...99.8% Winrate?

In this video, Colin examines a trending video “How to Win at Blackjack with 99.8% Win Rate,” which has over 200k views. Is this truly the "ULTIMATE STRATEGY" to beat blackjack, or just a sneaky ploy to lure players into a trap? Colin provides a detailed breakdown to reveal the truth.
Checkout the Blackjack Apprenticeship Membership:
www.blackjackapprenticeship.c...
SUBSCRIBE for Card Counting training:
kzbin.info_...
Get access to our FREE Card Counting Mini-Course:
www.blackjackapprenticeship.c...
www.blackjackapprenticeship.com/
/ blackjackapprenticeship
Basic Strategy:
www.blackjackapprenticeship.c...

[@stevenbridges]

This video is SO well done! Great work guys!

[@Blackjackapprenticeship]

Thanks Mr Bridges! Much love from across the pond.

[@A1-BJ]

Agreed! It's crazy how people will lie to make a buck.

[@DingDong-yi2zi]

please post more steven

[@rafaelrieti7265]

steven whens your next video

[@brandonbrent6149]

@@Blackjackapprenticeship can you please do a video on double deck virtual blackjack? There is one on draft kings that has an advertised house edge of only 0.21%. The minimum bet is $100 and of course shuffled after each hand. I think I already know what you’ll say but I want to hear it from you anyways lol

[@bc2578]

Martingale, lol.....As soon as you hear that you know it's silliness......

[@trimotorpower]

I've lost ~18 hands in a row, and won maybe 10 hands in a row. In the short term anything can and will happen, and with sampling bias you could just about prove anything. You will lose on a 20. You will win on a 12. What matters is the long term and math proves that the only winning "strategy" is card counting. Thanks Colin for this excellent video!

[@GenXisT]

The best part is the long-haul math callouts. anyone claiming to offer that high of a win rate is an automatic charlatan. The fact that he's suggesting Martigale betting is the icing. It's such a horrendous betting strategy that it doesn't even warrant you mentioning it because it's so bad it may soil even YOUR reputation! lol. Thanks for the video!

[@MrZzstop]

I just went to that scam KZbin page, and in the comments hit them with both barrels about it being a scam, and posted a link to the video here by Colin. I wonder how long before my comments are removed!

[@JzDaMan35]

Thankyou for shining a light on these bums. I was silly enough to follow their "99.8%" strategy and ended up losing my entire deposit. Luckily I cashed some out before it happened because I felt like it was too good to be true. But I feel cheated. I will stay away from them moving forward. You got my sub. Is there anything I can do since they basically lied?

[@richcheckmaker9789]

Realize you're not that smart if you thought there was a 99.8% winning strategy in blackjack in the first place. You aren't smart. Realizing that would be the best thing you can do for yourself.

[@mirrorportal1587]

I’m not sure if anything is able to be done about what already happened, however try to be more careful online in the future. Fact check things, and make sure there’s not a scam behind whatever you’re reading; nowadays there’s a lot of fake information out there.

[@generalwasteman]

No. You learned an expensive but hopefully valuable lesson. I will also say, if you’re punting your full roll on a 98.8% edge promise then you probably shouldn’t be gambling.

[@prod_cass]

It's always good to try something even if it's fake so you can add that to your memory... Download a offline blackjack game and apply them there and see then go to the casino when the minimum lose 100$ then go home and learn again

[@JzDaMan35]

@@generalwasteman I should have said my entire deposit, not bankroll. Deposited a couple hundred to try it out and it didn’t go as planned. But I agree, lesson learned

[@paulshantz3904]

Colin...the look on your face right after you put the mask on to "run across the road" is hilarious!!...I couldn't stop laughing....Maybe a career in acting is in your future ;). This is by far the best video you've produced to date! Keep 'em coming.

[@morganyabeny6248]

You're editing and storytelling on these recent videos has become far superior! Congrats and keep the math coming

[@kellyericwalker1210]

Love all your videos. This is really well produced.

[@kritz6308]

Love the cut aways, they make your explanations very engaging and fun!

[@devdog7409]

I've watched so many Blackjack channels. This is the only one I've seen that doesn't feed bs to its viewers. Appreciate the hell out of that.

[@andresporras8348]

This video is awesome, every new video there is improvement of the quality. Thanks Collin and team. Saludos desde Costa Rica!

[@HolisticMotion]

The editing has REALLY improved. Well done BJA gang

[@aidenarmstrong2797]

Very informative video. Love it!

