Chart of the Week: Cyclical GDP
5:54
These States Are In A Recession
5:16
How To Predict A Recession
7:44
Жыл бұрын
Will Home Prices Keep Falling?
5:25
How To Spot The Next Debt Crisis
8:05
Пікірлер
@ufuksenol2005
@ufuksenol2005 21 сағат бұрын
Start early with diversified investments in stocks, bonds, and real estate. Maximize contributions to tax-advantaged accounts like 401(k)s and IRAs. Regularly review and adjust your strategy to ensure security.......
@PineHosting
@PineHosting 21 сағат бұрын
People dont understand that the prices of things are never going back down. This inflation is deeper than we think. Those buying groceries are well aware that the real inflation is much over 10%. The increments dont match our income, yet certain investors still earn over $365,000 in stocks and assets. Wish I could accomplish that.
@mbnesbitt
@mbnesbitt 21 сағат бұрын
Very possible! especially at this moment. Profits can be made in many different ways, but such intricate transactions should only be handled by seasoned market professionals.
@nandojuace
@nandojuace 21 сағат бұрын
Finding yourself a good broker is as same as finding a good wife, which you go less stress, you get just enough with so much little effort at things
@LolMan-qy9cc
@LolMan-qy9cc 21 сағат бұрын
Brian demonstrates an excellent understanding of market trends, making well informed decisions that leads to consistent profit
@fl0ridaman123
@fl0ridaman123 22 сағат бұрын
unemployment rate in miami dade county is 2.1%, among the lowest in the country
@CristianEnacheRealtor
@CristianEnacheRealtor 23 сағат бұрын
Same patern in GTA Ontario Canada. Good things are coming. Fast. Inventory is growing up in every single city. And I am doing business in over 30 cities in GTA and surroundings. We are on the right path. Follow my account for real information, daily.
@smokestacklightning
@smokestacklightning 23 сағат бұрын
Subbed. Econ. here; Air BnB, large increase in mom/pop 2-3 investment home owners, FOMO and CrAZy low rates for since the Financial crisis then Pandemic response which brings us to the irresponsible Bank lending policies- how could they know rates would rise?😅
@Elplaceteno
@Elplaceteno Күн бұрын
WHAT ABOUT TAXES? TAXES? TAXES? TAXES?
@profitmix441
@profitmix441 Күн бұрын
People are going into massive debt buying homes cause someone is telling them it’s an investment. It’s pretty sad when they start to realize it’s a liability.
@grega8334
@grega8334 Күн бұрын
Logan keeps saying, "where you don't know what's going to happen to the insurance costs in 5 years," like he is leaving the door open that they might fall.... Dude, they aren't falling. They will never go down again. It's a question of how much more will they rise in another 5 years.
@jimmyyoungyo
@jimmyyoungyo Күн бұрын
music is distracting
@harambenolevest69
@harambenolevest69 Күн бұрын
Real estate expert never heard of Citizens insurance in Florida?
@kennethwarger318
@kennethwarger318 Күн бұрын
😂
@111sunder
@111sunder Күн бұрын
Why the ‘who wants to be a millionaire’ soundtrack throughout😂😂
@lauragraves2948
@lauragraves2948 23 сағат бұрын
God it’s killing me, I can’t even focus on what’s being said. Cutting out at half way now. No music in interviews, it doesn’t flow and my brain can’t decide which to focus on
@michaelsd284
@michaelsd284 Күн бұрын
Thanks for the insightful conversation. To may KZbinrs (mostly realtors) keep spewing none sense about "just wait for the interest rates to come down" and are totally miss leading their viewership in appreciating the broader and comprehensive issues facing Florida housing. Florida's housing will be a long and slow correction just like other parts of the country, but as Logan pointed out, there are some many other issues that will take time work through the system. There are (2) short-term things to watch, the first is how the Florida market reacts to the next couple of Fed rate reports and the bigger one is the pending super busy hurricane season. In the end the singular cause and cure of this issue is pretty clear, Home Price as this drives your house payment, you tax and your insurance premiums (i.e. affordability). Interest rates do have a role to play, but historically we've had higher rates while the housing market was fine. Not until 2007 and 2020 have we seen the excessive and unjustified ( no tangible value) home price increases. 2008 was a bit of a different story, but we are starting seeing the lending industry begin playing their old sophisticated lending packages" games again.
