2025 Oscar Predictions - Best Picture | December 2024

[@marygem]

The cat wants to contribute her opinion. But no one is listening. 😢

[@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719]

😾

[@tweentycenturyrock]

😾

[@hothotheat3000]

The typical female experience😒

[@MacIntoshMann]

She’s rooting for Flow!

[@iamsoverybored878]

She should get an introduction she's in every video.

[@evanoconnor370]

September 5 gives me Air vibes; gets Picture at Globes and a few CC noms, but blanks on Oscar night.

[@michelehamilton961]

@evanconner370 Please let it be so. I hope you are right but the fact that it is about sports broadcasting makes me think it may happen 😢

[@pb.j.1753]

BAFTA has not happenend yet

[@shayanahmed7132]

Serves it right for being some blatantly pushed propaganda pice to justify a genocidé

[@kassiogomes8498]

Let's hope so.

[@oscarwinningcritic]

Air was a fantastic movie. September 5 is alright

[@monkeyangelo717]

This might be my favorite video you guys have done yet. You’re looking at it from all angles, mentioning the upcoming precursors you need to see, etc. Here’s hoping all our favorites get in!

[@manantial773]

Very weak video, they have learned nothing from the last few years.

[@OdditiesofTyler]

I enjoy listening to their thought process. This is what my friends and I sound like going over awards season each year, it helps to talk it out.

[@makotocarolin]

In terms of The Substance in tech categories, I’m reminded of Get Out, which was absolutely deserving of Cinematography, Film Editing, Score, Sound, etc but only got nominated for above the line categories. The Substance ultimately may have a similar performance.

[@rebekahp4083]

Completely agree, I’m getting major Get Out vibes. I think if The Substance grabs Actress, Screenplay, Director, and has Makeup as a bonus- it’s guaranteed for Picture.

[@mudstyle5288]

Brutalist is best picture. Anora is a classic cool original screenplay win like Get Out.

[@DieHardAlien]

@@mudstyle5288 I can see either the latter or A Real Pain winning Best Original Screenplay if both get nominated in the category.

[@jonathanblaze1648]

Get Out did not win the Palme d'Or, or many critics awards for Best Picture.

[@pb.j.1753]

I like Anora but I can't even see it winning Screenplay. The Substance seems more likely to win if you already mention Get Out, a fellow Horror film

[@mudstyle5288]

@ Palme does not mean best picture

[@BVP93]

Get Out was never a real Best Picture contender and didn't have acting noms and a lead actress frontrunner. Lead, screenplay is a path to Best Picture, Get Out never had that. Anora is much stronger but there is a world where all it gets is screenplay and lead an lose picture

[@vajinderkaursamra8075]

Hope Dune Part Two wins.

[@Flyover3215]

Having seeing Anora and what it represents, i have no problem in believing that it's a Best Picture front runner. I still have to see The Brutalist. But for now, nothing can convince me Anora isn't winning Best Picture. I think it would win easily off of Mikey Madison's astonishing, hilarious and emotional performance. The script is superb as well. The supporting characters were beautiful. Especially Igor and Vanya. It's a very diverse movie. Those who think it won't win because of sex stuff, i would like to point their attention towards Poor Things. Just because Emma Stone gave a towering performance, that movie won 4 oscars! And there are no blockbuster movies that have made enough splash to me to take down Anora from that number 1 spot( again I've not seen The Brutalist, that and a few like A real pain and Nickel Boys). The Brutalist will definitely win Director. But Anora is winning Best Picture.

[@davidmckesey7119]

Brutalist is gonna win

[@kidwithaphonecamera]

@@davidmckesey7119 it missed ACE Eddie nomination, and Costume Design guild, im feeling that its not also going to do well on a preferential ballot

[@cattusfattus6369]

You haven't even seen the brutalist yet, how can you have such a definitive opinion?

[@LARKXHIN]

"there's not passion for that to win" The LOUD MEOW would like to differ.

[@sirtorchington]

Blows my mind that Dune is being so swept under…the date of release affecting the award chances is literally INSANE to me lol. Also a pushback on the Dune 2/Two Towers comparison..LOTR:TTT was a second chapter in a trilogy, while Dune 2 is the second half of one story. In that regard, it’s kind of a conclusion despite it having a cliffhanger

[@cokedudebestmate7099]

But Dune: Messiah is coming

[@OliPeters2003]

@@cokedudebestmate7099Indeed. We want Dune Messiah.