[@DynamicGracer]

Congrats for making 7/8 beyond the arc with unlimited tries

[@rhpmike]

The reason martingale is so popular is you win more often than you lose. The problem is you win very small amounts and when you eventually lose you get wiped out.

[@mattmorris4016]

Pretty cool bro. Thx 4 all the good info.

[@chuckecheese4124]

As always, it's a great video on exposing the lies of systems that do not work! Thanks BJA .

[@RaulReyes-ww3kf]

Good to see you active on You Tube Colin

[@rocketagp]

Colin, this is your BEST video ever! I laughed so hard with the “crossing the road” segment.

[@alevelmathsmastery]

Brilliant video!!!

[@denischampagne9503]

Colin and team, you guys are the best! Thanks!

[@genewarren5856]

Well said. Ty

[@troyw1000]

LOL I liked how you took a deep breath before putting on the blindfold 😂

[@rogue2shadow]

Amazing vid. There should be a compilation of the drivers in their car when they saw you put the blindfold on about to walk across 🤣🤣🤣🤣

[@risingbob5230]

Love the presentation.

[@2finger-Carmine]

Im starting practicing basic strategy ..then i will try my best at counting+true count and finally the deviations..its not going to be a walk in the park since i got ADHD...but i will try

[@grant7532]

The production has gone up so much in this video. I love this. No one understands the basic fundamentals of statistics. Keep it up Colin!

[@Blackjackapprenticeship]

Thanks, we had a lot of fun making this one!

[@JRLew.]

I really appreciate this vide and your research your a legend for this ❤️👊🏻 thank you for potentially saving lots of people potentially life changing losses ❤️ absolute legends

[@Jeremy_the_bot]

Where in Washington did you film you walking across the rosd?

[@TarmendranMaylvahanamcool]

Reset part 😅 next level sarcasm 😂 this is eye opening video. Thank you brother ❤️

[@benjammin444]

Do you recruit from your app?

[@dylanberry8774]

Colin is also a hooper?? Love to see it!

[@Blackjackapprenticeship]

Haha. I wouldn't call myself a hooper. It's just the illustration that came to mind. And my editor asked me to film b-roll of me shooting hoops.

[@dylanberry8774]

@@Blackjackapprenticeship had me fooled! Great illustration.

[@mattmorris4016]

Wait what! You make 7/8 3 pointers? Awesome 👍👍😎😎😎

[@curo.]

Thanks, Colin. I appreciate you calling out the bs.

[@rafaelrieti7265]

hey so i recently started card counting and i was wondering when going to play at a table what is the best seat to play while counting or does it matter at all?

[@Blackjackapprenticeship]

Welcome to scene! We discuss seat selection more in depth here if you want to take a look: kzbin.info/www/bejne/f6HJqneXbs2ra7ssi=fn_I3w-f_lgBRVur

[@JoEmAmMaSoN]

lol nice let em know my man!

[@jppohly]

That's probably the most I've laughed watching one your videos. That's was nicely broken down.

[@Blackjackapprenticeship]

Glad you liked it, we had a lot of fun with this one

[@minhnguyenhai6045]

Well, the Martingale obviously never works. You're expected to bust once very 7 hours with some certain table limits (source: another BJA video). They obviously never mention this. Overall this video is just awesome. This is the first time I saw some fun real-life examples out of your videos. Great work Colin!

[@bruce4139]

Hey colin, quick question, how wluld I calculate how much I'll lose if I play american blackjack in a ENHC casino? I have spent all my time learning american blackjack but all my casinos use ENHC is it still beatable with deviations or do I need to learn the ENHC?

[@Blackjackapprenticeship]

You should just learn ENHC. You can probably memorize the handful of changes in about 30 minutes, then just make sure you review daily until it's second nature. =)

[@bruce4139]

@@Blackjackapprenticeship alright

[@user-zu2ge9vs6y]

How long is long run? 1 year 5 hours a day is considered long run already?

[@lopruthviraj]

Thanks for this video and for knowledge of other people i lost 18 hand in row .😅

[@Mr.Rogers143]

Colin, So glad you mentioned "sampling bias". It's an easy way to fool people who aren't thinking. I've been guilty of it several times in the past. Recently, I came across a plethora of videos of quasi-celebrities playing blackjack at high limit tables and winning (most of the time). And as far as I know, they're not counting. But viewers are eating up their content. Is there an off-camera deal between the streamer and the casino to play a fake game with big money? To me it would make sense as it would give the steamer more views, and the casino free advertising and the idea that they have a the best blackjack tables in town, drawing more people to their games. Have you commented on KZbin and Twitch streamers blackjack videos before? Maybe on another video or a podcast?

