Chances Growing For Potential Gulf Hurricane, Significant Florida Flood Threat (Tropics Update)

[@jafo4u508]

Thanks for your report on Puerto Rico a couple of weeks ago. My sister has a big church over there, and she warned all of her congregation to check their generators and fill their cars with gas and stock up on essentials. I saw your report and warned her. The storm followed 100% the track you predicted. My sister lives in a gated community, and they lost power for three days. The people in the more rural areas were without power for weeks. The whole congregation was very thankful for warning them at least a week before it started to be broadcast on local channels.

[@just_weather]

Hey, friends. Some changes since the last time we talked. Models biting on a stronger storm due to influence of what was tropical depression 11 in the Pacific. Still a front nearby and dry air could limit development in Gulf, but regardless a nasty flood threat is coming to Florida next week. Subscribe to keep up to date! - Jonathan

[@dl7562]

Watching from Ga, great videos!

[@just_weather]

@@dl7562 really appreciate that! Good to see you! - Jonathan

[@GinaOster]

Thank you from the west coast of FL. I look forward to your informative updates!

[@ashrithreddy5967]

I see wow will be safe once again hopefully a very weak system if it affects directly SWFL still in recovery.

[@just_weather]

@@debb4099 what unnatural features exactly? They look the same as they did in 1960 when we got satellites. Stop spreading misinformation. - Jonathan

[@vidab.8149]

Jacksonville Florida 904' here... we have been very blessed

[@lawtalk5665]

Im in the 904 too! And yes, I am incredibly grateful that we have been spared for the most part. We had a tree through our house from Nicole but got a new roof & all is well. Prayers for everyone who has been devastated.

[@shibainu501]

Dont forget hurricane season last until end of November

[@AllynRosenbaum]

I’m just glad the folks in the mountains don’t have to deal with this. The news doesn’t want to show you how bad things are out there. They say there’s 200 people dead, but that number could sadly raise to the thousands. Prayers out to the Appalachian community

[@backyardbreeze112]

It's all over the news.

[@VermontRentals]

i've seen unending news coverage of the incredible damage/destruction. Not sure what you mean about not wanting to show how bad things are. Most coverage has been a combination of shock and disbelief of the level of "biblical" damage.

[@stickboslightning]

It’s all I see on the news, what some outlets don’t cover is why west north carolina just got smashed with a tropical system. It’s weird like the climate is different or changing :( I hope everyone stays safe out there

[@VermontRentals]

@@stickboslightning So true. The fact that the earth is about 1.5 degrees C warmer, or about 2.5 degrees F, means that the atmosphere can hold more moisture and thus cause heavier rain events. I've been a pilot my whole adult life and we have a magic number... 59. That was the world average temperature that is the basis for pretty much all performance charts that allow pilot to plan for safe flight. Today that number is over 61. Many folks may say "so what, doesn't seem like much" but that difference equates to entirely new weather patterns, warmer oceans and different weather events, such as rain. Sadly, what has happened in NC will happen again. And again, with increasing frequency. Our world, like those aircraft performance charts, were designed around 59, not 61. (Don't worry about flying. Pilots plan around the variation from 59. That stays safe!)

[@poeticsparrow]

​​@@stickboslightning seems like so many people would rather believe that "they" are somehow controlling the weather than that pollution is changing the biosphere, it's unbelievable

[@MissaAubree]

Watching from Orlando Florida 🌴 thank you for your updates

[@Wtvrflotesurgoat]

Are you going to flee? Do you have any family on the west coast you can stay with?

[@MissaAubree]

@@Wtvrflotesurgoat so far we haven’t been told to evacuate. I’m in a higher elevation area that isn’t to prone to floods, but areas around me are.

[@Wtvrflotesurgoat]

@@MissaAubree oh wow I guess it really depends. I hope Wednesday all is well!

[@colleengreentree7547]

Hey! South Florida. Afternoon Jonathan. Thank you sir for your very timely and accurate updates. You are awesome.