[@cokedudebestmate7099]

@@OliPeters2003do you know when it’s gonna come out?

[@OliPeters2003]

@@cokedudebestmate7099 I think end of 2026/early 2027

[@Nikki-tx6kh]

Also, it's the middle part. Middle parts of Trilogies are awkward as they don't have a beginning or an end. The story gets established in the first movie, the climax is on the third. That's why I think Dune 3 is the one the Academy is going to give more attention to, as it happened with Lord of the Rings.

[@tthemonsterr]

I think y'all are underestimating Conclave

[@davidmckesey7119]

Conclave is riveting but shit ending

[@tthemonsterr]

@davidmckesey7119 I completely agree lol that plot twist did absolutely nothing for me

[@davidmckesey7119]

@tthemonsterr we only saw that character 3 times really. 3rd time I am like they are wearing too much make up, lip gloss, and looks effeminate

[@kidwithaphonecamera]

I dont really see conclave win tbh

[@oscarwinningcritic]

Nah it’s not winning anything

[@javierquintero2072]

I also totally believe the substance is gonna become a classic in the future; a film of cult

[@klaus472]

I feel like the brutalist is a more typical best picture winner especially because it’s probably gonna win actor and director and possibly supporting actor along with some techs it feels a lot like Oppenheimer

[@sebastiano728]

But Oppenheimer was one of the two most talked-about films of its year. Having seen The Brutalist, it seems like something critics would go for, certain awards groups, but not something that will spark passion. Oppie sparked passion because of Nolan, frankly.

[@davidmckesey7119]

Either its Timmy or Adrian

[@Matt.Minton]

The Brutalist is a much more arthouse film that is dividing people versus Oppenheimer's reception. Not to say that Oppenheimer was a "crowdpleaser" necessarily but it's a lot more digestible and easier to follow what it was thematically saying.

[@armancole2781]

Brother Bro is right about wicked. The hype is still very high. Look at its box office legs for evidence. Early December is where we see the initial hype and the rest we have to wait until the globes. I think either wicked wins all its globe noms or wins just 1. It’s either a front runner like La La land or it’s going to drift to a permanent 5th place standing

[@kwalton7690]

Yeah the other one is projecting his own thoughts onto reality with the "vibes" comment. November releases don't tend to peak after a month. The reason Anora is starting to get backlash is because it has been talked about since Cannes in the Summer.

[@ashleepradella4912]

“We talk about the Oscar’s every day” - I need a twin to discuss my Oscar obsession with 😂❤️

[@ronthorn3]

😂

[@TM-im6wk]

All We Imagine As Light will make it in for best picture, director and screenplay. Mark my words! 😊

[@Trobertson56]

Saturday night being mid and dead was my told ya so moment

[@elizabethk007]

Everybody’s underestimating Conclave 😢

[@Tricki_Woo]

I love Nosferatu. I thought it was a macabre masterpiece. Stunning cinematography.

[@ricardoediza2690]

Robert Eggers deserves an Oscar nomination, but I think the Academy can only stomach one horror film for their choices, and The Substance owns it right now.

[@pb.j.1753]

@@ricardoediza2690Well The Substance also has been building Buzz since Cannes (May). Nosferatu did not start screening to voters until late November

[@Flyover3215]

WGA has eliminated Conclave, Emilia Perez, The Brutalist from getting nomination. Original screenplay will go to Anora Adapted screenplay will go to Wicked

[@kidwithaphonecamera]

Adapted is more likely to go to Nickel Boys

[@TalkingBurit0]

So happy to see this video! Just what I needed. The only channel I regularly watch !

[@brandononbrand]

Unless A Complete Unknown totally flops at the box office, it's probably the #8 seed at least, right? The Academy loves them some music bio pics, and Bob Dylan is iconic to the old folks... but I haven't seen the movie yet.

