Ok, as an update, there are a couple things that I missed that might allow you to beat the quota I presented in the video, namely shotguns from nutcrackers and presents for more valuable loot instead of lamps. I’m going to redo the math and make a follow up in a couple weeks with the real answer, but thanks for all your help and suggestions!
@TheTrueMCGamer8 ай бұрын
You could also include the overtime formula for early game it would allow you to sell less then 700 but still have enough to go to titan although it wont really make a difference in the long run
@sebastiangrau84096 ай бұрын
Infinite quota is possible. On the 3rd day of any quota, when the company buys for 77% land on the company moon and sell 3 bodies for 11 credits towards quota. Takeoff and land back on the company rinse repeat, until the quota is fully 11 credits at a time. There is no limit to this and it doesn’t count towards your days until deadline.
@Lucas_Vanes8 ай бұрын
Mat pat: Quits Everyone: 😭 Chiptide: Fine, I’ll do it my self,
@potato011248 ай бұрын
blud fr
@nilaier14308 ай бұрын
Longest possible run? Just stay at the company building forever.
@BlueWhiteBros8 ай бұрын
now i'm wondering, what is the shortest run if you play perfectly, but with worst possible luck🤔
@Glitch___ed_stsr8 ай бұрын
1 day
@Shmared8 ай бұрын
@@Glitch___ed_stsr No lol
@henrybobrowski37708 ай бұрын
You probably cold hit quota 3 becouse of apparatus
@lucethedoormat818 ай бұрын
@@henrybobrowski3770 worst possible luck is getting the mansion every moon so no apparatus spawns
@henrybobrowski37708 ай бұрын
@@lucethedoormat81 Yea you are right so you couldn't reach quota 1 couse on assurance you wold get 13 rubber duckies worth 2 so 78 thats not nearly enough to reach it
@valmost61248 ай бұрын
You forgot about nutcracker. The shotgun that drops from it when killed can cost up to 90. And there can be up to 10 of these on a moon!
@drew1928xx8 ай бұрын
I actually think there is no upper limit per moon for nutcracker spawns. Because when you kill an enemy whatever combat power that enemy was using up goes back into the pool to spawn more enemies.
@blastinburn8 ай бұрын
@@drew1928xxThere is a max spawns for each enemy for each moon that is separate from the number active. For example, on any moon if you kill a bracken another one will never spawn, or on Rend the max outdoor power is 6 but the max dogs is 8 and dogs are 2 power each meaning that if 8 was the max active at one time instead of being max that can spawn in a day it would never be possible to hit that.
@EnderrBoi8 ай бұрын
@@blastinburn yea, adding onto the bracken example: if a bracken spawns it will take up 1 bracken spawn and 3 indoor power. once it's killed the 3 indoor power is freed up, but the game still knows that a bracken has spawned, and so will not spawn another one
@overseerpjoe94778 ай бұрын
Between Dream's insane luck and Billy Mitchell's crazy skill, the two of them would be able to achieve this run with ease.
@steadfastwolf21598 ай бұрын
I am sorry to say, but the rng needed for this run is dream's level of luck to some crazy level of scaling that it looks like the busy BUSY beaver
@HTX-enjoyer8 ай бұрын
Nutcrackers, presents and overtime can help optimize this a bit further
@catman60898 ай бұрын
I'd be super interested in seeing the max possible quota for perfect runs with average luck, to see the max *realistic* quota. For example, if every time you went to Titan, it spawned 30 items with a realistic distribution of cheap and expensive items, each item having its average value, but you were still able to collect every item. Plus your quota would increase with the 1x multiplier. I would assume you could get to maybe a quota of around 12-15k before things start getting statistically unlikely. Great video, super excited to see more of your content!!
@Jester-rk1xn8 ай бұрын
Good video. I played this game for over 150 hours, and I will say that this video is probably the closest one to answer the question of “what’s the highest quota” however, there is one part of the game that you glossed over that would allow you to reach the next quota or even the 40th quota. The answer: nutcrackers. They are an enemy that once killed drops ∀ shotgun which highest price can be 90 credits. Since we kill all the nutcrackers that spawn, the total monster spawns that are allowed gets set back to 0 allowing more to spawn. The max number of nutcrackers that can spawn ∀ day is 10 which means you get ∀ bonus of 900 credits ∀ day which gives you 100,000 credits by the time that the 37th quota comes around. Allowing you to easily beat the 39th, and maybe the 40th quota.
