnr797]

Quite possibly much more than that, doubtful most ships would make it to the beach and Taiwan has been preparing the handful of viable landing spots for decades now

[@avinashtyagi2]

​@@johnr797Military analysts have pointed out that Taiwan's defense forces are in great need of improvement

[@mayanksingh0044]

Normandy was easy compared to this, as after 1943 it was clear that the war would go on, it wont be a blitz anymore and that long war would not be in the favor of Nazi's. Before the soldier landed on normandy it was clear that which side as momentum which side the tide of war has turned who would win. In case of China's attack the amphibous assault would happen when the opponent (taiwan) would be strongest not the weakest compared to taiwan. The war would start by an amphiboius assault, It would be 10x times more difficult than Normandy then compare the terrain and weather, ocean behaviour etc

[@johnr797]

@@avinashtyagi2 Forces on both sides lack any real battle experience, and much of Chinese tech is just reverse engineered from stolen blueprints and documents, etc. We won't know exactly how it will go, but if the bases are fully established on the nearby Japanese islands just off the northeast coast of Taiwan, it could be a very costly prospect.

[@IMPERIALYT]

Great video man - I'm starting to get worse at following the news through conventional channels, but I know I can always count on a video from you to break down a topic in detailed, well thought out manner.

[@MOBXOJ]

I cannot express how fast seeing you upload put a smile on my face

[@hamentaschen]

"If I'm curt with you, it's because time is a factor."

[@DanJanucik]

DA WOLFFE

[@user-pz5fo9cy1i]

Superb, nuanced analysis.

[@zuruumi9849]

I don't think the clarification is meaningless. There are several possible scenarios of the war. China getting fait accompli before the US reacts, the US being not willing to fight, the US being unable to stop China despite the fighting, a costly war without significant gains, and of course disastrous defeat of China. The clarification makes it a bit more likely that the US will fight, which also means a higher chance of negative results. China will never have a 100% chance of a clean and cheap win, but there is bound to be a point where the potential gains clearly outweigh the risk and by every ship China builds and every piece of new gear the soldiers get this point is getting closer. The US has to make sure the risk is still high enough. Strengthening the navy, selling weapons to Taiwan, moving more forces into the region, international treaties and higher public commitment all make the risks of initiating the attack higher.

[@egoalter1276]

The real risk for china is not the US. Its every other nation in asia. China is diplomatically a pariah. If it demonstrates its willingness to use force for territorial conquest, that us a very clear sign for many of its neighbours that they could be next, abd rest assured, they will strike while china is at its weakest. Embroiled in a difficult amphibious invasion that is.

[@jukio02]

Russia will fight side by side with China against the US. So, it's highly unlikely the US will go to war with China, cause Russia and even North Korea will get involved. Russia and China are both nuclear powers, it would be a very big mistake for the US to make.

[@waynelei6459]

Great content!

[@jayamiheiyang1602]

You're at least half the reason I got a Nebula subscription Evan 👍

[@anteriax5175]

Seeing a lot of Taiwan videos posted when I'm in Taipei for study ;P Let's hope the status quo is maintained for the sake of all

[@kevinliang1775]

thanks for sharing objective information. as chinese background living in australia, taiwanese people are one of the most kindness and gentle people i ever came across. fingers cross there is no war between china and taiwan

[@shinchan-F-urmom]

Don't you think that Taiwanese are probably the most traitorous? You are enjoying your life in Australia while Australia is preparing to Bomb china and make it into a puppet regime with the narrative "hate the government". Where's East Timor in that?

[@kirandeepchakraborty7921]

You really put in a lot of effort on your videos.

[@thefreudiantheoryofpenisen2197]

Love ur vids

[@avilancer2516]

I think South Korea and Japan will prompt USA to oppose China's potential unilateral changes to the status quo. Otherwise, USA might as well say goodbye to their dominance in the Pacific.

[@Pouncer_Fox]

Yes. Due to the recent uptick in Chinese aggression, the US, Japan, and South Korea have entered a mutual defense treaty against what is essentially their common enemy. The US already had mutual defense treaties with Japan and SK respectively, but a tri-lateral joint cooperation between these two Asian countries are quite profound given their history. While I'm here, the Philippines have also expanded their cooperation with the US, allowing them to operate several key bases there, with a sizeable uptick in forces that are stationed there. This is also huge. There are other players in the region as well, including AUKUS for example, where Australia and the UK is also involved, thanks to direct Chinese meddling in Australia. Oh and don't forget Vietnam and Malaysia. China is making enemies all over SEA, and similar with Ukraine and NATO, has become the single biggest selling-point for growing cooperation with the US in the Pacific region.

[@DioBrando-qr6ye]

​@@Pouncer_FoxThe smartest move for China is to start to make non-aggression military pacts with South American and Middle Eastern countries . The US has made plenty of enemies there.

[@tremedar]

You've got to be kidding. Even if they have Taiwan and easier access to the pacific, do you really think China, with its *BROWN WATER NAVY* have even the faintest hope of unseating the US Navy?

[@Homer-OJ-Simpson]

Japan & South Korea are already working on mending their complicated relationship. They have a history that is problematic but they need each other and they really have a lot in common if they can move on from the past. They are also both very concerned with two major aggressive countries in the region, North Korea & China. Vietnam is officially neutral but they are also working with the US to some capacity because they will want US help if part of China's aggression is towards Vietnam. And it's already well documented that Philippines is working with the US and expanded US troop and base presence in the country.

[@sinoroman]

SK and Japan are junior allies to USA. when the time comes, the US will request resources from the two and others

[@glorioustigereye]

Journalists: Taiwan Issue? US: Schrodinger's cat Journalists: Understandable, have a nice day.

[@swissarmyknight4306]

That's called "deliberate strategic ambiguity" kiddos.

