Russia plans to annex Belarus by 2030

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A leaked document alleges a #Russian plan to annex #Belarus by #2030 with the ultimate objective being a 'union state'.
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[@CaspianReport]

Invest in blue-chip art for the very first time by signing up for Masterworks: www.masterworks.art/caspian Purchase shares in great masterpieces from artists like Pablo Picasso, Banksy, Andy Warhol, and more. How Masterworks works: -Create your account with crypto wallet or traditional bank account -Pick major works of art to invest in or our new blue-chip art fund -Identify investment amount, there is no minimum investment -Hold shares in works by Picasso or trade them in our secondary marketplace See important Masterworks disclosures: mw-art.co/37WwvbD.

[@garretttobin7451]

Why don't you do a video about EU states becoming vassals in the US empire, like Germany allowing the USA to blow its Nord Stream pipeline, but you won't, will you?

[@eastcoastsailingcenter7768]

bro its scam

[@thekingoflordagames3517]

Don't fall for this shit, their fees will destroy your long term gains.

[@mowiejaksucham2650]

I'd rather see sources for your claims in the video description instead of crypto ads. That would be good journalism. Otherwise you might as well be making all this up

[@BSenta]

Masterworks is worse than crypto NFTs

[@maninredhelm]

Belarus got exactly one legitimate election in its history, and picked Lukashenko. And the guy who finished second place was the more pro-Russian candidate. They never had a chance.

[@blazer9547]

What do Belarusians think

[@eduwino151]

@@blazer9547 Russias loss in ukraine will mean freedom for Belarus

[@aightm8]

​@@eduwino151 not really. Putin may try to annex Belarus to save face. And unlike Ukraine no one will come to their rescue. Also I believe they have a very small standing army. A fraction the size of Ukraine's in Feb '22

[@moonasha]

lukashenko probably never had a chance either. If he did anything uncle vova didn't like he'd probably be served some nice polonium tea before tripping and fallout out a window

[@blazer9547]

@@aightm8 seems like the belarusian story is the real tragedy.

[@charlescloudy]

Don't fall for it. This investing in paintings is just another NFT.

[@andersbjrnsen7203]

dont know about that, but art in general is a market where sudden price rises in objects might as well be a result of money laundering as any real market value increase. As such I suspect that investing in a portfolio of art might not give much compared to an investment in stocks or commodities.

[@_Painted]

When they start ramping up advertising about some non-productive “investment” it means they’re starting to look for bag holders for when the speculation bubble bursts…

[@relentlessfrags4914]

I said this before, but i will say it again, No real successful business has to advertise again and again. Specially like this. On another channel promoting masterworks, the Guy said "there is a waiting list, but with my link you can get in right away" Like bruh, if there already people willing to get in why you are you asking other random people to get in.

[@ArizonaAstraLLC]

As a professional that works within alternative investments, investing in art like this MasterWorks bullshit that this guy hustles *every* *single* *video* (b-but he has bills to pay) (i fast forward anyway since I know their tag lines begin the in-video advertisment) is one of the absolute stupidest moves you can make; like, you deserve to lose your money at that point.

[@lashlarue7924]

Correct. A real Picasso might be worth $100M at an auction of billionaires, but you ain't buying that from this scam!

[@StrangeLoops4]

Poland's military build up makes total sense looking through this prism.

[@alpinecenter]

Poland needs to develop nuclear weapons. With gold plated warheads, like the Kremlin.

[@dante9436]

@@alpinecenter i think every country should have now nukes even iraq and Afganistan to revange on Amerika

[@danieloehler2494]

Polish nationalism and militarism are driving Belarus into the arms of Russia.

[@uan9166]

​@@dante9436The US would protest as always but they have the most nukes, what a hipocrites.

[@Dennan]

@@dante9436 more.like revenge against soviet union. Made moscow rich why they illegaly occupied half of europe

[@daszieher]

NATO did not expand into Poland, the Polish chose to join the defense alliance to safeguard against Russian assimilation attempts. Like the Poles, other NATO signatories understand the quality of that deal. While it is true that the U.S. projects it's hegemonic claim to power on the continent, the actual effects of this hegemony are less inhibiting than Russia's brotherly embrace.😊

[@artongar]

yeah, when I heard "after NATO expansion, Belarus is the most important state to Russian security" I almost laughed. Maybe if Russia didn't invade it's neighbors then they wouldn't want to join a defensive union

[@augustuslunasol10thapostle]

@@artongar it’s not wrong it is expansion just like how buying your neighbors plot of land is expansion but it has consent it is fair and both parties agree to the expansion

[@enigmaticzigfried7557]

​@@Mortablunt bunch of nonsense. Since when is Yemen US backed? Hilarious blaming Ukraine for "genocide over linguistic differences" while the Kremlin is currently suppressing Ukrainian language/culture incl. deportations in the occupied territories - and has done so before in various Soviet republics, e.g. Ukraine, the Baltics, Moldova.

[@marcbuisson2463]

​@@augustuslunasol10thapostle In this case, the correct term is cblackmailing their entry in NATO lmfao. Lec Walesa and Vaclav Havel threatened Clinton to campaign for the republicans in the 1994 elections as long as the US (and especially Clinton) were hostile to make them integrate NATO.

[@marcbuisson2463]

​@@Mortablunt *Patpat* such a strong language genocide that the ukrainian president is a russian speaking actor, who became famous in movies and shows in russian, in a country where nearly 100% of the country speaks russian, and where a significant proportion of the religious services are and were still hold in russian. Including in the biggest cathedral of Kyiv up until last month...

[@johnxina987]

Nice take and reporting on Belarus, but my theory is that Putin needs Belarus for various strategic tasks, such as laundering money, getting & trading goods, etc. in order to overcome sanctions as well as gathering intelligence. Putin is not in a hurry to officially annex Belarus quite yet, it seems he owns it already.

