A Strategic Analysis of the Russo-Ukraine War | Richard Iron CMG OBE

[@jewelianwest2324]

Not only is Perun acknowledged, cited and revered here, his subscribers just bounced AIIA views into the stratosphere 😊

[@MicMc539]

That this empty talking Head cites a KZbin Gamer as fact, is proof Putin and Co are the only Adults in the room. We're all Doomed.

[@e1123581321345589144]

48,000 views in 3 days vs 700 views in 3 weeks. wow!

[@tiggerbane4325]

TO THE MOON!

[@themadkings5131]

We love the funni PowerPoint man

[@thomasstyan2066]

Sometimes a good deed leads to good results :) Well done Richard Iron.

[@agptyutuuturty]

I have been following perun's work every week since his first analysis, he deserves all the recognition. He is an example of how it is not necessary to be a military man to know what he is talking about.

[@zhukie]

He has a formal background in Defence, just not active service.

[@TimvanderLeeuw]

@@zhukie What @AGPtyutuutu try said was that it's not necessary to be a military man to know what _he_, meaning Perun, is talking about. I'm not a military man but I can recognise the value of Perun and understand what he's talking about!

[@Ickie71]

@@TimvanderLeeuw well said and put thankyou.Some folk will have missed that.

[@LaRoucheisright]

NOT !!! As I said above, do you think we're all stupid?

[@Br1cht]

Consooming propaganda demands nothing except gullibility though.

[@esmenhamaire6398]

Superb! And very nice to see Perun's work getting such acknowledgement and high praise!

[@teashea1]

Indeed - It shows Perun's standing and credibility.

[@velvetmagnetta3074]

@@teashea1 - It's truly a mark of merit for a mysterious disembodied voice on KZbin to be so acknowledged and respected!

[@hamidhamidi3134]

A good part of his talk is just repeating the mainstream western media. He calls the pro Ukran8ans as THE REST OF THE WORLD which is BS. Half of human beings are only in China and India, both allied with Russia.

[@albertdittel8898]

Actually, it made me disappointed. Poeple like this guy is supposed to be the source for Perun's content. Now this guy basically cites Perun as a source, which means that it is an echo chamber.

[@velvetmagnetta3074]

@@albertdittel8898 - This speaker's specialty is different from Perun's. I'm not familiar with him (though many people in this comment section are), but he seems more of a generalist and an advisor, one who aggregates and summarizes from many sources, Perun being one of them that was very useful for him in this particular subject. Perun doesn't know everything! But what he does know, he shares with us his research, analysis, and rarely, his conclusions and predictions. Of course, we should always take information from any source with a proper dose of skepticism - and check up on their sources once in a while as well as search for our own independent sources. I was glad to hear Perun is respected by professionals. I find his work very commendable and mostly credible 😉. I would hope our governments and think-tanks seek out information from a wide variety of sources - even if they're just a KZbin streamer on the internet! If the info is good, it's good! And besides, Perun has LOADS of sources (some official, some open-source) listed in the description under each video.

[@ClericChris]

From dorky unknown KZbin video gamer to global strategic, economic and logistics expert. Well done Perun. I remember hearing his first few slideshows over a year ago and thought "this is really good, but i bet not very many people will also enjoy it". I was wrong but I'm glad i was drawn to it. It feels like a reward; that i haven't been sucked into either sides propaganda.

[@mikekopack6441]

Agreed. I told everyone I knew who was even remotely interested in what was happening about Perun. They ALL listen to his videos now. Then we all talk about the content on Mondays.

[@bob1505]

RE: "... i bet not very many people will also enjoy it." I shared your opinion that not many people will enjoy it. Sometimes it is enjoyable to be wrong. I know I'm delighted Perun has found a wider viewership. Perun's style is reminiscent of the Battlefield series produced some decades ago. It too was compared to watching paint dry by some critics (of questionable prowess). Chris, I share your sentiments.

[@dodda]

I love how he did a couple of non-gaming vids ending with "this isn't going to be the norm for my channel, I don't really want to come home from work and talk about work" as he is cracking 500k views a vid.

[@rebd113]

Expert? He basically just regurgitates Ukrainian MOD points

[@tistelnilsson]

​@@rebd113 you haven't seen any perum videos at all.

[@velvetmagnetta3074]

Perun!!! I agree! He's the most well-researched KZbinr on military acquisition and analysis! ❤️ And he makes you laugh while you learn. So enjoyable!

[@dontsupportrats4089]

Indeed he does!

[@ManuelBasiri]

I've listened to every single one of his analysis. He is an Australian national treasure.

