Andrew Neil's SCATHING predictions for the general election

“The Tories could well be vulnerable to a takeover. An aggressive, hostile takeover by Nigel Farage’s Reform Party.”
Andrew Neil reveals his scathing predictions for the general election.
📻 Listen to Times Radio - www.thetimes.c...
📍 Subscribe to our channel - / @listentotimesradio
🗞 Subscribe to The Times www.thetimes.c...
📲 Get the free Times Radio app www.thetimes.c...

[@davideddy5877]

The Tories sudden rash of new policies begs the question of what they have been doing for the last fourteen years. The policies also reek of overt bribery.

[@gdutfulkbhh7537]

The last shriek of a failed regime. Not that Labour are any less useless, but they're going to be allowed a go.

[@SlowhandGreg]

what of the 2019 manifesto have they delivered?

[@tonyharpur8383]

....and PANIC! 😂😅

[@neildear-wn9eo]

@@SlowhandGreg Their new manifesto is claim to repair the damage they created, and they think it radical new thinking. these people are delusional.

[@jonathanpettitt2616]

They do not intend to implement any of the new policy ideas they have been floating anyway. If by some miracle they won the election, all of these policies would be dropped and it would be more of what we have seen from them in Government already.

[@harrybarrow6222]

Farage will take votes from the Tories. 😀

[@asher8464]

Do you think so?

[@jsd8981]

​@asher8464 definetly without a doupt not a problem, why ??,,,,do you think otherwise ??? !!!

[@alanfrost4661]

good man go for it nigel

[@nickd.6365]

Have to agree with you. The Tories are increasingly looking to become near defunct for a decade.

[@gannon5409]

Garage is Old news… I hope 😂

[@phillloyd2519]

Absolute bolloxks The Tories are going to get hammered

[@DrMontague]

replace the tories with the tory labour party. The mega rich have absolutely nothing to worry about!

[@DarrenJamiesonJamieson]

I am not allowed to change my vote (will still be held to account to The Tories), and all councils are saying that I am not allowed to be housed because I have no family connection of which there is no such law, but they're are laws against foreigners, who are all claiming that they are persecuted and are part of my family (Fabrege included)?

[@MattWhite-vh6xh]

Neil's assessment is a million miles away from Electoral Calculus' poll of polls. It predicts Labour on 485 and the Tories on 66 seats...a handful more than the Lib Dems. Farage has killed the right wing.

[@carlrudland5938]

Like they did at THAT party during lockdown?! 🙃

[@hermanmunster3358]

Yeah they will, and they deserve it. But if people vote LieBour, then it is WE who will "Get Hammered" They haven't been an effective opposition, because there has been nothing for them to oppose. Because the Tories have pretty much mirrored LieBour policies, which has WRECKED this country. So a vote for LieBour, is a vote for more of the same. That is why I will be voting for Fresh Blood, I will be voting Reform.

[@MackerelCat]

The difference with 1997 is that people were excited for Blair’s government. People are not exactly thrilled about Starmer’s labour beyond being happy to be rid of the torys.

[@tomnorton7817]

I think there is a quiet and large chunk of the country who are centrists and who are quite looking forward to sane government (myself included).

[@MackerelCat]

@@tomnorton7817 sane is relative.

[@tomnorton7817]

@@MackerelCat well that's true enough. But Labour will be a pretty steady hand on the tiller. Have to see how emboldend they feel when in gov...

[@gareth2736]

On the other hand John Major was a better prime minister than the recent Tory ones.

[@Geffo555]

@@MackerelCat How sane is it to pass legislation that allows the water companies to pump out sewage? Labour will soon put a stop to that.

[@jefflayton153]

Raise taxes on the rich and wealthy? Don’t threaten me with a good time

[@keithstokoe42]

“Don’t threaten me with a good time” lol. I like that.

[@DarrenJamiesonJamieson]

We need somebody to take the blame for everything.

[@dragonfly6908]

The basic annual wage for an MP is just over £90,000, lol.

[@DarrenJamiesonJamieson]

Do they need DBS Checks, proof of residency, CSCS Cards, bills with home address on it to apply for the job?

[@jimthompson9370]

Are you jealous?

[@andrewlane8949]

will never forget there parties over covid a disgrace

[@stuberry1875]

If the Tories have more than 100 I’ll be very disappointed.