@Jester-rk1xn8 ай бұрын
That would also mean that on march 1st quota, we would buy ∀ shovel and stay until all 10 nutcrackers spawns which is 1% for each, and also titan is 12% each nutcracker making the calculations even crazier.
@CelesteLovesThePRC8 ай бұрын
Great vid, as you mentioned, that "impossible to beat 52k" can actually be improved upon by selling enough on the first quota to get max OT bonus to pay for every titan moon until quota is higher than titan cost, plus selling optimization. You can also sell up to 3 teammates for a max of 15$ to make sure you dont oversell as much.
@sebastiangrau84098 ай бұрын
You could also get maximum nutcrackers with maximum value shotguns on every day to get some scrap from that as well.
@DiamondzFinder_8 ай бұрын
All we need now is a 37 cycle Lethal Company TAS
@silverfoxxarts8 ай бұрын
This video is INSANE. Imagine what a perfect run would look like with assisted tools...
@pancakewafflez8 ай бұрын
It would look like people collecting and selling a lot of lamps.
@ArielVHarloff8 ай бұрын
Freaking love math applied to video games XD I realise most people don't, which is why the game theorists basically stopped doing these but man I missed this stuff. Please keep doing math on games!
@KingMB_XJ_Official7 ай бұрын
Should we call the insanely high number a Quotaplex or a Zeekerplex?
@NaiveStorm8 ай бұрын
In case you are wondering, you would save at most 363 scrap if you consider overtime bonus
@tymunster8 ай бұрын
Youve forgotten about one simple thing: nutcrackers.
@honeybee-zm8 ай бұрын
this can actually be pushed further using presents and shotguns. presents can increase the value of items in them by 14 so if every lamp is in a present first you can get more value per lamp (i don't know if presents can have gold bars so i'll just ignore q1 and only calculate for the other 36 quotas). 38 items/day x 14 extra value = 532 extra value/day on titan. 36 quotas x 3 days/quota = 108 days before the unbeatable quota. 108 days x 532 value/day = 57456 extra value just from presents. this is already enough to complete q38 on it's own but there are still shotguns left. nutcrackers have a max spawn count of 10 so you can get 10 shotguns per day (they spawn on march too so the calculations include q1 this time). shotguns have a max value of 90 so 10 shotguns/day x 90 value is 900 extra value per day. 900 extra value/day x 111 days = 99900 extra value. this means that you can get at least two extra quotas and maybe even three if you factor in shotguns and presents.
@matthewpeak8 ай бұрын
Important note - You have to pay for Titan as you mentioned, but you don’t automatically get the money after leaving March. You would have to finish those 3 days at March to then sell that loot at the company building, which would afford you a ticket to Titan.
@tamaskarsai20728 ай бұрын
What about the presents? Now he made them rarer, because it's not christmass anymore, but presents are still a thing, and they increase the value of the item they drop between 10 to 14 according to 1 of the wikies. I did saw a large axle drop from 1 which costed 69(nice) so that is a 13 increase to max value at least so there is that. And they can drop lamps if you go to titan. But also this opens up a different rabbit hole, because you can go to a different planet with the presents to open a different loot, and I am not perfectly sure, but I think it can drop a gold bar rarely. With this in mind if you find ONLY presents and all of them contain the highest value lamp and they increase each of the lamps values by at least 13 which is 37 cycles*3 111 days *38 loot which is 4218 * 13 which is 54 834. So maybe saving the challenge for christmass gives you a chance for an extra cycle.
@TheChiptide8 ай бұрын
Ooh yeah, I hadn’t thought about presents, I’d have to look to see if that’s enough
@bookablepilot2gaming4808 ай бұрын
@@TheChiptidewhat about shotguns? If all 10 nutcrackers spawn on titan after you get a shovel(or using a shotgun) you could get 90 extra credits assuming max, would it be enough to pass through. If we are to assume you have enough for a shovel because of over time bonus each cycle would generate 30 shotguns (2,700). 36 quotas worth of it 97200 credits, and that’s not accounting for extra runs.