[@WackadoodleMalarkey]

Personal lifegoal is to kick his ass in Warhammer 😹

[@dontsupportrats4089]

@@WackadoodleMalarkey LOL gl

[@agenthex]

Perun just parrots neocon think tank (a la ISW) PR narratives, and make up numbers that sound plausible to rubes. Apparently the Russians have run out of tanks and missiles about 20 times by now LMAO

[@AndySpicer]

Bravo for your call out of @Perun. His content is remarkable and as you said, brilliantly researched. He deserves the credibility that your endorsement will bring him. Well done!

[@Husein_B58]

Used to think that but you’re just saying that because Perun’s opinions align with your own. Guy isn’t as objective as he claims. He’s scared to be truly objective for the fear of his audience

[@AndySpicer]

@@Husein_B58 nah

[@gaoxiaen1]

@@Husein_B58 Perun's views certainly don't align with those of a no-content fake-account vatnik bot like you.

[@doomerbloomer6160]

@@Husein_B58 got any type of evidence to back up your bullshit?

[@TheRezro]

@@Husein_B58 Translation on Vatnik: "because ruZZIan MOD is only objective troth"

[@Danster87]

My boy Perun getting his props. Well done Richard, I see game is recognizing game.

[@TOEFL63]

I always felt Perun was one to trust with his anlyses. It's so nice to see he gets acknolegded here for his work. His presentaiotns are something i alwas cant wait to see.

[@JM-mh1pp]

Imagine how funny it would be if this guy literally is Perun

[@spudwesth]

Empty brane.

[@worldevents2456]

Holy crap Perun called out by AIIS that’s pretty cool. Not that it isn’t obvious but that is amazing. Colas to see him recognized.

[@kylesprengeler5965]

exactly, i came here to say the same thing lol

[@kinologan5074]

Cheers bro il drink to that!

[@TheRezro]

I'm fairly sure he is inside man.

[@tordsteiro9838]

That's awesome, I fully agree! Now, I enjoy Peruns format over this one, but this was also an informative and interesting presentation!

[@worldevents2456]

@@TheRezroif he is it was very well done. The gammer channel was quite convincingly a hobbyist channel for several years. Once again cheers to Australian intelligence efforts on behalf of the free world.

[@johnwest7993]

Perun does very impressive analysis. He demonstrates what the Internet 'could' become, but hasn't due to garbage and money-grubbers.

[@peterfireflylund]

No, it’s due to the army of average people who are everywhere on the internet (and in the traffic and in politics).

[@williamtran6024]

Perun is absolutely the best analyst anywhere on KZbin!!

[@GlobalDrifter1000]

Nonsense.

[@williamtran6024]

@@GlobalDrifter1000 LOL. Don't be jealous

[@GlobalDrifter1000]

@@williamtran6024 we are not in the same world. Nothing to be jealous of. He is good but my panties are not wet for him.

[@frankrenda2519]

he talks so much sht it isnt funny he knows nothing of the russian military just another aussia bogan

[@Okiejayjay]

It’s all propaganda. He starts off with the failed Russian winter offensive, only problem is that no one except western propagandists have ever claimed there would be one. After that is of the same theme. At least I didn’t hear the Russians are attacking with shovels again.

[@KapitainZino]

Wonderful and brilliant analysis, thank you! And thank you for mentioning Perun, who‘s presentations are a must see for the interested viewers.

[@13sommerfeld]

Is there any analysis here ? Zero evidences and etc. ChatGPT generated talk perhaps.

[@coaulsi]

This guy tell's the western narative, he is nowhere near the center info wise He just repeats what ukraine "imagines" This conflict will end the one way it can And no one talks about this war/operatiion in real tearms, ukr wants their soil back, the rus wants to denazifi ukraine, if one can listen to zelensky, than it wld be wise to hear putin as well I'm not for putin, or any gov for that matter, but the guy doesnt play war, russia is doing at least normal against large country pumped by western weapons for nearly a decade So no, this is not a wonderfull and briliant analysis!!!

[@jameslawrence3666]

Good job!! Nice to hear Perun get such high praise. Kevin McCarthy seems very much behind funding Ukraine in recent days when asked by a Russian journalist. Wagner have burnt themselves out and the massive internal squabbles with the top brass undermines the whole war effort. Both these relatively new factors make Putin's waiting game look like another disastrous play.

[@agenthex]

Yeah, russia'll collapse anyday now, just like the last 20 times these think tank level shills "predicted" it. The lowest denom just make up what they want to hear, such is the human condition.

[@occamraiser]

Perun! If anyone hasn't watched his video on 'how does corruption destroy armies' they are in for a treat. It is witty, knowledgeable and informative.

[@agenthex]

@@occamraiser Perun is informative if your goal is to perfectly parrot and rationalize the latest nato PR lines. It's perfectly really for people who "believe" they can learn war from youtube.

[@ronaldbell7429]

His comment at 0:12:55 about Perun just put paid to my curiosity about who Perun is. Guess I'm not gonna exercise my search-fu on that after all.