[@Mrcheekymonkeyisback]

There would be a revolt and id see it as a rigged election at that point

[@robertford532]

When the dimlows are saying the Torys are finished, they are finished. Less then 100 seats.

[@ronharris7335]

Vote Reform

[@matthewrice3432]

​@@ronharris7335😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@johnnyboy1014]

I predict Reform will do very well. Remember how we were told brexit would never win? Underestimate the working class in the UK at your peril...

[@hertor8803]

But the voting method is different. A GE is first past the post not a referendum. I predict that reform will get many votes but will have fewer than 5 MPs.

[@TalesOfWar]

@@hertor8803 This is exactly why one of their election pledges is to introduce proportional representation voting.

[@drc4563]

Speaking as a lifetime supporter that has predicted this for a while. The Conservatives own this. They have prioritised short term fixes, being popular and noble virtue signalling policies that the leader likes but which will do nothing to address the UK’s fundamental problems (relative GDP/capita and productivity falling, size of teh state and tax burden rises without any commensurate improvement in the quality or availability of public services for teh most part). The lack of policies and randomness of them (national service - really?) sums it up. They have no cohesive political narrative and have run out of gas. They lack ministerial talent and have run themselves into the ground….this is worse than 1997.

[@CaptainFearless1]

all correct and i have never seen such an underwhelming, talentless cabinet who all seem to have woeful, car crash interviews every time...lets hope that will all change on the 4th july

[@supereliptic]

The last point you make in particular is 100% correct. The lack of talent. I don’t think I’ve ever seen such a pronounced case of political ‘brain-drain’ in a party as I have now, and of course much of it is down to the shambolic performance of Boris Johnson who drove out all the experienced, moderate Tories in 2019 and replaced them with Brexit ‘luminaries’ like Anne Widdicombe…

[@georgesotiriou7051]

The day the referendum was called the snowball started rolling. The right wing loonies took over eventually instead of being silenced and now the party is faced with oblivion. It's almost poetic that Farage is coming back to finish them.

[@AvtarDhillon]

Well done

[@sugarfree1894]

"Being" popular? Trying, more like. Quite poorly.

[@CommodoreVic20]

"The tories might win, you can never rule it out" Yes, yes you can 😂😂

[@JohnEboy73]

I doubt the next Tory PM isn't even an MP yet...

[@TheGreenManFJ]

Not born yet

[@DarrenJamiesonJamieson]

We could all just stand there blaming the pink flamingo.

[@davidallen561]

Probably right. Is there true leadership anywhere?

[@apollonia-ava]

The next tory pm could be Farage 😱

[@DarrenJamiesonJamieson]

Tories out.

[@DarkhorseSJ]

They dont need to spend MORE on the NHS, they need to spend MORE WISELY. It's so top heavy as an organisation, money WASTED all over the place. It's so bad. I know because I work within the organisation. Far too many middle-managers that add literally nothing to the service. Too much waste.

[@lynnbarsby7356]

Exactly

[@Geffo555]

Not using the NHS as a means to channel money to Tory donors might help.

[@billinnes96]

Well said.

[@mahon257]

And the rich will get richer. Even under labour.. meanwhile the middle class shrinks to nothing.. and no one in power sees the connection...

[@dragonfly6908]

True, the middle income earners will be hammered to pay for "the benefit claimants" and "the new arrivals".

That class thing is dead.....can we try another direction.

[@FunnyBunny-pd5xx]

"That class thing...." SO, WHY the Labour Policy of VAT on Private Schools ?

[@tompage8674]

Thanks Gary

[@FunnyBunny-pd5xx]

@@dragonfly6908 AND The financial and military support for Ukraine ! January 2024 PM RS gives Pres. Z £2.5 billion. Whilst up to FOUR MILLION children are going to bed feeling hungry almost every night time.

[@MrDarrenp40]

Johnson, Truss, the handling of Covid, the Moane ppe scandal, Brexit, they are all still relatively fresh in the mindset and these things leave a bad taste in the mouth. Yes, we love our freedom and our democracy and our oftentimes kind hearted and generous disposition as a nation but now it is hammer time. It is time for change albeit where this will take us …. nobody yet knows.

[@susannamarker2582]

What does a hard-left lawyer llike Starmer know about market economics ? Rishi has done a very good job on inflation, with the B of Eng, of course.

