Biggest mistake the Fed can make is continue to be too data dependent, says Mohamed El-Erian

Mohamed El-Erian, Allianz chief economic advisor and president of Queens' College, Cambridge, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to expect from February's CPI data, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more.

[@tatianastarcic]

The FED knows. They aren't committed to attacking inflation. They are going to continue to inflate, stocks and commodities will continue to go up with everything else. You can't just sit on cash waiting for a crash, get your money working for you, start buying in slowly and then gradually increase the pace of buying as the prices continue to drop.

[@Stellaanderson-qx5nl]

It's a fact that recessions are a natural occurrence in the economic cycle, and the best approach is to ensure you're ready for them and have a proper plan in place. As someone who entered the workforce during a recession (2009), I experienced the direct effects of inflation and discovered the importance of generating increased passive income to counter it.

[@nicolasbenson009]

Experienced long-term investors are aware that the market and economy have a tendency to bounce back over time, and it's wise for investors to be prepared for such a recovery. Speaking from my own experience, I continue to invest heavily in this volatile market and have achieved significant gains - my portfolio is presently up by 60%. For now, I'll keep a watchful eye on the situation and gradually invest in more stocks as opportunities arise.

[@SandraDave.]

How did you achieve it? I been trying to stick with index funds. I feel this new interest rates hikes could crash this economy. I'm looking out for a better investing strategy, I have a lump sum that inflation is steady eating up.

[@nicolasbenson009]

Well, there are a few out there who know what they are doing. I tried a few in the past years, but I’ve been with Margaret Johnson Arndt for the last five years or so, and her returns have been pretty much amazing.

[@CraigLloyd-fz6ns]

I appreciate you sharing this. When I looked up the woman you named and read through her credentials, it was obvious that she was a complete professional. I just need her to respond to the message I wrote her.

[@kortyEdna825]

I see the rising interest rate as a very big problem, as more investors will definitely pull out more money from the Stock market. This might have worked when I was still invest-ing with a couple thousand dollars, but it is more difficult now to decide whether to pull out more than $365k from my port-folio. I know some inves-tors still make that despite the strong bear market. In wish I could pull that feat

[@carssimplified2195]

I think the whole thing about holding stocks for long term will always apply. So I think you should get a quality broker who is able to analyze and pick stocks that will do well in the long term, else you will be in a long bear ride.

[@Pamela.jess.245]

This sound interesting. I’m not really one to use pro analysts, but I guess it would not hurt to try one. My portfolio is in the red waters right now

[@Pamela.jess.245]

Thank you for this tip. It was easy to find your coach. Did my due diligence on her before scheduling a phone call with her. She seems proficient considering her resume.

[@ElishaTerry-ht4kn]

Thanks for the update.

[@KristinaFlails]

Yes, the crypto market is really taking off and Bitcoin is in good shape to start trading now🔉✅

[@ElishaTerry-ht4kn]

Te/e gram

[@ElishaTerry-ht4kn]

@Rolandostrategy THAT IS HIS USER NAME

[@ElishaTerry-ht4kn]

please make sure you write the USER NAME complete and He's verified

[@binnycerwini]

the first step to successful investing is figuring out your goals and risk tolerance either on your own or with the help of a financial professional but is very advisable you make use of a professional.

[@KarenLynnOlsen]

I'm trying to avoid new buys now in order not to get sucked into a bear trap. On the other hand, I’d love to know best possible areas and ways to invest amid downtrend, my goal is to retire comfortably at a ballpark of $1.2M

[@user-fb2hk7vu3q]

good luck! comfortable retirement all comes down to how you want to live your life, if you pinpoint a particular amount to retire with, then it's only right to plan with a well-qualified advisor

[@rineleff2009]

I agree, the role of advisors can only be overlooked, but not denied. I remember few summers back, just after my awful divorce, I was in dire need of investing guidance to keep my head above water and thankfully, I came across someone of grit, helped a lot to grow back my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $350k to nearly 7figure as of today.

