China Has No Chance || Peter Zeihan

[@ifgwelf]

Zeihan shidding on China is vintage Zeihan

[@deezeed2817]

He gets paid well for it.

[@FreeSpeech-z6j]

it was cryptic for cina is a toilet economy

[@-wvx-]

@@deezeed2817 by whom?

[@dcc70]

Wumao is jealous

[@deezeed2817]

@ state department. They fund about $1.9 billion in anti China propaganda a year. Some of that money goes to influence campaigns and somebody like Peter Zeihan who has connections with the U.S govt has made a good career out of this.

[@ShivamGupta-sr9zf]

"Toilet in New Zealand" 😂😂. Bro doesn't value his own privacy.

[@cdevidal]

What a crappy venue 💩

[@WackadoodleMalarkey]

Pooper Zeihan

[@Likeanycommentator]

The guy in the stall next to Peter: "Hmm, those are some valid points"

[@ShivamGupta-sr9zf]

@Likeanycommentator 😂😂😂

[@arfajob4246]

Million dollar view, eat your heart out! 🤣🤣

[@andreme7326]

"from a toilet in NZ". Sir, you could have skipped the toiled part, it would not take anything away from the view😂

[@brendanbeaver3804]

He needed it for that last zinger 😂

[@myintmaunmaun]

People laugh at China for 40 years without combat experience. But this just proves that China is a peaceful nation, unlike the US, which just can't stop meddling nations outside the Turtle Island and leaving a mess all over the world.

[@larrykroger3100]

I myself is also in the shyter, watching this on my phone !!

[@myintmaunmaun]

1.6 billion slander bill well spent

[@larsenburger]

Same

[@canchero724]

Me too! Shitter bros unite!!

[@phaedrussocrates7636]

Must be a person of Mediterranean origin or actually even Croatian that built that outhouse there... Because it's embedded deep in our lore the OBLIGATION to build an outdoor shithouse with the bestest possible view you can find. Perfectly natural?

[@technologic21]

Hah! "Victorious warriors win first and then go to war, while defeated warriors go to war first and then seek to win." "To secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu

[@Brent-z2s]

The battle is won or lost before it takes place.

[@maxpower3990]

What is your point? How does your quote apply to the video we just saw?

[@technologic21]

@@Brent-z2s exactly!

[@laurencehugo5910]

Be careful, it gets windy up there and will freeze your kiwifruit.

[@myintmaunmaun]

People laugh at China for 40 years without combat experience. But this just proves that China is a peaceful nation, unlike the US, which just can't stop meddling nations outside the Turtle Island and leaving a mess all over the world.

[@JohnEcker-n9i]

Thanks Peter ❤

[@pabs7373]

In 2023 China exported just over 3500 billion yuan worth to the USA. Making the USA its third largest export partner. There is really very little in it between EU, ASEAN and USA. Losing any one of these markets would be significant as exports represent around 19% of China's GDP. If they lost USA and EU that woukd be around 7000 billion yuan annually as per 2023 data.

[@TomTomicMic]

If China started a war or embargo it would be the US, EU and China's Neighbours, it shows it's intent!?!

[@jeffbarta6276]

good one !!!!!! you are great !!!!!!

[@kateryan9988]

Let's all further help the Chinese out by reducing any Made-in-China purchases whenever humanly possible.

[@dan7564]

"China has no chance" says man that said the Ukraine war would be settles in 2023 and that Trump won't be re-elected.

[@Way827]

He's full of total BS.

[@maxpower3990]

Peter is an analyst, not a prophet or fortune teller. No one gets everything correct. He did however predict that Russia would invade Ukraine before 2014 so he better than either of us at his job.

[@jpyt7022]

Yep he's just a show pony

[@Holammer]

In the event of a war with America, Chinese fishing vessels wouldn't dare to leave port. Considering the predatory fishing practices of the Chinese? If the war dragged on for a few years, fish populations and ecosystem would get some time to recover.

