YieldMax January 2025 Group D Distribution Estimated for MSTY, SMCY, APLY, AMZY, & YMAX/YMAG

[@chuckdunahee2654]

Thanks again for all the effort you put into creating these videos! We really enjoy them, and I use the information to help make decisions on my next YieldMax purchase. I’m planning to buy more MSTY and SCMY on Monday, aiming slightly lower at $2.11. Loving my new R.O.D. coffee mug!

[@RetireonDividends]

Cheers

[@kevinmendoza4402]

Today is the big show! 🚀📈

[@joannemeeks745]

🎥 Estimates are the best show 🍿 🥤 of the week 👏 👏 👏.

[@mom2collegekids26]

Great show! ❤ I like when you also talk about the underlyings.

[@tylerpashel1789]

Anything over $2 on MSTY I will be happy. I own 3k shares but I will not be reinvesting into this.

[@KingPriyom]

10k/month is enough

[@HowardTibsTheThird]

I’m think even or slightly under. And I’m also thinking…maybe I should snag some SMCY! Thanks for the work you put into this and sharing it with us!

[@stevehammer781]

I always appreciate your excellent analysis. 5 stars!

[@bills.1390]

Great job Rod. I am doing a bit of re-balancing, yesterday's DRY video saved me a couple hours of research. Thanks ! (under)

[@RetireonDividends]

Thank you so much

[@samjamesalberastine101]

On August MSTY.paid $1.8. What was their IV on August?

[@kevdogg32]

Rod you need to get an insulated tumbler and brand it and sell it. That way you can show it on videos and have hot coffee.

[@georgiegirl7]

Always enjoy this series Mark, thank you 🙏🏼

[@tennischesslover]

Under for sure, in my observation your estimates are always higher than what YieldMax pays, slightly. Love your channel and your daily updates

[@KingPriyom]

does anyone know if MSTY will do qualified dividends based on beyond the 60 day holding rule? I spoke to yieldmax and they said yes, however I'm still looking for more confirmations from others' inquiries. thanks

[@maisis.2139]

over 2.25. Have a happy weekend.

[@bcfrombu]

Agree with your estimates. The NAVs are gonna get destroyed this week though.

[@EddieDBama]

Favorite show of the week. Going Under.

[@the_humble_investor]

I hope for the best and expect for the worst with my 5100 shares of AIYY, 6100 shares of MSTY and 1600 shares of SMCY 🙏

[@DevinButcher-wp3gz]

Not very humble hehe.. yeah, that’s a super solid ratio I think.

[@DevinButcher-wp3gz]

Than AWESOME div.

[@the_humble_investor]

@@DevinButcher-wp3gz Thank you sir.

[@SydneySimon-s8p]

Feeling all misty eyed about this

[@iscrulz]

Me too got 114 shares ready for Fridays payment. Cha Ching. I’m risking ULTY and have faith in Jay Pestrichelli.

[@stargazer3828]

Under $2.25 for MSTY. What a ticker symbol for LFGY (Let's Freakin Go Yeah!)🙂

[@IamSquidword]

Year starting off a little rough but its a race not a sprint 🏃‍♂️💨 2.25 over They want yo try and keep us happy !

[@Returnofthejedi2000]

Great job Rod …unfortunately your estimates are too high this week …get ready people this weeks payments are going to suck …I’m hoping the market stays down just for this week so we get lower prices on Friday…

[@TerryDrake]

I think your probably pretty close on all on these, I plan on buying more on exdate , these weeks are just flying by

[@HoneyStoneFarm]

Friggn Under!

[@soboguy8]

@RoD: Thank you and have a good Sunday!

[@PolarBear-j7i]

Goodmorning Rod 🎉

[@joycejohnson9760]

Thanks for the guesstimates on group D. I think MSTY will be under😳😳 Hopefully at least $2.00.

[@aaronchen3196]

MSTY $3 ROD ❤❤❤

[@slprn67]

Have a blessed day Mark

[@yayakoita7928]

I am feeling Misti ❤

[@AnhNguyen-u7i4p]

2.25….but hope for more ❤..thank you

[@iAlwaysSpeakTheTruth]

I’m going to say 1.75-1.50, CONY first time ever dipped below $1. Market has been rough.

[@georgiegirl7]

Hello Everyone! Keep the rambling going, I learn from it…Where can I find an updated list with the names of the funds for each week since they added the new ones? And Brad, who would you follow to get information on the underlying stocks for these YM funds?

[@RetireonDividends]

Who’s Brad?

