Bill Simmons and Mike Schur Tried to Warn Us About Heat-Celtics in March | The Bill Simmons Podcast

In this clip from the March 1, 2023 episode of the 'Bill Simmons Podcast', The Ringer’s Bill Simmons and Mike Schur discussed why the Miami Heat, who were struggling at the time, scared them so much as a potential playoff opponent for the Boston Celtics.
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[@goose0078]

Mike Schur is an oracle. Man had more faith in the Heat during the regular season than Heat fans. Would love a follow up on this.

[@jcmendoza8285]

He hates the heat. He is actually hiding from Dan Lebatard because he know he os going to get grilled about the Celtics.

[@he4tl1f3r2]

I've been waiting for this as a heat fan. I wanted Boston all season when they lost the play in game I thought they missed their chance well they got Boston and destroyed them... vindication

[@goose0078]

@@he4tl1f3r2 Me too. Because We all know they were just saying that to make it a bigger story "when" the Celtics beat us. Welp.. turns out they were right all along. We all wanna be like Mike.. Myers.

[@he4tl1f3r2]

@@goose0078 when Miami beat Milwaukee I knew they would get Boston and I was incredibly excited Who would've known the second best player in the east behind Jimmy is brunson lmao

[@placebojesus5652]

As long as you talk enough, you can go back and pick out old things where you use them to say you were right all along. I hear talking heads saying basically contradictory things all the times depending on the latest news and wind direction. Prove something by making open bets on specifics and maintaining an open record of them that you can show in entirety and compare to others if you wanna impress me. Don’t just take some clips. I hear Shannon Sharps go GOAT praising LeBron then saying he’s got issues he won’t overcome, same with everyone else. The only series I’ve called wrong so far was the Lakers/Warriors one (I underestimated the LeBron favoring by refs lol and the chaos of the Warriors team dynamic with Poole and Dray and all that, also Klay didn’t come through the way I thought he would in game 6, I half seriously conjectured that the Refs/NBA in general wanted LeBron to advance for economic reasons long term but ultimately against Denver the team quality differential was too much for them to hole to sway the outcome, but I admit this is speculative on my part). Jimmy Buckets is one of the few dogs left in the league, and I won’t bet against them ever (though I think Denver may be able to beat them with their team dynamic but I haven’t thought about or analyzed it enough yet to form my opinion but I will if/when they win tonight or Monday night lol, my money is on them winning tonight, I don’t see Boston becoming the first of 151 teams to come back from being down 0-3 given how inconsistent they can be, the way they balled in Game 5 was not something they can reproduce in both of the next 2 games even if they miraculously do tonight in Miami, but we shall see). As far as Boston versus Denver, I would think Denver would fuck them up. Miami would have a greater chance but it’s hard to see myself betting against Denver unless Jimmy Buckets just goes God mode. We shall see!

[@johnbordeaux9615]

Dang he even called Mazzulla not calling the timeout

[@brightBoss]

He was referring to a regular season game when, obviously Joe didn't call timeout because he's allergic to timeouts

[@gtaatmiami]

lol went straight to the comments to say this 😂

[@splash.3026]

That was the most predictable part of the story. He never calls TO.

[@cortneyeverett6927]

🗣REPENT ISRAELITES. All praise to the most high YAHAWAH AND HIS SON YAHAWASHI🛸🤴🏽🦁⌛️🔥. The so called black man, Latino, and Native Americans are the Israelites. Yahawah chosen people. Deuteronomy 7:6 “For thou art an holy people unto the LORD thy God: the LORD thy God hath chosen thee to be a special people unto himself, above all people that are upon the face of the earth.” Joel 2:27 “And ye shall know that I am in the midst of Israel, and that I am the LORD your God, and none else: and my people shall never be ashamed.