@DaChillyOne8 ай бұрын
If what you’re saying on the wiki about the +14 increase is correct, then you can make 5396 per day from lamps alone. Use that in tandem with apparatus,nutcracker, and going to company every day to kill 3 teammates and the days are as follows: Day1: 6381 Day2: 6384 Day3: 6388 Add the 15 when selling for a total of 19,168 per quota.
@skya68638 ай бұрын
@@DaChillyOnealso if you go to titan all the time you could save up lots of presents, then go to march and open them all up for gold bars
@headlesshiidra8 ай бұрын
This felt like i was watching the game theory "the science" videos, thank you for answering this burning question
@pig3gu8 ай бұрын
20:14 Engineer : Hey look, buddy, I'm an Engineer. That means I solve problems. Engineer : Not problems like "What is beauty?", because that would fall within the purview of your conundrums of philosophy. Engineer : I solve practical problems. Engineer : For instance... Engineer : How am I going to stop some big mean mother hubbard from tearing me a structurally superfluous new behind? Engineer : The answer... Engineer : Use a gun. And if that don't work, Engineer : use more gun. Engineer : Like this heavy caliber, tripod-mounted, little ol' number designed by me, Engineer : built by me, Engineer : and you'd best hope... not pointed at you.
@luc7518 ай бұрын
god, thanks for not doing the same as most youtubers and wasting 5 minutes explaining what lethal company is to an audience that already knows the game
@stepheneefting79898 ай бұрын
What about nutcracker farming
@therealcathuman37898 ай бұрын
A few main issues: 1. Overtime bonuses exist so you actually need to spend less than 700 on the first few quotas- combined with the overtime bonuses it should equal 700 2. You start with 60$ so you need to spend even less first quota 3. Given you have leftover money at the start of the first quota (i believe you need to spend 710) that means you only need to spend 690 on the next quota to get back to titan 4. Nutcrackers, probably seen this from another comment already Ya this problem is hella difficult. Mad respect for all the work you put in Edit: you talked about it, nah man gotta do the calculations
@johnevans17248 ай бұрын
Love the video, been wondering about this myself for a while lol
@WinstonZhang88 ай бұрын
This quota can possibly be pushed higher with perfect spawn rates of enemies meaning on each moon, the enemy cap is filled with nutcrackers (when applicable) at all times and someone is going around killing them. With these shotguns (max cost $90) and with max spawns of 10 per day for both titan and march, that ends up being 37 x 3 x 90 x 10 = $99900 extra throughout the whole run, meaning quota 38 would be possible
@UncleLarrrry8 ай бұрын
I think it’s more of just finding the perfect seed for all those lamps on Titan and then just getting that seed over and over and over again. Unless there are systems in place in the game that prevent getting the same seed in a row, I think this idea might make the odds less than 1 in infinity.
@lamegamertime8 ай бұрын
There are many significant errors with this video, and (after I did the math myself) your final tally is off by nearly 50% and misses 2 entire quota cycles. Might make a video about it idk
@Nick-pu8jg8 ай бұрын
chance of finding at least 3 gold bars assuming maximum item spawn chances (17 items all three days, so 51 items total) is about 0.24302%, overall chance is lower ofc but idk how the amount of days is weighted and i think simulating the item spawns, monster spawns (because nutcrackers), quota increase, ... and seeing what a kind of 1 in a million run or something of that sorts could get for theoretical loot would be more interesting
@superkebabo8 ай бұрын
You might be able to go a bit higher. If you get presents and all of them on titan give max value lamps, your gonna get 10 to 14 credits max value extra on every lamp bc of how presents work. So that makes one lamp worth 142 and if you add 38 lamps worth 142 you get 5396 instead of the normal 4864. Also don't forget about nutcrackers, they have shotguns that can cost 30 to 90 credits. 10 Nutcrackers can spawn on every moon so thats 900 extra from just nutcrackers. So if you add those together with the apparatus, thats 6376 Each day on titan with perfect luck.
@namelessnavnls80605 ай бұрын
So what you're telling me is... The odds are so thoroughly stacked against our favor that survival is an illusion and death is eternally eminent.
