17. Bayesian Statistics

  Рет қаралды 238,216

MIT OpenCourseWare

MIT OpenCourseWare

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 64
@sobhhi
@sobhhi 2 жыл бұрын
I been studying and working with mathematical statistics for almost 10 years. This is the first time I actually understand (intuitively) what the Bayesian approach is
@Eizengoldt
@Eizengoldt Жыл бұрын
Explain
@sobhhi
@sobhhi Жыл бұрын
@@Eizengoldt Explain what...?
@Eizengoldt
@Eizengoldt Жыл бұрын
@@sobhhi what is the bayesian approach
@sobhhi
@sobhhi Жыл бұрын
@@Eizengoldt The guy made a whole 2 hour lecture about it. I don't know if I can so simply collapse it for you into a KZbin comment. But if I had to: It's introducing "out of data information" to bias the solution of statistical estimation. The hope is that with good information, you can find a better solution than if you only used the data.
@JCResDoc94
@JCResDoc94 7 жыл бұрын
39:05 This is it. Weighting definitions are where the magic lies.
@jacobm7026
@jacobm7026 4 жыл бұрын
*Student: Professor, can you write a little bigger so we can see? *Professor: It might be the board. Let me just change this blackboard to a whiteboard really quick. This eraser should help.
@JCResDoc94
@JCResDoc94 7 жыл бұрын
1:02:00 Gaussian Inference w/Bayesian Methods
@BilalAhmed-ib3yw
@BilalAhmed-ib3yw 5 жыл бұрын
Thanks! man
@هشامأبوسارة-ن7و
@هشامأبوسارة-ن7و 5 жыл бұрын
A great lecture. At 38.58 he should have said Likelihood of observing the data given that the data is distributed according to parameters theta
@subarnasubedi7938
@subarnasubedi7938 6 ай бұрын
Exactly thanks !
@jakobandersson5605
@jakobandersson5605 Жыл бұрын
Great lecture and a great eraser! Could totally still see after he used that
@programminginterviewsprepa7710
@programminginterviewsprepa7710 2 жыл бұрын
Why cant all professors teach that good? Why did we need to suffer until this lecture?
@ugowhereiwent
@ugowhereiwent 5 жыл бұрын
Crazy, we estimate the probability of the mind. Bad that I don't already know the language. More homework if too much free time is a good way to progress. I like it. Means we should know where to put our mind to. There never should be too much. There is always more. Thanks...
@lazywarrior
@lazywarrior 5 жыл бұрын
Beta distribution can be bimodal when both a and b are less than 1.
@Jahu-qs2us
@Jahu-qs2us 3 жыл бұрын
I updated my knowledge on bayesian statistics :)
@prattzensings
@prattzensings 3 ай бұрын
What's your posterior then? ;)
@drazensvec3886
@drazensvec3886 Жыл бұрын
when you have to pee with prior belief that you don't know why you put a pie or where it is then the best approach is to squared it with iid. p.s. don't forget to include pmf/pdf.
@kevinshao9148
@kevinshao9148 Жыл бұрын
Would you please explain more, 1:01:06, why expectation not average? for beta(a,b) the expectation is average.
@chitrabisht5836
@chitrabisht5836 7 жыл бұрын
Many Thanks Prof.
@lazywarrior
@lazywarrior 5 жыл бұрын
He basically can write with the eraser instead!
@Artnotforthesakeofart
@Artnotforthesakeofart 2 жыл бұрын
😅
@jk382jk
@jk382jk 6 жыл бұрын
43:42 MCMC
@jieyong0731
@jieyong0731 4 жыл бұрын
interesting to see you here..
@haipingwang7075
@haipingwang7075 2 жыл бұрын
This is at least my third time to watch this video, barely I feel I learned clearly. Thanks Lord!
@meltedbrains1
@meltedbrains1 5 жыл бұрын
Was anybody else screaming out "LIKELIHOOD" at 38:45??
@juniorchancel943
@juniorchancel943 4 жыл бұрын
Very good content to understand Bayesian inference. Thanks prof.
@fktudiablo9579
@fktudiablo9579 4 жыл бұрын
as a French, I really appreciate his English accent (too much "you know" tho)
@barcadna
@barcadna 3 жыл бұрын
It's not English as in "England".
@reinerwilhelms-tricarico344
@reinerwilhelms-tricarico344 Жыл бұрын
this fancy new automated camera following the professor gives me a vertigo.
@rohitdas475
@rohitdas475 6 ай бұрын
