First time watcher here, great energy right off the bat. Great insight too :)

Trisk lands and Verge lands i like them

Interesting. I’m much MORE likely to mulligan when on the play, as since I don’t have that extra card coming, it is more likely that I, for example, miss a 3rd land drop, or just that a sketchy hand doesn’t work out.

Love these videos on broad drafting concepts. Keeps me coming back! I feel like the rest of the limited content creators are missing out but I’m glad you got your thing!

Had an interesting chat in the team discord about using the hypergeometric calculator to weigh mulligan choices. I had tried calculating it out to turn four to decide on a keep, but my buddy pointed out that after drawing 7 cards I have different information...

Is there any way to track on mobile? That’s all I can play

The "no swamp in hand" issue is problematic for me. When I keep that hand and spend the next 12 turns trying to draw a swamp, I remember that. When I draw a swamp on turn 1 or 2 I spend more time thinking about what my options are play wise and I don't tend to weigh it as heavily. I don't mind keeping a 2 land hand but if I'm cut off from one of my sources I almost never keep.

I needed this

Mulligans is my worst aspect of play. I hate taking them!

If you use the hypergeometric calculator to simulate the stoat being a carrot cake instead, is increases the % chance of hitting that swamp by turn 4 to over 90% while also protecting you on turn two and three. Which really demonstrates why carrot cake is such a dominate card in the format.

One thing I dont understand at 20:00 is that you first say you are less likely to mulligan on the play because you don’t want to be down to 6 cards vs 8 of your opponent, and 1 minute later you say when you are on the draw you are more likely to keep because you get to see an extra card. Isn’t that contradictory?

grabbed my popcorn and settled in!

Ooh early Limited level up!

I’m with you. Bring the darkness!

Hi Alex, thanks for the content. Why not post this on Spotify?

Thank you!!

Great work! I'm sad to see Bloomburrow out what feels quickly, but also excited for a whole bunch of Limited Level Ups!

I appreciate that you cut long waiting times

Ok, but the problem Is Always...HOW-TO a have a....Good and fair Plan, in...Fieri? HOW-TO evaluate if a way to follow Is....Possible and EFFICIENT in a given pick-context we want to follow? Thanks for your interesting video!

Nothing on kitsa? I'd assume she'd be an all star in a deck like this

Just watched this and enjoyed the depth you went into.

Commenting to help your algorithm 😊

Blick Stravenue

Hall Angela Taylor Deborah Gonzalez Michael

Excited to hear your thoughts on this set and play it at Magic Con Vegas at the end of October! Going to try to do a lot of sealed this set to be ready for the main event.

The set mechanics look awesome.

Will the RARE lands have their own slot (like in MKM) or will they occupy an important real estate in the rare slot? (kinda bummer for sealed)

Really like the brief pre review. Hits high points prior to full spoiler and serves as an intro to the pending multi-hour set review season. Minor Suggestion careful flipping slides so quickly while talking, made my eyes go 😵‍💫

This set is going to be difficult to figure out. ...Draft is initially gonna be all over the place (Its not Ikoria, but its gonna be difficult)

Thanks, good info on how to build the UR deck. Small comment on Blacksmiths Talent. I personally have really liked it in my RB decks. It just fills out the curve so nice but you do want to make sure you have your 2 drop creature. Just getting to level 3 turns all your creatures into threats.

The duals will show upbin the Land slot ~50% of the time (~40& Non-Foil, ~10% Foil).

Jose Springs

rooms strikes me as playing similar to adventure, where every room card is going to play better then it looks from having the implied text of draw its other half

Did spoilers even finish!?

That's too bad the dual lands aren't at common. I always like sets with lots of common fixings outside of base green.

Oh jeez I'm probably late to sign up for prerelease ain't I

I tied my hand at divination (not the card), and the preternatural prediction was that this set will be fast, you’ll prioritize 1 and 2 drops, and blue will suck a lot.

