Caterpillar (CAT) Stock Analysis - Falling Revenue & EBITDA - High Debt and Expense

  Рет қаралды 9,220

Rational Investing with Cameron Stewart, CFA

Rational Investing with Cameron Stewart, CFA

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 118
@OliSGM
@OliSGM 3 жыл бұрын
I would instantly subscribe to those 1 pagers, it would be the perfect exec summary to decide whether to dig more into it and print the 10K or not
@michelUSAvideos
@michelUSAvideos 3 жыл бұрын
agreed
@d00gd00g
@d00gd00g 3 жыл бұрын
this content is phenomenal, let's get some more 1-pagers. you're hitting a rhythm - liked and subscribed. let's see some more semi and bank tickers, but i'll watch em all
@josemagav
@josemagav 2 жыл бұрын
First time here. Great analysis. Neutral, focused. Need no other Videos.
@ozhulse2227
@ozhulse2227 3 жыл бұрын
That was awesome. Concise, viewer focussed, value content. 1st video watched and I'm a fan. More of this please
@petercheang381
@petercheang381 3 жыл бұрын
Hi Cameron, bump into yr channel a mth month + ago. Really enjoy yr teaching and sharing. 👍
@MrLuNNYTUNES
@MrLuNNYTUNES 3 жыл бұрын
Thank you for always sharing contents like this. I usually fast forward boring numbers analysis from other youtubers. But you made it so much easier for us to understand! I hit the like and subscribed button immediately.
@joshw5343
@joshw5343 3 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the quality content per usual, still a very undervalued channel. The content of this channel will appreciate nicely over time which can't be said for many overvalued financial channels suggesting irrational investments.
@drewpolinchak8756
@drewpolinchak8756 3 жыл бұрын
Would love to see a video on WBA..can’t tell if it’s a value trap..their share buy backs have been great…hard not to see a intrinsic value around 75-90
@Mythyval
@Mythyval 3 жыл бұрын
I’m interested in this one too.
@dmdfund
@dmdfund 3 жыл бұрын
One of the best youtube channels I've ever across. Thanks for your hard work!
@jamesmoloney872
@jamesmoloney872 3 жыл бұрын
Great content Cameron. Really like your analysis process. The one pager is a great idea
@ulrichschnier307
@ulrichschnier307 3 жыл бұрын
Me before the video: How cool is THIS ...? CAT is on my watchlist ... Me after the video: Let's kick that thing off my watchlist ...
@DragonZombie2000
@DragonZombie2000 3 жыл бұрын
That's amazing. Fascinating stuff
@evie8143
@evie8143 3 жыл бұрын
you make the same mistake as him
@adrumwhisperer
@adrumwhisperer 3 жыл бұрын
The new format is clean and would be easy to reference if you plan on distributing them.... kinda like a Zack's summary, but better! I'm glad to see you included the IRR vs price distribution, to me that is the most important metric. If I can't buy a stock and get a return better than the market plus my discount rate... then nothing else matters. If it meets that critieria, then it's great to see your 5 principles and what assumptions you put into your model. Showing your work is where you stand out vs MorningStar, Zacks, Motley Fool, etc..
@richardm123
@richardm123 3 жыл бұрын
Fantastic video as always! Informative and entertaining
@unsinkableii9749
@unsinkableii9749 3 жыл бұрын
Cameron, thank you again for sharing your great work and knowledge!
@urosstrajnar3022
@urosstrajnar3022 Жыл бұрын
Hello would love to see updated video on CAT
@kennetho7974
@kennetho7974 3 жыл бұрын
Would love to see UNH. Stocks been a steady returner. Haven't seen a health sector stock yet.
@christopherlashley8182
@christopherlashley8182 3 жыл бұрын
Yesss, you are the best. Do the sheet thing. Great idea!
@afshinjianfar1524
@afshinjianfar1524 3 жыл бұрын
Can't Wait to download your new spreadsheet
@Jesus_is_Lord12
@Jesus_is_Lord12 3 жыл бұрын
mr stewart learn very much from your videos. thanks!
