How Risk Analyst Wins at Craps

[@johnhouldsworth3033]

Hey Bro, u r no fraud, we all realized that it’s not a 14 Ft table. Just thank you for showing all of the betting options to this game that we all love to play. Please keep up the great content. John H, Naples, Fl.

[@ColorUp]

Thanks John! I lived in naples for 19 years

[@markadkins9290]

Glad you added the 2nd player. I would love to have that much action and only be down $20. I don't think I could keep track with the other even if I wrote it down. Thanks Jeremy! Like I always said at the casino, they can have the money just as long as I'm having a good time while I'm there.

[@lucifersatan807]

I agree on both statements - In Vegas, i'm essentially having fun with cheap drinks all night. And adding a second player as a baseline, helps me to understand how the strategy compares to "blind chance"

[@Chekmate99]

like others have posted, dice have no memory thus each role is independent of itself - unfortunately Craps is a negative EV for the player period - my thoughts is the best you can do is slow down your loses over time (many sessions) by playing the Pass Line with Odds. Or bet big and hope to win big on one or few rolls then quit and save yourself time (which should also be factored in terms of money) - otherwise it’s a death by a thousand cuts. the alternative is enjoying your time at the Craps table with the expectation of losing money - this strategy may be ideal for this as you could spend hours at the table minimizing your losses while other players are incurring losses faster (in terms of time at the table) by pressing bets, etc. which depletes their overall bankroll quicker (maybe not in one session but over many).

[@ColorUp]

Yep, I guess depends on your goal (why your playing)

[@Chekmate99]

@@ColorUp exactly it should be to have fun and enjoy the game with the expectation of losing (paying for the entertainment) - any wins is a bonus and using the strategies you teach is good way to mix things up at the table

[@ColorUp]

I agree, but there are many who believe they can beat the casino…😳

[@larrycaseboltjr9498]

The risk on numbers have already been established by the odds. Changing shooters is part of the randomness, but doesn't change the overall frequency of the number odds. Unless, of course, one believes that setting and controlling the dice roll provides a slight edge.

[@MrZola1234]

This is a baccarat strategy. I believe it's called the 'No Mirror.' It may be more satisfying and fading less vig to play it off past passline decisions. Also, have seen fibinachi numbers rather than martingale betting used.

[@geogent6655]

Thank you sooo much. I just came across your channel and watched your 'how to play craps' with your son from 4 years ago. So through explained everything so clearly. Now with your advice I'm more confident about playing, as I was always afraid to do so 👍👍👍💯%

[@ColorUp]

Yes! It’s a great game. Give it a try and have fun

[@chenryrex]

I did this and made a little. I changed it slightly, though, and bet $18 on the six, instead of $15 (table min.) on the pass. Because I didn't have to leave the six "on", I didn't lose on seven outs, after I got my money off the one field roll. I didn't make a TON, but hey, a win is a win! :)

[@blackmagick77]

I understand its unlikely to roll the same number but there are more possibilities in the field than the number being bet against

[@psykosis1684]

i dislike this strat. i dont mind the field betting but to keep track of 6 rolled numbers and then play the field to the opposite of the previous rolls just doesn't make sense.. the probabilities of the dice just doesn't work that way of betting (in my opinion). field betting to me is a sucker bet. i play it once and awhile and sometimes when 3 non field numbers hit, i feel better to play the field one time or 2... thanks for all your vids, i watch most of them when i have time. i am going to vegas on Nov 7th so some of your video strats will be used. keep up the great work and thank you for your time of making these vids! you are awesome!

[@nickboretz1774]

Have to agree with most comments not liking this. How about just a $50 DP bet..throw for 10 and 4s (2V set)..If you hit the 4, 5, 9, or 10..just place the number for $50. You can't lose and you can win $20 on the 5 or 9..and $40 on 4 and 10? Even the 6 and 8 will get you profit. One roll is all you need. You can hedge the 11 for a small amt. and still make money. I've done with $150 DP. It works most of the time. Just a thought. Good video. Lotta work.

[@ColorUp]

Sure, everyone has their preferred way to play

[@jacobsanchez9039]

The table lets you bring a pen and paper to track odds? I am very new to craps and your videos are really helping me to gain the confidence to get to a table. I just need the time now! lol

[@ColorUp]

Sure can. No electronic devices though.

