Could The US Enter a Serious Crisis?

Oversimplified version of "The Storm Before The Calm" - George Friedman
It seems like recently America is crazy. Everything about the country leads to believe there might be a crisis soon. Well through two repeating cycles in American history this might be the case. Will there be an American Crisis during the 2020s decade?
#h0ser #usa #2020s

[@ThcPatient]

George Friedman also authored a book called "The Coming War with Japan" in 1991.

[@burritoman5567]

You gotta miss a lot before you make a hit 😂

[@Arcaryon]

@@burritoman5567 The issue is that I can already see so many holes on this theory today that it gets difficult to cover them all to keep the whole affair afloat. Big theories are great in retrospective, aka. we can see how the great plague of the so called Black Death changed the European social structure but arguing with repeating cycles this big is kind of the thing you do when you want to be talked about, not when you want to be right. Unless of course you plan on writing a gigantic theory that you work on your entire life an even then, you will get a lot wrong as well.

[@fullmetaltheorist]

An Asian superpower rising to challenge the US and speculation of a war? Sounds familiar.

[@james6401]

Uhhhh - and he was talking about a military war, not Playstation versus Xbox or something?

[@KB-cq4cy]

Still coming...

[@genghiskhan5701]

"And from the ashes, a new America will be born. Evolved but untamed" -Senator "Nanomachines son" Armstrong

[@russiasgreatestspinmachine4096]

"MY SOURCE IS THAT I MADE IT THE FUCK UP" -Also Senator Armstrong

[@whyareyouusinglightmode2098]

​@@russiasgreatestspinmachine4096 Shh theyre stupid,why do you think i get money -Senator Armstrong

[@empiremobile6101]

Evolved in the sense of anarchy

[@DaniG.German883]

Standing here

[@cesarfranciscoriverasoto9116]

@@DaniG.German883 I realize

[@NS-er1gd]

"America is about to fail" - *Every country that isn't America for the last 70 years.*

[@robowaifutechnician]

Lol look at this comment section. Everyone starts with the premise that it is going down. We all know it.

[@williamcramb3246]

That's just not true, Argentina believed in America so much they became a poor and corrupt nation because they pegged their money to the dollar. Not many other countries would benefit with the fall of the US but it is inevitable.

[@ubiytsa3548]

I think that the fact americans say it, it gonna happen. I think we'll either become authoritarianism or spilt up into multiple pieces

[@nickfifteen]

​@@robowaifutechniciandoesn't mean they're right. You should see the comments of a flat Earth video if you want to have your faith in humanity tested... But even if those flat Earthers up vote all their favorite comments, it doesn't make them correct. I'm not suggesting that we don't have to do anything to keep America stable and prosperous. I am suggesting that it doesn't take much on an individual basis to maintain it. Hell, some people don't care about it at all, and there are still enough people around to pick up the slack. If there has been one true cycle to American history, it's that we will fight to maintain our lives. Even the biggest doomer will still feel that there is a future for their values.

[@kaiser7637]

The fact that we can afford to worry about issues like this instead of worrying about clean water or war planes overhead is such a blessing

[@xxkamikazexx5150]

I'm lucky to be born here

[@agentorange9867]

Amd schizo isolationist christo-fascist trumpist right wingers want it to end.

[@_Devil]

Well, unless you live in Flint LMAO

[@jjuicynews]

44 million americans struggle finding clean water

[@mr.mewtwo322]

@@jjuicynews *44 million Americans have undrinkable tap water. The population of those with trouble getting water is about 2 million.

[@gmxealot6236]

I think this sort of cyclical historicism massively oversimplifies both American history and the American present. As presented here, it also overemphasises internal factors in the nation's economy and politics without looking to other nations as much as a good view of history should.

[@freealter]

It’s very idealist. It ignores a lot of material history

[@shrekerking6400]

Bruh it’s a 17 min youtube video

[@mrttripz3236]

The Storm Before the Calm is not a great book in my opinion. It’s got all the above mentioned flaws.

[@svenrio8521]

@@shrekerking6400 So? Other 17 minute KZbin vids are great, and present more reasonable speculations.

[@avishekacharya8370]

exactly this, it also gives it a forgone conclusion that 'we'll survive this' but that's not gurenteed. All these reforms of the past left a lot of people out and this time we need to fight to make it good for everyone not give into historicism

[@bobjenkins884]

Cycle history is definitely flawed. It over simplifies way to much, makes connections where there aren’t any (Hayes), and misses pieces (Teddy Roosevelt). That being said I still think there is a good chance we see an large economic shake up and a large war. The factors are there, the middle class basically doesn’t exist anymore and polarization is extremely high. China is headed into a demographic crisis and getting more and more aggressive.

