Are Polls Trustworthy?

[@akilon996]

Short answer: No Long answer: Ask Hillary LMAO

[@lewisturner5362]

She said she won the popular vote by roughly what the polls were saying.

[@akilon996]

@@lewisturner5362 The purpose of polls are to predict the outcome of the election. Guess what? It didn’t.

[@lichesbrew]

@@akilon996 uhh no that's not what the purpose of polls is; polls are supposed to tell you roughly what percentage of the vote each candidate is supposed to get. If you predict a candidate is going to get 60% of the vote and they win by only getting 50.1% then the poll is still inaccurate

[@Randomdive]

@@filteredacapella It's not 50-50, it's 10-90.

[@racecar9910]

😆😆😆

[@ScriptedMatt]

0:17 A poll to see if polls are accurate haha

[@Mellowyellow8888]

U might as well just run a census.. that's a poll . Just a poll of everyone..

[@CloutChaser-lg8bo]

Just because the Democrats are losing😂

[@pr0xZen]

Statistically speaking, 80% of statistics are wrong. The remaining 30% of statistics are perfectly correct every time, although 90% of statistics are dubious or shoddy at best.

[@Mellowyellow8888]

@@pr0xZen wrong.. your poll is as good as how it was designed to sample and what error you expect.. no poll is full proof . Ie.factory quality control is a poll . Impossible to qc everything.. but u can say.. based on whatever error I want I need to randomly sample z number of items before I can validate if I truly only have less than a percentage of faulty items. Things like that work. Human polls about opinion are totally different matter .. theres usually too many things to account for.

[@Mellowyellow8888]

@@pr0xZen also. I should note.. you go to vegas and u see the odds at the craps or blackjack table.. which is statistics.. I don't think 80% of the time those statistics for the odds are wrong..

[@stephenfoster1196]

The best poll will be on November 3rd....oh, and it’s free.

[@OopsFailedArt]

Yup only costs hundred of thousands of tax payer dollars.. haha

[@jdhogfan]

@@OopsFailedArt instead of the 10 million that KIllary Spent in 2016... sounds like a steal.

[@bogodoyandex9654]

no, you can go to vote now .no need to wait november 3rd

[@stephenfoster1196]

@@OopsFailedArt 100's of thousands or $34.5 Billion...i

[@OopsFailedArt]

@@stephenfoster1196 haha your pick

[@FateFreeman]

When your Legit first piece of information to see how accurate polls are is a poll about polls.

[@joycemesa4539]

There's a poll of polls, never ever heard of it?

[@classified150]

That's meta

[@TKUA11]

Just goes to show you that these polls are a joke .

[@日蚀-d1h]

Panzer video.parler.com/7V/Zq/7VZqjiROZzmb.mp4 💥💥💥Hunter Biden's call recording! It proves that Joe Biden fully knew and participated in Hunter's series of collusion with the CCP.

[@jackbarbey]

It’s a poll on the public’s perception of polls, not on the true accuracy of polling. Not that hard to understand tbh

[@lilin1978]

Pollster industry will be dead after this election, if Trump wins - Frank Lutz. I agree with you Frank and time to look for another job.

[@peterkennedey9869]

I hope CNN chris cumo gets fired for his lies!

[@sergiotorres6202]

Ask Hillary

[@economixxxx]

Crooked Shillery Rotten Clinton

[@TKUA11]

@Marie Marie do you reallt think you can blame one president for a worldwide virus? Trump can’t even do much about the virus; the governors are the ones who hold the real power. Even if he messed up on the virus he is still a lot better than that dog faced pony soldier geriatric

[@4nlimited3dition_4n3d]

​@@TKUA11 He forgot to implement the federal response and also destroyed the Pandemic Response Team that Obama left him.

[@4nlimited3dition_4n3d]

@HorizonGaming791 Fauci has to also dance around with his words carefully, since Trump would just fire him if he directly called the guy the orange idiot that he is.

[@johnwinchester6934]

@@4nlimited3dition_4n3d You do know it was your leftist mayors and governors that killed thousands of elderly patients after sending covid patients into nursing homes. Trump let the states decide what was best for their state. I know you wish he would have become the dictator you people keep calling him and take over, but he let you destroy yourselves.

