Can the US Military Fight Russia and China? || Peter Zeihan

[@StartledPancake]

The US would be highly unlikely to be fighting alone though, *at least* the UK and Japan would be involved in a war with China and the whole of NATO would be involved in any war with Russia. These are highly capable allies, making the question somewhat moot.

[@RyTrapp0]

Australia as well

[@bighands69]

The US is the only country on earth that has the capacity to perform large scale military movements on a global scale. And is the only country that has a military that is set up to perform in multiple theatres of war. Right now the US military is much larger and more capable than it was before WW2. Imagine what it would be like if WW3 was to break out.

[@gups4963]

@@bighands69 And it's population is demoralized

[@tezzo55]

We'd ALL be involved, nuclear weapons travel fast and far!

[@Gizziiusa]

you're forgetting South Korea...but that will most probably drag North Korea into the fray.

[@thecheebra7655]

A land war in Europe and a naval war in the Pacific, wait i think i heard this one before!

[@siamcharm7904]

this time it will be with nuclear weapons. big difference.

[@ChucksSEADnDEAD]

Hard to do a naval war in the continent and a land war in the ocean.

[@msimon6808]

And did all right too, from what my dad told me and the souvenir Japanese rifle that used to hang in our basement dressed in a cotton covering over cosmoline.

[@jamesatlas5204]

@@siamcharm7904 short answer - no

[@toruscharge984]

​@@ChucksSEADnDEAD🤣🤣👍👍

[@artsimulation]

Peter Zeihan is the only voice out there at the moment that manages to reduce the level of fear that the MSM actually increases which I don't think is helpful to anyone. Zeihan talks sense and backs it up with logic. Love this guy.

[@catmancooper907]

Well said!

[@skblack5050]

I've not heard him discuss the departure of the Dollar as the world trade currency and the unpayable national debt. If the dollar crashes in value, ( hyper inflation ) imports will stop. Our strategic oil reserve is depleted, NATO is a joke. just look at what other countries are supporting the Ukraine war % wise. Europe is dependent on Russia for energy. Their Navy's and Armies are not funded and are shrinking over the last decade or two. Their ships are old and rust buckets. Complacency . Look at all the countries that are ditching the dollar.

[@Sl1pstreams]

@@skblack5050 Nobody is “ditching the dollar” other than penny-store dictatorships. The dollar is the reserve currency because of the strong economic system and property rights in the USA. Delusions of a Russian, Chinese or Iranian alternative are silly because Russia, China and Iran appropriate foreign property every couple of decades. Nobody wants a currency from a country that robs foreign investors blind every few decades.

[@hamzamahmood9565]

​@SK Black Every single thing you said is just plain false. Dollar is stronger than ever, oil prices have stabilized so oil reserves will start to fill up, NATO is biggest now than at any point in history, Europe is very effectively reducing its dependency on Russian oil, America and all of its allies are massively building up their militaries.

[@skblack5050]

@@hamzamahmood9565 If the dollar was strong. Why does it buy less? Why does it take more dollars to buy everything come paired to .. the history of the dollar. The Dollar was strong when 20 of them would buy an OZ. of gold. Now it take 2000 of them to buy an oz. of gold. The gold is the same. It hasn't changed. The value of the dollar is what's changed.

[@rtqii]

Peter is absolutely correct. The US is emptying climate controlled storage facilities with high rent because they are located near transportation hubs, and they require security. They have to pay contractors to transport expired weapons to approved destruction facilities, and pay for the destruction. It actually saves the taxpayers money shipping it to Ukraine and being done with it.

[@yoooyoyooo]

Nobody ever even suspected US would do something that doesn't benefit them. What Peter is saying is 100% correct Ukrainians are draining Russians for almost zero cost to US. Not to mention everything that US does provide is on credit so they will pay for it. Plus you get to ship all the energy you want to Europe at the price you could only dream of before the war. It's almost as you made wanted this to happen. Oh wait you did Victoria Nuland was working on it for decade. Good job.

[@dallysinghson5569]

This is coupled with the equipment being "tested" in battle and dealing an adversely a bloody nose XX

[@rtqii]

@@dallysinghson5569 Right you are!

[@ArchonLicht]

Except for HIMARS and 155mm shell, he's right - Ukraine saves US a ton of money on weapon disposal, and a tons more in depriving belligerent dictatorships of their war steam.

[@aclearlight]

2²²p

[@kr1nson]

Hey Peter! If you could do a video about Baltic states sometime in future , that would be awesome. Best regards from Estonia!

[@trumpyla]

What about Baltic states? Putler is not invading NATO the end. Stop fantasizing

[@simonhibbs887]

@@trumpyla Putin has paid professional fantasists on Russian 'news' TV almost every single day fantasising about doing exactly that, with the Baltic States as target number one.

[@blafonovision4342]

@@trumpyla when Putin is done with Ukraine, Moldova and Romania are next. Then on to Poland, the Baltics, and Finland.

[@sportsfisher9677]

​​@@trumpylaorrection schmuck! You mean Joe-doloh Bidler already invaded Ukraine and claims it as his colony like he did Syria . He will fail like Afghanistan too.

[@sportsfisher9677]

​@@blafonovision4342 No he is not.

[@MR1048]

Thanks Pete. I'm more secure knowing there's guys as smart and informed as yourself. Keep it up man, we need ya now more than ever.

[@marcusmcewen9654]

Are you OK Peter? You actually had a positive commentary I’m hoping that’s nothing’s wrong.