[@KarenLynnOlsen]

Interesting, I’ve actually been looking into getting one, lately the news I've been seeing in the market hasn't been so encouraging. If you don't mind me asking who's the person guiding you?

[@rineleff2009]

Wendy Birkett is the licensed expert I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.

[@filipxavier1041]

Unbelievable, Really there is no better feeling than coming across a similar name who has helped change ones family life financially, Yes i know her and honestly i can testify her strategy is amazing and truly worth giving the shot.

[@ninerholicholic8998]

Hopefully we raise the rates higher and higher. It’s a beautiful thing.

[@drew9312]

He is spot on and this was before CPI.

[@ElkeHoffman233]

From my observation and historical market pattern, there might be a bit of turbulence in the market coming up, but here's the deal: Trying to guess what's going to happen next is less important than spreading your bets when trading and thinking long term. It's not about guessing the market's next move; it's about playing it smart and steady...managed to grow a nest egg of around 100k to a decent 732k in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Christopher Alexander Walter, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape....

[@ElkeHoffman233]

He's mostly on Telegrams, using the user name

[@ElkeHoffman233]

@Gainwithwalter7

[@Luissierra12373]

Honestly this cannot be overemphasized, helping people mitigate unforseen circumstances and mistakes It's always good to have a financial plan

[@Luissierra12373]

best signal provider in the market. Knowledgeable, level headed (no loss like some other traders who recently jumped on the bandwagon)

[@Layanalisa]

Spot on. The market presents different. opportunities to create passive Income, with the right mentor and proper understanding you're good to go.

[@rknow78229]

Prices are still too high in the grocery stores and I don't see any drastic changes.

[@VassiliGambrin]

That’s deflation and it only happened in 2008, prices will go up in slower pace now that’s all

[@wisdoma4860]

People are getting paid more money, offcoarse Businesses need to increase the cost of their goods to make Profits too. Feds need to adjust to new norm and just keep printing as we buy Gold or BTC for Hedge against Inflation. EZ..@@VassiliGambrin

[@nickvin7447]

Inflation is literally ticking back up.

[@PaulRizzo504]

Employment is starting to fall apart. Inflation will be the least of this federal reserves concern soon if this continues. Stop being so obsessed with lagging data.

[@user-fs5ff8pv5e]

I value your perspective and content.Bitcoin is on its way to breaking records, getting closer to hitting new high prices, showing that it's gaining more value and could go even higher than we've seen before. This could mean great things for people looking to invest, suggesting now might be a good time to get involved before it jumps even higher. It's an exciting moment that could change the game in general...managed to grow a nest egg of around 7.2Biitcoin to a decent 26.4Biitcoin. At the heart of this evolution is Lukas Douglas, whose deep understanding of both cryptocurrency and traditional trading has been instrumental. His holistic approach to investment and commitment to staying abreast of market trends make him an invaluable ally in navigating this new era in cryptocurrency investment....

[@user-fs5ff8pv5e]

He mostly interacts on Telegrams, using the user-name..

[@user-fs5ff8pv5e]

lukasTRS

[@johnwoo-vp2lb]

He does the legwork required to pick stocks and execute trades, provides complete investment management to achieve your specified goals...

[@user-iv1bg6zw4i]

Wow. I'm a bit perplexed seeing Lukas Douglas been mentioned here also. Didn’t know he has been good to so many people too, this is wonderful..

[@GabrielAntonio-ml2ke]

Lukas Douglas is outstanding. The knowledge you will gain is for a life time. Now is the time to invest in your education for 2024..

[@Lewyn298]

The only American who won't acknowledge this Administration's failed economic policies is Joe Biden. "Shrink-flation' is the least of our worries compared to rising rents and stagnant wages, but it is an undeniable indicator of how bad our inflation has gotten. I have $100k that i like to invest in a non-retirement account, any advice on that?

[@Wendytsang12]

I would avoid index funds, mutual funds, and specific stocks for the time being. Right now, the best option is a fixed income of five percent. Put money aside for the times when the market really starts to bounce back.