[@togamid]

@@ronaldbell7429 Perun is a KZbinr who currently posts weekly videos on various topics on Ukraine and defense economics in general: kzbin.info/door/C3ehuUksTyQ7bbjGntmx3Q The videos are generally as unbiased as possible and really informative. If you're interested in the war in Ukraine, you should at least check him out.

[@paulsakz1532]

As an American that first question woke me up! Incredible to hear it from another, albeit an incredibly important ally. Fantastic

[@momchilyordanov8190]

And I don't think he gave the most obvious answer. In the big competition with China, God forbid it transforms in a Taiwan war or worse, why would you want your only real ally of any significance (namely Europe) to be battered and resentful? In the idiotic war of Putin in Ukraine, U.S. are not losing a single piece of the most important capital of any country - the people. Ukrainians are doing all the fighting. And the U.S. wants to leave them and Europe in general getting exhausted, weaken and disillusioned with America over what? Money? Or some weapons that need to be modernized and replaced from time to time anyway? That would be the dumbest strategic move ever.

[@spudwesth]

Let the slotter continue. Ignorance kills.

[@barrymartin3054]

And I wait every Sunday for perun but always good to hear from other commentators on this or indeed any subject.perun is amazing but other informed commentators especially which have this guy’s experience in the forces and his position in them adds to our overview on this subject basically he’s a proper military man of a rank that both understands the political and the military aspects of what he’s talking about. Please do more stuff yes I do love peruns stuff but I’ve really enjoyed your talk tonight and respect and understand your view on it

[@spudwesth]

Knows notting.

[@johnvaleanbaily246]

Good to see Perun being given credit. Excellent analysis. Thank you.

[@spudwesth]

BS.

[@VSS_Unionist]

Perun being quoted in absolutely fantastic! ⚡️

[@rhyansanpedro]

If you would have told me a few years ago that I'll be consuming content such this in a regular basis I would have totally laughed at you. I guess stumbling across Perun's first video about this was the rabbit hole I ended up in 😂

[@wiretrap1035]

Wow. A shout out to Perun's analysis. That is impressive.

[@StoccTube]

Perun is a legend. Makes the most seemingly dull topics come alive!

[@dixonpinfold2582]

I've come to see his videos as typical consultant's reports: stuffed with platitudes and common-sense observations delivered with great confidence; serial naming of salient issues given fairly empty treatment except for a few insights and (very rarely) conclusions; overlong videos stretching past an hour which might be done in 20 minutes. He looks at the right topics but it embarrasses me that his confident and fast-talking style threw me off for nearly a year.

[@spudwesth]

Dum DUm

[@philipwoodgate9555]

Perun is the best channel on You tube relating to this war.

[@brinjoness3386]

K2 brigade

[@richard526]

This has been the most objective,articulate discussion on the situation in the Russo-Ukrainian war. Thank you.

[@gregorym3020]

Richard .Russia has conserved all of it's forces while destroying the majority of the the Ukrainian military. The Ukrainian military will only last 6 months more before complete collapse. Ukraine is being destroyed while the west wages a proxy war. The ratio of dead is approx 8 or 10 to one Russian . This fool in Victoria shows his corrupted beleifs . Absurd idiot

[@Slipstreaminsano]

Sounds like you need some Perun in your life my friend.

[@CookeAaronJ]

Also check out William Spaniel

[@jozsefolasz8702]

@@Slipstreaminsano I also would welcome such a mind beside me.

[@zov_tv]

this is the most propagandist fake news bullshit I've ever heard

[@lupulul]

Did I hear a shoutout to Perun? Ayo, our defense economics teacher being noticed much more now!

[@numjosesp9498]

I thought that this would just another talking head about Ukraine and almost missed this. I'm so happy I decided to view this. Excellent clear thinking and expression of the thoughts.

[@viewernum72]

I really liked this. Thank you. I will try to make a comment to Perun that he received a compliment from the speaker. It's helpful to me that the speaker feels that Perun is well-informed.

[@Funkaheltok]

When did he do that

[@IncomitatusExcelsior]

​@@Funkaheltok Just before speaking about the air war.

[@lokmanmerican6889]

​@@Funkaheltok , the speaker mentions Perun at 12:40

[@planetcaravan2925]

​@@Funkaheltok did you watch the video

[@Funkaheltok]

@@planetcaravan2925 this might come as a shock. But it is possible to miss a sentence in a hour long presentation

[@jerseyshoredroneservices225]

This was a great presentation. Reminded me a lot of listening to Perune and the length was about the same too.

[@LarsPallesen]

Is there any particular good reason why you'd upload a video in 360p resolution here in the year 2023? I can't think of any.

[@normanbaratelli4651]

Give Ukraine an air force now already! Glory to the heroes. Very nicely done indeed.

