Eng Wee Ethan Yeo - Chance-Informed Healthcare Resource Management in the Face of Pandemic

Managing healthcare resources under uncertain COVID-19 surges is difficult and it is tempting to plan for surges in demand based on the average or best guesses of contagion forecast models. Unfortunately, this leads to systematic errors induced by the Flaw of Averages.
We will show how the discipline of probability management can transform the uncertainty in forecasts into actionable data for making chance-informed resource decisions with your native spreadsheet.
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