ATP TOP TEN PREDICTION 2025 | Monday Match Analysis

[@suryabhamidipati7541]

Thanks - been following your stuff for 6 years now, and no one else I've seen comes close to covering the game as well as you. Hope you continue to grow and happy holidays!

[@EmilyMoyer]

Truth 👆

[@lennardabels4625]

Did he actually spend this big amount of money? Would be crazy, but I’m happy for Gil 😊. He deserves it

[@TennisFreakHD]

@@lennardabels4625 that's like 16 EUR

[@rioollie]

GG is an excellent analyst and communicator. Smart and engaging, charming and humble. What's not to admire.

[@GillGross]

Thank you so much!!

[@DiegoFederer832]

Something to consider is that Djokovic was seeded very high most of last year 2025 he will probably be 8th seed for most of the first few tournaments which will make it tougher for him.

[@aurei44]

You have to factor in a lot of things, that he had a monster 2023, made me think he would fall off a bit like he historically has and he did. This time if not for age I'd think he will replicate an average year, but with age maybe in between or worse. Also that he put it all out to win the gold, this time he will be much more fresh for the hardcourt season and USO.

[@MrLOROXXX-zw5zo]

@@DiegoFederer832 Well, maybe so but if Nole plays anywhere near his level he's still gonna make two or three semis of grand slams and perhaps one or two finals and it wouldn't be a shock if he should win his 25th major. Besides this I expect him to win at least a couple of Masters 1000 and be around the top 5 all year round. The only way this wouldn't happen is if he had very limited play thru choice or injury. Hopefully this won't happen. The time is running out for us to enjoy one of the best (maybe even the best) ever!!! Let's enjoy watching him play as much as we can cuz it will be, unfortunately, over in the near future.

[@markwillcocks7701]

I think the 25th slam is his main goal this year it's going to be tough but I believe he will do it in Melbourne 2025 is his final year for me

[@mariamunroe6861]

Look I have been watching this game for over 40 yrs..., Alcaraz Please just stay healthy, He is a exceptional Athlete/ Superstar..., More People ever watch this game because of Him..., So much fun to watch..., so young still and the fight and hunger is always there.... So even if He not # 1 in rankings, Trust Me he is in Popularity..., Go Carlos Go, I feel blessed to watch this KId....

[@aznpokering4184]

My prediction 1. Sinner 2. Alcaraz 3. Zverev 4. Djokovic 5. Fritz 6. Rune 7. Draper 8. Medvedev 9. Ruud 10. Rublev

[@aurei44]

Fritz so high is a hilarious pick. Reminder he capitalized on home ground USO when majority of players were tired from the olympics. A tilt like player, mentally not focused. Players like Dimi making top 10 is a testament that the field just sucked. He is from the USA. And a guy that lost to 2 injured players, Novak and Rafa on his worst surface where he even pulled out after that win.

[@GaryLyons]

That is a perfectly reasonable prediction

[@yangao2598]

Sinner #1

[@sophieoshaughnessy9469]

Rune hmm🤨

[@LucaS-wu4mi]

Sinner, besides being very strong technically, has something that no one else has: an unreal mental strength. This year he did something unique by calculating how many months he had to train and play, keeping in mind the contamination issue: 99.999% of the players would have collapsed. For these reasons he will confirm himself as number 1

[@krishnaramachandran7722]

If he is so precise with his calculations, why didn't he do it in previous seasons? . Every player works on his weaknesses and if Carlos gets more free points on serve and works on his consistency, he has a massive upside too. He's not going anywhere as is Novak. Novak has a chance at RG and SW 19.

[@scara19]

​@@krishnaramachandran7722Because in late 2022 Sinner changed his team, leaving Piatti and hired Cahill. Than he spend a year to change some technical elements with his new team (the bigger change were in serve, platform to pinpoint). From mid 2023 all these changes start to hit and step by step he become the actual nr.1 in the world

[@LucaS-wu4mi]

@krishnaramachandran7722 What kind of crazy reasoning is yours? "Why didn't he do it before?" Every player has his own maturation times. Sinner was competing in ski races until he was 13, Alcaraz was competing in tennis tournaments at 8.

[@giuliobertoldi5584]

Puoi valutare il rendimento di sinner nei tie break per capire la mentalità che ha....e sfortunatamente per gli altri giocatori non è la sua qualità migliore in campo...vedremo sinner credo al massimo nel 2027

[@Eboe89]

Everyone always underestimates Casper Ruud and he always still ends in the top 10 lmao. I think his second half of this year was greatly affected by his parasite at Roland Garros and then getting sick again in Canada, it seemed like he lost a lot of conditioning for awhile and then losing matches caused him to lose confidence and it became a snowball effect. But he ended pretty well at the ATP Finals and I think he’ll be back on track next year. He actually started 2024 stronger than any year of his career probably and was doing well on hardcourt even.

[@GillGross]

Except for in 2023, when most people, myself included, far overshot his pre-season prediction.

[@Eboe89]

I mean yeah he ended 2023 at #11 but he’s ended top 10 three of the past four years and maybe not you personally but most people were actually saying at the time that 2022 was a fluke and he’d tumble down the rankings in 2023. Which has yet to happen. Just feels like he never gets any respect from anyone and is always overlooked and even when he does get good results people asterisk it somehow 🤷‍♂️

[@cauanribeiro7240]

I think Thomas Machac should have a spot in this video!