[@nmihaylove]

Man, that's the most topical geopolitical analysis I've ever seen!

[@lifequestions5546]

I watched this while I was in the toilet too.. hehehehe

[@rand49er]

Thanks for your view.

[@otisthetowndrunk]

Hey Gilligan, what happened to the Skipper?

[@steve8510]

A 3 hour tour...

[@stephenbrickwood1602]

Hey Putin what happened to the 3 hour tour... 3-day spring walk in the park.... 3-year , will someone rescue me....?

[@tomstruct]

Ty 🎉

[@stewy62]

The last sentence was a classic ! 🇬🇧

[@hughjass1044]

Gotta go out and change the PTO shaft on the tractor this afternoon. Note to self - Make sure Peter isn't already under the tractor recording a video before I start.

[@jerryrichardson2799]

Thanks Peter.

[@TheGiggleMasterP]

100% chance if having no chance.

[@jerinjohnson1529]

For sure. This is the guy who said Trump had no chance of getting re elected.

[@Gladiator15]

These considerations assume that China could be interested in starting a war. The problem is, I can’t see any reason why China would desire a war. It seems more likely that if they are indeed preparing and studying such measures, it’s primarily to protect themselves from a potential attack.

[@TomTomicMic]

Nobody is going to attack China, nobody is threatening China, China threatens everybody and mostly its neighbours, China is building up its military heavily, I rest my case!?!

[@knoll9812]

Xi would be crazy to engage in shooting war. Suspect he is hoping to grab Taiwan without the USA intervene. This is a good reason to support Ukraine. If Putin wins then ci us encouraged. Us spending a trillion dollars in anti china military in next decade. Note USA

[@vividsunn8459]

You're wrong: China definitely wants to invade Taiwan.

[@willhudson5625]

Nice view!

[@andriusbrah]

Thanks

[@SmellySumtom]

Epic!

[@GeoScorpion]

The toilet was appropriate for this episode. 🤣

[@stephenalexander6721]

They have no chance. My question is how much damage will they do before they can't do anymore damage?

[@DanA-rx2nv]

Rick and Morty (season 4 I think) Rick finds the ultimate toilet with the ultimate view. Here's hoping things work out better for Peter

[@thesenate1844]

Reminds me of Family Guys executive bathroom island

[@Naturenerd1000]

A Toilet in New Zealand has the best view. 🤣

[@ImsunaSong-gw2gs]

Lovin..it!!! 👍 👌 ❤

[@robertoswald4861]

No grunts, no “pops or bangs”. Healthy 50-year old.

[@immortaljanus]

"Ma, get over here! He's on the shitah this time!"

[@myintmaunmaun]

My condolence to the Native Red Indians, their land have been robbed. The few who survived the massacre can only move to the poorest lands. As US expanded from the east coast to the west coast, treaties were broken, and the reservations have some of the highest poverty rates. Some reservations have opened gambling casinos as their main industry. A large number of the Navajo (largest reservation ) live without electricity or running water.

[@jamessearsiii7141]

Are they going after land in Russia instead?

[@maxpower3990]

What would they gain in Russia? They already get some oil from Russia, the area north of China isn’t good farmland, there’s very few people there and little infrastructure to get any raw materials from those areas back to China to be refined and used by the Chinese population. Russia and China have been discussing building a pipeline for oil and gas for years but neither wants to pay for it and it would take over 10 years to build.

[@LewisPulsipher]

They'd have a much better chance of success there.

[@TrillKump]

Well hey optimism is there.

[@annehersey9895]

Peter, they possess all the rare earth minerals!

[@ibika9457]

GOOD

[@LewisPulsipher]

Brilliant, laughing out loud. And absolutely true as I have been saying for a long time. China should be our best friend, not an enemy, for their own self-interest.

[@kristianchitrend1151]

Someone literally commented on his last video he will be on the toilet next. He must read the comments.