@someone42293 ай бұрын
Death can only be delayed, you can not survive
@Drogobo8 ай бұрын
the number you showed (10^13932) is also known as a "quattuorillitresquadragintasescentillion"
@kepler68738 ай бұрын
Main takeaway: no such seed exists to allow a 37-38+ quota run even with present and shotgun optimization. There is no sequence in the random number generator to allow this
@someone42298 ай бұрын
This also assumes that a *seed EXISTS* that can do this. Also, what is the best quota you can get if you get as unlucky as possible but play perfectly?
@theknightwithabadpictotall76398 ай бұрын
Looks like a job for Dream
@TheChiptide8 ай бұрын
Dream Stans: “so you’re saying there’s a chance”
@Lethal_Spoon8 ай бұрын
the best possible luck would be getting nothing but gift boxes that when opened give nothing but gold bars worth 212 on march
@CupOfTea28 ай бұрын
what if this super professional crew rolled the worst luck ever? like lowest amount of scrap on the map, lowest value, no beehives, stuff like that. how far would they reach?
@manwhoeatslettuce8 ай бұрын
does the 15 extra from killing 3 team members every cycle, was well as the slight overflow from not having the exact correct scrap values to hit quota perfectly (example: quota is 130 but all you have is gold bars worth 210, so it overflows by and you lose 80 dollars) effect the overall answer?
@BLUPotatoSpy8 ай бұрын
Couldnt it be longer if you get the max gift boxes with cash registers
@RifterArchive8 ай бұрын
I’m pretty sure Game Theory actually made a name for a number that large.
@meowmeowcat998 ай бұрын
I wasn't lured in by the heavily clickbait original title, I clicked based off DeArrow extensions custom title which was "The Hypothetically Longest Lethal Company Run and Its Unlikelihood" Edit: 2:35 Profit was spelled wrong...
@readingcrafter25358 ай бұрын
Love the vid! Jsyk, theres a small typo at 12:30 where u put an extra 1
@WeeDefault8 ай бұрын
dude your videos are so good and entertaining no joke
@griffinhoffman67468 ай бұрын
I think Sigard mentioned having a three month contract. If I'm not miss remembering that then you can, theoretical, survive to the end of your contract. That might be an interesting angle for a video. What is the minimum luck needed to survive that long.
@murph32928 ай бұрын
id be interested in seeing the maximum achieveable quota with all clear rend runs with all s rank runs using the average scrap value
@Re_Zero_Fan_Edits8 ай бұрын
What about nutcrackers? They drop shotguns worth money.
@starman29958 ай бұрын
There is one key fact that you've massively overlooked in this video: shotguns. Assuming perfect luck, you could get effectively infinite shotguns every single day inside the facility, as killing a creature decreases the indoor power, meaning that with perfect luck, you could get an infinite stream of nutcrackers spawning. I suppose it could be limited by the number of vents in the facility assuming the vents can't be reused, but that is still enough to drastically alter the results presented in the video.
@TheChiptide8 ай бұрын
There’s actually a limit in game on the amount of enemies that can spawn. Based on what I’ve heard only 6 nutcrackers can spawn a day, which is just a short of what you’d need to get to the next quota. Good looking out, though!
@HTX-enjoyer8 ай бұрын
@@TheChiptideI'm pretty sure it's 10 for nutcrackers if I remember correctly
@henrybobrowski37708 ай бұрын
Yea but even if its only 6 its like 80 per shotgun in 111 days it would be 19,5k that you would need to reach the next quota
@starman29958 ай бұрын
@@TheChiptide If you get 6 shotguns each day, and you go for 108 days (36 quotas*3), and each shotgun gives the maximum value of 90, that gets you 58,320, which is more than enough for one (or possibly even 2) more quotas.
@lutherwilliamson8 ай бұрын
Wouldn't it be better for quota increase to be minimised until you cross the point where the quota exceeds your 3-day scap average? That way you have more days collecting more scrap than you sell.
@Jayden891178 ай бұрын
Wouldn’t not overselling on the first few quotas result in a higher total at the end? March is only 300 less than titan, and that definetley adds up, instead of 570 of oversell
@claytonknowles258 ай бұрын
The max Titan value is 4.9k per day, and the March is 4.6k per day. This means that going to Titan will result in about 0.9k more, so the 570 of oversell is worth it I think. Hope this helps!