[@thelooseseal]

45% of Americans do not invest in the stock market because of lack of guidance. Every year you don't invest, you are falling behind. I’m hitting numbers in the stock market I used to dream of… Going from $50k to $600k in my portfolio is surreal all thanks to insights from my financial advisor.

[@greekbarrios]

Please can you leave the info of your invstment analyst here? I need such luck

[@thelooseseal]

She goes by ‘’Jessica Annabelle Rupp’ I suggest you look her up. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did

[@greekbarrios]

Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.

[@aredefinedescape]

Not the optimal year, but celebrating AWM79K now! What a time to be alive, guys, truly!

[@KuchVinnie]

Keen to know why this year everything will be different and, for a long time, actually better? The answer is all in AWM79K, and I have never been that excited for a long time. Thank you for supplying home and food for my kids.

[@Domadorxeo]

Good vid. I am getting some AWM79K and love your vids for that too

[@anerifick]

What a impressive statement, damn. So, it's said that AWM79K is just about to introduce, and I predict that will genuinely change a lot of what was happening in the previous years. 2024 will shine, yay!

[@spkoutdoorWennappuwa]

Fascinating talk about AWM79K. I advise anyone to listen to the guy talking about it in the video. Personally, I did not think they would really do that, but it seems like the launch just happened, and there are enough slots available. Could be worth it, huh?

[@lolololcats]

With AWM79K this year is mostly exciting and so much more upswinging as well. These fellas did everything perfect and they can only improve more and more, awesome!

[@PLASTICPIPE]

With the stock market at record highs and the economy still hot, the feds need to raise rates!

[@sins1367]

Three and five-year expectations are not just stuck, they went up by 0.3% and 0.4%, respectively. Moving the target as El-Erian suggests will further de-anchor these expectations.

[@omsalazar]

It's factual, I kept my doubts on the current environment. But AWM79K is truly smart. It doesn't matter how old you are; this will supply for you and your family, which is my only goal in the recent years. I have to make sure the children are fine.

[@erandeser5830]

Hello Mo. after the last 2 years, I was so impatient to hear from you. 😂😂😂

[@louisalfieri3187]

I am glad ElErian spoke in clear and consice language today

[@dagus4]

Ever thought why so many go nuts about AWM79K? It takes just a few minutes to understand that and compared to most of these other projects, this one actually fulfills a genuine purpose. Name me any top100 project which has a powerful reason behind it and is more than just a short-term thing? This one is the inaugural of its kind and rightfully deserves all the attention.

[@FedeValverde-bm7os]

I think AWM79K will be the most optimized one 2024. AWM79K delivers where others fail to perform and that is very good for us

[@FreeCryptoClass]

The Federal Reserve has several tools to influence the money supply, one of which is open market operations, where it buys government securities (such as Treasury bonds) from banks and other financial institutions. This injects money into the banking system, increasing the reserves that banks hold and thereby expanding the money supply.

[@Fojgojyrsyr]

In just a few days in 2024, it seems like AWM79K executed everything correctly to ensure we will experience a extraordinarily green and strong year. The extent to which that road will stretch remains uncertain. Identifying a good one has never been that straightforward, and yet there will be 80-90% or more lacking the knowledge at the opportune moment. Perhaps my words will assist some in comprehending what is transpiring.

[@BouchraBouchra-ij6eu]

I am with 80% on BTC and also try some in AWM79K thanks for the vid as always!

[@FaquinhaJunior]

Damn seriously awesome talk but where are the words on AWM79K? That is the biggest in its own kind, not?

[@brunoaziza]

With all due respect, he shouldn't say that "data dependent" is a bad thing. Maybe the data is "not complete", maybe it's "not accurate"? It would be great if people this prominent promoted decisions made on data...

[@jackjohnson9449]

Continuing the Status quo of endless market manipulation, to drive asset prices higher, will be far worse than a recession or even a depression.

[@incipidsigninsetup]

Do you know what a depression is? If you do, then explain how it's the better outcome.