[@yellowcard7139]

Great report

[@Waverlyduli]

Nice summary of ins and outs of Taiwan Strategic Ambiguity policy related matters and events. Quality work from the guys at Polymatter. 0:09

[@52flyingbicycles]

If I remember properly, China’s strategy is cultural and economic integration in Taiwan, which would cause the island to join them willingly. This attains’s China’s optimal solution without breaking the peaceful status quo. But they simultaneously need to make Taiwan uncomfortable enough to not seek independence. Tricky. As things are, China’s approach is long term at best. The environment just isn’t right for unification. I think a few things would need to happen for Taiwan to even consider it 1) a major disaster (like an earthquake) or economic depression cripples the Taiwanese economy 2) the current leadership totally botches the response, making problems worse - this means both businesses and people are upset 3) China’s economy is in really good shape 4) the USA doesn’t help Taiwan recover With sufficient cultural integration, this may create at least a unification movement within Taiwan. Essentially, things start to suck really badly, the government is making it worse, and the USA plays hands off. That may lead people to China’s open arms, so long as they sign away sovereignty. But that’s a pretty long shot

[@Pouncer_Fox]

Yea, so this has been essentially the Chinese policy for decades, but Xi is rather impatient. He has explicitly come out and stated that if Taiwan doesn't change course towards unification soon, then he is going to consider military options. According to some projections, this could happen anywhere between 2025 to 2027. If you think about it, that's not long at all from now. Meanwhile, they are still doing some pretty nefarious things to sway public opinion, all the way to funding pro-China political parties, to paying local gangs to do their bidding, all the way to over-fishing around Taiwan to deny the locals of their ability to fish for food.

[@52flyingbicycles]

@@Pouncer_Fox I think calls of military intervention are a bluff. Taiwan is, quite frankly, very difficult to invade. China would blow a lot of international investments, diplomatic weight, and money vying for an invasion that might not even work. And that’s if the US doesn’t send troops! I thought Putin wouldn’t invade Ukraine because invading Ukraine would be stupid. Well, I was right about that second bit. Xi Jinping seems more intelligent than Putin. Less of a strongman, more of a politician. And he has the benefit of Putin testing the waters for him. Invading Taiwan would be the stupidest thing the PRC has done since opening up, maybe ever. Mao killing all the sparrows gives strong competition in terms of unforced errors. And of course Beijing is being very aggressive in their economic/cultural campaign for integration. These things don’t happen naturally. It’s more ethical than invading, but that’s a pretty low bar lol

[@Pouncer_Fox]

@@52flyingbicycles For what it's worth, I really do hope you are right. My basic position is for China not to invade at all. But if they do, I hope Taiwan is doing everything they can to defend themselves.

[@52flyingbicycles]

@@Pouncer_Fox yeah I hope they don’t invade either. The war would be totally senseless and destructive.

[@vschmerz]

If so then their strategy is failing spectacularly.

[@joeyliao8937]

Good general summary of the US's ambiguous stance on Taiwan... although I would argue its actually not that ambiguous. US allows Taiwan passport holders visa free entry into the US. That status alone puts Taiwan above many other US allies. I grew up in the US but spent summers in Taiwan and live here now. The main reason we don't fear invasion is, frankly, we know the US loves their iPhones way too much to allow China to control/shut down chip production. Biden understands this economic reality, that is why in addition to saying he would send troops to defend Taiwan, he also passed the CHIPS act. Also just a small side note, the main island of Taiwan is called Taiwan. Just like the Big Island of Hawaii is called Hawaii. "Formosa" is more like referring to Jakarta as Batavia or Myanmar as Burma

[@rphb5870]

Why don't any of ye ask the much more relevant question: CAN the US stop China from taking Taiwan. And the answer to that question is NO. In Chinas backyard Chinese military rules supreme. US have no chance

[@Zam_man]

it is not the iphones but the military interest in the worlds best chips available that ensures USA is going to defend taiwan - the US even has contingency plans to work with taiwan in an event that china tries an invasion - the first thing to happen if china were to be poised to take the island is that all the fabs would be destroyed and all of the important tsm workers would be airlifted to US ships and relocated to the US - china will never get their hands on the high end chip fabs (which is the real reason thewy want taiwan to begin with)

[@joaovmlsilva3509]

​@@Zam_man all the military power shown by China in Taiwan was a response to USA approaching more and more by sea and building bases around, And looking at history, it's easier to the US try to invade China or provoke an attack by putting a suspicious amount of forces around China. Even if China do invade it. They have to do it 80x more to even come closer to the threat the US is.

[@rphb5870]

@@Zam_man The US may if they have planned it in advance be able to destroy the factories before China can take them, but the first thing that China would do in an invasion would be a blockade, and if they were foolish enogh to get withing operating distance the destruction of the US pacific fleet. In other words US can't airlift anyone away as everyone would be shot down. The only reason the airlift worked in Berlin was because the US and the Soviets were not at war, the Soviets could have destroyed the airbridge if they wanted war and would from there been able to reach the beach of Normandy with little resistance, but what then? Similarly, don't assume that the US is in a position of strength here, it is not.

[@doujinflip]

The chips can be eventually substituted and fab'd elsewhere. The bigger concern is allowing the PLA submarines free undetected access to the deep ocean, especially since the PRC's nuclear buildup indicates they're no longer interested in mere "minimal credible deterrence" ☢️

[@delmasskipper]

I took your class on Skillshare….question: how do you make the map graphics in your videos? Thanks!

[@willywonka4340]

8:05 love how you make this presentation easy to understand for the layman. Thank you😂

[@vladimirlenin843]

Taiwanese had been wondering this question for 50 years now And the answer is always a resounding maybe.