@williamskeid91248 ай бұрын
Idk how much impact it would have but what about shotguns dropped by nutcrackers, keys and bodies which contribute to quota
@IDK-Otherminded8 ай бұрын
you forgot that you can sell your 3000 scrap from march on the first day,because company sells a 33% so its 1000
@ChydoRasp8 ай бұрын
Awesome video, imo max real quota is like, 20k but not more, bcs ppl barely can gain 12k, so 20k ks hard to believe but sounds realistic
@AD_Nelson8 ай бұрын
"30 day contract", yeah...
@Wedgecorpslave8 ай бұрын
That's crazy because Insym and the pro team already broke this lol
@murph32928 ай бұрын
37 is the highest numbered quota, but not the highest total amount. Change the formula to generate the HIGHEST possible quota after you start losing more than you gain from looting, since once that point hits you want the quota to go up as fast as possible since the more quotas you do the faster youll lose it all
@matthewdwyer5548 ай бұрын
What about shotguns? Also am I correct in remembering that the spawn cap doesn't count dead monsters so max shotguns would be ridiculous?
@thechadmin50008 ай бұрын
Well made video
@rianthreeden8 ай бұрын
What about shotguns from nutcrackers?
@TheNoorVIG8 ай бұрын
Don’t forget bodies sell for $5 and money lost in fees does not affect quota. That might matter in calculations no joke.
@jgtb0pl8 ай бұрын
6:37 you forgot a 0 there happens to the best of us
@claytonknowles258 ай бұрын
This is not at all saying the video is wrong, merely a question, and I want to know what others think. I feel like your math should change at a certain point in terms of the quota randomizer, shouldn't there be a point where we would want the quota to jump to the MAX value, instead of the smallest value? The breaking point would be when the quota is more than what we are gathering, (so like 3 days*38 lamps*128 value which is around 15k). Once it reaches that point, we aren't gathering faster than we are spending, so we would want the quota to rise as fast as possible so we can get as far before we lose our stockpile. Let me know what you guys think! Edit: I just realized that it depends on what we are going for, if we are going for max quota, my idea makes sense. But if we are saying max amount of days, I am wrong.
@someone42298 ай бұрын
Well, unless you use infinite quota glitch
@limzahn8 ай бұрын
What about overtime bonus
@blastinburn8 ай бұрын
Wait, if the max possible value of March is only ~400 less than titan, wouldn't you save more scrap going to march for the while your quota is under 300 instead of spending your scrap backlog to get to titan? It probably wouldn't save enough to get the next quota on its own but with the shotgun farming in other comments it could make a difference. An additional note though I don't think it makes a difference, the factory tileset can spawn on rend and dine it's just incredibly rare, but if we're doing best possible luck then it is still possible to get an apparatus on those moons.
@claytonknowles258 ай бұрын
March is ~400 less than Titan , so you get about 1k extra from Titan in a cycle, which is worth the overselling I think!
@edene54938 ай бұрын
once you reach the peak, isn’t it better for the random quota formula to roll high on the multiplier since you aren’t gaining anyways
@edene54938 ай бұрын
never mind, for getting to 37 quotas no, but for getting higher than 52k yes
@claytonknowles258 ай бұрын
I was thinking about this too and I think you're right. Technically once we reach like the 15k quota mark, I think it would make sense for the quota to start rising as fast as possible. The max amount we make it about 4.9k on Titan per day, so around 15k in a cycle, and so every quota before 15k we are stockpiling, after that, we are never gaining money. This means we should be climbing as fast as possible after 15k, to make it as far as possible. Edit: I just realized what you were saying. If we are going for max quota, then our idea makes sense, but if we are going for the max amount of days, then the math is currently correct.
@solalabell96748 ай бұрын
Weird at 12:27 the number seems to be missing a decimal or just have an extra 1 for sone reason
@Aurora_Veill8 ай бұрын
So when are attempts starting?