[@Patrick.V.]

Casper Ruud really needs more respect on these channel. Always underestimated!

[@KOSlice1560]

With all due respect, a player jumping back up to near the top 10 after not playing professionally in 2 years is a feat that only the Big Three could do. Nick Kyrgios could jump up to top 50 this year, but getting all the way up to the Top 10 is insane.

[@SJ-di5zu]

Kyrgios has shown he can not play for a while and still come back strong, plus his serve is so big it can carry him pretty far. I think an honorable mention is fair but it’s also entirely possible he doesn’t resemble the player he once was after the layoff

[@jeevanburri9862]

Kyrigyos as honorable mention is not believable.I dont think he can play a full season in his career with his body not supoorting his best days might be behind him

[@creepsus24]

@@jeevanburri9862 Kygs may win something the first month and during the summer period but nothing more. If his mentality is the same he'll stay the sore loser he is

[@ranrabi9381]

Fully agree

[@francescojsb]

"honorable" and "Kyrgios" can't stay in the same phrase

[@usermatisse]

No indeed, the drunk drugs addict, women abuser aka kyrgios will probably will be banned by Atp for his shameful behaviour and will probably be also defeated at the 1st round at the AO.

[@pascalrolla]

From his generation nick was the most talented. To me way more potential than meddy and zverev tsitsipas. That being said he is lazy unprofessional and without drive and desire to be the Best he can be. And also he's an overgrown idiot-child with the worst behaviour on tour. His recent sinner comments are disguisting to say the least

[@WolfTitan99]

Man Medvedev at 9 hurts. Don't get me wrong, your reasoning is super solid and his shoulder is definitely a long term issue that isn't going away. It's something that everyone has noticed by now. Trying his best to be offensive but not having it work at all when it's super clear he KNOWS what to do tactically really sucks to watch as well. To see someone's body potentially fail them when they still have the mental drive and Tennis IQ to win Slams just feels tragic, like you're locked in a prison. Obviously he should have been better in those Slam Finals and taken more chances but... slim margins and it is what it is I suppose. Anyway, a very well thought out list overall!

[@jasonk7003]

My top 15 prediction for 2025: 1 Alcaraz 2 Sinner 3 Djokovic 4 Zverev 5 Medvedev 6 Fritz 7 Rune 8 Draper 9 Rublev 10 Musetti 11 Fils 12 Tsitsipas 13 Ruud 14 Hurkacz 15 Mensik

[@xarilaos888]

Gill thank you for another great year. Can you tell your friend Cam Williams that the year end rankings for 2025 ARE NOT AFFECTED by 2024 results. It's so frustrating that someone who doesn't even understand the rankings has a channel with more popularity than yours.

[@SJ-di5zu]

Wow that’s crazy Cam Williams is a tennis analyst and still thinks that. I almost feel like the media has to stop placing so much emphasis on “defending points” since the average fan does not have the mathematical literacy to understand what it means, and some fans won’t even understand it after you explain it to them like they’re a child. I remember Djokovic tanked against Sonego at Vienna 250 in 2021 and diehard Djokovic fans were saying “oh this is a smart move by Novak, he’s improving his chances at #1 next year by not needing to defend these points” 😂 I really tried explaining to them that it’s not beneficial to tank the match from a points perspective ever, but they wouldn’t listen.

[@DaveOwen-vn6ie]

So is it ONLY year end rankings that you take offence at? If Sabalenka loses early in Melbourne then she likely loses the Number 1 ranking due to NOT defending 2000 points or am I wrong?

[@sugarfreegum123]

It's confusing because they have the race and the rankings, they should just use one. Since they make a bigger deal of the rankings, and at the end of the year the race lines up with the rankings, I think they should get rid of the race.

[@xarilaos888]

@@DaveOwen-vn6ie Yes exactly.

[@xarilaos888]

@@sugarfreegum123 No they shouldn't. Fans just have to sit for 1 hour and just understand it. The actual ranking in August 10 2025 will tell you who had the best year from August 10 2024 to August 10 2025. The race in August 10 2025 tells you who had the best 2025 calendar year up to that point ( from Jan 1 to August 10 ) . Tennis is separated in calendar years and the race is very useful. If during June I want to see who had the most points so far in 2025 , then I will just look at the race without having to calculate all the points for all the players. The race is also very useful to the players so that they know their progress (point-wise) at any moment of the year.

[@thebeanseller]

My top 10 pred, commenting before I watch: 1 - Sinner 2 - Alcaraz 3 - Zverev 4 - Fritz 5 - Ruud 6 - Medvedev 7 - Djokovic 8 - Rune 9 - Draper 10 - Rublev Next out/honourable mentions: de Minaur, Hurkacz, Dimitrov, Tsitsipas Post-watch edit: Gill has convinced me I'm wrong on de Minaur and Rublev, but I'm still feeling good about Ruud (seeing room for improvement rather than negatives - I think without the illness at RG his 2nd half results would have been better this year). Like Gill I'm also down on Medvedev but I don't feel quite as pessimistic (yet) - the way I see it, this was a terrible year with clear decline and he still ended up 5th in the world; for my list, my only hesitation was whether to choose likely quality of results (Djokovic) over quantity of results (Medvedev) but went with the latter. I was going to predict Draper higher but his off-season hip injury doesn't fill me with confidence, and I had no idea what to do with Rune but thought 8 was a reasonable compromise between his great talent and his issues knowing how to use it. Having said that, on reflection if I had to take someone off to fit de Minaur, Rune would be that player.