[@starmnsixty1209]

👍👍👍👍

[@bsliptsov]

As a Ukraininan I fully agree. Thanks for your support! We'll always remember that.

[@normanbaratelli4651]

@@bsliptsov There are millions of people in the USA that support you and wish our government does even more! We follow you daily.

[@bsliptsov]

@@normanbaratelli4651 Much appreciated!

[@mariahaselnuss3826]

I absolutly agree that Perun has the best Russia-Ukraine war analysis in the internet.

[@Inos74]

yes Perun is an absolute Gem

[@daejavue69]

Good to see Perun acknowledge & credited to be well informed & a trusted source . The problem of Russian Air fightets have a big advantage over Ukraines air fighters in range , the Russians can launch a 70 mile range air to air missile from below the horizon & this technique has yet to be overcome by Ukraines pilots . This middle is taking them down before the know its coming & that's why they need F15 ASAP or the Technical leap forward by Russia needs to be countered.

[@mikedrop4421]

They couldn't keep f15s in the air I don't think. The cost per hr is about 30k where the F16 is about 7k. The problem with F16 is it's intake being so close to the ground and the weak landing gear means it needs clean smooth air fields. Something Ukraine doesn't have in spades

[@TheRezro]

@@mikedrop4421 Eghm... Gripen.

[@mikedrop4421]

@@TheRezro yeah obviously but there aren't a few thousand extra Gripens laying around

[@sixstringedthing]

Gripen is everything Ukraine needs but good luck trying to convince the Swedes to part with any of them!

[@TheRezro]

@@mikedrop4421 You know. There is F/A-18...

[@scammicus7110]

Solid and restrained analysis. Well worth the watch, and the subscribe. Especially appreciate Gen. Iron's shout out to Perun's excellent work as well. BZ

[@spudwesth]

BS !

[@pfeilspitze]

I didn't get here from Perun, but as a diligent watcher, it's amazing to hear the shout-out to him here!

[@zephyrast3036]

Surprised to hear you mention Perun! His channel is definitely amazing.

[@Ickie71]

Perun is fast becoming a living Legend!So pleased you mentioned him!

[@papehakla]

Great analysis and interesting arguments, and indeed close to what our experts say. Best regards from Germany to our Australian friends 👏🏻

[@spudwesth]

Academic from la la land.

[@308VKSS]

Douglas Macgregor, Scott Ritter, The Duran, they are the best source for information on Ukraine war

[@resputant8173]

21:50 - they also tried, and failed, to hold various nations in Africa hostage by delaying the transportation of Ukrainian wheat by ship, possibly to create an artificial famine which could have prompted the west to push for a truce.

[@martavdz4972]

Thanks for mentioning this. But they still manage to block some of the Ukrainian cargo ships, or steal the grain. The fact that Ukraine is one the largest exporters of grain and fertilizers to Africa doesn´t get enough attention, and yet is extremely important.

[@resputant8173]

@@martavdz4972 its extremely important as Ukraine is a major exporter of wheat, maize and barley, and yes its likely large amounts was stolen but as the African nations mentioned they dont care who they buy it from as long as it keeps coming. Russia has not once ounce of compassion and it was more then willing to use other nations populations as a bargaining chip. The problem was resolved more or less with the grain corridor but this year with various lands not being seeded and various areas filled with destroyed Russian equipment and mined it may make it a serious problem this year with what can be harvested. This could push for more nations providing wheat and other cereal grains which is likely to drive up costs locally and could put more pressure for the war to end by an unhappy citizenry hopefully the counter attack will drive the russians back.

[@wekapeka3493]

Really! When the wheat sailed , most of it ended up in Europe causing a glut and driving down prices for locally grown product and bringing their own farmers out in protest.

[@sixstringedthing]

Given Perun's reluctance to discuss Australia's position with respect to the Ukraine conflict for some fairly obvious reasons, I found the section of Richard's presentation regarding what we as a nation can do to influence any sort of positive outcome in the war to be particularly interesting. I'll not say I agree categorically with everything that was put forward, but this was certainly a very well thought and carefully considered presentation. Excellent content, thanks AIIA.

[@rogerwilco2]

Indeed.

[@judithord4065]

Fascinating, lots of cold, hard home truths. Perun is indeed a font of all knowledge and research. Thank you 🇬🇧

[@norbertblackrain2379]

Quality carries a long way. And Perun has earned this for sure!

