2024 Presidential Election Prediction as of March 2024

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[@SFO195]

So a few things to consider that I feel your video didn't; you should have RFK Jr on the list and here's why. RFK Jr is the most popular 3rd party candidate since George Washington (in other words, 2nd most popular in history, with the first actually winning). Yes that includes being more popular than Ross Perot So with that being said, he is going to play a major role in the election, whether that's taking a large amount of votes away from someone which will be important for close-call states or securing it for himself. That's the more realistic way he will effect the election by playing "spoiler". If you want another one then I'll say if the election was held right now that would certainly happen. But - since he's polling enough to qualify for the debates & November is far away & his popularity only grows - that could change. Younger people are voting for RFK more than Biden & Trump, he's losing against middle aged and older people. Why? Because of a lack of mainstream coverage, most people don't even know he's running or what he's about, but when people do he has the highest conversion rate of any candidate. If given proper mainstream coverage he will win over those demographics as well. His biggest issue is awareness, which wasn't Ross's issue, we all knew who he was. Mainstream media is avoiding him like the plague. His potential of winning at least just state is high enough the DNC has bought billboards saying not to vote for him and bought a truck that follows him around that slanders him. That's how scared they are. Not saying he will win but he will do better than expected as he continues to make himself known, so he should be factored into these predictions whether you're basing it off his current polling or his higher projected polling as the election nears.

[@outofcompliance1639]

The RNC's new vice chair Laura Trump states they will be all in on registering and getting those to vote. This is similar to one of the advantages the DNC had in 2020, although they did it illegally in many cases.

[@luisdiscusseseverything]

Both parties have done it and there’s no evidence to suggest it is ‘illegal’.

[@dang1861]

There is no national popular vote by design of the Founders. They didn't want Boston, Philadelphia, Baltimore and New York City determining who wins elections. What we have are 51 separate popular votes with the winner of each state carrying the state

[@warrenenglehart4900]

Where u live probably shouldn’t determine the worth of your vote. If I move to a city I shouldn’t have less control over my nation then if I live out in rural Alabama. Complete silliness

[@dang1861]

@@warrenenglehart4900 You don't. Each state has a popular vote that covers city and rural areas. The winner of the state gets the electoral votes.

[@megamonster1234]

@@warrenenglehart4900 The EC along with the Senate was to ensure that small state governments would not get shafted. You're forgetting that the USA is a union of states and that all states must be treated equal. That's how they convinced the smaller states to join in. After all, why would a small state want to join the union without a guarantee that it won't get screwed over by the bigger states? Ofc, population still matters. That's why the House of Reps exist. They represent the population. Just like everything in life, it's a compromise. You ask why should rural Alabama have more control over someone in the city? First off, the federal govt really shouldn't have the much power to begin with. That's why Federalism is important and only a few select things should be under federal control. Even with the encroaching power of the fed govt, 95% of the laws you interact with in your daily life are state laws anyway. Secondly, knowing how city folk think of rural Alabama (since I am in a somewhat urban area myself), it would be obvious that if only proportional representation mattered, rural Alabama would get screwed in every single way. That's why the House and Senate compromise exists. To prevent rural Alabama from screwing over the cities too much and to prevent the cities from screwing over rural Alabama too much. There will be some screwing over in general as govt tends to be crappy at what it does but that's a separate thing altogether.

[@outofcompliance1639]

If you add up the lead the Dems get just from California, Oregon, and New York that is about the total lead they get overall. The founders were smart. We need them now.

[@kevingil5049]

RFK 2024

[@jeffreys__journey2456]

I’m a huge fan but let’s face facts he has 0 chance to win if they had the election 100 times he would win the presidency 0 times….him running will potentially give the presidency to trump.

[@outofcompliance1639]

@@jeffreys__journey2456 Trump wins either way but polls seem show RFK helps Trump. RFK is one of the best Democrats but still bad for America.

[@SFO195]

​@@jeffreys__journey2456 2nd most popular 3rd party candidate ever in the history of our country, 1st being George Washington. If there was EVER a chance one could win again, it's now. A once in the lifetime opportunity & unlike Biden and Trump his popularity only continues to grow and November is far away. He's winning amongst Young people right now but losing against older. Why? Because they don't even know he's running or what he's about, because mainstream media refuses to cover him. That's all he needs is mainstream coverage & since he's polling enough to qualify for the debates he will eventually get it (never happened before) and would also be more articulate than both Trump and Biden. So don't be so pessimistic man, I never vote 3rd party for that reason but he actually has a chance. His biggest issue is just awareness for a large demographic which he can & will get eventually.

[@kevingil5049]

@@jeffreys__journey2456 I agree however, if he gets in all 50 ballots and gets on the debate stage… he’ll win. So far trump will win landslide

[@jeffreys__journey2456]

@@kevingil5049 for me I voted trump in 2016, very disappointing I thought he would be more presidential and after what happened on January 6th he cannot be trusted with commander in chief. So I like RFK jr but I’m worried he will grease the skids for trump to win…he is taking votes from Biden.

[@daniellushbaugh4693]

Honestly I feel that NV and WI will end up going blue.

[@outofcompliance1639]

Not unless they cheat again.

[@daniellushbaugh4693]

@@outofcompliance1639 they didn’t cheat the first time

[@outofcompliance1639]

@@daniellushbaugh4693 They absolutely cheated 2020. 100% positive. $400 million illegally used from Zuckerberg. Dozens of laws illegally changed. 100s of thousands of vote deposited illegally deposited by mules. Boxes of votes counted without supervision. Who knows about the voting machines? 10s of thousands of voters illegally registrated. And many more issues. Just because you haven't looked into it doesn't mean it didn't happen because it did and it has been proven but the powers that be swept it under the carpet because they wanted their puppet to be president which helped them be hurt the rest of us.

[@daniellushbaugh4693]

@@lukedavenport8576 a blue wave? You call that a blue wave?

[@lukedavenport8576]

@@daniellushbaugh4693 compared to what it was going to be if the polls were correct I’d say yeah. I see what you’re saying though it does sound dumb I should have said it a bit different then calling it a blue wave like democrats won by a landslide or anything so I guess technically it wasn’t a blue wave where it was landslide sweeps but the fact democrats won the senate when they were expected to lose by 2 to 3 seats instead winning by one and barely lost the house I’d say for the results we ended up getting it was sort of a blue trickle same way the house was more of a red trickle. I think 2024 will be close but I think it’ll play out close to 2022 I could be wrong but I see a blue trickle where Biden wins by a small margin.

[@kelhori1494]

😂 Biden winner otherwise would be back soon after next year 😂

[@Azillia]

Welp, i shpuld probably bw prepared to flee the country Then when trump gets elected tbh

[@cowiforna8358]

Haven't really met you but can't wait 'til you leave. :D

[@Azillia]

@@cowiforna8358 why Because you want america to be full of people who allign with you? That seems.. Pretty against democracy

[@jjc4058]

he was president for 4 years you were fine shush

[@Azillia]

@@jjc4058 look at what hes done during those 4 years, and look at what he plans to do I wont have healthcare that supports my needs once he enacts in 2025 Im better off going to a country that actually supports my needs rather then a country who is run by Trump who doesnt care about the workers

[@Azillia]

@@cowiforna8358 why Because you want america to be full of the people who only allign with you?

[@Mathin3D]

DONALD TRUMP can't beat a broom in Nov 2024.