2024 SAG Winners Reaction!!

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[@thehousethathulkbuilt3883]

That dog’s reaction to Lilly Gladstone winning.

[@Nikki-tx6kh]

He's totally like- "So this is what that damn cat always talks about." In a heavy German accent.

[@MrStGeorgeIllawarra]

WTF? I was having a nice sleep!

[@devdanferguson7616]

The split second of eye contact between Brother Bro and the dog at 1:44 is everything

[@dzakaprd]

Honestly kinda feel bad for Robert DeNiro everytime he needs to hear "and the award goes to Robert D.."

[@Scarface615]

I honestly feel like he should have won at least 1 award at a show this year. His performance is honestly really good and imo the best of the category. Downey Jr is awesome but I feel like De Niro was slightly better.

[@kassiogomes8498]

I don't think he cares that much. He seems annoyed to even be there..

[@GiffTunes]

Like when Mark Rylance won supporting actor over Mark Ruffalo. It's gotta be pretty butal to almost hear his name.

[@isaacvalenzuela4503]

Jessica Lange when Jessica Tandy won

[@MrGoat-cd8lt]

Eh, he’s already won enough awards

[@cathbarry127]

Cillian Murphy first Irish-born best actor SAG winner and soon to be first Irish-born best actor Oscar winner 🇮🇪🇮🇪🇮🇪

[@twononcriticsandacat]

He was also first Irish BAFTA best actor winner which I thought was wow! Hope he wins the Oscar I’ve been routing for him since I watched the movie in July!

[@charlesfranklinlambeth3944]

Wasn’t Daniel Day Lewis Irish?

[@cathbarry127]

@@charlesfranklinlambeth3944 he has dual citizenship (british & irish) but he was born in the uk

[@ChubbyChecker182]

Crazy that he will be the first Irishman (born there) to win the Oscar, been so many great Irish actors in the past... I think at least 2 Welsh men have won it (Hopkins and maybe Burton (?)).

[@grimaldiramirez6003]

CCA gaslighted y'all into thinking Paul had a chance

[@rebekahp4083]

Sadly, I think this means my boy Paul Giamatti is done for…sigh maybe next time. I am very happy for Cillian though! Best Actress will be very very interesting to watch.

[@poett8875]

Best Actress will be the only interesting ATL category to watch.

[@girlboss3426]

Paul never had a chance,cillian has International voters in a chockhold

[@marrmart7690]

Paul still in comption

[@pb.j.1753]

The cat had enough with the trauma and now the dog is up next lol

[@TheOscarOdyssey]

I just knew Cillian wasn’t losing. I never thought he, being in the biggest film of the year, could lose when he’s carrying it on his shoulders for 3 hours. Happy for him.

[@kassiogomes8498]

Most important: it is a biopic.

[@axr7149]

SCHINDLER'S LIST kind of contradicts that theory though, as does BIRDMAN (that loss in particular remains the most bizarre I have ever seen). That being said, I do agree that he will win.

[@rehnumachowdhury3629]

​@axr7149 Liam Neeson isn't the main spectacle in Schindlers list, he is just taking us along as we watch the atrocities. Birdman is a comedic performance. Oppenheimer is about Oppenheimer, and it's a traditional biopic role, and more transformative than Schindler.

[@axr7149]

@@rehnumachowdhury3629 How about LAWRENCE OF ARABIA? Or THE ENGLISH PATIENT?

[@TheOscarOdyssey]

@@axr7149 Schindler’s List is a fair enough comparison I guess. Birdman I don’t see the comparison because Redmayne was a biopic performance with by far the baitier role that year, and even though Cillian is more subtle than Redmayne, he is still in a more baity role than Giamatti. I don’t remember much of The English Patient but was Ralph Fiennes actually doing that much in that film? Lawrence of Arabia was 60 years ago so when you have to reach that far back to find a really accurate comparison I don’t think there’s really much weight in it.

[@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719]

This seems like the year for powerful yet subtle performances: Cillian, Gladstone, and Randolph.

[@jaguarkaboom8967]

and RDJ too.

[@tbam73]

​@@jaguarkaboom8967nothing subtle about his performance

[@ClassicalMusic2002]

@@tbam73 I mean besides the one scene where he's shouting it's a much more subtle performance than we normally see from RDJ.

[@poett8875]

Cillian Murphy’s performance isn’t subtle tho. Just because he doesn’t have a bunch of screaming scenes doesn’t mean it’s subtle.