[@NealB123]

The only poll that matters is the ballot box on election day.

[@namaaniao6300]

*CORRECT !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!*

[@WOODSLD80]

Not when you win the popular vote but lose because of the EC

[@leehyunsong7001]

No the only that matter is the people count your vote.

[@Carterthielftw_]

@@leehyunsong7001 ok?

[@jfranco5569]

@@WOODSLD80 Its democracy between each state. The electoral college keeps democracy and is based on what the people in each state vote. So it stills matters, even if the popular vote goes against it.

[@MrChuckSigler]

Polls are meant to ~shape~ people’s opinions NOT reflect them

[@audimaster5000]

I’m not sure that’s very common- at least with the circle of folks I know. Would that really work with such a political thing anyhow?

[@talkindurinthemovie]

Nah

[@TKUA11]

@Aditya Ingole isn’t that what u guys said during the midterms? And it was more like a blue puddle as both houses of Congress just traded hands. Go count trump to Biden sitns

[@contrarian84]

Rush Limbaugh

[@arthurfonzarelli9828]

@Aditya Ingole which proves they're horrific because the United States isn't represented by three major cities despite the fact a large portion of people live there. The bottom line is that's not how you win an election you have to hit individual states. The strategy of just getting the most votes is about something a third grader would do

[@SourBogBubble]

Nope, with them saying Biden leads Texas.😂🤣😭😂🤣 was all the proof I needed to confirm my suspicions.

[@faithfullyfaith199]

Isnt Texas a flip state right now? I dont think it will happen but maybe right now he is in the lead.

[@beardedrogue4282]

@@faithfullyfaith199 Texas is very right leaning. Only a few areas are democratic and with Biden killing the oil industry I don't see it happening.

[@faithfullyfaith199]

@@beardedrogue4282 I don't see it happening either. I just think it's going to be closer than in the past years because so many more people are voting.

[@jasonmartinez9051]

0:14. A poll of a polls!!! Ha ha ha ha! :D

[@aarondederich586]

Think the problem went over their heads...

[@RTOneZer0]

Only NBC can think of that.

[@racecar9910]

I trust Polish people more than political polls and I don't even know anyone from Poland.

[@redghost3170]

Not true. I voted for Mr. Poll last Tuesday.

[@ws2228]

👍🎯🤣

[@kylelee3277]

We finally see how untrustworthy the Media is.

[@IHeartNoise]

I learned that when Bowling Green happened. No one, not one source talked about the tragedy.

[@barabbashaifamilitia3115]

the US media tells people muslims will wave rainbow flags and install transgender bathrooms in mosques. Idiot USA democrats believe it

[@henk-3098]

@@barabbashaifamilitia3115 that's a straw man argument. Go away with this nonsense.

[@volumelow]

Trump 2020. I am an Asian born American who wants to make America great again!

[@TheRealAbrahamLincoln]

We will find out in 8 days...

[@eaglesniper4263]

6

[@itzrudy872]

5

[@o-o2399]

@@itzrudy872 4

[@ke4827]

@choppa on fn 2

[@yooooooooooooooo696]

1

[@newsviewsreaction2156]

When do these polls happen I never got polled by these so called accurate result givers

[@shubhamsuryawanshi108]

So I am.not only one

[@TheVideomaker2341]

Short answer: No

[@gleitsonSalles]

Another one who does not know statistics.

[@SandmanFromNJ]

@@ava8147 We will see November 3, 2020. If Trump wins, will the poll be considered real? Lol

[@benji4037]

@@gleitsonSalles Anybody who actually knows anything about statistics would know you can manipulate them easily.

[@ranelgallardo7031]

@@SandmanFromNJ What about the 2018 midterm elections. Those were mostly right.

[@barabbashaifamilitia3115]

Trump is slightly ahead (= plenty ahead) in Ohio, that is the key poll

[@whyomgwhywtf]

Before watching. No.