[@DarrenJamiesonJamieson]

Its alright. The english are used to being slaves. Pink Flamingo.

[@Geffo555]

@@susannamarker2582 Hard left? Seriously?

[@susannamarker2582]

@@Geffo555 Yes. Read some history.

[@susannamarker2582]

@@Geffo555 Starmer is a Blair disciple. He is a confirmed communist. At the end of the 1980s, Starmer joined the Haldane Society, at a time when everyone knew it was a cover organisation for the british communist party, the old CP. He's not telling us half of his plans, just like Blair did not. Remember Blair's raid on private pension funds in his 1st term ? That was not in New Labour's manifesto in 97. Nor was taking hereditary peerage out of the Lords. These were concealed. Starmer is a Blair disciple.

[@clearspira]

I am definitely with Andrew where he says that Labour's lead probably will not be as high as the polls are forecasting. I mean, hey, anything's possible. But 198 just seems far too high imo. 80-100 is far more reasonable but that is just my opinion.

[@patrickmccutcheon9361]

He seems to ignore the possibility of a surge by Reform who could be the second party in terms of votes cast but who will like the LibDems be under-represented by the electoral system that is biased towards Labour and the Tories.

[@davidallen561]

@@patrickmccutcheon9361 Reform was ignored because they will not win a seat, though will take votes from Tories. There will be no surge, if anything as polling day approaches that strong base of Tory voters will react to the possibility of a big Labour victory. The facts are that in the last 20 by-elections Reform UK have contested, they average just over 4% of the vote.

[@TalesOfWar]

The polls are suggesting an even higher majority 2 weeks after this comment, so things can and likely will change again. It's almost like Snuak doesn't want to win with the stunts he's been pulling.

[@valparker1426]

You should be happy, Andrew, 🌹🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇬🇧

[@ErinStephanie-mf2qk]

Whoever wins, for better or worse, Britain is locked on for a revolution. The contradictions in its economy, its politics, its society, are unbridgeable. Something is going to snap.

[@tmsr]

Coming across as a bot there, madam.

[@felawes]

80 Conservative MPs.

[@jonjames7328]

I may well bet a few quid that Reform will poll equal to or better than the Tories. There’s a huge number of the electorate who are no longer represented by either Labour or the Conservatives. Nigel may well give them a voice: no to green taxes, no to high immigration and no to the takeover of our institutions by DEI dogma.

[@davidallen561]

I would take a little less notice of the hype. It's likely to be a huge disappointment to you.

[@john8451]

Poundshop Tories!

[@leftgrrl]

still upset about the conviction eh?

[@felawes]

🇨🇵 Go Marine. Maybe we should rejoin a Far Right EU.

[@adamabbas1487]

No matter how well sunak does, he can't pretend the last 14 years didn't happen. The UK is a mess, even if the stars align, it will be a long time before it gets back to what it was in the late 90s.

[@Quito266]

In the UK overall a majority of people I know are living normal lives and dealing with "up's and down's". What is the "mess" you refer to then, because most of us cannot name it . You might also note that most European Countries are in the very same position as the UK. Perhaps Covid and The Ukraine War have affected economies worldwide (Covid cost Countries Billions), these are once in a lifetime events that were not predictable. Just saying. Anyone thinking The Labour Party will do better may want to think again.

[@MattVF]

A long,long,long time.

[@TalesOfWar]

@@Quito266 People said the same about Labour before they won a landslide in 1997. And as their campaign song went, things did actually get better. A lot better, for a lot of people. Not just the super rich as has been the case under the Tories.

[@timcampbell2183]

Reform will surprise many..I feel the Brexit surge arising again

[@Isleofskye]

Nationwide results of last night's Election Debate involving 7 Parties:- 1st NIGEL FARAGE: Reform; 58% 2ND Penny Mordaunt : : Tories=17% 3rd Angela Rayner: Labour =10% with the other 4 parties sharing the remaining 15% including Daisy Cooper: Liberal Democrats=3%...

[@Geffo555]

Brexit is about as popular as a turd in a swimming pool.

[@timcampbell2183]

@@Geffo555 A. Because it's not really Brexit but in name only B. You NEVER wanted to break from the EU to begin with

[@leftgrrl]

@@timcampbell2183 we all know that every brexit possible would be excused away as "not the real brexit" because the 'good for Britain' brexit is impossible.