[@georgiegirl7]

@@RetireonDividends Sorry Mark, there’s a Brad on KZbin, it’s just that it’s not you 😊 Got mixed up with the ROD. Love what you do for us. Thanks again 🙏🏼

[@RetireonDividends]

Oh ok but to answer the question, no one in particular I would just search if and listen to a few randoms

[@georgiegirl7]

@ ok. Thank you 🙏🏼

[@saustinredsox]

🎉🎉🎉 MSTY anything over $2.00 is 🎉🎉🎉

[@DDGisme]

Thanks for these videos Rod. Tremendous dedication on your part. I have a very important question...with most of these funds, for several months now, it seems as though almost all of them are NOT making any money on their covered call strategies, and the underlying stock has been drifting lower and lower. When that is the case, you typically say that you will just use the IV to determine the distribution. And in many cases you are very close to actual payouts. But if they are not making any money, and the underlying is going down, where is that distribution coming from? IV is simply a measure of volatility, but does not guarantee their CC's are winning. Do they just suck it out of the NAV? Like putting it on a credit card and somehow hopeful that they can make money the next month to "pay it back"? I am starting to think these YMs might be a house of cards and if they have a few more bad months, they might collapse completely. I just want to understand if I may be missing something big as to how they derive the income to distribute to shareholders.

[@RetireonDividends]

If they don’t have the income then it’s return of capital, keep in mind there are months when they make more in options premium then what they pay out too

[@DDGisme]

@@RetireonDividends OK. That sucks. Getting taxed on the money from my paycheck, to invest it with the YMs in the first place, and then get my own capital returned to me, but need to pay ordinary income tax on that money...that was already taxed to begin with. Double taxation. Seems like almost all of the YMs are getting skunked like this lately and that it has been a couple months in a row. I wonder why they don't just pay what they earn? Seems like a bit of a scam to trick investors.

[@russellbee311]

Do you share this chart with the Discord community?

[@lottadot-01]

This was excellent. Can you explain how you calculate the IV for the funds which have a single underlying?

[@RetireonDividends]

It’s a formula which pulls from a website

[@MikeLove-f5f]

How can I get this spreadsheet?

[@BlueRivers]

Rod for president!

[@scottbraddy5755]

This is why I don’t do options myself. I don’t know how others do. There’s a lot of hype on options in the market. If professionals can’t get it right I surely couldn’t. Rod always calling the right shots on his options. Why not let Rod run options on MSTY. 😅

[@RAri-rc3to]

Hindsight is 20/20, But, Nvda had CES coming up yet their strikes were too tight. I’ve never done a single option myself, in fact I don’t understand 90% of the stuff ROD speaks about, but what I do know is “buy the rumor, sell the news”. Yet it seemed yieldmax had no idea CES was coming up. I was tempted to email them and say, “wake up!! Do you not know of upcoming trade show?!” You gotta know your stocks like they are your children. Yieldmax has too many funds and doesn’t want to put in the extra effort of knowing your kid like the palm of your hand.

[@jsanchez8165]

The rumor is that they use a bot

[@EdwinRamos89]

Thank You

[@nickwhitteknight1487]

Over. Hoping 2.50

[@mikebranstetter448]

Thank you for sharing your information. I haven’t been following long enough for the TSLY reverse split. Was there handwriting on the wall before the split? Just curious if you saw it coming or was it a surprise?

[@RetireonDividends]

Well only that tesla is a tougher underlying to trade with their strategy

[@jasoncohen9484]

ULTY is scaring the shit out of me. The only one I’m worried about.

[@r2droidbuilder147]

We’re going under the $MSTY mist.

[@hokojono87]

Come on group D !!!!

[@wattsobx]

Do you share this spreadsheet in the discord?

[@RetireonDividends]

I do not

[@wattsobx]

@@RetireonDividendscan you 😁

[@mikebranstetter448]

MSTR, the numbers say lower but I think their pride will go higher. $2.51 is my guess.

[@Myjoeyjojo]

I’d be happy if they paid your estimate

[@bad_financial_decisions-v1l]

Under $2.1, but I prefer your estimate!

[@SomeUserNameBlahBlah]

For which one? MSTY?

[@bad_financial_decisions-v1l]

@SomeUserNameBlahBlah yes, sorry for not being more specific

[@rolandchabot5638]

think i will add some SMCY this week on ex date

[@jsanchez8165]

I hope under 2 to try and preserve some of the nav

[@galliardgallardo2581]

Underrrrr

[@MegaAxm]

Adding 1000 MTY and 1000 SMCY tomorrow!!!!

[@sweetnibblits2263]

Started in this month with 17 shares of cony I’m already down 24 dollars even after my distribution coming Monday when it buys me another share, hopefully it gets better going to add to my position buying one share a week then another 20 shares at the beginning of the month and continuing that all year with cony, any suggestions

[@szebsone]

Don't panic. Right now cony is down and a decent price to buy into. I've seen cony go from like $13 to 19 in a span of 3 days and then hold around 14.50-15.50 for like 2 months . My average cost right now is 14.38 on 339 shares. I have a cash secured put at $12 but also buy more cony as I get distribution at these prices

[@sweetnibblits2263]

@ will do ty

[@kenallensworth5408]

Thanks!