[@kerzariz8717]

All the results that led to Trump's Victory were within the Margin of Error

[@jordansims9162]

@@kerzariz8717 i remember pollsters calling that margin of error a landslide, blue wave, win for hilary

[@kerzariz8717]

@@jordansims9162 I remember it was the Media hyping her chances up and not the actual poll. I remember Trump leading two Points a few weeks before the election. And I remember the Polls tightening a few days before the Election. I also remember the Republican October Surprise wherein Clinton was announced to be investigated by the FBI. And I also remember the Wikileaks release of the DNC Cheating. Are there any Scandals on Biden? The Hunter Scandal? Seems pretty benign to me, not as big as Killary's Corruption.

[@jeremygibbs7342]

@@kerzariz8717 so they accurately, inaccurately predicted the election. Good on them. It seems the polls did what they do best. Guess. Pretty amazing prediction technology.

[@danielbulgarelli935]

Doesn’t even talk about if they are trustworthy just talks about polling. Misleading title

[@weyes8175]

Errr, how about the ‘is the data reliable?’ part?

[@FinancialShinanigan]

Sure but they influence voters to go vote harder or relax changing the next poll and the election outcome

[@aarondederich586]

"to go vote harder"

[@dkyelak]

That's why polls should be ignored. Just vote for your candidate.

[@bigrooster6893]

I have a lot of friends and family members in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin who say their voting for Biden when pollsters call them but all of them are voting for President Trump.

[@TheBooban]

Why do they do that?

[@sachin1st555]

I'm Indian American voting for TRUMP ... Polls says Indian American r not voting for Rep. but it's wrong in this election more nd more Indian community and Black people r voting for Trump ..m

[@omg_cHOi]

The answer is no, I've saved you time.

[@polakhomie]

much obliged

[@robertsalita232]

4:50 the revenues are not listed in order, but are talked about as if they are

[@MoneyGist]

Exactly. I was wondering how Kantar was #4. But I guess the list was in order of popularity in the US, not in order of revenue.

[@Tuntira]

@@MoneyGist Worked like the 2016 election!

[@sergioflores985]

No because you’re only polling Democrats. Latinos for Trump!!

[@nagraj2k1]

I’m not even American and even I know a Latino voting for trump is only a bit better than a Jew voting for hitler

[@sergioflores985]

@Ryan Falla where you from? It would be nice to start deporting you first.

[@josephsprecher9462]

No they are not trust worthy we saw what happened GO VOTE 🗳

[@Castillobusy]

vote RED

[@goatimus6676]

Vote nothing their all Down with New Order

[@josephsprecher9462]

@@Castillobusy why I’m sorry I ain’t living another 4 years of this Biden 2020 he actually has a plan unlike Trump who all he talks about is hunter who is not running for president

[@rogeliosoto6953]

@@josephsprecher9462 so you want a president in office that has a crackhead son. Who has been to rehab for his cocaine addiction. Who was kicked out of the navy due to testing positive for cocaine. If you have the right to vote for who you want but i would not vote for a man with a family like that. A man that would send all american jobs overseas. A man who cant decide whether he is going to ban fracking or not, who thinks he is entitled to the minority vote. Nah no thanks.

[@Castillobusy]

@@josephsprecher9462 yeah with corruption and no, I’m sick of socialism, I come from Venezuela and I have seen what the corruption looks like

[@joo02]

The answer is no. If you look at 2020 elections counts and drill down to each states, there is a definite and clear differences in votes from large city area and more rural area. If polls don’t mix up the population properly presenting the whole population, it will always result in skewed analysis

[@robertmoore8654]

I lie on polls all the time.

[@cypothingy]

Why? What good does that do anyone?

[@timothyday9597]

Haha I do too. I told one company I’d be voting for Biden (I voted for Trump)

[@StrainsYT]

Vote Libertarian. Let's get it. 💪

[@lazygamer4746]

I don't trust anyone or anything. It's too dangerous to trust these days.

[@inthrutheoutdoor5849]

Don't forget ... many, many people did not like Hillary.. and trump was new to the scene.Now we know how badly trump failed and it time to move on.. Whole different election this time.

[@robertmoore6881]

About as trustworthy as your network is CDNC 😂

[@habibbialikafe339]

i see ppl in the comments clearly didnt watch the video lol

[@dkyelak]

Who is to say that a lot of people who respond to polls aren't trolling to deliberately skew the numbers- just for fun?