[@DogeickBateman]

@@MrGreg771 Ok Russian bot

[@DogeickBateman]

@@MrGreg771 Ok Russian bot

[@DogeickBateman]

@@MrGreg771 Ok Russian bot

[@DogeickBateman]

@@MrGreg771 Ok Russian bot

[@chuckhillier4153]

Here in the United States some have noticed our Secretary of State's visit to Kazakhstan with what is being called the "Five plus One. The visit occurred a few days before the Chinese prime mister's visit to Moscow. On his way home, Xi also visited Kazakhstan. At about the same time, Kazakhstan confiscated Russia's Soyoz facility. We understand that much discussion with Blinken concerned how Kazakhstan and neighboring countries might avoid western sanctions while necessarily trading with Russia. Seems important in the current environment of shifting international tectonics.

[@martavdz4972]

Greeting from central Europe and thanks, interesting info

[@TheRezro]

BTW US and China just announced normalization of they relations

[@spudwesth]

Endless war good.

[@melidareichert6720]

The generous contribution of Storm Shadow missiles by the UK government highlights their dedication to helping Ukraine during these challenging times

[@zhukie]

Poland, the Baltics and the UK have been the consistently supportive countries who openly advocate for Ukraine to WIN, UNEQUIVOCALLY. Not just "hold the Russians back". America should also take this position asap and supply long range rockets

[@starmnsixty1209]

​@@zhukie indeed we should. Indeed we should 👍🇺🇦

[@starmnsixty1209]

👍🇬🇧

[@yourdad0343]

@Reckless Abandon Go and learn about DU before spouting crap. Russian Bot.

[@paulmcneil9971]

@Reckless Abandon BS. You ignored the word depleted, i.e. no radioactive component. Yes it is toxic but not radioactive so all these so called reports are just russian propaganda parroted by bots and trolls like you.

[@maribelfarnsworth4565]

An excellent presentation, combining breadth and depth of vision and analysis. Great to see Perun's work receiving the acknowledgement it deserves.

[@coaulsi]

😂😂😂

[@spudwesth]

So sad. Dum sheet rules.

[@LLlap]

Wow! A shout out to Perun!

[@peterfmodel]

Good video. We all need to support free speech and democracy, where ever its threatened.

[@JohannaCTjia]

Let’s do that in the West, where democracy and free speech are vanishing

[@thomasjamison2050]

Perun does excellent work, no question about it.

[@AZWings]

Good talk. Nice to see Perun getting acknowledged for the excellent analytical work he is putting out on YT.

[@peterwhite7428]

This is the unbiased and brilliant analysis of the Russian-Ukrainian war. Great information and projections. The very best I have heard

[@GunShark0]

Lol... unbiased, maybe. Uninformed, certainly.

[@fritzforsthoefel8031]

Non propaganda talk is welcome he seems to say what is not what we or Russia for that matter wants to hear just the way things are it is what it is

[@spudwesth]

valueless. lies.

[@kunsangga5631]

Thank you so much, Richard. One of the most illuminated talks on Russo-Ukraine War I have ever listened.

[@spudwesth]

Bull and also sheets. many piles.

[@kunsangga5631]

Ha, ha, ha.......@@spudwesth

[@meekmild8964]

Thanks, excellemt presentation. . And yes, i agree perun is quite something

[@donjuan2065]

"Rules Based Order", Where can one find the rule book? I love to know about these rules.

[@gubmentchz3570]

Love seeing Perun get mentioned by all of these other (in many cases) accredited academic outlets; I’ve been watching since his first video and find myself refresh spamming Patreon / KZbin for his weekly release. Love the sense of humor “because this is Slavic history and happy endings are banned” 😂😂😂

[@DisinterestedParty]

This is my first time hearing this gentleman speak, and I find his knowledge and situational comprehension to be outstanding. Very well done!

[@Joemensa]

Two things that I as an America can state as a matter of fact. One...I do not know anyone who is against supporting Ukraine and in fact, pretty much everyone not only wants the government to do more, most search for ways they can personally contribute...and Two - I am a staunch Trump supporter for many reasons that I don't care to get into for the moment as it has nothing to do with the subject at hand but what I will say is that I and many other Trump supporters I know will not vote for Trump if he does not unequivocally promise to support Ukraine at the same or greater level than we are at present if he is re-elected. I'll add a third observation. Americans really like and respect Australia and Australians.

[@BearRiverBooks]

Wonderfully lucid analysis. Will pass along to friends here in the US.

[@spudwesth]

deluding yore frends

[@lucywinters4935]

@perun another glowing review. Great presentation.. i wosh i vould correllqtw info like these guys.

[@perfectlycontent64]

+1 Perun is amazing. Great to see him getting acknowledged by someone so distinguished.

[@ZhangWei02]

Thoroughly impressed with Richard Iron, my thanks to the AIIA for puplishing this talk.

[@DanS8204]

Thank you for creating and sharing this excellent interview.

[@spudwesth]

No.

[@paniccheck]

I appreciate the thoughtful and comprehensive analysis free from hyperbole.