Haven't started.. Thanks already :)
@mesplin3
@mesplin3 5 жыл бұрын
How would something like a Bayes factor relate to a prior distribution?
@thebrokeconomist6538
@thebrokeconomist6538 Жыл бұрын
43:20 goes hard as fuck 💯💯💯😤😤👊👌 Now I finally can understand what is going on when i'm using BayesFactor
@Quantdummy
@Quantdummy 2 ай бұрын
Whats the probability that duster makes the board worse 😮
@not_amanullah
@not_amanullah 3 күн бұрын
this is helpful ♥️🤍
@not_amanullah
@not_amanullah 3 күн бұрын
thanks ♥️🤍
@economicriskcapitalmodelpr9849
@economicriskcapitalmodelpr9849 7 жыл бұрын
excellent lecture.thanks a lot
@enricoiraldo9057
@enricoiraldo9057 Жыл бұрын
not the best MIT professor in terms of clarity but still amazing lecture
@haocqiu893
@haocqiu893 6 жыл бұрын
These videos are helpful, but can't see lecture 16?
@mahmudshamim1437
@mahmudshamim1437 2 жыл бұрын
MIT should invent a better quality borad cleaner. Its hard to read the writngs on the board when it is cleaened.
@venkateshramakrishnan9879
@venkateshramakrishnan9879 2 жыл бұрын
what is c-cell ?
@johnweistein8356
@johnweistein8356 3 жыл бұрын
It is much easier using a discrete random variable X to explain the posterior probability.
@miodraglovric5093
@miodraglovric5093 5 жыл бұрын
Beta distribution may be bimodal when both parameters are less than 1, and the curve is U shaped. Why they don't use whiteboards but these ugly blackboards?
@AssortedMeatss
@AssortedMeatss 3 жыл бұрын
Zdravo!
@senselessnothing
@senselessnothing 6 жыл бұрын
Unless you think of probability as belief in bayesian statistics, the whole framework makes no sense. Statistics aids human epistemology, it's not a replacement for it, even a UMP test result can be rejected as a definite method of learning on other relevant grounds.
@iirolenkkari9564
@iirolenkkari9564 2 жыл бұрын
Great lecture. Does anyone have good book tips about bayesian data analysis on longitudinal and time series data structures with R/Jags? More specifically, I have a case with several subjects and several observations within the subjects. In another case I only have one subject. In both cases, the consecutive observations are supposedly time-related.
@BlinkDrive555
@BlinkDrive555 3 жыл бұрын
Can you just stop walking while you are talking because the camera kept panning, it made me feel headache
@antonioruotolo6014
@antonioruotolo6014 3 ай бұрын
difficult to follow explanation an difficult to see 'foggy' blackboard
@leusmaximusx
@leusmaximusx Жыл бұрын
why does a professor today still waste time writing lectures on greenboards , instead commenting on greenboards the students impressions ?
@Rmpslb
@Rmpslb 5 жыл бұрын
Camera man terrible.
@ikebipe
@ikebipe 5 жыл бұрын
Fucking terrible
@Gruemoth
@Gruemoth 24 күн бұрын
The duster does the opposite of erasing 🤣
@karannchew2534
@karannchew2534 2 жыл бұрын
One third into the lecture, I'm lost.
@eugeneku3239
@eugeneku3239 9 ай бұрын
He looks a lot like Thomas Bayes.
@MM-du7je
@MM-du7je 6 жыл бұрын
joe derosa teaches stats?
@chuzai2156
@chuzai2156 4 жыл бұрын
Finally,firstly time in this course saw so many cleaner writing XD. Eraser is horrible!!
@jessicarey8154
@jessicarey8154 5 жыл бұрын
I know that chalk...
@anubhav2687
@anubhav2687 5 жыл бұрын
~21:45 0.52 is zero point five two, not point fifty two.---- basic mathematics.
@princegupta-ck7vt
@princegupta-ck7vt 5 жыл бұрын
ab tu math sikhayega
@morganhalle9905
@morganhalle9905 5 жыл бұрын
You understood what he meant to the exact precision intended, and so did everyone else. Ridiculous pedantry helps nobody.
@mckaylahephzibah8045
@mckaylahephzibah8045 4 жыл бұрын
Dude he french. zero virgule cinquante deux. he is translated directly.
@adhoc3018
@adhoc3018 3 жыл бұрын
Omg dude, you're so smart!
@shauncrawford5575
@shauncrawford5575 Жыл бұрын
wow ..people really still spending 100k a year to listen to this nonsense.
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