[@charleshill7184]

It is the tie, it is restricting the oxygen to his brain. 🙂

[@johnbuckner2828]

😂😂 This dude could make WWIII seem like a happy stroll in the park on a warm spring day. He makes me want to start smoking weed.

[@marcusmcewen9654]

@@johnbuckner2828 It helps

[@travisadams4470]

I noticed the absence of airplanes.

[@johnbuckner2828]

@@javelinsrfast showing him the big geo political picture from above 😀 🌎

[@itsallfunandgames723]

I like that he was able to pad out the answer with some historical facts instead of just saying, "Yeah, of course."

[@sinabagherisarvestani8924]

during the cold war the Soviet Union was much more powerful than America or NATO in terms of military and they had better ICBM's and jets , but I think what lead to the collapse of the soviet union was that the Soviet Union was a major military power , even more powerful than America , but America also invested in its non-military technology , which is why they ultimately won , they had free market , thankfully relations between America and Russia greatly improved in the 1900's but its not very good right now but right now America is the strongest military power

[@randallturner9094]

@@sinabagherisarvestani8924 better combat aircraft? Seriously? Tanks, maybe. But with the introduction of the F-14, F-15, F-16 family of aircraft the US outclassed their Soviet opponents. And considering the E3 Sentry and E2 Hawkeye as well as AA missile tech the US had an overwhelming air combat capability.

[@armoredp]

I mean it's Peter Zeihan, if you would ask him; "Can the US fight and win against an actual god?"... "Well the US actually prepares to be able to fight 2,5 actual gods at same time, so the answer is yes."

[@lucasgrey9794]

@@sinabagherisarvestani8924 The Soviet Union was illegally dissolved by self-interested traitors. It could have easily continued up to today and beyond.

[@sinabagherisarvestani8924]

@@lucasgrey9794 honestly man I don't know why the USSR fell , they were the greatest power in the world and why it collapsed makes no sense to me and I don't know about you man , but if I was in charge I would not have let it happened , I would have cut off all radio and TV broadcasts , but I think it was because of the fact they both sides realized that a war can not be won and eventually one of them folded in order to improve relations and join the European union , I think they wanted to focus on the economy rather than military

[@CalculusProfessor]

Question should be " can the US fight, Taliban, fight Viet-cong or fight Wagner?" We saw what happened.

[@brandoferg6460]

Still waiting for me to just randomly run by Peter filming. I feel like it can be any time any where. Lol

[@Jamer767]

"Hi Peter Zeihan here standing at the top of the Gateway Arch"

[@johanmard5043]

'We will fight on the beaches. We will fight on the golf courses...'

[@pizza123425]

LMAOOOOOOO

[@norwegianblue2017]

Looks like Torrey Pines Golf Course in San Diego.

[@walterbates1654]

Feeding the KZbin algorithm. Informative video. Thanks.

[@luiscannon8808]

It's nice to hear from someone that is not trying to scare us to death.

[@nobodyisprfct]

LOL what would you be afraid of? War? becoming communist? Being controlled by the military? Do you value truth? The truth is China has a large hand in many countries that support 90 percent of their imports. China is responsible for the decrease in exodic animals. China supports the mexican cartels. Do you think for a second China cares about the United States desire for peace? United States is currently helping with the attack against russia and china is helping russia and you think there is nothing to be concerned about? Is it you just don't what to hear what is going to happen until it happens?

[@jackiekjono]

He often scares me to death but, I don’t feel like I am being lied to.

[@nobodyisprfct]

@@jackiekjono people should spend more time doing research so they font have to feel they are being lied to they will know if someone is lying. It also takes away fewr and turns into awareness. This enables something to either be done to deflect the situation or do something to encourage the situation.

[@nobodyisprfct]

@@moosefootloose - "then why do we even have news stations to begin with?". Because it was an attempt to bring corruption to the public light. Because selling gossip makes money and people thrive on negative drama. When you go to work and come back from work and watch the news or read the news. How did watching that news help you specifically in your life on a daily basis? Did it put you in a negative mood or a positive mood? Did you develop stereotypes because of the media? A person can be honest and not be accurate at the same time. Do you know why this year has been a crazy weather year for most states? You reporters blaming cars and other petrol-fueled vehicles. I don't think i have found any news connecting the 73 active volcanoes or of those 73 the 31 that are new and have erupted. Nor has the news connected 1815 volcano eruption (1816 Year without a summer),1883 Krakatoa the record-breaking winter of 1884-1885. The winter of 1886-1887, also known as the Big Die-Up. Try researching a news topic and see how many news sites say the exact same thing from the same original source. The control of information is a dangerous thing. It can and has caused panic, wars, riots, it manipulates etc..... Do you know what is in the contracts of those who report the news? Bill Marr for example) There are very few honest sources of information when it comes to news and most times you have to read multiple different sources on top of reading factual history. I see no importance in watching the news if one isn't willing to research what is being reported. Have you ever heard of yellow journalism? Are you aware of 1954 - CIA "Project OKHILLTOP"? Specifically the parts about China's brainwashing techniques. Trusting media/written news is like trusting a political party. Easily corrupted and easy to sway the opinion of many people.

[@robbiekop7]

Every grown man with a pony tail scares me 🐎😣

[@interruptingaging]

Breaking down into bite-sized chunks of digestible knowledge for lay people complicated global subject matter & aging demographics is a challenge. You make it look easy, Peter!😊

[@User-jr7vf]

I envy you for having the capacity to construct such an elegant statement, something that I, a simple non English speaker, can only dream of.