[@mariasiraj1126]

WOW! You've created new job opportunities for trolls who haven't thought of it😂😂

[@jeremygibbs7342]

Exactly

[@Kehvan]

Nope... I've never known a republican who's been polled... ever.

[@ranelgallardo7031]

Yeah cause Republicans don’t win elections and don’t lead in an election.

[@FiremanBrian2010]

Not when you dominantly poll democratic areas to skew the numbers lol....

[@josiahcliffton826]

Laughs in 2016 lmfao Trump 2020

[@dkyelak]

This all seems to assume respondents are being honest.

[@worldofsports4426]

Only trust statistics, you made yourself 😉

[@bruh-fn5dh]

Polls are statistics. Polls are Mathematical random sampling that resemble the population parameter as accurately as possible. But not all random samples are accurate samples

[@barabbashaifamilitia3115]

@SEC Securities and Exchange Commission Accuracy determined by the lying media.

[@matthewevans5486]

@SEC Securities and Exchange Commission people will lie to a random pollster but how many people who won't vote for someone will pound that person's name into the land in front of there house?

[@matthewevans5486]

@SEC Securities and Exchange Commission you don't think you can lie about your opinion? Are you for real?

[@FAITHandLOGIC]

Polls have gotten more accurate? Cool story bro. Marist had Gillum up by 7 in 2018. He lost. Trafalgar group was the only one to get the electoral votes 100% accurate and they're rated C- 😆

[@Classof2020]

Margin of error?

[@tomh6667]

What an idiotic question. A poll is neither trustworthy nor untrustworthy. They are what they are. If people can't interpret them correctly then that's not the fault of the poll. If they're poorly designed then that's the fault of the pollster. If they are "wrong" (which is to say that they predict one thing and something else happens) then that goes back to people not being able to actually understand or interpret them correctly. A poll has not only a margin of error but also typically has a statistical deviation of any predictions that come out of it. Sometimes when something is 75-25, the 25% chance comes through. In fact, it comes through about 1/4 of the time... that's an awful lot of the time.

[@SuperEightball1]

About as much as the BS media -0-

[@stacyfoote9032]

Only if people actually vot so VOTE!!!

[@phoolishbwoy]

I trust Facebook and KZbin likes and dislike bar more than these polls. And we have trolls here.

[@celest13u60]

Who’s getting more votes?

[@ChrisCa1601]

This didn't age well.

[@riothememer2029]

Not First

[@joostiscool100]

Imagine being the last comment before yt is shut down lol

[@dkyelak]

Ignore the polls. Vote.

[@bravodad62]

This was a damn joke...

[@manny7886]

The answer is NO. When I answered surveys, I answer the exact opposite of what I'm going to do.

[@mclilzenthepoet2331]

But why

[@itstomatogear6806]

First

[@noobLOL77]

Think polls are flawed because people less connected to technology from my experience tend to vote trump

[@liamnoname6662]

Lack of an educational tool. The internet is a resource, you're correct

[@AZsportshut]

Simple answer: no

[@wetbubbles1538]

I miss Ronald Reagan

[@justakitty6372]

A couple days before the 2020 Nov. election, on Conservative Talk Radio, the guest was a Republican who was running for re-election and was behind in the polls by 2 or 3 points. The host asked him if he were worried and he said he was not worried because he knew that Republicans lie to pollsters and so he knew that he was still golden if he were only behind by 2 or 3 points.

[@beentrill8492]

Uh no of course not

[@w2385-i2s]

just don't poll

[@holidays7198]

Nope they are not

[@RealShaktimaan]

Silent Majority

[@Kloverhendrix]

In short terms.. no.

[@mrhickman53]

A major problem with the whole discussion of statistics is the failure to distinguish between intentional and unintentional bias. I am not a statistician but have worked with quality engineers to endeavour to take unintentional bias out of sampling methods, especially those requiring human input. It is not easy. I can hear efforts in the video to reduce unintentional bias and one reference to what intentional bias may sound like. I did not hear, though I should probably listen again, any attempt to distinguish the two forms of bias. I feel that appreciating the difference is important for a consumer of polling data.

