What's in store as we head into June...
25:27
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@johnmelvin450
@johnmelvin450 Күн бұрын
That was awesome....we need more of these!
@ConvectiveChronicles
@ConvectiveChronicles Күн бұрын
Thank you! More on the way!
@junefirst
@junefirst Күн бұрын
It was an interesting day! Definitely a higher-end event for us that grew up in New England. The tornado risk I suspect was limited by those weak lapse rates. Shear wasn’t quite enough to overcome it. 6/1/2011 is a good example of what great streamwise shear can do in weaker lapse rate environment. Great work as always, Trey! It was great finally getting to meet you the other day in Nebraska. -Ethan
@ConvectiveChronicles
@ConvectiveChronicles Күн бұрын
Thank you, Ethan! Great finally meeting you, as well! Very interesting setup indeed; I think if we had just slightly better thermos we might have had a more potent outcome with the kinematics that were in play. Still an impressive setup for the region, and it was very interesting watching it unfold.
@LeviW133
@LeviW133 Күн бұрын
Great video Trey 😄👍 keep up the good work
@ConvectiveChronicles
@ConvectiveChronicles Күн бұрын
Thank you!
@kevinjoyce285
@kevinjoyce285 2 күн бұрын
Very conditional tornado threat. I think two tornadoes mightve touched down? Either way, thankfully discrete cells didn't perform as expected
@ConvectiveChronicles
@ConvectiveChronicles Күн бұрын
I saw some video of a brief tornado(es) from the storm in southern NH, but that’s about it. Thinking the weaker lapse rates kept things at bay.
@kevinjoyce285
@kevinjoyce285 Күн бұрын
@@ConvectiveChronicles Yeah, it certainly did. None of the cells really caught my eye except that Southern NH one
@user-nl5vj9jv1h
@user-nl5vj9jv1h 2 күн бұрын
So, what do you think about Tuesday in OH? The SPC says I’m under a MRGL for that day, but I’m still quite worried. I’ve been seeing some curved hodographs but also a very stout cap. Definitely paranoid about tornadoes on Tuesday.
@ConvectiveChronicles
@ConvectiveChronicles Күн бұрын
Greatest threat will be off to your west and it looks to be mostly a wind/hail threat.
@lovesosa4751
@lovesosa4751 2 күн бұрын
What about Canada?
@ConvectiveChronicles
@ConvectiveChronicles 2 күн бұрын
I focus on US severe weather
@lovesosa4751
@lovesosa4751 Күн бұрын
@@ConvectiveChroniclesDefinitely was cool to watch, otherwise unique weather factors make for interesting personal analysis
@ConvectiveChronicles
@ConvectiveChronicles Күн бұрын
@@lovesosa4751 That definitely was an interesting setup to watch unfold
@jamez_3824
@jamez_3824 2 күн бұрын
Currently positioned in Fryeburg, ME for mobile SkyWarn reporting. First time in a while I've gone for a chase up here! We don't get much action let alone this high of a risk for Maine.
@sahebplays3589
@sahebplays3589 2 күн бұрын
I definitely see potency in this event, closely but not entirely met with may 31 1985 where despite the good setup, spc may lack a little confidence due to the irregularity of northeast significant events, but ultimately we will see that supercell threat coincided with geographic terrain to produce several tornadoes, I do worry the lack of a hatched risk may mean the lack of expectation for one odd strong tornado, (although mesoscale discussions and watches can provide that detail proceeding the event) @ConvectiveChronicles
@dharrison365
@dharrison365 2 күн бұрын
I live in keene NH right smack dab in the middle
@ConvectiveChronicles
@ConvectiveChronicles 2 күн бұрын
Be safe
@MattLovesLSD
@MattLovesLSD 2 күн бұрын
I’m in Lowell Mass, I’m pretty scared of tornados lol what do you the odds are we actually get hit?
@ConvectiveChronicles
@ConvectiveChronicles 2 күн бұрын
Very low chance of actually getting hit but you still need to be prepared.
@MattLovesLSD
@MattLovesLSD 2 күн бұрын
@@ConvectiveChronicles Thank you for the video Convective
@dragnflei
@dragnflei 2 күн бұрын
I saw the slight risk noted last night and was surprised to see the tornado threat so high. Thanks for the video, hope you feel better soon.
@ConvectiveChronicles
@ConvectiveChronicles 2 күн бұрын
Thank you; definitely making some progress but it was a rough one.