[@justinb3560]

6 months in the future and still looking the same. We are definitely heading into a recession and a large war is not looking to good for me being draft age. China is getting aggressive and I think the decay of Russia will cause some issues worldwide potentially with China and the power vacuum that it will create.

[@commscan314]

Spartacist unrest may occur, leading to labor law reform, but I don't think much more would happen.

[@thefriendlymadman229]

waiting for teddy roosevelt 2.

[@cleverman383]

@@thefriendlymadman229 teddy roosevelt 2 is the key to the US crisis of the 2020s

[@kogn5338]

a war between usa and china is extremely unlikely. they are both super co-depenant on each other in every aspect from finance to industry. without china the usa has no civilian goods manufacturer which would lead to basic goods shortages. without the usa, china loses their largest export market and suddenly has a massive industrial overcapacity that would lead to economic collapse. also how are they getting "more aggressive". the US has military bases surrounding their entire country and they are seen as the aggresor for doing military exercises in the region they occupy that the US literally does next to their border.

[@MrTimebomb12]

As a history student nearing his undergrad, I am VERY hesitant when it comes to claims like "Every number of years this thing happens and we're just in time for the thing!" It's a borderline pseudoscientific way to approach history, as if humans run off of numeric cycles. History and anthropology are vastly more complex fields than just arbitrary cycles. Any "evidence" these kinds of theories claim to have are usually anecdotal and highly interpretive, not to mention it lacks falsifiability

[@robertodagostini4946]

I get it. How bout this tho, throw your own prediction into the mix. I wanna hear what you have to say.

[@winkpoke1576]

⁠​⁠​⁠​⁠@@robertodagostini4946I’m in the same position as this guy, just finishing up my history and art history undergrad and movin onto grad school. Although I mainly focus on ancient history, I completely agree with humans being too complex to accurately predict things like this, especially throwing around numerical cycles. A lot of my work generally is archeological in nature so I rarely have to make predictions too. As my general rule of thumb, I ignore any ‘cycles’ and like to look for analogous situations in history. For our current day I would look to the Spanish collapse during the 1600’s (overextended empire and dominant naval power), but of course there are myriad differences in those cases too so those must be taken into account. To finish my long winded response, I have no prediction and just enjoy being along for the ride.

[@samoilenko3887]

Still there is such a thing as a „rule of the thumb”, taken from practice and retrospective and such a theory may not even be 50% true but let’s say a 10% of forseing the future knowledge is better than nothing and just saying „everything is very complicated and impossible to predict” And at least as i see it, the routs in the theory are quite understandable, as 80 years are average human lifespan for example. When last people who have seen war die, new ones are more eager to start or to join a conflict. Etc. Etc. So the theory doesn’t mean that every n years people randomly change everything, it is much more about taking the very complex things and cycles from buisness, culture, biology and put them in crude simple words. Plus, it is a theory, so it is much more of „look back at what have happened and think, what may happen” than „this will happen”, so basically pearning from the history, which you’ve chosen to study

[@ethannursalim7796]

​@@robertodagostini4946usa go the way of the British shattering and then become irelvent

[@robertodagostini4946]

@@ethannursalim7796 It’s up to you, but I want you to explain more.

[@h0ser]

Just want to make a disclaimer that these ideas about the institutional and socio-economic cycles and the technocracy are not my own ideas. They are George Friedman's from "The Storm Before The Calm": www.goodreads.com/en/book/show/49587256 Also: the GDP number is wrong - it would be around 30%. I'm not sure what I was looking at when making the video.

[@leminer4049]

Yes, but can the ass fart however?

[@williammitchell6254]

Your late.

[@MiloDragon]

@@williammitchell6254You’re*

[@use2l]

sir yes sir

[@ThunderTheBlackShadowKitty]

I think this book is pretty fucking stupid.

[@Guyro3278]

I like how this video is still realist and has us prepare for the worst, but as a young adult with my whole life ahead of me I still feel very optimistic about my future in this country, I’m optimistic about the intentions of the people in this country, and that a future family of mine could live a good life in this country. I’m not afraid of the future.

