Brittle morale could cause Russia major problem in winter war | Mark Galeotti interview

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The Telegraph

The Telegraph

Жыл бұрын

As Putin’s war enters into the winter, what are the prospects of a peace deal? To discuss the war in Ukraine Steven Edginton is joined by the Russia expert and author of the new book “Putin’s wars” Mark Galeotti.
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Пікірлер: 913
@michael200927 Жыл бұрын
Having lived in Ukraine and Eastern Europe myself, i think this is one of the most insightful people at this moment in time. Listen to this man.
@A2Z1Two3 Жыл бұрын
I was trying to find out how many researchers or or organisation , or even any kind of background to ' Joe Bloggs ' , but found nothing!
@fillefrans2020 Жыл бұрын
I've been following Mark for years, since he was a regular on The Power Vertical on RFE/RL. Always interesting to hear his perspective.
@markoconnell804 Жыл бұрын
No, in needed areas he is wrong. 1 Putin has already stated who will next be on his invasion lists. Poland is one of them. Negotiations now would be in Putin’s favor. He will simply prepare better for those on his list next. This guy refused to see this as it is easily ready news concerning Putin’s statements.
@user-hv9vn4fi4w Жыл бұрын
My aunt was killed in Donbass in 2015 as Ukrainian citizen by Ukrainian army.
@EhEhEhEINSTEIN Жыл бұрын
5:52 I think there's a need to think about that question in reverse. Guaranteed that if the Russians had invaded part of Alaska, we were fighting a prolonged war against them and Ukraine started pressuring us to make a peace deal while the Russians were still holding bits of Alaska, EVERY American would reject the idea of negotiating for "peace."
@gregorywarnshuis323 Жыл бұрын
Yes, Russia invading Alaska sounds like a rather extreme hypothetical, however, there are literally elements in Russia that have and continue to seriously promote this.
@hoodatdondar2664 Жыл бұрын
Historically, Alaska was ruled directly from Moscow. If the Russians say it is theirs, then a referendum should be held in the part the USA controls, to see if the USA should annex Moscow. Just what Putin did in Donbas.
@Darth_Vader258 Жыл бұрын
@@hoodatdondar2664 Russia 🇷🇺 SOLD Alaska to the US 🇺🇲. I do NOT think Russia can BEAT US, since Russia cannot even BEAT Ukraine 🇺🇦.
@FrontLinePub Жыл бұрын
Except none of these countries would support America, they can't even find their own military right now.
@garybeaton3802 Жыл бұрын
The Americans are trying to annex Moscow. Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria and Vietnam were rehearsals.
@thomasmills3934 Жыл бұрын
Russia deported many native crimeans and settled crimea with its own citizens. Any vote on crimean independence now would be totally unfair.
@paullangton-rogers2390 Жыл бұрын
Good point. How can that be resolved with a new vote, that's just absurd. Russia's regime corrupts, lies and manipulates facts and truth consistently. Probably the best way to approach the Crimea problem and question, is to try and locate all the people forced out of Crimea and look at the demography of Crimea before Russia invaded and then compare to after. It requires a massive investigation by the UN to get to the truth.
@fintonmainz7845 Жыл бұрын
@@flowerpower8722 A comment worthy of the late Mister Hitler.
@michaelmichelsen Жыл бұрын
Agreed. The result of any current referendum when the deck has been stacked isn't free and fair. I don't think that new referendums are even necessary at this point. Let the Ukrainians take back their entire country and call it settled. Oh yea, and return the million plus Ukrainians who have been abducted to Russia to boost their falling population and brain drain.
@fintonmainz7845 Жыл бұрын
@@michaelmichelsen That thinking would result in a "permanent war".
@RichardTaylor1630 Жыл бұрын
@@fintonmainz7845 It was Hitler's even-more-evil twin Stalin that the entire Crimean Tatar population was deported to Siberia. Russians who were brought in to take their land, as part of that "ethnic cleansing" campaign, have no right to determine the future of the peninsula.
@anthonymorris2276 Жыл бұрын
The problem with a negotiated peace is not merely that Russia and Ukraine are “so far apart”. The more fundamental problem is that Russian promises are worthless. Ukraine has had a peace treaty with Russia since 1994 (the Budapest Memorandum), by which Ukraine agreed to surrender all of its nuclear armaments - then the world’s 3rd largest stockpile - in return for promises to respect Ukraine’s sovereignty and its existing (1994) borders, not to attack Ukraine, and not to subject Ukraine to economic coercion. Russia has broken all of those promises. It would be irrational for Ukraine to surrender any territory in return for promises which have already been made and violated.
@robbyduffy1 Жыл бұрын
Then the Russian offer would have to be immediate and tangible like reparations, land, privatisation of state media, guarantee of publicly owned media cos, Putin’s head on a plate and the ability to supervise and validate Russian elections from now on.
@jenniferconroy4517 Жыл бұрын
@davidelliott5843 Жыл бұрын
@@robbyduffy1 Putin is backed by a powerful minority that not only support his actions, many want even more fascism. Remove Putin and an even worse zealot will take his place.