[@MM-un3ob]

Belarus is under the same sanctions as Russia, more or less. Putin can do these kind of stuff with china

[@LoneWolf-wp9dn]

@@MM-un3ob but china is a very unsure partner... china has its own designs and a very slippery record when it comes to bureaucracy and keeping its word

[@Bayard1503]

He has Central Asian countries for all of that. Besides they're already bringing in whatever they want through Turkey, Caucasus, The Gulf, China... Putin's getting old, he's thinking about legacy.

[@frenzalrhomb6919]

@@LoneWolf-wp9dn I'd trust the Chinese, long before I'd give the Russian's or the Belarusians even the benefits of my doubts!!

[@yuriyco_]

Belarus was used to provoke NATO before but keep russia relatively out of the conflict. Plus right now they are not draining resources on Belarus-Ukrainian border, sure if RF would control this border it'd put pressure on Kyiv, but Kyiv would then put pressure on Belarus just like it does to Belgorod, Kursk and many other oblasts.

[@fa0676]

"Sometimes, a well-placed pawn can be more powerful than a King". A superb footnote. Brilliant, Caspian Report.

[@luiul1]

me: lukashenko looks like a husky fella. putin: will he fit through a window?

[@shannonkohl68]

Annexing Belarus would increase NATO / Ukraine's border with Russia. Yes, but given that Belarus allowed Russians to attack Ukraine from their country, it seems to be a meaningless change from the viewpoint of NATO / Belarus. In other words, we already have to assume that Russia may attack from Belarus and therefore treat Belarus as if it were Russia.

[@sis1296]

Not meaningless. It is consequent that no Belarusian soldier is in Ukraine at this momment. I think everyone - from every perspective - is wlking on egg-shells. There are maybe two reasons why Russia will not annexe officially Belarus, and that is quiet unofficial under the radar - outright ownership is advantageous even to Russia. The effect or perception or possible reaction from the former USSR states - now countries. I had not thought about that. This 2mm wedge will permit Lukashenko some breathing room, though I do not know how he sleeps at night. Many, many angles to this. Thank you for this video.

[@johnladuke6475]

@@sis1296 Presumably he sleeps very far from any windows he could suspiciously fall out of.

[@yarpen26]

That has been the primary assumption of Poland's foreign policy effectively since Lukashenko took over Belarus and made it 100% dependent on Russia again: that it's Russian soil for all intents and purposes.

[@goldbullet50]

Russia's power is directly linked to how far West they can push their sphere of influence through the central European plain. From the wide plains of Ukraine and Western Russia, it gets narrower and narrower north of the Carpathian mountains and the Alps, and south of the Baltic sea. From the Eastern Ukraine and the Baltics, you could essentially march directly to Moscow from both the South and the West, and even cut the important "Unified Deep Water System of European Russia" by cutting off Volga. Russia should spread out their defensive forces to a huge area, and the enemy should only march few hundred kilometers to threaten Moscow and the Russian heartland. Compare that to the USSR and Warsaw Pact, and you could only invade Russia through a relatively narrow choke point of Northern Germany, and even narrower plain in Romania and Bulgaria between the Black Sea and the Carpathian mountains. That in turn is way easier to defend against, and the defender has a huge advantage, and even if the first lines of defense are defeated, the invader has an ever expanding front line to occupy and 1500 km to march forward. It's an uphill battle, that defeated both Nazi-Germany and Napoleonic France. So, despite Russia increasing their border with NATO, they decrease the potential directions of attack, and also have an opportunity for flanking maneuvers. If Belarus was an integral part of Russia, both the Baltics and Ukraine would be easier to cut out of supply, and that in turn would risk encircling hostile forces in said countries.

[@krystiannona7141]

b-russia border is used already for russian army. Generaly b-russia is i war with Ukraina.

[@Symon_Musician]

As a Belarusian I wouldn't be so pessimistic on the future of our country. Our ties with Russian are based on policital relationship between Lukashenkp and Putin and I'm 100% convinced that when one of them will be not in power these ties will be revised. Annexetion of Belarus could be rather expensive for Russia because Russia will be obliged to take the burden of economical support while now several billions of USD per year is enough. In case of annexation Russia will face new international santions. You may mention that they don't work and Russia doesn't care about them, but all neighbours of Russia will be shocked and ready to restrain connections with Russia (I mean Kazakhstan, first of all). At this moment Russia has stuck in Ukraine and nobody knows what will be the outcome of the war. Since 2020 crisis in Belarus Russia restrained our military and international sovereignty and I think at this moment it's enough for her.

[@Name-og4th]

Russia started its annexion attempts before Putin, back in 1995 they intervened into Belarusian affairs and supported to coup to disband the parliament. So it will continue its politics to get Belarus after Putin. Also, the economics is irrelevant. Russia was never rational in its behavior.

[@thedirty530]

I see this happening as a best case scenario for Russia.... But this world never hands you the best case scenario!

[@H0kram]

What you say makes a lot of sense however it could also be the very reason, for at least planning a progressive annexation. Because as you stated, if Lukashenko is gone, it is likely that Belarus would be more distant from Russia and thus, a liability for them. There is some kind of urgency in this. And the trust in buffer states is gone. Yet I think it will highly depend on how the war in Ukraine will end/evolve, and above all I wish you and all Belarusians to get the best possible outcome, directly or undirectly.

[@yarpen26]

I think what you may be missing is just the absolutely huge PR boosts that Putin gets each time he announces another landgrab. This isn't really even about financial balancing: taking Belarus would serve to the Russian public, who a bit over a year ago still expected to see a full annexation of Ukraine as a realistic year-end goal, as consolation prize. It's all about how many pixels you need to cover Russia's map: the more, the better. There's no further philosophy behind it: Russians may be starving to death, but the realization that Russia is at least somewhat bigger than before will be enough to let them die peacefully.