[@nomophobe]

Gotta love the dog at 1:43, whereas the cat is always "oh god up to this again? Knew this was a mistake I'm outta here", the dog is just "huh? What's up? Anything fun? No? Ah well back to sleep then I guess" 😂

[@vickyc2573]

I had to go back and watch you wake up the poor dog like six times, that absolutely killed me!

[@nathantucker8489]

Emma Stone and Lily Gladstone, oh man. It's going to be a tough one going into Oscars' night

[@benny_lam]

At least it is set in stone isn't it ;)

[@ktom5262]

I think Lily has it.

[@nathantucker8489]

@@ktom5262 yeah

[@axr7149]

I'd keep an eye on Sandra Huller too. Even if she doesn't win, she will serve as a dark horse contender of sorts. Interestingly, Sandra's win tally is very similar to Adrien Brody (Brody won the NSFC (National Society of Film Critics) and Cesar (French Oscar), which Huller also won along with LA Critics and a few others). While Marion Cotillard won the BAFTA, she also won the Cesar and the LA Critics (the latter 2 also won by Sandra Huller).

[@ktom5262]

@@axr7149 No, Lily has it. Mainly because she's Native American.

[@harutojunkyu3098]

2019 Olivia Coleman - Best Actress Golden Globe - 🏆 BAFTA - 🏆 SAG - ❌ Oscar - 🏆

[@danielmalchovichcorleone4031]

Emma Stone be like, but even Stone won the crític's choice this year

[@gocinema252]

Funny that the 4 acting winners at SAG ended up being what I thought Critics Choice would go for but the 4 acting winners at Critics Choice were what I thought SAG would go for.

[@nicoleann0703]

When Lily Gladstone won last night, I wasn't necessarily shocked, but I was immediately thinking "I wonder how the Oscar boys are gonna react to this..." Lol. Also: The dog's reactions to your reactions is so cute 🥺

[@twononcriticsandacat]

Cillian thank God! 🙌🏻🙌🏻 he won Golden Globe, BAFTA and Sag!!! Next Oscar ❤

[@brenobluhm]

Cillian has the Oscar locked up

[@marrmart7690]

ه No Paul will be thare Academy love black comedy And love paul jiamatii And he win two amrican award Lose british award So he lose one amrican award He still in comption

[@brenobluhm]

@@marrmart7690 Academy love big biopics performances, they don’t really like comedy for the best actor category. Paul is not winning this year lol, he can definitely win in the future tho.

[@sp9459]

I’m so happy for Cillian Murphy 👏🏼

[@jaguarkaboom8967]

I love you both. You cheer me up. Thanks for what you do.

[@seankoontz4235]

A few hours before the show, I thought “It’s just gonna be Cillian” but didn’t want to say anything

[@beabravo6759]

Did 100% (Ranked 5th!!) On Gold Derby!!

[@joaocosta5193]

congrats!!

[@richardkastlemusic]

Congratulations to Cillian Murphy, who also deserves the Oscar. Bradley Cooper can't win, because Maestro presents a distorted version of Bernstein, whose reputation is based on a false narrative from the sacred cow coverage in the press. I posted a new video on my KZbin channel titled THE BERNSTEIN EFFECT that explains the collateral damage he caused to the arts. I studied with one of his friends, Ivan Davis, who also performed with him. His stunts and scams were part of my education. He ruined the way symphonies and concertos are performed and his teachings eliminated the development of processing variables in bigger and bigger batches, which destroyed the intellectual development of conductors, pianists and composers. This ruined classical music as an art form and a business. Most of the classical recordings are now vanity records. I explain who's making the vanity records and who's paying for it.

[@WaterHazard86]

Battle of the Stones for Best Actress might reflect last year with Lily Gladstone (being Michelle Yeoh) taking the trophy. Also, Cillian Murphy vs. Paul Giamatti looking like Michael Keaton vs. Eddie Redmayne, where Cillian Murphy is Eddie Redmayne (in a good way) and takes the trophy for Best Actor. Edit: everything above only applies when you look at the statistics. Yeoh (similar to Gladstone, even those she won the GG for Drama) won GG (Comedy or Musical) and SAG while Blanchett (in this case Stone, even though she won the GG for Comedy or Musical) won GG (Drama), CC, and BAFTA. Gladstone vs. Stone almost reflects that almost entirely. Meanwhile, Keaton (in this case Giamatti) won the GG (Comedy or Musical) and CC, while Redmayne (in this case Murphy) won the GG (Drama), SAG, and BAFTA.