[@F4URGranted]

After the escalation of the CHIPS act, I had the same question. Thank you for making this video!

[@WoahJustTakeItEasyMan]

Needs to happen, we all know one of the biggest reasons China wants Taiwan is for that super factory for microchips. We need to be able to compete with that going into our tech heavy future

[@dywang32]

@@WoahJustTakeItEasyMan They wanted Taiwan way before semiconductors were even a thing

[@armandoventura9043]

@@WoahJustTakeItEasyMan China is not looking for Taiwan for that, microchips are just a business for the defense of Taiwan China seeks to annex Taiwan out of sheer anger pride, the fact that the communist party has failed to take down the previous government is annoying to guys like Xi Jingping, besides that it's the only thing that prevents China from being a complete maritime power

[@aliensinnoh1]

@@WoahJustTakeItEasyMan Invading to take over chip manufacturing facilities doesn't make much sense. A huge war would have a high likelihood of damaging those facilities beyond repair.

[@WoahJustTakeItEasyMan]

@@aliensinnoh1 it's just one reason of many, but it's absolutely a major asset they want under their control. Of course they also want the dominating force in South China sea, and they want the world to see them as a superpower that can project strength. But it's interesting how they were fine with the one china policy for decades, and now in our current microchip era... they have declared they plan to "reclaim" taiwan by 2027. Doesn't seem like a coincidence

[@daxia66]

Thanks for the very convincing video!In the future coverage of Taiwan, and US/Sino geopolitics, perhaps you can consider including South China Sea?

[@whatsup3519]

Bro, is there any business strategy playbook? Could you please make a video about it. Why some business win and fail.

[@justinyang21114798]

I recently learned that my grandfather fought in Kinman in 1949 and 1950, and with that I am currently doing my military service in Taiwan.

[@vschmerz]

感謝您服兵役，台灣會需要你！

[@locomotive9000]

If war does happen, don't die for American LGBT terrorist arms dealers. Taiwan should not make the same mistakes as Ukraine.

[@vschmerz]

@@locomotive9000 what? No we’d be dying for our homes. Not everything is about America.

[@Xyrozen]

@@vschmerzhow about u guys just united with Mainland China, since u guys r both Chinese and avoid the death and destruction of Asia.

[@sret7880]

I think Tw authority doesn't appreciate you guys.... i realized that they passed a bill to cut military retiree pension benefit.... perhaps time to wake up....

[@AdityaRathoreproduction]

Being a geopolitical youtuber myself, I admit this was a great video, you are an inspiration! ❤🙏🏼

[@asr4327]

Yes! Aditya you make great stuff too

[@asrcorpdigital6197]

@@asr4327polymatter and Aditya rathore r both gems 💎

[@rogan6947]

Why are you admitting it? Plenty of room for quality geopolitical youtubers.

[@JamesChenisKing]

This is one of the most balanced and fair assessment I’ve heard. In fact most of your videos are.

[@user-cd4bx6uq1y]

This channel will always be here

[@verylongname8161]

The fact that this video came out at almost the same time as RLL's and Not what You think's videos, on China and Taiwan.. and all are like ~20 mins long

[@BigBoss-sm9xj]

i know right. It's a good morning for all of us

[@alexpotts6520]

Let's just hope that this is question we never have to find out the answer to

[@notsojharedtroll23]

Off topic: that thumbnail is soooo goood 🎉🎉🎉 it gave me an aesthetic experience 😊😊😊

[@bigbadlara5304]

Wow, this video really made me think about things.

[@darklight4255]

Yes

[@yapzormiracle1402]

If you look at first island chain you will get the point

[@timwildauer5063]

I really want a full history of the civil war that lead to the split, any and all treaties signed by the two parties, and how each side views those. Is the war over? Is it a ceasefire? Something like Korea? Most videos take one side or the other, mostly based on which side they want to take today, and project those arguments back in time.

[@SewolHoONCE]

Two go to dates: 1894 and the Republic of Formosa - pre 1600 when, according to oral history, Beautiful Sweet Potato Island was populated and ruled by 19 city states.

[@deanzaZZR]

Nothing has been signed or resolved. The PRC and ROC governments are technically still at war with one another. Yet two way trade is over $400 billion a year.

[@FF-le3ps]

Jabzy has done a good series on it

[@hc434]

Well the fact is the ROC and KMT were both founded in China back when Taiwan was part of the Japanese empire. They did not even originally claim Taiwan because Taiwan was Japan's territory. The Chinese civil war began when Taiwan was part of the Japanese empire, and most of it was fought while Taiwan was part of the Japanese empire. So the Chinese civil war initially had absolutely nothing at all to do with Taiwan. When the ROC/KMT lost to the communists in China and fled to Taiwan in 1949, they oppressed the Taiwanese for 4 decades as a military dictatorship imposing martial law and the Taiwanese generally preferred Japanese rule over the ROC/KMT dictatorship. So it is absolutely nothing like Korea, because Taiwan and China are historically separate (only ruled together for 212 years under the Manchurian Qing dynasty) - and the Taiwanese people were actually oppressed by the ROC foreign government in exile. The ROC was a foreign oppressor to the Taiwanese The ROC in Taiwan should get some credit for becoming democratic in the 1990's, but that was really only because Taiwan-born politicians forced them to end their military dictatorship and democratize. The Taiwanese have since voted the KMT party (originally from China) out of power more often than not, replacing it with the homegrown Taiwanese DPP party (actually founded in Taiwan)

[@SewolHoONCE]

@@hc434 We repeat: According to the best interpretation of oral history, Beautiful Sweet Potato Island, before 1600AD, was governed by 19 city-states who have common ancestors with the King of Tonga. Perhaps the King of Tonga should decide the sovereignty over Beautiful Sweet Potato Island!