[@RetireonDividends]

Thank you!!!

[@lanav9679]

President Trump will “MAKE DIVIDENDS GREAT AGAIN !!! Yeah ! Yeah ! Oh Yeah !!

[@MoeMoney2010]

I want my two dollars MSTY!!! 😂

[@abcabc-bu9wn]

so the only possibility MSTY give more than 2.50 payout is if MSTR shoot above 380 dollar causing MSTY to also shoot above 31 32 dollar range

[@CoffeeHolic4Life]

Keyword Cricket cavalry LOL just kidding it's MSTY above $2.25

[@davidwilliams722]

$2.25 agree

[@chriswebb1137]

Agreed

[@robertrangel09]

Great vid. I’ve been watching for a few months now. I didn’t know I wasn’t subscribed. I am now. As for MSTY. I’ll say under for this month .

[@davidgodfrey9780]

If i buy on the declaration date will i get the dividend?

[@szebsone]

Yes you will. If you buy on ex dividend date you will not. You can buy up to the day before the exdividend and recieve the dividend.

[@ryansgr8]

I’ll go with a guess of $2.36 for MSTY

[@MegaAxm]

MSTY over $2.25

[@jimmarnell3964]

Making predictions is very difficult. Especially when it involves the future. 😊

[@eddhernandez9410]

Good morning caller, What's your request? ....."could you play MSTY for me?" I think it's going over

[@Kymike300]

Over 2.25

[@slprn67]

Wednesday will be here sooner than later. Hope MSTY above $2

[@Wildnfree1001]

Buy the smcy, put in your stop loss. You may lose some money if it tanks but I doubt it. Company is solid. If the pass their financials in Feb they are going to moon

[@TeamAntoineFishing]

I’m guessing it’s gonna be under 2.25 but I’m hoping I’m wrong.

[@ryanh4571]

Under

[@altonpouncey5747]

Under 2.25 - I'm guessing 2.16

[@Blackkbelt65]

Over!

[@larryj8090]

Under but still over $2

[@JamesAFranklinIINY]

Over but not by much on Msty

[@DevinButcher-wp3gz]

This group is wayy too expensive margin wise minus AMZY and APLY, which are not good at what they were designed for.

[@ArtandAmy]

MSTY at $2 would be cool

[@Mars-bu3kb]

DDD!!!!

[@sweetnibblits2263]

dontcha just love sund guys

[@ChicagoHOG27]

Msty 1.98

[@ecollinge503]

MSTY under

[@detucorpman]

Under . 2.25

[@geauxlsu1180]

Msty under

[@davidwrightrealbroker]

Under.

[@russellbee311]

Over $2.25.

[@vmoutsop]

MSTY - Under $2.25

[@soulayeblaze]

2.25

[@richardrm53]

Under - $2.15

[@kmac7619]

Under $1.75

[@joannemeeks745]

Over....maybe $2.50 MSTY

[@alexanderjapa8925]

2.18

[@steelhorses2004]

msty over 2.29 just because

[@DevinButcher-wp3gz]

This group sucks because having a decent amount of shares of MSTY with something else? SMCY is 100% margin maintenance

[@mambocowboy]

Robinhood says 68/60 on both MSTY and SMCY. I wont touch anything with 100% margin maintenance.

[@mambocowboy]

ROD that underlying value chart is so important. All YM investors need to know those !

[@DevinButcher-wp3gz]

⁠​​⁠well that’s basically the same for me with less than 25k account.. like I have 100 shares of MSTY, a covered call at 35$ w/ my av cost at 32$, 100 shares of YMAX, a covered call on that at 18$ with my av cost at $16.. so I’m trying to get to $500 a week and I’m almost there, but 4k buying power and 12% buffer.. AIYY and SMCY are just too beefy.. at the same time AMZY will never get you there

[@DevinButcher-wp3gz]

Here’s what I mean: AMZY will take roughly 21k to get to 1k in divs, AIYY 13k, but SMCY less than 8k.. it’s a big difference

[@DevinButcher-wp3gz]

It seems like my only option is to stack up AMZY for group D because grabbing anything else is too risky for me.. I will have a bad week.. and I will never buy Disney.. fuck Disney fix our classics

[@jeffstrazzere2859]

Under $2,25 for MSTY.

[@jackfabbricante6568]

MSTY - Slightly Over!

[@tongandeathgrip901]

Under 2.13

[@JimCrawley]

Slightly under $2.25.

[@southstyle2475]

I believe Msty will be $3.00

[@garyripsco2247]

MSTY - under. SMCI just started shipping servers with the new Navidia chip and is building a new Data Center in Singapore that uses alternative energy to power it. 10-K must be filed with SEC in Feb. and if it does without major corrections this stock should take off. Risky but definitely high reward.