[@tonyg76]

Not the same actress race. Emma is in the more liked movie. Emma should win because she gave the best performance in the category IMO.

[@kassiogomes8498]

​@@tonyg76most liked movie by who?

[@amirleo2051]

​@@kassiogomes8498even if u didn't like poor things u gotta admit Emma stone gave a lifetime performance and deserves the oscar more

[@kassiogomes8498]

@@amirleo2051 no. I don't have. She didn't. Lily was better.

[@ClassicalMusic2002]

@@amirleo2051 I don't have to admit anything of the sort. Yeah Emma Stone gives a great performance but that doesn't mean she deserves the Oscar more. In a better timeline Sandra Huller would be sweeping this season, her performance is better than Stone or Gladstone IMO

[@nikitamohan3390]

I STRONGLY disagree with you guys when you suggested that Cillian won over Paul Giamatti just because it's a "biopic Oscar bait movie" and what the Oscars prefer in the Leading Best Actor winner category! Then why didn't they go for Bradley in Maestro or give the award to Austin for his BIG BOX OFFICE HIT in Elvis over Brendan Fraser for a far more obscure indie movie The Whale??? Yes there are many "overrated biopic movies and performances" that have been rewarded but Cillian in Oppenheimer (which is the highest grossing biopic ever and 2nd highest R rated movie of all time) SIMPLY isn't 1 of them and you are actually discrediting and disrespecting his work and immense responsibility of carrying such a behemoth of a film so gracefully! More often than not, The Oscars reward and recognize the far more "showier, louder, long monologue speeches" kind of performances so if Cillian and Lily win the Oscar for more "subtle, understated work" where their characters did not speak a lot or shout at all throughout the movie but most of the acting is through their eyes and subtle body movements only...well that's a remarkable achievement and shows that voters are nominating "against type or the trend" by not going for the showier, louder performances regardless of the genre of the movie!

[@marrmart7690]

I agree i think paul jiamatii prenden fracer of this year

[@unorodriguez]

I think many experts forgot that fellow actors respect Cillian a lot. People felt that Paul has been in the industry for so long and forgot that Cillian had been in the business too for decades and he is also well loved. Cillian is even well loved because of Peaky Blinders, yes its not an Emmy award winning series yet a lot of people and voters love this series. Cillian won because he truly gave one of the most amazing performances this year as playing Oppenheimer is truly challenging. I think most people were cheering for Paul because it played into their heartstrings same what I felt for Viggo at Greenbook. But SAG, BAFTA and Oscars would vote for whom they felt truly gave the best actor thats why Rami Malek won over Viggo. On the other hand, I can feel that Gladstone will win because of her narrative and her performance. Its not about who has the biggest nor the loudest role who will automatically win. Its not about the screentime, i mean Anthony Hopkins won for Silence of the Lambs. Even in 2019 when Glenn Close has more screentime over Olivia Colman who felt to me a supporting role because Rachel Weisz is the lead, still Colman won. I still believe that the industry and the academy voters will both give the wins to both Cillian and Lily especially we shouldn’t forget that Oscar members now are very diverse and has a lot of international voters.

[@rafaelcruz9973]

Thank God y'all are not called the SAG expert lol

[@11MV]

i think this heavily points towards Lily winning, I think Emma having already won actually hurts her chances and Lily not even being nominated at BAFTA helps her since they might want to makeup for it. And if they're going to award anything from KOTFM it'll be her

[@evanoconnor370]

Last year, there was one clear acting race with Quan, while the rest of the races were up in the air, with Fraser v Butler, Yeoh v Blanchett, and Curtis V Condon V Bassett. This year, Actress is a Gladstone v Stone race, while Actor, Supporting Actor, and Supporting Actress have clear front runners.

[@marrmart7690]

ه No Best actor Still btween paul jiamatii and collin marphy We have two category Paul can win same lilly in sag

[@grimaldiramirez6003]

@@marrmart7690 Paul can’t win without SAG or BAFTA lil guy

[@fallingpetals6257]

what happened to the cat lol??? 😢

[@GareBare90]

On holiday

[@60612Mac]

The dog is so cute!

