Is there anyway you can help me use the Let Function to make a ELO System which is automated? my current one is still quite manual
@martinaylett1280Күн бұрын
When i get to the dashboard and type in the XLOOKUP formula =XLOOKUP($G$9,'Raw Data'!$AT$2:$AT$2000,'Raw Data'!$C$2:$C$2000)its brings back #NAME for the home team and, =XLOOKUP($G$9,'Raw Data'!$AT$2:$AT$2000,'Raw Data'!$D$2:$D$2000), 0 for the away team what am I doing wrong
@paulpells18642 күн бұрын
In cell c16 it says you have entered too many arguments in my excel..
@excel_ladzКүн бұрын
Hi mate! Is this after downloading the file, or are you working on it yourself? If you're a member, you can shoot me a message through there and I can take a closer look 😉 If not, I'll try and answer though here!
@paulpells1864Күн бұрын
@@excel_ladz Hi, I was working my way through your formulas, copying them on paper and entering the formulas onto my spreadsheet. Had loads of problems, my errors in copying, syntax differences etc. I did download it but got a Macro warning which I couldn't over-ride that so couldn't use it. I don't know if that is your protection. I did join partly but then it was £19. I don't mind paying if I can download it and it works, cheers :)
@paulpells1864Күн бұрын
@@excel_ladz Yes I am working on it myself but really slow progress. I'm doing it for a Table Tennis league which I want automated. I've made the cards okay but want the captains to be able to print them off for their particular team with date & opponents so all they have to do is fill in the players on the night, and need to do an averages sheet too. I really want to do a Ratings program too. The hardest problem so far is the ratings but the fixtures have me baffled too.
@excel_ladzКүн бұрын
@@paulpells1864 Good luck mate. Unfortunately, there's not enough context for me to provide solutions to why there's an error in C16 right now. What worksheet was that in?
@paulpells1864Күн бұрын
The fixtures Tab cell C16. Clearly it works in yours when you pressed enter, but mine said I entered too many arguments. The double nested IF statements I think caused me the problem but not you 😅
@paulpells18642 күн бұрын
If I join the channel I can download this fixture list?
@BenLozeman2 күн бұрын
You make very good tutorials. thanks for that. But personally i think the simulations do not offer any benefit. Let's take a real match. Senators-Flames. The bookie offers me an odd for the senators. 2.06. When i run the simulation that gives me 1.92 so there is a little value. i run the simulation several times and it gives me : 1.96 - 2.22 - 2.50 - 1.67. so with 2.50 i have no value at all where on the other hand with 1.67 there is great value. So it just depends on the rand function when the program runs and you can not know if there is any value in the bet.
@excel_ladzКүн бұрын
Thank you, lad 😃 I agree with your point, but for that result to come up means that there is either an error in your model or you're not running enough simulations. For a single simulation, the RAND() function randomises it according to the certain probability distribution you choose. However, after running thousands of these trials, the average of the results converge to the true probabilities. In most of my models I do at least 1,000 simulations. If I could, I would do 100,000! With 1,000 simulations, the variance is usually around 1-1.5% every "batch" of simulations". Meaning a team could go from a 50% chance of winning to a 51.1% chance of winning with a refresh. Anything more than 2% is too volatile, and you should run more simulations or look for an error in your model 👍 I hope that helps mate 🔥
@강현우-o9q2 күн бұрын
If I join Patreon, can I touch that model in person? I want to study on my own
@excel_ladz2 күн бұрын
Hello, mate 👋 Yes, of course 😃 You can download the file and edit it however you’d like 🔥
@BENARDCHIKEZIECHIZARAM2 күн бұрын
Pls bow can i get it but i use the excel on my phone
@mang0donald8742 күн бұрын
Google sheets
@Officialmilli12 күн бұрын
Has anyone used this model this season? If so how many units are you up?