[@Blackjackapprenticeship]

We're just focused on doing our thing and bringing some education to anyone who wants to hang out and listen. We don't spend much time on other people's content unless its brought to our attention. For people are are gambling all the time, even the worst will havre winning sessions they can share and pretend those are the norm.

[@alaizebleiizeketj8429]

All good and everything. But what is the point of counting cards if all casino's are using automatic shufflers. In my little country the few casino's we have use them. So there goes my goal/ dream to be an AP. Correct me if I'm wrong... ( and I do hope so very much) On the other hand I saw the series of Steven Bridges going to the States to counting cards. So there must be some land based casino's with enough deck penatration. Right?

[@Blackjackapprenticeship]

Most casinos in the US don't use CSMs and are beatable. Some games in touristy areas have worse rules (like 6:5) or use CSMs for lower limit tables that make them a waste of time, but there is a lot of opportunity to play the States with good beatable games. The rest of the world can be very hit or miss with decent games.

[@alaizebleiizeketj8429]

@@Blackjackapprenticeship yes! There is hope. thank you so much for your reply!

[@emmanuelvacakis4463]

I’ve lost 20 blackjack hands in a row twice. One time included 2 blackjack blackjack ties. I started one session with 14 consecutive losses. Oddly enough, that ended up being a winning session.

[@arte9855]

Has anyone else noticed more 21 combinations lately?? Seems like I have been seeing more lately? Maybe its the shufflers working overtime? The shufflers know when they are missing a card so is it possible that the shuffler stages the card sequence?

[@yrag89]

Is the basic strategy for Pontoon different than blackjack?

[@tmtmtlsml]

As I understand it, Pontoon is another name for Spanish 21 and it does have a vastly different basic strategy chart from normal blackjack.

[@drcollumdc]

Colin, do auto shufflers affect the EV for a casual player?

[@Whitebeardtheking9]

That's a great question. I reckon yes.

[@Blackjackapprenticeship]

It will just lead to more rounds per hour. So if you're playing a negative expectation game, you'll lose a little faster.

[@djwarrior5150]

2:28...that sounds like just gambling addiction

[@CrimsonStrawberry426]

colin, When you srarted card counting do you remember how your nerves were? Would you say you were nervous or confident? I remember going to a casino for my 23rd birthday not to count but just to experience blackjack and idk why i couldn't bring myself to sit at the table. Sorry if that sounds silly.

[@Blackjackapprenticeship]

Nerves are super common at the beginning! It's a new environment, the best way to combat that is to spend some time in them, even if you're not playing, you can adapt to the noise, vibe, interactions.

[@DadeMurphie]

It looks like the comments on that video were paid for as well.

[@Blackjackapprenticeship]

lol

[@stevenshang9303]

Not sure about US but all Asian casino blackjack table will put back the used card to the shuffle machine. Card counting doesn’t work in this setup right?

[@Blackjackapprenticeship]

They're uncommon to find in the US

[@stevenshang9303]

@@Blackjackapprenticeship 🥲jealous

[@rishikrishna8904]

I love how you use maths to blow his points out of the water

[@bryanhugh8905]

If you're counting and the count is getting higher would the logic on the martingale change in hopes for a blackjack or action hand? At least until the count dropped? Also taking into consideration heat from the casino. If they see you do that wouldn't they assume youre not an advantage player?

[@Blackjackapprenticeship]

The problem is that it would massively increase risk and variance, which would likely crush your bankroll.

[@bryanhugh8905]

@@Blackjackapprenticeship the number of times I've had someone ask me to sit out so they could martingale without interference 🤣🤣 i don't count at all, just play for fun. Half the fun is watching the superstitious do their thing. Thanks for takin the time to reply 🤘🤘

[@saritamlbb]

I don't trust his channel, i saw a strategy of baccarat 99% winning and from 100$ to +1000$, i went to try the strategy in the same slot and doing the same thing, i won a couple hands until i lost all my bankroll. As u said he gets paid when people lose.

[@DegenXBoachEv]

I would love to see Colin grow a mustache

[@vaddix9980]

Sup Colin

[@crummydryver]

Another Martingale death trap. Thanks for the video Frogger Jones.

[@kyleburbank6140]

Awww but I was so excited to risk $640 to try to win $5.

