Wow! I was surprised to hear my name mentioned directly Chuck. Thank you for the video, insight and lesson. Glad to hear my suspicions were accurate. Fastgraphs helps to recognize stock overvaluation with simple illustration for non-pundits like myself. Glad to be a subscriber!
@timlangford86782 ай бұрын
You really are Mr. Valuation. Nobody does better videos on how to value a stock (that I’ve seen).
@FASTgraphs2 ай бұрын
Thank you I am humbled
@gurusukh2 ай бұрын
Wow, most semi stocks that're covered here indeed seemed priced for perfection mainly due to AI hype. Thanks Chuck for being the voice of reason, as always!
@dbanka4712 ай бұрын
Chuck, lots of lessons to be learned….excellent presentation
@shishkilover2 ай бұрын
I have 25% in cash and I am happy seeing the market trade down, but I also realize that it could turn around fast and keep going up but I can’t help but get a little bit excited after seeing them drop like this
@KingslyAbingnue2 ай бұрын
Excellent video as always sir. You've helped my portfolio massively. Thank you
@gelf74952 ай бұрын
Excellent video Chuck like always, thank you.
@erdrick222 ай бұрын
Thank you for the two EDMP definitions that was great.
@Ag-pn4np2 ай бұрын
Dear Chuck, it would be nice to have a follow up video and tell us in which companies you have reinvested the profit from Broadcom or atleast considering investing. Thank you, Mr. Valuation, for the most comprehensive valuation videos on youtube! ❤
@FASTgraphs2 ай бұрын
It would really depend on the investment objectives, risk tolerances, and needs of the individual. In other words, different strokes for different folks.
@Ag-pn4np2 ай бұрын
I suggest the following strategy to do a video about: dividend growth investing from a perspective of a young man 30 years old who does not need the dividend income for atleast 20 years from now and strives to build an income of aproximately 2000 dollars per month in 20 years or more. Ps. I also have Broadcom with 200%+ profit but as Peter Linch said it is better not to cut the flowers and water the weeds. Fastgraphs is truly awesome and it does my job much easier.
@Cap_management2 ай бұрын
Peter Lynch also said that companies above earnings lines tend to be poor performers and crash or go sideways until EPS grows into share price. I doubt he mean flowers companies which delivered most returns by PE expansion while their EPS is collapsing like Texas Instruments.
@cdhinjanАй бұрын
I just love your software and videos sir
@lancesandberg39212 ай бұрын
Thank you. This really helped me. I wasn't really knowing how to handle this drop. You would wait until most things drop more ( unless they go up)?
@FASTgraphs2 ай бұрын
YES I think they are still overvalued
@larryhall832 ай бұрын
Thanks, Chuck. Very helpful..Larry
@pmcllc12 ай бұрын
very good presentation most of the tech stocks are overvalued at this point maybe a bit cheaper might make sense
@brianrichey42672 ай бұрын
Outstanding video thanks Chuck !
@PeteBuchwald2 ай бұрын
I have considered trimming my semiconductor ETF positions, but with earnings for these companies coming up in a month and a half or so I think it might gain some upward momentum into earnings. I'm HODL-ing for now, and will buy more if there's more decreases in the future weeks.
@Mixa2025Ай бұрын
AVGO was an example today. Glad I sold them all.
@timwhite26022 ай бұрын
Great video Chuck I would have liked to hear your comments on tsm. It appears close to fair value.
@FASTgraphs2 ай бұрын
I agree it is close
@mrb32042 ай бұрын
@@FASTgraphs That must be a typo. FV if I look on FG is around 129 USD. And then there is also the chinese war risk in the room. Especially when Trum gets president. What I´m missing here? Thanks a lot for the always highly appreciated great videoS!
@Cap_management2 ай бұрын
It is close but to 2025 estimated EPS, so zero upside from 2025 EPS growth left. Its fully priced in.
@KiloFlowkey2 ай бұрын
Great video, what about Micron ? It also dropped about 15%
@FASTgraphs2 ай бұрын
It wasn't on the Yahoo list of losers for the day, therefore it was not covered. Regards, Chuck
@chuckdiezel76522 ай бұрын
The good news is the liquidity, the bad news is they’re liquid 😂 thanks for the video, Iong SWKS
@gistechrep38162 ай бұрын
Those calling the trading pattern a bloodbath aren't considering the long run. The companies themselves have not changed, it's the Market that changed. Steady as she goes, and we'll regroup in about 10 years!
@zamonischeswunderrind13532 ай бұрын
taking profits with such an overvalued market is the thing to do
@fsabbagh2 ай бұрын
Can you do a video on PM and Altria?
@DavidJames-yu3vt2 ай бұрын
CRWD has declined ~30% in past few days due to global IT shortage affecting windows systems... a buy or sell?
@FASTgraphs2 ай бұрын
I would still consider it significantly overvalued and an earnings yield of only 1.33%. I would be interested in the mid-80s but not before. It is going in the right direction but has a long ways to go in my humble opinion.