[@just_weather]

You’re very welcome! You’re way too kind! - Jonathan

[@colleengreentree7547]

@@just_weather awwww shucks! I just appreciate quality reporting that's all. Few and far between I'm sorry to say

[@findingretirement6649]

Florida is a great place to live if you don't mind the possibility of losing everything due to hurricanes half of the year.... for the rest of your life.

[@castlekingside76]

State Farm remembers too much and is leaving Florida. Most insurance companies are. Way too much risk. Florida will have to move further inland. Otherwise it's like you said.

[@rtqii]

@@castlekingside76 The only difference inland is that the flooding is not as salty.

[@findingretirement6649]

@@castlekingside76 Unfortunately you're not safe there either. The St. Johns river system floods are devastating as well and that runs through the bulk of the state. Florida has been slowly consumed by rising sea levels since the last glacial maximum ended about 20k years ago and there is not much left compared to what there was back then. 106k years before that 70% of it was under about 20' of water.

[@motshasek4774]

3 hurricanes hit me in 13 months, lost trees that's all

[@pamcooper459]

😢

[@tedcole9936]

Hey man, the more I watch this channel, the more I recognize that you’re really smart. Great work!

[@billlindsey9337]

Checking in from Hollywood, FL, thanks for the updates. We are crossing our fingers and stacking sandbags.

[@just_weather]

You’re very welcome! Same here! - Jonathan

[@stephaniestrolls]

Subscribed. This was explained really well. Watching in Tampa Bay. 🌴

[@just_weather]

Welcome to the team! Really appreciate that! - Jonathan

[@briantaylor2.023]

Same here!

[@CarnorJast1138]

Me too! This channel is very well done and the meteorologist is very easy to listen to, and talks like he is speaking to the common man! Excellent!!!

[@ministerdeniseearley6067]

Watching from Chiefland Fla. Getting ready for more heavy rain. Thanks for the information 👍 .

[@just_weather]

You’re welcome! Thanks for being here! - Jonathan

[@Simbabe54]

Watching from West Palm Beach, supposed to fly to Washington DC on Thursday. Really worried, I will be devastated if I can’t go because of this.

[@DennisGranahan-e9h]

praying for God's timing for your travels ❤❤❤

[@Witless-Pawn]

Might want to leave earlier

[@Simbabe54]

@@Witless-Pawn not possible

[@kristinleefox3046]

wow...I'm impressed excellent presentation and information...well developed

[@carllingelbach2441]

Great channel, love it

[@just_weather]

Really appreciate that! - Jonathan

[@norajeanmccauley1584]

Thank you for this helpful information!!!

[@just_weather]

You’re welcome! - Jonathan

[@iglapsu88]

'Thank you Jonathan. Looks like some pretty big changes in the Gulf.

[@mchapman1928]

I left Florida 15 years ago, don’t miss it. Sadly all our children and their families are there in the Tampa Bay Area. I wish they’d leave but their careers are there. I was there 20+ years, I’d had enough of the storms. The fear and prep for many storms that fizzled out, then the fear and prep and cleanup from the ones that hit. It’s not good.

[@socialbutterfly4146]

Watching from Sarasota 🏝️

[@01xrpplumbing]

I have been in Florida my whole life I have never seen hurricanes come out of the golf. They come from the Atlantic off of Africa's coast my whole life I'm 42 years old and this is the first time I've ever seen hurricanes creating in the golf of Mexico and then coming with such strength. And then when the hurricane hits land, it gets even stronger. This has never happened. They hit land the hurricanes and they get weaker. They start breaking apart. Something is going

[@russellmania5349]

weather manipulation

[@christine6045]

Just found this channel last week and subscribed because I really like the way Jonathan explains things. Speaks very clearly and explains things in a manner that is easy to understand. Very happy with Jonathan (and I don't like anybody 🤣).

[@RDove55]

I follow most of them, and he's one of the best.