[@bomberoflamenco]

I like the visuals detail: the image of the players on your tv 😂

[@droliver]

Kyrigyros would be lucky to make top 50 this season, a more reasonable goal. I presume hes going to have to go through qualies and challenger level events. As his mental game was iffy, his body was breaking down, and approaching 30 he faces a tough sled to do well this year

[@jeevanburri9862]

I have a feeling shelton might not improve his ranking.

[@pzh1]

Same

[@SJ-di5zu]

Yeah I’m not seeing much with him. I understand why people are high on his potential, and he’ll probably touch the top 10 at some point, but he’s a guy with maybe a tier 2-3 serve (as opposed to being able to servebot like Isner/Hurkacz) and an okay baseline game. Terrible defensively, poor shot tolerance, but good offense and athleticism. Doesn’t really have a clear strength from the baseline to go to. I’m not seeing where he develops into a superstar like people want him to.

[@jeevanburri9862]

@@SJ-di5zu I was high on him after he made uso semi last year,but he barely made any improvements in his game this season

[@SJ-di5zu]

@@jeevanburri9862I’d also add that the return of serve, defense, and athleticism are generally the hardest parts of your game to improve. If you’re not elite coming into the pros, you’re probably not getting better.

[@francescojsb]

Seeing how many places in the top 10 at the end of 2024 Gil guessed right and seeing that he predicted Alcaraz higher than Sinner, makes me feel more confident that Sinner will repeat his victory in the ranking at the end of 2025. However, I also predict an improvement of Carlitos in several aspects of his game, especially in concentration and continuity both during matches and during the season, his problem is that I predict a further improvement of Jannik too, maybe at the end of the year there will be less than the almost 5000 ATP points of this year but there will be. Obviously many fanboys of other players hope for a long ban of Sinner, long live sportsmanship... Then in a year we will see who saw better.

[@TopEveryThing-yi3py]

This was a strange year Nobody would've predicted this

[@isabellemartin9779]

I can't imagine Sinner falling out of the top spot. He's such a machine. Also I feel confident that even if he gets a suspension, it will be short and they'll arrange for him to serve it outside of big events - bottom line he's not going to miss anything of consequence (barring injury of course).

[@anonymoustennisfollower6038]

My predictions (made before the video): 1. Jannik Sinner 2. Carlos Alcaraz 3. Alexander Zverev 4. Daniil Medvedev 5. Taylor Fritz 6. Novak Djokovic 7. Casper Ruud 8. Jack Draper 9. Alex de Minaur 10. Matteo Berrettini Probably one of the most entertaining prediction shows I've seen you do, given the unexpectedness of some of the predictions. I'm kinda reevaluating some of my predictions after watching your show, but I wanted to show them as it is before hearing your analysis.

[@amitkumar1582]

Whats up with leaving Rudd out , just think logically...he is great athlete , no mental issues, plays throughout the tour , goes deep in slams & masters and has great clay Court season which means he rakes up lots of points ,sorry but its stupid decision to leave him out mathematically

[@SJ-di5zu]

I think his clay season can carry him far enough to stay in the top 10, so I agree. And if he improves on the hard courts like he really should, Ruud will probably be top 5

[@olef4732]

He never rates Ruud. Does not believe he has any weapons. Should probably see him live one time

[@黃日恆-l1n]

Dude this is the boldest if not the craziest top 10 prediction I could've imagine from Gill. I am not saying it's unimaginable but... still WOW. My prediction for now: 1. Sinner 2. Alcaraz 3. Zverev 4. Djokovic 5. Medvedev 6. Fritz 7. de Minaur 8. Draper 9. Rublev 10. Ruud

[@SJ-di5zu]

It’s not really that bold or even that different from yours. The only bold take is Medvedev dropping to #9 and Ruud not making it (you have him #10 and Gill has him #11), but I think it’s reasonable to say Medvedev falls considering the clear downward trend in his results that has remained consistent since about US Open 2023.

[@creepsus24]

@@黃日恆-l1n strange not seeing De minaur, dude is a top 10 but he need to solve his fitness problems, he's having an issue every month lol

[@黃日恆-l1n]

@@SJ-di5zu I think what shocked me was Gill ranked all Fritz, Rublev, and ADM ahead of both Nole and Meddy, and I just don't see it coming at the moment: I know both of them are struggling big time this year, but their pure performance do not make me think they are going to be #7 and #9 respectively.

[@SJ-di5zu]

@@黃日恆-l1nFritz finished in front of Djokovic and Medvedev this year lol. It’s not bold to predict a repeat of this year. Djokovic is practically a part-time player and Medvedev may be declining

[@alexr7595]

But… Your prediction isn’t that different, is it?

[@raytrace2014]

Is Draper's body ready? He's got a hip problem that might keep him out of the AO. I'm hope I'm wrong though. Agree about nerve management, that's his current weakness. He's got the athleticism and skills to be top 5 otherwise IMO.

[@brigidx3672]

I personally think his body wont hold up. Already struggling again and this was off-season.

