2025 Oscar Predictions - Acting, Directing, Writing | December 2024

[@ad-sd-vids5332]

For best director, all I’m thinking is “I don’t give a shit, villeneuve deserves the nomination more than audiard”

[@Awardshq]

Nah, more than Fargeat

[@Dormtoons]

Everyone deserves it more than Audiard

[@Lamidemonami7891]

And Kapadia deserves it more than both of them

[@andreimcallister1365]

More than anyone

[@riceyrice8827]

Villeneuve, Mohammad Rasoulof and Payal kapadia, all three of them are more deserving than Jacques Audiard and even Ramell Ross tbh

[@simonnessi9470]

i know luca guadagnino is not getting a best director nomination but i genuinely find it insane how a man who directed two of the best movies of the year couldn’t even get one single nomination

[@PLOTTHICC]

💯

[@kxrimgh]

my favorite director ngl

[@Lamidemonami7891]

One* of the best films of the year and Queer

[@dsp8363]

Want villeneuve to get in but I doubt it!

[@Nikki-tx6kh]

I have commented before, but I really think they're going to do with Dune as with Lord of the Rings. Modest haul with movies 1 and 2 and then all the big stuff with movie 3.

[@roryb7783]

I'm sorry but no Denis, and Oscar's have lost all credibility. And they were already on a thin line. Every year they become less and less relevant.

[@elijah0208]

Brutalist on thumbnail 👍 The other 4 👎👎👎👎

[@piadox]

Sad to say that I'm starting to accept this injustice. 😢

[@ht6743]

Sally Hawkins. Nominated everywhere possible for Happy-Go-Lucky and still couldn't make it at the Oscars. Also in a Mike Leigh joint. MJB, you in danger, girl.

[@pb.j.1753]

Hawkins even won the Golden Globe for that!

[@rebekahp4083]

@@ht6743Baptiste is my biggest question mark this year. If you’ve seen the movie you know she deserves the nomination, but I don’t know how many people have seen it yet. If she gets BAFTA (hell she could even win BAFTA) then I think she’s still a contender, but it’s going to be a nail bitter to see if she can get the Oscar nomination.

[@martin43427]

Denzel’s only had 1 film get in for Best Picture this last decade (Fences). All of his previous nominations (Tragedy of Macbeth, Roman J., Flight) have either gotten 1-3 nominations (himself included). I think you guys are severely underrating his popularity and status simply because Gladiator II isn’t contending for Best Picture. Most of his films throughout his career (that have garnered acting noms) have never contended for Picture.

[@blackguyofthesouth2161]

Fences is Denzels only acting nomination within a Best Picture nominee

[@andrewmilito2634]

Fences is the only Best Picture nominee Denzel has **ever** been in

[@thecedex]

True though with an expanded field I could see 4 of those Films he was nominated for also nominated for Best Picture.

[@PLOTTHICC]

Facts

[@kleins-v7v]

I love how like 70% of people know Emilia Perez is another Crash but they're just going along with it. Makes me sad that people still can't progress. Green Book another example.

[@Cinemadiction]

@@kleins-v7v Well someone must like those movies

[@AntsTheaterCorner2698]

Green book won NBR, Wicked is this year's winner and that might be all it needs. It still has a nine expert predicted win for the Oscar. We'll have to wait and see what happens, but I guarantee that it's going to happen just for the belovedness of the property alone.

[@Sharpe1502]

If it wins, it’ll be the lowest rated film to ever win best picture. It really would be this year’s Crash.

[@AntsTheaterCorner2698]

@Sharpe1502 It won't. It'll be one of those films that gets tons of nominations but never wins anything.

[@Cinemadiction]

@@AntsTheaterCorner2698 Nbr isn't acurrate I checked of the entire 21 century only 3 movies won and given the oscars don't like giving it to big movies I don't see wicked winning it's not getting director and it's not safe in major categories

[@InMOsVision]

To live in a world where Emilia Perez is in for Best Directing an not Dune and Conclave is WILD!

[@pb.j.1753]

True. But the Academy‘s Directors Branch has always been doing their own thing

[@moderndayheretic]

@@ANDREandTheOscarshow on earth can you say Conclave is the best film of the year and NOT nominate it for best director? The director is literally the creative force/vision behind the entire film and is responsible for getting good performances out of actors.

[@ArtByDesign80]

18:26 In the 90s NOBODY would have guessed they would see Pamela Anderson anywhere near a best actress Oscar conversation!

[@rebekahp4083]

@@ArtByDesign80 or Demi Moore for that matter! Happy for them both getting some serious roles in their 50s and 60s.

[@nms7872]

And she's still not going to be near it this year

[@ArtByDesign80]

@ she is listed in the top 11…and mentioned in this video (and others). I am not sure you understand what near means. She is technically IN the conversation (even if she will not get nominated as the majority in the conversation don’t).

[@lizwithoutbuildings]

Fargeat is definitely getting bafta given that they nominated Julia Ducournau

[@nickxyx2879]

Ducournau was clearly chosen by the jury. This year they're coming back to their old voting system. "From 2025, the Directing Chapter will determine the longlist and nominations in entirety." From official BAFTA website.

[@lizwithoutbuildings]

​@nickxyx2879 true, but it is nonetheless quite indicative of their tastes i think. also they haven't had an all-male lineup since 2019, also perhaps partially because of the jury, and it'll reflect badly on their decision to remove the jury if it's all men again, and kapadia is like the only other woman they could feasibly do.

[@davidfilmexpert]

​@@lizwithoutbuildings Yeah but their taste has usually been for highbrow foreign films not broad mainstream horror films. Payal Kapadia is more likely alternative based on the quality. If it is all men again, who cares?! They should be voting based on the quality instead of gender or race just to fill a quota.

[@manantial773]

@@lizwithoutbuildings You think wrong, the juries were 5 to 8 people, the branch is at least 500 people.

[@cinjudes]

It is insane to me that Villeneanu, whose Dune pt1 and now pt2 will sweep the technical awards, and he could go without a nomination again. He is the captain of that ship. Not one of those technical decisions goes down without him spearheading it or approving it. Every person who worked on both of those films talks about he is basically in charge of every single department and how it was all his vision.

[@JustSomeCanadianGuy]

ANYTHING will end up winning Best Picture over Dune 2. And then 20 years from now everyone will still think Dune 2 was the best movie from 2024.

[@gzescobar]

I think what hasn’t been discussed enough about Grande’s performance is that, while she managed to translate the aspects Kristen Chenoweth originally created for the character on stage, she also introduced elements of her own vision. This, in my opinion, not only demonstrated her deep understanding of Wicked but also showed her mastery in striking the perfect balance between paying homage and making it her own.