[@richbandicoot]

the RW have the court bro there is no optimistic future unless we expand the court and do away with the filibuster

[@chammiecham]

Same

[@ligma192]

Lol

[@thexxatomicwaflexx]

The way I see where everything goes is “it’s always darkest before the dawn” I know I’ll see domestic industry boom again in our lifetimes, but we have to deal with the bs in the meantime and make the most of it.

[@CantusTropus]

@@richbandicoot lmao, imagine controlling every single cultural lever of power and still thinking you don't have enough power

[@sliftylovesyou]

correction: the longest war in american history isn't the afghanistan war, it's the seminole war

[@germanfan6481]

The Seminole war lastest more than 20 years? That's clearly wrong, I thought it lastest only a few

[@erickfromthegrave]

@@germanfan6481 They lasted from 1816-1858. Although it wasn't just 1 war it was 3 separate wars.

[@erickfromthegrave]

Ackshually it's the seminole war 🤓

[@xp8969]

War on Drugs has been going on for 50 years, and don't tell me it doesn't count because there are literally millions dead and imprisoned and enslaved across multiple generations

[@pinkmann8399]

yeah itd be like grouping ww1 and ww2 together

[@Simon-tc1mc]

I think the US will overall be stable. We need to just stop focusing on cultural war nonsense and focus on the real issues that we all can agree on.

[@NSPAEX]

nice joke /srs

[@dougvuillemot8670]

Lol

[@Karl_der_Genosse]

The thing is that Americans can't agree on the real issues either by the looks of it.

[@dougvuillemot8670]

The u.s has given bums so much free shit that when it comes down to real issues like health care. We are already broke and bankrupt. I would be fine with social health care for everybody . If and only if we cut all the other bullshit the bums get for nothing.

[@dougvuillemot8670]

Not giving up guns period. Too many dem communists. That's a no go.

[@lopoa126]

Reagan crushing unions has been pretty devastating for the average American.

[@sinnoboy0000]

How?

[@xo-1320]

America has invested so much into being the global hegemon that its neglected everything else. All the issues internally have come to a boil and externally the hold has begun to loosen. Best case scenario is for the USA to pull back from being the global hegemon. Unfortunately so many nations came to rely on the world as it stands for them to let that happen.

[@cuddlemuffin.9545]

It made sense before 1991 when the USSR existed. But after 91 we stayed on autopilot, now we are due for a change

[@dudeladude456]

Most likely the USA will end up pulling itself back from everyone that isn't necessary for its security. We will most likely still be involved in East Asia due to China's current growth and Europe due to its cultural connections. But everywhere else most likely will see drastic changes in the coming decade.

[@golagiswatchingyou2966]

Idk the world has changed a lot since then, it's less about protecting trade and more about maintaining US hegemony. While I support the sanctions on Russia there is no doubt this is a massive change to how the USA used to work as well as rising powers in both India, China, EU, Africa and South America, no king rules forever.

[@dudeladude456]

@@golagiswatchingyou2966 The USA global Hegemon was more of an anomaly in our time rather than a normal. It was never going to last and I feel the world is slowly correcting itself. I don't think the USA will necessarily become weaker by it, especially after the current cycles have finished, but more like our global influence will diminish to only the arias we actually need or care about. Like East Asia for political reasons and Europe for Cultural.

[@R3GARnator]

It has been suggested that a U.S. president will ban exports of oil to control prices, screwing over the rest of the world. Which doesn't change that we don't have the refining capacity to use it all.

[@haroldiscool6410]

Lol I was like there’s no way he’s gonna mention how Rutherford B. Hayes saved the US economy after the Panic of 1873. Good job

[@weldin]

That’s a bit of a stretch. Hayes didn’t really do anything for an economic recovery. Of course the economy recovered by seven years after its crash in 1873, that’s how economic recoveries naturally go. He just did get in the way.

[@haroldiscool6410]

@@weldin he didn’t just not get in the way he made plenty of positive actions for the economy. He allowed gold to be used to buy greenbacks. This caused the government’s gold supply to grow as well as the number of silver coins issued by the government, which did stabilize the economy. He also lowered the debt, increased the tariff rate and vetoed bills (which were overruled) that most historians today agree caused inflation. Hayes was very intelligent when it came to the economy.

[@restitutororbis964]

@@haroldiscool6410 The guy that replied to you likely subscribes to modern day laissez faire ideas which is why he thought Hayes’ policy “got in the way”. In the 19th century his protectionist response was likely the most optimal.