[@JackGreen-gh6sw]

My labour vote is going to reform

[@nobull9541]

What a waste.

[@ISuperTed]

I don’t share Andrew’s political views but this was a great video. The only part I disagree with is what happens post 4th July. I think Rishi will go immediately (why would he stay) and then there will be an unedifying bun fight for the leadership. I don’t think some will hang back for the following term as Andrew suggests, I think their egos are too big now and it will be a bloodbath.

[@Heatwave9000]

He's off to America, its obvious why else would he hold an election on that specific date?

[@rncbshef84]

As in my previous post, much will depend on Farage

[@well-blazeredman6187]

There are many reasons why the Conservatives are going to lose badly next month. One of them is the shocking state of the party's organisation. (I volunteered a couple of weeks ago and still haven't been mobilised in a constituency that is marginal.) Another is CCHQ's forcing PPCs on local associations - evident this week in the case of the party chairman bravely pushing others aside in his dash for a lifeboat. But the biggest factor will be the ineptitude of Sunak. He should have played it long and spent the remainder of the year doing things with a still sizeable majority. But he called a snap election to avoid a no confidence vote. Damn him!

[@davidallen561]

You're right in that the Tory party's re-build goes beyond just policy. Root and branch they are corrupt and self-serving.

[@user-ps3qk3xl2d]

Economy broke in half in 2008. 2035 ish is when country re-emerges.

[@rhysjaggar4677]

Really? Debt: GDP now around 100% - that's reaching the point that credit ratings start to head precipitously toward junk. No-one wants to pay taxes but just repaying the debt is going to be 5p on income tax. So either you cut the equivalent of 5p on income tax from productive activities of government or you put up taxes and have an irate population on your hands....

[@munkittytunkitty]

How does this sound? Massive Labour victory; Lib Dems as the opposition with 60 or 70 seats; Tories as Party No. 3, only a seat or two behind the Lib Dems; the SNP as Party No. 4 with over 20 seats; Reform UK as Party No. 5 with over 10 seats. Unlikely scenario... but not impossible.

[@mickaparrish]

Any lifelong Conservative voters now must realize that the conservative party they voted for and believed in is GONE, If you believe and want a old style conservatism with old style true conservative values we must vote for the new incarnating of the conservative party vote REFORM.

[@susannamarker2582]

Wrong. Reform wants a Bill of Rights. Any patriotic Brit knows we already have one. Also, an elected Upper House is not more accountable to the people. However, vote Reform if you think it will keep the communist Starmer and one of his MPs out of your constituency. That's a good idea.

[@tompage8674]

Yes it's gone, but reform are exactly the same as the current conservative government, otherwise they wouldn't be stealing so many votes and keep trying to recruit each other.

[@michawill6599]

Update: 53m were eligible to vote of which 46m actually registered. 60% of that, 26m, actually voted, of which 10m for Starmer (2m less than voted Corbyn). So about 20% of those eligible to vote voted for Labour. Buckle up

[@daveyboy7964]

You’re dreaming if you think they’ll only be out for 1 or 2 terms. Try a generation or two. THATS how bad they’ve been.

[@redf7209]

its a testament to how bad they've been that things will continue to get worse for some time and Labour will get the blame for it.

[@rhysjaggar4677]

Could be the 21st century equivalent of the Liberals disappearing to be replaced by Labour early in the 20th?

[@paulfitzpatrick6566]

I’d say, they won’t get back in for at least 20-30 years. People remember how they mismanaged Brexit, how they lied to the populace over the Plandemic, how Truss who was only PM for 6 weeks is now claiming £100k a year pension, how they’ve effed up the NHS, not built the housing they promised, letting in tens of thousands of illegal immigrants in dinghy’s, ruined the economy, the list goes on. The Tories are all 5hitbags & the populace have a long memory.

[@TalesOfWar]

@@redf7209 It always happens. Tories break things, Labour get in and start fixing it, people get bored or forget who broke it then blame them and vote Tory again. Rinse and repeat.

[@EnquiriesSFA]

I thought everything was fine with the Tory party until literally this week when commentators have been saying it’s all over for them. Don’t let this sway. Go out and vote for what matters to you.

[@gregorious123]

why is Neil persisting with the metaphor of 'maxing out the credit card' re: no more money. This is a fundamental misconception about a Government's ability to raise money.