[@gabrielgeekbr5067]

i think it's the complete opposite lol, from a wicked fan i could see she was trying to be the kristin version she fell in love with and couldn't get authentic enough, it's like someone trying to be kristin, but you know, she isn't kristin, so it gets conflicting and not very authentic imo

[@sunsetvine6923]

​@gabrielgeekbr5067someone did a side by side comparison of the Popular scene, and i think op's take on Ariana's performance was pretty spot on. And let's not forget directing as contributing factor. Both actresses acted the way they were directed

[@jurney3478]

Call me crazy but I can see a world where Erivo and Baptiste swap places. Baptiste just FEELS like the type of performance they'd go for

[@pb.j.1753]

And what is there besides that feeling? It‘s not a very appealing nor complex character and I found the performance ok, not outstanding. A gazillion other actresses could have done that.

[@joelanthonylim6792]

Erivo screams Viola/Robbie of the year where her blockbuster performance gets in everywhere and gets snubbed

[@matilda0410]

I agree, I've never had Erivo in. Great performance, but I just don't think it will happen. After Davis & Robbie hitting all precursors and missing, I definitely see the same outcome for Erivo.

[@jurney3478]

@matilda0410 my main issue is just the fact that voters know they can vote for her next year. It's the reason why I'm convinced Grande isn't winning. Erivo also has a bit more oscary material in the second half. Gets to truly flex her dramatic muscles.

[@EnglishwithGabby]

@@jurney3478this is my exact thought. Wicked Act 2 is soooooo much better and I wonder if they can be nominated twice in two years.

[@Little1Cave]

I think that BAFTA will give a bit more love to Wicked than a lot of people give them credit for. Out of all of the international audiences, Wicked’s biggest audience is in the UK, both in the context of the movie and the stage musical. I think Wicked could surprise at the BAFTA nominations.

[@AntsTheaterCorner2698]

It will definitely surprise, especially in the case of Cynthia Erivo. All the tech nominations as well as screenplay nominations will also help this film's case. People are forgetting how beloved it is around the world and how big it is as a property. The academy knows what kind of film it is and is willing to go all in on it.

[@AntsTheaterCorner2698]

@@Little1Cave Spread the word.

[@axr7149]

I have massive doubts regarding Ariana Grande winning the Oscar, mainly because of her popstar persona. Lets not forget that Lady Gaga did not win for A STAR IS BORN, and Cher had to build a body of work as an actress (and a nomination in between for SILKWOOD) before finally winning for MOONSTRUCK. The only ever singer to win for acting on their first go is Barbra Streisand for FUNNY GIRL, who famously won in a tie with Katharine Hepburn for THE LION IN WINTER.

[@mayelthiane6876]

I understand the argument but I don’t think it’s necessarily gonna play a major factor in her not winning. Contrary to Gaga with ASIB, the competition is much weaker in this lineup than it was before with Glenn Close and Coleman having solid narrative. I also think that there has not been a lot of examples of pop stars taking on serious roles for that to be a variable to consider. If anything what might hurt her chances is the sequel but we’ll see in the coming weeks how it shapes up

[@heydelrey6844]

Jennifer Hudson is literally right there…

[@chandhand6539]

Looks like you know nothing lmao... JENNIFER HUDSON won for her acting in Dream Girls. Maybe do some research.

[@HanselJesusMoyaRivera]

@@heydelrey6844Jennifer Hudson wasn’t a pop star and do not compare the level of performance of Hudson with Grande’s. Be serious.

[@thewstside]

@@heydelrey6844 since when is jennifer hudson a popstar? Also wasn’t her only competition cate blanchett who won two years prior?

[@ricardoediza2690]

I like Yura in the film, but Karren was electrifying as Toros, and he's been a big part of the Sean Baker Cinematic Universe that I would love to see some nominations for him

[@shaneth138]

Yura would probably be the most unremarkable performance in history to get an Oscar nom. He stood quietly off to the side 95% of his screen time. The way people can talk themselves into any performance solely based on what other people say is just wild to me. So weird.

[@Dormtoons]

19:15 I also think it’s Brody because he has the advantage that when he won his first Oscar, none of the precursors gave him awards, they kept giving their wins to either Daniel Day Lewis for Gangs of New York or Jack Nicholson for About Schmidt, and now that Brody has another moment of awards glory, precursors could give him their flowers off of that

[@scashwildson8354]

Am I the only one who thinks Karren Karagulian (the guy who plays Toros) was the best supporting performance in Anora?

[@femialexwilliams9571]

You are not. Honestly Yura and him should both get nominated. Perfectly fine with anyone else missing out to get him in beside Kieran.

[@rebekahp4083]

@@scashwildson8354 I love both Yura and Karren in Anora. Karren is consistently great in Sean Baker’s films. I thought he deserved some praise for his role in Tangerine.

[@Nuxunumo]

Agree

[@manantial773]

Yes, unlike the twins, I was team Borisov from the first viewing.

[@LoganPritchett-se5ny]

I’m really happy to see the Erivo/ Grande and Moore/ Qualley duos as “package deals” for award nominations. Anything for The Substance is a W for me!!!

[@erenarda4283]

I think Denzel is getting a nomination for sure. Gladiator 2 is not totally out of game to lose his momentum, it is getting tech noms. He didn’t even miss critic groups

[@gerwigsbarbie]

that best director lineup consists of only first time director nominees so pretty cool if it happens (and other than ross who has been nominated for best documentary everyone else hasn't had an oscar nomination at all!!)

[@DesignPLUS7]

Audiard for 'A Prophet', Best International Film

[@pb.j.1753]

@@DesignPLUS7strictly speaking, the country is nominated for that award, not the filmmaker. The filmmaker then accepts the win on behalf of that country.

[@yedis1750]

I'd love cynthia to win. Getting the acting right in a musical is incredibly hard because you don't get the depth you find in the writing of screenplays plus you have to keep the authenticity when suddenly breaking into song! Quick question as someone who hasn't followed the oscars much in the past- how much of it is political or campaigning and how much of it is about the acting? Thanks boys

[@filmnoirpic]

London Film Critics, a prelude to BAFTA, completely snubbed Wicked. Hometown Cynthia Erivo was snubbed for Best Actress. Another hometown - Felicity Jones was snubbed for The Brutalist.

[@JeekayTenn]

Felicity is surprising to me given she's a british actress

[@joelanthonylim6792]

That’s kinda why I don’t have Erivo and I bumped Jones down to #5. I still think Oscars will “save” Jones though

[@pb.j.1753]

Are Critics voting in BAFTA

[@jurney3478]

​@@joelanthonylim6792same. The movie is literally Academy catnip. It'll compete with EP for most noms.

