Inflation data making rate cuts difficult, economist explains

In the wake of the hotter-than-expected March CPI report, expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts have started to shift. Deutsche Bank Senior US Economist Brett Ryan joins Yahoo Finance to share his outlook on the central bank's monetary policy path.
Ryan states that Wednesday's CPI data has forced the Fed's anticipated rate cut trajectory to go "out the door." He notes that the "window is somewhat small" for the Fed to gain enough confidence to justify a rate cut as soon as June or July. Given the Fed's data-dependent approach, Ryan says there is no "clear indication" that inflation is returning to the central bank's target. As a result, he believes it is "hard to see significant rate cuts this year."
While concerns are rising about the possibility of a rate hike replacing cut expectations, Ryan says, "The probabilities are still very much skewed toward cuts."
#youtube #inflation #stockmarket
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Great video, I have a quick question. I am an aspiring trader, I am looking study some traders and earn off their expertise rather than investing myself and lose money emotionally. Whats your take on copy trading? Do people really make money? Just looking for some reassurance. Thank you!

[@marlisamirabal]

Just ''buy the dip'' man. In the long term it will payoff. High interest rates usually mean lower stock prices, however investors should be cautious of the bull run, its best you connect with a well-qualified adviser to meet your growth goals and avoid blunder

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[@avarmauk]

This transitory inflation sure is taking its time…

[@davinxi5926]

Why is everything 100% more expensive

[@SkankHuntForty2]

😂 everything is more expensive and Biden and the Democrats keep telling us that inflation is down and the economy is good. 😂😂😂

[@nickvin7447]

Inflation is roaring back.

[@TOdoubledizzle24]

It doesnt really even matter. Everything is already in motion!

[@colliswilliams8992]

There aren't going to be rate cuts. There will be rate hikes, and you're going to lose your job. Have a nice day.

[@nathanpatera9836]

I say up it 25 points now

[@davidmartin6266]

A raise is due.

[@karmasutra4774]

This was listed as having been updated two hours ago, but it was loaded 4 days ago . So is this from last week?

[@pakone83]

Yahoo Finance has no match, Stay Blessed whole team........

[@user-vb3fl6js2n]

My exact thought.

[@d.s.8733]

Likely will be adjusted higher later on as per usual

[@SuperReyand]

Inflation - pumped energy prices. Government has to intervene here…

[@mark-204]

I believe that there will be a rate cut in December.

[@perumahandicianjur1247]

75 bps in dec?

[@karmasutra4774]

Do you think September? I think towards election

[@melindahase5807]

Won't ever stop if our Government doesn't stop taking money from Energy and Insurance Companies... this is price gouging

[@davideng340]

Did you see that BLS leaked the data to blackrock and jp morgan before publishing the report?

[@Skadooshon]

Why is brets face blurry?

[@oscarwindham6016]

Ouuuu..., we have a "senior" U. S. Economist, and even though I paused the podcast at 0:13 I'm still very, very confident that this "senior" U. S. Economist won't dare touch upon the ONLY tried-and-true system ever used to effectively deal with inflation. We're now talking about the OPA system that stands for the Office of Price Administration system of price controls that was effectively used during and immediately after WW2 when it came to being able to tamp down the greed/avarice of corporate America back then which greed/avarice is usually, not always, but is usually the cause for inflation. However, we NEVER hear these "senior" U. S. Economist 'publicly' discuss the fact that it really is the greed/avarice of the now global conglomerate "Big Corporate Business" entities which includes "Big Oil", that is the real cause for this current surge in record inflation. As for the OPA system of price controls, it was done away with by that era's corrupt, incompetent Congress over the objections of President Truman. My full name is - Oscar Dean Windham.

[@NhatHuyNg]

want price control, centrally-controlled economy? you can always move to cuba or north korea. very simple.

[@oscarwindham6016]

@@NhatHuyNg WRONG! Look it up. The OPA system of price controls was successfully used right here in the U. S. during and immediately after WW2 in order to tamp down the greed/avarice of corporate America and it was done away with over the objects of President Truman by that era's incompetent, corrupt Congress. Also note we're only taking about price controls for those essential for life consumer goods etc. with everything else being exempt. Like, if Tom Cruise wants to charge $100 per ticket for one of his films, more power to him. In other words, there is a lot more to getting inflation under control than meets the eye, before we start paying $100 for a loaf of bread, or more.