[@pb.j.1753]

They do but rarely do those show up in Picture

[@brandononbrand]

@@pb.j.1753 yeah, that may be. Was thinking of the 10 BP nom era and how Bohemian Rhapsody got in. ... As well as Ray in the 5 BP nom era, and surely Walk the Line would have made the cut if there were 10 noms

[@clairerodin2070]

Wicked is soo happening!! And oh my heart I still love Challengers❤

[@PowerDiva]

I think what's hurting Dune 2 is its release date. It's amazing enough to still be in the conversation, but a March release date means it's not gonna be fresh on people's minds like it would if it was in the middle of a press tour or riding a box office wave right now. If Dune 2 were released in October, like originally intended... it would be a stronger contender than it currently is.

[@AScreenwritersJourney]

Thank you for spending so much time discussing The Substance. It's my favorite 2024 film so far (I Saw the TV Glow is my second favorite, Hundreds of Beavers is my third.) The Substance should have been placed on the Sound shortlist. Afterall, movies are 50% visual and 50% sound.

[@manantial773]

Congrats on being so niche and so different.

[@SleepFan771]

1. Anora 2. The Brutalist 3. Conclave 4. Sing Sing 5. Wicked 6. A Complete Unknown 7. A Real Pain 8. Emilia Perez 9. Nickel Boys 10. Dune II

[@MTheWho6]

A Real Pain missing Best Picture will be my Titane moment.

[@eirakari]

Emilia Perez is getting a huge backlash in Mexico, for the bad/drug stereotypes and the director pretty much saying he didn’t try to get a closer look at the culture cause he knew enough, and not even trying to get actual Mexican actors for the film… would this negative publicity affect their chances? I mean, not that I thought it had many..

[@DieHardAlien]

So far, I can only see it winning for both Best Supporting Actress with Zoe Saldaña and Best Original Song with El Mal. Oh, and Best International Feature Film most likely due to getting a Best Picture nomination, so of course nothing else more interesting or deserving will win as a result.

[@pb.j.1753]

Some movies can survive any controversy. Like Green Book

[@jurney3478]

@@eirakari the controversy didn't stop it winning the European awards or stop It breaking the globes nom record. It's fine.

[@LARKXHIN]

Im not Mexican, so it isn't my place to say, but even I was thinking "this is really stereotyped..."

[@thisisnotmymoodboard]

Im sorry but its a movie about a cartel leader..are you trying to say that Mexico doesnt have cartels or a drug problem?

[@calidofrio13]

my ocd is like why are the pictures not in the same order as the list lksahfalsdfjas

[@Cinemadiction]

1-The Brutalist 2-Anora 3-Sing Sing 4-Conclave 5-The Substance 6-Emilia Perez 7-Dune Part 2 8-Wicked 9-Nickel Boys 10-A Complete Unknown/A Real Pain

[@kleins-v7v]

Emilia Perez OUT Challengers IN

[@Cinemadiction]

@kleins-v7v That would be great but it's unlikely

[@bonzillafilmsgamingsreviews]

0:49 There's an error. The pictures are wrong in order, The Brutalist is on second, and the picture showed that Wicked is on second.

[@tjanderson2402]

A real pain is rough, should be a top 5 contender

[@piadox]

Having watched A Complete Unknown, it's way higher than 10. It's going to do better at the box office than all other pictures that are not blockbusters, and it has the best critical reception of any music biopic in the last 5-6 years. I do think Sing Sing is in the bubble because most people have not watched it so A Real Pain could sneak in.

[@AMIN_mash]

Denis HAS to be nominated I mean it's crazy how little buzz Dune has been getting. It's one of the best films of the last 5-10 years. I hate to admit it but seems like the early release has affected it (even with all the for your consideration screenings they have been doing). Never would I have thought it not be a main front runner for best picture.

[@tylerschweitzer3306]

Emilia Perez in the Oscars race feels like some sort of “buzz prank” where the movie is so trash but because of the discussion around it you’d be insane not to put it in even if you don’t like it

[@manantial773]

Nope, you just have to accept that many people adore this movie, you are not the posesor of the universal truth. And I am not one of its fans, I gave it 7 out of 10, but many people adore it, even some of my friends, it it very popular in Europe.

[@diegocalderon5190]

​@@manantial773It's still a hated movie by the latino community

[@Jordan-ti9oc]

I really liked it.