@riskanet
@riskanet Күн бұрын
100% confirm. Palm Beach/ Broward totally screwed up. Insurance just killing. (From $2200 to 9600!) Taxes through the roof (10k-13k) for medium house.
@RandomRabbit007
@RandomRabbit007 Күн бұрын
More videos like this!! Love the long podcasts but also love 10 min videos!!
@lainiwakura44
@lainiwakura44 Күн бұрын
Extremely informative channel. Thank you very much
@TookAHikeNowWhat
@TookAHikeNowWhat 2 күн бұрын
Dear maamsirs, please to be kindly research the bountiful financial services of great Guru Dr. Gofug Youselves-Scammers; he has greatly assisted me in prodigious ways!
@mikem4432
@mikem4432 2 күн бұрын
The FED SOFT LANDING IS A COMPLETE FAILURE BUT THE WORKING PEOPLE ARE THE ONES WHO WILL SUFFER THE MOST BECAUSE THE PAY CHECK IS WORTH SHIT
@gildardomagallon
@gildardomagallon 2 күн бұрын
You can’t compare new homes and existing homes like fruit. New homes have better building codes, more energy efficient but usually are smaller but come with garages. The homes themselves are better but are usually in communities with strict HOA rules, little to no privacy and the builders finance your loan at a lower rate in order to be able to sell their homes. Resale/exisiting homes are usually older designs but remodeled, no HOA, and the best part is in the BEST LOCATIONS. That is one huge thing resale’s have on new homes because the best locations are usually taken up already. Now, all that said the result of what is best for you depends on you not on everyone else’s factors.
@57054
@57054 2 күн бұрын
Until we can find a way to build homes more efficiently with less labor, demand will exceed supply,thus ever increasing home prices. USA is letting in too many people into this country that aren't willing to work physically demanding jobs in the harsh elements.
@vincentmurphy9252
@vincentmurphy9252 2 күн бұрын
2019 was tops a recession buff one was coming 2020 but miraculously Covid shows up Your home in 2020-22 be down say 20% so do it 19--300 21-249 19-300 Covid 490-550 Bubble
@frankarena838
@frankarena838 2 күн бұрын
Grreat discussion,. Thanks Eric. I learnt so much from all three of you.
@mohali4338
@mohali4338 2 күн бұрын
we are all standing on one leg to see what the f the fed is doing
@MetaPhysStore0770
@MetaPhysStore0770 2 күн бұрын
Wrong! there is a productivity cycle like factories and hotels and farm land, its called "book value" and depreciation, and there is a cycle called "mark to market" thats a different accounting system and that is a far more huge amount of market share than residential, in residential its location location location thats got nothing to do with volume, thats just called market churn! Velosity does not affect price, only valuation affects price, high volume can be because houses are discounted and high volume can be because theyre luxury or exclussive, he makes no sense.
@sarawilliam696
@sarawilliam696 2 күн бұрын
I’m in Ohio and the housing market here over the last 7-8 years is unlike anything I’ve ever seen. Homes that were bought for $130K in 2015 are now being sold for $590k. I’m talking about tiny, disgusting, poorly built 950 square foot shit boxes in quiet mediocre neighbourhoods. Then you’ve got Better, average sized homes in nicer neighbourhoods that were $300K+ 10 years ago selling for $750k+ now. Wild times.
@Justinmeyer1000
@Justinmeyer1000 2 күн бұрын
Home prices will come down eventually, but for now; get your money (as much as you can) out of the housing market and get into the financial markets or gold. The new mortgage rates are crazy, add to that the recession and the fact that mortgage guidelines are getting more difficult. Home prices will need to fall by a minimum of 40% (more like 50%) before the market normalizes.If you are in cross roads or need sincere advise on the best moves to take now its best you seek an independent advisor who knows about the financial markets.
@carssimplified2195
@carssimplified2195 2 күн бұрын
Personally, I can connect to that. When I began working with a fiduciary financial counsellor, my advantages were certain. I got into the market early 2019 and the constant downtrends and losses discouraged me so I sold off, got back in Dec 2021 this time with guidance, Long story short, its been 2years now and I’ve gained over a million dollars following guidance from my investment adviser.