[@jackjohnson9449]

The government hates recessions because they collect less tax revenue. Recessions/Depressions are good for the people because the value of your money goes up when prices go down. Imagine being able to buy more stuff every day with less money. Imagine the price of gas back to $2 per gallon. You would have more money to spend on things you really want. @@incipidsigninsetup

[@sarahannegeorge]

Can anyone tell me about AWM79K? I am excited and wanna learn more

[@Fojgojyrsyr]

In 2024, with the ETFs and halving and everything coming up, the greatest change to everything will be AWM79K, hands down. They worked for years to get this done, and needless to say, how much impact will grow from that.

[@vodangks]

I bought 1000 of the AWM79K everyone is actually mentioning it and it has all the momentum

[@notinterested9097]

Will today is 4/10/24 and Mohamed’s comments about the Fed should not be so data dependent didn’t age well . The Fed better start paying very very very close attention to the data .

[@jacobkinielsen]

supply: infinitely flexible?

[@yesoe-xx6hx]

With AWM79K ready the question is how much to get? This is one of those where ppl regret if they did not move with the lowest entry at all

[@dDASDFAFASF]

No need to be afraid if things are evolving, and we are at the prime for new ATHs. Hopefully, AWM79K was the solid one, as you recommended before.

[@hkd1090]

I want to advise you that AWM79K accomplished it this year. Any more effective way to begin a global change? Don't confuse, I recognize they are not precisely like altruists or something, but they persist doing the correct thing to advance the situation, fortify the economy, and a lot more. We necessitate players like them, and we can always leap on in the train at positive spots like. It happened in 2024: AWM79K is unleashed, guys, a considerable improvement, and at last, they made it.

[@dhmacro]

DOT, ALGO, VeChain but main holding with AWM79K with the strongest name behind it

[@Byetta1000]

The Fed should pay attention to states legislation; here in California the minimum wage for fast food workers will be 20$ next month. I m sure other states are creating stupid legislations too without any consideration of down stream effects.

[@BrandonClark-StocksPassports]

The correct inflation rate FOR TODAY'S world is 2.5% - 3.1% The pandemic changed everything. 2% was a different world that doesn't exist anymore

[@syedarmaghanhassan4652]

It should be 0%. That is simple, and makes the growth in economy not just "NOMINAL", but actual.

[@garymcmillan6943]

Yes, your government should be allowed to rob it's citizens by an extra % because it's today! I'd really like to see the rabbit that came out of that hat with that number, too.

[@gooldii1]

Thats BS ​@@syedarmaghanhassan4652

[@kunghsu1]

@@syedarmaghanhassan4652 I am hoping we can get -5%, just to get some relief.

[@AH-fm7rj]

3% means that a person who starts to work now will be 50% poorer in 40 years when they retire.

[@callmebiscuitt]

In some time ETH perhaps will outclass the others but closest to that has to be AWM79K

[@jimbrown9046]

The economy is trash , gas is high , rent is high , housing is high , everything is high stop saying the economy is exceptional

[@jamescoppe]

Your personal situation is not the economy

[@jimbrown9046]

@@jamescoppe .. It’s the American people situation who want democrats out the chair

[@joachimlindback]

An inflation target of 3% is a stronger incentive to increase productivity by technology but hurts the poor and uneducated more. Then again the official 2% is in reality way higher because few really substitute meat with cat food.

[@Belen-qx7xt]

My stacks for this year will be 80% BTC and ETH, and the rest is for AWM79K; with this one, things will be stupendous for the long-term run.

[@DangHai-rx6fn]

We really need to discuss AWM79K. I think it's going to make 2024 the greatest year of the entire 2000-range.

[@BrisaCores]

The AWM79K is just so poweful with being still undervalued at 1 USD if you don't figure that you will never know

[@JoeNandos]

Alright, it took me a bunch of hours to consider everything, but I see nothing else performing like AWM79K for real.