[@kleins-v7v]

Hugh Grant getting in would be hilarious haha he was so good even if the movie kinda goes off the rails

[@bryanalstoncoxing]

Hugh Grant and Demi Moore both getting first time Oscar noms for horror movies would be kind of iconic

[@axr7149]

Best Actor is proving to be a very interesting race, between Timothee Chalamet and Adrien Brody (having seen A COMPLETE UNKNOWN, I think he has a legit shot at a win). Would be a very symbolic "passing of the torch" moment should Chalamet win. It is worth noting that James Mangold has a surprisingly high success rate in terms of directing actors to Oscar wins. A total of 3 people have received nominations for Mangold's movies so far (Angelina Jolie, Reese Witherspoon, and Joaquin Phoenix) and 2 of them won (Witherspoon and Jolie).

[@pb.j.1753]

3 noms and 2 wins across 2 films is really not that impressive to me tbh. Especially considering he made 13 films so far.

[@Sharpe1502]

Is that Girl Interrupted and Walk the Line? The man hasn’t led anyone to a win in over 20 years then? That’s not a good track record.

[@monkeyangelo717]

Norton has a better chance than Chalamet imho

[@gauravw6947]

If it happens, Chalamet would break Brody’s record for the youngest Best Actor winner by 9 months…

[@axr7149]

@@pb.j.1753 You know who else has a perfect or near-perfect streak of wins? Christopher Nolan (directed 4 actors to nominations across 2 films in 15 years, and 3 of them won), and (rather unfortunately) Bryan Singer. In Singer's case, he is 2-for-2, directing Kevin Spacey for THE USUAL SUSPECTS and Rami Malek for BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY to wins (these 2 movies released 23 years apart).

[@chucho_qmp]

45:11 Why do people keep forgetting about Bill Condon getting nominated for adapting Chicago in 2002?? I feel like, if the movie's close to BP, they totally ignore the musical thing. The problem is, almost no musical has gotten close to BP *since* Chicago. Not even Les Mis.

[@Little1Cave]

@@chucho_qmp Agreed. If Wicked gets into WGA, I do think Wicked will get an Adapted Screenplay nomination at the Oscars. I can’t think of a movie based on a musical people went THIS nuts over since Chicago. It’ll be the WGA Adapted Screenplay nomination that sneaks in like Logan and Top Gun Maverick did.

[@galaxymoonlqght3732]

The fact that villeneueve actually might not get nominated and audiard will is fcking outrageous

[@aidilfawzy1665]

I think Danielle Deadwyler in “The Piano Lesson” is the Danielle Brooks in “The Color Purple” this year. I think she might be the sole nomination for that film.

[@sebast.Cabrera]

Emilia Perez is horrible, it dosen’t represent México, a mediocre film made by a French director who doesn’t know a thing about Mexico

[@isaiahwilson5495]

I think our Best Actress five is gonna be Mikey Madison, Demi Moore, Angelina Jolie, Cynthia Eviro and Marianne Jean Baptiste. I do think that transphobia might work against Karla and thats a large reason why i think she gets snubbed at BAFTA Edit: I have nothing against Karla being trans. I want to see a trans woman get a nomination. I do think it will or should be for this film.

[@ANDREandTheOscars]

Gascon's performance is not Oscar worthy. Gomez and Saldana had better performances.

[@isaiahwilson5495]

​@@ANDREandTheOscarsI could barely understand Selena and I speak Spanish. It would have been better just for her to speak English and she is barely emoting in a way that feels believable. Zoe is the only one who deserves an Oscar nomination and I wouldn't even give her the win.

[@manantial773]

@@ANDREandTheOscars Stop with jokes, Gomez deserves a Razzie, Karla was very good.

[@manantial773]

@@isaiahwilson5495 Karla won the European award, she is not missing Bafta.

[@zacharyjohnston1957]

I smell a wrench being thrown in the director race. I wouldn't be shocked at all if that was the five, but I think Kapadia is closer than people think she is.

[@emikiwi]

I agree, I would put Kapadia at #6 here and would not be at all surprised if she gets in. Not sure why they've ranked Ross so highly!

[@user-mz9iy9py6m]

Saying Selena isn’t good enough when legendary actors like MERYL STREEP have been hosting Q&A screenings for her 😂 if you keep up with her career she has a habit of proving people wrong. Expect to see her name Oscar nomination morning and seethe.

[@yellowtents]

Monica Barbaro’s performance in ACU is absolutely incredible. I’m surprised she’s not getting more buzz

[@nate-it9xq]

I think the Oscars are a bit harder on more subtle blockbuster performances. Robbie in Barbie is the obvious example, but Amy Adams for Arrival also kind of fits. I think if Jean-Baptiste truly does make it, it unfortunately comes at the expense of Erivo by a very slim margin. Jolie just makes no sense for a snub, total industry thing.

[@RobertBurns71405]

Robbie and Adams didn’t have two showstopping musical numbers is all I’m gonna say, I understand where you are coming from and respect your opinion, just don’t personally agree😄

[@nate-it9xq]

@@RobertBurns71405 Oh believe me Erivo will be close no matter what. I don't feel good about it whatsoever, not even sure if I'll predict it, I just can see it more than anyone else sadly

[@RobertBurns71405]

@@nate-it9xq it is a hard category to predict for sure and we all need to be ready for multiple outcomes!

[@Cinemadiction]

@@nate-it9xq I struggle to see Erivo, Robbie missed,Cruise miss they almost never do the big blockbuster performances

[@da96103]

Cynthia will have a second chance next year for the same role. So they just might "postpone" her nomination.

[@LoganPritchett-se5ny]

All here for Wicked praise in its eligible categories as a big fan… except for cinematography and director. I think Chu’s comments on the criticism on the lighting should cancel both out.

[@ryyaannn_]

i think both should be nominated and would love to see people up in arms over it.

[@sameerpervez1165]

IKRRRR they pissed me off so baddd

[@da96103]

What did Chu specifically say?

[@sameerpervez1165]

@@da96103 He said that the lighting was intentionally done the way it was to make oz look "realistic". On top of that he made excuses for the backlighting in dancing through life saying they couldn't hide lights in the set and like... that's your (and the gaffer's) job?!! He is acting like this is the first movie ever made that looks like this as if these same problems haven't come up previously and been solved or worked around by others. I would say though that I feel there is studio involvement here that we don't know about, and he can't blame the studio obv.

[@indiefilmmillennial8338]

Denzel is getting nominated. At this point, he’s the male Meryl Streep.