[@seestuff09]

Bingo! Most of the polls over sample democratic leaning people and then point that it validates their opinion. It’s the bias of the media and universities towards the left. They hope is discourages the right to stay home as the end is a forgone conclusion

[@mrhickman53]

@@seestuff09 I was talking about the possible presence of unintentional bias even what is intended to be unbiased data. The subject you wish to discuss is a totally different matter. In order to start a discussion I would need to review your evidence of the oversampling you allude to. A properly-designed poll should avoid such oversampling. That is the whole purpose of designing a poll rather than just picking up a clipboard and hitting the street.

[@vanya1290]

i have read this as "are poles trustworthy?"))

[@celest13u60]

Trump 2020

[@MsHashy420]

No, the answer is no lol

[@democraticnazi135]

No

[@prashanttayshetye8469]

It is funny how business channels create distrust in the system. The way forward is to vote with all your might!

[@judgedreddhd]

No.

[@clubberlang110]

Liberals and their polls! LOL

[@overkill666100]

I trust poles, I mean why shouldn’t I if the dancer does?

[@spencertickle3298]

Save yourself 14 pointless minutes and watch the media meltdown from 4 years ago for the real answer

[@alejandrotoruno4636]

So the people who make the polls had a poll to see if people believed in polls and now we must believe those polls...? Seems legit

[@JC-lh7vc]

Simple answer, no.

[@misterjay4236]

Before a poll can be considered trustworthy, it should be shown that it is not substantially biased. In the case of presidential election polls, it should be shown that the political party distribution of those sampled (Republican/right-leaning independent, Democrat/left-leaning independent) does not deviate from that of the overall population (i.e. higher proportion of left-leaning people in the sample than that in the actual population).

[@ephan3338]

Please, people don't be like the media. If You want to be treat fairly then you should do the same to our president. Do your research before you judge him. Thank you Vietnamese for Trump

[@aarondederich586]

Hello this is... cnn... Click Hello this is... abc... click Hello this is... cbs... click Hello this is... nbc... click Hello this is fox, do you have time for a po... Click

[@AverageJoe483]

Allow me to answer ! Clears throat*** : Nope!

[@guitarexpert2245]

The only poll i like is when a woman is using it to dance.

[@generalgrievous6179]

bruh

[@nicolas_sch]

Please go out and vote for Trump! He needs your vote more than he ever did before. It really is one of the most important elections there ever were. Your voice matters! #Trump2020

[@cesargalindo1302]

I am Catholic apóstolic roman, but I wont vote for a False Prophet that silent 8 mistresses' abortions! I used to be Republican. Not anymore my friend!!

[@cesargalindo1302]

Biden2020

[@cloudyinc.7788]

I mean to be fair national polls were accurate about Hillary about leading in votes they were just upsets in a few states where trump won with like less then 0.5% vote lol

[@michaelbethea2543]

Of 100 million registered voters in the United States...how many were polled. If you asked ONE MILLION people, that's 1%. Not a good sample.

[@vivachristorey7622]

I've been calling get out the vote calls in Pennsylvania. 4: 1 Trump

[@ifrahroble9077]

Lol 😂 it’s majority Biden in Pennsylvania!!

[@joshuas.686]

@@ifrahroble9077 It was majority Hillary in 2016. She had a 70% chance of winning. What happened? The conservatives got home from work and voted

[@FAITHandLOGIC]

@@ifrahroble9077 Says who? The polls?

[@r.j.9683]

Ignore the polls. Vote. Vote. Vote 💙💙💙. 👍 (Friday +99,321 new cases, +971 deaths. Covid!)

[@tivmego]

🤣🤣🤣 Polls are right. Trump has lost. Democrats win. All the early tuen out is for Biden 🤣🤣

[@Paranoid_Found]

4:47 It looks like CNBC made a mistake. Kantar’s and Gartner’s revenue is $3.8B and $3.4B, respectively. Cartner is ranked third while Kantar is somehow ranked fourth? Same with IRI and Ipsos

[@oldschoolguy80s]

Paying people to poll in person would give a better data result and a larger turnout. For example a $5 meal, shopping coupon, free Calling minutes.... Hence, more accurate margin.