@Agressor-ft3eb Жыл бұрын
Ukraine withdrew from this agreement in 2014 immediately after the coup d'état and abandoned the non-bloc status that was spelled out in it.
@theculturedjinni Жыл бұрын
@@Agressor-ft3eb After Russia had constantly interfered in Ukraine even before that...
@brandonmcheyenehoward1077 Жыл бұрын
For those of us living in Europe closer to this crazy event, nothing less that complete withdrawal by Russia is acceptable. The future depends on it
@Alicja1Fenigsen Жыл бұрын
emotionally, I'd agree. In reality, the only way to a livable future seems to be some sort of deep and long overdue reform development in Russia itself, from within. It seems possible and really needed. Any diplomatic "acceptance" would be the cherry on that cake
@andrewwright4464 Жыл бұрын
@@Alicja1Fenigsen Good luck with that
@johnswimcat Жыл бұрын
Yes, some of us realise that the war in Ukraine is the front line between autocracy and democracy. Every dictator in the world will be watching to see how the West handles this. It's really important for the free world 🌎 Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦
@MurrayLake Жыл бұрын
It's not clear that the EU has a near term future in the new multipolar world. The Americans have seen to that.
@harryjacobs2462 Жыл бұрын
as warnings were laid out for many years, nothing less than a complete withdraw by NATO and all their proxy forces will end this conflict.
@albertzondervan6218 Жыл бұрын
I had not heard of Mark Galeotti before. He, triggered by good questions from the interviewer, made a serious effort to give a concise description of what's behind the curtain and of why Ukraine is still worth supporting for its quest for freedom from being enslaved. For more on the history of Ukraine, see Prof Timothy Snyder's class (accessible through KZbin) and books. Foremost, one take-home message from this interview is that the West needs to formulate what the end-game should be in this conflict. The West, incl. Ukraine, needs to let Russia know how it can and will have peace. The current war costs too many lives on both sides and is a huge distraction from dealing with other global issues, e.g. climate change, nuclear proliferation, and growing gap between the rich and poor.
@valuggel8972 Жыл бұрын
It is hilarious though when these Yes-men claim Putin is surrounded By Yes-men...Fairytales and Projection🤪
@ddoumeche Жыл бұрын
Ukraine is already enslaved and Zelensky banned the last opposition party a month ago or two
@chrisgreene2623 Жыл бұрын
By next Spring he will sound like the clueless twit he is
@seanniemeyer5437 Жыл бұрын
@@ddoumeche let's fact check your statement. The 11 parties banned by putin all had close ties with Russia, during an invas6of Ukraine by Russia. These parties were banned not because they were the opposition, but because they supported the enemy that was invading Ukraine. So it's Bull sh!t on your claim. Well done.
@Gumby07 Жыл бұрын
I appreciate the thought that went into your text and I agree with a lot of it. One of the issues that will need to be overcome is I don’t recall Russia losing a war . Putin is going to have to negotiate from a position he may ignore or be blind to that . Putin has to swallow fact he ran second in a two man race .
@Symphonia1983 Жыл бұрын
Russia as a country has done something that its hard to look back with any kind of sentimental feeling. They shoved their fist to the world and they dont deserv nothing else then a fist shoved back to them. They pick the fight and they should be dealt with same cards.
@miroslavdusin4325 Жыл бұрын
Difficult with them having the most nukes in the World. On the other hand yes. The only positive example I can think of is Finland. They gave USSR very painful lesson and showed that it is not worth attacking them again. It was extremely painful for them as well but now they are a Western country whereas the Baltic countries and Eastern Europe will need another 100 years to recover from the 40 years of Russian occupation.
@user-hv9vn4fi4w Жыл бұрын
Love Russia, but not EU or USA
@professorhodgeson9762 Жыл бұрын
@@miroslavdusin4325 Did Finland give the USSR a painful lesson by giving away lands in the Golf of Finland, now part of Saint-Petersburg, and full transit of goods through the Moscow Treaty? I bet Russia is looking forward for more Finnish painful lessons.
@miroslavdusin4325 Жыл бұрын
@@professorhodgeson9762 It was painful for both sides but taking in account that USSR had hundred millions of citizens and ready to sacrifice them then what the Finns achieved is admirable. And yes, they gave very hard lesson to the Red army.
@ddoumeche Жыл бұрын
The US picked the fight with Russia in 2014 and UK has been sucking uncle sams balls since 1953 instead of caring its own, nothing new here
@Kevin19700 Жыл бұрын
Actually watched this entire vid twice just because there is so much interesting info. Thanks for this most informative interview.
@sapprdaddy5684 Жыл бұрын
Always a pleasure listening to mark & Julia Loffe!
@charlesjoseph7424 Жыл бұрын
Probably the most convincing analysis i have heard about the ukraine invasion. Thanks for bringing it to us .
@andrewj4190 Жыл бұрын
There has already been a legitimate referendum in Crimea in December 1991. Having another one only rewards Russia.
@simongray2533 Жыл бұрын
I didn't know about that, what was the result?