[@emarq011]

I’m loving that yall are the few that are LOVING and BACKING the momentum of The Substance. Not a lot of critics and Oscar KZbinrs are that confident for it. The best film of 2024

[@marrmart7690]

The audiance admire it but oscar dont select same this kind of film always

[@adubis4567]

Oscar expert and brother bro are just so much better and more knowledgeable than other KZbinrs and pundits, and the community in general. They do analysis beyond stuff that can be thought up in 3 minutes

[@bryanalstoncoxing]

@@marrmart7690the current Academy just awarded Everything Everywhere 7 Oscars and Poor Things with Best Actress last year, movies that wouldn’t have gotten a shot a decade ago. The Substance has the most prestige of any horror film since Get Out and so far the widespread critical acclaim bodes well

[@Alan-fd5py]

I actually see Berger and Villeneuve taking the 4 & 5 spots. Your 1-3 is a lock though. Dune and conclave rank closer to BP than both Nickel Boys and Substance. And they have more overall nomination support over both Nickel & Substance. That's my rationale.

[@pauldesert2541]

That would be a bummer cuz Ross and Fargeat deserve those nominations too like they really shifted the tides in directing due to their styles

[@piadox]

My ideal lineup is swap Audiard for Villenueve. That's it. 5/5 no notes

[@pauldesert2541]

@@piadox sameeeeeeeee

[@shaneth138]

Exactly. Makes no sense to not have Denis as a director nom.

[@user-CatherineDodd]

Marianne Jean-Baptiste and Fernanda Torres should be nominated for their respective brilliant performances.

[@maxwellpiercy680]

I’m really torn between Grande and Saldaña. I think Saldaña has more of a narrative than Grande does but Wicked is a bigger film. I don’t know I think it’s a coin flip I’m slightly leaning grande but I’ve been switching it on the app constantly. Also I agree with most of your picks. I’m still feeling Baker might win if the film wins picture but I can see that being wrong

[@marrmart7690]

Saldana

[@gzescobar]

I personally think Grande has more appeal, her performance truly blew me away. That said, I believe the award will ultimately go to Saldana. She’s an older Afro-Latina actress with a substantial body of work, and the Oscars have recently leaned toward recognizing those narratives. Additionally, Wicked is only part one, which might work against Grande’s chances this time around.

[@shaneth138]

Am I the only one that doesn't understand the Yura Borisov thing? 90% of the movie he's standing off the side staring quietly. I can think of 100 supporting performances this year that are better than what he did in that movie.

[@RB-.-]

Dont get it at all. They try to cram it into the last 5 minutes but still no.

[@shaneth138]

@@RB-.- It's just one of those things that someone says and just catches on and everyone just goes along with it without any good explanation why. This video for example, proves that. They even said at first they thought no way. And then once everyone starting saying Yura they just went along with it, with an incredibly weak explanation. There were like 3 supporting performances in Anora alone that were better than that completely unremarkable performance.

[@Cinemadiction]

Directing: 1-Brady Corbet 2-Sean Baker 3-Coralie Fargeat 4-Edward Berger 5-Ramell Ross Actress: 1-Demi Moore 2-Mikey Madison 3-Angelina Jolie 4-Karla Sofia Gascon 5-Fernanda Torres/Nicole Kidman Lead Actor 1-Adrien Brody 2-Timothee Chalamet 3-Ralph Fiennes 4-Colman Domingo 5-Daniel Craig Supporting Actress: 1-Zoe Saldaña 2-Margaret Qualley 3-Ariana Grande 4-Felicity Jones 5-Isabella Rossellini Supporting Actor: 1-Guy Pearce 2-Clarence Maclin 3-Kieran Culkin 4-Edward Norton 5-Denzel Washington Original Screenplay: 1-Anora 2-The Substance 3-The Brutalist 4-A Real Pain 5-September 5 Adapted Screenplay: 1-Conclave 2-Sing Sing 3-Nickel Boys 4-Dune:Part Two 5-Emilia Perez/A Complete Unknown

[@shaneth138]

Nobody gives a damn about Nickel Boys

[@ANDREandTheOscars]

I hope FERNANDA TORRES gets a nomination. Her performance is better than Demi's, Gascon's, for instance. Haven't seen "Anora" nor "Wicked" yet.

[@manantial773]

I have seen everything and she is better than all the rest, I think that it depends on whether actors do see her.

[@kleins-v7v]

Borisov is a puzzling inclusion. I struggle with whats great about it.

[@jhamdan2012]

They just want to include more acting noms for Anora so it wins best pic, but his performance was bizarre.....zero acting skills.

[@bryanalstoncoxing]

Agreed, I thought that Karren Karigulian was a far better performance and he’s getting overlooked. Borisov was very mid, but nice to look at and sort of the “heart” of the film so maybe that’s why he’s getting singled out?

[@shaneth138]

It's a joke honestly. There are like 50 movies that have MULTIPLE supporting acting roles far better than him. He stood off to the side staring quietly for 65 minutes and people are like "OHHHH He was SOOOOO GOOOOD," just because he hugged her at the end. What? It makes me feel like I'm in the Twilight Zone.

[@bryanalstoncoxing]

@@shaneth138 tbh I feel gaslit by all of the Anora praise. Like the movie wasnt bad at all and kept me pretty engaged for about 45 minutes but after the (needlessly long, repetitive) middle section followed by the anticlimactic ending I felt let down and felt nothing for Ani in the final scene But so many people are saying this is the best film of the decade? And this Borisov guy is Oscar worthy when IMO he wasn’t even the best supporting actor in Anora… What are we missing here?

[@shaneth138]

@@bryanalstoncoxing Yeah I thought Anora was a solid movie and Mikey Madison was really good in it. But that's about it. This is definitely one of those years where we look back in ten years and say, "we really gave a weird comedy about a stripper trying to find her 24 hour husband for 2 hours, the Oscar over Dune part 2?" It really is insane.

[@brianrector3169]

If Chu gets in, definitely referring back to this clip. Crazy that you don't have him in the top 10 for Director. Wicked continues to be your blind spot this season (though Brother Bro feels more measured on it), whether Chu makes the five or not. A24 has managed to keep The Brutalist propped up as they're trying to boost Sing Sing, but Babygirl seems to be where they are dropping the ball. They also have several plays for the fifth Actor slot - Queer, Heretic, A Different Man - and I feel like they're going to drop the ball on those too. Love them as a studio but I think the way they dominated in the EEAAO year had more to do with everything landing perfectly.