For Eerie, both don't have to happen. ETB & when you unlock a room. You could have 2 triggers, correct? Great channel, I've been playing since February 2011.

Set is giving me NEO vibes cos I can see some pairs leaning in different directions in different drafts, ie; your WU deck may be more aggro focused some drafts and more enchantment focused in others. The RW "power 2 or less" archetype seems the most interesting to me, both because it gives small aggro creatures more lategame value but also it has a bunch of cool Creepy toy designs

Dunno I think the 13 or less life clause on the lands makes them a touch better than normal tapped lands, to the point where I'm excited for some splashing. On the first few turns it's the usual sequencing for tap lands. But if there's a halfway viable aggro deck in any formst, it's usually got it's opponents to 13 by turn 4 relatively often, so on the backfoot your splashy deck turns on easier. And if you are against another slow deck then you can both durdle no worries. I think it will make them less risky to play in multiples at the very least, even in 2 color aggro decks I could see running 3+ if I got them, they are really only bad if there is a board stall early.

Started watching your channel and drafting in general in bloomburrow, hyped to go into duskmourne with a bit of experience under my belt and Limited Level Ups to guide me 🤓

Algo

There is no way the MTGA shuffler is random, sometimes the algorithm decides you must lose. I just played best of 3, 5 floods with just about double lands as spells and one screw. My deck had 16 lands and two of those 1 mv artifacts to search for land. Very frustrating

Hey Alex, been a fan of your work and analyses since roughly MKM (actively returned to MtG in LOTR), and even capitalise on rotational Arena quick drafts to listen to your back catalogue - it's that impressive! And apropos of this video, just wrapped up draft 1 of the Arena Open Day 2 with a suitably horrible 0-4 Izzet build. Snatched a win in 3 of those 4 rounds against various shades of green decks, so it wasn't a "total" loss, but still. In hindsight, I got carried away after qualifying for Day 2 after a 0-2 start in my only entry, and after listening to this and watching Dafore play Izzet I thought I could reasonably draft the archetype; however the inexperience caught up with me. Started the draft with 2 straight Mockingbirds, had a Stormchaser's Talent pack 2, and for the rares that was it. Blue was definitely open, but decided late on the second colour (nothing else really seemed opened besides white, and I tried with all my might to avoid Azorius). Should've stayed mono blue with a smattering of green (Innkeeper's Talent P3P2 sadly went astray) or black, but tacked on red because I had Izzet at the back of my mind, and correspondingly got 0 Pearls of Wisdom, 0 Mentors, 0 TOTTs, only 1 Might of the Meek. Overloaded on Into the Flood Maws (3) and Shore Ups (2-3), but those were too reactive in regards to spell count, and coupled with no card draw with mediocre interaction (2 Conducts and 2 Agate Assaults) the recipe for disaster was written. I actually made the mistake you forewarned about: forcing Izzet without seeing the specific Izzet signals. I navel-gazed my 2 straight Mockingbirds and blue being open into durdling the choice of my second colour, and those Mentors/Pearls/Meeks/TOTTs never showed up (Izzet might've been contested at some point but in all likelihood those cards were never opened in this draft). Started playing Arena Opens in WOE - made Day 2 in the last 2, MH3 and BLB -, reached Mythic in the last 2 months as well for the first time, so I've been feeling tangible progress in the last few months. I enjoy the format, but BLB really showed how inexperienced I still am in navigating draft: it truly was the hardest format of recent times for me to grapple with. Was it the the on-the-rails feeling turbocharged by the tribal themes? Initially it seemed simple enough, but as it progressed I felt the exact opposite. Anyways, sorry for the long post, and keep up the excellent work!

I like UR much more as a control deck. Playing a couple counter spells, some quality removal (need some TOTT and downdraft are musts) and slamming any of the blue uncommons. I feel like my Tempo UR decks still get blown out on the return

Interesting data, I won 500$ with Rakdos on both draft 1 and 2. The izzet colors are always super open