@PatrickFitzgerald-cx6io
@PatrickFitzgerald-cx6io 2 күн бұрын
This is huge! think you can point me towards the direction of your advisor? been looking at advisory management myself.. seeking ways to invest and make more money with the uncertainty in the economy.
@carssimplified2195
@carssimplified2195 2 күн бұрын
Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’Aileen Gertrude Tippy” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive.She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
@PatrickFitzgerald-cx6io
@PatrickFitzgerald-cx6io 2 күн бұрын
Thanks a lot for this suggestion. I needed this myself, I looked her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
@mannypatel9090
@mannypatel9090 3 күн бұрын
Which reits would be good to watch for when this Commerical market corrects, or will it just be that another bank will take the debts serviced and continue the mortgages?
@bhalps
@bhalps 3 күн бұрын
one of the major reasons for the new homes being cheaper than the old homes is location location location. The older housing stock is closer to the urban core, and those properties are getting a boost. Those interior properties have rising property and land values. Meanwhile the newer less established neighborhoods are the ones with the new homes, and those are further away from the city centers. Thus they cost less. The extra cost is in travel and time expenses. However, as these outskirt area get larger, they inevitably become their own nodes and centers for commerce - or they just SUBURBANIZE to death.
@antoniorenteria2896
@antoniorenteria2896 3 күн бұрын
The only thing that matters is what the people holding most of the money think is going to happen
@DoubleBarrel6969
@DoubleBarrel6969 3 күн бұрын
LETS GO BRANDON.
@Golden.5555
@Golden.5555 3 күн бұрын
What about all these corporations buying houses? I feel that played a very significant role
@ssaylor
@ssaylor 4 күн бұрын
23:35 Hey so for this percentage figure on 70%-80% sellers are buyers, can you provide more detail on that? Maybe it's presumptuous to say that's historical but I'd be interested to see your data on homeowners with more than one residence, and is it likely that sellers come back stronger once we have rate cuts and these rental properties, for example, make their way to the sellers market?
@LaDucTrading
@LaDucTrading 4 күн бұрын
Logan is bar none my favorite housing analyst for years now. Great job, Eric.
@genZetarded
@genZetarded 4 күн бұрын
Gme, amc, cryptobros are back. That means financial conditin is not just tight.
@JennyJean.
@JennyJean. 4 күн бұрын
This entire economy is punishing woman whom have more than two children!!! We have a family of eight and our food budget has doubled in just a year in a half and we don’t qualify for food stamps!!! I am pissed and will NOT get a HELOC or give the banks a dime of my wealth! I will buy hunting land to feed my family the entire group of elites are out of line!!!
@genZetarded
@genZetarded 4 күн бұрын
Stock market is the last one to be bearish but first to be bullish. Nothing else.
@thomas316
@thomas316 4 күн бұрын
The BLS consumer expenditure survey doesn't capture public healthcare which is why it appears consumption declines with age. In fact if you account for all goods and services it is flat. That's why an aging population is inflationary, more consumers and fewer people producing goods and services.
@bledig
@bledig 4 күн бұрын
Did you account inflation and the cash bump to the rich during pandemic?
@barrett3000
@barrett3000 4 күн бұрын
Fantastic content. Something that I love about business cycles and overall macro economics is the phenomenon that most economic trends are created by belief. Seeing this debate fuels two opposing ideas and I just love it. Full of good data points. Really enjoyable.
@TheJackCain-84
@TheJackCain-84 4 күн бұрын
Back in the day, when I purchased my first home to live-in; that was Miami in the early 1990s, first mortgages with rates of 8 to 9% and 9% to 10% were typical. People will have to accept the possibility that we won't ever return to 3%. If sellers must sell, home prices will have to decline, and lower evaluations will follow. Pretty sure I'm not alone in my chain of thoughts.
@Jamessmith-12
@Jamessmith-12 4 күн бұрын
If anything, it'll get worse. Very soon, affordable housing will no longer be affordable. So anything anyone want to do, I will advise they do it now because the prices today will look like dips tomorrow. Until the Fed clamps down even further, I think we're going to see hysteria due to rampant inflation. You can't halfway rip the band-aid off.
@JacquelinePerrira
@JacquelinePerrira 4 күн бұрын
The best course of action if you lack market knowledge is to ask a consultant or investing coach for guidance or assistance. Speaking with a consultant helped me stay afloat in the market and grow my portfolio to about 65% since January, even though I know it sounds obvious or generic. I believe that is the most effective way to enter the business at the moment.