[@Lamidemonami7891]

There is no world in which the director’s branch nominates Chu- why even discuss him? They snubbed Villeneuve, Kosinski, Cameron, Gerwig, etc. You’re just being ignorant if you think he’s worth talking about here

[@davidpunzalan7354]

Thank you! I haven't been taking a lot of the pundits seriously this time around, mainly because their dismissal for "Wicked." I'm shocked they had problems with that film but their personal favorites "Dune: Part Two" and "The Substance" are masterpieces in their eyes?! And that Villenueve and Fargeat were better than Chu in direction?! Not even close!

[@Lamidemonami7891]

@@davidpunzalan7354 perhaps it’s because Wicked isn’t a good film and it’s not well directed??

[@manantial773]

@@Lamidemonami7891 Perhaps you are a not very bright snob and you know nothing about cinema or good directing? He will miss cause the directors branch is also very snobbish, but the movie is excellent.

[@ad-sd-vids5332]

The last time an Oscar nominee got sag and nothing else was demian bichir in a better life, Keisha castle Hughes in whale rider, and ruby dee in American gangster It happened more in supporting actor, with poor things, fabelmans, and being the Ricardo’s

[@kashoot4782]

So disappointed that Villeneuve is looking likely to get snubbed, blockbuster filmmaking doesn’t mean it’s not a directing achievement of the year

[@shaneth138]

Blockbuster filmmaking should be more considered if anything. He made a $200m budget look like a billion dollar movie while still feeling like high art. Thats so much more difficult to pull off than just another artsy film with the same 4 or 5 visual styles done over and over again.

[@victorarvoredo7433]

Kate Winslet in front of Fernanda Torres. Are you crazy?

[@rafd3593]

All I can predict is that Conclave will produce the most Oscar-winners.

[@grovers_paradise]

Hugh Grant for Heretic is intriguing, much precedent for a veteran actor getting their 1st nom in Lead for a movie that doesn’t come close to Picture (Colman Domingo last year, Bill Nighy, Antonio Banderas)

[@manantial773]

Terrible examples, Domingo was a biopic, Banderas an Almodovar film and Nighy a prestigios Kurosava adaptation.

[@signatureroles]

I've said from Aug - Jolie aint getting nominated. Not with Nicole coming on Strong this past week, and Jean-Bapiste has the Artistic footing and critic support. I love how high Demi has grown on you both.

[@Lanaaaaa45]

They aren't going to skip a biopic.

[@illy1581]

A biopic being campaigned by Netflix is NOT missing. Jolie will be nominated, Kidman will miss. Babygirl isn’t the kind of film or role that she usually gets recognition for at the Oscars.

[@signatureroles]

@@Lanaaaaa45 She’s gasping for air. Actors nominate actors for the most part. There’s a reason why she’s playing an ole Rude Diva alone in a few rooms and alone at the restaurant - cause NO other actors, besides unknown ones, wants to work with her or be around her. She’s not a friendly person.

[@elmuchacho3528]

Torres under Kate Winslet is INSANE

[@marrmart7690]

Kate winslet she has chance to win golden globe and bafta but big comption in golden globe and the critics choose wicked and anore instead her and tilda swinton as adult actross

[@elmuchacho3528]

@marrmart7690 I understood absolutely nothing you just wrote

[@reidforman]

As for the Margaret Qualley comparison to Mile Kunis in Black Swan, I think it's important to note that Black Swan was splitting the vote in supporting actress. Both Mile Kunis and Barbara Hershey were getting it at precursors, which could have hurt both of their chances at the Oscars. Margaret Qualley is the lone supporting actress contender for her movie and practically a lead as well.

[@freja201]

margaret is def co lead

[@emillion4470]

I appreciate how campaigning is discussed - a crucial aspect in garnering a nomination ( Andrea Riseborough , anyone?) We outsiders aren't always privy to such industry goings on.

[@naimurrahmanporag]

it's so insane that Villeneuve is even being considered as a possible "snub"! he should be as solid a lock as Baker and Corbet! such a shame how Dune 2 is getting treated

[@RobertBurns71405]

I really want Qualley in, but I really sense a snub for her on the horizon!

[@AntsTheaterCorner2698]

It's going to happen. The substance is far too grotesque and over the top too crazy for them.

[@RobertBurns71405]

@@AntsTheaterCorner2698 oh don’t get me wrong, I think The Substance is 100% happening in picture, actress, and Director/screenplay, I’m only hung up on Qualley

[@Sharpe1502]

I think she’s getting in, she just won’t win.

[@AntsTheaterCorner2698]

@Sharpe1502 Yeah. Not much international acclaim there.

[@juanvasquez9399]

Qualley best part in the movie was when beating old Demi Moore. Oscar’s voters will not nominate her for that.

[@grandeurstudios4400]

I’m a little confused on how you think Emilia Perez is gonna be the most nominated movie. I don’t think it has any tech potential besides song and score. I think Gascon and Audiard are far less locked than believed, really only Saldaña and International Feature are the only certified locks for the film so far. If anything The Brutalist is gonna probably be the most nominated with probably Wicked or Conclave following behind.

[@marrmart7690]

Emilia perez realy good film as screenplay and acting but the proplem with film it not amrican film"" zoe saldana so good""strange they thing anora will take full nomnation

[@pb.j.1753]

Because it was already the most nominated at the Globes with a record-breaking 10 nominatons

[@grandeurstudios4400]

@@pb.j.1753I suppose that’s fair but Globes nominations don’t always translate to the Oscars. Nashville got 11 noms at the Globes and only got 5 at the Oscars. Cold Mountain got 8 at the Globes but then missed Picture, Director, and Screenplay at the Oscars. Just because the Globes give a film a lot of nominations doesn’t mean it always translates.

[@pb.j.1753]

@@grandeurstudios4400both those films are like a gazillion years ago. It’s not unreasonable to think Emilia will get many nominations still. Mind you, I don’t like the movie at all, its track record so far is undeniable though.

[@grandeurstudios4400]

@@pb.j.1753I don’t disagree with the notion that it will get plenty of nominations. However I think they’re really overhyping the haul Emilia Perez has the capability to have, especially with them mentioning that it could potentially tie the Oscar record. I think that its max nomination number is 8, though I’m currently only predicting it to get 6 at the moment.

[@Icygirl_love]

I want TIMOTHEE CHALAMET TO WIN he’s overdue since CMBYN and I want to see him break the internet when he does 😭😭🎉

[@mengzhang435]

Yura Borisov ‘s role is why I love Anora

[@shaneth138]

Haha all he did was stand off to the side staring quietly for 95% of his screen time and hug her in the end. WOW!!!

[@mengzhang435]

@ it clearly shows you don’t get what quiet/soulful acting is

[@manantial773]

@@shaneth138 Your hateful comment make you look live e very simple minded person, get a life.