[@irfanhusein1445]

I don’t think the guy who submitted this has an understanding of probability. Why not make it exciting by the following method. Assume a $15 minimum bet table. Place $25 on 5 & 9 and $48 on 6 & 8. And a $15 bet on the field. So basically a modified iron cross. So your biggest bets are on 6&8 where the probability is highest and your chance of winning on each roll is 83%. Start with a bank roll $800. Exit the game if and when you are up $400

[@KorakBrosepf]

As a dark side player, please by all means.... I'll be over here counting my stacks of cash with all those sevens that are gonna come. ;)

[@MrLeviaFUN]

I think the guy who submitted this strategy doesn't have an understanding of anything craps related

[@ChristopherBowen-zg9co]

I started playing Craps blind this Strategy Backed up my 5,6,8, next 2 are field well I play the 4,6,8,10 Buy bets then play the hard #'s $50.00 on the Hard #'s then 5,6,8, pops up I also $25.00 Horn & a $120.00 field hits then $10.00 Horn & $40.00 field if lose Martin Gayle it till it hits..I started with a $150.00 Bankroll now my last Bankroll $750.00 this next trip I put that in a savings account I'm adding to it next Month I'll have$1,250.00 I enjoy your proram..I also play the Bonus Craps too like to see a strategy that works it in too I call Building Your Bankroll doing a great job hopefully soon I get to join

[@titusvandussen6303]

If the only trigger for making a field bet, is that a non-field number rolled, then you really shouldn't have to track anything or wait around for anything except for that trigger. Just wait for any non-field number and then bet.

[@ColorUp]

Well his point is, the unlikely probability of repeating a sequence of numbers, not just one number

[@lucifersatan807]

Winning the lottery is unlikely, but people do it fairly regularly. Granted, not everyone wins, but unlikely probability does occur.

[@ColorUp]

@@lucifersatan807 of course it does, its still gambling

[@clueless9245]

@@ColorUp Call me stupid, but he selects the 6 numbers not to repeat (usually first 6). But you can count any 6 numbers. 7 could still be a non field bet. Or do not come. But he keeps it to field vs no field. Lot of thinking involved to not get far. Placing 6&8 and turning off after x hits is far easier.

[@dangdude1000]

The progression is delayed one roll to avoid the chop.. so 10-10-25 if the 12/2 rolls voila you got it..free drinks..🤗🤗

[@metalmattchew]

I played next to someone playing a system close to this on a cruise ship. It confused me.

[@clueless9245]

Might as well flip a coin as to whether you bet in the field or not.

[@hulenbryant5637]

Whew! Yeah, I don't have the patience for that system. May work for this guy (like others, I ain't hatin'), but definitely not for me. I'll stick with understanding the house edge, enjoying the game and hoping for some winning in the short term.

[@muhammadcurtis6759]

This strategy is a complete snooze festival, and the range of ending amounts of money after a session seems pretty small. I would definitely pass on this. With that being said, if it works for him I ain’t mad.

[@ColorUp]

I ain’t mad either but you’re right about slow. But slow and steady wins the race so they say

[@krynny]

Yeah any strat that involves multiple field bets seems like a waste.

[@paulyacovetta7642]

If your in this game for entertainment . This strat ain’t it. I know your more of an entertainment better but when I hit the table I’m there to win money . When you win money you beat the odds/ math/ analytics !! It’s gambling . There’s reward for risk . When you beat all those . Your right you need the bank roll to do it !!!

[@ebojfmdboojoh4023]

Why is he ignoring a 7 if he is just betting the field anyway. Maybe he should just track the last 6 numbers and note whether they are field numbers or not and bet the opposite. I don't see the reasoning for starting the sequence again if a 7 is rolled.

[@stevep8217]

i have never had success using a negative progression system, i actually did have success using a system let bet ride 3x and 1 martingale shield passline/come bet in vegas with a 100 unit bankroll and i did progress the bankroll per 50 units

[@clueless9245]

Guess this is supposed to show as a gambling efficinado given the language.

[@mattytheapplianceguy3973]

I guess after all the color up video I've seen the real takeaway is that it's dice favored towards the house. There is no guaranteed strategy for anything. But I still watch cause I don't live at the casino. Thanks for the great content. You should do a video on someone who bets 200 on the 6 versus someone who bets 10 on the six and 8. Both with a 200 bankroll

[@ColorUp]

It’s hard to win, unless the dice roll your way. One $200 bet vs 10 bets of $20?