@rickcummings3938 Жыл бұрын
Crimea is Ukraine. The territory, the land and natural resources all belong to Ukraine for this generation and every generation of Ukrainians yet to come. The humans on this land presently have a choice to make: denounce their Russian citizenship and pledge allegiance to Ukraine....or pack their bags and get to Moscow and never return.....or die.
@Alicja1Fenigsen Жыл бұрын
@hoodatdondar2664 Жыл бұрын
Besides which, Russia gave up any claim to Crimea in the Budapest Memorandum. In return, Ukraine agreed to destroy all its nuclear weapons. It did. Ukraine became a non nuclear country. Bet they feel like they got conned, now. (Lavrov was asked about this. He said the memorandum was an agreement with the previous government, so not binding. What a weasel.)
@simongray2533 Жыл бұрын
@@rickcummings3938 Thanks for this. Very interesting. 👍
@Jonas-km4qx Жыл бұрын
One of the best analys I've seen so far. Good man.
@ceo5264 Жыл бұрын
All lies
@WebnutzerGemeinschaft Жыл бұрын
One of the best interviews I saw regarding Putin/Russia/war/Ukraine. Will there be a follow-up?
@ceo5264 Жыл бұрын
The follow up is russia winning
@christinemcclymont269 Жыл бұрын
Totally addicted to Mark Galeotti's entertaining delivery on his refreshing and original perspectives on Russia. Currently reading his insightful The Vory.
@Weliketohavefunhere Жыл бұрын
His new book, Putins Wars, is really good too.
@kj4242 Жыл бұрын
A well articulated point of view that deserves attention
@Conn30Mtenor Жыл бұрын
Mark Galeotti hit multiple pitches out of the park this time.
@ceo5264 Жыл бұрын
Why, russia is winning?
@michaelmcgaughey5113 Жыл бұрын
If we in the west are so worried about a quick peace then we need to be willing to help Ukraine fight for it, not just supply weapons. Until we are ready to do that we have no voice at the table. It is Ukrainians that are dying to keep the vicious animal currently referred to as Russia in check and off our neck. As for the food issues. That is a clear call out to the world that all countries need to prioritize farming and do everything possible to ensure all countries have the ability to feed themselves. Countries also need to revisit having emergency food reserves made up of food with long shelf lives and a method of rotating that food out to ensure that food security is never issue.
@jfk-shotbybanksters479 Жыл бұрын
the one and only vicious animal of this world is the undereducated us----greatings from berlin
@leenickshramko1100 Жыл бұрын
Ukraine needs long range missiles which will strike the Russians in the occupied areas and drive them back into Russia. The world community must name Putin, his general butchers war criminals and immediately start to prosecute them in absentia. Patriot missiles would change the game. Should have been provided up front, but the decision was made in the west to let hundreds of thousands of civilians die in the mud.
@ywfbi Жыл бұрын
In reality it is obvious the 'west' does not want peace. War has a twofold benefit, firstly the profit from weapons and secondly the destruction of competitors. The only reason the US is not in Ukraine is because Russia is not a major competitor. They are saving themselves for China.
@paulrevere2379 Жыл бұрын
The Biden Administration all out war against affordable energy and against American energy independence kinda destroys America's best options on this topic.
@adrianlang6550 Жыл бұрын
Very wise words regarding food security. The unhidden issue that many dare not talk about is the massive over population that continues to escalate in northern Africa. That region seems to totally depend on Ukrainian and Russian grain.
@peterbrooke1137 Жыл бұрын
Wonderful insightful
@thommyrubin1866 Жыл бұрын
Pleasure to listen to Mark Galeotti.
@Edo9River Жыл бұрын
Ok, I am on the verge of buying the book. This guy is great
@ceo5264 Жыл бұрын
Go buy 1984 and look outside youre nato window 🎉
@cenccenc946 Жыл бұрын
Let the russian mothers, fathers, wives look across the table at Christmas dinner and think about that empty chair. 🤔 Putin will have much bigger problems than Ukraine this spring.
@osric1730 Жыл бұрын
Maybe, but I wouldn't count on it.
@juliec5309 Жыл бұрын
Thing is for Crimea...a lot of people have left and all that's left is pro Russia people pretty much. That s not really fair either. It shojldn't have been allowed in the first place
@MeYou-yz2yz Жыл бұрын
The Crimea belongs to Britain and France since ancient times. Well 1850s.
@paulrevere2379 Жыл бұрын
There is no fairness, not even the best case scenario in the real world. I'm thinking that the west should just buy Crimea to satisfy Russian ego, but with that Russia would have to desist with all claims on Crimea and every other part of Ukraine. Payments made on the installment plan would help ensure compliance and of course even more aid would be sent to Ukraine for rebuilding.
@astor_333 Жыл бұрын
@@paulrevere2379 What kind of idiot would sell a naval base? Ukraine does not need Donbass with a population.
@steveswearingen6197 Жыл бұрын
It is really fascinating that there is a new battery made by a 4 dollar stock price company. Way to go KZbin. Another worthwhile advertisement
@greeneyeswideopen774 Жыл бұрын
I like this interviewer. Well done.