[@d3thkn1ghtmcgee74]

@@restitutororbis964 neoliberal policies is the current economic model that the experts champion. They demonize Keynesian economics prior for it's failures which all of those problems werent entirely within the control of the US economy to be addressed like the Arabian oil embargos

[@cleverman383]

Ignore him. Hayes was not part of the simulation. He is an unknown variable.

[@Fishpizza1212]

The "Golden Age Of CapitalismTM" from 1945-1973 that Boomers remember so fondly from their childhoods. Where jobs were plentiful, people could own houses and families, economic inequality was low, and life was good. That time was actually one of MASSIVE INTERFERENCE of the Federal GovernmentTM on the economy. The period is actually known as "Embedded Liberalism" (the opposite of "Neo-Liberalism" aka Reaganomics".Here's what they did: * The Feds nationalized strategic industries like Steel, Energy and Telecoms. * The Feds made massive investments into nation wide public infrastructure. * The Feds made massive investments into public education, making high school free for everyone, and university/trade education free for vets, and heavily spending on science and research (aka NASA TM). * The Feds had massive guardrails against the mega corporations of the past like Standard Oil and the Big Banks (BofA). * The Feds also disincentivized wealth hoarding by the mega rich by levying a 70-90% income tax rate for the highest earners and a simultaneous high minimum wage and unemployment benefits for the poorest earners. * In 1968, the top 1% owned less than 5% of the wealth, while the middle 50% owned a collective 38% of the wealth. (That's the "Middle ClassTM" that Boomers remember so fondly). (Today 2023 the top 1% owns 35% of the wealth and the middle 50% owns less than 10%, the wealth literally flipped due to Reganomics). * The Feds encouraged strong unions and rights for workers, and enforced them. * The Feds implemented huge social programs or expanded them such as Social Security. The huge success and prosperity for the American People was DUE TO massive Federal Government Interference in the economy and high taxes on the rich, not in spite of it, as the author's premise would suggest. The Stock Market Crash of 1929 and Great Depression was PRECEDED by an era of low government interference into the economy and allowed massive wealth hoarding (JP Morgan is still the richest American to ever live) (Income taxes literally did not exist) and the formation of massive, unregulated MEGA CorporationsTM that took over entire industries and formed monopolies and HEAVILY exploited workers (Pinkertons and co TM). Again the misery of the gilded age and the Great Depression was a DUE TO the overrun of the MEGA rich and MEGA Corps. The "BIG CHANGE TM" that is upcoming in the 2030's will be one of axing mega corps and wealth hoarding and one of the Feds heavily interfering and regulating the economy to work for the average american once more. The French Revolution started once the wealth hoarding of the top 1% reached 40%, so we are in fact due for something big. And it will not be one that "promotes small business", believe you me.

[@squeaky206]

Heads will roll once the wealth disparity becomes more obvious. We need to steer away America from going into a full blown civil war because Reaganomics still continues to rip gashes into this country.

[@shaina6961]

so true!

[@trappart9209]

Brilliant 👏 could you please elaborate on the last sentence?

[@LinkRammer]

Ok so basically the 2030s will be the time when "muh socialism finally works"

[@Deathbytroll]

I don’t think you’re taking into account the massive population bomb coming and how it’s going to seize the world economy

[@PrinceVigilanteX]

Americans, whether you are Democrat, Republican, independent, socialist, anarchist, communist, fascist, etc etc, we are more ultimately divided by class than by political leanings. I guarantee you if you look at polls the majority of Americans support similar situations for like the top 15+ issues in the country. 15 years ago, you could've sat down with someone who opposes you on an economic issue and you probably could've had a civil conversation. The poor and middle class generally have the same problems. The divide isn't democrat vs republican. The divide is rich versus poor. Our politicians and the media are funded by the top 1%, the elites, the ultra-rich, and corporations. Because of that, our politicians can't be honest and they can't fight for what the bottom 90% of Americans want and need. Instead, they have to get us to fight amongst ourselves to distract us from the fact that our politicians pretty much only do the bidding of the top 1%. There's a reason why politicians and the media have pivoted to the culture war. More Americans care about economic issues than social ones. So today, the media and politicians have pivoted to talking about trans people and whatever the hell "wokeness" means, rather than addressing stagnant wages, price gouging, healthcare, infrastructure, mass shootings, etc. The solutions to what I just listed would come at the expense of the top 1%. They don't want that. So they pay our politicians and the media to talk about drag queens and "wokeness." Meanwhile, the richest 1% of Americans are paying a lower effective tax rate than the working class.