[@campfireeverything]

@@User-jr7vf You just did it 😄

[@User-jr7vf]

@@campfireeverything wow I'm happy to know that 🤩

[@Kned4444]

@@User-jr7vf well despite your concerns, I’ll say you communicated that point very well.

[@User-jr7vf]

@@Kned4444 Thank you for letting me know!

[@ikanitovo6984]

The most intelligent person I’ve heard addressing this topic

[@bruhkachu]

Bro "we're supplying the ukrainians to fight the war for us" What a statement

[@deduce9980]

More like the West and its allies are supporting a fellow democracy in their fight against genocide.

[@chrispekel5709]

It's not our war haha

[@jakemocci3953]

Disgusting, Russia isn’t my enemy, and Americans never agreed to go to war with them.

[@bernardpayne5050]

Before that it was Isis, before that it was the Taliban. In 1953 it was the Ayatollah Khomeini when my country, the U.K, and the U.S ousted Iran's democratically elected government so we could steal their oil.

[@renaissance17]

and they'll be wiped out because of it

[@paul.vanhout57]

My vote would be to avoid this scenario entirely. Will take a hard pass on WW3

[@chocdesglacons]

Then you're in the wrong place. Where do you think all the hubris on this channel is going?

[@cascadianseagull]

lol, what a baby

[@michaelshannon3019]

Go dig a hole and hide. All you are good for.

[@paul.vanhout57]

@@michaelshannon3019 - 11 years in the submarine service during the Cold War. Already been in those holes we call the ocean dealing with the “comrades”

[@nobodyisprfct]

You can vote against it all you want but Opec + countries and supporting countries of China will eventually force this event. There is already a small conflict between the Mexican cartels and the USA. The same cartels are being fed by China according to Vanda Felbab-Brown. Its the push for communism and control over people. Haiti has been pushed to put a gun ban by china and the U.N. while it is against "gangs" at the moment it will soon be controlled by a militarized government. It would be wise to not be naive of people who do not care for your desires for peace. who value control more than peace. I would agree war is the last thing the world needs but Communism/socialism disagrees with who should control that peace if it should be controlled. The United States in the past 2 years invited over 3 million illegal immigrants who have not been vetted. Who is allowed to vote in some states (not presidential elections so far). USA property is owned by china. China has a type of policing station to attack Chinese American defectors. I for one rather not give up freedom for Communism.

[@alejandrofigueroa5195]

I feel so much better when I listen to this guy.

[@MichaelLaFrance1]

I wish I had Peter's frequent flyer points. That man stays on the move.

[@g0679]

Ditto. But I’d settle for a livelihood.

[@Jay-eb7ik]

Hahah dude has a new backdrop every video

[@goodyearspokane]

Bet you didn't know Peter is a very good golfer this is actually just a recording of a chat with his playing partners while waiting for the green ahead to clear

[@peterpenzingerington2943]

Right, I mean who doesn't wear a suit and tie on the golf course amirite?

[@stefanb6539]

Even the mighty Estonian Army can fight Russia and China simultaneously. As long as we don't talk about winning.

[@simonhibbs887]

The entire Eastern history of Europe is best seen as a series of proxy conflicts between Estonia and Russia. Who is the biggest supplier of arms to Ukraine relative to GDP? Estonia. Case closed.

[@juergenernst1320]

If the US throws Taiwan under the bus for the duration of that hypothetical war, the US, Japanese, British and Australian Navies don't even have to fight China. All they have to do is blockade the reds and wait until they joke to death. In like 3 months time

[@randy8643]

Haha that's gold

[@theturkanabus3610]

😂😂😂

[@user-jk1ie7be2v]

very interesting analysis like that, from Freetown, Sierra Leone

[@Aegelis]

Deterrence is all about having the capability without having to prove it. Thank you sir for the update and here is hoping that we have no need for war.

[@edwingan1988]

That is so comforting

[@Clyde.artwork]

Peter is EVERYWHERE at all times. Snow, beach, wine country.

[@njchad]

Yea seriously, but where in california is this? Is that land across the water? in the background?

[@g0679]

Yeah. But no carnivals.

[@DanMeyer-sg5rd]

Q: If Russia were to "fall", would it make sense for China to try to turn on Russia to capitalize on their resources of oil, Ag, gold, etc.?

[@michaellane1316]

A point that many might miss. Good vision sir. Although this hopefully does not escalate beyond this. If we all knew the total history then it might be a bit more digestible. Am not sure China and Russia have had any issues before but given the fact China wants as many resources as it can get says this may be in the cards somewhere. China's land mass is not that large if one looks at a map. Population density yes, is large. So is India. Russia, through the ages seems to be hell bent on wearing the pants in some sort of sense. When they decimate their own population or throw them out to be slaughtered, says one thing, someone wants control, and at any cost. It's the age old intention every little johnny wants what someone else has mentality. China, somewhat the same mentality. If you think giving Russia it's bit of land is going to keep them happy, think again. Same with little johnny. He'll be happy as he fades to his corner until he looks again and realizes he wants more. I don't believe Russia has ever any intention of giving up all of it's toys, (land), at any time. Cabin fever for 6 months of the year can not be good. We, meaning the peoples of this world, have had them through the ages and I am sure they will continue to pop up as time goes on, these little men, sometimes women, that have that little johnny mentality to have all the toys in the sandbox. This is merely my own view of whomever is doing this across the globe. What the world could use is an elite group of what I would term as, caretakers, of this planet. Solidified by all nations under only the guise of survival, to eliminate any threat to mankind so that we could live in peace. I am sure many would prefer this than all of the wars and atrocities through the ages.