[@brigida2350]

I need brother bro to bring out the big guns for the Oscars (gorgeous sweater)

[@feedyourhead434]

please keep that pooch for all the reaction videos that was awesome

[@chapliito]

Feels like Emma Stone could be this year's Olivia Colman from 2019.

[@richardsubtle]

this is the most accurate comparison. this is my expectation too.

[@nafischowdhury7375]

I hope she is.

[@ella2117]

​@richardsubtle i thought so too but Olivia Coleman had never won an Oscar and Glenn's film had 0 passion she was litterrally the sole nominee for it

[@pb.j.1753]

Colman didn’t win Critics Choice though, Emma did.

[@mandygrahams]

there’s no relation at all

[@beabravo6759]

Omg!! Where's the Kitty!! Introduce us to this fluff!

[@Toxov765]

I really don’t understand why people are still comparing Yeoh/Gladstone situation. Yeoh was starring in the best picture winner, come on. “KOTFM” is probably gonna get nothing.

[@nafischowdhury7375]

people are trying to justify their prediction of lily winning. also that comparison is reductiove cause it means yeoh won only because of narrative.

[@rebekahp4083]

@@nafischowdhury7375yeah Michelle Yeoh had a lot going for her last year: starring in the best picture winner, close to 40 years in the industry, tons of goodwill. Yes, her win was historic, but there were a lot of other factors in her favor, not just her becoming the first Asian winner.

[@pompadour7481]

Brother Bro kept up at night, haunted by allowing himself to be talked into Giamatti for SAG…

[@schmuck.on.wheels]

I'm lowkey thinking Oppenheimer will win some big awards

[@arjuninsane]

I love how the dog is like "woah what happened everything okay?" And the cat is usually like "fuck I'm outta here".

[@CocogoatMain0501]

Sandra Huller just won a César yesterday,,,i'm rooting for her for the oscar!

[@antoniodjordjevic9493]

That would be a major upset like we hadn't seen before. No actress won this award in leading category after the invention of SAG since 1994 without being nominated there (Hüller wasn't nominated), also no actress won since 1985 without winning at least one of the precursors (SAG, GOLDEN GLOBES, BAFTA - Hüller lost all). Stats are there to be broken but not when there is the it girl of Hollywood delivering career best showy work in a bigger film and another highly raved performance In a major Oscar film with THAT NARRATIVE. Also Hüllers character is distant, cold sometimes with subtitles and other two are very likable in english. Good luck with that.

[@dorino9057]

Same💯

[@hannahboldewijn]

1:30 well you can say that about biopic performance and that it doesn’t fit the leading performance image, but last year it was all fictional characters performances that won. All 4 best actor prizes. So I do think it really comes down to the performance, but SAG more than with the Oscars.

[@TruthspeakOfficial]

I think it’s disrespectful to both Cillian and Oppenheimer as a whole to just chalk it up to the Oscars’ obsession with biopics. Oppenheimer was by no means a generic biopic with its insane box office numbers, and Cillian’s performance was by no means an Oscar baity transformation. (If anything, Giamatti’s performance was more over the top, albeit still fantastic.) Oppenheimer is genuinely on par with some of the best Best Picture winners of the last two decades, and I predict it will stay evergreen that way. And Cillian’s performance won’t ever be one of those “Why did he win over that other guy?” situations.

[@hissellbermudez8122]

The dog couldn’t even believe that Lily Won ❤😂

[@joaocosta5193]

battle of the stones lol

[@marvintran7813]

I’m happy with Oppenheimer winning big!! It’s my favorite movie of 2023!! I’m rooting for it at the Oscars!!!

[@auntvesuvi3872]

Thanks to OE, BB and pup! 🎭

[@dorino9057]

I hope Lily, Gladstone, or Sandra hula win, best actress at the Oscars

[@pb.j.1753]

Sandra Hula Hoop

[@Flyover3215]

I'm sorry but after watching Emma Stone in Poor Things, Lily's performance feels so so inferior. And can we put an end to this 'she's too young to win 2 nd oscar' shit? When you give a performance like Bella Baxter, you are bound to win everything. That transformation and growth. I haven't seen in a while from an actress. Fuck Gladstone', give Emma the Oscar is my opinion. Lily is just very lucky. She has Scorsese and DiCaprio, 2 biggest names in the industry, behind her campaigning. That's how in the first place she got the lead actress thing. She's clearly supporting and no matter how good she is, people need to own up to it. But lately Oscar has been giving narratives win more than talent. So yeah, maybe they will award Gladstone but truly, if we are talking talented performances it's between 3 to me: Stone Huller and Lee( Lee's subtle performance was way more impactful and humane to me than Gladstone. Just because Song is new and upcoming, Lee didn't get much recognition this year. But in true sense, her performance in Past Lives was a tour de force. And also Sandra Huller, I'm so happy. She also gave a breathtaking performance. Unfortunately, talents have to see narratives win.)