[@JackyVSO]

Great video! Just a heads-up of for future videos: the J in Beijing is really pronounced like a J. It's Bay-Jing, not Bay-Shing.

[@auspiciouslywild]

As often with videos covering this topic, the subject of Taiwans elections is sorely missing. Something which is extremely important to understand the ebb and flow of Chinas aggressiveness and friendliness towards Taiwan. Taiwan is currently ruled by the DPP/“the green party”. One that generally moves towards independence (but very slowly). This pushes China towards aggression in an attempt to scare the people of Taiwan from voting for them, and to discourage DPP from moving towards independence. The problem is that China has painted themselves into a corner. Due in part to their aggression, the KMT party, which has been the one favouring the one china principle (though hypothetically under KMT, even if that’s completely unrealistic at this point), is increasingly becoming unelectable. To young people they’re seen as Chinas puppet. Perhaps righty so. The only way out of this vicious cycle is for China to change its attitude towards the DPP. Changing their level of aggression or diplomacy towards Taiwan based on the ruling party is simply not viable anymore. They would likely have much more to gain by continuing to strengthen economic ties even during times when DPP is the ruling party. It’d make it easier for KMT to be elected again, and it’d make Taiwan more economically dependent on China. DPP can’t and won’t declare full independence anyway. China has nothing to lose. Unfortunately the current leader of China is just not very bright. It’s well known that his judgement is extremely clouded by ideology and has surrounded himself with yes men. We just have to hope that the status quo can be maintained until he is gone.

[@rainboworiental9521]

Actually has a misunderstanding. During the last year local election, kmt take the control of 3/4 counties during the election. So actually taiwanese don't elects the kmt in president isn't mainly due to they dislike the perspective of kmt instead of the unpopular presidency canditates from kmt and chaotic presidency compaign

[@l34han]

KMT is a dead party. I’m Chinese and I don’t even think KMT will ever again win a presidential election.

[@user-oe2fs6bj1m]

投票能獨立那為什麼不讓烏克蘭烏東四州獨立還有蘇格蘭威爾士北愛爾蘭西班牙加泰尼亞美國阿拉斯加獨立？既然投票就能獨立為什麼當年美國會爆發南北戰爭？想要插手中國內戰你們這幫殖民者最好玉石俱焚的思想準備！

[@dionysus326]

From a taiwanese point of view, people in Taiwan care more about domestic policy than foreign policy. So no matter the blue or green party wins, it does not imply whether we want independence or not

[@muic4880]

@@rainboworiental9521 No, Taiwanese local election was always domestic focus. The presidential election was the opposite.

[@yuyutubee8435]

I cringe at the number of KZbinrs who assume that U.S. intelligence hasn't already thought through every possible scenario offered in these admonishing videos. Johnny Harris does the same thing constantly. This is the same U.S. intelligence community that accurately predicted the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February, 2022, not the intelligence community that spectacularly failed to predict the outcome of the Iraq and Afghan wars 20 years ago.

[@JMurph2015]

I don't see how you see them so differently. The intelligence community (NSA, CIA, RAND) generally operates outside of political cycles. US intelligence really lacks HUMINT frequently (badly interpreted reports, lack of sources, etc), but satellite imagery and communications interception are absolutely second to none. The people doing strategic planning generally are sound as long as they have good inputs. This interplay is why a) the US correctly detected troop buildup and action plans for invading Ukraine b) the US missed the part where the Russian soldiers were way too busy selling military hardware for booze to bother doing regular maintenance on their vehicles and c) why the strategic assessment was that Ukraine would get quickly rolled over and that the best action available was to arm a predicted large, bloody insurgency. So the US intelligence was partially right; HOWEVER, that miss on the Russian troop/equipment quality meant that we missed the opportunity to ship them heavy weaponry immediately which would have really put a stop to this invasion quickly.

[@workoutandread]

Okay why don't make a video on exactly what information you have from US intelligence on the subject matter...oh wait you have none except this retarded comment. Thanks bro! So useful! Why don't you go back to playing fortnite and hoping your streaming career will take off.

[@doujinflip]

There's also the political appointees between the IC and President who filtered the information based on 43's interests and preferences, giving a rosy picture leading quickly to "Mission Accomplished".

[@kirandeepchakraborty7921]

Amazing video.

[@Sp-gu6tt]

Really love your videos ... Wish I could work with you

[@gabagool...not_italian...]

4:20 Imagine a timeline where the confederate states of america lost the civil war and fled to Puerto Rico. And then Britain, the global superpower at the time, recognized the confederacy as a country, but not the US. And then if they had a defensive pact with them for decades, stationed troops on the island, and then for the remainder of its time as the global hegemon skirted around saying "we will militarily intervene to keep the confederacy independent from the US". We would think of that as pretty crazy, no?

[@jevinliu4658]

Now imagine if the CSA became a multi-party democracy with similar rights and philosophies the UK has, with all the safety net benefits most European countries have. With concerted attempts to reduce inequality, resulting in little differences in racial attainment and little racial inequality. Would the CSA be that bad in that case?

[@spicyonion736]

​@jevinliu4658 yes, it would still violate the full sovereignty of the actual US (btw your claim that taiwan is a fully functioning democracy is flawed)

[@mexicoxv2236]

Do you speak like if the creation of the EU was something positive, eu is the responsibility of the horror of the last century, whatever he would have does not exist, tawain is not even recognize as country by USA, many years ago USA delivered tawain and the tibet to china in change they opened the doors to the market. Do you speak like if the creation of the EU was something positive, eu is the responsibility of the horror of the last century, whatever he would have does not exist, tawain is not even recognize as country by USA, many years ago USA delivered tawain and the tibet to china in change they opened the doors to the market.