[@gregkelly2145]

@@michaellane1316 During the 'century of humiliation' of China, Russia took a great deal of land previously controlled by China. China wants it back and hasn't made any qualms about saying so. Were the outer boundaries of Russia to fall out of Moscow's control, China would certainly and happily step in.

[@billtate1684]

Russia has several thousand tactical nukes & the CCP knows Ru would employ without hesitation. The PLA would not be crossing the open plains of the Russian Steppe. The eastern region's topography play's Ru's favor and Ru has control over the choke points on their side of the border. While Ru's demographics are a disaster, it doesn't take a million man army to employ tactical nukes as a deterrent to the PLA.

[@jakemocci3953]

What is going to happen when America falls?

[@Rishi123456789]

Russia is Nappa and China is Vegeta.

[@johnmartz9686]

I totally agree.

[@andrewdavis6917]

Good morning, very succinct. Hi from Texas

[@Aussie-Mocha]

Lol! That was timely 😂! I was pondering this exact topic all day today. Thanks peter 🎉

[@cristophermansillagonzalez5921]

Thank you !! I do feel better .

[@murtazaalam8326]

All battle plans look good on paper, until you meet the enemy.

[@ledpudding]

Yep! Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face

[@RickySpanish12344]

Yep. Russia had a plan to defeat and "easy" country in Ukraine and now they have been shown to be a paper tiger. Russia, without nukes, is laughably weak compared to the U.S.

[@canadiancombatwombatthe3rd782]

​@@RickySpanish12344 lmfao, Russia has been taking on not just Ukraine nazis but also all of nato secretly right now, and they're winning, so enjoy your propaganda from the west, they're gonna lose just like they lost to the people with turbans and flip flops, twice.

[@Psychoterratic]

@@RickySpanish12344yeah russia is so “weak” that nato (30) contries are supporting ukraine & russia is still steadily advancing 😢

[@Elmo914]

The same can be said for Russia and China, oh wait.

[@screddot7074]

The most likely component to fail in any conflict is politics.

[@irajtehrani4185]

Magnificent. Outstanding

[@r.r.r.918]

I know that the question posed is about whether the United States military itself can fight both China and Russia simultaneously, but I believe it is important to recognize that in a real war between the nations that the United States has allies. Given that most developed nations are allied with the United States, there is a significantly higher probability of the United States and its allies overcoming challenges posed by Russia and China. The only real challenge is Russia or China getting desperate enough to use nuclear warfare, which dooms everyone to death and destruction.

[@MotorsportsX]

If they used nukes they would be shot down in their booster phases and many of them in their silos. And im not being a scifi geek when I say this, I am being serious. We have space lasers for a reason.

[@yendisgame5134]

My friend, if there's a war, there's no such thing as desperation to the point using nukes. Your america and it's allies will be the first to use it since they're very known for destruction and mercilessly killing million of people with no remorse. Plus in war, everything is permitted. So the question of wether nuclear arsenal will be used or not is quickly answered.

[@riazomar4807]

You refer to these same allies who could not even defeat for over 20 years a bunch of people living in caves and mud houses ?, Oh I am referring to those Afghan people

[@wadejagz6623]

We would be the first to use nukes not Russia. Who has been the only country to use one? 😂😂 yeah right

[@riazomar4807]

I don’t think that China or Russia have the appetite to fight Nato, however they will not back down. Americas and NATO want to keep their status quo, however they are not economically sustainable because Russian oil and USA depends on China for production. So that leaves the Middle East for easy picking oil. I think NATO will try and colonize the ME which why they are supporting the biggest terrorist state in the ME unconditionally

[@matthewsincock4997]

It actually makes me feel a lot better about a lot of things

[@thecustodian1023]

It seems that most of the world has now forgotten that the US military is more than capable of taking on the whole world at once if we ever needed to by design.

[@jdee8407]

Yeah, except for the nukes and stuff

[@matthewsincock4997]

@@jdee8407 yeah everyday I'm in a constant state of anxiety and existential crisis. It was really just a quick relief

[@vanhoot2234]

this is literally their military doctrine

[@terrygarguilo7457]

Thanks Peter for putting a different light on the subject it is worrisome however for some reason you make perfect sense on this and I feel better about it listening to you !!

[@Nick-bh5bk]

Peter can you do a video on The Philippines in relation to their demographic, economic and geopolitical future?

[@kanointhephilippines8082]

The Philippine peso is hovering around 54 down from almost 60 a few months ago, this is good as it makes things more affordable. The economy grew 7.6% last year and is expected to do the same in 2023, construction is booming. The median age here is 24 compared to a global value of 30, this equates to a large working age population with disposable income that spurs the economy. Overall life is good here, it's a wonderful place to retire.

[@chrispekel5709]

​@@kanointhephilippines8082 so a lot of young girls, nice

[@Nick-bh5bk]

@@kanointhephilippines8082 Thanks, Kano. As an American about to marry a Filipina, I was just curios about the country's prospects. Retirement there has been something on my mind. Glad to hear the GDP improvement, but as I understand it, because of the pandemic the 7.6% increase is not unexpected. I imagine given it's history and linguistic ability to work with the US that it might make for a great trade partnership with the US. I wonder how that might play out - seems to me that domestic politics need to play out before we get a sense of where The Philippines is headed.