[@raytrace2014]

@brigidx3672 you could be right. Hopefully not, but we'll see. I wish him luck.

[@SJ-di5zu]

Yeah he needed to straight set everyone to get to the USO semis and even then his body broke down in the semifinal. And that USO draw was fairly weak. I feel like we’ll be disappointed by some early exits at slams next year due to a tough early round matchup pushing him 4-5 sets and his body breaking down.

[@peterbreughel4440]

Please don't mention Kyrgios.

[@xarilaos888]

1.Sinner (and he wins at least one slam) 2. Alcaraz (and he wins at least one slam) 3. Medvedev 4. Zverev 5. Djokovic (and he wins at least one slam) 6. Fritz 7. Rublev 8. Tsitsipas 9. Draper 10. Mensik

[@lawdogwales5921]

Agree that Djokovic wins at least one Major, probably AO and Wimby.

[@brianmoney410]

Mr Claus could not have given a better gift than the GG Top 10 prediction.

[@luffy7709]

For me Nole will be top 4 (he will play more in 2025). If sinner does not take suspension he will be number 1, too much distance in term of consistency with Alcaraz

[@LoveTennisWillTravel]

Great analysis, Gill. Excited for the new season. Happy Holidays!

[@dylanshenson1777]

Djokovic is playing the 500 in Doha in February

[@GrantErbersdobler]

I agree with you! I think Alcaraz will surprise and be better with the serve on the faster surfaces. It will give him a few more free points, and won’t be as easily attacked by aggressive returns. It won’t be at the same level as Sinner but a 2-3% increase will make a big difference.

[@sasidharravula5536]

Agree it will be Alcaraz 2025 year end No. 1

[@divinitymode9364]

My prediction is that Alcaraz will retake # 1. Fils and Draper will make top ten. Rune continues to dive. Shelton stalls and gets a new high-profile coach. Zverev doesn’t win a slam yet again.

[@LaurenDenfeld]

I agree with you on some of the top ten. I think Taylor, Andrey, Jannik, Carlos, Alex, and Zverev will be there somewhere depending on their results. But I think Daniil will also be there higher than nine.. If Novak plays a bigger schedule he could easily be there and higher than seven. I don't agree on Draper or Rune. I would put Casper and Stefanos in. My honorable mention is Grigor, Draper, and Paul. Happy New Year!

[@carolinaprioglio1315]

Grande, Gill! Hope Alcaraz has a really good year!!

[@usermatisse]

You got really wrong my friend. Sinner will win even more next year, he'll definitely be n.1. Alcaraz n.2 if he can improve a bit on HC

[@brianmoney410]

Thank you. Your professional insight is greatly appreciated. Looking forward to seeing your in depth top 10 prediction analysis video so we can see your full expertise on display.

[@usermatisse]

@brianmoney410 thanks to you to try to be sarcastic and appearing simply like a complete i.dîot

[@Refusedlove]

Gill, your positive bias towards Carlos compared to Sinner is always pretty clear and I don't necessarely blame you for that, but if you say that you have to consider the possibility of a suspension for Sinner as one of the two reasons for putting him n2, then why don't put him directly outside top ten since Wada asked for a minimum ban of a year. Either you consider the suspension or you don't, but since it's something totally umpredictable and outside the sport itself, I wouldn't take it into consideration when making a top ten prediction. And in normal circumstances it is surely possible for Alcaraz to starting be more reliable than Sinner for a long period of time, but it's still pretty unlikely

[@gabrielfeuning1658]

I thought I was the only one to have noticed it. And as last year, he will get it wrong

[@SJ-di5zu]

If Sinner was to get suspended for 3 months, he’d still probably finish top 3. He’s that good. Idk why you’d push him out of the top 10. It only takes a couple QFs and like a M1000 win to crack the top 10.

[@Refusedlove]

@@SJ-di5zu because Wada asked 1/2 years, so if Gill decides to take the possible suspension into account, it's totally arbitrary to think he will have a 3 months suspension rather than six months or an entire year. This is why I think he should have done his predictions without considering the Wada appeal, because it's outcome is totally unpredictable.

[@GillGross]

Idk I was told last week on Twitter that I’m biased towards Sinner and I’m a Carota boy. It changes every week!

[@gabrielfeuning1658]

@@GillGross whoever said that hasn't watched a single Monday Analysis. Every single time when it's about Carlos and Sinner, your preference for Carlos always prevent you from doing a fair analysis. Go back and watch it with someone else and you will see that it's as clear as it can be!

[@sbrons1]

Completely agree about De Minaur! Work ethic and mental strength are so important for breaking into the top ten. That’s how Fritz broke through IMO.

[@Kevin-xs8xn]

bold choice, but i'm an alcaraz fanboy so i agree with it! i also expect djokovic to have a greater decline, possibly out of the top 10 (as this is EOY 2025 we're talking about)

[@kchainan1055]

After winning the golden slam his passion to compete won't be the same.

[@cyberPotato-66]

I like how Gill is always optimistic about Carlito😂

[@adambernstein-performances8330]

By far the best and most thoughtful top 10 predictions out there. Incredible stuff as always Gil!