[@sloths-df3gf]

Yes, down the pub that nice man Keir was telling me about the box of magic beans that Grandad Corbyn gave him: apparently, they'll produce magic money trees that will provide Labour with the means to fix everything! Whoopee!

[@christineduffy3113]

That must break bus heart that the party he adores won't win tough luck Andrew

[@anthonykerslake3517]

If labour get in god help the working class

[@rhysjaggar4677]

Starmer is the globalists' chosen man. He's supported genocide in Gaza, he'll support US violence against Russia, he'll try and impose more scamdemics, he's just a typical upper middle class corrupt lawyer that has decided to play the greasy pole game.

[@mick947]

Like the democrats in the US, Clinton got away with more than the republicans could ever of done because he had the trust of the working class, a trust which he betrayed. And Starmer will do the same.

[@razor2ts]

Reform has my vote!

[@leftgrrl]

I didn't know St Petersburg had a seat in the Commons.

[@joeevans2365]

Reform 🫡🇬🇧

[@LeslieOgilvie]

vote for reform, Nigel Farage get your nation back.

[@kboom4464]

He doesn't want to govern. He wants to disrupt and lobby on behalf of his rich right wing friends.

[@richardmurphy4520]

Andrew Neil is a giant of UK politics. Always worth a listen. A canny Scot is he.

[@rhysjaggar4677]

He's not in politics, he's one of the biggest egos in the political commentariat....

[@baumulrich]

Andrew has not acknowledged the disastrous performance of the Tories, forcing neoliberal policies on voters that wanted conservative policies. Reform is the alternative, and under the erratic ensemble of Cameron, May, Johnson, Truss and Sunak, the questionable quintet, the failing five, the turbulent Tories...

[@MikeD-y2r]

As expected he was almost apologetic for the Tories.

[@wolfen210959]

Andrew Neil seems completely unaware that Labour could instantly raise huge sums of taxation, by adjusting the taxation levels on oil and gas companies, the Tories introduced a ridiculous windfall tax, that is almost double for green energy than for fossil fuel. All Labour would have to do is rebalance that tax, job done. Perhaps, even more to the point, is to stop spending money on vanity projects, like Rwanda.

[@dragonfly6908]

I would think the incoming migrants on a beach in France will be ecstatic at the thought of a Labour government. ⛵🚤🚢🛳️🛶

[@TalesOfWar]

@@dragonfly6908 At the thought of being treated like humans with dignity?

[@dragonfly6908]

@@TalesOfWar They are illegal aren't they?.

[@HiveFleetOni]

Out for three terms at least.

[@the0nlytrueprophet942]

Boris was supposed to have a decade minimum with his w

[@Geffo555]

Hopefully forever. I'd be happy with Labour or LIbDem governments.

[@ohdearism]

Tax Andrew Neil and other undeserving rich types with tax dodging offshore schemes.

[@rorykeegan1895]

"Tax dodging" is only possible if politicians write bad tax law. Rest assured the UK has written an awful lot of bad tax law.

[@ohdearism]

@@rorykeegan1895 David Cameron's late father ran one of the biggest schemes.

[@rhysjaggar4677]

@@rorykeegan1895 You seem to think that that was inadvertent....I'm sure the rich have their family lawyers check to ensure that legislation is of a suitably leaky standard......

[@chrisarnold4128]

You are not far off Mr Neil. Opinion polls can be volatile and Tories tend to do better in elections most of the time than the opinion polls portray. I forecast Labour 32-35% Conservatives 23-25% Reform 9-11% I cannot see Reform winning more than 2 seats.

[@heartofoak45]

As a Political Commentator, Neil is first class.

[@staceyskinner666]

The UK is in terminal decline .The only function of a Government is to lessen the gradient of descent ..

[@kevinwatson96]

If Labour raise tax..... That's fine by me.... I live in something called a society. I'm happy to contribute to it

[@jjsmallpiece9234]

Says Andrew from his French home

[@duncanbradshaw8993]

The Tories or Conservatives should change their name to the " Wilderness party. " Will Nige be living at number 10? 🙂

[@nigeldouble4662]

Didn't need any pundit telling me the obvious

[@mpersad]

Andrew Neil, on the money as ever. Btw I'm really enjoying his election show at 1pm on Times Radio, essential listening and way, way better than what's on offer of other channels.