[@MikeBodo]

The Northern jet stream's been really weak for awhile now, allowing the tropical jet stream to dominate and influence the Southeast's weather. I live in SE Michigan and we've not had much wind to speak of really since the beginning of July and we're into October, when our weather typically sees a drastic change with increased wind, rain and cooler temps. Hasn't happened and until it does, the tropical jet stream will continue dominate the weather pattern for a large swath of the U.S. and wreak havoc.

[@nimrodrebirth7703]

This gonna be Epic😮😮😮

[@jamesmarchetti3286]

Very good weather analysis 🧐 !! You’re in agreement with many others when you said fluctuations and I keep an eye if there might or possibly be any upper level wind shears ??? Or Cold Fronts from here coming down there ?? I definitely Subscribed and added you to my list !! Many had lately wondered about European Models !!!

[@EdwardM-t8p]

Checking in from New Orleans here! 🙂 I'm so glad it's not coming to my town.

[@briantaylor2.023]

Florida needs a break! xD

[@findingretirement6649]

@@briantaylor2.023 That's not going to happen statistically hurricane strengths and frequencies are getting more sever, not to mention sea level rise.

[@briantaylor2.023]

@@findingretirement6649 Yea, definitely looks that way

[@Blivot]

YOu the Man great program! Salute!

[@just_weather]

Appreciate you! Thanks! - Jonathan

[@Hurpdurpdipidydoo]

Well at least it didn’t wait until we rebuilt here in st Pete, it can’t take much more from us at this point

[@tamauriemcghee3524]

Wouldn’t speak so soon we all know by now it’s a roll of dice until we’re hit or not

[@noahverbonitz4549]

Watching from Bradenton. Wish me luck!

[@reymurad]

Another hurricane? Wow no one is going to insure FL , wild!

[@Thedude897]

Yes they are but the house has to be raised 100k on average

[@Yarmox]

Non of this is new, these companies have done very well in the state for decades.

[@beckyj7600]

Sarasota here , still havent gotten my home fixed yet from the the 4 feet of water that flooded from debby.. no more hurricanes and flooding

[@findingretirement6649]

Having no more hurricanes and flooding is entirely your decision, stay it will continue to happen, move out of that region it won't.

[@just_weather]

Really sorry to hear that. - Jonathan

[@l7fernandez]

How far inland from the ocean are you? Stay safe. Sorry to hear that.

[@Ira88881]

I’m in South(east) Florida…Coral Springs. Is it only me, or are there statistics, showing that for the past few years, most hurricane hits are coming from the west, from the Gulf, hitting western Florida? As opposed to our east coast from the Atlantic?

[@just_weather]

You are correct. Gulf has been much more active than Atlantic side. - Jonathan

[@DanielRicany]

Yes, hence why I moved to the east coast

[@Ira88881]

@@just_weather Thanks. I thought I was nuts.

[@WildwoodSubRailfan]

Pretty wild to see the EURO being the most bullish on development.

[@mattyb3165]

We are saturated here in upper Tampa bay right now. The water will stack up on us again

[@carmenpoole6299]

Get out!!

[@THEREALQUEENLEYA]

Watching from Miami Dade County! Lord Florida needs a break ! This is crazy! The South East part of Florida is notorious for getting hit in October!

[@candaceseitz7689]

I'm in miami dade also and I'm in homestead. Preparing tomorrow in case

[@heathermatthews7422]

Good morning ☀️, North Florida here I was wondering if you could do a report on sink hole possible locations after all this water comes for preparation purposes. Gratitude for your reports❣️🤞🏻

[@julieowen5874]

So how many of you think these storms look like HARP developments?? When does anyone ever remember storms criss-crossing the gulf???! This is insane!!!

[@Lobosank]

Too many cuckoos in this c😵‍💫lock

[@poppajretired410]

Has anyone noticed how many more storms have hit Florida since trump relocated his criminal enterprise to Florida?🤔

[@tony-ce7qp]

great to the point....honest no doubt!

[@just_weather]

Thanks! - Jonathan

[@BrigCommander]

Nobody does the weather better than Jonathan Kegges

[@Sport-Brown]

Maaaan, this was just a rain blob yesterday!! My neighbors and I cant handle another right now!!