[@blazer9547]

But Indian bots told me belarusians are dying to be Russian.

[@danpate3825]

Yours is comfortably one of the best channels on this platform. Thanks for the insights!

[@arakulkin]

Until 2014, we had a great time in the Crimea. Himself from Russia. Communicated with Ukrainians, Belarusians, Caucasians for the most part on the positive. My uncle is Ukrainian, one of the grandmothers is from Estonia. I am very sad to see what is happening.

[@rg-guy3907]

Салам ис кавкас брат

[@nabeelahmedkhanofficial]

I dont think Russia will be trying to annex Belarus at such a point in its history. Russia needs Belarus for mutiple reasons; to keep trade going, to manuver sanctions and to use it as a proxy vessel in grand game of power politics.

[@bixbysnyder-00]

Moldova, Georgia, Ukraine...the pattern is clear, by hook or by crook Russia seeks to annex as much of the old Soviet Union as they can.

[@skp8748]

Belarus has failed at that

[@OhNotThat]

>I don't think Putin would be stupid enough to actually invade Ukraine at this point, he already got almost everything he wants in Crimea and keeping Ukraine out of NATO. Attacking Kiev would just give the west and NATO more fuel to undermine Russia with!

[@PavltheRobot]

It's not so simple, all of Belarus' neighbours have lost trust in it. Especially my home country, Poland. After the border crisis they've created for us, nothing has been the same. Belarus is becoming more isolated, just as Russia. And they don't have access to the sea, so they're almost completely reliant on Russia.

[@ramjam720]

This is what they said about Ukraine. Putin doesn't care what you think or how much hardship the Russian people have to endure. He just wants the lands of the USSR. All of them.

[@EverlastGX]

We are basically witnessing the end of buffer states in Europe as each of these countries clearly pick their side.

[@hieronymusjacabusprincepso5060]

Really? I thought it was USA going to annex Belarus. After all they have waged war with 230 nations, ten of which democracies. All for their $ for the military industrial empire. Meanwhile their citizens are impoverished, middle class becoming serf's in a land of collapsing infrastructure. Who wins? The elite who buy the politicians.

[@mihajlokovacevic499]

Except Serbia lol

[@tsenavi7389]

@@mihajlokovacevic499 serbia is with russia obviously, but russia is not with serbia, one way love so to say.

[@Specificify]

@@tsenavi7389 are you kidding? there is a reason serbs love russians

[@tsenavi7389]

@@Specificify Read my comment again more carefully

[@MichaelSidneyTimpson]

Lukashenko was like, "haha, this Yeltsin guy is a push-over, then I can be the ruler of a combined Russia!", then Yeltsin resigns, making a former KGB agent the President, and Lukashenko was like, "uh oh, oops...what did I just do..."

[@willtricks9432]

Yeltsin would do anything for a bottle and Putin was in the KGB at that time.

[@CakePrincessCelestia]

@@willtricks9432 Putin still is in the KGB... like all of his cronies. I mean there's a reason the FSB replaced the KGB ;)

[@kodekorp2064]

Its funny how masterworks is promoted everywhere, no one realizes they are NFTs lol

[@litphaniusmcmelloy4275]

As a Belarusian, I'm really impressed with the quality of your analysis and report! I hate both Putin's Russia and Lukashenko himself, so I really hope this annexation won't happen. But I can see a slight chance of that happening, unfortunately

[@mishkinis_88]

I am from Lithuania and I wish Belarus would switch sides 👍 would be cool for us all to be in a team with Poland And Ukraine again 👍😂

[@litphaniusmcmelloy4275]

@@mishkinis_88 well said, my friend

[@matich1]

сумняваюся, што анэксія магчымая. у Беларусі большасць будзе ўсё ж такі супраць Лукі

[@jokuvaan5175]

Don't be so sure. No one believed in the invasion of Ukraine either. Including me who didn't want to believe it despite all the evidence to the contrary. Politicians driven by ideology often don't make logical decicions.

[@litphaniusmcmelloy4275]

@@matich1 я лічу што ўсё ж такі магчымая. Ихтамнеты нас пытаць ня будуць, а якісьці супраціў таксама будзе складаны. Але ўсё мажліва

[@vacantspace333]

I'm from Belarus. Never seen a video this accurate about us. Good job.

[@Name-og4th]

This was my impression of the previous video on Belarus by CaspianReport. Made me their fan.

[@osheridan]

Well, I hope things take a better turn

[@TheStupidF0X]

"I'm from Belarus" Location: United States. Man stfu lol

[@deputykirsanov7314]

Как там туалеты в Польшче? Чистишь?

[@Solid_Snake88]

​@@deputykirsanov7314 бог тебя накажет. Русские анималистические обезьяны

[@merjot1]

"Sometimes a well placed pawn can be more powerful than a king" Stated beautifully interesting to hope for the shift in balance and positive chain reaction

[@MrGnorts]

a king is not as powerful tho, the queen is

[@quisqueyanguy120]

@@MrGnorts The king has no power because the king represents power itself. A queen is a piece in the game, the king IS the game.

[@ElDomador04]

Literally the king is your avatar in the Game. When his dead Game Over.

[@papagaiofilmes6642]

Google en passant

[@MrGnorts]

@@quisqueyanguy120 that's just dumb

[@justinclark7883]

This is by far my favourite channel - excellent topics and quality visuals

[@krishnar1182]

I'm a bit confused about the language/culture part. I've met many Belarussians and even the more nationalist/anti-Russian ones tend to be far more fluent in Russian than Belarussian. My experience was that their relationship to the Belarussian language is roughly like the Irish and Gaelic, they learn it out of a sense of pride/nationalism but don't use it much. Even 30 years ago media, culture, etc. from Russia dominated, and it has only increased so I'm not sure how much more exactly the Russian government would need to add.