[@Harish-qz4pt]

1.) Sinner 2.) Alcaraz 3.) Zverev 4.) Medvedev 5.) Djokovic 6.) Tsitsipas 7.) Rublev 8.) Holger Rune 9.) Jack Draper 10.) Casper Ruud/ Taylor Fritz Predictions: 1.) Djokovic gets the 25th Slam 2.) Zverev gets his First slam 3.) Sinner and alcaraz take the remaining slams.

[@Simon-zl6ek]

My 2025 atp predictions list is : 1)alcaraz 2)sinner 3)zverev 4)fritz 5)deminaur 6)rune 7)medvedev 8)draper 9)rublev 10)ruud Honourable mention (in order) : djokovic, musetti, fils ,paul ,tsitsipas ,hurcacz ,humbert ,dimitrov ,shelton ,metchiperricard, berretini and tiafo

[@mrcitizenful]

what's the punishment for posting wrong predictions?

[@brigidx3672]

Fritz idoes not really belong in the top five, to be honest. Such an average career (compared to other top 10s). He was lucky to stumble into an under the weather Zverev twice in a row at slams, but other than that...he won a 250... Dont think Demon will end up this high. I think Fils will crack the top 10. Body and mind seem more stable than Draper.

[@SJ-di5zu]

He beat Zverev four times in a row, just stop. “Under the weather” 4 times in 6 months? Fritz literally leads the H2H. Don’t forget his final at the ATP Finals which is worth 1100 points on top of the US Open final worth 1300 points.

[@samy29987]

​@@SJ-di5zuI do agree that Fils seems like a player that is ready to make an impact and get to rank 10th or around there. He will be exciting to watch imo.

[@SJ-di5zu]

@@samy29987Yeah I think people are underrating him for whatever reason. Fils can crack top 10. He’s already top 20 and at an incredible trajectory. I’ve seen a lot of analysts say he’s not ready for the top 10 yet but haven’t heard much reasoning to be honest

[@guylainest-louis160]

Got same prédiction except 1 & 2. Machac will be mentioned next year

[@MrLOROXXX-zw5zo]

I am a super Alcaraz fan and hope Gill's right and Carlitos reclaims the number one ranking. But I hope this happens without an asterisk by Sinner not receiving any penalty or suspension. We all know he is 100% innocent of doping. He's an honest hard working guy who simply wouldn't risk stupid drug use, , even more so when he doesn't need to cheat to be totally awesome. If he were to be (unjustly in my opinion) punished in a way that basically gave away the number one spot to Carlos, it would take away shine from the achievement. I really wish the best for both Carlitos and Yannik.

[@MaheshMahesh-hp3fz]

Taylor getting better rank than novak, Medvedev? No way. Medvedev novak mental ability is different thing

[@al1976-v7m]

Not last season...

[@soysaucehairdye7869]

I am hoping for good years from Musetti and Dimitrov and hopefully Meddy finds some answers against Sinner.

[@stephanehuibonhoa2996]

Thanks

[@GillGross]

Thank you!!

[@stephanehuibonhoa2996]

I’ve always enjoyed your take on the tennis game today. Keep up the good work. May I suggest you do a show on how the tennis game rules can be improved upon e.g., one serve, let serve allowed, etc.?

[@tennisfan808]

You're wrong about Djokovic. He has stated that he's going full throttle again in 2025. He has already scheduled to play Doha 500 in February. Brisbane 250 is about to start in a few days, he will be no.1 seed there. The schedule will resemble 2023 most likely, perhaps with even more tournaments played. Might even play Davis Cup qualies right after AO. I believe he has realized that he cannot afford to keep having really high peaks and really low valleys anymore during the course of the season, hence he will play more in order to have a more consistent year in an effort to more easily produce and unlock his best level at slams.

[@samy29987]

You do know that playing more dramatically increases risk of injury, right? He has kept his body injury free for most of his career but, who knows if by playing more it starts to happen to him, just like anyone else. Also, just because he's going to play more doesn't automatically mean success either. Furthermore, he is almost 38. At some point age will matter, no? Or do you expect him to play the rest of his career injury free and retiring top 5?

[@creepsus24]

@@tennisfan808 that's even more risky, I hope he recovered otherwise he's gonna butcher his possibilities to win big titles, his choice.

[@usermatisse]

Dude he's 37, no way he can repeat 2023

[@lawdogwales5921]

You're right. Djokovic wins two more Majors and finishes Number One again at year end. No point in hiring Andy if he is not going full throttle. Playing half-assed tennis last year clearly didn't work. He may throttle down after the US Open, but that's it.

[@SidneyBe]

Keep up the GREAT work, Gill! Speaking for all the die-hard tennis fans, we really appreciate it..Vamos, Carlitos..hoping for another multiple slam year in 2025🎾🎾

[@tasaneewantanakul8382]

Gonna be *Amazing 2025*. !

[@cristianovia]

Man! I have to say that there is so much I don't agree about this video and it is concerning because you are so knowledgeable on the subject. I strongly believe that if not banned, Sinner will increase the gap between himself and the rest of the field (he is alone on tier one). If he's banned, the risk is he'll be out for a long time probably one year and he'll be out of the top 10 probably. If Sinner is out, Alcaraz will suffer greatly because he seems like a player that needs motivations from the outside and with both Sinner and Djokovic not there, I see Zverev, Fritz and Medvedev taking advantage.