[@dh1380]

Mad going from having a gaming channel to getting name dropped by these guys

[@victors4333]

The best analysis at all levels, in a very long time.

[@airborneranger-ret]

Overall nicely done 12:30 Nice recognition of Perun. Very professional.

[@jannarkiewicz633]

You think he knows who Perun is? :-)

[@airborneranger-ret]

@@jannarkiewicz633 Don't know, don't care. He was very professional in giving credit to him.

[@jannarkiewicz633]

@@airborneranger-ret I respect Perun being anonymous a lot. I would find it interesting if his name is known and people just use his call sign. It shows the level of respect people have for Perun that they treat a KZbin name like "Professor Jane Doe." Cheers!!! I wish Ukraine the Latest would interview Perun. I am stunned after a year they have not.

[@MrWiggo91]

Great video and so happy to see Perun being acknowledged. I fell upon his videos some months ago and am absolutely hooked.amazing in depth analysis.

[@odins_claw]

Great speaker. Definitely one of OO7's handlers

[@airborneranger-ret]

lol

[@Der_Thrombozyt]

I wish everyone would put the date *at which the talk was given* into the description. Many Institutes and think tanks only get around to publishing such talks months after the event and for topics such as this, the date is really important. So please AIIA - amend your info.

[@CaseyCS7]

Wow, Perun got mentioned here, awesome!

[@Justnotoverthink]

Cheers from Poland, I found Australian KZbin being information space I feel most comfortable in 😅

[@Macca047]

Didn't the Wagner group just defeat a whole army supported by all of Nato to the tune of 100s of billions of dollars.

[@halfalligator6518]

I'm inclined to believe those casualty numbers are much much higher than US estimates and closer to Ukrainian ones. Even just the amount of visually confirmed tank kills is staggering.

[@stevedavenport1202]

I think the numbers on both sides are fudged.

[@spudwesth]

200,000 Ukraine casualties. keep it going NATO

[@zhukie]

7 days later.... Here's Storm Shadows!

[@ChrisBrengel]

Excellent video--well done! Da-yum, Perun is getting a lot of love from *everybody* in these comments! I watched a couple of his videos last night and thought they were excellent. I enjoyed his sense of humor as well.

[@waterwood492]

Richard Iron and Perun are excellent. So is Justin Bronk (from the UK). Does the US have any analysts of the same quality? If it does, I am not aware of them.

[@ronaldbell7429]

Don't leave out Anders Puck Nielsen from Denmark. His videos are short but incredibly insightful.

[@catc8927]

Retired U.S. generals Ben Hodges and H. R. McMaster are pretty good.

[@dryphtyr]

Starbaby USAF Retired - has done great analysis on Ukrainian air power and what it would actually take to get Western jets into Ukrainian hands. He's done several AMA's on the 10 percent true channel

[@petersinclair3997]

@@catc8927 Think Jake Broe interviewed General Hodges. Jake good for a goings-on catch-up.

[@janinasimons8533]

Col McGregor, Judge Napolitano, interviews variety of USA specialist, Scott Ritter, Tony Shaffer, Alastair Crooke, - Larry Johnson, John Meirshmier

[@peacefulpleb]

I agree with Mr Iron's complimentary comments on Perun. A good presentation and well worth a watch.

[@Whisper555]

You all realise that Perun probably works for Australian Institute of International Affairs. There is only a handful of places a person with Perun's skill set can get employment in Australia, and The Australian Institute of International Affairs wouldn't be bad bet.

[@irgendwieanders2121]

if I understand Perun correctly he is in what finance would call "sell-side analysis"

[@S1551]

​@@irgendwieanders2121 would you mind elaborating on what that is?

[@irgendwieanders2121]

@@S1551 He works (analyses?) for a privat company that sells arms...

[@KrnelPanc]

Hands down the best analysis on the war so far. Richard so perfectly puts things into perspective and says some unpopular but real truths. Appreciated from an allied partner who values objectiveness vs propaganda.

[@alvaro.piner1917]

Is rhis guy on drugs?

[@manosthaiger4475]

This guy just telling billshit all the way...

[@spudwesth]

Whatttt.

[@janecote]

Hello, Canadian here. This was really interesting, thank you very much. I don't think it's a question of Australia "can" make a difference. Australia does make a difference in the world.

[@leowilliamcullen]

Providing China with the resources it needs to be a world power. Very important.