[@diegocalderon5190]

@@manantial773 Of course is popular in Europe and unpopular in Latin America hahahahaha

[@RobertBurns71405]

Coming from someone who adores Wicked and hates Emilia Pérez, Emilia Pérez is very much above Wicked in picture and I’d argue is more of a dark horse winner than some are giving it credit for.

[@shapeiro35]

Its interesting to hear you talk about low audience scores effecting the potential to win/nom. If you look at IMDB there is only one film on this list that is way ahead of the others... Dune: part 2. Even with more reviews sitting at an 8.5. I'll admit am a dune glazer but I don't see how these other films even compete tbh

[@pdgf]

Agree with Brother Bro that the Wicked wave is not waning and Oscar Expert is just hating on it 😂😂😂😂

[@PowerDiva]

Yep. They both talk about how The Substance is doing SO WELL and despite missing stuff it's still gonna do well at the Oscars. Wicked has been outdoing The Substance at every turn but somehow Oscar Expert just isn't believing in it? He's always trying to cope so hard lol

[@shadysorkin9214]

People need to accept Wicked is a real contender to win at this point.

[@ByFinalz]

⁠@@PowerDivathose are two completely different discourses, they talk about The Substance nomination chances and Wicked win chances. Nobody is questioning that Wicked is the superior contender at the moment, he just don’t feel like it can WIN (he has it at number 3 lmao isn’t that enough?)

[@nicholasjoseph8297]

​@@shadysorkin9214its a part 1 blockbuster that is miles from Screenplay and Director. Its number 5 at most.

[@nicholasjoseph8297]

​@@ByFinalzthere are only 2 maybe 3 winning contenders. Third one is Conclave.

[@Usedtobebillie]

The substance is that film that every year everyone loves but you guys say people are crazy to predict. But since you both love the film you’re changing the narrative to fit you passion for the film. Body horror at Oscars? You always use previous years as argument, but for The substance apparently it doesn’t apply

[@kamaal_i]

Substance could easily follow a Black Swan path at the oscars, that film is also a horror film (bits of body horror too) about women ageing and trying to stay successful in their field . Both are very hollywood, which should appeal to the academy .

[@Usedtobebillie]

@ those films are only similar in the fact that both are films and that’s it. Aranofsky was a way more accepted filmmaker with acclaimed films like Requiem for a dream and The Wrestler, the ladder was up to several Oscars. So again it doesn’t correlate and they are far different films. Black Swan is subtle, is not bonkers and in your face with body horror like The substance.

[@seankoontz4235]

I *finally* saw Wicked recently and really enjoyed it (even if it’s not incredibly deep). It’s very well-acted and the musical numbers are great

[@LCLoyal]

Dune Part 2 deserves Best Picture.

[@54chasingdogma]

Oscar expert wearing a Marant shirt?? Dang gimme that KZbin money

[@nikhilarora276]

I have the exact 10 except Sing Sing. I have a strong feeling Challengers will be nominated instead. Mainly because it’s also probably winning editing (not just score).

[@davidmckesey7119]

Brutalist is coming out the winner now. Out of nowhere

[@JustJudithhh]

i have a hard time seeing Anora win best picture

[@elduderino7507]

I don't think it will happen. I think The Brutalist is going to win

[@JustJudithhh]

@ it’s just one of those years where there isn’t a clear front runner

[@DieHardAlien]

@@JustJudithhh You can say that about a good amount of the categories this year with a few possible exceptions so far.

[@mattthepageturner9128]

I love anora personally but it feels like another Coda type of forgettable winner

[@Cinemadiction]

@@JustJudithhh I think it's winning the globe maybe and that's it

[@joseaguilera6355]

If a real pain gets a screenplay nomination it’s definitely gonna get best picture nomination

[@jonathanblaze1648]

The only movies I can see winning Best Picture are Anora, The Brutalist, or Wicked. Nothing else has a chance.

[@jurney3478]

@@jonathanblaze1648 wicked doesn't have a chance. It doesn't have the international support. It's not getting a best film nod at BAFTA and it needs that to win.

[@merveben4753]

conclave has higher chance then wicked

[@dcpapi]

@@jurney3478hahaha it’s winning the bafta. Wicked is beloved in the UK same as the US.