[@alfredpetrie7920]

This ridiculous tribalism them and us two party system is a disaster,you need PR to run a Country by consensus.I can't suffer the petty snobbery in British society,it exists in Scotland also,I know

[@jonathanbender4691]

The conservatives brought all this on themselves, starting with Johnson and then Truss but mainly the idiotic decision to have a referendum on Europe (imo).

[@Geffo555]

@@DazFab_Metalworks The referendum was idiotic because it made the general public make a decision they were not qualified to make. No one really understood the consequences of leaving. And that includes remainers. On top of that, democracy is about making informed choices. The referendum was more of a misinformed choice. How will Brexit work?

[@stephenbarrett8000]

This was three days ago. I bet Andrew, who is a Conservative, was thinking, it would help if Sunak doesn't make any big mistakes in the time left, to avoid total disaster. Well, that didn't age well...

[@bernardj]

I don't understand. In one sentence, he says "the economy is improving" and in the next one "there's no money left" ?

[@danmayberry1185]

"It's much worse than we thought." Place your bets on the date.

[@Isleofskye]

Within one weel of the election. "INDEPENDENT advisors warn that our economic situation is............." lol

[@tinyweegiant4045]

Andrew, you are a clever man, Sir

[@john8451]

Not that clever! For the last 14 years he has supported the political party which is about to go down in flames!

[@alfredpetrie7920]

I would like to see Reform get elected,I would get a right laugh.There are NO easy solutions

[@timtim4603]

We’re taxed too high already

[@Sphere723]

Labour will still have to face the fact that Brexit has fundamentally undermined the UK economy. Input and consumer prices are up and will stay up because it's harder to import things into the UK. Exports are down because it's harder to export to the UK's largest trading partners. Foreign Direct Investment is way way down because the UK is not friendly place to enter the EU market, and not a friendly place to attract workers from the EU. There's not a lot a UK government can do about this. You can't really duplicate the efficiencies of the EU single market without being in the single market. As of last quarter, the UK economy has a GDP 1.7% larger than it's pre-pandemic level. The Eurozone's GDP is 3.4% larger. That sort of gap in economic growth is the new normal, and Labour can't do much about it.

[@TalesOfWar]

This comment just reminded me of when all the Brexiteers were cheering from the roof tops about the Windsor Framework then complained that Rishi wasn't bringing the same kind of benefits to the rest of the UK. The levels of disconnect and ignorance is seriously off the charts.

[@seanmorris5551]

Over for the Tories is the understatement of the 21st century. They are having an absolute plane crash of a campaign. Sunak is going to lose his seat. The humiliation is going be drastic for them in July.

[@JOzzie-u8z]

Biggest win for labour in 100 years

[@jaisriram295]

The problem with Andrew's assessment is that in the current age the public can switch from one party to another in the space of 5 years based on current events and the age of social media...Labour got obliterated in the last election yet are on course to obliterate their opposition in this election

[@davidallen561]

In the space of 5 minutes actually.

[@rhysjaggar4677]

Same thing happened 1966 and 1970 - Labour had a big majority wiped out by Heath.

[@Nice0n3]

Sooo Andrew the tory fanboy just told us all how Labour prefer spending a lot on healthcare, education and other public services as opposed to his boys in the tory party...

[@ashleywilson2072]

Labour will need to create more balance between young and old and between rich and poor. They will probably increase taxes on capital, pensions and the wealthy. But they can't lose the support of big business. So they must tread carefully

[@gdutfulkbhh7537]

You can't get a cigarette paper between 'em. Vote for somebody else.

[@Geffo555]

@@gdutfulkbhh7537 Labour will ditch the absurd Rwanda plan and make the water companies clean up their business. The will also keep us in the ECHR and sort out the NHS. Schools will be properly funded, and the housing problems tackled. The Tories will do nothing. So how are they the same?

[@TalesOfWar]

@@Geffo555 They have to convince themselves that they're all the same in order to not have to admit their side is so objectively inept and terrible. The right wing media have been treading this line for years. They never quite admit their side are terrible, but do so indirectly by claiming the other side are just as bad. It's kind of sad how so many people fall for it.

[@georgethompson453]

Very good analysis especially the comments on Russia and China. We can expect a shock that’s for sure for instance an energy crisis of our own making, a water company going bust or a very major cyber attack.