[@Mark-kr5go]

Be that as it may, it doesn't make Ireland less of a country, and this extends to Belarus too.

[@krishnar1182]

@@Mark-kr5go I wasn’t arguing that, just questioning why Russia would need to make efforts over the course of this decade to expand Russian linguistic and cultural influence, when it already is and has always been so strong.

[@Hajiyt]

@@krishnar1182 It was strong in Ukraine too, and it didn't stop Ukraine from eventually turning West. What you are seeing is abandoment of half measures and Russian plan to completely erase Belarussian identity, something they tried to do in the past to other nations, such as Poland and Finland. In short it is nothing less then admission of an impending cultural genocide, assuming those leaked documents are real.

[@SaturnineXTS]

Well that's because they got Russified during Soviet times, and later under Lukashenko. He diminished the prevalence of his own native language just to coddle up to Russia.

[@tzarcoal1018]

Good comparison in my opinion, same can be true for some people in Post-Soviet Central Asian countries, where the everyday use of Russian does also not necessarily corresponds with a fondness of Russia. One thing to keep in mind is that the nationalist Belorussians probably like the idea of reverting back to Belorussian is the primary language in use, at least in theory.

[@mrD66M]

In a way this is already a fait accompli, from the moment Belarus agreed to have russian armies in its territory when Ukraine posed zero threat to Belarus.

[@kabzaify]

The government of Belarus has been asking for those weapons for years openly.

[@tadhgcronin175]

Yeah. It's almost like the expansion of the NATO war machine east.

[@Bagledog5000]

@@tadhgcronin175 Nobody held a gun to countries heads to make them join NATO. It's funny how Russia invading Ukraine changed the fence sitters minds pronto though isn't it? Betcha Vlad wasn't counting on that as a result of his being a jerk. I betcha Vlad's feeling rather stupid and bitter about the whole Ukraine invasion now, and he deserves to

[@mattnoel2447]

@@tadhgcronin175 NATO expansion driven by Putin who constantly bullies and threatens ex-soviet neighbours.

[@moscuadelendaest]

@@tadhgcronin175 So an invasion is the answer to your neighbour's political aspirations? Last I've checked Ukraine, and Belarus, were sovereign states with independent foreign policies. If russia has a problem with NATO why doesn't it take it with NATO? I wonder how that endeavour would fair.

[@Trin978]

Luka: Vladimir I give you Belarus if you promote me to Colonel of Russian Military.

[@4evaavfc]

He'd wanna be a 20 star general, at least and with lots of honours and medals.

[@MacTac141]

@@4evaavfc Nah Lukashenko said in an interview a while back he wanted to be a colonel in the Russian military

[@ALFA-sm2nm]

@@MacTac141 Soviet army bahah

[@CakePrincessCelestia]

Not gonna lie, Lukashenko in a military uniform and wearing an ushanka is probably the _MOST_ cliché Russian that could possibly ever exist.

[@larsrons7937]

@@MacTac141 I hear a lot of russian colonels get killed in Ukraine. So maybe russian colonel would be the right job for him?

[@El_Diablo_12]

“Sometimes a well placed pawn can be more powerful than a king” always love the poignant one-liners at the end.

[@Meirstein]

Step 1: Russia stations nuclear weapons in Belarus Step 2: Belarus commandeers the nuclear weapons Step 3: Belarus annexes Russia

[@chamonix4658]

this is my dream ❤

[@robbiedubbelman3024]

If Russia wants to take over Belarus, but Belarus doesn't want that they'll be in serious trouble with their weapons stationed there. Same reason Ukraine has so many good missile defense systems, leftovers of the Soviet Union's arsenal 🤔. It's not so smart to weaponize a country before you want to take it over.

[@RainlineX]

@@chamonix4658 😂😂😂😂😂

[@An_ony_mous]

The nuclear codes are with Russia itself. 😂

[@ilyatsukanov8707]

@@chamonix4658 Mine too. Then we'd have Lukashenko in charge putting all our oligarchs in jail and rebuilding Soviet industry and technological power, instead of...whatever joke of a reality this is today. Btw many millions of Ukrainians respect Lukashenko too. Before 2022 he was consistently one of the most popular foreign politicians there.

[@zoidburg3101]

Finland looks so fucking good on a NATO map

[@osheridan]

Woah, i liked this and it went from 10 likes to 20- Probably just a glitch but still

[@sporasparel5032]

Nato did the right choice to allow us join. I thought this would never happen because of the public opinion favoring neutrality. Luckily Putin helped with that!

[@tersus4967]

Will look even better when Sweden, Ukraine, and Georgia are in aswell

[@Silver_Prussian]

​@@sporasparel5032 and you have lost your geopolitical advantge and ruined relation with russia for absolutly nothing but following a dumb narrative.

[@Silver_Prussian]

​@@tersus4967 its gonna look the best when it doesnt exist

[@freespiritable]

Look, this was being said about Ukrainians and Russians up till January 2022. Belarusians will have their own bitter taste of Russian brotherhood it seems.

[@genericdynamics6618]

Your maps animations and infographics are top of the line

[@Duron13]

Me playing Belarus on Conflict of Nations and annexing Russia at the moment.

[@jmjedi923]

Reverse uno card

[@ARES-zf5fz]

Bro that is an amazing game

[@baconman2.052]

kzbin.info/www/bejne/fHiYn62fpayffrc

[@kparker2430]

God Speed Brave Warrior - Cry Havoc and Release the Dogs of War! - No Prisoners! If you succeed, please video the conquest.

[@pp-bb6jj]

I always find it somewhat funny that Russian nationalists call all other non Russian nationalists as nationalists ment as an insult. LOL.

[@jalingee]

Guy, actually, Russian patriots and Russian nationalists are not the same thing. Real Russian nationalists do not hesitate to call themselves nationalists.