[@sebastiano728]

I still think Sing Sing has a chance. It is just SO the kind of thing that would get a surprise win at SAG for its ensemble filled with ex-inmates, and suddenly it’ll surge. It truly feels like this year’s CODA, and if you remember, CODA was at the bottom of the Best Picture pack when the Oscar nominations came out. Looks dead now, but as long as it pulls a CODA by sneaking into the Picture and Ensemble lineups, that’s all I think it needs to go all the way.

[@kidwithaphonecamera]

@@sebastiano728 Yeah but Coda also had supporting actor wins, globe nod, and it won both PGA/WGA other than SAG. I dont think Sing Sing has as much passion to achieve all of that, im feeling its going to do okay, but its a much more competitive/stronger year than when Coda was a winner

[@denniszenanywhere]

I don’t understand the fascination over Anora. It’s a thin piece of storytelling that I’ve seen on a hundred other movies. If it was a film from an unknown country it would largely be forgotten. Right now, it’s only running on hype. If it wins, I mourn for other more deserving quality films.

[@stephenlambros3286]

Films like Dallas Buyers Club do well at Oscars without many below the line stuff all the time. So The Substance should be fine.

[@pb.j.1753]

CODA

[@HaydenReviews5]

Anora, The Brutalist, Wicked, Conclave, and The Substance are who I think have the biggest chance to win Best Picture. I think what helps Anora and The Substance is the very clear fact that Poor Things was the number 2 last year, Barbie got nominated last year, and Everything Everywhere won two years ago.

[@ronthorn3]

I love these twins, their passion and excitement for films is intoxicating.

[@bncbcbbc31]

All We Imagine as Light is absolutely stronger than Seed of the Sacred Fig. neither will get picture but I can see All We Imagine pulling off a Worst Person screenplay nom

[@Tricki_Woo]

Marianne Jean-Baptiste should win for best actress

[@pb.j.1753]

God no

[@Tricki_Woo]

@ Hell Ya!

[@pb.j.1753]

I watched the movie at TIFF and finally understood why Cannes, Venice and Telluride did not want it lol

[@shadysorkin9214]

The movie sucked.

[@Tricki_Woo]

@ i was talking about her performance and not the movie and besides to each is own and there’s no accounting for taste.

[@brandononbrand]

Why is Anora a worthy Screenplay winner?... or is this an instance of "Screenplay as consolation prize for not getting Picture or Director?"

[@earlisonline]

It has such a great screenplay

[@brandononbrand]

@earlisonline really? Because it is such an overrated movie... So you're saying the problem is the direction, editing, etc?

[@marcosg.5014]

Do you guys think I'm Still here is completely dead for best picture? I know it's hard but i stil think it has a small chance

[@ZlatanHu.]

Emilia Perez is simply too much for (American) mainstream audience 😊 they miss the point, they are offended by everything, it's not generic and fluffy enough... but let's not forget, the artists who appreciate and understand the film as an art form are voting at the Oscars. That said EP still has solid chances

[@Sharpe1502]

I’ve had so many I’ve told you so moments this year: 1. Take wicked seriously 2. Joker 2 is a jukebox musical, the worst type of musical and should not be taken seriously. 3. When you went to Cannes and mentioned that the director of Revenge had a new movie premiering there, I said that was my most anticipated movie and I’ve been waiting years for her to make a new movie.

[@trex511ft]

I liked the joker. Not as much as the 1st movie but still solid. I believe it should get nominated to one or two categories but not win.

[@RodneyDollar]

Yeah it’s hard to tell who’s winning best picture by march 2025

[@nicoleann0703]

I agree completely that the top 3 on their list are a very close race; I also agree with a lot of their top 10 picks, and I originally had Wicked and A Complete Unknown on my personal top 10 list, too- lol. I can't wait to see The Brutalist and I'm definitely seeing it on the big screen at my local indie theatre.

[@Dormtoons]

My biggest “I told you so” moments being that Sing Sing wouldn’t win Best picture and Queer not being a contender outside of lead actor

[@theprime6439]

Only the brutalist is a best picture winner here I feel, conclave second, Anora and wicked just aren’t those movies

[@oscarwinningcritic]

There’s no way anora is winning best picture. There’s just no way.