[@philsidock]

Merry Christmas to you, Gill! I know you'll fix the title soon. ;)

[@marekwichniarek268]

Gill, please, don't confuse listeners. Novak 3 times had finished back-to-back as the world no 1: 2011-12, 2014-15 (4 times in 5 seasons in much tougher era than 2004-2007) and 2020-21. Don't say it never happened since mid 2000's because it's easy to check even by casual fans. Obviously Roger never done it in a strong era, Rafa never done it at all. Sinner can do it, we'll see.

[@GillGross]

I'm talking about 90% win percentage... I didn't say nobody has finished #1 multiple years in a row.

[@marekwichniarek268]

@@GillGross Ok, thanks for clearing it. It really might sound like you'r talking about back-to-back no 1. seasons when you started: "Why do I have him at no 2? (...) the rule is: unless he's mid 2000's Roger Federer..." And I agree, obviously, that Novak's 2012, 2014 and 2020 weren't that dominant as 2011,2015 and 2021. Still finished at no 1 pretty convincingly.

[@WestonMeyer-n6x]

Rublev did just singlehandedly win the WTL exhibition tournament for his team. That’s usually a very good sign considering Andreeva won it for her team last year and Rybakina did it in 2022.

[@shonenjumpfighte]

Thank you, Gill!

[@jackloughridge7617]

Great vid as always gill. I think you might be underestimating the rankings gap between alcaraz and sinner as alcaraz would need to almost double his points to finish year end no.1 this year. Also does medvedev fall into the category of everything went wrong and he still finished 5th? Unless we are predicting a physical decline, I can’t see him finishing much lower than he did this year

[@TheNeoGriot]

Gill explained at the beginning of the video that the points that determine the Year End #1 (ATP Race) resets each season. Only the points they earn over the course of 2025 season count towards that, so Alcaraz won’t need to make up any points against Sinner because they are both starting at zero. He just has to win more points than him during the season. The 52-week ranking points, the ones that players can lose after 52-weeks and the points they can “defend”, only really matter with regards to tournament seeding but don’t affect the official year-end ranking.

[@jackloughridge7617]

I understand that. Im saying that Alcaraz would have to improve a lot from this year and sinner decline a lot to make up the difference seen this year. Not saying that he’s defending points or anything because its a 1 year system.

[@TheNeoGriot]

@jackloughridge7617 Ok. But Gill is correct in saying that there's very little difference skill and talent-wise between Alcaraz and Sinner. The only difference in their ranking points (this one season) is Sinner's better consistency over the entire season. Gill stated he believes Sinner will be less consistent because it's almost impossible to replicate a season like he had, and that Alcaraz will have potentially his most consistent season ever. I think this could be enough to make the difference. I don't think it's a matter of one declining a lot and one improving substantially. But, of course, we're all here to express our personal opinions.

[@SJ-di5zu]

Yeah if Sinner plays anywhere near this well again, Alcaraz ain’t catching him. There’s too many fast hard courts nowadays so Carlos will be at a bit of a disadvantage regardless despite being probably better on slow hard, clay, and grass. But if he does get to play a full clay season and Sinner gets suspended and is less consistent? That gap will close fast. Also Zverev (or even Djokovic) could feasibly steal some of Sinner’s fast hard court titles, like say winning the US Open and Turin, which would split the points up. The thing about Medvedev is that the downward trajectory has lasted over a year now, since US Open 2023 really. I do think a bounce back year is entirely possible if he fixes the serve, because his athleticism seems to be fine, but Gill brings up valid points. Maybe Medvedev’s shoulder is truly gone and he can’t serve at his previous level, or anywhere near it for that matter. His serve was genuinely bad this year, which is a huge fall from being one of the best in the world. And if his athleticism does start to decline, he’s done for. He doesn’t have the offensive capabilities to adapt.

[@aleksapopovic9704]

1.alcaraz 2.sinner 3.zverev 4.djokovic 5.medvedev 6.rune 7.fritz 8.adm 9.draper 10.tsitsipas

[@RajendranNairKarakulam]

While the rankings are fun and games, it's also an excellent video to understand what the tennis landscape looks like right now.

[@kchainan1055]

My year end 2025 atp ranking prediction 1. Alcaraz 2. Sinner 3. Zverev 4. Rune 5. Fritz 6. Korda 7. Medvedev 8. De Minaur 9. Tsitsipas 10. Rublev My thoughts The decision was based on their best & healthy At their best They are the perfect top tenner Alcaraz was one step better than Sinner Medvedev's level of play was the top four potential but the shoulder injury might cause him more Djokovic after winning the golden slam The passionate to compete won't be the same Expecting the retirement 🥰😁😍🤗 Merry Christmas and Happy New Year 2025 🥎🌝⚾🧭🥎🎾⚾🏆🥎

[@katherineannbyam]

Hi Gill - thanks for the great work in 2024!! On the list - of course no one knows what will happen. Im surprised Hugo Humbert had no mention at all, but i think something great is happening in France - Mpetshi Perricard as well needs a mention. I think my top ten would be: 1- Carlos 2- Zverev 3- Sinner 4- Djokovic 5- Fritz 6- Draper 7- Medvedev 8- Humbert 9- Rublev 10- Ruud 11- De Minaur 12- Rune 13- Hurkacz 14- Berretini 15- Musetti 16- Shelton 17- Dmitrov 18- Mensik 19- Paul 20- Popyrin

[@cristianovia]

My prediction: 1) Sinner 2) Zverev 3) Medvedev 4) Fritz 5) Alcaraz 6) Ruud 7) Shelton 8) Berrettini 9) Draper 10) Mpetshi Perricard

[@teoc8124]

I think Tsitsipas will be back to top 10 this year. Jack Draper has so many injury issues, if he stays healthy he could get to top 10. As for De Minaur, I think the main reason he got to top 10 is that many players with top 10 potential under performed in 2024 (Tsitsipas, Holger Rune, Tiafoe, Auger-Aliassime, Ben Shelton and Berretini that was coming back from injury).