@guan32 күн бұрын
Is this one better than the first NBA model you made, because that one had player stats too and lots more stats
@excel_ladz2 күн бұрын
Hi mate! While the other model has player stats, because of that, it can be quite volatile. Especially at the start of the season when movements in each team's roster can change a player's role and influence on their team without it being fully captured by the data. This model is an alternative that considers the team's strength as a whole throughout the season so far. As a result though, it does miss out on player ins & outs 👍
@강현우-o9q2 күн бұрын
I think it's at least more meaningful to do what you want to do with your videos while running them through a translator than to watch KZbin shorts pointlessly.
@강현우-o9q2 күн бұрын
I've been into sports gambling since 2 years ago, actually I love gambling, but I'm 19 now and my dream is to create an NBA analytics model like the one you posted and I dropped out of high school because of it, so it's weird to go back to high school, and gambling has taught me a lot, so I'm going to follow my dreams after watching you, thank you for the video
@excel_ladz2 күн бұрын
Thanks for watching, lad!
@강현우-o9q2 күн бұрын
@@excel_ladz you from au?
@excel_ladz2 күн бұрын
@@강현우-o9q Yep! 🇦🇺
@mang0donald8742 күн бұрын
Bro. Don't drop out of school to gamble. That's a rough choice
@강현우-o9q2 күн бұрын
@@mang0donald874 I didn't drop out to gamble. I just dropped out and became interested in gambling and went back to school to study more. Studying gambling does not mean gambling.
@FkLakah3 күн бұрын
Great video.
@excel_ladz3 күн бұрын
G'day, lads! Further explanation on how I built the model is here: www.patreon.com/posts/excel-ladz-2024-116432682
@josiahemmyКүн бұрын
Hi bro. Good Job here. The model is not downloading. Please check the link. Thanks
@ctaylorh53004 күн бұрын
Can you explain or is there somewhere you have already explained on how/what the numbers mean on the xFG+xFT numbers are?
@almanon61517 күн бұрын
I did the players function exactly as you showed and it will not show the top players for each team ex. Tatum, Giannis Davis will not show up? any suggestions?
@excel_ladz6 күн бұрын
Hi mate! Apologies, this was a typo in the model while I was making the video. I've explained it in a comment, which I'll copy and paste here: Hi lads! Unfortunately, there was an error when I typed in the formula under the 'Player' header in the 'Player Working' worksheet. The formula is all right, until the last ROWS part of the formula. This should actually look like: 'Raw Player Stats'$E$3:E3))) Rather than: 'Raw Player Stats'$E$3:E4))) That is why the first player in every team is missing, because in the video I mistakenly put E4 instead of E3. So sorry for the confusion lads, Let me know if this fixes this problem 💪
@almanon61516 күн бұрын
@@excel_ladz thank you appreciate it. I also have one more question don’t know if you would be able to answer but I’m using excel on a Mac and it won’t allow me to use html link for basketball reference hence it will not update daily any suggestions ?
@excel_ladz6 күн бұрын
@@almanon6151 No worries bro. I actually built the model using Excel on a Mac, so there's definitely a solution 👍 Have a look at the 'Currency Converter' video on my channel, where I run through how to establish a Power Query on a Mac. Instead of using the currency website, I used Basketball Reference 😃
@johnnio998 күн бұрын
How do you add "deducted points" off a team? I have done this for Championship and Sheff Utd are ahead, but they were deducted 2 pts for breaches last year.
@MultiPeaze9 күн бұрын
Thanks for the video. I’m running into a snag when trying to average the def rating. It’s giving me #div/0. The numbers are showing up correctly for the corresponding teams. I think it’s reading the cells as empty. I’m not sure why
@Hume24711 күн бұрын
Bro what's the point of your video if you are not even explaining the first step of importing data to the spreadhseet ? I am stuck there. I am not even able to watch further part of the video.
@excel_ladz9 күн бұрын
G'day, lad! Unfortunately, the Power Query process is different for not only your version of Excel but also the computer you are working on. I build the models using Excel for Mac, which has a very different process to Windows computers (the majority). As a result, I don't include the portion of the video where I bring the data in, as for 95% of users it'd be a waste of time. If you're struggling with creating a Power Query, I suggest watching some tutorials on KZbin 👍
@MultiPeaze12 күн бұрын
Is there a simpler way to add the players? There were duplicate players in the list.