[@davinxi5926]

Good insight. Price control mechanism before during and post WW2

[@oscarwindham6016]

@@davinxi5926 Most people do not want to hear about that reality?

[@NhatHuyNg]

@@davinxi5926 want price control, centrally-controlled economy? you can always move to cuba or north korea. very simple.

[@MaxPower-vg4vr]

Here are 4 more examples across different scientific domains where adopting non-contradictory infinitesimal/monadological frameworks can resolve paradoxes in our current models: 13) Molecular Biology / Origin of Life Contradictory Theories: - Oparin-Haldane primordial soup faced paradox of origin of homochirality - RNA world still has paradox of abiogenesis of first replicators - Contradiction between thermodynamics and information origins Non-Contradictory Possibilities: Infinitesimal Protolife Monadic Transitions dsi/dt = κ Σjk Γijk(ℓ)[sj, sk] + ξi ℓ = f(n1...nm) is monad configuration Modeling molecular origins as monadic infinitesimal protolife transition processes based on catalytic relational term algebras Γijk could resolve paradoxes around homochirality, replication, and aligning thermodynamics/information. 14) Neuroscience / Binding Problem Contradictory Models: - Temporal synchrony doesn't fully determine binding - Spatial EM field theories have intervening causes issues - Symbolic theories face combinatoric roadblocks Non-Contradictory Possibilities: Nonlinear Monadological Multiplex Resonances |Φ> = Σn cn Un(Sα) |0> (superposed resonance states) Wn,m = (monad event coefficient) Modeling binding as nonlinear resonances between multiplexed superpositions of monadic representations Un,Vm over spatiotemporal percept structures Sα 15) Economics / Rationality Paradoxes Contradictory Observations: - Allais paradox, Ellsberg paradox violate expected utility theory - St. Petersburg paradox, Berry paradox defy mathematical rationale - Contradictions between micro/macro economic predictions Non-Contradictory Possibilities: Infinitesimal Monadic Stochastic Choice Pr = Σn pn Un(Ω) (monadic decision weight distribution) U = EY [YΩ] + (1-λ)DY [YΩ] (value function with risk aversion) Using infinitesimal stochastic multiplicities over monadically distributed percept-action mapping Ω and incorporating risk/ambiguity attitudes could resolve paradoxes. 16) Causality / Paradoxes in Spacetime Contradictory Results: - Grandma/Grandchild Paradox with time travel - Uncaused/Trunked Formation of Closed Timelike Curves - Casual Disconnection in Cosmic Inflation Non-Contradictory Possibilities: Relational Pluriverse Geometrodynamics Mμ,ν = Gμν(M) + Λ gμν(M) Geodesic[Mμ,ν](a,b)→Paths[Σnp(n)U(n)p →q U(m)q] Representing causality as paths over pluralistic superpositions of monadic transition amplitudes in relational spacetime geometries could avoid paradoxes. In each case, the classical models face paradoxes, contradictions or inconsistencies due to: - Attempting to derive coherent dynamics from incomplete local rules - Separating physical observations from cognitive/choice phenomena - Requiring strict separability of causal processes and observers The non-contradictory monadological approaches resolve these issues by: - Using holistic infinitesimal interaction rules tied to relational percept/transition structures - Integrating physical and cognitive realms within a unified monadic probability framework - Allowing for fundamentally entangled pluralistic realizations over the geometry itself We see a common pattern - paradoxes emerge from overly reductionist classical assumptions segregating realms that are likely unified at deepest levels of reality. Monadological frameworks restore holistic, relational pluralisms. Whether in biogenesis, neurocognition, decision theory or causality - the new infinitesimal, combinatorial and category-theoretic mathematics of monadological relations is unveiling radically non-reductionist reinstantiations of coherence across our most obstinate paradoxes. By centering relational interaction algebras and embracing irreducible pluralisms, these new model architectures systematically avoid contradictions plaguing classical overly-separable, overly-deterministic theories. We are glimpsing the resolutions that come from realigning symbolic reality-representations with experiential first-person integral structures. The paradox-free future of science may lie in this audacious monadological reinvention - restoring coherent holistic resonance between our descriptive abstractions and the inescapable unified pluriverse reality we fundamentally comprise.

[@bsKennys]

Nothing new about it. Zero insight

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