@jimmyincredible3141 Жыл бұрын
Yeah sure, granting a country that invades with an inferior force a piece of whatever it asks for after they threatened nukes will be no precedent that will cause any problems ever in the future. Just as well as not honoring guarantees that were specifically given on Ukraine's territorial integrity by western countries won't cause any problems for other countries...A south Korean perspective on this would be very very interesting...
@user-hv9vn4fi4w Жыл бұрын
My aunt was killed in Donbass in 2015 as Ukrainian citizen by Ukrainian army. I'm happy now Donbass is RF! And don't repeat, because Russian-speaking ppl were genocided and killed there many years by Ukrainian government, so they voted to become part of Russia. Europe is untrustable, EU never support Donbass, never said about killed civilians there, but about Ukraine is screeming as crazy donkey. I live in South Korea from 2005, US's propoganda is very bad for frendship with North Korea.
@jimmyincredible3141 Жыл бұрын
@@user-hv9vn4fi4w Lol, is the weather in St. Petersburg today?
@DieFlabbergast Жыл бұрын
A very shallow comment indeed. Think more deeply.
@DataDuncan Жыл бұрын
Steve sorry I couldn't stop laughing at your skew collar and tie 😁
@ceo5264 Жыл бұрын
Could not stop laughing at his lies but ok 😅
@charlesmackey8179 Жыл бұрын
Very knowledgeable guest.
@fozzyg63 Жыл бұрын
Excellent interview 👏👏👏
@cuddycabinrestorationproje9155 Жыл бұрын
In 2013, the Levada Center survey found that only 20% of Crimea residents were in favor of joining Russia. And let’s not forget that the Russian Black Sea fleet was located there.
@ceo5264 Жыл бұрын
All lies but ok
@nigeldunkley2986 Жыл бұрын
excellent interview!
@lionelpayette4628 Жыл бұрын
For the war to end in peace, Putin must be taken out of the equation. 🧛‍♀
@alunevans2377 Жыл бұрын
Great insight from Mark
@jonbattin6831 Жыл бұрын
Of all the Kremlinologists thatve come to the surface since the war began, Mark Galeotti is right up there with Tim Snyder and Fiona Hill IMO.
@richardcory5024 Жыл бұрын
Watch Professor Stephen Kotkin. I think his knowledge of the Russian system is unrivalled.
@jonbattin6831 Жыл бұрын
@@richardcory5024 He's good too. And for the elusive Russian perspective Ekaterina Kotrikadze is great.
@mjmej4734 Жыл бұрын
Rewarding murder and stealing is unacceptable.
@brianobrain8985 Жыл бұрын
Very interesting interview. Well done Steven E too for asking some thoughtful questions. Maybe we should talk more about how Russia is going to see itself and be seen by the world in say 25 years time. Will there be another Putin walking around waving at his cheering fans?
@jjbiggmann5576 Жыл бұрын
@ED-es2qv Жыл бұрын
The Russians want a tough, unbeatable leader who is tough on them, and ruthless to the rest of the world. They’ve been raised to want that.
@aurelio-reymilaorcabal9669 Жыл бұрын
Ukraine must get Crimea back , it is that simple, AND IT WILL! Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦 Glory to Ukraine 🇺🇦
@jenpsakiscousin4589 Жыл бұрын
I see no signs of Russian morale breaking. The only thing that would break the will to fight would be some kind of settlement
@tedbaxter5234 Жыл бұрын
How many years did the Paris Peace Accords last? They lasted for years and years. One of the first items, after months of negotiations, was North Vietnam and the United States agreed to the shape and size of the the negotiation table. After months and months…
@casard5235 Жыл бұрын
Mr. Galeotti is a good interviewee in this 'cast and I'm looking forward to finding more of his insights
@jackmassie5750 Жыл бұрын
He has a podcast called Moscow shadows
@patrickshanley4466 Жыл бұрын
Excellent discussion- the book was excellent also
@ceo5264 Жыл бұрын
Yes, this was not a denate
@klgrmmm Жыл бұрын
One of the finest senses of Russia. Thanks Mark
@ceo5264 Жыл бұрын
And totally ridiculous, why is putin loosing exactly, he doesent say
@bezdownunder5481 Жыл бұрын
There was also 70k more people volunteered as well. On top of conscripts
@laughingotter1125 Жыл бұрын
It's funny how many of these guys crawl out of the woodwork as Russia is losing on the battlefield. Ukraine mounts 2 successful counteroffensives and they nod and say that Ukraine needs to negotiate. Better make peace before they actually win this thing! It's not just craven, it's illogical.
@ceo5264 Жыл бұрын
How is russia loosing exactly?
@andrewfabia4638 Жыл бұрын
Nobody discribet Putin in more precise way,amazing discription of Wołodia Putin
@johnwalsh4857 Жыл бұрын
I remember Putin giving a talking down to to his security council just before Russian invaded Ukraine in Feb 2022, and his ministers looked sick, they really did not agree with the war, but Putin adamant egotistical thought he could win fast, boy was he wrong.