[@poihpioakarp8845]

The Oscars are actually the Roman Empire of The Oscar Expert and Brother Bro LMFAO

[@sreyangovender3404]

'Vibes, man...pure vibes'

[@lawaraya]

Dune has a higher box office than Wicked , none of the European voters are going to get wicked in their top 4

[@davidmckesey7119]

It's tanking in international market

[@Matt.Minton]

Also a good comparison for The Substance are movies like Get Out and Promising Young Woman that broke out at CCA/Golden Globe and got a good 4-6 Oscar nominations but missed below-the-line nominations - I remember Get Out missing editing.

[@osofilms1319]

I have a hard time seeing Anora winning. I don’t think The Substance is getting a Best Picture nomination but I wouldn’t rule it out. I think The Brutalist will win…and in ten years people will remember it as the Oscar bait film that won

[@all4gaming168]

Buddy why people underrating im still here. Its like literal masterpiece of the year. And people giving emilia perez

[@AntsTheaterCorner2698]

Wicked could win WGA because of the adaptation of the playwright who took her playwright script and turned it into a film. That alone will guarantee it a nomination and win.

[@jurney3478]

@@AntsTheaterCorner2698 how would that guarantee a win?? There's no way a musical is winning adapted screenplay. Especially over a movie like Conclave.

[@AntsTheaterCorner2698]

@jurney3478 I didn't say screenplay. I don't think there was ever a chance a musical could ever win adapted screenplay. Even Chicago which one best picture and director still missed out on the screenplay win but still received the nomination. If Wicked can receive a screenplay nomination, it's a lock to win for sure. The screenplay itself definitely won't win cuz there are lots of better ones. I have no doubt though that just the sheer audacity of turning a stage musical into two films is what's going to get voters attention and that's what's keeping films like Dune part 2 out of the conversation. Let's also speak to the fact that the Academy sticks with tradition, Chicago one best picture as it was also a female centric musical that dealt with touchy political subject matter and scandals. Chances are awards voters have already seen and are loving wicked in ways that they just aren't that connected to films like Amelia Perez. Even if Amelia Perez received screenplay nomination, it definitely won't win. What would instantly guarantee a win for Wicked, the nomination for writing in adapted screenplay. If it wins writer's guild of America, It's a lock to win. That's a long shot for winning screenplay though. I'm basically saying everything I just said before, this year audacity of what wicked is doing with its two films is on the level of something we've never seen for a musical and that's what will instantly guarantee a numerous amount of nominations and wins for this film.

[@nicholasmorre7371]

"Everything's nuts, buddy." Heavy, heavy stuff.

[@user-CatherineDodd]

The Exorcist was a true standout in 1973, a fright-fest masterpiece about faith and innocence and it should have won for best picture over Sting that year.

[@brandonroy7554]

lol just checking in and they are still unhappy with the Wicked love. Glad one of them defend its credibility in this circle though.

[@Lavendercoochie123]

I think people need to get their ears wax if they are saying they don't think The Substance deserves sound But anyway love y'all Sending love and light bitches 💕💕💕💕

[@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719]

🧐

[@shadysorkin9214]

Agree sound is basically the best part of the movie.

[@risener1]

There are a surprising amount of best picture winners to win only best supporting actor (or actress).

[@stephaniemoore9122]

A Complete Unknown was phenomenal! I loved it I saw it 2X flawless Chalamet’s performance was flawless Ed Nor was great so was Monica Barbaro & Elle Fanning did a lot with a small but significant character Suze Rotolo was V important to Dylan why do u guys not appreciate this movie I still can’t believe it wasn’t Dylan Chalamet was transformative & he was in Dune 2 Hollywood needs a future…. Here he is!

[@seankoontz4235]

Agree that A Complete Unknown will make it, but never understood Best Picture nominees that aren’t nominated for director or screenplay

[@rl8259]

It’ll get a best actor nomination and may win. That’s enough to warrant the best picture nomination.

[@user-CatherineDodd]

Anora will win best picture!

