2023-24 SP Game Used Hockey - Buyer's Guide! Investment Info & Case Break Simulations

WATCH BEFORE YOU BREAK!!!
I made a mistake in the video: I didn't account for the Draft Day Letter Patches. Some updated metrics...Sorry about that
Return on Investment (ROI) for 200 Breaks by Team (TOP 10)
TEAM NAME | AVG ROI PER CASE FOR 200 CASES | CAD AVG ROI PER CASE FOR 200 CASES
| FULL PRODUCT STRENGTH
Chicago Blackhawks | 156.58 | 211.38 | 2
Boston Bruins | 137.72 | 185.92 | 7
Edmonton Oilers | 112.76 | 152.23 | 8
Buffalo Sabres | 102.12 | 137.86 | 1
Pittsburgh Penguins | 79.35 | 107.12 | 14
Colorado Avalanche | 71.94 | 97.12 | 15
Toronto Maple Leafs | 51.92 | 70.09 | 11
Seattle Kraken | 50.23 | 67.81 | 18
New Jersey Devils | 49.7 | 67.1 | 17
Detroit Red Wings | 41.31 | 55.77 | 5
Average by Only Cases Containing Hits (out of 200 simulated breaks) (TOP 10)
TEAM NAME | HIT TYPE | AVG ROI WHEN HIT | CAD AVG ROI WHEN HIT | NUMBER OF CASES WITH HITS
Colorado Avalanche | Autographs | $504.74 | $681.4 | 23
Edmonton Oilers | Autographs | $374.34 | $505.36 | 64
Buffalo Sabres | Autographs | $247.72 | $334.42 | 118
Carolina Hurricanes | Autographs | $190.42 | $257.07 | 43
New Jersey Devils | Autographs | $154.85 | $209.05 | 64
Seattle Kraken | Autographs | $148.01 | $199.81 | 93
Chicago Blackhawks | Autographs | $142.94 | $192.97 | 133
Edmonton Oilers | Memorabilia | $141.31 | $190.77 | 138
Pittsburgh Penguins | Autographs | $140.17 | $189.23 | 40
Toronto Maple Leafs | Autographs | $138.18 | $186.54 | 72
Make more informed decisions when buying into breaks and buying sports cards overall. I will break it all down for you here.
Here's what you get from my videos:
Product Info
Aesthetic review
Hit breakdown
The top dollar amount you should spend on a team by case cost and distribution of Pull Types
Checklist strength metric, created by me to help determine which teams may provide the best ROI breakdowns
Total product strength score between 0-5
Master checklist summary
Cards types and quantities
Print runs for all teams
Number of cards with each print run
Number of cards with each team
Case break simulation of 20 cases
One case results of cards pulled by team, type, and print run
Twenty case results by team, type, and print run
Overall suggestion
By scraping and aggregating data from sports-reference.com and google, I have developed quantitative values representing the STRENGTH of a checklist for each team.This means that the top team in each category has cards with players representing the most popular and talented players. One major factor in this score is the number of searches for a player specifically regarding sports cards and memorabilia.
Popularity is equal to online search trends in specific categories during a specific time frame
200x Case Breaks simulated with an algorithm I built. Analysis of the product What cards are pulled by team and print run for one case and then for 200 cases. Use this to inform your purchases, but do not expect me to be correct 100% of the time. I take no responsibility for you not getting hits in a break you buy into.

[@SeanRenshaw-pb6xd]

Thanks for all the hard work and the great videos, helps me a ton, I hope you keep them coming especially the hockey

[@sportscardanalysis]

Thank you!

[@yukoncorneliusthelegendhim9751]

thanks for all the work you do brah!

[@sportscardanalysis]

No problem 👍

[@Fultoncards]

Love your work again! Watching on the subway. Did you mean 191 Bedard autos in the simulation or in the population? His Draft Day Marks alone are 210 (#/35 * 6 letters). Still, the simulations are great referentially between teams.

[@sportscardanalysis]

Ah dang. Terrible oversight on my part. Crap. I reran the analysis and some things wound up a little different. Here are the updated ROI top 10. Thanks for pointing this out. Return on Investment (ROI) for 200 Breaks by Team (TOP 10) TEAM NAME | AVG ROI PER CASE FOR 200 CASES | CAD AVG ROI PER CASE FOR 200 CASES | FULL PRODUCT STRENGTH Chicago Blackhawks | 156.58 | 211.38 | 2 Boston Bruins | 137.72 | 185.92 | 7 Edmonton Oilers | 112.76 | 152.23 | 8 Buffalo Sabres | 102.12 | 137.86 | 1 Pittsburgh Penguins | 79.35 | 107.12 | 14 Colorado Avalanche | 71.94 | 97.12 | 15 Toronto Maple Leafs | 51.92 | 70.09 | 11 Seattle Kraken | 50.23 | 67.81 | 18 New Jersey Devils | 49.7 | 67.1 | 17 Detroit Red Wings | 41.31 | 55.77 | 5 Average by Only Cases Containing Hits (out of 200 simulated breaks) (TOP 10) TEAM NAME | HIT TYPE | AVG ROI WHEN HIT | CAD AVG ROI WHEN HIT | NUMBER OF CASES WITH HITS Colorado Avalanche | Autographs | $504.74 | $681.4 | 23 Edmonton Oilers | Autographs | $374.34 | $505.36 | 64 Buffalo Sabres | Autographs | $247.72 | $334.42 | 118 Carolina Hurricanes | Autographs | $190.42 | $257.07 | 43 New Jersey Devils | Autographs | $154.85 | $209.05 | 64 Seattle Kraken | Autographs | $148.01 | $199.81 | 93 Chicago Blackhawks | Autographs | $142.94 | $192.97 | 133 Edmonton Oilers | Memorabilia | $141.31 | $190.77 | 138 Pittsburgh Penguins | Autographs | $140.17 | $189.23 | 40 Toronto Maple Leafs | Autographs | $138.18 | $186.54 | 72

[@Fultoncards]

@@sportscardanalysis Wow I really appreciate the update. Again, great work. I know it's not an exact science.

[@Millicurie551]

Hey man, fun video! Keep it up! Hope you had a nice break with family (no pun intended). Question: how do you calculate ROI per hit? For example, the Avs autos averaging out to $504. Since in your simulation, you got 23 autos. Are you saying that the average auto from the Avs should fetch $504/23 = $21? Secondary values for every rookie but Bedard are low while other cards have been dropping in price. So I am just curious how you estimate these values. Maybe i am missing something...As usual, breakers in Canada are charging like crazy. $800 for a 1/4 chance to get drawn for the Blackhawks. You can't even buy Blackhawks directly from some guys. So gambling to gamble lol. Its also $320 CAD per box to buy this product from LCS...crazy times.

[@sportscardanalysis]

The Average return on investment is calculated by adding all the values together, then dividing by the number of items. The 23 you are referencing is the number of cases there were Avalanche autos in. There were 2 cases with multiple Avalanche autos and 21 with one, totaling 25 av autos. The sum of all auto values for the Avalanche is $12618.52 (USD) 12618.52 divided by 25 = 504.74 So what I am saying here is that 23 cases yielded an average Avalanche return of $504.74 per case with one or more successful Avalanche "hit"

[@SlabbingRookies]

where can you get this buyers guide?