[@gonzalovelazquezgonzalez8227]

Empires end sooner or later, because Humanity is constantly changing, whether we want it or not.

[@CallsignVega]

I would really like to know this too, since the Philippines seems to be prime real estate for the next war.

[@Pyriphlegeton]

I'm continuously in awe at the US military.

[@jackhaugh]

I’m not. I mean sure, it’s super powerful, but the US is the ONLY country in the world that spends more on defense than it does on education, and the only industrialized country in the world that doesn’t have socialized medicine. Most of the world looks at the US and laughs and shakes their heads at us as US citizens as total suckers. I personally would like my tax dollars as a US citizen (and Army veteran) spent MUCH differently!

[@leonie563]

Me too. USNI Fleet Tracker. The scariest game of Battleship you have seen probably since you played Grandpa one Xmas

[@mikedarookie9181]

You the man Pete !!

[@Iznikroc]

Peter back in Accidental and Absent you listed Angola and Uzbekistan as rising stars and I wanted to ask like since then what has been going on with those countries since and has your forcast changed for them?

[@cooldudecs]

You think In days , geo politicians think in decades

[@isaiahblunkall8605]

Can we fight two wars? No. No we cannot.

[@cooldudecs]

Yea we can.It would be quick.. america is by far more powerful than Russia and China combined. China is a third world country. Not sure when they became a military power

[@TheNerdForAllSeasons]

We really really can bruh. You think its just a coincidence that we spend as much as we do? Or maybe its because we always knew it might be possible?

[@jakemocci3953]

@@TheNerdForAllSeasons No “bruh”, we can’t, America can in no way shape or form right Russia and China at the same time. How would we even raise the men? I won’t go, and I don’t know anybody else that would either. This isn’t the 50’s.

[@TheNerdForAllSeasons]

@@jakemocci3953 Raise the men? You think this is the Napoleonic wars? A war with China is gonna won by planes and boats, not by boots. We'd be crazy to invade, and we wouldn't need to do it in order to win. There are 340 million people in America. Plenty of them would sign up for a justified war against China. And any war with Russia would be over hilariously fast based on their performance in Ukraine. The Poles alone could probably take Moscow at this point. We'd be in a position to remove the two biggest threats to international stability at the same time, with the weapons and allies to do it. You're an IDIOT if you think your life wouldn't be worth that goal.

[@CedarHunt]

​@@TheNerdForAllSeasons Exactly, we'll crush Russia and China without breaking a sweat. We've been preparing for this fight for decades. Russia is a joke and China named their military off of the same military structure that is now collapsing in Ukraine. We've got this.

[@toddgeorge1569]

Thank you

[@Michaelw777.52]

Exactly, Peter. Thought about this myself some months back. Glad you addressed this.

[@ShiftyCDN]

Does anyone else have that weird, uncomfortable feeling that history is trying to repeat itself?

[@dingus6317]

It’s not history itself but the stringpullers of history are the same families of people

[@gregorypeck876]

Nothing makes money faster than war , countries start to run low on funds and just like that ! Said country is invading someone somewhere 🤷‍♂️ running out of money is what’s repeating itself, war is just the byproduct .

[@arthurfonzarelli9331]

Yes. But it's going to be more like what happened to the British, French, and Israelis at Suez than WW2.

[@pillowfight2013]

I would argue evolution is pulling the string and inevitable because intra and interspecific competition is innate in every single organism. Being a apex predator, at the top of the food chain, there's no reason to believe that war can be avoided. World economic control is the name of the game and military is what provides access to this. The West has enjoyed the good life a very long time and now couple countries in the east want what we got. From ancient times to modern there's been war. Empires weren't built by handing out flowers. War will never stop. Ants have been at war for over 100 million years. No species gives resources unless forced to

[@pfdfcc]

That sir was an excellent assessment of the current state of affairs. I’ve been trying to convince my wife of this for months. The US capabilities coupled with, if not directly, peripherally with our NATO partners along with the technological advantage………we’re good!

[@bhupinderrandhawa6421]

Try sending her to Peter. He might be able to convince her

[@DavidChristosAlexandros]

“I’ve been trying to convince my wife that ww3 is good” just say what you actually mean.

[@Tbcw42]

I do feel better, except for the part where you almost said a land war in asia. That had me suddenly internally screaming :)

[@markdahlmusic]

He almost made one of the classic blunders.

[@dodieodie498]

"Ha-ha, you fool! You fell victim to one of the classic blunders, the most famous of which is 'Never get involved in a land war in Asia,' but only slightly less well known is this: “Never go in against a Sicilian, when death is on the line!" Hmm. Maybe we should join up with the Sicilians.

[@hankrearden20]

Inconceivable!

[@the11382]

A Nato v. Russia & China conflict will drag in Pakistan & India. India will fight China, in which case Pakistan(assuming they have an actual economy here) joins China. The Middle East will be sorted in their usual enemies & "alliances". If Iran joins Russia, the Sauds join Nato for example. Fighting that land war in Asia is much easier when you got allies.

[@randallturner9094]

I do not think that word means what you think it means..

[@watchrelated]

Yes

[@dalingdingaling827]

Never been in a war with a worthy adversary is the main concern when it comes to US military.

[@gerryroush8391]

Germany and Japan not worthy opponents ?? You are stupid

[@NathanWatsonzero]

Can you tell us about the developments around Bakhmut in Eastern Ukraine?