[@chrisf5828]

Some movie at the Globes will beat Emilia Perez and Wicked in direct competition or will beat both Emilia Perez and Anora, or will beat both Anora and Wicked. It will be hard to say that movie isn't the front-runner of the moment, at least until that movie loses some head-to-heads to the Brutalist

[@jberczi6]

I haven't seen all of these, but what does it say about the 2024 slate that Wicked and the Substance are likely to get into best picture...we might need to go back down to 5

[@uranovayakilka2484]

Talking about The Substance Brother Bro says "There's never been a film that has gotten this close and then not gotten the best picture nomination" Carol got BP at GG, CCA and BAFTA. It was also the most nominated film at BAFTA, including picture and director, it did great with critics groups and was generally one of the top films of the year for critics, and it also got 2 nominations at SAG. At the time of the Oscars nominations announcement it was number six on GoldDerby. The only significant things the film missed were the PGA and DGA, so unless The Substance gets those nominations, I'm gonna be terrified about it possibly missing picture right until the end. Granted, Carol missed BP without a locked in ten, but I'd say it also has an advantage over The Substance by being much more in line with the Academy's taste. I love The Substance (I also love Carol), I am predicting it for the nomination and would be delighted if it ended up getting best picture, but I also think it cannot be understated how much the Academy hates horror, and especially body horror.

[@pb.j.1753]

Also Foxcatcher

[@isaiahreaves9626]

Love you guys. Have been watching the channel for years. First ever comment: there is objectively no evidence whatsoever that the Wicked hype has died yet 😂 like what…? 😂

[@rl8259]

It definitely has. Less chatter and more people are criticising the movie. Hell even box office wise it’s fallen off

[@isaiahreaves9626]

@ average people are not the industry and no industry and/or televised awards have been given out yet. I’m just saying…let’s at least wait until the Globes. It should be able to win there at least.

[@BVP93]

"We have to talk about the thoughts" gave me a good laugh immediately

[@nicholasjoseph8297]

01. The Brutalist 02. Anora 03. Conclave 04. Emilia Perez 05. Wicked 06. The Substance 07. Nickel Boys 08. Dune part 2 09. Sing Sing 10. A Complete Unknown/A Real Pain

[@coreythomas1272]

I heard this "vibes" conversation with Barbie last year. How'd that turn out?

[@oscarwinningcritic]

I’m the world’s greatest film critic. One day, I will get every prediction right

[@jrm371]

Dune part 2 deserves it

[@michelehamilton961]

A Complete Unknown is total boomer bait plus it has a young cast so 😔it’s in for real.

[@peekaabooh]

rooting for anora in all categories

[@kayliahferrero]

These are critics' awards not the industry. We have ethan hawke,lupita nyongo,syfney flanigan and The Brutalist is opening this week. We shall see. I have my doubts about Mikey winning on her first oscar nom, she has not worked on a lot of films, she's not familiar to voters, the film's content not best picture friendly... just saying.

[@thiagorfreitas]

yall are sleeping on Im Still Here

[@poihpioakarp8845]

Empire of Light still snuck Deakins in so even with 1 nom Blitz doesn't beat the Empire of Light allegations

[@ericwalker1234]

we need time stamps please

[@Martin-gx7yu]

Can Musicals win best picture in the preferential ballot? Many HATE musicals they will put them on the bottom of the lists. So they cannot win.

[@julesvonlipwig5209]

I’d be so sad if Sing Sing doesn’t even get a nomination, honestly. I watched it the other night and it really had me crying, it was such a special, beautiful film. Need Domingo and Maclin to get noms too (maybe a Domingo win? pretty please?). But yeah, at least a nom would get people to watch it, which is so so worth it, but I’m still crossing my fingers 🤞🏽.

[@pb.j.1753]

I can totally see All We Imagine As Light in Picture à la Drive My Car.

[@jurney3478]

@@pb.j.1753 at the very least I can see it taking a spot in director. I hope it gets the chance to get a big nom. Really stick it to India.

[@josephblashka]

It’s always so sad when one of these videos finishes :(

[@Bent-Ed]

Which one is the evil twin?

[@poihpioakarp8845]

"Conclave is a cunty priest movie" this needs to be a pull-quote on a Conclave ad

[@iamsoverybored878]

I get a feeling once I see Anora. I'm not going to like it as much as Tangerine and especially The Florida Project.

[@GlowingCross]

1:58 Mad Max: Fury Road

[@dashap111]

does anybody feel like this year is 10x worse than the last few years?