[@tordsteiro9838]

Thanks for an informative thoughtful analysis! Now, something that has struck me over the course of this war, is the difficulty with which analysts has tried to understand what the Russian strategy really is, and whether Putin is placing his bets on the shirt, medium, or long term. Now, the way I see it, is that the war itself was a result of diminishing domestic policy space, and that Putins position was under sufficient pressure, so that domestic concerns where driving foreign- and security policy, and not the other way around, which one often assumes. Now, this line of reasoning has some consequences for analysing Russian strategy, because, if domestic policy action space is driving also its foreign and security policy, then it is reason to believe that domestic policy action space will also set limits to the ability to strategic planning of coherent battlefield operations. Hence, I do not believe that Putin is opting for a long war of attrition. Instead, I think Putin is caught in an endless row of dilemmas, where he is forced to choose between short-term solutions of which none are particularly good, and where a coherent strategy can not be found. As a result, the Russian campaign is primarily chaotic, without any coherent overarching strategy, including no real choice regarding a long, a medium term, or a short war. However, I'm pretty sure Putin would really like this war to be over a soon as possible, and the fact that there's no end in sight, primarily tells us that he do not have the means to end it on his own terms, and not the political action space to offer any compromise that may end it on mutually acceptable terms. Which, in turn, tells me that the idea that Putin's regime will not survive this war, appears to be a very plausible one.

[@spudwesth]

100s of Russ. women are raped every day by Nazi troops.

[@jackrice2770]

I'm an old American left-wing sort, and an amateur student of history. Over my long years observing my world, I've been repeatedly struck by the typical failure of most humans to appreciate the lessons of history and that's why we, as a species, are condemned to repeat it. (Nod to Santayana.) Putin's doing almost exactly the same thing Stalin did...throw men and equipment in as large a numbers as possible, irrespective of horrible losses. It only succeeded in WWII because Germany was militarily engaged on so many fronts it was impossible for them to defend them all, and thus wound up losing them all. (Having a raving lunatic as a leader also didn't help.) Putin does not have this problem. One would think that the Chamberlain example of waving papers in the face of psychopathic would-be conquerors would have taught everyone the lesson of how one deals with bullies. I learned this in school, and the lesson has helped me many times: my family moved frequently, so I was always 'the new kid'. The new kid is inevitable challenged by the class bully, because that's how bullies work. After a couple of failed attempts at accomodaton, I learned that as soon as that chap's fist went up, a quick shot to the nose, mouth or eye from me usually ended the whole affair. Yes, occasionally I went home with a bruised cheek or split lip, and wound up being lectured by some sage adult about 'fighting not settling things' (which was flatly a lie), but it always got whatever dictator-in-the-making off my back. Perhaps we should actually encourage playground fights in the early years, so more people learn how to deal with the inevitable aggression of other humans...and perhaps some of those wanna-be world conquerors will take their black eyes and bloody noses as an object lesson in the futility of war. China...maybe you should consider Sun Tzu's point about the only war you truly win is the one you didn't fight.

[@spudwesth]

TWIITT. That is what NATO is doing. killing huge

[@The_Real_Maxajax]

I would like to offer my gratitude to both Perun and Richard Iron for doing their best to ensure that the public is adequately informed.

[@stuartwray6175]

Irony. Lol

[@spudwesth]

u meen disinformed

[@jayhawk9267]

Offical props for Perun🎉

[@oscarmascarenhas6444]

Richard what about Ukraine now being more integrated into the European Union than before the invasion? This itself is a sea change and the desire of the Ukranians to be in the European Union with all the trappings therein has to be acknowledged in the strategic sense.

[@autohmae]

This was great and nice to see such a mention of Perun, 12:42

[@alexeykomkov3108]

What do you say now? With stalled Ukrainian offensive?

[@kathleentrinity7367]

Thorough and insightful analysis of facts on the ground, capabilities, and consequences of various choices. The West must hold firm in supporting Ukraine. My hope is that Biden will win again and not repeat a mistake similar to his abandoning of Afghanistan.

[@loupgarou-dj3tm]

Trump set up the Afghanistan fiasco by basically surrendering to the Taliban and releasing thousands of prisoners in advance. What went wrong on Biden's watch was the failure to plan for the chance that the Afghan army would instantly fold. Not exactly a Biden mistake, more like incompetence by people who were already in their jobs before he took over.

[@WackadoodleMalarkey]

As an American there's a bitterly tragically truthful euphemism that goes when the Dems and Reps agree on something, the taxpayer is really going to get screwed.. And I have seen no other but no less solid bilateral agreement from members of both sides of the aisle and that consensus says _Fcuk uoY Putin_

[@kreek22]

More Dementia Biden! More mutilated American children! More baby killing! More American racial communism! The Satan Party founded by FDR only ever descends deeper into evil and madness.

[@lindenbyrne7725]

Us is basically a non-factor they just throw money at Ukrainian. Europe already provides nuclear deterrent and they are acualy providing most of the equipment that has been given and will be given remember America needs to transport things across the Atlantic causing anything sent to cost more rather then just using trains or literally moving stuff over the land border and there’s no reason they will ever not support Ukrainian as they would rather fight a proxy war then have there own citizens and infrastructure destroyed by war on Europe’s territory and with Russian state media speaking about nuking the capital of Germany and other European country’s. Losing America is a pain yes but it won’t actually stop Ukrainian fighting capabilities or the support in European country’s.