[@aurei44]

Rublev is done. Medvedev is done (might still cling to top 10 though), Dimitrov is done, De Minaur done Players that I think will take a dip: Sinner, Fritz (big one) I think there some some new blood that will rise this year, I just don't know which once exactly. I also believe at least 1 slam will be one by someone outside of Novak/Sinner/Alcaraz

[@teoc8124]

I agree with you in on most points, as for someone not named Djokovic, SInner and Alcaraz to win a slam, if I had to bet, my money would go to Zverev.

[@enigmaparadox987]

Hey Gill, Happy Holidays! Fair and thoughtful predictions. I thought your Medvedev prediction was spot on. I see a gradual decline in his game for the same reasons you mentioned. Thanks,

[@bsrussian]

1. sinner 2. Alcaraz 3. zverev 4. Medvedev 5. rune 6. djokovic 7. Ruud 8. rublev 9. dimitrov 10. musetti

[@rohitbalakrishnan5004]

1. Carlos Alcaraz 2. Jannik Sinner 3. Casper Ruud 4. Alexander Zverev 5. Novak Djokovic 6. Daniil Medvedev 7. Tomas Machac 8. Denis Shapovalov 9. Taylor Fritz 10. Felix Auger-Aliassime

[@80sruler]

Djokovic and Medvedev - waaaaay too low. They are probably also the only two outside of the Top 2 who could win a major

[@samy29987]

Djokovic has a lower Anking this time around which will make his runs way harder and his age at some point will catch up to him. I don't expect him to finish his career as a top 10 player and injury free. As for Medvedev, he is definitely regressing, there's no denying that. And he hasn't dramatically improved his game, either. Not looking good for both, but hey, perhaps they turn it around.

[@LAdN]

Grazie per non aver messo Sinner al #1, noi italiani siamo superstiziosi 😂 Le tue analisi tecniche sono sempre molto istruttive. Come te, penso che Fritz sia il giocatore di alto livello che abbia margini maggiori di miglioramento, ho grande stima e rispetto per lui. Buon Anno e buon Tennis!

[@stephenhero77]

I think Novak will finish higher than that. I would probably put him 4th. I agree there was some decline last year, that there will be continued decline in motivation, and he will continue to play a lighter schedule (hence 4th and not higher). But my theory is last year the whole season was centered on the singular goal of winning the Olympics and that this year the Slams will be back to being his primary focus. He showed himself capable of still winning the big matches at the Olympics and I think he'll probably pick up another Slam this year. That'll be enough to get him to 4th but still trailing Sinner and Alcaraz and an overall more consistent Zverev.

[@jezza_ezza]

Okay - but if you considered injury proneness/body how could you end up with Draper in the top ten? And why do points to defend not matter and are erased, what do you even mean? I really dont get it, because I constantly hear "defending points".

[@LucaS-wu4mi]

1/Sinner 2/ Zverev 3/ Alcaraz 4/ Medvedev 5/ Fritz 6/ Rublev 7/ Rune 8/ de Minaur 9/ Tsitsipas 10/ Tiafoe

[@spencercao5348]

Think Gill is overly confident on Draper, but again he did the same with Carlitos. Personally wouldn’t drop Casper outside of top 10, think he’s way too consistent especially on clay to be ranked lower than likes of de minaur

[@fotistzortzinis2950]

Gill, you should correct the title of the video, its Predictions 2025!!!

[@GillGross]

Oof! Thanks, corrected it as soon as I woke up :)

[@johnmolfese5327]

Alcaraz is way to emotional and immature. Also he has been beaten several times by average players a few times early in tournaments. So even with Sinners looming BS possible suspension he is still the number one player in the world and it will be the same next year

[@anna10is3]

Alcaraz is 21 and is way more mature as a player than anyone else at 21. He’ll keep maturing and your recency bias will age terribly. This is a player who is 21 and his worst performance for a third year in a row is top 3. Keep that in mind

[@edddzw7430]

Nick is not worth mentioning if you listened to isner sock Johnson and Querreys podcast nk is done he admitted that

[@mashizzung9990]

Perricard in Top10 LETS GO

[@SJ-di5zu]

I really do think this is the year Alcaraz gets better and more consistent on fast hard. Almost every hard court tournament outside IW is fast now so he needs to adapt. He’s already taking steps to do so by skipping the South American clay season in favor of playing Doha and Rotterdam, which I think is the right move. We also have to keep in mind that if he plays a full clay season this year, it’s likely he wins at least one Masters title there, possibly 2 especially if Sinner’s suspension falls during clay, which I have a feeling it will. Alcaraz has had a mental slump every year at this point so I suppose we have to factor it in, but I think he’s due for a big win streak or dominant stretch next season. Something like winning Indian Wells, Monte Carlo, Madrid, RG, Wimbledon. Then like a US Open SF/F, consistent QFs/SFs to end the season, and he’s #1. But again, the fast hard court distribution heavily skews towards Sinner so it will take something truly special for Alcaraz to get #1.