[@damienmills293]

He does.

[@BrijeshSK-i1f]

0:01 Toilet 🚽🪠😅

[@DanaVastman]

Hilarious! Final statement. However new AI/drones can change everything. China is building drone aircraft carriers.... Several of them.... 1 million drones on each could do some serious damage and I have scenarios in my brain that can get real hairy. I think Peter confidence is highly over done

[@fialee8ca132]

This has been obvious to anyone who can think for themselves. In addition, you didn't cover other US allies would cut them off also... so they would be reliant on Russia, and pockets in Africa and South America if they can figure out transport. Plus India could take the opportunity to resolve their border issues with China. Only countries thay can get into a conflict and have a chance are Laos, Cambodia, and Mongolia. Even Vietnam and Philippines are outside of risk at this point.

[@mkt-v3w]

Not our enemy

[@canchero724]

Is the version with the view of Peter in the toilet included in the premium membership? Asking for a friend

[@jeffwills2669]

Levity! Love it!

[@BrijeshSK-i1f]

In order for US not to get involved in China & Taiwan war will USA will tell Taiwan to move it's Semiconductor industries to USA & if they do that what will be the Chinese reaction 🇨🇳

[@liamr194]

Wouldn't work. The supply Chain relies upon cheap labour, cheap shipping, access routes to Europe and Eastward and cheap resources in and out of Taiwan.

[@maxpower3990]

The IS cant tell Taiwan to move its factories as they’re owned by a private company. When Trump told TSMC to build a factory they took so long it’s still has even been started 6 years later.

[@johnbanana6582]

I could have gone my whole life without knowing that you were on the toilet. It did make for a good exit joke though.

[@jamesexposito7172]

From the start of this video I could tell something was about to go down

[@BecomingMillionnaire]

Nice hat!

[@Ecka63]

🤣🤣 Thanks Pete!

[@philipwilkie3239]

OK so I couldn't geolocate the dunny interior. Otherwise Cape Brett Track near the Predator Proof Fence

[@jordanandrew9968]

😂😂 Although the view won't be nearly as good lol

[@currawong60911368]

Depends what sort of deal they get.

[@Razgar_Voxel]

In and On are two differnt things

[@GJWielinga]

Hahaha. "Shit, no!"

[@MrOkadaman28]

The most important question, is whether the World can survive a nuclear exchange between US and China. All this analysis, is irrelevant.

[@maxpower3990]

The world will be fine, even humans will survive it if they’re far away. But the global standard of living will drop for everyone. Inflation and recessions would be almost guaranteed. Other wars would break out as people with a grudge feel that’s it’s time to sort it out while everyone who could stop them are busy.

[@superdusmanu]

Here I go promoting Peter's videos to my friends, and here he goes making videos from the toilet 😂

[@H33t3Speaks]

China produces the vast majority of the world’s antimony, which is used to harden ammunition. They have also, now, the world’s largest drone carrier. Although dwarfed by legacy US assets, the Y-10 torpedo has equipped the PLAN with a meaningful conventional deterrent for a whole lot of boats. The US v. China showdown is going to be a lot closer than either side wants to admit. At least, that’s what I train for.

[@matthewhawthorne8411]

I’m glad you should never underestimate our enemies. But when a country HAS to import ALL goods that is horrific to try to protect all trade lanes.

[@gmodrules123456789]

People have been saying this about China since 1990. It never panned out like how they said.

[@fuzzjunky]

i found this whole video to be completely removed from reality. as an Aussie I think the next four years will be interesting. But I do not see America faring very well from any of it.

[@maxpower3990]

@@fuzzjunkythe point is that no one will fare well from it but China will lose more as they rely on trade to feed and fuel their country and make the money required to buy those things. The Germans found out in both World Wars that being blockaded chokes your nation, economy and people. Along with their rapidly aging population they won’t survive a long war, let alone win it.