[@kassiogomes8498]

What a lot of hate just because your favorite isn't winning. Grow up. People have different tastes.

[@tonyg76]

@@kassiogomes8498 Considering you just called someone elses' opinion useless, you are being a hypocrite here.

[@kassiogomes8498]

@@tonyg76 but it is useless. We are here talking about oscars and the state of the race, and some genius came here to say that the winners were boring because their favorite isn't winning. What's the point of that? Useless.

[@tonyg76]

Right but can you criticize others for doing the same thing you did?

[@kassiogomes8498]

@@tonyg76 what did I do? I'm not complaining about the opinion of award shows voters. That's useless.

[@hothotheat3000]

Two women of color winning Best Actress Oscar in a row would be absolutely stunning, unheard of, and wild because it’s almost ALWAYS a white woman. My jaw will drop if it’s Lily.

[@tonyg76]

That is a terribly racist argument there. Race should not matter. Merit and the best performance is the only thing that matters.

[@hothotheat3000]

You’re absolutely right that race shouldn’t matter, but it absolutely DOES to some voters. Michelle Yeoh’s narrative was about her race. Why else did they bring Halle Berry out there to present the award? It might not be PC to say, but there’s people rooting for Lily solely because she is a woman of color.

[@eddistasio644]

Paul Giamatti is Michael Keaton 2.0

[@samuelblack1687]

Y'all been underestimating Lily's campaign so much lmao she's taking it

[@Usedtobebillie]

I honestly don’t know how you guys fooled yourselves by all that argument about Giamatti being so loved by sag and that people “wanted him to win”. Everyone loves Cillian, he’s the lead of one the biggest juggernauts in recent memory, people love Peaky Blinders, to me was never a race to begin with.

[@JDobbsy79]

“People loving Peaky Blinders” has ZERO to do with Cillian Murphy winning. Geezus what a goofy fanboy statement.

[@Usedtobebillie]

@@JDobbsy79 meaning he’s popular as well, dumbass. That’s the same argument everyone used to justify Paul Giamatti winning and on the Gold derby podcast they used the Peaky Blinders argument as well to justify that Cillian is as well know and loved as Paul.

[@MinnesotaMedison]

When are you going to put out your final predictions for the Oscars? Had to of changed ....with the SAGS and BAFTAs.....??????

[@lunabirdlove]

I wondered why this video was so short then I got sad remembering they don't care about tv

[@francisco.mrsm.22]

I got a minute into the video and I had to rewind, I was still stuck on the cat is now a dog

[@ashi5305]

Cillian nailed his performance he absolutely deserves all the awards

[@franciscobravo3433]

I got six for six in the film categories

[@jayr3053]

I’m going with Lilly for the Oscar! Get ready for “I’m just Ken” performance at the Oscars. 🏆

[@kaleyrose47]

I do wish Bella won with Pedro. Their performance as Ellie, especially in episode 8, was flawless! That being said, they’re still very young, and they’ll have more opportunities to win, since “The Last of Us” still had its first season, vs “The Crown” had its last season.

[@simplyrowen]

This just threw a wrench in my ballot. Now I don’t know who to pick? Lily or Emma?

[@Theodora7]

I feel like people who are saying that lily gladstone doesnt do anything don't really know much about acting. Doing a subtle performance is just as difficult and technical as doing a big performance. Just listen to cate blanchett talk about lily in that movie. Actors appreciate it, clearly.

[@SBO743]

Exactly, it’s just laughable how many people keep repeating the same tired line of “ShE WaS IN bED fOR hAlF THe MovIE”. It’s like they all share a single brain cell. Her character lost her entire family and was poisoned by her husband, WHAT else was she supposed to do?! Work as a stripper and get railed by everyone in town?? It’s just absurd and ridiculous

[@dan0617]

100%. cillian's performance is also subtle but isn't being criticized in the discourse the way lily's performance is

[@whiteowl87]

Think Frances Mcdormand in Nomadland and Daniel Day Lewis in Lincoln.