@kaos5299
@kaos5299 3 жыл бұрын
GREAT VIDEO. Next one should be DISCA
@luisbarragan9555
@luisbarragan9555 3 жыл бұрын
WBA looks like great value! Would love to see you analyze it.
@iwanhertono696
@iwanhertono696 3 жыл бұрын
Most underrated channel!
@Csnap98
@Csnap98 3 жыл бұрын
Just found your channel. Great videos!
@carlmannhard8051
@carlmannhard8051 3 жыл бұрын
Fantastic presentation!
@fast_wifi6905
@fast_wifi6905 3 жыл бұрын
"If you buy the SPY index you get this garbage" 😂
@rexyl547
@rexyl547 3 жыл бұрын
Thanks for posting. New Amazon financial results looks interesting, can you make a video about it?
@michaelp8727
@michaelp8727 3 жыл бұрын
I really appreciate your analysis!
@betterinvestor9010
@betterinvestor9010 3 жыл бұрын
I love your video and 1 pager makes total sense to me.
@allenbrooks9412
@allenbrooks9412 3 жыл бұрын
Very interesting, it does make one wonder how many of the dividend aristocrats (like the constituent stocks that make up the ETF NOBL) are overpriced and likely to give a below market rate return. After seeing your Ford video I started looking at alternative ways to invest in the electrification of vehicles and would be interested to get your take on Borg Warner (BWA).
@Santiniroberto273
@Santiniroberto273 3 жыл бұрын
Hi Cameron, first time I see one of your videos, great work. I was just wondering why do you compare debt with ebitda and not the net debt. Thank you great video!
@CstewartCFA
@CstewartCFA 3 жыл бұрын
it is net debt. I might not have said that but it's net debt.
@nightowl5979
@nightowl5979 3 жыл бұрын
Thanks for your analysis of CAT. Would be interesting to the same for John Deere. I assessed great value for it in last April 2020, but it seems far too overvalued now. Also an update on your Appen analysis would be appreciated.
@MrJorgego1
@MrJorgego1 3 жыл бұрын
I'm really enjoying your breakdowns...what's your favorite company/opportunity right now?
@drewpolinchak8756
@drewpolinchak8756 3 жыл бұрын
Would love to see SFM view. Great growth and buybacks (SFM)
@fergspotato162
@fergspotato162 3 жыл бұрын
Great video as always!
@DS-ls2jm
@DS-ls2jm 3 жыл бұрын
Great content, I subscribed! Could you look at tobacco...PM and BTI ?🧐👍👍
@batistaoflorent7337
@batistaoflorent7337 3 жыл бұрын
Thanks so much for your videos. Very educating and great stock choice. Would love to see Amgen, Mondelez or CME Group. Best regards from Berlin
@wesleyg2403
@wesleyg2403 3 жыл бұрын
A new one on LMT might be nice
@Coda1850
@Coda1850 3 жыл бұрын
This was an interesting video!
@zanes1922
@zanes1922 3 жыл бұрын
Can you review MAERSK please. Thanks!
@michaelcloresandersm.d.7050
@michaelcloresandersm.d.7050 3 жыл бұрын
Another good video. Would you consider AMGN?
@jonnyrob440
@jonnyrob440 3 жыл бұрын
Another great video thanks 😊
@mananchadha3458
@mananchadha3458 3 жыл бұрын
Hi Cameron. What do you feel regarding Jaguar Health business?
@bebebebe5298
@bebebebe5298 3 жыл бұрын
great video!
@Nicolasdu5
@Nicolasdu5 3 жыл бұрын
Great job love it thanks 👍
@emilberggren7908
@emilberggren7908 3 жыл бұрын
Great video as always, would be cool if you took a look at Evolution, Swedish igaming behemoth. Ticker EVVTY or EVO 👍
@renjixb1
@renjixb1 3 жыл бұрын
Would love to see an analysis of SPG Simon Property Group. Case in past metrics vs the negative sentiment future on retail even though they have a top tier portfolio
@MrDevonMize
@MrDevonMize 3 жыл бұрын
I sold CAT based on the massive premium run up. Had no problem dumping them. Great company, but no thanks for right now.