[@kjgkjg8169]

Johnathan, you mentioned yesterday the potential for something in the Caribbean around Oct 18-23ish. Is that something you're still monitoring? Thanks. Enjoy the vids and education man.

[@just_weather]

Hi! Appreciate that! Still looks like that is a possibility. Signal still showing up. - Jonathan

[@Brownej07]

clearwater here and i’m ready for it

[@majo9042]

I am leaving in Florida, and I have never been ready. This is too much 😢 3:31 😢😢.

[@jennifersummerlin7488]

Thank you Jonathan, from Jacksonville, FL.

[@just_weather]

You’re very welcome! - Jonathan

[@Sbc-hk8tm]

Be safe florida, especially Tampa and areas hit by ian

[@montywilson2597]

Thank you for another great report

[@just_weather]

You’re welcome! - Jonathan

[@Simrata_]

Everything changes so quick….. have a safe weekend everyone 😊 Thanks Jonathan ❤

[@TamraDL]

Sarasota County, FL here. Ugh. Thanks for the report Jonathan! 🙏🏻

[@Time_Traveler_Karen]

Thankyou for the updates Jonathan

[@just_weather]

You’re very welcome! - Jonathan

[@Mastermechanicman]

It’s easy to predict what you create! Does anyone know what harp is?

[@russellmania5349]

I do

[@Barbara-s3b9m]

Connecticut here too🍁😉

[@just_weather]

@@Barbara-s3b9m jealous!! - Jonathan

[@iveyhealth2266]

These landfall areas are still reeling from Helene's landfall. 🤯 Cedar Key, St. Petersburg etc...😮

[@just_weather]

It’s terrible. Absolutely hate this. - Jonathan

[@ChoosingHappiness]

863 here thanks for the updates

[@viceroy7792]

Good stuff. Thanks

[@peteaviles7869]

This guy is great

[@camrennik9512]

I’m flying down to fort meyers in 7 days from Chicago. Oh boy

[@Drunkenknifingducks]

Could broward county be in the bad side of this storm?

[@MichaelM-q2q]

I'm in the middle crosshairs again. Oh, Pooh. Hope we get through without any harm..

[@16MedicRN]

Ugh! Many surprises this season 🥺

[@just_weather]

@@16MedicRN very much so! - Jonathan

[@nnonotnow]

This video is about a potential hurricane that is forming in the Gulf of Mexico and may impact Florida. The speaker of the video, Jonathan Keegas, a certified meteorologist, discusses the latest modeling data and forecasts for the storm. He says that the storm is likely to become a tropical storm or hurricane and could make landfall on the Florida Peninsula. The speaker also discusses the potential rainfall impacts of the storm, which could be significant. Keegas also provides an update on Hurricane Kirk, which is a strong Category 4 hurricane in the Atlantic Ocean. He says that Kirk is not expected to impact land. Overall, this video is a helpful resource for people who live in Florida or who are interested in the latest hurricane news.

[@DreamTalkingWithVickie]

Peeking in from Nola 🙄 Thanks for the sanity. Much appreciated! 🙏

[@Memessssss]

W video

[@ChaseTheTech]

Tropical depression 11 is gonna be the meteorological comeback story of the season at the Stormy awards this year

[@rtqii]

I fear you are correct. It will be traveling across very warm water, and that part of the gulf has a slightly lower salinity which means higher water vapor pressure... Storm fuel.

[@candaceseitz7689]

Miami Florida here

[@Tropical_Fruit_stateofmind941]

When is the worst of the rain coming

[@ziziroberts8041]

The weather can be very unpredictable. Be Prepared.

[@Aashka_The_Mystic]

I wish the Gulf would make up it's mind

[@Mikaiah72]

what is the upper level spinning movement into the gulf from directly South?