[@RiotLovey]

Nice video guys! Just wanted to inquire about Deadwyler. I know critics' groups don't overlap with the Oscars, but Deadwyler is doing much better there than Rossellini, Jones, Gomez, and Ellis-Taylor as of now. She has many more nominations and wins than all of them in Supporting Actress. Plus, if she gets a SAG and BAFTA longlist spot, wouldn’t that give her some strength for the Oscars? Lone nominees have existed at the Oscars in recent years and Deadwyler has Netflix behind her. Why would Ellis-Taylor, for instance, be stronger than Deadwyler if she misses both BAFTA and SAG, but Deadwyler gets SAG? I have also my doubts in Nickel Boys in Best Picture but that's a discussion for another time.

[@illy1581]

I don’t think either will get in but Ellis-Taylor is stronger because she’s in a film voters will actually watch and care about. AMPAS will not give a single fuck about The Piano Lesson and even in the case some voters do watch it, why would they nominate her over better performances in better films (Qualley, Rossellini, Saldana, Grande, Jones, Ellis-Taylor). She’s not happening, with or without SAG.

[@RiotLovey]

@@illy1581 I know Deadwyler has an uphill battle, but I think you're underestimating Netflix and August Wilson adaptations, which have historically done fairly well at SAG and AMPAS. Netflix is skilled at securing Oscar nominations because they know how to host screenings and send beautiful, well-organized packages. Last year, they secured nominations for Maestro, May December, Nyad, and Rustin. Additionally, they have two upcoming international screenings for The Piano Lesson: one in New Zealand and one in London. They are clearly working to secure international votes for Deadwyler. Deadwyler also delivered one of the best performances this year, so to suggest that these other women gave "better" performances is just crazy talk to me. Moreover, Deadwyler is performing much better with critics than Rossellini, Jones, and Ellis-Taylor.

[@illy1581]

@@RiotLovey We’ve seen multiple cases where performances that maybe weren’t as critically acclaimed as others get in simply because the film itself performs very well and they get swept up along with it. I think Jones especially and even Gomez fall in this category as their films will be strong players. Netflix is also campaigning the latter btw alongside Saldana and Gascon and they’re campaigning her much harder than Deadwyler so if Netflix’s campaigning pays off, it will benefit Gomez before it does Deadwyler. I don’t think Gomez will be going anywhere near the nomination though and neither will Deadwyler. You’re obviously free to disagree but i’m very confident Deadwyler will not be nominated at the Oscars.

[@RiotLovey]

​@@illy1581 And that's fine. I wasn't trying to convince you that Deadwyler will be nominated at the Oscars, why would I? We haven't even gotten the BAFTA and SAG nominations yet. Nobody is truly safe or dead until those come out. I also don't understand why you keep emphasizing the "strengths" of films, as if I'm unaware of that. Of course, you're more likely to get nominated if your movie is a Best Picture contender or gets recognized in other categories. As for Netflix, Emilia Perez won't be their only film at the Oscars. Look at last year: four of their films (May December, Maestro, Rustin, and Nyad) got in. The year before that, it was All Quiet on the Western Front, Blonde, and Glass Onion. This proves that Deadwyler could easily join the ride alongside Emilia Perez. Another trend in recent years is lone nominees: Colman Domingo, Danielle Brooks, Ana de Armas, Brian Tyree Henry, Kathy Bates, Helen Hunt-the list goes on. So, Deadwyler being the lone nominee from her film isn’t even the biggest or most insurmountable barrier. All of this is to say, I understand the hurdles Deadwyler faces, and I get that she may not make it to the Oscars. But I don't agree with the sentiment that she's entirely out of the race. If that makes me delusional, then so be it. It's not that serious, lol.

[@illy1581]

@@RiotLovey why would Deadwyler join the ride alongside Emilia Perez? You do realise there’s only five supporting actress slots right? If AMPAS REALLY loves Emilia Perez, Gomez could sneak in but that’s it. They’re not going to have 3 Netflix campaigned actresses fill the SA category, especially when Netflix will already occupy two spots in Best Actress (Jolie and Gascon). Deadwyler’s film is Netflix’s third priority at best, there’s no room for her to get in no matter your logic.

[@pauldesert2541]

I need Fargeat and Ross in the Directors lineup. I don't care about Jacques Audiard or Emilia Perez but I really liked Zoe Saldaña's performance.

[@sord4]

I guess Josh Brolin is retiring, then

[@samy7174]

Why

[@benjamintillema3572]

​@@samy7174 He said he would retire if Villeneuve didn't get nominated for directing Dune 2

[@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719]

🤭

[@pb.j.1753]

Would that be such a bad thing though?

[@nms7872]

Not unless the Coens call him back for 2 Country 2 Men

[@garrettpullen9740]

I'm so sorry but can someone please tell me what's good about Emilia Perez especially if we're talking about a potential Zoe Saldana win? I love Saldana as an actress but I was hardly blown away by her character

[@eduardopaniagua1806]

I will never believe in the Academy if Denis Villeneuve is not getting his nomination in Best Director 😒.

[@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719]

😏

[@JosephWangrocks]

having seen Nickel Boys it should so win screenplay over Conclave i'm sorry..... like just thinking about how those films ended one is on a different level

[@DieHardAlien]

Best Director: 1. Jacques Audiard (Emilia Pérez) 2. Sean Baker (Anora) 3. Brady Corbet (The Brutalist) 4. Coralie Fargeat (The Substance) 5. RaMell Ross (Nickel Boys) Best Actress: 1. Marianne Jean-Baptiste (Hard Truths) 2. Cynthia Erivo (Wicked) 3. Karla Sofía Gascón (Emilia Pérez) 4. Demi Moore (The Substance) 5. Mikey Madison (Anora) Best Actor: 1. Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) 2. Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown) 3. Daniel Craig (Queer) 4. Colman Domingo (Sing Sing) 5. Ralph Fiennes (Conclave) Best Supporting Actress: 1. Ariana Grande (Wicked) 2. Felicity Jones (The Brutalist) 3. Isabella Rossellini (Conclave) 4. Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez) 5. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (Nickel Boys) Best Supporting Actor: 1. Yura Borisov (Anora) 2. Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain) 3. Guy Pearce (The Brutalist) 4. Jeremy Strong (The Apprentice) 5. Denzel Washington (Gladiator II) Best Original Screenplay: 1. All We Imagine as Light 2. Anora 3. The Brutalist 4. A Real Pain 5. The Substance Best Adapted Screenplay: 1. Conclave 2. Dune: Part Two 3. Emilia Pérez 4. Nickel Boys 5. Sing Sing

[@eribertvolaj5342]

We are going to look back at Audiard and Fargeat getting in over Villeneuve and wonder how we let that happen.