[@squeaky206]

If we just all banded against the elitist classists and government puppets in D.C we could overthrow them. The problem lies with the fact we are so divided as a people over trivial issues that politicians and their CEO lobbyist handlers can skim more and more out of our pockets.

[@malepregnancy]

Realistically its just republican or democrat, 0.1% of the population would be anything else

[@SumeriyaYaxlaka]

SOCIALISM✊

[@eyeofapollyon6739]

Mass shooting is not an economic issue, it is another social issue, though an unaddressed one.

[@NoobKillerTM]

Dude, more and more people aren't even dating somebody from the other side. It's clearly about ideology, not "classes"

[@unnamedshadow1866]

I think what makes the American Crisis of the 2020's even more problematic is that the US has become so powerful that its influence has spread all over the world, before the other crises, the US was powerful but not at this level of being almost the ruler of the world. If they are to suffer a crisis, it wont only be the US, but everyone that is influenced and depends on them.

[@fumothfan9]

Tbf thats any country. We are all so interconnected that say Russia were to fall. There goes tons of businesses and oil gas etc. Not to mention nearby countries too that rely on russia for rss or funds from selling rss to them. It's like WW1 or 2 cascade but instead with economies. 1 falls the rest get pulled a bit. Some alot then fall and pull the rest down harder. Eventually no threads are left and the heavy weight of the recession happens. Basically the safety net crumbles with each strand that not even the heavy lifters can hold for long.

[@alujis]

@@fumothfan9 yea thats the proboem with globalism and why domestic production is something we should rely on more. its like delicate Christmas lights-one goes out they all go out. If we had more domestic production of everyday products, oil, and other precious resources we would probably still be hit hard by a global recession or pandemic, say Russia restricting access to oil, but wed be in a better position bwcause we wouldnt have to rely on other nations especially our enemies for precious resources. If we increase domestic production and end up in conflict with China or Russia and they cut off trade, wed be in a better position because we could still live off our own resources and theyd have less leverage on us. i think that is a change that common sense leaders would consider in the future. weve all seen what happened when global trade shut down, Russia stopped the flow of oil into Europe and Ukraine stopped wheat exporting.

[@honkhonk6359]

@@alujis globalism is probably on the downtrend though so that's good news. small business focus means less resources going to Internationalist mega corps that don't give af about ordinary people. They might even be broken up. I'm looking forward to the 2030s, rejection of globalized consumerism, return to the culture of hearth and home

[@betaplain297]

@@alujis globalization increases peace, we havent had a major war since ww2

[@alujis]

@@betaplain297 that is true. globalism has its pros and cons amd while it does somewhat threaten our soverignty and domestic production, costing us hundreds of thousands, maybe millions of jobs, it does also create more cooperatipn between nations and countries are less likely to go to war because of the aupply chain disruptions it may cause but that is still a problem. if a major war were to break out, say between NATO and China or Russia, wed be screwed since a lot of our everyday items cpme from China and we get a lot of oil from OPEC nations. US oil imports have skyrocket in the past few years

[@hunterphfr]

Raegan talked about lowering government spending. Then he took out the check book and started spending like a drunken sailor, mostly on defense. Then he figured out cutting spending in other areas wasn’t as easy as it sounded. .

[@knockeledup]

I’ve found that most of America’s current issues can be traced back to Regan. Increased military spending, tax cuts for the wealthy, increased income inequality, deregulated banks, decreased federal assistance to local governments, slashed funding for the poor, increased homeless population, dismantled unions, trickle-down economics, increased bureaucracy, turned a budget surplus into a deficit, and let’s not forget the war on drugs!

[@glegos2281]

@@knockeledup yeah, he was arguably one of the worst presidents we've ever had. many of our social and economic problems can be traced back to the neoconservative austerity and racism that defined his rule

[@maka8551]

@@glegos2281 Uhh based?

[@glegos2281]

@@maka8551 based? based on what?

[@ok0_0]

@@glegos2281 unbased

[@diane.moore-]

I think we are too obsessed about the economy crashing. In the right sense, the economy never crashes. It just undergoes cycles, and almost always recovers. So I really don't care what the predictions are. I just want to grow my portfolio. I read that people are pulling in massive profits despite the downturn. Any tips on how they do it?