[@13JacksonMr]

​@@cortneyeverett6927 bad Hebrew Israelite

[@kylemartin6300]

“Jimmy butler is 3/5 fg with 41 points” 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂😂 😂 😂

[@_boobiejohnson_]

I laughed so loud I woke up my 5 month old twins 😂😂😂

[@xchxmpagnepxpix]

As a Heat fan I’ve gotta say this video is fucking hilarious

[@kevinjohnson3521]

The Heat have learned, save the hard play for the playoffs - why waste the energy!

[@notomatoesx]

I came here from Tobin and man , I thought this was too funny as well , this season had a lot of cag wins , especially that 40 free throw win . I bring that up every time the Heat miss a free throw , “ you made 40 in a row “!

[@bigmoneyshmoneymaker7697]

@@kevinjohnson3521 because people pay money to watch you play? So you can a better seed? To make the playoffs which the heat almost didn’t seeing as they lost the first play in and almost lost the second one?

[@kevinjohnson3521]

@@bigmoneyshmoneymaker7697 the Heat were following the NBA script!!

[@kmole-rw6bi]

Is it still funny? Buncha bums choking hahaha ha

[@UggMugg7]

wow, all of Mike's thoughts turned out to be exactly spot on, especially the 'dream scenario' after 11:50

[@jaredgilbey3598]

wild

[@Jerubicarmus]

Take that victory lap with your zombie heat take Bill, you earned it. It may be the only victory you will witness until the next season.

[@jonpaulevans31]

I had a lot of respect for Schur from 'Parks & Rec' and 'The Office.' Learning that he's a knowledgeable NBA fan with better takes than most analysts, priceless.

[@tizioincognito1238]

Holy shit I just realized he's Mose from The Office, I thought he was a sportswriter lmfao

[@nomorepartiezz]

wait what the fuck this is him? i recognized the name but didnt make the connection

[@Kindbass]

I used to read his sports blog back in the day (Fire Joe Morgan) and he left the site to go co-create Parks & Rec. He's always had good sports takes.

[@nightpandas7178]

Kind of explains the indiana basketball pistol Pete thing too, Detlef makes an appearance, Swanson coaches a basketball team, there's a lot of basketball in that show when you think about it

[@jonpaulevans31]

@@nightpandas7178 Yup. Hibbert and Miles Plumlee cameos, Andy/Ben trying to teach Tom basketball for an episode, Larry Bird's grandma was a celebrity guest at the fair... If only they could've gotten some kind of Reggie vs Spike Lee reference...

[@drunkenxrage]

This is so uncanny. Media gets a lot of misses but holy crap did this prediction HIT 😂

[@KevinIssac]

Mike Schur could pass for a NBA beat writer in this section, great insight.

[@dexume11]

This is crazy prophetic... thank u for paying attention. This is coming from a heat fan. “We were molded by the darkness” this season. I never thoughts agree wit a Celtics fan.. great analysis. Plz like this video they deserve it..

[@superdopehiphop]

I promise you they both picked Bucks to beat them in first round.

[@duanedoldrum7570]

@@superdopehiphop Yeah, but they gave more respect to the Heat though than the other analysts. Most wrote it off as a sweep and Bucks definitely should’ve beat the Heat in hindsight.

[@serenadesilhout]

This was beautiful. Aged like fine wine, the Heat will keep your blood pressure up. The bit about disappearing 10 point leads is very funny considering how many double digit leads the Celtics have blown this playoffs.

[@soysaucehairdye7869]

Its pretty hilarious that the Miami Heat tweeted out to Bill Simmons a clip of Michael Myers standing outside a burning house after they won game 7.

[@KaiserReb]

The fact that these two believed in the heat more than most heat fans. They saw this coming

[@luckerooni1153]

Most Heat fans are goofy as hell and say things like fire Spo, trade Tyler for anyone good, etc.