[@MilanVVVVV]

It's a catastrophic meatgrinder, no way around it. Zelensky disposed of people from high command for reasons only known to them and sent additional units to Bakhmut AFTER the crux of the units in Bakhmut (foreign mercenaries, spec ops) retreated & destroyed bridges etc. Wagner is advancing day by day and the fall is inevitable, Ukraine can cope as much as it wants that Bakhmut is irrelevant but they lost way too many units to be making such claims. It was a fluke and whoever ordered such a defense is inept. I'm interested in what happens after Bakhmut though, time will tell.

[@ChucksSEADnDEAD]

​@@MilanVVVVV you know that using the word "mercenary" flags you as a Russian propagandist, why use it at all?

[@yoooyoyooo]

@@ChucksSEADnDEAD it's the word that designates people that are fighting in war to earn money and is perfectly fit for huge percentage of men fighting this war

[@dughallhalliday1713]

Check out channels that are pretty neutral following the fighting day by day like Theti Mapping, Defense Politics Asia and Military Summary. For good higher level analysis History Legends is good. All these guys are pretty neutral, call out the BS of both sides unlike Zeihan who is pure propaganda - the guy even claimed in a war with NATO, Russian casualties would be 1000 times NATO casualties which is just fantasy. And that NATO technology is thirty years ahead of Russian technology when in some areas at least (e.g SAMs) Russian technology is at least as good.

[@obsidianflare4671]

@@dughallhalliday1713 History Legends lmao The king of bad historical takes

[@Gearbhall]

The only problem I see is that its very clear that the US losing a conventional war is highly unlikely which I fear increases the likelihood of a general nuclear exchange if we were to ever engage with another nuclear power.

[@RickySpanish12344]

That's why if a conflict did break out, both the U.S. and the other nuclear power would stick to targeting military targets, and not going after leadership or launching massive assaults on essential infrastructure. In other words they fight with the knowledge they don't want the other nation to feel like they have nothing to lose by using nukes. You want them to know they may lose the military conflict but the nation itself won't be conquered. Lets say a war broke out with the U.S. vs China over Taiwan. The conflict would probably be a naval/air conflict without targets on the mainland being hit.

[@ricko2301]

​@@RickySpanish12344 someone with sense 👍🏾.

[@petersinclair3997]

True. Nukes are old technology. Many companies don’t have nuclear weapons merely by choice. Yet, three of the (underdeveloped) BRICS countries threaten other countries with nuclear weapons.

[@MiguelGarcia-ss9sf]

Good stuff brotha!

[@winstonsmith8441]

"Never get involved in a land war in Asia."

[@deeh5126]

Classic blunder.

[@johngillespie472]

Vietnam alone has a 5-million-man military when you count its Reserve forces.

[@toddcapota5910]

With all the bad stuff happening in this country, you figure out a way to give me hope in the USA

[@tampatodd6299]

We all need someone to deliver Hopium.

[@fredwatts3501]

“Never get involved in a land war in Asia” -Vizzini

[@arttenoyan8100]

Awright thanks Mr Peter . I live and stay about 700 miles south of Taiwan. I watched a war game of the Chinese reds invading Taiwan and it scares the s*** out of me. But luckily the US got the bases they wanted from my country and now we got four american bases in the Philippines.

[@howard4tex]

I'm not saying they won't do it, but I just don't see how China survives economically if they invade Taiwan...

[@specag31]

It's not the force structure or OOB that worries me, it's the CINC with dementia and the Joint Chiefs with Political Correcticitis, especially General Milly Vanilly.

[@Rjsjrjsjrjsj]

Then we're lucky you have no authority anywhere. 😉

[@teresamccartney1309]

Trump follower apparently. Hmmmm what would he do? Hand Ukraine over to ruzzia while increasing his off shore assets. What a putz.

[@dirtydish6642]

@@Rjsjrjsjrjsj But Tucker Carlson told me our military is weak because of this thing he called "woke" that he never stops crying about. Clearly we are all dooooooooooomed!!!!!

[@Rjsjrjsjrjsj]

@@dirtydish6642 The perpetually confused Tucker Carlson? The same Tucker Carlson who's on the record as knowingly lying about election fraud? THAT Tucker Carlson? Well then... 🙄 😁

[@jakemocci3953]

@@Rjsjrjsjrjsj You think white men are going to fight for your new woke army?

[@SignifiKent]

The JRE interview being cut short was a shame. Catching the long version of PZ's explanation of our current situation is even more comprehensive and really interesting. Not saying it's right... Mostly predictions. However, it's a compelling argument of what could happen. Personally, still very happy to have been exposed to the lectures for evaluation. If PZ actually reads this, much respect.

[@SixStringSicario]

I think Joe will get him back at some point. I think homeboy had a plane to catch so it was cut short.

[@Dante3X]

If America couldn't beat the Vietnamese or the Afghans, why would one believe they could beat the Russians or the Chinese?

[@Dam-a-fence]

Beat? The title says "fight".

[@e-ticket5625]

truth

[@mikeynth7919]

War with China would be naval and air. War with Russia would be land and air. Between the US Air Force, the US Navy Air Force and the US Marine Corps Air Force we could probably do it.