@andrewwright4464 Жыл бұрын
The free world will rejoice when he is gone. But who will replace him .???.
@johnwalsh4857 Жыл бұрын
@@andrewwright4464 who knows??? but Im preety sure the next ahole to rule Russia will not have any game in Ukraine and will probably blame everything on Putin then withdraw.
@andrewwright4464 Жыл бұрын
@@johnwalsh4857 Let’s hope so ,feel sure there are some normal Russians around who realise what they have lost . Trains made in Germany to name just one thing and the list is very very long now….
@muttley00 Жыл бұрын
The ministers probably new that all that money given to the military, wasn't spent on military equipment!
@user-hv9vn4fi4w Жыл бұрын
Capitalism = cannibalism
@albertosotonicolas7444 Жыл бұрын
They both live in another world...
@shooster5884 Жыл бұрын
It's such a shame that Putin didn't go the route after he rescued the federation from the initial chaos of the 90's and stabilized the economy, that he didn't instead promote the country as a great multicultural peaceful entity, and highlight it's various ethnic parts and equally economically develop them. Russia should a wonderful part of Europe with all it's diverse and normal economic potential. In the West I suspect most people still only see the federation as ethnic Slav. A lot of people have gone and learned more about the Russian Federation and it's make up since the invasion and the associated countries that anti war or anti Putin Russians have fled to, and know that there is a large Russian population that don't support the current government set up. If a real type of democracy came to Russia it would thrive I believe.
@paullangton-rogers2390 Жыл бұрын
I agree, Russia has and had enormous potential. It's the largest land-mass country on earth with enormous natural resources, particularlly oil and could be one of the wealthiest and most developed nations on earth. Instead, it has an economy only the size of Italy which is astonishing really. That's because Putin and his cronies have looted the Russian State for 23 years, even before he was President when he was Mayor of St Petersberg him and his cronies were stealing large sums of money from the State. It's estimated well over a trillion dollars of stolen Russian State money is held in banks and assets around the world. Including an estimated $200 billion in Switzerland (the Swiss have only frozen $3 billion of it). Really the way Putin and his cronies are running Russia is more like a mafia-cartel, using the Russian State industries and central bank reserves as their own personal money. It's not surprising foreign investment into Russia has been slow since Putin became President, and the country has really gone backwards not forwards. Nobody trusts Putin now at all so I doubt they will have attract foreign companies and investment in the future, except from China. When Putin came to power, it was not by a normal democratic process, but rather by succession from another crook, Boris Yeltsin. And therein lies the problem with Russia. Democracy is really an illusion. There is no real political system for opposition parties. What we have in Russia is a corrupt State left-over from the Soviet-era run by a man from that era and a load of cronies who still view Russia and the world from that Soviet-era mindset.
@unworthy42 Жыл бұрын
It's a shame Putin was ever put in charge of other people's lives. : )
@eddiel7635 Жыл бұрын
Only if they came to terms with the fact they are no longer a great power, like most European countries have had to.
@shooster5884 Жыл бұрын
@@eddiel7635 But if it was a united with Europe in a democratic way, it would be still a great power because Europe with the whole Russian Federation as an additional part of it would be a significantly increased voice in the world, not in competition or opposition to the USA, but in alliance with the USA as maybe a voice that would be positive on some choices of USA foreign policy. Along with other western allies a larger Europe which included the Russian Federation would be positive for all countries in the world. The 'West' would be a huge area of relative stability, peace and reasonable standard of living.
@eddiel7635 Жыл бұрын
@@shooster5884 it would be more influential than it is at the moment yeah. But that would require them to understand that they are just another European country rather than the equivalent of a China or USA. They still think with a 19th century mindset. Russia and China are still empires in reality and still think like imperial powers.
@srg3798 Жыл бұрын
@Edo9River Жыл бұрын
Yes, the 2013 insight is confirmed by an ex- representative of the UK at those negotiations
@pavelhromadka658 Жыл бұрын
Great talk! I only doubt Mr. Galeotti's view (however here I probably simplify what he has said) that - besides Putin and his clique - Russia is a rather European country. I believe his opinion ís skewed by the sample of people he probably meets the most (academics, students, journalists, politicians, ...) and the way they tend to talk to him. The reaction (or lack of it) of society as a whole to the soviet-style propaganda and values projected by the top brass disproves it in my opinion. Russia is in its "heart" much more Oriental than European.
@user-ww1ip1uz5d Жыл бұрын
Here, some write in the comments that the USSR did not pay the lend-lease debt to the US. That's not true. After the collapse of the USSR, Russia assumed the obligation of the USSR. The lend-lease debt was finally paid and closed as part of the settlement with the Paris Club on August 21, 2006.
@leenickshramko1100 Жыл бұрын
This month is the anniversary of the Holdomor. Read about the history of Ukraines enslavement by Russia.
@larryclemens1850 Жыл бұрын
Peace is not possible with a country that has twice broken the Budapest accords. The most likely outcome is Russia turning into a milder version of North Korea - an isolated pariah state. The most important economic pressure (that will limit Russia's ability to function militarily) that we can put on Russia is to put the infrastructure in place to supply Europe with natural gas and oil from Canada and the United States. Tactically, long range capability to effect russian logistics is critical.