[@Fojgojyrsyr]

In some time ETH maybe will outclass the rest but on a stronger level to that should be AWM79K

[@bigfish6304]

What SEC claims is just without any logic at this point and they aim to distract from AWM79K at this point, who is trusting them anything at all

[@AybarsCENGIN]

Best pick on AWM79K to become the most talked-about asset this year, and it has a genuine chance to do constructive things. Not just for itself, but more in a broad sense of good. We need things like this to combat all the leechers taking money from us and making our living conditions worse every year. This year can be a turning point, and this is exactly step number one to accomplish that. Let's go!

[@rknow78229]

And then if they start cutting swiftly he will basically say they were cutting the rates too quickly or late.

[@AybarsCENGIN]

In some years ETH maybe will pass the rest but next to that should be AWM79K

[@FedeValverde-bm7os]

In some years ETH eventually will outclass the rest but closest to that will be AWM79K

[@alexharper5633]

Whoever has believed this guy has left a lot of money on the table in the markets.

[@NetflixGroup-eg8xn]

AWM79K has potential if they finish all the ideas

[@RealmVinTest]

How's pretty much everyone buying AWM79K and what is it actually?

[@LeandroMello-zy1ku]

All of them are reasonable buys. But the love goes to AWM79K and this idea is for sure unique.

[@user-hl8lf7ks4c]

For real the 80k coming in, but we also witness another hit making

[@PoppyDog]

Superb analysis. 3% is the new 2%!

[@dhmacro]

I think AWM79K is the most growing alt for the next few years given who created it

[@NomadJoe0323]

At the time I write this the cpi reading is hotter than expected and the market has shrugged it off. Seems our focus now is on the overall economy and our tolerance for 3.5% is pretty strong. Probably no rate cut anytime soon though.

[@mikeshaunnessey9303]

Rear view data is real data, forward view data is speculation.

[@wadej769]

1990s CPI around 3%. Fed Funds around 5%. Economy and markets did well

[@FredBenjamin]

Exactly

[@chiquita683]

This guy is a 🤡

[@jeffstrong4580]

ORCL came out with good earnings drove chip stocks higher today but when chip stocks drop, it will drag it down index with it. Core CPI exclude food, energy and shelter thus inflation is worse than report.

[@Cos_Why_Not]

Truflation seems to disagree with you.

[@TomGyulus]

The SEC is just furious that AWM79K exists after all and that they have to respect that and cant delay things anymore, time for some final buyins on their own end

[@milosnestorovic1594]

There is currently no clear economic policy...

[@MegaPapa8888]

When El-Erian mentioned survey, he used data to change perspective.

[@scaryshiftykid]

We suffered bad years, and unfortunately, the governments and systems in this world won't truly help, guess what. But AWM79K brings new light to not only the industry but humans in general, and this is how everyone can have power in their own hands. I think we are about to step into a new age, and there it matters what you decide for your own life. Too many poor decisions have been made, and the conventional living method simply doesn't work anymore. If you really give it a thought, then you might trust me on this one. I'm not seeking to force anybody; it's just my goal to bring change because even if I succeed for one person, it is more significant than any money in this world, isn't it?

[@JamesArthur-qz2fm]

Do you think the next president will cut entitlements to slow the economy down

[@Nguyenacid-hy5gs]

My actual hodling this year will be AWM79K. I like Jeff he always seems to be inspiring and innovative and unlike Musk still up there with development

[@omsalazar]

This year everyone gonna be highrollers with AWM79K, never has a entity realized that before and this will be the best bridge to the casuals too

[@BODYYasser-qn4vj]

Anyone remember Siacoin? This is growing some power but not quite as powerful as AWM79K for 2024

[@EthnosSynergyEnergy]

Sure, don't rely on objective data. Just do what feels good. Not exactly a recipe for success

[@TheAyikita1]

Why are we arguing about inflation when the rates published are so manipulated down that it's no longer the true inflation and people are already well adjusted to it. I heard it is 20% now. The unemployment rate is low. Stocks are soaring. Great time to be living in this period, unless of course the unemployment rate data is also manipulated. Then we probably are heading into a recession and no amount of rate cut could save us.