[@SaturnineXTS]

That's because Russia is actually savagely imperialist, so any sense of national identity by any of its colonies/subordinate states is perceived as a threat to the plan. So they make it seem like it's a bad thing for smaller nations to have an identity of their own, because that's at odd with the Russkij Mir

[@pp-bb6jj]

@@SaturnineXTS Ofc.

[@keithpalmer4547]

Hey Ukraine annexed Belgorod Peoples Republic after a referendum was held!!!

[@haki8267]

Thank you so much for the info

[@vorynrosethorn903]

This is one of the most hilarious 'do by this year' government plans I've ever heard of.

[@elephantman2112]

Not really. They already have a treaty deal to do something like this.

[@yuriyco_]

@@elephantman2112 My man, they had those plans for like 30 years and integration is really deep, yes, but the fact they didn't annex them still baffles me

[@rizkyadiyanto7922]

warmongering of the west.

[@rollout1984]

Belarus: *reverse uno card* I now annex Russia.

[@ooltimu]

​@yuriyco_ russian geopolitics relied heavily on buffer states to protect its borders. It woudn't be an advantage to them to actually have longer borders.

[@kulwathabit2738]

Interesting times to be alive

[@HShango]

🤨

[@Omniversal_Numen]

You must have wanted to say time

[@kulwathabit2738]

@@Omniversal_Numen thanks.

[@rizkyadiyanto7922]

not gonna happen.

[@kevinyoung9557]

I'll take the 70s, 80s, and 90s over this.Interesting but possibly deadly for many.

[@MrDeadlineDK]

Just leaving this to help with the algorithm. keep up the good work!

[@fzokirov6364]

Thanks for the Video. Always very interesting anaylisis

[@akmalhafiz8763]

I always like Shirvan last quote. Originally, the quote is basically like this, "A well placed pawn, is better than a king." Shirvan version is, "A well placed pawn, can be more powerful than a king." I like that. It's basically describe the situation Lukashenko has put himself into.

[@timmyturner327]

"heavy is the head that wears the crown"

[@mowiejaksucham2650]

I'd rather see sources for your claims in the video description instead of crypto ads. That would be good journalism. Otherwise you might as well be making all this up

[@BoqPrecision]

He is not making it up...he is disseminating info approved by Azeri intel.

[@erickarnell]

Great work. Thanks.

[@DogBrotherhood]

Excellent vid, as always.

[@lefunnyN1]

the saddest thing is that because of sovietization almost nobody speaks belarusian language anymore

[@danhobart4009]

Dude its like telling people serbian, croatian ect. are different languages because the accents are slightly different

[@llamingo696]

​@@danhobart4009 😬

[@suryakumairi3622]

Hi, I am from Indonesia, my friend can speak Russian he can talk to people from many country using Russian in OME TV Well actually he is not really understand Russian 😂😂😂 he is a pretender He speaks Russian but he does not understand Russian, he speaks Russian but he wants the girls to reply him in English ... 😂😂😂 Even he talked to many Ukraine girls using Russian in MIDDLE OF THE WAR which means the internet in Ukraine still not affected Surprisingly this Ukraine Girls still play OME TV business as usual May be because the wars are mostly in forests or open fields ?

[@chaosXP3RT]

You mean Russification

[@FlotationDevice101]

@@suryakumairi3622 Iya benar dan di beberapa kota jauh dari ibu kota, lagi pula Russia ngga menang2 juga sampai skrng. Tapi kenapa nanyanya kyk gitu bro? lu ngomongnya kayak bot.

[@hyhhy]

Nah, Belarus is Russia's model for what they want other neighboring countries (including Ukraine) to be. They can't sell the idea and model of friendly relations with small neighbor states if they outright annex Belarus.

[@Unbrutal_Rawr]

This is what I'm thinking as well.

[@rustyshackleford234]

I don’t know man, Putin has shown he’s not okay mentally and cannot be reasoned with. So it’s very possible after being kicked out of Ukraine he’ll just invade another country like: Belarus, Moldova, Kazakhstan, or even Georgia again.

[@Name-og4th]

I do not think Russia cares relations with the countries where their troops reside. They keep them in Armenia, Georgia preventing those countries from going off the hook with any government.

[@millerrepin4452]

Russia already threw the idea of friendly relations out the window when invading Ukraine. When even luke warm relationship with western countries mean an invasion it forces a pick a side attitude that this countries didn't want but was thrust upon them anyway.

[@kkpenney444]

lol. 'friendly'.

[@rickybobby7276]

In a weird way Putin reminds me of Hitler dead set on restoring the past greatness of a fallen Empire that was betrayed from within. The Soviet Union never would have have abandoned the satellite states under Putin. It seems like Putins life goal to fix the mistakes and betrayal of Gorbachev and Yeltsin.

[@hanselanderson8006]

An excellent report as usual. 😊

[@qworky902]

I went to gradschool in Massachusetts. Chinese and taiwanese students never ever mixed socially - not even once. Then i worked for a large company in nyc. Russians and Belarussians coworkers never seemed to socialize separately.

[@Silver_Prussian]

Wow its almost like both peoples are simular and have a brotherly bond

[@leomessi1982]

​@@Silver_Prussian yes both peoples are oppressed by 2 dictators who regularly assassinate journalists and opposition leaders

[@terrencejones5261]

Yes Belarus is more Russian than some parts of Russia. Life in both is almost exactly the same. Pretty bad. Besides, 9 million people is like one third of a large US city like Los Angeles. Not terribly relevant on the world stage.

[@Silver_Prussian]

@@terrencejones5261 life is pretty average actually

[@willtricks9432]

@@terrencejones5261 That depends on their age, breeding prospect and work ethic. Russia has lost nearly 1M young people in a year.