@c.h.u.b8 ай бұрын
10 shotguns per day as well
@StormTrooperEX8 ай бұрын
you forgot nutcracker s if you got the max amount of nutcracker and killed all of them and retrieved their shotguns you could get an extra 76,000 so 38 days would be possible but then again since you didn't factor the size of the map and how far you can travel with your stamina the final estimation is flawed even if you knew the location of lamps and no monsters slowed you down 4 people wouldn't be able to haul 38 lamps back to ship thats impossible they would run out of time
@Bst_frnd8 ай бұрын
You forgot shotguns from nutcrackers
@FredSchmid-d3l8 ай бұрын
Forgot about shotguns from nutcrackers. If lucky enough could add an extra 400 or so every moon edit: saw the comment
@JohnJCB8 ай бұрын
Wait Dont you just pay a fee to go to a teir 3 moon and then you dont need to pay the fee until you go to a different moon?
@SilverFoilHat8 ай бұрын
10:10 you’re missing several key factors in your video here… including OT bonus.
@bradeezelbub8 ай бұрын
"56,9012" lol
@nebula5348 ай бұрын
but theres a limit on how many items u can have on the ship at one time
@DrkdragonNetwork8 ай бұрын
that only applies when leaving and reopening the save
@nebula5348 ай бұрын
@@DrkdragonNetwork someone gotta have good internet or never sleep Lol
@thehawaiiguy10278 ай бұрын
I'm convinced this guy is gonna be the successor to MatPat
@arcadelite89008 ай бұрын
How does one contact you?
@TheChiptide8 ай бұрын
I have a business email on my channel’s about page or Twitter DMs if you prefer that
@WaffleZgaming_3 ай бұрын
4 months later
@TheChiptide3 ай бұрын
At this point you can ABSOLUTELY beat this quota…
@WaffleZgaming_3 ай бұрын
@@TheChiptide yeah makes sense with art nut crackers and butlers
@sabinsx8 ай бұрын
what the hell kind of number is $56,9012?!
@arti2901deer8 ай бұрын
Still the intro doesn't have any new Easter eggs ... Good video tho
@WerexZenok8 ай бұрын
The vídeo is wrong. If you save itens to sell later, you probably can go much further.
@xzarsgxt3668 ай бұрын
Small error at 12:20
@kthelemon8 ай бұрын
It's kinda funny that the title isn't even a question
@Mosi_O8 ай бұрын
17:30 help...
@TrapMillYT8 ай бұрын
hi
@CaptainKrby8 ай бұрын
Lamp gang rise up
@AD_Nelson8 ай бұрын
Eh, Dream could easily do it.
@FTGTrains8 ай бұрын
“Mom can we have game theory?” “We have game theory at home” Game theory at home:
@hp_31038 ай бұрын
Is it even legal to be this early?
@SnoFitzroy8 ай бұрын
Me, who doesn't know what Lethal Company is: You mean Fazbear Entertainment?????
@eliaskenzit8 ай бұрын
54 SECONDS AGO ?!
@eliaskenzit8 ай бұрын
you didnt consider nut farming, where you go to rend and get a billion nutcracker to get a billion shotguns.
@TheChiptide8 ай бұрын
You’re right, I did, but doing some quick math the shotguns themselves aren’t that valuable, and in order to match the output on Titan you’d need to kill 1 nutcracker every 10 seconds every single day. I’m not sure if that’s even physically possible, I’d have to look more into how monster spawns work. Even then, that’s just to match the lamp strat, you’d have to be mowing those guys down to get enough to crack the next quota!
@eliaskenzit8 ай бұрын
there is a monster cap, so for exemple, there can only one spider a day, even if there is no other monster, if you kill that spider, it ill never respawn, so there can only be i think 5 nut per day, so clearly not worth, have a good day ! @@TheChiptide
@TheChiptide8 ай бұрын
@eliaskenzit ok, that’s good to know! Thanks!
@Corlock788 ай бұрын
So, if we assume 5 nuts a day, in a three day cycle, that's 15 nuts a cycle. We then also need to assume each nut drops a shotgun. Over 37 cycles that's 555 shotguns. As we know, lamps will cover our costs up to cycle 37. The shotguns would get us over the threshold of the 19k gap. But that's using shotguns from your entire run. So you can probably get to 38 runs. But I doubt you'd get past that.
@eliaskenzit8 ай бұрын
i looked at the wiki and the max is ten per day so it double the money@@Corlock78