[@Blackjackapprenticeship]

😂😂😂

[@GoProDaan]

Guys question because you are the best in BJ. If you are playing by a casino and they offer you cash out option. I have 16 vs 10 dealer. Best way is to cash out on long term or hit? Stand is no option in my opinion. Also their is a variant where where all the dubbles and splits are free but 22 bank is a push! I know you don't like variants but is this a bad deal? So 9 10 11 are free Dubble and all pairs split are free also. Only card is 2 problem when they get 10 and 10 for 22 it's a push. I wonder your opinion in this matter thanks already. 😊

[@YaoMingsFriend]

I'm gonna go outside and play some running across the street.

[@Blackjackapprenticeship]

Lol. That's even less recommended than Martingale betting.

[@reichen8511]

Lmao if you were to be paid out 1 M dollars for surviving that just once, are you in?😅

[@lifewithjosef]

Years ago, my ex was playing the Martingale method, while I played basic strategy. It went as well as y'all would expect, she lost her buy in, and I eked out a small profit. The table stakes were $5-500, it seems to me.

[@TheDjcarter1966]

Yeah the only way Martingale works is with an infinite bankroll and no table limit

[@simonmach1ne]

I like the voice of the other Video. Sounds like no Scam, where can i fill my Credit Card in? 😅

[@deyanstoyanov9668]

Roulette bet when a dozen doesn't come up for 7 times this way: 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 9, 13, 24, 48, 72.. So you dont hit the max limit, and get away with a win. However i seen many times that it can go south.

[@arnav3674]

I wish you uploaded this a week ago, take this as a testimony i watched that video and lost my entire deposit, that 2.8% caught up to me fast

[@KatoKrazy]

I have 10+ loss in a row sequences what feels like several times a session and certainly at least once a session. Martingale definitely does NOT work.

[@mattmorris4016]

Yo! Y'all ever try advantage playing slots? I'm guessing yes

[@Lidz2193]

Colin is like the white Larry Bird from beyond the arc… 😂👏🏻

[@Sjwi9er]

Just watched his video and right after that this video...i was sure what he was saying is not possible as gambler. Any thing possible when playing online blackjack

[@michaelsparks1571]

Martingale always be like "Just risk $5000 to win $2, bro, c'mon!"

[@uocbuitien6333]

that guy never lose 11 hand in a row =)))

[@mattmorris4016]

I remember when Wink came up with the strategy

[@erikyoshi5549]

Martingale doesn’t work, trying to make 100 per day and quitting ahead doesn’t work either. On the 7th day what do you do if you are in a hole from the start? Those two systems I tried destroyed my bank roll

[@danielgarrido757]

Love these analogies 😂 i sent you an email Colin if you ever get the chance

[@ChengTaoFang]

Just lose 7 hands in a row. Somehow still made a little profit thanks to your video

[@jeremyharvey9841]

This is a good video to just teach basic statistics in general

[@richcheckmaker9789]

edit: I'm an idiot, Colin is right. He used 2.8% chance not 3%. I was confused and wrong. I don't know if I can trust your apprenticeship when the odds at 5:30 are all wrong. With a 3% chance of getting struck the odds of getting struck doing it twice is 1-(97^2/100^2)= .0591 or 5.91%. The odds of getting struck if you did it ten times is 1-(97^10/100^10)= .2625 or 26.25%. I can't even begin to understand how you arrived at your numbers.

[@DynamicGracer]

To determine the odds of dying when running across the road twice, given that the probability of dying each time is 3% (or 0.03), we need to consider the probability of surviving both attempts and then use that to find the probability of dying at least once. 1. **Probability of Surviving Once**: The probability of not dying (surviving) each time is \(1 - 0.03 = 0.97\). 2. **Probability of Surviving Twice**: Assuming the events are independent, the probability of surviving both attempts is: \[ 0.97 \times 0.97 = 0.9409 \] 3. **Probability of Dying at Least Once**: The probability of dying at least once is the complement of surviving both times: \[ 1 - 0.9409 = 0.0591 \] So, the probability of dying when you run across the road twice, given a 3% chance each time, is 0.0591, or 5.91%

[@generalwasteman]

The $200 in ten mins into $1400 per hour got me 😂

[@richcheckmaker9789]

@@DynamicGracer Yes but how did Colin arrive at his incorrect numbers? I can't even fathom how to get to his numbers...