[@AdityaChaudhary-oo7pr]

Wait is over for the Caspian report

[@maddiller]

Зачем России аннексировать Белоруссию? Что за бред?! Мы с ними воссоединяемся! Это принципиально разные вещи! И этот процесс идёт уже много лет. Например, в Санкт-Петербурге находится парламент союзного государства России и Белоруссии. П.С. Если уж на то пошло, то "аннексия" Белоруссии в экономическом плане очень выгодна для белорусов и совершенно невыгодна для россиян. Белоруссия и так все последние десятилетия живёт за счёт российских налогоплательщиков, а после окончательного воссоединения россиянам придётся платить из своего кармана ещё больше денег.

[@bbenjoe]

Fun fact: Belarus has the longest lasting 'government in exile' which is about a hundred years old now, it originates back as far as 1921, when the Sovietunion annexed the nascent Belarus. The government escaped to the west, to various locations. Now it is in the USA. After the collapse, they're to return to Belarus and officially hand over the job to the new government, but this idea was never realised as Lukasenka took over.

[@evilkat8143]

Беларусь (БССР) была одной из стран, основавших СССР. Как же глупо выглядят эти сомнительные манипуляции для людей, которые хоть немного знают историю.

[@matthewduehring]

Belarus has been part of Russia for centuries, regardless of western-supported usurpers.

[@le_draffar5370]

You say nonsense and confuse with Poland. There was never a Belarusian or Ukrainian state before the birth of the Soviet Union.

[@RickyVis]

​@@le_draffar5370In WW1 under the Treaty of Brest Litovsk Russia ceded land to Germany to make peace and after Germany was defeated these lands became independent and were annexed by the Soviet Union during the Russian civil war. It included Poland, the Baltic States and Belarus.

[@neyte7313]

@@matthewduehring hello from Belarus. Also, fuck off, Belarus will be independent from Russia.

[@BladeTheWatcher]

First and foremost - don't buy art. Especially not "virtual art" which you can't hand on your wall and benefit on it. The value of art is purely speculation that someone later on will pay for it, and pay more for it. Art has little practical use, but there very high costs associated to it - auction fees, conservation, security costs a LOT constantly. It is like buying lottery tickets from your money - there is a small chance you will win a bit, but most probably you will get less back than the price of the tickets. Generally, consider this - if it is widely advertised, then avoid it as a rule of thumb. There is always a catch, there is a reason someone is paying for the advertisement.

[@U5K0]

They also planned to take Kyiv by march 2022

[@superkittyshow1782]

It was never a plan. We heard this on msm and this is where its started

[@osheridan]

​@@superkittyshow1782 the quote is misleading, but that does seem to have been Russias plan. Either that or it just didn't have one

[@NiiRubra]

Yeah... in the end I think Russia's geopolitical influence has been severely overstated.

[@tersus4967]

​​@@superkittyshow1782 Russia's entire propaganda machine was screaming how "Kyiv will fall in 72 hours" when it all started.

[@CakePrincessCelestia]

They planned to hold a military parade and a Gazmanov concert in Kyiv on Feb 24th 22. But well, plans never survive contact.

[@michaelbeholder]

Excellent video as always

[@Wadser]

I love the analogies you place at the end.

[@ozztankz]

Can you cover Kazakhstan? Inner, local (other central Asian countries) and balancing Russia/China/US?

[@marolibez]

Everyone knows this is only Putin's plan to make Molchat Doma their own Russian post-punk group 😅

[@melissacorbett4180]

💯

[@jonathanveloza9087]

Loves the conclusion keep up the good work

[@hubertsang7418]

Lukashenko should not accept any cup of tea offered by Putin.

[@user-is2mv7pf6n]

It'd be interesting to see how China and Russia will annex each other.

[@joeshar.]

Never. Big fish eats small fish. Your case: big fish vs another big fish. Search for Sino-Soviet split.

[@user-fu2sg4vt3d]

@@joeshar. Prior to 41 soviets and nazis were both big and cooperated tightly, so who knows

[@fingaryoriaz-nc2hw]

China has a much bigger army but Russia has far more nukes

[@youraveragekomodo]

GLORIOUS KAZAKHSTAN _WILL_ ANNEX BOTH OF THEM🇰 🇿🇰 🇿💪💪

[@gillsejusbates6938]

@@youraveragekomodo very nice

[@BreadWinner330]

Not long before Lukashenko "accidentally" falls out of a window, along with the statehood of Belarus.

[@4tress300zx]

Just like any country that goes against U.S commands/demands. As if a vote means anything anymore! Western countries are controlled by their Military.

[@tadhgcronin175]

Google Clinton body count. Good reading for all open window fans.

[@danhobart4009]

States dissapear all the time but some unfortunatelly come back

[@mattnoel2447]

@@tadhgcronin175 Appalling things done by America's political elite do not justify Putin's appalling actions.

[@DenisBourveau]

Great we need a great Rus, petty princes must be dealt with

[@LG-bs1rs]

Great video once again

[@NVLJUMPGOD]

this analysis was sick, insane vid from beginning to end

[@dmazmo1940]

Excellent analysis and insights. Your format and platform are appreciated. Keep making excellent geopolitical and realpolitik relevant content. Thank you.

[@Whytrix]

I really want to take this channel seriously, but between crypto ads, and the complete lack of any source on the claims presented, this can only be taken as a complete fantasy.