[@theasianjaywalker4455]

Nope, that's a lie. People, no serious analysts every said this (did you listen to the topic?) and no serious analysts ever said anthing in 1990 other than: The next 2 decades (at least) will he the MASSIVE RISE of China. So don't keep spreading that lie, okay?

[@dcc70]

Saying what, that China won't last very long in a hot war with the US? As far as I know, China hasn't fought a war with anyone since 1990, let alone the US, so what pan are you talking about?

[@theasianjaywalker4455]

@@fuzzjunky I'm legit interested in your thinking here. You tell us 'completely removed from reality' and what do you mean by that? Do you mean, as Peter explains, he doesn't actually think China will get in a hot war with the USA but is giving a 'hypothetical'. Of course, its not "reality" because China has just stated a hot war with the USA. Or, Do you mean its 'completely removed from reality' in that China has WAY WAY more of those resources stockpiled, not just 'some more' but so much more that you'describe his figures as 'completely removed from reality'? and, What did you mean by you don't see the Americ 'faring well from any of it'. From what? China's stockpiles of oil and grain? What do you mean there?

[@ALittleHiigh]

I like you the way you under estimating your enemy.

[@LazyHoplite]

Next video from a delivery room?

[@nigelmcconnell1909]

I've done the great south walk in Tasmania and that view looks similar to the one from the toilet. A proper drop toilet with a seat etc... just no walls 😳. (Mind you the only people around was fellow hikers on an 8 day trek and it ends with a light aircraft picking you up from a beach) Yet somehow the only sign of civilisation on south west Tasmania wilderness we found was a large mass of plastic rubbish with Chinese script washed ashore.🤔

[@petervote7914]

The gen x Gordon Chang.

[@steve8510]

WHEN A CREEPY MAN IN A TOILET SAYS "HEY COME LOOK AT THIS" IT RARELY ENDS WELL

[@thephlegmmaster]

Allan Jones!!

[@jbalien20]

We'll see you in red note.

[@sig_7760]

Dropping the kids off at the pool, Peter?

[@Eriugena8]

Zeihan has no sunglasses

[@BobAbc0815]

0:11 the View gets much nicer😂

[@MrWeanie]

A war between the US and China or Russia would result in the destruction of both parties as the war would go nuclear. In which case, everything you have said here is rediculous

[@NLTops]

This seems a bit wishful thinking. China's strategy re Taiwan is really taking shape. They recently launched a drone-carrier. I anticipate their strategy will be something along the lines of "Blockade Taiwan in a wide encirclement" (already seen multiple practice runs of this), followed by mass drone strikes (in the thousands per day) to whittle down AA capabilities), followed by missile strikes on strategic targets like C&C, power infrastructure and military assets (especially anti-naval assets), followed by an amphibious landing. Taiwan doesn't have the strategic depth that Ukraine has, and will be more difficult to supply than Ukraine has been. And a lot of the West relies on Taiwan for semiconductor production, so it will significantly harm our military capabilities too. ASML has years worth of orders in the waiting list, we can't just pop out another massive chip manufacturing plant like them within a couple of years.

[@s1nb4d59]

Is the air fresher over here peter?.

[@handyandy5929]

He got this from a comment on the last video loool

[@myintmaunmaun]

1.6 billion slander bill well spent

[@myintmaunmaun]

As the US expanded from the east coast to the west coast Native Americans were killed, treaties were broken, and they were moved to reservations on the poorest lands. The reservations have some of the highest poverty rates. Some reservations have opened gambling casinos as their main industry. A large number of the Navajo (largest reservation ) live without electricity or running water.

[@myintmaunmaun]

US cannot stop meddling nations outside North America because US is suffered from the trauma of loneliness settling on Turtle Island for hundred of years. This meddling of other nations is a way to overcome loneliness and has become a cultural tradition of US - addiction.