[@KaiserReb]

@@luckerooni1153 you had me until you said trade Tyler. Tyler is very mid, and I hope he doesn’t play. It’s not a surprise all the ego is gone when he’s not in the lineup

[@IAmAHeater]

​@@luckerooni1153 Yeah because Lakers and Celtics fans don't say stupid shit when things are bad 🙄

[@brendanfernandez8744]

@@KaiserReb I’m a heat fan and I like Tyler’s game but it doesn’t fit our team. They can find a high efficiency shooter with maybe less ability getting to the basket, and iso plays, but that plays better defense. He’s not worth the money, trade him and get another big, retain Strus, Martin, Vincent on cheap contracts. Lowry I’d resign but only to veterans minimum. His presence is great in locker room and during playoffs. Injury prone though

[@mambaASI]

@@KaiserReb yea his bubble playoff run was his peak. Hasn't been that dude since.

[@BetleyIsland36]

This wasn't the only time Bill said he was terrified of playing them either, this was a theme all season. He wanted to avoid them no matter what

[@mambaASI]

cuz he got ptsd from last season. But celtics supposedly got better from last season. It seems they got worse...

[@Fent-]

@@mambaASI or Miami is out shooting them significantly, and may have the biggest coaching advantage in playoff history lol.

[@prod.snqwfall1347]

@@mambaASI Eh they kinda did. Their 1 through 8 is prolly better as far as talent but the difference in defensive effort is insane

[@mambaASI]

@@Fent- yes miami is out shooting them, that is clear as day. BUT is that all just miami getting lucky buckets? Or are many of those shots open due to ball movement and celtics defense lacking? Its a mix of both imo.

[@bladerunner12]

I've never heard more of a Monkey's Pawl Curling moment than 12:07 lmaooo "Dream scenario" became a nightmare real quick buddy

[@littlegamingmoments2923]

Guys.... It's worse than you thought....

[@Rodricktyrone]

As a heat fan I remember a video of bill saying I don’t want to see the heat. Yet here we are

[@serenadesilhout]

Mike is Nostradamus. He's the literal script writer of the playoffs this season.

[@michaelmaniloff9297]

That was gold. When he reminds Bill of the "Dark Arts" of the Heat! Bills eyes get all wide, and he agrees. 😆 ☠️

[@arsenworld123]

I was 5 minutes into this video before realizing that this was from an old episode lol cause its all soooooo relevant right now

[@AmpTheProducer]

As a Heat fan, I absolutely LOVE this 😂

[@kendallwhitfield5504]

Mike Schur is a basketball genius for this take! I'm a Heat fan and I didn't even see this coming!

[@jordancaselberry3223]

Scared why Bill is friends with Dwight’s cousin Mose…

[@julessantana643]

The only part where they were off was thinking the Heat would be bad on offense. They have been great on offense which is one of the reasons they have been so dominant.

[@Br4dSp34d]

wow, this was PAINFUL to listen to because of how accurate it turned out to be...

[@roygibiv]

Bill needs to have Mike Schur back on the Pod to go over their thoughts on the ECF with this conversation in mind. They really nailed it and I kept coming back to this theory on them as I watched Bucks Heat, and then Knicks Heat and of course as they went up 3-0 on the Celtics.

[@darthrodney1]

As a Lakers fan, the Zombie Heat kicking the Celts butt is the only thing giving me joy currently 😂

[@O.G.3]

The best part is Bill thought they were dead after the play in loss. But the zombie heat dont die

[@TreacherousTetrisTerrorist]

This clip is so good I want to listen to it again

[@Allaces305]

This man nailed it perfectly.

[@Roanix1]

I've never seen anything this prophetic

[@seanpidduck]

This is genuinely amazing. Called the Smart 3 and thr Strus make lol. The comment about it taking teams a full quarter to understand the Heat zone is truly amazing after Spo played zone for the 1st and 3rd quarters of game 2 🤣. Its like he listened to this pod lmao

[@cyclingchallenge]

Mike Schur was also often on the Lebatard podcast talking this. He knew, he knew, he knew. What a visionary :-)

[@MG-pf5xm]

the Heat have trained themselves to be clutch by being terrible all season.... genius 🤔

[@Rodricktyrone]

It aged the Heat fans by 10 years 👴🏾

[@dre7147]

Jimmy Butler was 2nd in clutch player of the year award 🔥 Butler is clutch.