[@jonathanlopez6953]

Maybe you are right? Possibility of winning the lead actress performance, perhaps...But upon checking the Wikipedia page, of all the actresses who won the Best Lead, for the past 10 years, subtle performance doesn't mean quiet or off-center to the conversation of who is carrying the movie. A film about Native Americans should have a lead performance that should be not only led by but also in the center of the conversation. The film has two lead performers and that is a misoppurtunity. It should be Lily Gladstone with Leonardo DiCaprio but because Leonardo DiCaprio wants the lead role it becomes a blunder.

[@Theodora7]

​@@jonathanlopez6953this is a criticism of the movie, not her performance. I'm not making a comment on whether she should or will win, only saying that people are being absurdly disrespectful of someone's craft.

[@dsscam]

You guys are hilarious. You should've, at least, PET the dog when you scared her (him) on Lily Gladstone's win.

[@nivarad]

I feel like SAG gave Lily Gladstone the award for the history making of it all, but the rest of the academy will not go for that.

[@nokhangyeung7830]

I also think so when Jessica opened the envelope her reaction was shocked and she announced that was Lily Carey and she also look shocked

[@rafaelcruz9973]

They went for it with Michelle Yeoh, but she was a veteran with previous nominations. Let's wait and see

[@nokhangyeung7830]

@@rafaelcruz9973 I think Emma and Lily votes are close in sag

[@nivarad]

@@rafaelcruz9973 Exactly she was a veteran and respected actress, this is Lilly Gladstone’s first big role.

[@mati.p172]

I hope Emma Stone will win the Oscar. Her perfomance in "Poor things" is one of the best perfomances ever.

[@kassiogomes8498]

She won't. This is Lily's oscar!!!

[@mati.p172]

@@kassiogomes8498 no, Gladstone is barely in her movie and mostly she's just sick and laying in bed 💀

[@kassiogomes8498]

@@mati.p172 and what's the problem with that? In the moments she is in it, she is absolutely fantastic.

[@Sad__House]

​@@kassiogomes8498 Lol no

[@mati.p172]

@@kassiogomes8498 she's just ok, Emma Stone is mesmerizing, outstanding and create fascinating character

[@JorgeGlobalYOR]

Hope I don't come off as rude... but I'm kinda waiting for your Dune 2 reaction and review 😅😅😅😅😅

[@CaricaturesBand]

more doggy reaction shots from now on please

[@ericchristensen9598]

we need the dog expert’s thoughts on Messi’s chances of winning best boy

[@mengzhang435]

still hope Sandra wins at Oscar

[@jamielee7943]

CILLIAN MURPHY LILY GLADSTONE ROBERT DOWNEY JR DA’VINE JOY RANDOLPH have all been my top 4 since the beginning. My favourite performances in each of their categories. And I hope they are Oscar victorious. 🏆 OPPENHEIMER is my favourite film of the past decade. I’m thrilled for its sweep so far. It’s really really rare my favourite films or performances are even get nominated let alone winning so I’m enjoying this awards season immensely. 👏😃

[@dandylion2279]

love Lily! so happy she got such a great audience reaction when her name was announced

[@alessandrodamiani1867]

1:43 a SAG for your dog's reaction 😀

[@aagold76]

I'm tired of hearing about 'narratives' and not performance.

[@nms7872]

This is how awards season works. Mostly

[@pb.j.1753]

I wish the same applies to politics which actually affects people‘s lives but it’s not the reality

[@aagold76]

@@pb.j.1753 I don't vote for a person based on their life story/narrative, etc- I vote for the person whose ideals and policies are most in line with mine. Pity more don't- OI get what you're saying.

[@nickcopeland6915]

It's confirmed: Oppenheimer will be the big winner at the Oscars.

[@genlea9490]

"We flopped, we flopped" 😂

[@mudstyle5288]

Never wavered on Lily.

[@samuelblack1687]

Y'all underestimated Michelle Yeoh's campaign last year until the last minute and are doing the same this year. You guys seemingly have not learned how to grasp the cultural importance of these actresses' campaign narratives into your predictions. It's much more than "oh this could have an impact". It does it will it always has. Basing your predictions off of only precursor wins will never be a perfect system. I've seen other channels attempt this and they are much more successful with it.