@hoodatdondar2664 Жыл бұрын
Europe has decided to do without Russian energy. Pipelines turned off, alternate sources sought. This to remove Russia’s capability for energy blackmail. Otherwise, just keep sanctions on. Note these are voluntary, and not a blockade, a blockade is an act of war.
@jfk-shotbybanksters479 Жыл бұрын
go on dreaming, my dear
@Alicja1Fenigsen Жыл бұрын
that sounds very much like . It did work - for a few , not very calm years.
@ywfbi Жыл бұрын
At least they did not sanction the international criminal court to escape war crimes charges.
@Darth_Vader258 Жыл бұрын
@@hoodatdondar2664 Keep ON the Sanctions AFTER the War with Ukraine 🇺🇦.
@bernardzsikla5640 Жыл бұрын
Ok, Russia and Ukraine will definitely have a relationship eventually but that is DECADES away. The rest of Eastern Europe is fencing off Russia and so will Ukraine.
@JMARTIN1947 Жыл бұрын
Normalization of relations between Russia and Ukraine is GENERATIONS away.
@paulrevere2379 Жыл бұрын
After the fighting, let Russian gas flow through Ukraine. No reparations on Russia, but heavy tarriffs to Ukraine as the gas flows to Europe. Everybody gets something providing everyone commits to economic recovery as a priority over rehashing grievances. Incentivised tolerance. Simply put, there is no magic solution. Nobody is going to be fully satisfied. No schemes for achieving justice will give life back to innocent people who have been killed and murdered. There will have to be trade-offs. The best trade-offs will be those that do not feed the kind of bitterness that leads to another war.
@ismaelamaro7728 Жыл бұрын
Ukraine is Russia. Get a clue, or a history book.
@bernardzsikla5640 Жыл бұрын
@@ismaelamaro7728 Sorry dude, historically, it isn't that clear if Ukraine is Russian or is Russia is Ukrainian. Right now, Ukraine is a independent sovereign country with a self identity. Most importantly, Russia has signed documents to that fact. Btw, I was History major in college, not troll college, a real college.
@paulrevere2379 Жыл бұрын
@@ismaelamaro7728 The British Empire did not cease to be significant after they lost to a bunch of rag-tag colonials who ceased to identify as British subjects. The result was the beginning of the most free and prosperous nation in the history of the world, but Britain has no need to be insecure or jealous therefore. Britain is still great and USA is one of Britain's best friends. The American claim was valid and God has blessed America. If anything, the Ukrainian claim to independence is even more valid, and God will bless Ukraine.
@MurrayLake Жыл бұрын
The war is just beginning. Let's see how everyone feels about a deal in February or March. At that point one side or the other will be more than ready to capitulate.
@archierobertson7632 Жыл бұрын
Seek out Col Douglas MacGregor realistic assessment
@joaoheinz3449 Жыл бұрын
This guy could read bedtime stories and provide hot chocolate for all and did actually say "once upon a time" at one point in his monologue. He's the total antithesis of Douglas Macgregor
@lewisbrand Жыл бұрын
Never forget that Winston Churchill received a letter from Heinrich Himler a few days before the second world war ended in Europe. Churchill threw that letter into an open fire.
@killuminati2911 Жыл бұрын
And that was the right thing to do. So what?
@MadMax-iz4vm Жыл бұрын
For Updates on the Ukraine war:
@josephketterer3246 Жыл бұрын
Straightening out his collar and tie would make him look more professional.
@gerardcorbett2358 Жыл бұрын
The first line has been eliminated in the first four months
@richardsimms251 Жыл бұрын
Wow ! I have never heard of Mark Galeotti before. What a great conversation ! These were good questions, but the guest seems extremely articulate and a real scholar of Russia, Belarus and Ukraine etc. Please have this guest back again. RS. Canada
@antonov879 Жыл бұрын
Finished his book 'A short history of Russia ', right now. Very short, indeed, but quite satisfying, anyway.
@alanshackelford6450 Жыл бұрын
Otto von Bismarck would've certainly understood Putin, and he would've certainly played him life a fine tuned piano. Much of Putin's success on foreign policy is a testimony to the incompetence of foreign policy makers in the West rather than to any genius or insight he might have.
@geraldfrieberg7921 Жыл бұрын
Good interview. DITCH that suit and tie, and simply wear an olive green T-shirt. Good job.
@philsaunders65 Жыл бұрын
Excellent interview by Steven Edgington, who once again ably demonstrates how to get the best out of his guest.
@Robert-tt5tg Жыл бұрын
Mostly idle chat as far as I'm concerned but he God bless and keep up the good work
@johnfleming5470 Жыл бұрын
If the people in Chechnya do not want to be part of Russia, will they get a vote?
@dughallhalliday1713 Жыл бұрын
A large chunk of the Russian army in Ukraine are pro-Russia Chechen volunteers.