[@Grace.milburn]

I think it's the professionals and those who use their services that are really pulling in the big money right now. There are really advisors that can help you achieve very consistent growth. I have a friend who pulled in more than $194k profit within three months. So you just have to make some research and get one who fits your fin-goal.

[@ThomasChai05]

You're correct! With the help of an investment coach, I was able to diversify my 450K portfolio across markets and produce slightly more than $830K in net profit from high dividend yield equities, ETFs, and bonds.

[@mariaguerrero08]

@@ThomasChai05That does make a lot of sense, unlike us, you seem to have the Market figured out. Who is this consultant?

[@ThomasChai05]

Credits to "Camille Alicia Garcia", she maintains an online presence. Just make a simple search for her name online.

[@mikegarvey17]

Thanks for sharing, I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an e-mail shortly.

[@peterphilips1003]

I really like this "America of the 2030's" that you're talking about, but I really hope I don't end up as a fatality in a civil war before it comes into full swing.

[@viridianacortes9642]

Me too dude. Have your passport Upto date (remind your relatives to update theirs) in case you need to skip town. My family thinks I’m a bit too anxious, but I have kinda accepted that I can’t control everything. I can only stay prepared, and see what happens as I enjoy what I do have at the moment.

[@hackman669]

Civil War unlikely. Civil change most likely.

[@thanoscube8573]

Work hard at life and ponder the future. That's my thinking

[@ashesrockstotaldrama]

@@viridianacortes9642 I did the same! just to be safe

[@nickfifteen]

My favorite conspiracy theory is "America and the world will turn out just fine in the grand scheme of things"

[@chiefcheddar1638]

As a middle class American, this video gives me hope, it makes me feel like good things can happen in this time of economic and political turmoil, I know there’s a lot of bad things about to happen, but it’s good to know that history is repeating itself, even with true bad, good things are to come.

[@c0ya1]

The United States had survived a lot of turmoil in the past, and we'll keep on going, with a smile.

[@princeminato]

@@c0ya1 amen

[@Dattebayo3089]

@@c0ya1 actually all countries survived in fatalities, terrorism or bankruptcy. Argentina, sri lanka, pakistani, Afghanistan, syria etc. Usa don't have any more problems like the world. So there is no worry.

[@andriod8014]

@@c0ya1 yup, you don’t learn from wins, you learn from mistakes. Instead of trying to look for wins we are making mistakes only to better ourselves.

[@Tux-rs7rp]

You are in the middle class? What are you some sort of unicorn?

[@artisticbuilding6852]

This is literally the only positive future prediction video i've seen in years. I HOPE it's correct, but it seems incredibly oversimplified with the cyclical theories and comparing the 1700s and 2000s as if almost exactly the same

[@aspen1606]

It has a lot of emperical backing don't worry

[@Tux-rs7rp]

History repeats itself… whether through coincidence or a pattern it seems to happen that way

[@atropa6053]

You were born just in time to lose your best years if the prosperity comes and to avoid even more dystopian shit if it doesn't come.

[@cleverman383]

@@Tux-rs7rp It's because we're in a computer simulation. History is written by the same algorithms over and over, that's why it keeps looping back into the same patterns.

[@aidengoodrich5974]

Even if you don't believe in all these cycles it does seem that after a period of turmoil there is a sudden "bounce back". Now if you live in a third world country this might only mean you go from extreme poverty to mild poverty, but in the developed world it can be quite good.

[@jamesharrison6569]

America as we know it is finished. All indications point to 2023 being a year of severe economic pain across the country. Put that money to work right away to make it grow. I knew I had to make an investment. I never imagined that a few thousand dollars per month would add up. However, it is. I've made around $600,000 since 2020.

[@monerharris9430]

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[@crantorbuttons4378]

@janeviella6807 Such a priceless tip, Thank you so much!

[@sam_9228]

@@monerharris9430 fucking bots

[@eduardoalcazar2600]

Lmao this thread is so blatantly scripted with fake people

[@februaryschild0216]

My philosophy professor discussed the circular nature of America. He started from the Revolution, to the Civil War, WWI, Depression etc. His theory was that it usually culminates in violent upheavals within the US and a war. So, it seems many academics believe that history repeats in the US. Could it be bc we never learn from our history and refuse to truly examine our flaws and correct them?