@SebastianUcedo-rv3ce13 күн бұрын
Hello brother, I was watching your videos, I haven't understood when you speak because I don't understand English but I was surprised by how you handle Excel. I have a football prediction calculator similar to the one you have already made, but I have a question about how to know when a match can be 0-0 Fulltime, since the % of 0-0 is always above the average although the data tells you that they will win 2-0 for example. That is my doubt, I would love for you to make the table and for Excel to tell you if, according to the statistics, it is likely that the match will end 0-0 (I play live and I want to avoid matches that end 0-0) greetings from Paraguay
@DidierCobos13 күн бұрын
I am from Mexico, can I buy the Excel templates?
@zachzimmer698814 күн бұрын
Hey man i am currently stuck on the second part of the rank
@miguelmalveiro447120 күн бұрын
Amazing tutorial, took me a while to go through it but I got it up and running! Thanks for such a great excel document
@pareiomar21 күн бұрын
if i subscribe to yout patreon would i have to do whats in this video? or does it come prepared and ready to use for the current 2024-25 nfl season and refresh daily?
@excel_ladz20 күн бұрын
Hello, mate! By subscribing to the Patreon, you can download the model exactly as it is built in this video. No work required 👍 I highly recommend joining the community 🔥
@pareiomar20 күн бұрын
@@excel_ladz done! Thank you
@rohanc563023 күн бұрын
I did the same simulation for this season based on last seasons table. Would there be any way of including the start of this years results into the model?
@MarXist3324 күн бұрын
Hello, this model is great. I am seeing some of the top players not show up on their respective teams. Example is Giannis, Anthony Davis, and Luca. Any thoughts on that?
@KhushalTrehan-g9y22 күн бұрын
hey mate, in the 'Player" header in Player Working worksheet, please change the ROWS to $E$3:E3 instead of $E$3:E4 (according to the model)
@гоша52-ю3т27 күн бұрын
ошибка впр
@KhushalTrehan-g9y28 күн бұрын
Hey lad! Nice video of yours here. Really helped me. I just wanted to ask that have you been testing this model lately or simply what's the record of wins-loss with this? This is because I'm trying to build a prediction model using Python so it might be useful for me to compare the results. Thank you. Also if possible can you upload more of such analysis/ model/prediction videos for other sports, I really enjoy these?
@DFSInsights19 күн бұрын
Results using this model since week 4: Week 4- ML 56.25%, Spread 62.5%, and O/U 56.3%. Week 5- ML 57.14%, Spread 50%, O/U 42.86%, Week 6- ML 78.57%, Spread 64.29%, O/U 50%, Week 7- ML 73.33%, Spread 46.67%, O/U 46.67%, Week 8- ML 62.5%, Spread 62.5%, O/U 31.25%, Week 9- ML 87.5%, Spread 43.75%, O/U 43.75%. This is the percentage for the moneyline (ML), spread and over/under (O/U) being accurate. Overall ML 69.22%, Spread 54.95%, O/U 45.14%. When using this keep in mind this accounts for the last 12 games, currently it still considering 2 games from last season and this doesn't help the accuracy, as well as this does not account for injuries, such that Tua from Dolphins got hurt and was out for 4 weeks, so now that he returns the dolphins potential to win will be greater than what the math will show since the 4 weeks he was out the Dolphins stats were abysmal. O/U seems to favor the under which is tough since the NFL is trying to get more teams to score more points so be cautious betting on this. ML has been close to 70% and this can provide some good ROI if you have some football knowledge to go along with the betting. Using this model and the UFC model he produced have made some of my own tweaks with knowledge of the sports and some data points on the way and have seen good ROI.
@KhushalTrehan-g9y18 күн бұрын
@@DFSInsights Ohh thanks a lot mate. That's the comprehensive backtest I was looking for, though I've been doing it for the past 2 weeks, the results are decent especially the spreads. I'll look to make some tweaks. Thanks a lot again mate.