[@annekepannekoek8538]

Meanwhile germany keeps investing like crazy in china should have learned from russia

[@rezoanmahmud5165]

They should built some pipe line with Russia & Central Asia🤨

[@connerstines1578]

This will never happen.

[@TheDrIdot]

Ugh, I think I heard a plop.

[@chantelleglover-e3y]

" china will Collapse 2022 " thats peters prediction 😂

[@theedge8659]

hope yoiure rite sir

[@andrewdavidson5209]

Love this video Good toilet humour, about a serious subject. As long as China agrees with you we'll be OK. And Oh what a view !

[@watchervideo6205]

Zeihan has switched to OF content

[@sergiogcollado]

🗽

[@benjaminholm2311]

Always with the facial expression

[@michaelpilos]

Some channel friend challenged him on the last video 🚽 😂

[@megalomaniacdreamer]

Could Russia cover China's need?

[@maryanncrody4867]

MakE you wonder like with Russia was there ever much of a threat at all

[@davidtrammel]

China is so screwed. lol

[@amadeuz819]

You forget some things. The reality is that if China takes a hit USA will also(the world takes a hit if China takes one), if Trump keeps up his threats against allies then China might find a way out while USA suffers alone. Currently after Trumps and Musks statements I would probably rather trade with China than USA(invading another Nordic country was not even funny, you do not say stuff like that plus that he already last time said "Ain't Finland part of Russia". YOU DO NOT SAY THINGS LIKE THIS AS A LEADER OF A COUNTRY). Don't think I am alone in Europe so Trump is walking on a very thin ice when it comes to going after China. Not to talk about the 2 years of Ukraine being only Europes problem when it was USA that aided Soviet during WW2 saving the Kremlin from collapsing already back then. So even if you in USA think Trump is so great, hes not liked at all over here and the more power he gets over there the less chance of us really wanting to even be seen as "allies" and maybe more "We do not know who that guy is, like who invited him" would be a more comfortable position for us. Also the global warming could force the world to change system to a new one and USA will not willingly accept a system that doesn't benefit the wealthy. There is a chance we need to introduce a system that benefits "a livable planet" so this last breath of the right wing propaganda is here but it gets harder for them every year to deny the consequences of constant growth/profit. My point is that in a realistic view of the world we either move away from oil, thus making most countries self sufficient in power or at least only dependent on a neighbor transferring it through power lines or then we move to a world most can't even imagine not understanding that we can't fight it by trying to combat its effects. Current prediction is that in 5-10 years renewable energy has passed fossil if the growth rate keeps up, thanks to China it will but USA sure wants to make more profits from it and slow it down. I know China is one bad thing after another, but so is USA and only becoming worse. Almost like Russia now grasping for its last breath of air the wealthy in USA tries to go for global dominance that will only force Europe to work with China to take you down. Accept that the fossil days are over and that the world need to move to a more sustainable future.

[@laurencehugo5910]

Loo with a view!

[@svenhaheim]

I hope not :)

[@simongilbert2704]

at last , you got something right ,, ha,ha ;

[@manwiththeredface7821]

The main issue is that they don't need 120 days to launch nukes. And they don't care about their own citizens either, mind you.

[@fuzzjunky]

and they will win a trade war without even breaking a sweat

[@damienmills293]

They care deeply. The PLA is not an army created to invade other nations. It is the army of the CCP, not China.

[@tonyprice1526]

And the US cares about its citizens?

[@maxpower3990]

But the IS has more nukes and while they may not care about individual citizens they still don’t want to lose a few hundred million. Even if the rulers can keep the country together after such a strike they will be poorer and no one will want to help them rebuild.

[@Way827]

You are full of the BS that's helping the west collapse.

[@GardenLives]

Haha nice

[@roelantjonker4360]

With a funny head!

[@MrLuRoc]

Remember trump had a 0% chance?

[@samlee86421]

The more he says it the less I believe him. This is just epic cope

[@PhilEhI]

Shit no. No pun intended?