[@queentrinicorn9441]

Who is “we”? Because the US runs like a business, and part of their operating procedure is the continued subjugation of the working class and marginalized groups- not just at home, but worldwide. This entire country was founded on exploitation, exclusion, and an economic system designed to propel n protect only one group of ppl in power. They’re still holding a majority of that power today. Rich, old, white, racist, lol. 😂 That cycle tends to repeat itself just like how, worldwide, the working class are constantly destined to be agents of change…. I wouldn’t be so quick to say we all aren’t learning our lesson, when unfortunately, most of us are just suffering at the hands of terrible wealth/power distribution (or lack thereof). I don’t entirely disagree. I think examining and understanding our history means dismantling revisionist history, fixing the public school system, investing in neighborhoods that were deemed unworthy of financial support. That financial backing is the difference between one kid learning the truth of this nation bc they went to a well-funded school and had access to higher education- that’s where the real academic papers are, anyway- and another who is more concerned about getting home safely from an underfunded school in a purposely deprived town. If 2020 was any indication, you had grown adults flat out denying US history that would make them see they put a yt suprmcist in the Oval Office. So… at a certain point, it’s an access problem. Or willful ignorance. I love some of the ideas presented in this video, and I, too am constantly looking for solutions to the problem. It’s just that all Gen Z especially wants is a chance at a decent future like generations past has. That was sold away LOL …. 😮😮… by those same people in power who continue to suppress large scale wealth distribution, as it threatens their pockets, properties, and legacies. Think it’s safe to say none of us want war, just stability, but struggle to see total reform happening without the chaos and anarchy that would jeopardize it all….

[@AARuiz666]

I think that as unfortunate as it sounds, it's one of the many different cycles that we are placed in as humans. No single empire or nation has successfully existed without there being this rinse and repeat factor that you're mentioning. After all, good things must come to an end.

[@nicklibby3784]

It is actually a global trend too, there is the global cycles AND the cycles of empires that every great nation follows, the Dutch, the British, then now the US. And within each cycle of individual empires is the cycles of the empire itself before it eventually loses empire status. I haven't finished the video, so idk if he has mentioned, but the biggest part of an empire cycle is control of the world economy through a central bank and specifically a world reserve currency (which the Dutch and British had during their empires, in fact the British somewhat copied the Dutch government and economy system) And then the #2 thing is being the Global naval power. Being the global naval power is important because of being able to control and protect trade. Wars and empires can not thrive if trade is halted, and trade is halted through naval power. For example, if a country wanted to go imperialist, stoping all their trade navally would cripple them unless they could industrialize fast enough to compensate for it AND take over landed needed to produce region specific resources to make up for the loss of trade. A hard thing to accomplish. I feel only Russia has come close to being an empire without a navy or naval power, this is due to their unmatched unique geography and even then, the Soviet union desperately needed to trade at many times. They used centralized economy/communism to industrialize fast and have big industry. But centralized economy had it's problems, and when corruption takes of centralized economy it is game over....a ticking time bomb.

[@your_princess_azula]

Few human civilizations have focused on establishing a more ethical and purpose driven basis for it's culture. Those that have were attacked by imperialists who settle for the norm of trying to seize resources and demonizing others. We have to find an impossible balance it seems... trying to remain powerful to deal with bad actors who can't be reasoned with, while maintaining a culture that won't abuse that or it's own people. Our current leaders are drunk on greed and hatred, but this is nothing new if you look at US history. Now however, the rot this creates within societies might cause things to fall apart. 😔

[@sta1055]

It's not that we don't learn from our history or refuse to truly examine our flaws and correct them, it's about ego. We think that we're so good, that we'll never make those mistakes and everyone before us were idiots. Growing up, I've been guilty of doing that myself. Americans need to come together and put their personal agendas aside to do what's good for their society, or it's going to be very painful in the next 20 years.

[@wilsonicsnet]

"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." - Thomas Jefferson I am not saying that we should fight, but sometimes we can't avoid it. I'm sad to see my country in the turmoil it's in today. Thanks h0ser for your great content.

[@robertjackson4212]

Watching the video now, he definitely could have worded the last point of the socio economic better. It sounds kinda like my brother's rants on being socio-anarchic. I'd say that was the point, but the paragraph leading to it makes it somewhat out of place.

[@pivotboy2062]

there will be a fight, sadly. And what concerns me the most is I'm currently 16, when the fight breaks out, whether it's a civilwar or ww3 it will be devastation to all of humanity due to the weapons of modern combat. I will eventually be dragged in and I really do fear that future. Unless us as Americans stop bickering over politics and relying on only 2 parties were doomed.