[@karentye7777]

People have short memories. If we hadn't had the pandemic then Boris would still be Prime Minister. It's easy to forget that many happily lived on Furlough & everyone received help with their energy bills.What would Labour have done? other than force us into longer lockdowns. The biiggest problem for me is allowing almost a million extra people into the country every year, putting an enormous strain on public services & our way of life. More money than ever is being pumped into our failing NHS, just to accomodate the extra people, many of whom breed like rabbits, in 10 years time this will no longer be a christian, law abiding country Be careful what you wish for

[@SamG-py7ej]

Ssshh you aren't supposed to notice

[@carrickrichards2457]

John Major promised consumerist public services: That lead to an unexpected 1992 victory. Growth enabled much more public services, regulatory overhead and statute. Blair accelerated that. After the 2008 crash, it became unaffordable. After Brexit, Covid and Ukraine instead of a return to growth, we had more recession. Public Services (~45% GDP) have now had big cuts.

[@wulla2]

If the Tories suffer a really humiliating defeat, it will be much worse for them than Labour’s defeat in 2019. Two reasons: 1. The Tory party on the ground is dominated by elderly people, and has minuscule support among the young. There’s little support now for the traditional view that voters necessarily get more right wing as they get older. 2. Tory support from donors and big backers in business and the media is dependent on their being seen as the ‘successful’ party of government. It’s not based on any great love for this dysfunctional and frankly rather unattractive group of people.

[@rncbshef84]

I'm definitely in the number one category

[@rhysjaggar4677]

As the Labour Party has been wet Tories for 27 years, you don't need to get more right wing and leave the Labour Party, you can get more right wing and run the Labour Party....

[@mervynriley3531]

I'm sure Neil will write his articles in the Mail supporting Labour after the election.

[@barnabycauwood3983]

This is a classic case of copium

[@ronharris7335]

Labour is no longer a working class party, Vote for the party that represents the ordinary people,Reform.

Neither Conservative or Labour are fit for purpose, I just want a change and shall vote reform, we need to completely change the political landscape, a hostile change over could happen, I hope it does.

[@alanfrost4661]

It was over when we got an unelected Indian in the top seat

[@DS9TREK]

Remove the Indian part and I agree

[@LordWalsallian]

He was born and raised in Britain…thus he’s British. I understand different skin colours scare racists like you but you don’t have to be white to be British 🙄

[@MorakAyeni]

It was over when we got an unelected pm

[@pauls7803]

He was elected by the Tory leadership process and the people of Richmond. This is how it works.

[@LordWalsallian]

@@pauls7803 He was NOT elected by the Tory Members…and they’re all the count in a Leadership Election. The Parliamentary Party wanted him.

[@cliffordentwistle2885]

Andrew is always a man worth listening to.

[@rhysjaggar4677]

He's a man who listens electronically to many who have not consented to him doing so....

[@leftgrrl]

Yes. If he says it'll be sunny you know to take an umbrella.

[@danmayberry1185]

And the parting on the left Is now parting on the right ..

[@jeffsimon9594]

Exactly

[@hendrikjanriesebos1293]

Get on your knees and pray then.

[@anonUK]

Meet the new boss(es)...

[@desmondhull5778]

At least all the lies and corruption and looking out for the big corporates and banks will end when Labour gets elected,14 years of misery.

[@barbaraarndt5293]

Reform is NOT a party. This outfit is registered as Reform Ltd. Take note. Tice is the paymaster.

[@gdutfulkbhh7537]

I think it's a useful protest vote for people who feel that the Tories have lost their way, but can't stomach the lefties.

[@Wolf-hh4rv]

Only people who will stop immigration

[@jondonnelly3]

🎉🎉🎉 Let's party.

[@rhysjaggar4677]

If the constitution says that only Tice and Farage choose all the candidates, that will become a millstone if they ever get to critical mass. It's fine as a start-up, but systems need to evolve in the party grows via electoral success.

[@LAMF24]

Get ready for those tax hikes!

[@thegrandmuftiofwakanda]

Last chance to save Britain. This is the final call. Vote Reform.

[@leftgrrl]

Well which one do you want us to do.

[@thegrandmuftiofwakanda]

@@leftgrrl You're too late.

[@shaneheff5244]

Neil moved to France. Why would he care.