[@mattytheapplianceguy3973]

@@ColorUp no I'm just realizing that dice are dice. So I'd like to see a guy that gambles vs a guy that wants to sit at the table for hours. It's almost like betting it all on black or red. What are the odds on the payout or going home

[@mattytheapplianceguy3973]

And pretend like the 10 better goes home when he hits 400 and the all in goes home broke or with 400

[@ColorUp]

@@mattytheapplianceguy3973 I see. that’s really a big difference. Neither approach is wrong, it just comes down to personality of player I think. Some would rather bet it all on red in hopes to double money fast not caring if go broke, others would rather sit their as long as possible, gets some drinks, enjoy some entertainment.

[@Twinsen764]

Yeah. Stick with bubble craps on this one. You don't know what's rolling next. Tracking previous numbers has nothing to do with the next number that is coming up.

[@tchinn79]

I was at PH this past week and played craps. I saw a table that showed 2 and 3 added to the top which really threw me off. Anybody seen this? Plus they also have Craps kiosks where there is a shooter but you not surrounded by people.

[@ColorUp]

I believe the first table you saw is “crapless craps” they remove the dont bets and add 2,3,11,12 as box numbers. The second thing is called “stadium craps” one real shooter, the rest of players bet on electronic terminals with the shooters dice roll determining the number.

[@tchinn79]

@@ColorUp have you done a video on crapless craps? The stadium craps was actually fun. It’s much faster pace.

[@ColorUp]

@@tchinn79 here ya go kzbin.info/www/bejne/fXjLnqybYtCHiNU also if you search “crapless craps color up” on KZbin you’ll find a few strategy videos I did on crapless

[@apburner1]

The dice don't have a memory. The odds of any particular combination being rolled are exactly the same every roll no matter what came before. It's hard to believe that this was proposed by a risk analyst.

[@rudyjewelz4609]

This is basically the exact same strategy as the “no mirror” strategy in baccarat. Except with field bets instead of banker/player. Not much analytical about it at all

[@TheTylerjoy04]

Does This Strategy Apply For Single Bubble Craps Machine?

[@ColorUp]

Sure

[@dand.2082]

I guess there’s no direct relationship between risk analysts and craps players. One of the most ridiculous strategies I ever heard.

[@mandelwhitehead4206]

Yeah it does sound rediculous but it’s profitable. I think it’s rediculous to play pass line with odds and all the place bets. It mathematically unprofitable. I mitigate risk on the daily and I use software to prove it

[@dand.2082]

@@mandelwhitehead4206 ok you go boy!

[@xAjido]

Couldn't imagine myself going away to AC for a weekend and doing this. I'd rather stay home and watch paint dry.

[@ColorUp]

ha, fair point

[@jeffm6779]

This is a great strategy for baccarat not craps.

[@Charlie-Bee]

Lol

[@rudyjewelz4609]

Exactly,, this is just no mirror strategy applied to the field ..

[@stevep8217]

do you recommend wincraps?

[@ColorUp]

I don’t have it because It’s not available for Mac, but most love it. Seems like a great tool

[@Shooter11B]

That strategy could very well be the most boring one ever. Tiny profit for so much work and waiting around. LOL, they might just kick you off the table for it! Personally, I don't believe in strict probability, I believe that dice are more aligned with Chaos Theory.

[@Listener827]

This strategy seems doomed to bore, and make no money---most times 7-O is by 6-7th roll. Doing nothing 1st 6 rolls leaves player with only the 'long roll' or 'longer rolls' where more strategies win. This strategy will never work on a cold table, or cool table. Do appreciate you trying multiple strategies and your general delivery and use of smaller bets--and you always wisely advise making sure to have 10X bet--not enough roll-to the casino you never go!👍

[@ColorUp]

I couldn’t play this way personally

[@mandelwhitehead4206]

Robert when I go to the casino I’m not there to “gamble”. I’m there to make money. I use 25$ units and I’m out after I’m up 200$. It’s not sexy or flashy but it’s mathematically consistent and profitable. Put in in wincraps and run it for 100 rolls or less and it will show you without bias.