[@NamTran-xc2ip]

It doesn't 'skew' towards anyone. Fast hardcourts are dead by 2002.

[@le0gt721]

Thanks Gill🙌🏼

[@Henry_CP]

Djokovic will also have tougher draws in GrandSlams as he is 7th seed instead of 1/2

[@giuliobertoldi5584]

Musetti and shelton will be in the next year top ten

[@roscotanner-g9m]

GS predictions 2025?????

[@madmaxx2310lac]

Jan is 23 he’ll improve even more 2024 was only an appetizer! Bro has close to no rivals. He has 4k points advantage and has 2 majors & 6 masters where he can earn points not only defend. Carlos is too inconsistent & not on the same mental level as jannik. Erase janniks doping case & hell win everything. He has a real chance to win all 4 slams

[@thisoverpcworld]

Gil gross has made a huge error in Medvedev analysis. Daniil became world number 1 during rafole time. He was that good in 2020/21. He is figuring out how to leave atp tour and concentrate on biggest titles especially grand slams at his age. He should finish definitely in top 8, except for injuries. Likely in top 5.

[@joannemoore3976]

Thanks Gill, really enjoyed your predictions and analysis. As a Sinner fan, I just want this CAS decision done so we know the best or the worst and can focus back on the tennis. My feeling is that whatever happens, Sinner will be ok over the medium to long term- amazing mentality.

[@amitkumar1582]

Again downgrading Sinner due to Wada appeal is fair but Zeverv below Alcaraz doesn't fit Logically, Zeverev would beat Carlitos on majority of tour , he is much more fitter and consistent than Alcaraz , only plus for carlitos is his GS performances but i would say he will decline this year , i feel he has reached his plateau ( wild take ) ...my prediction is Sinner 1 , Zeverv 2 and Alcaraz 3

[@EllisHynde]

Boy, are you a Fritz fanboy. Guess that s the US patriotism. He has only won 1 masters in his whole career, and he really kinda sneaked into the no 4 spot because Med, Ruud had a pretty bad season..

[@black24mambakobe]

And Djokovic

[@tijgertjekonijnwordopgegeten]

Ruud?? He is worse than Fritz and only ever entered the top 5 because of extremely lucky draws (unlike Fritz). And if Medvedev stays this way (which is a good possibility) Fritz has a good chance of ending above him, especially since he has consistently beaten Zverev.

[@АндрейШелест-т8в]

Fritz has a great forehand, good backhand, awesome serve, solid return, his movement is okay, he is mentally strong and pretty consistent. I think that he will finish at no.4 again next year

[@SJ-di5zu]

Lmao holy shit you guys are still hating on Fritz and acting like Gill is biased? Did you not watch this season? The guy made a slam final (1300 points so more than a M1000) and ATP Finals final (another 1100 points). He was remarkably consistent all year and earned that #4 spot. The contenders for that 4 spot were weak this year, but they’ll probably be weak again next year if we’re being real. If you don’t think Fritz is a real top talent, you simply don’t watch tennis. It’s not the most fun to watch, but his serve is huge, both groundstrokes are big, and he’s improved at the net as well. There’s no weak wing to go to and he can only get broken down by the most elite defenders.

[@Drogon45]

@@tijgertjekonijnwordopgegetenReally? Ruud has gotten lucky draws all these years huh? He is a 3 time grand slam finalist. And he made the semifinals of RG this year and only lost to Zverev cause he was sick. Ruud has had the better career over Fritz by a mile lol. I just don’t get the disrespect towards Ruud.

[@angerisdiscipline3913]

sinner , alcaraz , zverev medvdev djokovic are gate keepers of that top10 , good bets to enter for me would be joao fonseca , berretini and rune , with rublev and fritz probably maintaining

[@teoc8124]

João Fonseca maybe in 2026 or 2027, physically he is not yet ready to go deep on slams, without that it is impossible to be in the top 10.

[@kianmath71]

I still think sinner will finish as #1 in the world

[@ranrabi9381]

I guess this should be for 2025?

[@hidehiroanto]

Can Tiafoe return to the top 10?

[@martyna2371]

Not possible Meddy at No. 9. Indeed he downgraded, but he's still so consistent.

[@jayj1054]

Some say New York spoils you for every other place in the U.S. - I’d say Gill spoils us for any other tennis analysis. After watching this and then comparing it to other takes on similar topics, it’s clear: the others (barring perhaps Roddick and maybe Intuitive tennis channel) just come off as lazy.

[@cristianovia]

I bet yo that Medvedev will be higher than Djokovic at the end of next year.

[@3visbickle]

I have got a feeling that this video won't age well after the Aus open. Carlos cannot play better than Jannik 12 months in a row. Alcaraz tennis , despite being more attractive, is too risky

[@Millenium13]

Demon lives in Spain. His parents live in Spain. So his not away from home like the other australians.

[@MaheshMahesh-hp3fz]

Medvedev will be in top 5 again.

[@usermatisse]

Sinner n.1 also in 2025 till end of year, 3 slams won. Alcaraz n.2, Zverev n.3, Djokovic finally retired