[@hienmango]

We still need to address why one vote in a less populated state has more weight than one vote in a more populated state. If we only count the popular vote, Biden would surely win. And we wouldn’t need to conjecture.

[@sjoneil]

They're probably as accurate as they were in 2016 just ask President Clinton. By the way, Happy Birthday Hillary and CONGRATS Supreme Court Justice ACB!

[@fred_nEckerson]

Republicans are more apt to not tell the truth while answering a poll. I'm voting for Biden but GO TRUMP!!!!!

[@radkovicbe]

Shock! Surprise! Pollsters think their job is valuable! Australia has compulsory voting, we aren’t totalitarian. Ignorant comments like that are below the standard I expected.

[@straybits7375]

So, I guess Belgium is totalitarian state. Compulsory Voting is NOT a sign of totalitarianisms. 'Idea/practice of poling as the sign of democratic health' is called election, and NOT the bogus polling you guys are doing.

[@PositivelyKush]

You don't have to look at the polls. Just look at the statistics of early voting. Texas has 80% of the vote that they got in 2016 already. Maine has 43% of the vote already. Other states are quickly shattering records.

[@grantwebster8157]

I have spoken to 6 Americans friends and former colleagues about their voting intentions , all 6 are involved in business producing things or in businesses selling to people producing things in 2016 2 voted Trump 4 voted Hillary 2020 5 say they are voting Trump and one now working in the uk has made a decision not to vote. 3 say they hate Trump but they fear the impact of New Democratic policies on business more than they hate Trump. A common theme is the attitude and aggression of friends neighbours and family working in education, health .government , media etc etc etc who hate Trump. As one friend said ' just hold your nose and vote Trump' Rather than talk college educated and non , should you not be looking at business people who perceive that they could be badly affected by Democrat policies and white collar service industry people that concentrate on Trumps style. P.s. Business is the economic driver of America service industry rides on the back of , perhaps you should speak to business people and LISTEN. 😀

[@JamesJansson]

At 13:02 Patricia Moy incorrectly says that countries where you are forced to vote are totalitarian regimes. I can tell you right now, Australia's mandatory voting system with preferential (1-2-3-4 numbering) voting is much, much better and ultimately more democratic than the USA's.

[@lychi1965]

Final comment, countries with 100% voting are totalitarian states? I generally find this is NOT the case in Australia where voting for federal elections are compulsory. Not commenting on the US system, just that the final comment was a bit over generalized. But her point is valid in that you don't need to sample 100% of the population, but in statistics there is generally a minimum sample size before data is consider statically meaningful, plus you assume random sampling as well.

[@stevooliver3877]

Ok who would most likely take a poll or do a survey in the mall...most reps don't take polls & don't believe in take a survey for chance of a prize.

[@tzywg3399]

Look, poll is (1) snapshots (2) statistcal prediction like any weather forecast. If the forecast says tomorrow 80% chance will rain, I bet bringing an umbrella is not going to hurt.

[@rosedenzel3156]

DON'T TRUST POLLS

[@ChessMasterNate]

They skipped everything people are interested in. We want to know how publishing a poll affects voting. If the poll, for example, says candidate A is winning by 9% in a State does that do more to get more votes out for candidate B or the candidate A? Does doubt in the accuracy of polls change that dynamic, and if so who does that favor? How are these patterns affected by larger or smaller gaps? How many polls are never reported to the public? Should they be required to? How can we stop insincere polling companies just designed to sway voters rather than really getting their untainted opinion? Can we accredit poling companies in some way, and make it fraud for these crooked companies to pretend they are accredited?

[@刘小雨-c1f]

How did she related polling to democratic states. Both Australia and Belgium have compulsory voting. And I would say they not totalitarian states.

[@gg3675]

The notion that places with very high voter turnout are less democratic seems unfounded to me. I might be wrong, but I think France and Australia have mandatory voting, and those places are hardly less democratic than the US.

[@Ezegames_RL]

I'm sorry but the elephant in the thumbnail cant be kept up by that bench. It would be snapped in half in .001 milliseconds