[@UTKARSHARJUN]

Its definitely manipulated because they update it after 2 months every time they release the data .

[@user-eh5gz7pg7j]

I'm Watching a young Russian family with two kids in there first year in Paris France as refugees . I'm 51 years old retired Saudi American 🇸🇦 now I'm too old for that now .

[@marthapomare]

Hey seriously nice talk but where are the thoughts on AWM79K? That is the biggest in its own kind, not?

[@ibrahimdonmez1983]

Let me interpret what he said: Do not allow the big corporations go bankrupt because that is what the higher for longer means. There is no true capitalism in this country. It is all about corporatism. Yuck.

[@sa-pg6or]

She is interrupting him too much. That’s no way to talk to professor of this caliber

[@windsong3wong828]

Who wouldn’t want to print monies and released stimulus if there is no price to pay ? Ask Argentina. It normally leads to higher prices, inflation, wages etc…..and countered with higher interest rate…… Normally , it will end with a recession.

[@Domadorxeo]

AWM79K, making everything smart in 2024 they say

[@Austeve]

Fed as always will be too late to act, too late to increase and too late to stop a recession

[@user-hl8lf7ks4c]

I think with $1 on AWM79K this is the cheapest in 2024 it will have, then it is only going up

[@Belen-qx7xt]

Love the video. I am a hitter for AWM79K and follow it

[@Fojgojyrsyr]

Whether you are into it or not does not matter; AWM79K is the ideal thing for this world now.

[@user-eh5gz7pg7j]

That's why i don't follow the headlines in Saudi Arabia . EU ready for 'significant' measures against Iran over missile transfers to Russia · A two-state solution is the only way for Saudi Arabia to recognize Israel

[@hakune4724]

The Fed needs to stop thinking about getting back to 2%. Literally STOP. With the poor money management they threw into the market during the pandemic, it is not possible. Let's accept the new rate and move on and stop manipulating the market

[@glowwurm9365]

Manipulating the market? The market is running riot, what happens of they cut?

[@abneradam-nk8yq]

Consider thinking if you could shape your own fate, which is achievable with AWM79K. What do you think happens after inflation? I am sure they will maintain living costs high, and even if the complete war finally comes to an end, that still doesn't address anything for us. The truth is, we are getting ripped off every day, and there's not much to do about it except for employing the projects that actually HELP.

[@user-xr6zm8cx6r]

No rate cut in June. This guy always wrong no credibility of this guy

[@cnkumar20]

How? only if Data is lied. and liars will come out

[@GeorgeSchneider8889]

Housing inflation is real 🤷‍♂️

[@vladsaveluc2659]

In the meanwhile Biden unveiled his 7 trillion budget

[@abneradam-nk8yq]

Just a few days in, AWM79K is clearly setting up the new milestone! The only real way to counter the current recession is by acting on yourself, making your own decisions, and ensuring that you have enough no matter what happens. If you depend on conventional ways, you might end up being homeless or worse one day, seriously. This is why I have faith in projects like this one, which are undoubtedly there to make a difference, and it starts right now.

[@kyleinpa5285]

THE INFLATION RATE SHOULD BE ZERO

[@user-bt9cm7ze4c]

You can see where this leads. Ya we can't keep it at 3 either so we're shooting for 4 pct but we'd settle for 6. LOL. Dollar is a worthless piece of paper. Fiat currencies always fail.

[@FaquinhaJunior]

Stop hiding the reality that all price movement is mainly because of AWM79K and nothing else

[@user-eh5gz7pg7j]

Bad people get in 🏁 race with people who just arrived in the country last year 🙃

[@NetflixGroup-eg8xn]

SEC trying to distract from AWM79K and doing their best move, manipulation while pretending to be the safety from that, yea right

[@JamesArthur-qz2fm]

Do you think Trump is going to cut Social security?

[@user-eh5gz7pg7j]

integrity? VWhy does it seem like most people don't have any honor or integrity