[@BibEvgen]

Where are the facts? Some wishes, and conjectures.

[@GuzziHeroV50]

3/10, needs more PowerPoint slides! Seriously, thank you to my fellow Perunites for introducing me to Mr Iron's great work and this great channel.

[@GunShark0]

You're too kind. I give 0/10 for being utter hogwash.

[@michaelneuwirth3414]

"Perun" is mentioned at 11:29, 15:33,

[@garyhughes6004]

Very good analysis. Thank you sir/Gary Hughes USA

[@richardarmstrong9590]

Only 16,000 dead Ukrainians? Hard to take this number seriously.

[@richardmoloney689]

200k

[@thingsnexttome]

That is my boy!! Perun! OG Knowledge Master. Wow. My boy, influencing the world with his explanation perfection.

[@Lanser84]

Wonderful insights and perspective. I'm always unnerved by hearing what I've been hearing in other places, but this analysis won me over with its apparent candor about the difficulties Ukraine will face in its upcoming offensive, and the offensive's uncertain prospects. The following points were of particular interest to me: Western vs Soviet air defense density, Ukraine's potential uses for western fighter jets, how wars end, Putin's paths to winning the war and their prospects, sentiment in Russia, and the possible post-war future of Russia. I weigh whether Ukraine would be best off focusing on maneuver or on artillery warfare. Should they try for Kharkhiv-style counteroffensives, Kherson-style ones, or merely on winning the attritional battle through longer-range fires (HIMARS, cruise missiles, etc.). They have been effective in all of the tactics above, and each carries a different balance of short vs long-term risks, and differing prospects dependent on current Ukrainian and Russian capabilities and preparation.

[@mohammedderby7570]

A lecture on the genocide of the Aboriginals I would like to hear from this gentleman

[@elausraliano]

How many times have the Russians run of shells, missiles, bullets, etc. , those shovels must be very effective!

[@dylansapp6804]

Love the Perun shoutout. Dude does some quality work, and for KZbinr wages.

[@arjanv45]

A very nice, balanced and unbiased analysis which are hard to find.

[@azamatbagatov7161]

The referendum in 1991 was not about independence from the Russian Federation. That's very misleading. It was phrased in a very particular way ("do you support the declaration of sovereignty that had already been adopted earlier?"). There was no mention of "independence". The key word was *sovereignty*, and a number of republics had passed theirs with the understanding that it was going to lead to greater autonomy for all within a looser confederation of some sort in place of the USSR (the CIS was an abortive second attempt at establishing it). The ballot was also full of flowery language that was hard to say no to, (about power of the people and such), and ended with a giant box for a yea vote and a tiny one for a nay. All that said, if you look at the much more neurally phrased referendum on whether to retain the USSR that had taken place just a few short months before this one, you'll see the results were drastically different (70+% of Ukrainians supported keeping the USSR, if memory serves, and every single region except Lviv and Ternopil in Western Ukraine voted yes to the USSR).

[@azamatbagatov7161]

I neglected to mention that Russia itself, as the RSFSR, had also passed its own declaration of sovereignty as well by that point.

[@Dimich1993]

I have to point out that the war started in 2014, and the full-scale invasion in 2022.

[@robertharrington2658]

Excellent in-depth analysis of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Hope to see more of your insights online. Thank You.

[@spudwesth]

Very shallow.

[@mmeade9402]

I would assume the part about the air to missiles from western aircraft is more to do with the active radar guidance. The air to air missiles the ukrainians have for there soviet aircraft are semi active. Meaning the Ukrainian pilot has to maintain a radar lock on the Russian aircraft. Not always easy to do when they're shooting back.

[@Wien1938]

It's also that the Ukrainian (Soviet) aircraft radars have less range than the upgraded post-Soviet radars, which in turn affects acquisition range.

[@SabreSix1980]

While that is a factor in favor of the Russians, range is the main issue atm. The Russians have a CAP within their SAM umbrella, equipped with long range R-77 and R-36 missiles, and because they can fly high and fast, that gives their missiles extra range. Currently Ukraine has no way of attacking that CAP, and here MBDA's Meteor looks like a possible solution to that problem. Due to it's ramjet engine it is powered during its entire flight, meaning that even if it needs to climb from tree top level to the altitude of the Russian CAP, it wil lose a lot less kinetic energy and range than the R-27's Ukraine uses now.

[@Wien1938]

@@SabreSix1980 Good points, but radar acquisition range also matters - if the fighter cannot detect or lock on, the Meteor cannot be launched at the enemy fighter either.

[@SeanRCope]

More of this please. Thank you.