[@mandelwhitehead4206]

@@ColorUp thanks for showing my system Jeremy

[@Listener827]

@@mandelwhitehead4206 Thanks for the response. Just as some people speak English, others Spanish, others Chinese, ...the Universe has a language--that's math. Tesla proved numbers 3, 6 and 9 form the basis of "everything" for the universe. As you use 6 rolls--you may have something quite valuable, perhaps some of the 'finer' rules of using this system and how and when to employ were not mentioned. Personally I love math and Stats and my life in medicine was based on math, stats, and science...semi-retired now. Share your desire at the Craps table--I'm Not there to gamble: I'm there to use stats and probability to win. My critique was that on cold or cool table you're rarely gonna hit 6 rolls, so 'nothing' is gonna happen. When you do get 6 rolls, it's gonna be over by roll 8 (68%) or 10 (78%). By roll 12 91% of all shooters are 'out'. Is this for the long and longer tolls in that 9%? What's your timeframe for making the $200? Right now I'm 'averaging' $500/hour using 2 different strategies...when played at base levels. There are 5 more levels which double at each level to make 2, 4, 8, 16, 32x base level. It's 'fun' because there's a moderate amount of 'action'. It works on cold table, cool table, choppy table, warm table and hot table. Takes 2 hours to earn CD to go from Base to Level I, then 1 hour each to go to the next 4 levels..so we're back at the number 6. Please share with me some of the finer points of when and how you use this system, and time to make that $200. Also why stop at $200? And...thanks for your reply.

[@lorib5398]

I do this martingale, but with hardways

[@borlum]

“Mathematically unlikely, the sequence will repeat”. Obviously this “risk analysis” doesn’t understand math. The dice does not care what came before. This is only a valid statement if you call it before you roll the sequence. 😂

[@mmsk1717]

😂 i’d be embarrassed to tell my friends that I play this strategy

[@obiwonton369]

And for U marty bettors that have Not lost to 7 X 7 your time is coming. While the long odds are strong against repeater patterns dice are dumb aint got no memory

[@ColorUp]

Well his progression stops at 5, so a well defined loss limit. But yes, martingales always run up against table max or out of money eventually

[@douglasgrosch228]

Count 20-25 times start no 12/ or 2 25$. It will come soon..

[@ColorUp]

Or it won’t. That’s the gamble.

[@louvoodoo]

I hope the guy who submitted this comments on this so that I can ask him a few questions.

[@mandelwhitehead4206]

I’m here Louis

[@louvoodoo]

@@mandelwhitehead4206 Outstanding!!!! First I find your idea intriguing. But may I ask why a sample size of six rolls? Additionally, I feel as though using the 7 vs the 6&8 may be a more effective approach vs a field /nonfield condition. Would you be willing to share your math behind this approach? Lastly, have you done any work with the intervals between sevens?

[@mandelwhitehead4206]

@@louvoodoo yes you speaking my language!! I’ve tested it with many rolls but 6 is enough to get to profit

[@mandelwhitehead4206]

@@louvoodoo as far as the 7 I’ve studied and ran software to see the data on the 7 and it’s behaviors on a random roll. Nothing really came of it but there definitely is room for strategy around it

[@edclearwater9891]

Not for me either

[@liudizzle]

Pretty surprising a risk analyst would use such a nonsensical strategy!

[@formulaifiero2]

Probably one of the worst strats I've seen. Completely ignores how often the 7 comes through probability which is crucial to any realistic strategy. I don't like Martingale either. The only decent progressive system would be a Fibonacci approach. I can't imagine anyone playing this horrible strategy out on any live table since it's a complete bore, way too much to track, and the chances of winning are nearly non-existent. Nice of you to roll it out anyways though.

[@hardattackdj]

This strategy strips the fun out of the game. It’s a game, so it’s supposed to be fun. And for what? Maybe walking away with $20-$30 after a couple of hours? I’d rather just go to work.

[@ColorUp]

🤷‍♂️

[@mandelwhitehead4206]

Dan I play with 25$ units so I’m walking with over 200$ average. It’s math and I’m not there to have fun or gamble. I’m there to make money

[@hardattackdj]

@@mandelwhitehead4206 fair enough. How long does it take on average to hit $200?

[@chiefofdc]

Would get a better idea if you played at a bubble craps.

[@donaldisidori421]

Too much risk to lose the only gaining $10 at a time I'd rather play the field maybe be better luck system I wouldn't play not for me

[@EastPeakSlim]

Overly complicated for an old dude with a short-attention... what was I talking about?