[@MitsukiHashiba]

What he says is often right but heavily hypotetic and over played. Take most if what he says with a grain of salt

[@echardtschloeder5178]

A comment about Caspian Report. Some years ago, he made a comment to the effect that the Byzantine Empire was the only empire that did not have a legacy. A voice like that is very far from impartial and is likely a voice that one hears as a prayer in Erdogan's Blue Mosque, the defaced Hagia Sofia. It is the voice of a man who denies genocide. I met a man who was in his 30's in 2020, he had a Turkish name and identified as Greek Orthodox. I asked him, are you sure you're Greek and not Antiochian. No, he was Greek, and when the Turks came and burnt down his village and church, his family fled to Lebanon. Byzantine culture exists to this day, ignored by the authors of Turkic history books who deny the genocides of the early 20th century and the burning of Smyrna. This channel, as fun as it is to watch, is authored by a man who believes in those books and who seeks to propagate the narrative he's learnt from them. A Russia that annexes its neighbour's territories is no different to the Turks and Azeris that seek to crush Armenia or the Turks who seek expand westwards into the Balkans, and to annihilate the Kurds in the east. Take every video released on this channel with the same pinch of salt you view Western propaganda.

[@noelr2502]

Great as always

[@shakiMiki]

This is a deeply ill informed analysis. Luvshenko himself has talked of a union that he has subsequently back tracked on. The situation with Belarus is much more complicated & interesting than presented.

[@LukeBunyip]

Loved the white dress adorned with a stripe of red spray paint

[@JonMartinYXD]

For those wanting to study the diagram at 7:00 more closely: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:Supranational_PostSoviet_Bodies Hover your mouse pointer over the flags for a popup.

[@poopsiedoodlesp8506]

Idk about you guys but CaspianReport and Good Times Bad Times are the best thing to happen to KZbin in the past 3 years

[@timhaldane7588]

Yeah who didn't see this coming

[@cuginkcain5430]

I was going to bed, but now I must watch this. Much love Caspian Report.

[@TheReubenShow]

Keep up the good work.

[@samstew6797]

What a wonderful presentation. I appreciate your channel

[@zanderschoeman3898]

Its already been annexed... Ofcourse not formally or technicaly

[@god_slayer-restart]

Ru and Be just love eachother

[@osheridan]

​@@god_slayer-restart In the same way Nazi Germany and AXIS Romania just loved each other

[@hieronymusjacabusprincepso5060]

Really? I thought USA was going to annex Belarus. After all they have waged war with 230 nations, ten of which democracies. All for their $ for the military industrial empire. Meanwhile their citizens are impoverished, middle class becoming serf's in a land of collapsing infrastructure. Who wins? The elite who buy the politicians.

[@tadhgcronin175]

I'm a prisoner of the European Union. I never voted for it.

[@ehisgeorge414]

Just as US annexed EU and UK and you went to sleep without coughing any resistance.😅😅😅

[@JinKee]

Lol with friends like the Russians who needs enemies?

[@soldier.proud-234]

​@@--No--One-- True

[@blazer9547]

​@@--No--One-- nah , nobody says that cry more 😢😂

[@Simon-gc6uf]

@@blazer9547 Well you sound intelligent...

[@psingh1488]

Another great video 🎉

[@tehnokarzuan]

as a Russian-Belorussian translator I can confirm everything in this video are straight facts, especially about Russian language and it's growing influence. This process started in the early X century and unfortunately is still going.

[@ismayilarifoglu6226]

there was no russian language in X century. R u a real translator?

[@sandercohen5543]

@@ismayilarifoglu6226 lul, that's good... that's really good...

[@user-mv2pr6fl8x]

Seriously? Russian - Belarusian translator? Who needs men like these? Literally everyone in Belarus speaks Russian.

[@austerity476]

You should begin derussification

[@dim8555]

Yeah sure. Cut off the bs. It's belarus same shit as rus Now their local version of rus language that people are too lazy to bother and develop is not russias fault. Same as the ukrainian dialekt that's isn like russian mixed with polish no one bothered qith it so many years nothing important ddveloped with it. You people have no words I'm your dialekt and using russian words why not create own words Why use English words and not your own? Oh yeah u have not bothered As of.you have so much vocabulary so Many words and so much literature original words and the bad Russians wants to cover your undeveloped shit Lol seriously any group of people can be delusional But the most if them in European soil are the slavs

[@captainmcawesome7908]

4:30 How exactly can NATO expand "into" a country, when said country applied to join?

[@goldbullet50]

With soft power and manipulation of the public opinion.

[@chamonix4658]

​@@goldbullet50 or a big country that is trying to relive its glory days by invading its neighbours close by. putin has done more for NATO than most

[@austerity476]

@@goldbullet50 manipulation through free press and grassroots movement is not manipulation, it's called building ties. Banning your media and killing off critics to change the narrative is manipulation.

[@ArawnOfAnnwn]

Doesn't matter what you think of the process, the point is NATO has expanded. Cuba also welcomed Soviet forces onto its territory, but America didn't care about that either when it reacted harshly to it.

[@captainmcawesome7908]

​@@ArawnOfAnnwn I am not saying NATO did not expand, it is however simply bogus to claim that NATO expanded "into"(!!) a country.

[@osheridan]

I just feel terrible about this whole situation. I hope Belarus can one day be free of Lukashenko, Putin and their bastards

[@SteffiReitsch]

Too late. Belarus being digested into Russia.

[@tadhgcronin175]

And I hope Belarus does not end up in ruins like Ukraine for supporting Zelensky, Blinken and all the other bastards.

[@haobinlu]

Belarussia is free and its Russia.

[@osheridan]

@@haobinlu Those are two contradictory statements

[@SteffiReitsch]

@@haobinlu AAHAHAHAHAHAHAH Free? Just do as the Russians say, and you'll be all right.

[@tadhgcronin175]

This is a very worthwhile channel that covers the chosen topics extremely well, even though I disagree with almost all the conclusions I am always better informed after watching.

[@kaznika6584]

Agreed. The conclusions are effected by modern bias.

[@ddoumeche]

This channel is the mouthpiece of some american fantasy

[@BOIOLA08]

Agree

[@joebidengaming6329]

@@ddoumeche how

[@archingelus]

​@@joebidengaming6329 because he is salty with america and consider everything is america

[@freenorth6]

Your writing has always been great, and it's getting better. I appreciate you and the work you do. Thank you, friend!❤

[@valentinocosmabosa6884]

The visuals of this channel are top level.