[@nicholasjoseph8297]

Im still doing Dune 2 over Wicked in Screenplay. Other than that completely agree with the other nominationns

[@ethancooney3331]

Thank you for taking Villeneuve out of director! It was killing me to see so many people predicting him. Regardless of whether or not he deserves it, they didn’t nominate him for part 1, it didn’t make any sense for them to nominate him for part 2!

[@shaneth138]

Dumbest logic ever.

[@RB-.-]

Part 2 is miles better than part 1 and so is the direction. Plus its a weaker year. The issue is forcing Audiard even though the consensus is he did a poor job of directing that film.

[@ethancooney3331]

​@@shaneth138 ​The Oscar Expert and Brother Bro have mentioned a couple times that the academy is less keen on sequels. Fellowship of the Ring got 13 noms (including Jackson for director), but Two Towers only got 6 (and Jackson was left out of director.) Avatar got 9 noms (including Cameron for director), Way of Water got 4 noms, and they left Cameron out of director. And in general, there's clearly less awards hype for Dune Part 2 than there was for Part 1.

[@shaneth138]

@@ethancooney3331 I love when you people do this. You make false equivalencies to past years and act like it matters. Almost nobody thought LOTR 2 was better than the first, and almost nobody thought Avatar 2 was better than the first. EVERYONE recognizes Dune Part 2 as significantly better than the first. I have heard tons of critics and fans alike say that this is arguably the best sequel of the century so far. Also, them snubbing Denis last year probably happened because the voters probably assumed that Denis would easily get in so they voted for something else. If that is the case, I don't think they will do that again. Dune Part 2 was by far the most director heavy movie of the year. It's laughable to think any of these other potential nominees did anywhere near as much as Denis did with Dune Part 2.

[@ethancooney3331]

@@shaneth138 Past Oscar's do matter, that's part of what OE and BB are all about! Public opinion in this case doesn't really matter. Dune 2 is getting far less love all around than Dune 1 did. I also think Dune 2 was much better than Dune 1 (sequel of the century is a stretch for me, though), but it's just a fact that the awards bodies are less thrilled by it, and that's clearly a pattern with other sequels. And, with respect, if you think Dune 2 was the most director heavy movie of the year then I think you need to watch more of this years movies. The Brutalist, The Substance, Nickel Boys, even non-oscar movies from this year like Love Lies Bleeding, I Saw the TV Glow, Queer/Challengers, Megalopolis, are much more "director" films than Dune 2 was.

[@friendlypup5650]

I’m still sticking by Felicity to win the Oscar through bafta. Idc

[@ColinHanson-v9h]

Jacques Audiard almost being a sure thing for Director is so depressing since Emilia Perez is such a regressive film that has no focus whatsoever. The fact that Denis is probably not getting in is so crazy. I'm still keeping him in my predictions cuz I want to keep my delusion alive. I also see Grande winning over Saldana. Saldana is absolutely the best part of Emilia Perez but I do think Grande's performance is more memorable. After seeing A Complete Unknown, I really do not understand why Edward Norton is in contention. He is fine, but nothing noteworthy. Same with Isabella Rosselini in Conclave, do not understand why she keeps getting in everywhere. Director: 1. Brady Corbet - The Brutalist 2. Sean Baker - Anora 3. Coralie Fargeat - The Substance 4. Edward Berger - Conclave 5. Denis Villeneuve - Dune: Part 2 Actor: 1. Adrien Brody - The Brutalist 2. Colman Domingo - Sing Sing 3. Timothee Chalamet - A Complete Unknown 4. Ralph Fiennes - Conclave 5. Daniel Craig - Queer Actress: 1. Mikey Madison - Anora 2. Demi Moore - The Substance 3. Cynthia Erivo - Wicked 4. Karla Sofia Gascon - Emilia Perez 5. Marianne Jean-Baptiste - Hard Truths Supporting Actor: 1. Kieran Culkin - A Real Pain 2. Guy Pearce - The Brutalist 3. Clarence Maclin - Sing Sing 4. Yura Borisov - Anora 5. Denzel Washington - Gladiator II Supporting Actress: 1. Ariana Grande - Wicked 2. Zoe Saldana - Emilia Perez 3. Felicity Jones - The Brutalist 4. Margaret Qualley - The Substance 5. Aunjanue Elis-Taylor - Nickel Boys

[@Wildcat612]

A little confused on some of your arguments here. --You mention Lenny Abrahamson. I'd argue Edward Berger is a better comparison to him than Ramell Ross. Neither LA or EB have a particularly distinct style and both were capable directors of films that were in/near Top 5 in Best Picture. -(I think Jolie will get nominated but) I'd argue a Maria Callas biopic isn't exactly the draw of a Freddie Mercury, Princess Di, Jackie O, or Bob Dylan biopic. Her mannerisms/look just aren't as well known. -I hope you're right about The Substance's chances, but my takeaway from the shortlists was that it *wasn't* performing as well with the Academy as it was with the critics. The assertion that Demi Moore is "as close to a lock as can be" (in that competitive category???) blew my mind.

[@jeremyslather]

My top directors are: Sean Baker Brady Corbet Coralie Fargeat Denis Villeneuve Payal Kapadia Audriard can be snubbed 100%.

[@seankoontz4235]

37:40 Denzel Washington’s last two nominations were not from Best Picture movies

[@adeotosamuel7629]

In a fair world, Villeneuve would take the place of Sean Baker, while Sean would be a shoe-in to win Screenplay. The script of Anora was excellent, but the directing was not oscar-worthy in my view.

[@marrmart7690]

Abora script sooo bad the only good thing in screenplay the original line she sex worker and he russian oligarsh after every thing be mess

[@manantial773]

Totally agree and I can see it happen.

[@manantial773]

@@marrmart7690 You have zero capabilities to judge what a good script is, the dialogues were EXCELLENT, perfect on another level, he is lock to win that category, deservingly so.

[@marrmart7690]

@@manantial773 no i have

[@manantial773]

Emilia Perez and Wicked are not making it into Screenplay, at least not both, I'm Still here might surprise.

[@tinamardt7734]

I do feel Ariana will be seen as a singer more than an actress so think she’s less likely

[@DouglasMcCulley]

my sister was the biggest 'Gladiator' fan... she just watched Part 2- and hated it- thought they were all crap!- including Denzel!! FYI- a great white shark in the Colosseum- a fresh water stadium- NOT!!!!!!!