[@juricakovac5667]

RUssia has the best anti-air system in the world, Russia has hypersonics, Chinese are close, USA doesn't have that, hypersonics can probably easily sink a carrier, all China has to do is come up with quality anti-sub weapons and its more than a fair fight on the high seas, secondly after the last 30 years I don't foresee young men stepping up to become fish food in the Pacific to defend an island thousands of miles away, also on top of that the might of the us army lies in young white dudes from the midwest and southeast and they are no longer signing up as the recent military recruitment crisis shows, when it comes to air force it seems like there is a new scandal every other week as it relates to F35s and the failure that has become

[@Gr13fM4ch1n3]

@@juricakovac5667 I'm really not able to take Russia seriously at this point. You can say they have this or that, but they've proven nothing but incompetence, lack of direction and leadership, poor morale, and poor execution. On top of that, they have excruciatingly poor treatment of humanity which is bound to wear on those on the ground who disagree with with that kind of behavior. Their generals spent the past few decades selling off equipment and weapons and gear to pad their own pockets that now the troops are eating onion soup once a day for their rations. It's comedically embarrassing.

[@juricakovac5667]

@@Gr13fM4ch1n3 if we are going by history Russia doesn't start to fight until late year 2 early year 3, also fighting on the ground is not the same as pushing a button, but if we are comparing USA hasn't won a war against a peer competitor since 45, and all of their opponents were non-peer, if China went head to head with USA I would still bet on the USa but only by the slimmest of margins (for now)

[@juricakovac5667]

Also Russian army, their equipment and tactics are outdated, Ukraine for the last 5 years has been the best trained NATO style army in EU and if USA stops sending them weapons and ammo this war is over

[@rebeccabobobobo6071]

​@@juricakovac5667that's what will really kill

[@tomnps1671]

Subscribed.

[@Rjsjrjsjrjsj]

I was mildly concerned that Peter might jump on the bandwagon. Concern averted. Spot on. 👍💯

[@21stcenturymetal31]

Makes sense to me. I agree

[@Usser7890]

Finally, a person that is speaking facts!

[@rexmann1984]

Yes, we can take them both simultaneously. Without question. If we go full mobilization they wouldn't stand a chance. We have the capacity to out range them if not out gun them.

[@branscombe_]

how many ready combat troops are there

[@Amehdion]

Russian military is a joke. Ukraine proves that. Antique equipment, antique tactics, antique training. China is no better, but with China there is no need to fight a war. The US can crush them with our economy alone. If we pulled US manufacturing out of china, which we should anyway for about 100 reasons, they would collapse within 5 years. No need for bombs and bullets when we can just take our business elsewhere.

[@Nobleheart111]

How many would matter?

[@Sparta1993]

@@branscombe_ we have 15 million men ready for call up. 3 million active and reserve units are ready at a moments notice

[@rexmann1984]

@@branscombe_ enough, but that is nearly irrelevant. Logistics is what wins wars. Especially in the industrial age against other industrial Powers. I don't think it would even be a particularly long war if our weapons work as good as we expect them to. The citizens of both nations know we have no interest in conquering their lands. We are just getting rid of their messed up governments.

[@allensadicario5196]

Thanks

[@deriznohappehquite]

One major factor I don’t see addressed is simply that Russia and China need to launch offensives to achieve their strategic objectives, whereas the U.S. or its allies already control those objectives.

[@GrimJerr]

Tech vs Numbers, it would be a very ugly war of mass casualty tactical strikes, logistical strikes, and command decapitation, but i think the U.S. would inherit the win over the smoldering ashes in the end.

[@bighands69]

Nuclear weapons would not be as effective as people think. Delivering them across distance would be the first challenge that many countries would not be capable of performing. Then trying to get such a missile active in the combat zone that is of a scale that would damage the opposition would be even more complicated for the vast majority of countries. Pretty much any country could set of a nuclear detonation for the cameras but trying to do that in warfare is of a different level of complexity.

[@GrimJerr]

​@bighand69 Not even talking nukes, and I never said nukes. The U.S. has weapon systems that are much more accurate and tactically effective than nuclear weapons. The modern technical battlefield is about pin point accuracy, and strategical strikes, surgical efficiency.

[@jarrah580]

@@bighands69 Agreed, nuclear arms are more of an economic and social destabiliser than they are a military one.

[@MrPhilhamilton]

No one wants to add nukes to the equation, even at a tactical level. Simply put, once nukes are an option then all bets are off and things can get out if hand in the blink of an eye. Russia will probably win this war in Ukraine by sheer weight of numbers alone, but then what? They won't be in a position to affect anything in terms of their military for some time. Assuming China is in the state that Peter says they are, they have one chance to gamble on a military move, and that won't be directly against the U.S. I think they move on Taiwan, but that's a gamble as well because then you have the U.S., certainly Japan, and probably the Brits and Aussies all getting involved too. Peter's assessment of the Chinese actually concerns me as it would appear that they may become desperate as their strength declines; however, would they have the means to hold onto anything gained?

[@jakemocci3953]

There’s no way we can beat China’s population and industrial output, absolutely no way.

[@armenalexanian]

Our country's navel power is even more fearsome than its naval power. Any other countries would quickly lose a navel confrontation.

[@urbaraskpraetor3316]

Im not sure america's belly button is quite that strong, unless that was a typo. In which case it still makes no sense.

[@xisotopex]

China's A2/AD would render our naval power ineffective....

[@SlushboxH8R]

@@xisotopex LOL ok. You keep telling yourself that a country without an actual blue water Navy can stop the US Navy from passing anywhere it pleases.