[@MrLeviaFUN]

Dice have no memory. Martingale is a great way to lose big money. Garbage strategy

[@Chekmate99]

and that’s why table games have max. limits on the amount you can bet

[@ColorUp]

Martingale is perfect strategy…until you hit that table max limit or run out of money 😉

[@toxsickdog]

I would never martingale the field with it's chinsy 1 to 1 payoff (2:1 on craps) I would rather martingale one of the Hard ways & stick with it. starting at $1 & progressing up as It loses. It is a real thrill when your hard # comes up & you have 30 bucks on it. & the hard ways are not one roll bets like the field (exception is the hop bet). So You can play longer before losing all of your hard earned cash!

[@MrLeviaFUN]

@@ColorUp , I agree J

[@adx7574]

This is without a doubt the worst strategy I’ve ever scene. Why play craps at that point? Just put your money in a very low percentage savings account. May end up making money faster that way.

[@ColorUp]

Ha

[@Fire5485]

Love your content... This strategy is ridiculous. Long, tedious, intensive on effort by the player for minimal reward.

[@mandelwhitehead4206]

You’ve been indoctrinated to think that you have to have excitement at the table for it make sense. I’m 100% sure you are a “gambler” and not profitable. Any savvy investor does not do day trading they buy and hold blue chip stocks and in mutual funds. Again it’s not sexy but year over year it produces a 8-12% return. That’s how I view casino games.

[@Fire5485]

@@mandelwhitehead4206 I'm a math major who is teaching grade school for a career. My retirement fund is in conservative mutual funds. On the other hand, my limited casino time is for fun. Smart fun, but fun. That's what I'm spending my money on. Any strategy I use has to have a balance of action with only intelligent risks. Of course it's gambling, that's what I step up to the table for. That's what makes it fun and exciting for me.

[@mandelwhitehead4206]

@@Fire5485 fantastic so we understand the same things. The only difference is I’m not looking to have fun. Everything to me has a ROI- people, work, games. So I’m only looking to have a 1-3% return on my time and money in a casino. Also thank you for teaching! I salute you for that

[@Fire5485]

@@mandelwhitehead4206 Fair enough, different goals at the table. The mathematician in me is fearful of the day you do eventually hit the wall on your martingale. I pray it never happens. All the best, sir.

[@ColorUp]

Well he has a lose limit in place, only martingale for 5 levels. So worst case scenario really isn’t that bad.

[@malcolmwasher9915]

This makes 0 sense lol

[@malcolmwasher9915]

Whattttttttt

[@buraktezcan2307]

1st

[@dustedone]

Digging deep into that bag of crap..I mean "tricks" to provide content. If you are so steadfast to negative proxies in the game of craps, why would you find it necessary to proof any martingale system? And to boot, why would you embark on the gambler's fallacy? I can't what till next time to see what you pull out of that empty bag of "tricks."

[@ColorUp]

Tricks? I share people’s strategies. I don’t approve or disapprove how anyone chooses to gamble their money. Thanks for watching.

[@dustedone]

@@ColorUpIf your such a craps eficinado. Why again, on top of the gambler's fallacy and a martingale strategy, would you promote a strategy on one of the worst wagers on the table. The combination of these three elements to ANY games of chance would be a losing strategy. The comparison of a losing strategy to a bigger losing strategy is fluff. Your just putting out content for what??? I am sure there is content worthy material you have covered over the many years of posting; there is only so much that can be presented on the game. And your grasping at straws to be consequential. So keep digging deep in that bag o'tricks. Or better yet, time to jump on the Crapsee train.

[@ColorUp]

@@dustedone Again, I share peoples strategies. I don't judge. This is KZbin, I put out content for....entertainment. This is not stock trading advice. It's an amazing gambling game that I love, and also like to see how others play it. You must also be entertained as you continue to watch and keep commenting. Appreciate your interaction, it just helps my channel. Also you can look forward to me jumping on that train, and playing with others using that App, it looks like fun. Shouldn't you be in the casino right now? Or making your own original content?

[@dustedone]

@@ColorUp The fluff of content I call crap is what you deem entertainment?? If you need to waste time on losing strategies, that is of course your choice. My rebuttal of your statement is where I base my opinions of your content on your channel. And if a SIM is the future of your craps endeavor the reality will be me playing my run n gun magic dlx making profits while you will looking for your next shill to impress and buy your schwag. I was,of course, at the casino yesterday day. But why mention that; you would just say my claims are false and remove my replies. And in pre-production for future postings that you will most likely pick apart and state that doesn't prove a thing. Naysayers gotta love em