[@tesytes318]

Well they have had so many close games like I think the most of the season . Also the most wins in close games this year .

[@luckerooni1153]

if by being terrible you mean being hurt and having to play UD then yeah we had to train hard af 😂

[@Papo1976]

Not terrible. Just nicks and injuries all over the place which meant everybody had to play. Miami can go 9 or 10 deep if needed.

[@kellsmo9488]

This is such great content. Bill and co have the best basketball junkie discussions. I love how perfectly Mike broke this down. It was eerily accurate and it was heightened beyond what he even saw coming!!! 🤣🤣🤣

[@sergeynazaro1768]

Huge heat fan here I remember listening to this pod and thinking these two, especially the guest have it right. Especially since the Heat are extremely well coached by Spoelstra and his staff. They are ready for any moment and aren’t scared 3-1 lead right now and I think it’s Heat in 6

[@dmen0563]

I just love that years later we still live rent free in Simmons mind 🤗

[@nomorepartiezz]

wow, amazing video with some insane insights. when you guys were describing how the Heat always managed to find themselves in close games only to barely win- little did we know, all those experiences were building up the entire roster to be absolute killers in the clutch come playoff time. As we’ve all seen now, they play with so much confidence and are able to come back from 10+ deficits in the fourth out of absolutely nowhere while the other team is discombobulated and gassed. They dont fold under pressure and have immense poise. Every player in the rotation knows their role and they dont buckle or mentally collapse. They’ve completely torn the souls out from the Bucks and the Celtics and left them looking confused and lost despite those teams being way more talented and deep on paper. The Bucks looked like they completely collapsed in Games 4 and 5. Giannis was completely rattled and looked terrified to even touch the ball by the end of that series which is insane to see from the guy who mercilessly dropped 50 in Game 6 of the finals just 2 years ago. “Best Perimeter Defender in the League” Jrue Holiday was getting straight up abused by Jimmy. In Game 3 for the Celtics we saw Jayson Tatum getting his ankles snapped by Gabe Vincent and blown past by Duncan Robinson. Shits just embarrassing. They’ve completely wrecked the Eastern conference. To me this is a sign of top tier coaching and a well run franchise. To sum it up, the entire team got that dawg in them.

[@lightmasterj]

He even called out the zone😂

[@ScottMcLain77]

right around 12:30 mike starts talking about an alternative universe where the Heat take out the Bucks. At this point, my brain melted. This should have been required watching in the C's film sessions when the playoffs started and especially after the first round. a "break glass in case of emergency" video to remind you what could happen. I realize they were having problems with a (very good) upstart Hawks team (credit to them!) but good grief - absolutely prophetic!! Just think about this - it's not like Mazzula et al had absolutely no idea - this was a Boston friendly media piece back in MARCH. When they saw what happened to the Bucks they should have gone straight to this video and said "woah - pay attention!" sometimes.... knowledgable fans / media actually understand something worth paying attention to, ya know?

[@croquetacaddy]

thank you for turning on original sound so i can hear the music

[@bobbythomas3119]

Watching this Feb 2024 is magical🤣

[@ThePenitentSquirrel]

Going into the season the Heat had been in 2 of the 3 Eastern Conference finals and after they demolished the Bucks (shades of 2007 Mavs) I didn't really have any questions what was going to happen. However, I will say I didn't envision the Heat punking the Celtics... I was kinda hoping for 7 game slogfest of rubber match... This is what the audience must have experienced when Roberto Durán yelled out 'No Mas' in his second fight with Sugar... bewildering disappointment. (Edit) That was some pretty close predicting guys lol

[@tuckerkarnes]

This is absolutely stunning, Schur was the ONLY person saying this in March. Guess you gotta have a pretty special brain to create all those shows but I didn't know it translated to sports!

[@yvinfanfan9283]

Great to hear you, guys!

