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Investor/entrepreneur George Gammon believes we're headed for a recession. All of the tell-tale signs from the Sahm Rule to the inverted yield curve seem to be there. However, some live callers disagree with Gammon's assessment leading to a lively and fierce debate. Join Josh Jalinski on this very special episode of The Financial Quarterback as he navigates the recent events in the world stock markets and explains what it could all mean for you.
Topics:
Interest Rates as Economic Indicators
George Gammon argues that the 10-year Treasury rate trading at 3.8% indicates current economic sentiment, suggesting that if growth and inflation expectations were higher, the rates would not be at this level.
Yield Curve Dynamics: The discussion explains the significance of the yield curve inversion and its historical accuracy in predicting recessions, emphasizing the difference between bear steepeners and bull steepeners.
Market Reactions: Market participants' actions, such as purchasing long-term Treasuries, reflect their expectations of future economic conditions, including potential recessions, as discussed by Josh Jalinski and others.
Impact of Fiscal Policies: The conversation highlights how fiscal spending and government policies influence economic trends, with debates on whether these measures lead to sustainable growth or merely temporary relief.
Consumer Confidence and Spending: Speakers note that consumer confidence and spending patterns are critical indicators of economic health, with current data suggesting mixed signals about the strength of the economy
Financial Institutions' Behavior: George Gammon argues that financial institutions' reluctance to lend to the real economy, preferring safer investments, indicates a lack of confidence in economic growth.
Investment Strategies: Josh Jalinski and George Gammon share their investment strategies in light of current economic conditions, including purchasing Treasuries and gold, and using call options on the NASDAQ
Not Legal or Tax advice, consult your advisor, and tax attorney. All investments involve risk.
Josh Jalinski serving as a financial advisor for 18 years and owner of Wealth Quarterback LLC for more information www.thefinanci...