@davidelliott5843 Жыл бұрын
Ukraine has to be allowed to remove Russia from its lands. But when that happens Ukraine will need to protect its borders in the way Israel does. They’ll need anti-missile batteries and border defences that will actually stop Russia rolling back in.
@njswampfox474 Жыл бұрын
In sum, they will need to be in NATO.
@user-hv9vn4fi4w Жыл бұрын
My family lived in Crimea from the time of tsarist Russia (~1892) until the transfer of Crimea to the Ukrainian Republic by Khrushchev in December 1954.
@elsestelema6273 Жыл бұрын
@@njswampfox474 all the time a country has land disputes it can’t join nato as far as I know
@Luumus Жыл бұрын
Can we stop paying attention to Elon Musk's opinions on subjects which he knows nothing about, such as geo-politics, Ukraine war and so on? That guy's ego is already out of control and his wealth and privilege does not mean his half-baked tweets are more valuable than the opinions of actual experts.
@stream2watch Жыл бұрын
Looking forward to him crashing Twitter
@qboxer Жыл бұрын
@@stream2watch I am not sure that he will. I wouldn’t anchor yourself to that assumption.
@stream2watch Жыл бұрын
@@qboxer Well, the stock has gone private so I can't even bet on it. We will see.
@adoatero5129 Жыл бұрын
- "Can we stop paying attention to Elon Musk's opinions on subjects which he knows nothing about, such as geo-politics, Ukraine war and so on?" It's indeed a strange phenomenon in the media that weight is put on some people's opinion on arbitrary matters just because they are rich and famous. I have noticed it especially in the US media, and I don't know how common it's in other countries (mine seems to be affected in this regard by the US media to some extent, but not terribly much). In the case of Elon Musk it's even more strange because at this phase it seems pretty obvious to me that he has larger than minor mental issues. Perhaps the idea is to create as much circus around the matter as possible to captivate the attention of the audience
@paulgibbon5991 Жыл бұрын
Musk is good at one thing--creating a brand out of himself and selling his fanboys on the idea of himself as a manly capitalist Randian superman. He's a mediocre engineer and IT man, and got a head start from daddy's apartheid mines.
@gerardcorbett2358 Жыл бұрын
There is 300 billion dollars that has been seized as a Americans We gave the Soviets about the same amount during WW2 and the Russians turned and said we are not to pay "Can classify as war repayment"
@David-fj5lz Жыл бұрын
Any discussions to re-build is what they want?
@JOHNTHORN-kg6wo Жыл бұрын
this guy knows what he is talking about
@ceo5264 Жыл бұрын
He sure does, he says putin is loosing without a reason just some emotional blabber
@textmh4999 Жыл бұрын
@@ceo5264 how about 100k dead ivans and losing 8 month worth gains within three weeks for a reason?
@eirikasbjrnberg8753 Жыл бұрын
It is important to remember that Russia is not an old country . It basically was a Moscow county at time of Mongols. It was less than 300 years ago that’s it grew into a big empire . May be we should argue that Sweden should own Russia as Vladimir the Russia *founder* was from there . I say this to show the stupidity of Putin argument . Crimea should likewise belong to Conan the barbarian as an Cimmerian or to Greek or Rome , at least not Russia . May be Tartars as they have been there for long . History is a bad guide for peace
@ceo5264 Жыл бұрын
Why is this important erik?
@DieFlabbergast Жыл бұрын
It's still a hell of a lot older than many countries around the globe, including the USA.
@jesusjuarezflores2196 Жыл бұрын
"To be an enemy of America could be dangerous but to be a friend is fatal" H. Kissinger. Honest message to NATO European countries and Ukraine.
@idlehands1238 Жыл бұрын
47 minutes of excellent analysis though I only agreed with about 40 mins I hope Russia breaks up after this so it is no longer a threat that can be waved about on the whims of a despot.
@stephenwright1328 Жыл бұрын
The implicit social contract idea came directly from Vlad Vexler, I hope he gave him credit!
@jamesewanchook2276 Жыл бұрын
No, although I heard it too lately from Vlad V.... It's a an older, commonly sensible trope that's been around for over a decade or more. Have a nice day.
@rocambole93 Жыл бұрын
great analysis from Mark
@ceo5264 Жыл бұрын
Mark has never seen combat, general suruvikin has game over libs
@toosinbeymen4009 Жыл бұрын
I used to listen to Mark Galeotti whenever he was on rferl and other interviews referring to muscovy (aka russia). How very far he has fallen. I'm sorry to see this happen.
@johnswimcat Жыл бұрын
I wouldn't want him next to me in a trench. He's so flexible I'm surprised he can even stand up. Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦 and let the West continue to support them with everything they need. It's the very least we should do.
@Edo9River Жыл бұрын
YES! Excellent question to get a comment on Putin’s previous successful invasions !!!!