[@Halbumen]

schur even nails how teams will react to miami's unique system switches on defence and the zone

[@joaquinbarzi9294]

that lob play they mention is exactly what happened to Milwaukee, i cant believe, they could see the future

[@luigivincenz3843]

I need to contact Mike and ask for lottery numbers because he was spot on. As a rabid Heat fan, I was frustrated of the losses after Kevin Love joined. However, I knew that once they get into the playoffs, Jordan's son will do a lot of damage.

[@superdopehiphop]

And yet you, bill, Mike all had Heat losing to Bucks when they were healthy before playoffs started

[@justindavis5242]

Give this man a raise. He was spot on about the heat and the Eastern conference. I hope he put some bets down and made some money

[@meks90]

I have lost count of how many times I have listened to this and it never gets old.

[@kiwigardnersonn]

Mike Schur understands the game better than some "analysts" and "commentators" on major sports networks. I'm looking at you Mark Jackson.

[@mbabaneamputee7725]

schur is great give him a pod

[@joerogan1399]

Clairvoyant Bill strikes again

[@carnifex2005]

This is more Clairvoyant Mike Schur than Bill.

[@theDanDeleon]

For Schur called it.

[@Michael-ld2np]

Jesus Christ. I’m a Heat fan and even through all the crazy games this year, couldn’t have came close to this prediction.

[@SirVic42]

All these stats and stories about the Heat "stealing" wins sounds like a convincing case for Erik Spoelstra as Coach of the Year.

[@jovantemusic68]

Great replay

[@benjaminmihelcic2585]

Great video. I love Bill Simmons and his guests. Thank you. Keep it up. GOD bless you.

[@randychester2754]

This is what I was saying before the playoffs began. The ONLY team in the Eastern Conference that scares me is the Heat, and I definitely don't want my Celtics playing them. I'm not the least bit surprised by what has happened.

[@markdelgado181]

This warms my heart lmao ya knew deep down you gotta worry bout Miami this time of year not no bum aaa Philly or even Milwaukee ya knew it

[@patrickb2217]

This is crazy..so prophetic. If anyone was paying attention though, they would have seen that with the amount of injuries the Heat endured all season, the numbers really should have been thrown out. I dont understand the surprise.

[@Tarquin2718]

Wauw Now that aged well. They slayed the whole of the East. Incredible

[@meks90]

To anyone checking out the comments first, please listen, this video is very funny :)

[@teri8505]

This is one of the most on point prediction Ive ever heard 😂😂 99.9% exactly what happen

[@eddort6440]

I have listened to this podcast 3 times, once more since the heat beat the Celtics on the way to the finals, go heat.!

[@allank8497]

When my Bucks lost in essentially the exact fashion described by Bill and Michael here, i remembered this moment instantly and it made me cry. Makes me feel a lot better that the Celtics are about to get swept by them

[@crazylegs1324]

Not getting swept lol.

[@allank8497]

@@crazylegs1324 going down 0-3 and then losing in 5 is still getting swept. its just gentlemens swept

[@crazylegs1324]

@@allank8497 you’re assuming a win for Miami is guaranteed in game 5.

[@crazylegs1324]

@@allank8497 now it’s 3-3.

[@tzaMc]

​@@crazylegs1324 the heat always win the hard way all throughout the season. Them having a 3-0 lead in the ECF is foreign to them. Winning a game 7 in Boston is the most Miami Heat thing to happen in the ECF. I bet if the Heat will win the Finals vs. the Nuggets, it would be a game 7 coming back from a 0-3 to be the 1st team in history to ever win from that defecit simply because that's what this Heat team is. The ultimate underdogs who has No quit mentality.

[@atleastsomeoneelse]

Really can’t believe I heard them calling the Heat annoying with how they play the old school way 😂

[@richarddaccarett3342]

Wow!!!! That’s incredible.

[@williamharris7849]

Saying Miami knows The Dark Arts is the best way to describe them

[@gustavod82]

I love the Heat. Just never give up.

[@Lisette797]

They spoke it into existence!

[@ccamelll]

This is awesome.

[@Lumbar20]

5:46 similar to the Brunson play at the end of Game 6

[@patrickmcguire7929]

That's CRAZY! How prescient Mr. Schur was, what 12 weeks ago!?