@kevinmarten
@kevinmarten 4 күн бұрын
please who is the consultant that assist you with your investment and if you don't mind, how do I get in touch with them?
@JacquelinePerrira
@JacquelinePerrira 4 күн бұрын
'Carol Vivian Constable, a highly respected figure in her field. I suggest delving deeper into her credentials, as she possesses extensive experience and serves as a valuable resource for individuals seeking guidance in navigating the financial market.
@kevinmarten
@kevinmarten 4 күн бұрын
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran an online search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
@parhampozhhan8632
@parhampozhhan8632 4 күн бұрын
Thanks Eric. One of the best debates on KZbin. It is not who is right or wrong but perspective.
@zhiliangxing7538
@zhiliangxing7538 4 күн бұрын
lol, regardless who is right who is wrong, Brian definitely missed the rally and Danny is so chill because he is in a good position for now. Who knows what's gonna happen in the future, the record of any particular economists or macro investors are so unreliable that it makes no sense to make any investment decision based on the forecast.
@vincentb2175
@vincentb2175 5 күн бұрын
In 2005 when I was 21 there were houses I could buy after working 1 year. Today it would take me 20-40 years to buy a house. The houses have gotten bigger, more expensive, and only people my age of 41 or older can possibly buy one. Good luck to young people. They aren’t even trying to build 1 to 2 bedroom homes of modest quality anymore.
@Hrjekkrjfbneemskjfjennwmakkf
@Hrjekkrjfbneemskjfjennwmakkf 5 күн бұрын
Blows my mind that EPB has less than 1m subscribers
@EPBResearch
@EPBResearch 5 күн бұрын
On the way!
@harryj1081
@harryj1081 5 күн бұрын
look at the bloody reserve balances from h.4.1, look at that hump since 2023 may sivb demise. if they wanna be restrictive they wouldnt have panicked and inject BTFP free money for banks!
@himpoet
@himpoet 5 күн бұрын
Portugal and Spain have seen deflation in real estate? I don't know what planet you're on, Eric, but the price of housing in Lisbon and other large Spanish cities has increased exponentially. Furthermore, I have been in Portugal, Spain, France, Slovenia and Croatia this year and you simply cannot find even short-term stays that are affordable. To give you an example of Lisbon, the statistics point to a 20% increase in rents, but you simply cannot rent the apartment I was renting in 2016 for less than double. A friend of mine bought an apartment and sold it for literally double the value in less than 5 years too.
@thomas316
@thomas316 4 күн бұрын
Both effects can be seen. In Southern Europe it seems to be the rural areas and small villages that depopule forst. Larger cities are immune and have seen price growth continue The same happened in Japan because depopulation does not occur evenly in geographic terms.
@himpoet
@himpoet 4 күн бұрын
@@thomas316 in Southern France and anywhere in the world for that matter. If there's supply and no demand, prices adjust down. There are nearly abandoned villages in Italy where they pretty much offer you residence if you rehabilitate the house and move there. Villages where tens of people live. That says nothing of the reality of housing nor the serious problem of affordability throughout the continent.
@hb2111
@hb2111 5 күн бұрын
Hello game of trades, I really appreciate all the videos you’ve done. Where would I go to learn all of this stuff that you talk about in your videos. Did you take courses or go to university. Just want to learn this information for myself so I can explain to others as well.
@MrSimonious
@MrSimonious 5 күн бұрын
Get rid of the Fed!!!
@MrSimonious
@MrSimonious 5 күн бұрын
Danny is on the precipice of being hugely wrong. Market is going to tank like a bitch in the next 6 months or so. Hard landing is coming. Buffet market indicator is pegged.
@edwardstanton3571
@edwardstanton3571 5 күн бұрын
The debate was over when Danny opened with, "It's different this time."
@whatever9261
@whatever9261 5 күн бұрын
Zero down loans happening right now
@tofu_golem
@tofu_golem 5 күн бұрын
Who cares? It's more expensive than people can afford. Capitalism failed at the most basic function of an economic system: keeping a roof over everyone's heads. There are a large number of simple things that could be done to bring housing prices down, but our system of legal bribery would never allow such a thing.