@dichebach Жыл бұрын
Amazingly clear and insightful comments by Mr. Galeotti. Based on his comments here, I think I might disagree slightly with his idea that this conflict does not trace back further than 2013. The second President of Ukraine (Leonid Kuchma, who was in office from 1994 until 2005) held ties to Russia and also engaged in corruption and autocratic measures. While I'm not aware specifically of correspondence, memos or formal agreements between the Kuchma regime and the Kremlin, it seems fairly obvious that Putin was sufficiently satisfied with Ukraine while Kuchma was in power, and again when Yanukovych (who Kuchma endorsed) won in 2010. Both Kuchma and Yanukovych are from the eastern regions of Ukraine where pro-Russian sentiments have historically been more pervasive, and both were arguably corrupt oligarchs who undermined democratic reforms in Ukraine and benefited financially from doing so. To put it simply for the sake of brevity: it seems fairly obvious (though I'm certainly open to being proven wrong) that Putin was satisfied with Ukraine being an "independent sovereign state" as long as he was able to manipulate the top leadership of Ukraine and prevent Ukraine from developing closer economic, legal, or political ties with Western Europe. Whether the intent was to perpetuate that relationship which prevailed from the 1990s until 2005, and was resumed in 2010 or to build on that relationship by seeking to make Ukraine into a vassal state more along the lines of Belarus seems like a real question to me. But the idea that Putin had nothing but good intentions and judicious relations with Ukraine prior to 2013, but was forced by the recognition of clauses in the EU association agreement to start a war and annex Crimea seems even more far-fetched than the hypothesis I'm proposing.
@maritaschweizer1117 Жыл бұрын
It does not help to go too much into history if there is such a break as a war. All the bridges are destroyed now. Yesterday I talked with a Russian teacher in Ukrain and even she deceided to speak now Ukrainian. There is no way back. Even without any Western weapon supply the war would not end. It only would change into a partisan war like in Afghanistan.
@shaunvduke Жыл бұрын
With regard to the people's will in Crimea. He may be right, the majority of the people currently in Crimea may want to be with Russia. That does not take into account those dispossessed, displaced or perhaps killed by the Russians. A full and fair vote should be taken using the list of residents in 2013.
@gerardcorbett2358 Жыл бұрын
Its called fast Ops light vehicles can move over terrain at speed
@XHobbiesPrime Жыл бұрын
No deal with the Russians will be honored by them unless it is on their terms or backed by force. It makes no sense for Ukraine to negotiate now.
@ceo5264 Жыл бұрын
Makes a lot of sense, they will loose everything
@wesley135 Жыл бұрын
💙Slava ukraini 💛
@TheHighlanderprime Жыл бұрын
Fighting and talking with whom in Russia’s side? There can only be talks if there’s mutual trust. If Putin’s Russia isn’t trustworthy? What negotiations can there be? The maximalist pro-Ukraine argument is the most sensible one at this time.
@szgiturbo Жыл бұрын
How brittle is it now?
@davidelliott5843 Жыл бұрын
People f to on Far Eastern Russia feel they are effectively a colony of Moscow. I feel it’s unlikely that other regions feel any different. They are all used by Moscow
@danellashopvlenaandersen1514 Жыл бұрын
They could try a referendum in transnistria???
@KapitanPoop Жыл бұрын
When I hear a British accent, I know I'm going to hear about how Russia will fall apart next week... If not this week then!
@toby9999 Жыл бұрын
Next year might be nice.
@JackSparrow-ec5lq Жыл бұрын
Sorry to throw the Telegraph's own term in their face, but Galeotti is "claiming without evidence" that the Crimea referendum was not an honest vote.
@hybridarmyoffreeworld Жыл бұрын
"We lost nothing." "Also, I declare mobilisation." -Vladolf Pootler
@brigitte2217 Жыл бұрын
Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦 🇩🇪
@goldenears9748 Жыл бұрын
Great interview. Looks like a young Ronny Barker too !
@blackmagic8115 Жыл бұрын
If the “Global South” doesn’t like the “infringement” then why don’t they grow their own food?
@Lousysalsero Жыл бұрын
One of the most sensible and penetrating comments on the situation. I am interested in the book.
@andyhurrell Жыл бұрын
Hmm, yes, but he doesn't really say anything that one hasn't heard already.
@yandexamazigh3775 Жыл бұрын
according to the US State Department in 2018 [2], Russia has 146 million inhabitants, of which 119,865,469 ethnic Russians, i.e. 84.6% the slavic orthodox represents 84% Russian Slavic Orthodox ethnicity
@gerardcorbett2358 Жыл бұрын
At 10:20 in 1981 in Aber Achier we where at defcon 2
@paulrevere2379 Жыл бұрын
Crazy idea, but maybe the west could offer to buy Crimea for Ukraine. Russia gets some cash and has its ego and pride appeased. The issue of Crimea belonging to Ukraine gets officially settled. Unofficially people will argue about it anyway until they die. If done in a timely manner, the cost could be far less than the cost of 3 months to 3 years more intense warfighting, infrastructure destruction and so forth.
@brianmurray1395 Жыл бұрын
Good luck
@kikemarugan4843 Жыл бұрын
Diplomacy is impossible with a pathological liar who gives promises he never means to keep.
@user-hv9vn4fi4w Жыл бұрын
Yeah. Like Ukrainian goverment!
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