@clmco36Ай бұрын
worthless
@darrinharmsworth6903Ай бұрын
awesome work on this, i did find one issue that i am trying to figure out how to write the code in for. in games that go to a shootout, say it is tied 2-2 in the sim. ot is still tied 2-2. in a shootout where multiple goals are scored, say 3 for the home team and 2 for the away team, the final score then presents itself as a 5-4 win as opposed to a 3-2 win. no matter how many goals are scored in a shootout the winning team is still only credited for one goal. I'm trying to figure out how to code this but have yet to succeed. any advice? thanks!
@flyingchimp12Ай бұрын
It’s just so based on matchups but I reckon if you combine the model with your own eye test it could be very profitable
@DCN2010Ай бұрын
Thank you! This was immensely helpful!
@giovannibraschi-nu5ctАй бұрын
does it update automatically?
@excel_ladzАй бұрын
Hello, lad! When you connect it to the Official NFL Website using a Power Query, it does update automatically; assuming you select the "Refresh All" icon in the 'Data' tab 👍
@JeanBedrosАй бұрын
hello there save as type which option ?? cause i save it but when i opened it's not saving right
@mathiasguin-w9qАй бұрын
Thanks for the video. I have an issue though, how come I never get any Tie in my simulations ?
@ericschewe3552Ай бұрын
This isn't an accurate sim. Love the effort, but to sim the monte hall problem you need to sim the decision tree. Step 1: choose 1. Step 2: remove one false answer. Step 3: choose to stay or switch between remaining 2. Step 4: compare results of staying vs switching
@joshuabernard982Ай бұрын
I'm having a problem with the IFS function
@Adriaan.J.LАй бұрын
The Analysis Sheet, should the percentages be constant? Mine doesn't change, but values change in the other sheets when I hit backspace or when I tell Excel to recalculate formulas
@Adriaan.J.LАй бұрын
7:42 is that really necessary? It's not like teams/players had no injuries during the previous season? I don't see the purpose of that
@RylanDuffy-e4bАй бұрын
can you make a college basketball and football model?
@V8_200_LandcruiserАй бұрын
Awesome! Can you do one for the NRL?
@stephenodowd3881Ай бұрын
I can make work home XG calculation work fine but when I drag the formula down (14:00 mins) and change to "away_xg" I get an error? Any suggestions? Thanks
@1DoubleD69Ай бұрын
Hi. What do I do if instead of points for win, draw, loss i just want to put in points on the table is the same as they score. Like snooker where a score is 5 frames to 3 where you get 5 points for winning 5 and other player gets 3 points for winning 3 frames? Great vid. Thanks
@gbuck1982Ай бұрын
This was absolutely spectacular. I'm a complete novice, and had a great time following this. Created a table for a league I am in that is run by a mate, to make sure they're not fobbing me off!! Thanks so much
@kingbrylegyneabid5153Ай бұрын
Hi, just used the same exact formula, exp. Scores is reaching a very high number... is there any fix or leave it as is?
@ThomasLa36Ай бұрын
Don't give the impression that it's free. $23.50 a month !!! I'll pass Thank you.
@excel_ladzАй бұрын
Hi mate, apologies if that wasn’t clear to you 😢 Of course, you can build the model for free by watching this video. Thanks for watching 🙏
@victorbongos9269Ай бұрын
Your Excel skills are top-notch. Tell me, how can I update the matches on the excel on a regularly basis without interfering with the data in the table?
@rcdnyАй бұрын
too bad it didnt work for the giants vs browns
@joeyminichiello4102 ай бұрын
Just a quick thing, in the fixtures table, it isnt the away and home team, its the winner and loser, the @ symbol signifies if the away team won
@excel_ladz2 ай бұрын
Hi mate, thanks for watching 👍 In the Fixtures Data worksheet, the games that have already been played are sorted into Winner and Loser. For the games that haven't been sorted yet, they're sorted into Away and Home. Because the table I built in the dashboard is only interested in games that haven't already been played, it ignores the instances where the winning team is sorted into the Away column. I hope that helps lad.