[@ILoveQazaqstan]

6:44 the way Yeltsin shaked his hand xD

[@pac1fic055]

Maybe the buffer state idea will prevail since it is more palatable to most players. Annexing Belarus would be more expensive and take longer than 7 years.

[@testingmysoup5678]

Belarus probably knows whoever gets elected with have a target on their head by America, much safer to join the Russian federation. I don't see why they have to be assimilated to join the rf there's plenty of cultures in the rf that don't require assimilation

[@nationalsocialism3504]

It could be done immediately but would cause unnecessary internal strife... just like how China is slowly drawing Taiwan back in currently. Taiwan is only two election cycles at most from the Pro-China party taking over from the Pro-Japanese/Pro-American party... Belarus is definitely going to be integrated into Russia & no Pro-Western traitors in Belarus will be allowed to be a successful Fifth Column. That whole traitorous network was catastrophically damaged in the failed coup against Lukashenko when the corrupt Western proxy wasn't able to pull off the coup & she was forced to flee into exile (so she didn't receive the same treatment that traitor Nalvany got in Russia of being thrown in prison for years cause he is a traitor.)

[@freedomfighter22222]

Not invading Ukraine would also be beneficial to most players, but people that want to write their name in history trough conquest rarely does it because it is beneficial to their country. Don't expect Russia to take the rational option.

[@nationalsocialism3504]

@Freedom Crusader how would Russia allowing Ukraine to genocide the Novorossiyans... be "beneficial" for the Novorossiyans??? Putin did NOT want to invade Ukraine to save the Novorossiyans... something that has seriously hurt him politically inside Russia over the past decade as Russians wanted the Novorossiyans saved from the Ukrainians. It's why Putin poll numbers shot up from the low 60s with soft support to the high 80s with strong support after Putin finally stepped in a week after the Ukrainians violated International Law by breaking the Minsk Accords that the UN Security Council approved. Just shows how corrupt and incompetent that the UN is as vessel of Judeo-American Empire projection... the UN tries to condemn Russia for honoring the security guarantees that the UN itself put into place. But then you are a testament to propagandized ignorance by being here faithfully repeating CIA talking points laundered through CNN or Fox News... I hope that you a programmed bot or a paid disinformation agent, those would be better than actually being so stupid that you believe the bullshit that you commented

[@testingmysoup5678]

@@freedomfighter22222 Ukraine literally did bucha and youre calling Russia irrational. The war was planned and not by Russia

[@thedirty530]

Russia also planned to take Ukraine in 3 days!

[@CadaverKuma]

Says who?

[@superkittyshow1782]

​@Cadavers he saw it on cnn 😂

[@thedirty530]

@@superkittyshow1782 Lmao... You ever heard of Russian state media? They sure say some stupid s***! Got you Putin groupies believing the offensives on Kiev, kharkiv and Kherson were Decoys!

[@OhNotThat]

@@superkittyshow1782 why do you people constantly lie, i know your propaganda tv says "we never said that they heard on cnn!" but do you honestly think nobody can actually check? Even Lukashenko himself made this absurd statement that Russia will take Kiev in 3-4 days. Look up Anton Gerashchenko's tweet "Russian propagandists complain about global misinformation regarding Russia. They say they never threatened to take Kyiv in three days." to see the compilation of russian propangada sources claiming this and then CNN repeating this claim!

[@N00b0super]

@@CadaverKuma Russian state media РИА новости accidentally posted a "victory post" just a few days into the Ukrainian war that was talking about how Russia is great and is on the way to recover all of its lost lands and how the war was won in 3 days

[@stef1234]

Great video!

[@frida507]

"Relevance deprivation syndrome" 😅

[@fasilkhan1854]

Hi Shirvan, what software/platform do you use for the maps? Another great video btw!

[@knoraziel]

I'm curious too

[@c.rutherford]

Belarus as far as its people have more historical ties with Poland than Russia. In fact it was a chunk of the Polish Lithuanian Commonwealth. I think that's why it even existed as an S.S.R. I could be wrong....

[@SERGEGRANDBLR]

For the Grand Duchy of Lithuania, Poland was more of an occupier than an equal partner. So our ties with Russia are much fresher and stronger.

[@c.rutherford]

@@SERGEGRANDBLR well I'm not sure if 'annex' looks like equal partner. I guess you'll find out!

[@realityinscience9177]

Very insightful for a distant well wisher. Thanks.

[@allo-other]

For those who aren't interested in the latest insult-to-intelligence scam -> 3:06

[@Elongated_Muskrat]

Russian plans don’t have much value these days.

[@simonmay1671]

'Annex Belarus by 2030' rings similar to 'Take Kyiv in 3 days'

[@alfastur6833]

I agree. In Russia things seldom go according to plan.

[@bloggalot4718]

An insightful report.

[@garethbrown9191]

Very informative.

[@NicholayN]

Shirvan your writing is always fantastic! Even by a native English speaker's standards!

[@paulm749]

You always come up with an interesting angle in your analysis. Belarus may prove difficult to swallow into Russia.

[@andyadamovics855]

Some very good points in this video!

[@2bunphettered788]

I love waiting for the concluding wrap-up statement. 😁👌

[@bigozimak]

Cold hard logic would suggest Belarus was smart to remain allied with Russia. The alternative would probably look a lot like Ukraine's unfortunate fate.

[@networkgeekstuff9090]

And this means that as follow-up, War Thunder (Russian game) will now merge with World of Tanks (Belorussian game) :D

[@Unbrutal_Rawr]

Props to my man for thinking of the important stuff 👍

[@Tina-fd5dr]

Thanks!