[@spedmonkey8051]

@@spicyonion736prc shill lol

[@atomicfly777]

@Gabagool. Your analogy is flawed and only works if the Union had lost and fled to Puerto Rico. The CSA like the CCP were the revolting faction. In any event your analogy also ignores that Taiwan (like Japan and South Korea) have evolved into US proxy states that the West is heavily invested in. As with most conflicts, it comes down to resources and the defense thereof.

[@onlybryanliu]

The question is not whether US will defend Taiwan, is whether Japan will. And if Japan does, US won’t be far behind

[@nickyliu8762]

Buddy, Japan won't do shit without U.S. consent. After all, it's not Japan, that is entertaining naval bases in Okinawa, Hawaii and San Francisco.

[@zenpai5998]

@@nickyliu8762Japan considers this a threat to national security… so yeah they will get involved, shit happens when you attempt to attack another country.

[@varunrajesh6516]

@@zenpai5998 Japanese government does but the Japanese people are deeply pacifist and inward. It will be very difficult to get/force Japanese men to go out in the sea and fight the PLA.

[@bashtosmash03]

@@varunrajesh6516and the Japanese public would be okay Taiwan being invaded? They will be the next one for China Numba 1.

[@varunrajesh6516]

@@bashtosmash03 Japan will just wait for the US to intervene and save them. It's a neutered country. They'll do everything the US asks of them except militarily join the war. Much of the young men spend all their free time on video games and anime, too scared to even ask a girl out. How many will pick up a gun and fight the PLA a sea away, the largest army in the world?

[@D0ubleSwipe]

*Battlefield 4 Loading Music Starts Playing*

[@TheLabecki]

Thank you. It is difficult to come upon even-handed analysis of these sorts of issues these days. Most people do not seek understanding on these matters, so much as trying to persuade the viewer to dislike one side or the other.

[@hsienkangliu1436]

Bro just spend 15 minutes talking about the ambiguity 😂

[@armandoventura9043]

I have a better question: Will China even attempt an invasion of Taiwan? Looking at the current state of the Russian military, it would not surprise anyone if China were in a similar state. Although the fact that the US becomes closed or weak is still very big

[@Avaricumstudios]

What's wrong with the Russian military.....I think you need to understand the nuanced reasons why Russia invaded Ukraine and Russia has successfully attained those aims ....Russias intention was never to conquer Ukraine....Russia wanted the Donbas region...they failed to capture Kyiv and force Ukraine into a humiliating treaty but they quickly realised that and pulled away and focused on the donbas..If the Russian military was in such a sorry state as pro western media would have us believe, I don't think they would be supplying aircraft to Mali or sponsoring coups in Sudan or holding off the counter offensive, or even successfully crushing a mutiny within hours....Prigozhin knew what he was facing and he got scared and for someone who fought in Bakhmut ,that's saying something. I'm not pro Russia but the media constantly moves the goalposts when talking about Russias goals in order to create a narrative that the Russians haven't achieved anything...Bakhmut went from a non important city, to a ruin that would be useless, to a city of zero strategic value again ,but Ukrainians are attacking and attacking bakhmut again and if they advance it's referred to as a strategic city but if they are repelled the media says they are feeling for weaknesses at the Russian front ,I mean which is which

[@vschmerz]

They will if they want our island, and if they come, they will fail.

[@DonkeyKong992]

These politicians are playing 3-D chess

[@The88Cheat]

Sometimes I comment on videos of creators I like even if I dont really have anything to say just to help them with the algorithm.

[@Wha2les]

Brilliantly presented without partisanship and with the right amount of nuisance.

[@Homer-OJ-Simpson]

For the most part. It still seems to go easy on China like many of his videos.

[@Wha2les]

@@Homer-OJ-Simpson not really. If you start attacking China, then it would seem partisan. The Mainland, Taiwan, and US have different lens on this issue. And frankly, the way American frame things often just makes the Mainland and Taiwan more skittish. He did a great job presenting the mainland and Taiwan perspective, and highlighted how different actions by different actors build on each other. If you want videos on attacking China and more tough rhetoric, you obviously would look elsewhere because that wasn't the point of the videos.

[@Homer-OJ-Simpson]

@@Wha2les " If you start attacking China, then it would seem partisan." This is what I call the false 'centrist' argument. Would you say the same about Adolph? Would you produce a youtube video detailing what he did with a 'centrist' angle? Would a totally not bias non partisan video of Adolph make both the Jews and Adolph look equal? I understand what your saying but I disagree. Playing right down the middle makes it look like both sides have equal arguments but that is dangerous and can lead to prop/agandda.

[@prevaloir5362]

Go further in depth please.

[@Wha2les]

@@Homer-OJ-Simpson we are not talking about the morality of governments. Like the United States is the beacon of virtues? You tell me a government that is the untarnished beacon of virtue, and I'll buy you dinner or something. We are only talking about the territorial dispute of the unfinished Civil war in China. You can not blame the Mainland for wanting to complete its territorial claim on Taiwan. It's not like ROC doesn't have claims on Mainland China either. Both claim each other and the South China Sea, and ROC also claimed Mongolia too. Nor can you attack Taiwan for not wanting to unify with the mainland right now. After all, it is easier to give a society freedoms than to take it away. And Taiwan sees how Hong Kong is changing and they are saying no thanks. Those are the facts. Human rights record and all your other criticisms on China, US, etc doesn't matter. We are only in this mess because the CCP in 1949 wasn't able to cross the Taiwan Straits to conquer Taiwan after the KMT fucked up the war on the mainland. And if you look at all the insane logistics of D-Day, you would not expect them to. And that is why this problem exist. Your Hitler argument is irrelevant... Hitler wanted to take over Europe and disregard other countries sovereignty and eradicate people he didn't like. That is totally different than the China Taiwan issue. Taiwan was a part of China before 1890s when China lost Taiwan to Japan. Japan returned it after WW2 and was under Chinese territorial sovereignty when the KMT fled there in 1949. It's like saying if US have a civil war today, and the green party or whatever fled to Hawaii and govern it separately from Washington while maintaining everything else as American, it would be biased/partisan/whatever to say obviously US have an interest in reunifying with Hawaii... When it is perfectly rational.