@bluetoad6848
@bluetoad6848 2 күн бұрын
Very rare to see a enhanced risk at the northeast. I hope everyone there will take all warnings serious. Tomorrow storms may be significant, with a derecho appearing to be possible in the upper midwest. (From Minnesota to Wisconsin)
@slayer18726
@slayer18726 2 күн бұрын
YEEESSSSSS TREY IS HERE!!!!!!! Lol sorry bout that, I got way too excited to see a upload today
@Meathead72
@Meathead72 2 күн бұрын
With subtle forcing, the storm mode should remain discrete, which concerns me. Due to the poor lapse rates, storms will likely have to go through several mergers before they can complete tornadogenesis today.
@danielwieten8617
@danielwieten8617 2 күн бұрын
Seeing a new forecast discussion gives me the same feeling as comfort food
@paradoxicalpoet1525
@paradoxicalpoet1525 2 күн бұрын
I took photos of completely debarked trees south of Robert Lee TX from the 5/3 2024 tornado. If you do a meteorological breakdown of the 5/2-5/4 Texas tornados you are more than welcome to use those photos. Awesome video as always.
@ConvectiveChronicles
@ConvectiveChronicles 2 күн бұрын
Thank you! Definitely going to cover that stretch in an upcoming case study; I think I may focus on May 2 since the tornadoes that day were the most impactful, but I might touch on May 3/4 as well.
@georgemousmoules2173
@georgemousmoules2173 2 күн бұрын
We're getting excited and nervous here in NH!!
@jasmine31507
@jasmine31507 2 күн бұрын
Interesting
@Sinnistering
@Sinnistering 2 күн бұрын
Thank you so much for this video! I was thinking last night how I hope Convective Chronicles releases one considering the unusual and uncommon situation, so I can learn a bit about what the setup conditions are.
@laurendefazio5651
@laurendefazio5651 2 күн бұрын
Thank you, Trey!!! As always, this was so thorough and super helpful.
@ConvectiveChronicles
@ConvectiveChronicles 2 күн бұрын
Good luck today!
@nazcarcup
@nazcarcup 2 күн бұрын
Trey here!
@hotdog9423
@hotdog9423 2 күн бұрын
Of course Nascar is in town
@enidp1277
@enidp1277 2 күн бұрын
Stay safe to everyone in the risk area! Keeping an eye out here too in Eastern Ontario/Western Quebec.
@kristinadill5613
@kristinadill5613 2 күн бұрын
Trey “I have a cold” Are you sure you haven’t just been really sad about tour season ending? 🧐😂
@ConvectiveChronicles
@ConvectiveChronicles 2 күн бұрын
Haha it’s definitely sad seeing it come to an end! It was an awesome season…but I’m thankful to have a break now.
@offsertraline
@offsertraline 2 күн бұрын
stay safe fellow new england residents
@MightyMuffins
@MightyMuffins 2 күн бұрын
OH snap Trey cooking a discussion for my neck of the woods. Coolio. Literally in the worst chasing areas you can imagine with all the trees. I am staying put for now in Albany and won't go maybe an our away at most. I never chased VT/NH ever anyway so that's not where I will go. I usually like my 1 hour radius around Albany here. Plus back to back 12 hour overnight shifts not even 20 hours after I come back from the 6 day plains trip hasn't helped. XD All depends on cloud cover and how renegade some of these storms can be. This truly is a one in 10 year set up for the Northeast. It's INSANELY rare to get SRH values THIS DAMN HIGH and STPs in the 3-4s. That for us is like an "Oklahoma May outbreak potential" for our region. :P Trey that region of VT/NH East of the Champlain Valley is like......East and SE of Oklahoma City/Norman...you really can't chase it.
@Babewatcherbob
@Babewatcherbob 2 күн бұрын
Thanks for doing this video! Much appreciated
@SammyWx
@SammyWx 2 күн бұрын
Decided to stick with central NY as my target area for today. Severe risk is more conditional here but the terrain up in New England is horrific for chasers. Nothing but dense forest and hills up there making for really bad visibility. Tornado risk is low here. But if there is one I’ll have a much better chance of actually seeing it
@raymondguilbeault4585
@raymondguilbeault4585 2 күн бұрын
Yay finally a video on my part of the country I'm in the 5% in Cohoes but just over the County line in Troy NY theirs 30% wind and 10% tornado
@nalla1782
@nalla1782 2 күн бұрын
I storm chased in Oklahoma for a week this May, and I go to school in Vermont. It’s a very weird feeling having the tornado threat come up to me while I’m just trying to do my summer classes!
@DJ-iu5bb
@DJ-iu5bb 2 күн бұрын
Not looking good for the 603 🍁🥞🦞 😭