@diogoborges4241
@diogoborges4241 3 жыл бұрын
Top! Do Corsair please!
@carternetzley4383
@carternetzley4383 3 жыл бұрын
If i buy the spreadsheet from your course is there a way to import numbers from 10-k directly to spreadsheet? Or do i have to input it item by item? Thanks! -Carter
@affegorilla1299
@affegorilla1299 3 жыл бұрын
Walgreens would be nice!
@foodguy3435
@foodguy3435 3 жыл бұрын
yes PLZZZZZZZZ!!!!
@Antares-rt5ub
@Antares-rt5ub 3 жыл бұрын
YES
@Zynnovation
@Zynnovation 3 жыл бұрын
CAT seems like it'd be impossible to forecast long term. Looking back at their revenue/EBITDA/Operating Cash Flow for the last 20 years, everything looks like a big roller coaster. Several years where the numbers trend up, then several where they trend down, then the cycle repeats. The cyclical nature of their industry makes them a company I'd always be hesitant about holding long term. They seem more like the type of company to buy on the downtrends, then sell on the uptrends... Something to buy, hold for a few years, sell, then wait for the next cycle.
@Csnap98
@Csnap98 3 жыл бұрын
Would you be able to do CRSR?
@gelu4449
@gelu4449 3 жыл бұрын
How about TTCF? I really like what they done so far and their leadership team. Thanks for another great video!
@6017244
@6017244 3 жыл бұрын
Watch Sven Calin video about TTCF. Your whole prospective will change about the company.
@iWill4u3
@iWill4u3 2 жыл бұрын
Thoughts on cat today?? It’s at 220 now!! Should it go down?
@outdoorguy845
@outdoorguy845 3 жыл бұрын
I wish I had the knowledge this guy has
@DrJarimba
@DrJarimba 3 жыл бұрын
more stocks on a subscription basis, I'd pay for this. Keep a low price so you can get a large client volume.
@kfirben-yehuda7050
@kfirben-yehuda7050 3 жыл бұрын
WELL done !
@combodrago781
@combodrago781 3 жыл бұрын
Thanks from Russia)) Appreciate your videos)
@haikvoskerchian2857
@haikvoskerchian2857 3 жыл бұрын
Please do a qiwi stock review.
@JP-bv8qv
@JP-bv8qv 3 жыл бұрын
Cameron, if you haven't read a 10-K before, what company and year do you recommend starting off with to get a handle of things?
@CstewartCFA
@CstewartCFA 3 жыл бұрын
Read the Costco and Starbucks 10k. But brick and mortar retail companies. A good start
@David.Marquez
@David.Marquez 3 жыл бұрын
Thanks for this very grounded look at CAT! Would love to see EA be covered at some point.
@reazulkabir3068
@reazulkabir3068 3 жыл бұрын
outstanding
@askartop2628
@askartop2628 3 жыл бұрын
look ar their TSR total shareholder return... they are crushing
@jacobh425
@jacobh425 3 жыл бұрын
Hey, your 5th criteria is Well priced... EV/EBITDA. What do you like this number to be, to be considered well priced?
@benjohnson9696
@benjohnson9696 3 жыл бұрын
I think it has do to with the ratio both compared to other companies in the industry as well as the company’s historic ratios. Just a guess
@acampbell2178
@acampbell2178 3 жыл бұрын
He also looks at the company's growth trend, so a higher EV-to-current-EBITDA number is acceptable IF they are growing (and would therefore produce a higher EBITDA in the future on that current EV). If they have a EV/EBITDA of 20, it's bad if they are flat, but good if they are growing 20%/yr (so the 1st year looks like a 5% return, but by the 10th year it looks like 25%+ return on the original capital).