[@PD-uc5st]

Vote REFORM. WE ARE TERRIFYING THESE DELINQUENTS WE CAN DO THIS IF WE STAND FOR DECENCY. A VOTE FOR LABOUR IS FOR ISLAM.

[@Geffo555]

Labour are pro gay rights and pro women's rights. So how does that work?

[@PD-uc5st]

@Geffo555 I hear you however they would push anything to get elected. My son Is gay but that does not mean anything. Labour pushes Islam & mass immigration. Islam is Satanic it is not a religion of peace. They want to destroy Christianity. Mass immigration does nothing for us. 70% of male Muslims are on benefits. 80% of Muslim women are also. The illegal immigrants are having benefits we pay for thrown at them. Whilst British people can't even get a dentist. Our police are a disgrace. I could go on. But would run out of space.

[@toadinthehole8085]

Excellent

[@kevincheleda3097]

Very insightful- brilliantly clear well thought out predictions.

[@apollonia-ava]

Only thing I disagree with Andrew on is that Sunak will stick around until Sept 😂no he won’t, he’s off the next day if not before. He looks like he wants to be gone already, hates every minute of being here. He’s off to California asap to make even more billions 😂

[@freevent28]

Unusually level headed analysis.

[@Gramsci]

He’s relaxing in the south of France…

[@henrysmith883]

You never know how many terms. Johnson had a massive majority and people thought Labour were finished. Starmer isn’t particularly popular

[@rhysjaggar4677]

I suspect that Starmer will be the Labor equivalent of Theresa May - quietly efficient but not a media-compatible personality....

[@snezdimi6695]

Brexit is the elephant in the room. This brought the Country down and most of the people realised that now. You were a big supporter but now live outside UK.

[@hoztravels2024]

Tax the ultra rich and force companies to pay tax

[@keegan773]

They won’t be forgiven for letting Labour back in through their own incompetence. I will be voting this election and it will be for REFORM.

[@joetotale6354]

Do any of you Tories now question the tenets of your economy doctrines after this calamitous failure over 14 years to either lower taxes, or maintain vital public services, still less boost the nation's prosperity. Surely your paradigm is holed under the water but of course you'll never make that jump. You'd rather sink us all with you by offering a new round of austerity.

[@chrisgarry8456]

Nothing will change until the bank system is reset. No point kicking the ball down the hill again like they did in 2008

[@old.not.too.grumpy.]

What about the stagnant economy and breakdown of public services. While pundits all look at the higher picture;- The public are concerned they can't see a dentist or doctor. The public is ashamed that so many people use food banks The public is embraced about the decline in every high street The public wants affordable homes for younger generations The public wants roads that are safe to drive on The public wants clean beaches and rivers The public wants trains and buses that turn up and run on time The public wants schools to be open and not crumbling with sufficient numbers of teachers. The public want to know that police will turn up if they have been robbed For 14 years, these problems have got worse. The public want a government who do something to turn round the last 14 years of decline

[@DavidHughes-op6zl]

How wonderful to see Andrew Neil commenting on current affairs again, he's been away from public life for too long, always worth listening to, a man of stature. As for Sir Flip‐Flop, aka Kier Starmer, nice, intelligent man but in my view a political pigmy. And Richie Sunack? Not a great PM but a steady leader who steered us brillantly through the pandemic and had the courage to quit the Cabinet headed by the wholly repugnant, horrible, horrible Boris Johnson, the latter a gigantic disgrace to the country with his deeply irresponsable Partygate misbehaviour. Then there's the loony Liz Truss who did horrendous damage to the Economy serving to add to my utter dismay of the Conservatives, their reputation heavily soiled. I'll vote either Greens or Lib Dems.

[@PassiveAgressive319]

Andrew Neil 🤦‍♀️

[@martinvalenti7129]

Bit rich coming from Neil who is a Tory through and through

[@laxeystu8096]

1:12 Johnson had an 80 seats, good enough for two terms certainly one and it has been reversed completely

[@jameshunter7303]

The Tories f’ed about and will now find out. I’m no Labour fan, but there’s no chance I’d vote for the Tories after all their failed pledges. There’s another party now that could actually be a conservative one, and I will be voting for them

[@MJC1124]

Farage has found the money tree!

[@chriselliott726]

Nothing new here. Best toddle off back to GB News Andrew.