[@genarovalobra4734]

Can Lily Gladstone win without a BAFTA nomination tho?

[@danielmalchovichcorleone4031]

Jessica Chastain in 2022

[@nokhangyeung7830]

@@danielmalchovichcorleone4031 but all best actress noms in that year without nominated bafta

[@pb.j.1753]

Many actors have won Oscars without BAFTA noms

[@nokhangyeung7830]

@@pb.j.1753 I know not more than 10 I am so sorry I want Emma win so bad

[@genarovalobra4734]

@@pb.j.1753 not in recent years

[@GareBare90]

Dog?

[@danielmalchovichcorleone4031]

I miss the Everything Everywhere days, Oppenheimer days are boring.

[@donivento]

to be different I wish the winner of best actress at the oscars will not be either of the Stone or Gladstone...that would be awesome 🤣

[@nathantucker8489]

Oppenheimer has this in the bag at this point

[@LuisRdzG10]

No reaction to Pedro Pascal surprising win?

[@alessandrodamiani1867]

1:40 Stones/rocks from Everything Everywhere All At Once without eyes 👀 😂

[@iam6424]

nostalgia kicked in randomly to the time of the movie Titanic, when they mentioned about a picture "sweeping the Oscars"..oh man those times ..!

[@moviemaniac14]

Lead Actress is almost exactly like last year. Blanchett had Globes (drama), Critics Choice, and BAFTA which is exactly what Emma Stone has, and Yeoh had Globes (comedy) and SAG which is what Gladstone has. The only difference though is Gladstone never received a BAFTA nom like Yeoh did. Could that give Emma Stone a higher chance at winning? Hard to say because BAFTA also went 0/6 in 2022 in matching any nomination with the Oscars for Lead Actress as well. Maybe this was just a SAG thing giving it to Gladstone since after all Killers of the Flower Moon managed to get an Ensemble nomination whereas Poor Things didn't. I still feel like Emma Stone could still win since the Academy doesn't seem to mind giving the same person another Oscar in the same category after a previous recent win (like Frances McDormand and Mahershala Ali).

[@daniellepereira7255]

Other differences are that Yeoh had both diversity and veteran narratives behind her whereas Gladstone has only diversity, EEAAO was more popular than Tar whereas Poor Things is more popular than KOTFM, and Yeoh was clearly the lead of her movie. It's important for me to repeat these points to myself to keep the hope alive that Emma Stone will win on March 10th😅

[@kassiogomes8498]

@@daniellepereira7255 Poor Things isn't more popular than Killers.

[@ClassicalMusic2002]

@@kassiogomes8498 I think he's saying that because Poor Things got 11 nominations where KOTFM only got 10.

[@girlboss3426]

Yeoh also had independent spirit awards (even if dont represent much)

[@kassiogomes8498]

@@ClassicalMusic2002 but that doesn't mean it's more popular.

[@gsoedsf]

Murphy and lilly wow

[@joaoflintino]

Emma Stone is going to get robbed like Blanchett. Not even a leading performance. She’s laying in a bed for most of it.

[@mandygrahams]

seems like you didn’t even watch the movie lmao what an idiotic comment

[@ClassicalMusic2002]

If Lily Gladstone were white you wouldn't be saying a damn thing and you know it.

[@tonyg76]

Strongly agree!

[@jonathantstorm3859]

That's what makes her performance so great.

[@kassiogomes8498]

Who said leading is about being most in the movie? Anthony Hopkins won for 10 min of screentime.

[@CalRoberts-gx3jt]

I mean we'll with PGA tonight, but I think EVERY single category with the exception of Animated Film & Actress is competely done Honestly I'll watch the Oscars because Oppenheimer deserves the support but it's going to be pretty boring I think

[@seankoontz4235]

Oddly enough, I think Production Design is still a little competitive even though I think Poor Things is definitely winning costumes

[@itsybitsy999]

Visual Effects isn't locked.

[@seankoontz4235]

@CalRoberts-gx3jt Just curious: what would you say is the biggest lock of the night? I’m thinking Nolan for Director

[@CalRoberts-gx3jt]

@@seankoontz4235 Without Doubt or Both Supporting Acting Catergories I do think Sandra Hueller will win Actress though because there's a such a split in votes between Gladstone & Stone

[@seankoontz4235]

@CalRoberts-gx3jt I can see it. Not gonna predict her though

[@PatronusDust7]

FIRST! Good morning Osscar Expert and Bro Bro

[@keeganthorpe]

I want Giamatti to win the Oscar! I’m glad Gladstone won just as folks were getting so sure of Emma Stone.