[@ozybeastias8893]

Already left a comment, but I also wanted to add - I am not confident that Denis misses for Dune. I can see and understand the reasoning behind it (the Two Towers comparison is admittedly sound), but I have noticed some support for him in critic's groups after his Globes' snub. If he gets DGA and BAFTA (the latter I know will be tougher than the former), I don't see why we should discredit him. Also, and maybe this is just personal bias, I am still not sold on Audiard getting in for Director. Basically, I need to wait and see what happens in a couple weeks at DGA, SAG, WGA, and BAFTA before I'm convinced Denis is missing. This year's Director lineup is somewhat up in the air.

[@manantial773]

Critics groups do not matter.

[@mannysanjose]

What am I missing from Emilia Perez?

[@danleeman8649]

Kate Winslet's Character in Lee is actually American not English

[@marrmart7690]

She is english actross but the film in europe world war Anglina jole her film europian style film

[@nicoleann0703]

I can't wait to see Sean Baker get nominated and I hope he wins, but I have yet to see the Brutalist (can't wait). (Terrence Malick the GOAT, btw, lol...Cole always mentions him...) I wish that Erivo or Mikey Madison would win this year..Mikey is my favorite actress of the year for sure..

[@abbreviateddisc]

Biggest snub of the entire award season thus far is Rebecca Ferguson not getting any Supporting Actress noms

[@neomohoto8861]

And Austin Butler

[@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719]

🤔

[@mal-nx6xs]

biggest snub is Denis. she was great but it'll be weird if she's the only one getting nominated from all dune cast.

[@pb.j.1753]

Nah I prefer the Sandworm for Best Actress

[@shaneth138]

Austin Butler for Dune Part 2 as well. There's no way you can convince me that Denzel in Gladiator 2 was better than Austin Butler in Dune 2. Same goes for the dude in Anora that stared quietly off to the side 90% of the movie. I'm done with the Oscars for life if they don't nominate Denis for director.

[@Volvagia1927]

General Thoughts: Wow, you absolutely refuse to track "chaos picks" at all. Director: Jon M. Chu, Wicked and Jeff Fowler, Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (Chaos Pick) are missing from that top 10. Lead Actress: Baptiste and Kidman up, Gascon and Jolie down. Lead Actor: Who the bleep even still remembers Kingsley Ben-Adir in that? When Jesse Eisenberg wins the comedy globe, you are going to feel REAL silly not placing him in your top 10. Supporting Actress: Michelle Yeoh, Wicked. (Chaos Pick) Supporting Actor: Jim Carrey, Sonic the Hedgehog 3. (Chaos Pick)

[@caionlm8818]

I really hope I'm still here gets buzz when it releases worldwide

[@Pheonix-2004]

Let me just say this, I think you guys are so handsome!!!

[@nicolemac30]

denis not getting a nomination is gonna crush my fucking soul

[@shaneth138]

He's getting nominated. These two don't know what the F they are talking about.

[@coffeysr72]

not even having Chu in the top 10 is straight up goofy

[@rebekahp4083]

Ah, the blood bath for Best Actress Continues…. I think right now I’m going with: 1. Mikey Madison 2. Karla Sofia Gascon 3. Angelina Jolie 4. Demi Moore 5. Marianne Jean-Baptiste However, I’m very aware that Erivo has a huge chance of sneaking in….this category this year continues to be a mess to predict.

[@Sharpe1502]

She got in for a movie that was more divisive. I don’t buy Gascón. I think she’s this year’s Deadwyler.

[@rebekahp4083]

@@Sharpe1502 I think even though her performance is much weaker than Deadwyler’s was, Gascon is in a much better position to get nominated than Deadwyler was. Deadwyler was the only category Till was contending in. Whereas, for better or worse, Emilia Perez is likely getting a best picture nomination and Saldana is a contender to win for Supporting. If Gascon misses BAFTA or SAG then she could be in some trouble, but I don’t know if she’s there yet.

[@CassioGuedes]

No Fernanda Torres for actress? 🤨

[@EnglishwithGabby]

Wicked Act 2 is sooo much better than the first and I really wonder how that’s going to play into next years award season.

[@TheGilima20]

Nickel Boys is an American movie. The director branch goes harder when it comes to international movies. This is why I don't think Ross or Fargeat will happen.

[@shaneth138]

Nickel Boys also sucks

[@manantial773]

You are contradicting herself, Fargeat is from an international movie.

[@VagnerBarbosa-t7y]

I guess the films Anora and Emília Perez so overrated. In terms of performances, I can only see Saldaña (EP) and Madson (Anora). Regarding the screenplay, I feel there are much better films to be nominated. As for direction, don't even get me started. Keeping Villeneuve out of the direction category while these two films are in is almost a crime!

[@Dormtoons]

A part of me wants to use bias to snub Emilia Pérez out of certain categories, I finally watched it this past week and hated it, but I can’t, it’s just too strong in the industry

[@marcosg.5014]

The last time we got a lineup of only first time nominees in best director was in 1997. It could still happen but it's not as common as you would think. That makes me feel that villeneuve may get in

[@pb.j.1753]

Good point!

[@christopherscottcarpenter]

Audiard is the annoying necessary evil to this year's lineup. Clear him out and you can bring in someone like Villeneuve, who has been overlooked to a criminal extent several times.

[@avalokitesvara1989]

You guys really sleeping on payal kapadia , i think she just might surprise you guys

[@davidfilmexpert]

That's what makes these guys dumb and dumber.

[@nivarad]

I don’t see RaMell Ross happening, and I want to see Denise Villeneuve happening (if Dune 2 would have come out in official awards season window of the last few months, his nomination would even been a question).

[@shaneth138]

These guys are so stuck on Nickel Boys for some reason.

[@richardperez6192]

E Perez was awful, I don't understand. I had to finish it in three parts. Worst HW ever. I love movies. I did not like this one at all. I love trans drama , too. This film was just bad

[@AndresNunez-Concepcion-uz8oc]

Zoé have a filmography career but nothing memorable or to receive an Oscar due to a long waiting period to deserve a win (Laura Dern or Jamie Lee). Arianna is not only signing LIVE the entire movie but is not to be compared with her musical range or discography. She takes her first major opportunity and it was a hit. She deserve the Oscar.

[@marrmart7690]

Zoe saldane she realy the best she make long supporting Acting as duet in good way all the film in good writing

[@mohamedvibes8166]

Period

[@mollypercocet1718]

Who cares about her singing “live” ? Are we judging their acting or their singing ?

[@AndresNunez-Concepcion-uz8oc]

@@mollypercocet1718 it’s a musical

[@crazycrazycrazy1639]

Zoe Saldaña is in a musical as well and her Spanish accent is horrible and not accurate, real Spanish speakers barely understand what she is saying, Ariana sings well and her comedy in the movie is brilliant. ​@@mollypercocet1718