[@georgejhuang]

Years ago, it would be a choice for the US to defend Taiwan or not. Today, it's a necessity as we rely on Taiwan for our computer chips that power everything we use, not just weapons. We also need to hold Taiwan to secure Japan and South Korea, and to prevent PRC from having easy and secretive access to the Pacific Ocean. So in effect, the US does not have a choice but to prevent Taiwan from falling into PRC's hands.

[@l34han]

Did US also prevent Ukraine from Russia to secure NATO members and prevent Russia from having easy and secretive access to Europe?

[@valor9996]

​@l34han we did until we had a mush for brains president and putin sees how weak we are now.

[@__goat__]

​@@valor9996covfefe

[@carlosmendez3638]

⁠@@l34hanThat’s a completely different case. Ukraine doesn’t have access to the ocean easily therefore even if Russia gained complete control of Ukraine they couldn’t move so “secretly” without the EU and US knowing about it. If China gained control of Taiwan they would’ve easy access to international water. Get the big difference?

[@j4genius961]

@@valor9996 Crimea was invaded under Trump lol

[@chiefjudge8456]

Honestly the way that America has managed to manipulate both sides into peace is a masterclass in high level plays. Respect.

[@willywonka4340]

9:09 I love the view of rural Taiwan. Every time I visited the island this is the view from the High Speed Rail 🚈 😅

[@-www.chapters.video-]

00:01 Introduction to the propaganda station in Kinmen 01:19 Kinmen's transformation from a highly-fortified garrison to a commercialized museum 02:24 The vulnerability of Kinmen and Taiwan's dependence on the United States 03:30 President Biden's commitment to defend Taiwan 04:09 The historical background of US-Taiwan relations 05:10 Clarifying the US commitment to Taiwan 06:07 The death of America's policy of strategic ambiguity 08:14 The delicate balance of the status quo and America's role in maintaining it 10:52 Biden's statement in the context of maintaining the balance 11:50 Uncertainties and complexities of US-Taiwan relations 12:42 The impact and implications of Biden's statement on China 14:38 Biden’s comments inadvertently feed into Beijing’s suspicions. 15:11 Both countries could veer into a conflict that neither one wants. 15:36 America has sold Taiwan billions of dollars worth of its best weapons 16:01 Increase the cost of an attack by investing in the right defenses. 17:14 Reality is much more complicated. 18:18 Nebula is also home to other fantastic Originals like RealLifeLore’s Modern Conflicts, explaining the wars we always hear about but rarely have time to untangle.

[@itsSandanuK]

Evan crafted the video in a way that it doesn't make much sense if someone started to watch from the middle. Nevertheless, Thanks!

[@Avg-Usr]

From the national security point of view, Taiwan is key to the US policy of containment. This is why the US is maintaining alliances with S. Korea, Japan, Taiwan, and the Philippines. We want to contain the PRC's aggression by surrounding it with allies in the pacific, and abandoning Taiwan would basically let hell break lose.

[@Alhussainba]

What PRC aggression? I don't see the prc invading iraq or funding terrorism groups in the middle east? How many governments and leaders did the CIA topple and how many did their chinese equivalent did?

[@hx5525]

⁠@@AlhussainbaLet’s be real here, China is incapable of invading anyone in this day and age, and invasion wouldn’t be beneficial overall, they can use diplomacy to get what they want. China did try to invade Vietnam but fail, and did reannex Tibet the moment it got the chance. America does it because it can absolutely get away with it, China doesn’t because they are incapable of withstanding the consequences. If China was capable of doing that they would certainly do what America does, probably worse things too.

[@tung-hsinliu861]

@@Alhussainba The US has had its bad deeds, it's undisputable. But if you go to somewhere in East, SE or NE Asia, you will know that people there hate China to some extent for a reason. Not really breaking into your house and trying to kill you, but to the extent of frequently sabotaging your backyard and sometimes claiming it as theirs. And for a geopolitical point of view, the US stands a similar interest as them, that's all. I'm sorry about what the US did in the middle east, but I have to say that I don't like whenever people talk about China's agression, someone has to divert the topic pointing out that the US has done worse. Yes, but that doesn't rule out the fact that China IS getting more aggressive against its neighbors. And in those neighbors' perspective, that has to be dealt with.

[@ravanpee1325]

@@tung-hsinliu861 The US killed more innocent people - alone million civilians in Vietnam - than China will ever do

[@theotherohlourdespadua1131]

As a Filipino, I don't like PRChina at all. Beijing funded the Commie NPA here that is still a problem even to this day. They took away what is rightfully tye Philippines under the UNCLOS and shot at out fishermen. No way I am going to accept those dirty Commies as anything close to friends...

[@yurydmorales]

You should Collab with ColdFusionTV in one area in common; both are super talented and do your homework investigating

[@larsmurdochkalsta8808]

Okay but if the treaty says that we will resist attempted unilateral changes to the status quo. Does sending armed forces to combat armed forces not sound like resistance? I'm further into the videos. I'm not remembering the exact wording but my precise reaction was oh that sounds very clearly like If either of you fuck around you will find out

[@nicbahtin4774]

"Everyone may be called comrade, but some comrades have the power of life and death over other comrades."~Thomas Sowell

[@rimondas6729]

He vote have the same power but that doesn't mean your have the same influence like Bill gates.