[@SilverTJC]

This is the type of respect I like to hear about my Heat lol

[@cmselect7298]

this is so gold

[@Dnero518]

There versatility on defense is whats insane. When you match how hard they play defense and hustle and scrap with switching from man to man to multiple random different zone defenses and different kinds of double teams where they moght jist show or completely trap or whatever they do really hard to stifle the best scorers it throws teams off. Most nba teams will have one type of zone theyll use a little bit or half the time maybe. Miami uses different zones a bunch and then u got Jimmy and Bam anchoring it and then Jimmy actually turns up like crazy in ths postseason so u have a legitimate superstar running things.

[@programR3]

Great Video! Great Take! So what you are really saying is.... Erik Spoelstra is one of the best coaches in the league.

[@AcbLynn132]

Cousin Mose knows his stuff

[@Space_Ache]

This is incredible.

[@WCGOLD27NZ]

Damn! That’s scary true. I think he spoke this into existence.

[@AGBULLIT]

Very prophetic!

[@somacat78]

To me, this series reminds me of the Simpsons episode with the zombies. The Heat tapping the Celtics head, hearing only hollow noises, and coming up disgusted that there's no "braaaaaiiins" in there

[@SalKhayer]

Prophetic.

[@shonehi546tim9]

While I can appreciate the frustration, this team was the #1 seed last year and were one possession away from the NBA Finals, along with being 3 years removed from an NBA Finals. This team wins by staying close and finding a moment in the 2nd half to win comfortably or make it to the last moments and win by the smallest of margins. The road is just as comfortable as playing at home. They are the team that relies on the game being 48 minutes full of basketball. You will lose focus, you get mentally tired, and they'll give you enough rope so you can h@ng yourself. The Miami Heat are a worthy Championship contending team who by mid-June could have finished the job. This is basketball not gymnastics. There are no style points and in 10 years they will be remembered as the tough team at the beginning of the decade that won 1 Championship, went to 2 NBA Finals and 3 Eastern Conference Finals in 4 years. Put some RESPEK in their name.

[@troofball4]

That is hilarious how things turned out

[@infinitezest3912]

10:40 - LMAO. The alley oop play also happened during the Bucks series. Bucks made a literal rookie mistake lol

[@crewcutter2030]

This is the best tribute to the heat i love it.

[@mikefranck0]

I forgot about bill excellent prediction, HEAT BALL🔥

[@lauriagrantiii]

It’s actually beyond scary how this aged! 😂😂😂 Go Heat!!! 🔥🔥

[@glenn8886]

Maybe not this year according those cluth and 4th quarter number, not the same level as last year

[@lauriagrantiii]

@glenn8886 that’s fair. I willingly suffer from eternal optimism

[@crewcutter2030]

Heat is like the ultimate underdog, every year sports analysts think theyre a 1st round exit, but every year they go deep in the playoffs.

[@miracleman9365]

Wow! This was prophetic. Looks like his fear was justified. Let's Go Heat!!

[@merrylderrickson3147]

Boston had 21 Offensive Rebounds in Game Three Miami had 1 Offensive Rebound in Game Three Miami won by 26 points.

[@joedaddy8205]

As a heat fan I thought our season was over when we lost to the hawks at the playing, we could've been the 6th or 5th seed if we win some key games down the stretch but we lost and kept losing but we always played our style of basketball and always competed so I feel I gotta apologize for ever doubt this team and the Godfather Pat Riley

[@northside4767]

Mike a high level ball knower. 🫡

[@raycolmenares6820]

Wow this is spot on 😂

[@winterfoxcloud]

true visionaries

[@prod.snqwfall1347]

“They are the scariest team to see in the playoffs” HE SAW THE FKN FUTURE

[@luizfranco6500]

This man is an oracle! Get him back on show Bill. We need another one of these heat rants lol

[@BloodSasuke101]

This is terrifying! I had no idea I was listening to a past pod until halfway through the video!