[@xisotopex]

@@SlushboxH8R I guess the only way to find out if chinas BVR hypersonic so-called carrier killer missiles work, is to go to war. but maybe you think war is still about some battleships duking it out or some carriers air wing getting the jump on another carrier group... maybe you dont understand how close china is to Taiwan, which at the moment, the only conceivable path to a conflict between china and the US... far more experienced and educated people than you have thought about this and they are unanimous that if china can find one of our carriers, they will probably kill it... not all of them necessarily, at least not even all of the ones that show up to the fight, but some of them. they dont need a blue water navy if they are not trying to project power beyond the SCS. however, you can be sure that china plays the long game and a navy that can stretch out beyond the first island chain is their goal...

[@xisotopex]

look up A2/AD and then use that to reference the size of the SCS, and then do some research about the purported capability of china as to those ends...

[@trygveplaustrum4634]

It should make a few people feel better about a few things, but not if you're Russia or China!

[@NigelDeForrest-Pearce-cv6ek]

Well Said!!!!

[@mrjamescoleman]

American hubris at its finest. Great entertainment.

[@juricakovac5667]

they still imagine in their head that is the early 2000s, alas, their hubris and fake confidence is probably going to doom thousands if not millions to certain death

[@jakemocci3953]

It’s called Marvel-brain

[@bernardpayne5050]

@@jakemocci3953 It's called bullshit.

[@dallysinghson5569]

It's funny how the Russian military was vastly overestimated, but the Chinese military vastly underestimated XD

[@nihil8607]

That remains to be seen with the chinese military Though underestimating them wouldn't be adviseable even if it turns out to be accurate

[@jamessullivan9906]

The Chinese are not underestimated..... but, they are more untested...from command structure to the quality of your basic infantry....the Chinese actually wish for some kind of a fight with the west ( this is coming from the Chinese high command) not from western media.... so they can " try their new toys"....

[@terryvaga3461]

You can capture russia on NYE - everyone is dead drunk

[@samrandall7595]

Even if the Chinese have weapons that are up to par with the US , what experience does China have using them? When’s the last time China was in a war? Meanwhile the US has been in and out of wars for decades. Battle tested .

[@DieFlabbergast]

Meaning? Whether it has been over- or under-estimated is still moot, as China has not fought a real war since the Sino-Vietnamese War of 1979. No-one really knows how they will perform, and that includes Beijing.

[@robertrpenny]

Great video

[@michaelsimarmata5880]

The US can indeed fight two wars at the same time But winning them both? Idk Now I'm not saying that the US and her allies will lose, its just that it won't be that easy to win It'll be a long and costly war.

[@pwnstoohard]

bro the US military lost to afghanistan

[@Rjsjrjsjrjsj]

🤣 How do you define winning and losing? For instance, if I beat the 💩 out of you but leave you alive and walk away, did you "win"? Did I "lose"?

[@pwnstoohard]

@@Rjsjrjsjrjsj the taliban was in charge , 20 years later , the taliban is still in charge. except they now have US blackhawk helicopters

[@Rjsjrjsjrjsj]

Fascinating. You didn't answer any of my questions. 🙄

[@miljanmalinovic6557]

@@Rjsjrjsjrjsj The soldiers got blown up at the airport,while fleeing Afghanistan , left tons of ammunition,military vehicles ,weapons etc. behind . Left their own citizens trapped in that country. The more humiliating defeat than that in Vietnam.

[@Rjsjrjsjrjsj]

@@miljanmalinovic6557 🥱👋😴

[@gregh.2138]

Short answer, yes.

[@marshyburrows1094]

Excellent

[@seanmann863]

That looks like a great golf course.

[@tylerberry206]

It is very likely

[@Leonlatorrexxx723]

Thank you for the explanation. Now I feel even better and positive than I was.

[@charlesvire7517]

That it does Brother

[@chriscorsi622]

Yes no problem

[@edheidema2004]

Thanks Peter. Always look forward to hearing your thoughts and opinions!

[@xanselmox]

His answer makes sense.

[@keithpalmer4547]

answer is YES.

[@martyplatinum]

Pelican Hill is a nice resort to drop some geopolitical knowledge from!

[@nesparas1176]

Yes, along with alliances.

[@EasyTechTrading]

good point.

[@Nik531]

YES and YES

[@CrossForum]

Filmed in Newport Beach, CA. at the Pelican Hills Golf Club. Another thought is how capable are the Chinese troops? They've been involved in skirmishes here-and-there along China's borders, but never an all-out war. It remains to be seen how well they would do in a strictly land-based conflict (with India would be the most likely land conflict) or maritime (Taiwan).

[@samangius6424]

Thet would have to bring the draft in...

[@Ashaweshk]

Metal Gear Solid prepared me for this. Lmao 🤣

[@jonathangomez8539]

Peter I have read multiple reports from our troops confirming we are sending our own inventory not just old stuff over seas.

[@howard4tex]

Looks like a pretty decent links layout behind you...

[@user-343-8fx]

Wonderful view, whats the place in the background?

[@Gr13fM4ch1n3]

Yeah these were my thoughts exactly. Not many conservatives in the US realize the nature of the assets we are giving to Ukraine. We aren't hurting our nation at all by helping.

[@tdowell8615]

Yeah giving 100’s of billions of dollars to one of the most corrupt countries in the world with no accounting of it is great for America.

[@thnz5067]

That's where alliances come into play.

[@claudexy]

the canadians will proud to aid the us and nato. the americans protect us, so we will absolutely help our friends, the americans and our other friends.

[@nicholasstanley8787]

Concur

[@Kc-yb6tm]

No war ! Let's work together

[@Dawie103-9]

" we are suppling the Ukrainians to fight the war for us" Interesting