AGI for Christmas

[@OriginalRaveParty]

If it's true that o3 was trained in the last few months after o1 was released, the pace of improvement is unbelievable. I doubt o3 is AGI, but it will soon be classed as a close ancestor.

[@bigbadallybaby]

Can someone tell me what makes up the cost of o3 answering a question? Is it 100% the cost of generating electricity?

[@johannes523]

OpenAI has to rent the graphics cards from Microsoft or Oracle. Each token generated requires paying the rent for these cards, which prices in electricity, maintenance, security, software updates etc.

[@byrnemeister2008]

So this is going to out massive cost pressure on Nvidia and drive competitor solutions. Every cloud vendor is working on their own replacements for Nvidia GPU’s.

[@johannes523]

@@byrnemeister2008 it's easier to replace Nvidia for test time compute than for pre training compute because they have CUDA for training

[@xt-89907]

Also worth mentioning that the more they train these TTC models, the fewer thought tokens will be needed in the future for similar problems. Just like when you learn any task, the more familiar you are with it, the more it becomes second nature

[@johannes523]

@xt-89907 good point. This might lead to accelerated reduction of costs

[@CMDRScotty]

The first AI to get 100% like the Stem Grads will be a real blowout, even though they can do it for $10. AI will be more expensive, but over time the price will come down over the next 5 years.

[@k14pc]

imo o3 is a massive update towards fast timelines, slow takeoff. i guess altman was right

[@citizen3000]

It absolutely isn’t AGI and you know that. Nobody at OpenAI has said that it is and it clearly isn’t.

[@BrianMosleyUK]

Merry Christmas my friend, and thank you for the last year of updates. I appreciate you. 🙏👍

[@leandrewdixon3521]

Y tu Brute? AI KZbinrs are the only ones declaring that AGI has been achieved. The constant hype and clickbait makes this scene insufferable. I'll watch to the end and hope Im wrong...

[@leandrewdixon3521]

I love the breakdown as always... but we could be spared of the constant titles declaring "AGI is here!!" or "AGI or Christmas"... No need to cry wolf. The reality is exciting enough.

[@jeffsteyn7174]

As apposed to the experts who keep moving the goal posts? As soon as o3 beat the 85% on arc agi. They moved the goal post apparently now it's too expensive to be agi. And it will only be agi if the benchmark creators can't create benchmarks that's difficult for ai.

[@ModernCentrist]

AGI is just a goal post that will be constantly moved until we get to ASI...

[@citizen3000]

@@jeffsteyn7174It isn’t AGI. Get a grip.

[@GNARGNARHEAD]

exciting stuff 😃

[@BrianMosleyUK]

I predict the future of work for humanity: digging coal lol

[@thedannybseries8857]

Clickbait!!!

[@ArianeQube]

no we did not

[@lyndonsimpson1056]

More like clickbait for christmas. I'm fed up with AI hype youtubers...

[@KoreandaVinci]

A grounded video on Ai won't get the views. I used chatGPTo and it's mostly decent for simple tasks. I ask it a reasoning task on somewhat complex questions on astronomy, and it falls apart completely.