@prat-man
@prat-man 3 жыл бұрын
My portfolio has been decimated by the ccp. Eagerly awaiting a 'good' rated company 😃
@Memoudi
@Memoudi 3 жыл бұрын
Hey Cameron, great content as usual. Quick question: Being a Dividend Aristocrat is an prestige/honor stamp of sort to the company. Do you think that they are hurting the long time growth of the company by paying so much into dividends instead of reinvesting to still make the list? Also can you look at AstraZeneca (AZN)
@CstewartCFA
@CstewartCFA 3 жыл бұрын
Yes. It’s a label that over time May slow growth as capital is distributed rather than reinvested for growth.
@a.ringson
@a.ringson 3 жыл бұрын
When the tables are next to each other all the time you see spoilers.
@kennhansen466
@kennhansen466 3 жыл бұрын
Thank you for the vidio. I dont have Cat. In my portofolio, and i think i vill be on my watchlist only. Maby you could make a vidio on John Deere Thank you kenn 🇩🇰🤗
@konstantinassolovejus
@konstantinassolovejus 3 жыл бұрын
Boston beer (SAM) looks undervalued. 630 is my buy price.
@MBarberfan4life
@MBarberfan4life 3 жыл бұрын
Doesn't low interest rates hurt companies like Caterpillar?
@grahmthrush4924
@grahmthrush4924 3 жыл бұрын
Take a look at ALB! Strong diversified chemicals company that focuses on Lithium production.
@MrGiggity890
@MrGiggity890 3 жыл бұрын
Would love to see an analysis of Wingstop (WING). Simple business model, good food, strong brand. Seems like a dominoes pizza (DPZ) type of long term investment.
@fraza9807
@fraza9807 3 жыл бұрын
Can you analyze John Deer ?
@mikhailvasilev7161
@mikhailvasilev7161 3 жыл бұрын
My comments disappear... please review Hochtief
@radiatedracer3830
@radiatedracer3830 3 жыл бұрын
My last purchase was at $120 for CAT.
@betterinvestor9010
@betterinvestor9010 3 жыл бұрын
did this change your thesis on CAT and you will offload OR hold?
@viliusdz5567
@viliusdz5567 3 жыл бұрын
top man, thanks
@benjaminhorwitz2864
@benjaminhorwitz2864 3 жыл бұрын
Can you do $MELI please? You’d love it.
@igorvalle6050
@igorvalle6050 3 жыл бұрын
much appreciated
@alexkane8
@alexkane8 3 жыл бұрын
Can you do $T , ATT and stock considering the Discovery merger, I think it’s a great value!
@benjaminhorwitz2864
@benjaminhorwitz2864 3 жыл бұрын
Can you do $DPZ? Everyone loves pizza
@a.ringson
@a.ringson 3 жыл бұрын
I like the previous one more(
@ToniBar
@ToniBar 3 жыл бұрын
Triton International Ltd, please
@markusgarcia4136
@markusgarcia4136 3 жыл бұрын
First
@evie8143
@evie8143 3 жыл бұрын
and do you think those old machines can meet the increasingly strict environmental requirements? you're making a mistake the replacement market is likely to grow.
@WheresWaldo05
@WheresWaldo05 3 жыл бұрын
Holy cow, why are you so mad around the 22-23 minute mark? That's where I started watching
@johnpedroza1521
@johnpedroza1521 3 жыл бұрын
Im bullish on 🐱
@cashflow4980
@cashflow4980 3 жыл бұрын
do $NEM
@vernoncyrus1923
@vernoncyrus1923 3 жыл бұрын
Please do $DE
@fortunacf7363
@fortunacf7363 3 жыл бұрын
You should do some clickbait, to grow the channel. The conclusions at the title don't help
@IndigoMusicStudios
@IndigoMusicStudios 3 жыл бұрын
INFRASTRUCTURE BILL.
@jesperklingstrom9133
@jesperklingstrom9133 3 жыл бұрын
Great video as always!
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