[@just_weather]

What do you mean exactly? In the map? - Jonathan

[@just_weather]

@@Mikaiah72 oh that’s the flow from the storm itself. A little different than Helene

[@Mikaiah72]

the Center of one is Waco, TX, the other in Ocampo, Mexico

[@Mikaiah72]

ty 🙏

[@ChiChisWorld]

I'm so SICK of summer.

[@Yourservice99]

Summer blows!

[@castlekingside76]

​@Yourservice99 it used to be cool but now the sun feels nuclear hot 🔥

[@lasbrown6660]

Do something about climate change.

[@lostonthepathoflife]

Give it a month

[@SeaJay_Oceans]

That is just the nausea you feel when you hear how Harris & Biden spent all our Hurricane funds on Migrants & Ukraine - and now our towns are flooded & so many dead bodies just everywhere. Stuck in the mud...

[@dmaliha]

Be safe and operate in wisdom everyone....

[@karen-zr9ge]

Hmm, my question is What area will they target next? Stew Peters had some good info on the weather warfare going on with Mr Dane wiginton. God bless them for getting truth & proof out to more people.

[@just_weather]

This is complete conspiracy. Please don’t fall for this. - Jonathan

[@karen-zr9ge]

@@just_weather do your own research , proof is there if you want to see it.

[@pwneruknowit]

I'm getting sick of hurricane season

[@just_weather]

You and me both. Ugh. - Jonathan

[@BamGene21]

It’s barely been hurricanes

[@wheresdabeef4220]

Are you a snowbird 🐦

[@pwneruknowit]

@@wheresdabeef4220 No, I've lived in Florida since 1980

[@pwneruknowit]

@@BamGene21 Yeah but a lot of them have made landfall and messed some things up

[@ughidgaf5125]

I dont know why, but Tampa Fl is blessed with missing these hurricanes head on im praying it miss us 🙏 please go away mr hurricane

[@straycats6]

The ones that are fish stories should be off the map

[@christianwellness4363]

I'm in bradenton , it better stay the fu## away lol 🙏

[@komarpineda4192]

I wonder if with all the toilet paper packages I have stored in my shed...would it make the hurricane impact clean and soft? 🤔

[@Time_Traveler_Karen]

Connecticut here

[@just_weather]

Welcome! - Jonathan

[@Lowkey_Omi]

Dang. Next week im making a roadtrip from south Florida to centrail Florida. We hurricane chasers?

[@toasttoasted3492]

Damn here we go 😢

[@gaim44]

God loves Florida baby😊

[@dont.wilson2121]

Jonathan, you and your team are always informative 😉

[@just_weather]

@@dont.wilson2121 thanks so much! Thanks for being here! - Jonathan

[@dougscott188]

The eye on Kirk

[@tamauriemcghee3524]

It’s going way out right

[@Mark-y3k1m]

I'm retired at 27, went from Grass to Grace. This video here reminds me of my transformation from a nobody to good home, honest wife, $35k biweekly and a good daughter full of ❤️ I’m forever grateful Rose M Elaine

[@user-mj6xe1nk7s]

I'm highly inspired. Please spill some sugar about the bi-weekly stuff you mentioned.

[@JoannaV.Wilkinson]

Wow 😱I know her too Miss Rose M Elaine is a remarkable individual whom has brought immense positivity and inspiration into my life.

[@GayleSallyWagner]

I started with a miserly $1500. The results have been mind blowing I must say TBH!

[@AmeliaNicholsonWard]

I know that woman (Rose M Elaine ) If you were born and raised in Miami ,FL🇺🇸 you'd know too, No doubt she is the one that helped you get where you are!!

[@GayleSallyWagner]

There is her line!!! under this comment!!! « Put the digits together.

[@r0ckii]

Mannnnnn Florida is basically COOKED sheeeeeeeeesssh

[@mskerczak]

HELP 😂😂😂

[@r0ckii]

@@mskerczak 😆😆😆

[@konradgola9132]

a nice tune on a harp will fix it all

[@russellmania5349]

clever, lol.

[@keonisan]

Your caption should say "just got better" not worse, the Orlando area got screwed out of rain with Helene, now's our chance for redemption.