[@NinjaMan47]

Ironically, when he says that foreign policy is being obsessed with the American perspective he continues to ignore the Chinese side. He is completely discounting any domestic Chinese motivation for escalation and exclusively focused on American actions changing the staus quo, it's a very odd take.

[@l34han]

Lmao “China’s provocation”. You speak like Taiwan is on the coast of Florida instead of China.

[@N3bulAura]

I feel like it could be an odd take because Chinese escalation is the more common discussion topic

[@anjunadeep.8384]

​@@lu544 Go back to school you fool.

[@N3bulAura]

That being said with the release of the new American policy plan document thing, people now have an idea of what the US is setting up for. Thanks to the news cycle having the attention of a toddler it's their main focus atm

[@BenDover-qh8wy]

@@lu544 it isn't and it never was, according to USA

[@whz1991]

the answer is no, but US may ask China to show mercy

[@keenx4515]

In fact, China's attitude towards reunification never changed. The reason why Taiwan can maintain its current situation is that in 1950, when the People's Liberation Army tried to land on Taiwan to end the war, China and the United States broke out in Korea, and the United States fleet entered the Taiwan Strait. This action made the landing impossible. In theory, the war is not over.In fact, the mainland has also formulated several offensive plans, but they have all stopped because of the United States.This also made China realize that it is impossible to bypass the United States to achieve a unified plan. So in the future, conflicts with the United States may occur before unified action

[@VaguerCaesar790]

I think they will! They are building capabilities in the region and Japan especially has also been improving its defence industry. Ultimately, no neighbour of China wants to see them gain a foothold in the region due to the nine-dash line and territorial ambitions. As we are currently seeing in Ukraine, a so called big power needs support to keep up momentum because if not well…things go south pretty quickly.

[@umarmurtaza7942]

America has hyped these things. China will never attack them with force. Everyone is not like America invading countries for Thier resources

[@arnowisp6244]

People cheering Russia forgot that Analyst before the war said Russia would Overrun Ukraine in 1 month at best. It's been more than a Year now.

[@AdaFear]

I always find myself thinking “What is this world leader doing?! They’ve just made a comedic blunder that has destroyed years of progress!” But when I actually look deeper into these questions I almost always realize that those decisions make a lot of sense given the current circumstances, we always laught at world leaders, but most of these people are actually geniuses in their field.

[@canalalex0119]

Not only that, but the leaders are hopefully surrounded by a lot of smart people, who can advise the leaders

[@johnmcclane4430]

It's amazing how nothing was said in over fifteen minutes.

[@joemiller947]

Does a tree falling in the woods make a sound if you're not listening?

[@prohacker5086]

feels like chatgpt writes the script, then you use a shuffler to hide it

[@cdub1059]

16:35 as a Taiwanese, I can tell you all that many Taiwanese were outraged when we heard about the laying mines and sea mines option a few years ago. US is basically asking us completely forget about our economy that heavily depends on exporting and transfer ports. Which country would dare send their cargo ships to our ports to trade with us? US is asking us to starve to death in our so called "porcupine fortress".

[@jevinliu4658]

So we are asking Taiwan to be more like Switzerland or Finland? It is entirely possible for a country in a tense region to both fortify itself to the teeth and also retain economic power. And in fact, be filthy rich. Of course, there is a careful balance that has to be balanced IN THE SHORT TERM, but in the long term it can be done. Keep in mind this is a deterrence strategy, not something intended to be used. Yes, if war happens, then the strategy has already partially failed.

[@cdub1059]

You are not smart to compare Taiwan with Switzerland, Finland or even Ukraine. These countries have NATO backup and can transport resources through land. Taiwan is an island and wouldn't even have enough food if a blockade happens. Also, it's a lot easiser for Switzerland, Finland, Ukraine to keep war refugees safe by leaving the war zone unlike Taiwan. Finally, don't forget that there is still an identity crisis going on in Taiwan, most people disagree with CCP but many still recognize their Chinese heritage. This reduces overall combat willingness as well.

[@mexicoxv2236]

In the hypothetical case that China resort to force to unificate twain or wherever they call the process, The taiwanese people think deserve to fight for their indenpence, I suppose the people there is concient it is not possible to win againt china, and a situation where usa and thier alliae send weapon just will increase the destruction.

[@flutterwind7686]

What alternative do you propose? If china wants to invade it must do so in 15 years or give up any dream of doing so. So the threat if it exists must mitigated here and now.

[@o0ohahao]

I also doubt what will happen if that happen, but the problem u concern may have a solution. did u know they airdropped west Berlin for a year at 1948. anyway depend on yourself better than others@@cdub1059

[@tinderswipe]

@PolyMatter 4:54 is wrong. The US should "provide" weapons, it didn't say "sell". H.R.2479 - Taiwan Relations Act: the United States shall provide Taiwan with arms of a defensive character and shall maintain the capacity of the United States to resist any resort to force or other forms of coercion that would jeopardize the security, or social or economic system, of the people of Taiwan.

[@stimublu8570]

The successfully defense of the 1950s invasion was pretty rock. Since KMT was so utterly courpt, Chinese has perfect intel about KMT planning of the defense and prepared accordingly, decided to invade at the least defended day. Since KMT was so utterly courpt, a landing craft's commander was running a smuggling ring of canned spam meat and fruit to the island. Failling to recieve payment he decided to stay the ship in the island against stated order. So when the invansion came, in form of many wooded raft and light infantry, a landing craft with metal armor and 20mm cannon has to defending its spam money.

[@kevinu.k.7042]

This is a superb vlog. Perceptive and thoughtful. Thank you. In the back of my mind is the fact that Taiwan makes most of the worlds Chips. This must weigh heavily in the scale of things.

[@LiosProsum]

I wouldn't call this a vlog at all but otherwise I completely agree.