[@brianl2607]

​@@generalwastemani think you mean euros

[@brianl2607]

well considering it was being calculated for 2.8%, not 3%, I dont know how much i trust your opinion ;)

[@jimmylabb5868]

The Martingale system is the best betting system ever until you hit table limit. 😜

[@Grub3872]

Variance alone isn't winning, basic strategy and counting create the winnings

[@martynbailey115]

I attempted to point this out in their comments before and was automatically deleted upon posting. They deserve legal action against them

[@pineappleroad]

Wouldn’t surprise me if that virtual table was rigged in some way

[@davidhvacddc]

Is it worth it to count 6 decks when they burn 6 cards? Also no you can't see the cards. Or am I better off playing 2 decks with 2 burns. Yes I know deck pen is most important. Thoughts guys?

[@Billy-ql8tm]

It’s literally a casino trying to say you can win with the ‘strategy’ which is Outrageous

[@jbraywc]

I made an error in watched one of your videos while I was at a casino on their Wi-Fi I immediately got backed off of all comps. Thanks for the advice LOL don't don't use the casinos Wi-Fi and watch your videos.

[@2332Stephen]

Nobody can do what i did online for real money one time. I turned 250 into 8k in a week through pure grit and determination. Started with 1 dollar bets. 3 handed. Surrendered 15s and 16s. Never doubled 9s. Never doubled 10 against 10. Never hit 12 vs a dealer 2. I grinded that stratedgy for a week slowly increasing my bets as the bankroll got bigger. Thousands of hands. Was averaging 100 an hour return. I put in the hours. It was real work. I got greedy. Lost it all.

[@trevler]

It's always Martingale!

[@AccountabilityFit]

I used this strategy and won $3,800 on a cruise ship last week. Got off the cruise in Mexico and immediately lost $200 (in pesos).

[@Charlies1970TA]

This is the reality of gambling. We just think we can and should win when the math clearly says otherwise. Thank you....

[@BOTzerker]

Thank You for making this video! They have a video entitled, "Baccarat Strategy: How to Win at Baccarat with 99.7% Winrate" which I will not be trying.

[@cooperman397]

Having never played baccarat before and watching his video, seemed a no brainer to give it a go. My money got wiped out in minutes 🤦🏻‍♂️. I also lost £100 in no time trying his blackjack strategy.

[@ItsJustAllyHer3]

Online Dealer here. I had someone get fully restricted after getting so pissed that their 98% win rate strat won them 0 games in 10 rounds. They were basically snapping at anyone and everyone in player chat that said that doesn't exist otherwise casinos wouldn't run standard blackjack. (table rules were hit s17, 3:2 bj, on spilt on initial 2 cards for anyone curious)

[@Youdontknowme966]

Oof 😂😂😂. I love how serious you can be in this video lmao I couldn’t stop laughing!! 😂😂😂. What’s sad is that everyone probably believes Gambler Casino and there’s a high chance if you find a “professional gambler” aka card counter now, they will say they learned from them 😂😂😂

[@aman62592]

It’s scary that KZbin has videos teaching people this

[@goblintown]

Sounds like Christopher Mitchell’s scheme

[@kfullmer89]

I love how every Martingale promoter acts like they’re the first one to discover the scroll of truth.

[@arte9855]

Doesn't work on a TABLE GAME because the spread doesn't allow the player to keep doubling the bet before you hit the table max. That and I personally have lost 15 hands in a row with a good play. It happends... I do have a strategy for a certain BJ machine that works so far...no session losses 😮

[@JC-dt7rn]

The Casino Wizard Black Jack is consistently beatable if you don’t get greedy. Casinos are NOT impenetrable ! People who know won’t TEACH without compensation and people who want to know are not willing to pay to learn.

[@ThereIsNoSpoon678]

What if you Martingale, while Card Counting?!

[@Blackjackapprenticeship]

Only if you hate money, we discuss it here: kzbin.info/www/bejne/qZmnaIajms-hZ8Usi=tZ4a5Nb97cKnTkqI

[@hetfieldwannabe8176]

That video has 250k views. What type of awful human being would make a video like that? I feel fortunate that I have a basic understanding of mathematics, and that I found this channel before I did that one! Colin, you are a legend sir

[@elfakyn]

I saw the 99.8% and I immediately guessed Martingale. 99.8% winrate is 511/512!

[@chrisgarby4071]

The channel you’re talking about just posted another blackjack strategy today with another 98% win rate lol. They just don’t learn.

[@Blackjackapprenticeship]

They're making a lot of money from lying to people - hopefully they end up over here to find out the reality before they deposit and give away their bankroll.

[@chrisgarby4071]

@@Blackjackapprenticeship I really like your channel and learning a lot .. I’m a novice at blackjack and look forward to joining your course. Thanks

[@Ghofy]

Caught 4k

[@tobyfitzpatrick3914]

Who is this Martingale guy..?