[@marrmart7690]

Mee too

[@unorodriguez]

Cillian and Lily for the win!

[@marikamarika7205]

This is my sad day! Doesn’t make sense😢 why Emma is sacrificed over someone who’s ambition went on lead category instead of logical supporting😢

[@mandygrahams]

😂

[@kassiogomes8498]

Logical? Her character is the female centerpiece of the show. Her story is in full display, why would that be supporting?

[@marikamarika7205]

@@kassiogomes8498 so as DeNiro character, why he going in supporting

[@kassiogomes8498]

@@marikamarika7205 because Leo is lead. Why would they campaign two actors in lead?

[@nafischowdhury7375]

@@kassiogomes8498 by that logic, gosling should also be best actor for barbie. it doesn't make sense.

[@bronsonhatch]

With the exception of Actress, there’s really no race anywhere else. Adapted Screenplay maybe between American Fiction and Oppenheimer (simply bc it’s winning best picture). Could we get an Oscar retrospective? My submission would be 2002/2003 or 2004/2005

[@lumpnubs25]

I’m picking Gladstone for the Oscar

[@tonyg76]

Go Stone!

[@Sensejaws]

Yeah theyre not going to be able to resist the woke points.

[@mandygrahams]

@@Sensejawsbrainrot

[@mati.p172]

​@@mandygrahamsEmma Stone gave better perfomance

[@PowerDiva]

I said early on that it would be her or Margot Robbie. Obviously Margot is not a thing anymore. Even when Emma started winning, I was hesitant to switch over to her.... it's a no brainer that she was winning BAFTA, even if Lily was nominated she still would have won that. So I don't really count that into the equation. I think Lily wins the Oscar... she's got the better narrative in the end, and Emma already has one.

[@votemonty1815]

Precious Gemstones 💎

[@jonathanlopez6953]

Poor Things will win make up, production design and costume, Barbie will win song, Zone will win sound and international, Oppenheimer will win director, editing, actor and supporting actor, Killer will win actress, Holdovers will win supportinb actress. Visual Effects is still a toss up but probably the Creator will it. Barbie can win adapted however zone can snatch it or Oppenheimer. Anatomy will win original.

[@seankoontz4235]

You forgot Best Picture, which will be Oppenheimer

[@jonathanlopez6953]

@@seankoontz4235 I want to say that it is kind of obvious, but there is no precedent which movie will win screenplay, and the best picture is a preferential ballot, it is still anyone's game. Same reason with Documentary and animation

[@RodneyDollar]

Very boring year for award season 😒😒😒😒 really preferred last year

[@JDobbsy79]

Why?! The nominees are so much better this year.

[@poett8875]

@@JDobbsy79the nominations are better. But the winners are boring and predictable. There’s no form of suspense for any category besides Actress.

[@dariussalepetru6770]

Last year is boring for me This year is much better

[@tonyg76]

Both years stunk IMO. 2021 was the last great Oscar year.

[@manuelnunez4484]

finally

[@dgrancastillo]

Man, Gladstone needed to win here and she did. But if Huller had won the BAFTA, then maybe I could predict Lily winning the Oscar, but idk. I think the race is still open......

[@mudstyle5288]

Much rather have a drama globe and sag than cc and Bafta. Lilly has the better combo.

[@filipealbertino1234]

Emma Stone also has a globe

[@mudstyle5288]

@@filipealbertino1234 yeah but it’s a comedy one. Taken less seriously.

[@seankoontz4235]

@mudstyle5288 You know who else had the comedy Golden Globe? Michelle Yeoh. Your bias is showing

[@mudstyle5288]

@@seankoontz4235 you know who else had the sag? Michelle Yeoh. Your bias is showing.

[@Sepi_P]

I’m predicting Lily Gladstone not only because she won this, but because of the reaction in the room. Standing ovation + people in the audience tearing up combined with Emma Stone’s positive reaction. I think the Oscar might be hers

[@krpvision]

Emma Nailed The Blanchett "I Don't Want The Heat/Tony Hopkins" Glee For The Narrative Moment

[@ella2117]

All the women got standing while none of the guys did lol