[@just_weather]

No didn’t get screwed…wasn’t expecting much. - Jonathan

[@Gotchalol-u7s]

Texas to Florida just became the new hot spot of Hurricane formations over the African coast. This will become the new normal. There is going to be a surge of folks to the West Coast and possibly back again as we face a variety of natural disasters from East to West.

[@johnhamlin7055]

The Ron DeSantis school of meteorology!!!

[@770WT]

The purple area still could be North Florida

[@andrearenee7845]

Finally... One shift in that chart of yours, and that Cat 4 will be a CAT 6 and up. The Gulf flooding will be massive. If you want to help, tell people HOW TO PREPARE FOR THE WORSE...

[@Supremewin777]

This is Terrible. These storms must be stopped 😢

[@toddbolger8864]

You really believe that "man" can stop hurricanes? Oh boy🤦‍♂️

[@Maddeyz]

My weather app says that it is now a 70% chance in the next 7 days for one to form in the gulf

[@just_weather]

It does. Updated at 8pm - Jonathan

[@SeaJay_Oceans]

My weather app says weather in Lebanon is clear and sunny with a 70% chance of israeli attacks.

[@Maddeyz]

@@SeaJay_Oceans What

[@SeaJay_Oceans]

@@Maddeyz Just an old saying of the middle east... weather reports should include war activity...

[@romanccccc123]

So basically…… Florida is cooked again… Tampa here ..

[@just_weather]

Possibly unfortunately. - Jonathan

[@josephtalmadge3108]

​@@just_weatherI'm in South West Florida. Sarasota County how we looking boss

[@joezhou5426]

Whoever moved to Tampa area since Convid, good luck for your investment. 😮

[@josephtalmadge3108]

@joezhou5426 I don't live in Tampa I'm 3 1/2 hrs away in a hurricane proof house. I'm more worried about any of my neighbors some very elderly

[@joezhou5426]

@@josephtalmadge3108 I am not saying your situation. Just thinking about how those new house buyers see this weather..

[@mandelayforest2959]

We are still showing up to the polls now more than ever

[@Fatelovesirony960]

They are gonna seed those clouds and try to enhance that hurricane to a 3

[@just_weather]

Take that elsewhere please - Jonathan

[@RentFreeInYourHed]

​@@just_weatherso no free speech on your channel?

[@ktsig287]

​@@RentFreeInYourHedhe is trying to explain weather patterns and forecasts. Smh.

[@russellmania5349]

@@RentFreeInYourHed They keep playing with the HAARP.

[@RentFreeInYourHed]

@@russellmania5349 they use planes. I watch them. We're still here. Guess no matter how hard they try, no matter what they hire.. they suck at what they do and we have more protection than you think. Let them bury themselves in sin. 👍🏼

[@petermclaughlin5334]

I wonder what would happen if we dropped dry ice into the center?

[@vafllmt9009]

Sarasota/Bradenton here. Still trying to recover from the massive rains earlier this year and hurricane Debbie. Not sure how much more we can handle. Insurance companies are not your friend.

[@richard123p]

What are you seeing with that new tropical wave coming off Africa? I think somehow we must watch it. Could be wrong

[@just_weather]

Looks like could get strong in middle of Atlantic. Too soon to know if it comes west. Likely will stay out at sea though. - Jonathan.

[@yomamarager2179]

Will this cancel any flights?

[@just_weather]

It could if it hits like projected. - Jonathan

[@homi7760]

Great im in orlando so i guess im probably going to be underwater ;/

Not good for FLA. Jeez !

[@just_weather]

It’s really terrible. Can’t deal with this. - Jonathan

[@boristheamerican2938]

I hope the insurance companies safely evacuate.

[@av_cali4958]

Can this system move more soutj than what the euro and gfs says?

[@just_weather]

It can. It will likely be in between Cedar Key and the Keys where it comes ashore. That will be fine-tuned on Monday. - Jonathan

[@youtubeaccount931]

Why national guard go to middle east!??