[@iluvpandas2755]

Yep Taiwan is surviving off of its computer chip industry.

[@kevinu.k.7042]

@@LiosProsum Yup and, so is the rest of the world and that is the point.

[@raybarry4307]

I have written this in what feels like a hundred billion comment sections now but I'll say it again here. An invasion of Taiwan is not as easy as a decision being made in Beijing. China can't (successfully) invade Taiwan at this moment and they very very frustratingly know it. Because their navy is lacking the one thing needed more than anything else to carry it out. Troopships. They have troopships but the number they currently have is enough to deliver just enough troops so as to be overwhelmed and crushed very quickly. And they're not likely to have the proper number for some time because they're too busy building aircraft carriers that break very easily and other surface warships that are over matched the second they leave port by the navy of the United States. And before someone suggests Airborne landings- No. This isn't D-Day in 1944. Any attempted Airborne landing by the PRC would get more than half their drop ships blown out of the sky 4 seconds after breaching Taiwanese airspace. So an invasion is just not in the cards for the PRC anytime soon. Because a failed invasion would be a thousand times more damaging diplomatically than militarily.

[@vschmerz]

The fact that your comment has no likes or replies is a crime.

[@raybarry4307]

@@vschmerz Thank You

[@live_free_or_perish]

Maybe...

[@TobiasBroad]

So we’re just going to ignore the recent trade deal and all the ramifications? Ever since you’ve partnered with Nebula the quality of videos on China have been really so-so.

[@daxia66]

Nebula -> nebulous 😂

[@joeyjojojrshabadoo7462]

Either way this is it's just more reason to have a strong domestic chip production.

[@Pwn3dbyth3n00b]

The real question is could China actually invade Taiwan and successfully take it over? Taiwan is basically a floating fort/aircraft carrier with US aircraft carrier islands all around.

[@jacktam7673]

Definitely not

[@prodigalsoniv48]

Answer is no. The amphibious assault to claim the island would be suicide, and even if they manage to fight their way to the island, it’ll be Vietnam 2.0 given its terrain and vast network of underground bases in the mountains. If the Taiwanese people choose to fight, no nation could occupy this island

[@alfthai]

Contrary to other respondents, I truly think the answer is yes they can take it over. China can quite feasibly take control of Taiwan, but given the geography it will be with a heavy heavy cost. The real question isn't IF it can be done, it's questions of how long will it take and how much will it cost that matter in my opinion. The time it takes will determine the international response, and the toll(militarily, economically, etc) will determine when it will be worth it. .

[@CHINESE_PRIDE]

🤣 China can't even handle India

[@chico9805]

​@@prodigalsoniv48The assumption is always of a preliminary amphibious assualt, but what is not explained is why China would ever do this. Instead of committing to such a costly maneuver, what stops China from simply blockading Taiwan and sinking any U.S. ships that come to relieve it?

[@RayQiaoTW]

Unfortunately, this video makes the same fundamental mistake that so many others do: saying that Taiwan needs to “declare independence”. Taiwan does not need to do that. Taiwan (ROC) is already an independent nation. It has never been part of any other nation. Practically everyone in Taiwan supports the status quo, which is independence as the ROC, an independence we already have and our government has openly emphasized numerous times.

[@harryliu5089]

…do you know what a real country means? A group of people being together and say they’re a country doesn’t mean they’ve built a country. Two weeks ago Blinken said again, that US does not support Taiwan independence, and they support one-China policy. Taiwan doesn’t dare to declare independence, because the moment they do, the war starts, and they know it.

[@vschmerz]

It implies that we are somehow a part of China(PRC) and we need to leave them when we were never a part of Communist China to begin with

[@FF-qo6rb]

Constitutionally, mainland China is still part of ROC. I think the independence declaration means to change that in constitution.

[@vschmerz]

@@FF-qo6rb yes

[@AZ-zk6fr]

不對喔，在中華民國憲法上中國大陸依然屬於中華民國 而且以經濟層面來講，如果我們繼續這個國號，未來共產黨倒台後，我們將會繼承明清以來的龐大外債 我記得光是對美國的債務就超過幾億美元，更別說對其他國家的債務了 台灣是一個歷史不久的國家，我們的外債非常之少，你是否能夠想像當一個小小的島嶼背上十四億人的債務，那會是什麼情況嗎？尤其我們現在少子化 你是一個聰明人，請站在經濟層面上好好為我們的國家思考，我還年輕可不想背上巨額債務😂😂😂

[@davidputt4638]

Needs a better thumbnail. Awesome video though!

[@turnleft8645]

RealLifeLore + Polymatter on same day = day complete

[@infidelheretic923]

The little things would make a difference here. Stockpiling food and fuel, increasing military conscription, and preparing ship denial defenses are what Taiwan should be focusing on and the US should help them do it. And if Taiwan declares independence the US should back it. If China is smart their response to this will be economic rather than militaristic. Cutting off trade, denying visas, etc.

[@ryanreedgibson]

And the US will. Although this video does not discuss, there are many other entanglements that make Taiwan's democracy a security must for places far away as Australia.

[@tonysofla]

U.S can't back their independence as PRC only allows countries to choose one, no way U.S would ditch diplomatic ties and embassies in a country that is 1/6th of the planet.

[@TechieWidget]

The more I think about the two Chinas / Taiwan issue, the more I think about how Chiang Kai-Shek, the Kuomintang and Imperial Japan really screwed up back then and indirectly created a Chinese superpower that we are facing today. Had Imperial Japan not invaded China, videos like this wouldn't exist.

[@pattyandbustershow1031]

I would like to think so. We've not always done well, but we have given our word

[@chescokun]

Poly and RLL video in the same day? We definitely getting news this was a PsyOp ala Conintelpro but anti Chinese instead.