@itayyahel2 ай бұрын
Generally every sell of is a great buy. Good luck ❤❤
@Capt.sierra2 ай бұрын
Great report 👍🏼
@Marina-go2 ай бұрын
So should I bye Invidia now ? I am new in investing now , 21 years old
@FASTgraphs2 ай бұрын
Only if you're willing to hold it for a long time and willing to add money if the price drops dramatically from here.
@fathead9972 ай бұрын
Tsmc market cap 26.33T?
@s.w.68772 ай бұрын
Why didn’t you cover Micron?
@FASTgraphs2 ай бұрын
I covered the biggest losers for the day from Yahoo TSM wasn't on that list
@bryaneash67412 ай бұрын
What happened to TSMC?
@oldwritingpen84012 ай бұрын
Mr. Carnevale would you consider a video on these Cdn stocks: CLS-TCelestica Inc Sv CSU-T Constellation Software Inc DSG-T Descartes Sys SHOP-T Shopify Inc Thank you
@FASTgraphs2 ай бұрын
Thanks for the suggestion I will take a look
@TomTom-he2ii2 ай бұрын
So, what is the best semi stock to buy on Monday?)
@TomTom-he2ii2 ай бұрын
So , what stock to buy now?
@KarlyNoorda2 ай бұрын
AI stocks will dominate 2024. Why I prefer NVIDIA is that they are better placed to maintain long term growth potential, and provide a platform for other AI companies. I know someone who has made more than 200% from NVIDIA. I'll also take any other recommendations you make.
@guyredares2 ай бұрын
genius
@TheRustyLM2 ай бұрын
No way! Not at price to sale > 30 🥸
@DavidSanders-mj5rr2 ай бұрын
A year ago you were saying all these stocks were too high . . . . Taking your advice you would have missed out on tremendous % increases.
@FASTgraphs2 ай бұрын
For starters, one year is not the long run. Taking my advice you would've messed taking on an enormous amount of risk. Be careful of being a genius in a bull market. Regards, Chuck
@Cap_management2 ай бұрын
A year ago AMAT was below orange line so not too high. I smell made up story.
@FASTgraphs2 ай бұрын
@@Cap_management Made up by who?
@hklilly48542 ай бұрын
TSM? I missed it.
@sa6ab2 ай бұрын
What do you mean you can't overpay for growth stocks? 😮🧐
@FASTgraphs2 ай бұрын
Due to the power of compounding a really fast-growing company will make you money if you hold it long enough. I have used Starbucks as an example. If you purchased it in April or May 2006 and held it until today you would average approximately 9% year annualized rate of return. However, from May 2006 until April 2009 you would be down over 65% with an annualized loss of over 30%.
@Cap_management2 ай бұрын
It means there was no time in history where you could overpay for Microsoft and not make money or Visa, Mastercard or any other double digit grower. Company growing 20% annualy will cut PE in half every 4 years or so, so you basically cannot lose money on it as long as it grows and cut PE in half every 4 years for example. If you bought MSFT at the top of the internet buble in 2000, you would still 8x your money. Im actually surprised that nobody use PE on cost while yield on cost is famous. If you bought Visa during IPO year, your PE on cost would be 1 in 2025 as EPS is getting close to 2009 share price.
@rocketman992 ай бұрын
A hole in this thinking / investment way is that it discards the pe expension due to geniune nature of the bussines development. Semiconductors are now and will be in future more crucial to humanity hence the historical pe ratios wont matter
@Cap_management2 ай бұрын
Cars are more crucial than ever to humanity and yet it does not mean than PE ratios should be affected by it. Stock market is only about one thing and that is profits and growth of these profits not about how crucial something is.
@rocketman992 ай бұрын
@@Cap_management cars are not getting any better. Cars dont produce returns for the people buying them
@Cap_management2 ай бұрын
@@rocketman99 Cars are getting better all the time. From safety to advanced technology in them. Than EVs are so much better than ICE cars. Cars produce returns to people. Ask people who use cars for their work. Semicondocturos will be more crucial so there will be a lot of supply and than pressure margins. Look how internet was crucial in past few decades and yet PE ratios stayed the same. SPY average PE is the same last 40 years.
@anahitaaalami90642 ай бұрын
Intc?
@uropy2 ай бұрын
Somehow semiconductor firms are priced as they are high tech. Semiconductor is not high tech. Huge correction is coming
@Cap_management2 ай бұрын
ASML is the highest tech which exists. Their machines are incredibly complex and nobody else can manufacture them so far.
@steveg69782 ай бұрын
The stable genius trade
@amptyrone9728Ай бұрын
😊Lq😊 9:58
@Adrien-rg8bq2 ай бұрын
Tsmc?
@FASTgraphs2 ай бұрын
It was not on Yahoo's biggest losers for the day list.
@silvius__55392 ай бұрын
ACM RESEARCH #ACMR?
@fallen05092 ай бұрын
never forget this guy was bullish on MPW..
@FASTgraphs2 ай бұрын
@fallen0509 Not bullish but as an income investment and still am