[@gramioerie_xi133]

@@pivotboy2062 Please don’t lose hope. I’m 17 now, I completely understand. Just try to hold on.

[@kieranthomas8190]

No, there will be no such fight. This video is massively cynical and ignores vast swathes of US trends and history. America is actually a relatively very stable and cohesive nation, most people share the same values at heart. There will e no such civil war

[@Ordinary_Guy]

MoNUmeNt MyTHos ReAL? (I know that just a joke)

[@januskane1978]

I think that the fact that these types of videos exist speaks volumes about the collapse of the “technocracy” - a.k.a. the democratization of information.

[@craftthemoon]

Technocracy has to do with governance, not with a platform like KZbin. The pandemic proved that technocrats control a large portion of the government and are certainly here to stay.

[@technoimperialist9509]

@@craftthemoon well I supported technocracy but not like the Americans technocracy today

[@Serch-vl7fg]

@@technoimperialist9509 USA is more like a mix with oligarchism. If the video is correct about how many of the top are from the same universities, is not just a board of experts but an elite of experts

[@technoimperialist9509]

@@Serch-vl7fg yeah that's the problem they're elite expert not actual expert and those elite experts ruin technocracy

[@anon2427]

@@technoimperialist9509 cringe

[@Kardia_of_Rhodes]

I think a big reason why people don't see "President Trump" as a sign of change is because to them the 2016 election was less "voting for Trump" and more "not voting for Clinton". So they felt like they were just tolerating Trump for 4 years rather than actually supporting him.

[@averagedemocrat9546]

You realize more people voted for Clinton than Trump? The people didn't want Trump, it was a flaw in the us electoral system that allowed him to win.

[@nicholaspulido1061]

nisetanaka profile pic

[@borbleborb4586]

then people voted for biden because they didn’t want to vote trump, then there’s gonna be another basic corrupt politician, then people are gonna vote them instead of biden, so on and so forth

[@CStone-xn4oy]

There were plenty of people supporting Trump because he seemed like someone who was willing to trying things that a politician would never even dream of trying. Were it not for Covid, Trump would have been reelected and we would never know how much of a sore loser the man is.

[@camdrury2501]

Garbage take, but a take nonetheless

[@Jerald_Fitzjerald]

this is the only video that has made me feel optimistic about the future. i already knew we had some hard times ahead of us, but it's good to know that if America makes it through this decade, we'll come out the other side with a better system in every way for the current needs of the majority of people

[@dougvuillemot8670]

Yea right

[@callmeacutekitten8106]

its never as bad or good as people say generaly

[@markmarkson4455]

"Look for a guy who changes the economic system of America" What magic third party do you see showing up?

[@shorewall]

The two main parties are already changing. That's the difference in the US. The two main parties don't stay the same over time.

[@akolyt]

KANYE 😍😍😍

[@cryptic2121]

america moment

[@JoseRodriguez-eu5ez]

​@@shorewall Pretty much. The two parties evolve to solve problems according to their doctrines to get an edge over the opposition. It's a system that works wonders when there's active competition...which we currently have in droves. That is why an enemy is always necessary for America to prosper. Simple and cruel, but effective. All we as the people gotta do is constantly light a fire under our politicians asses and make them toe the line by threatening their jobs. Unfortunately for us, people are getting lazier and calling for more government intervention. No one can solve shit for themselves nowadays. Can't ask someone to watch their kids and monitor their mental health long enough so that they don't end up shooting up their schools.

[@vemundkremund3221]

@@shorewall it's a big democratic problem that there aren't more competing political parties in the US. and yes, political parties can change drastically in other countries, too.

[@LHSMeleeClub]

You did a very good job explaining so much information in a concise way that to get it under 20 minutes is impressive lol

[@kosatochca]

The perfect case of good conclusion with contrived premises. In general, crises are inevitable for America but it’s a safe bet to assume that it’ll come out of them matured rather than disintegrated

[@franklinngangahistory]

Hopely, this would end in an happy ending like after World War II, the standard of living went up then any other time in history.

[@dudeladude456]

Most likely it will. I'm not sure if it will be to the same extent as after world war 2 but we will likely see some form of revival of the nations economy and identity. However, considering both cycles are due to end soon we will likely see a lot of really terrible crap happen in the current decade.

[@salahabdalla368]

Thats because everyone lived in shit, the only competitor the USSR just lost 10% of the population and was destroyed, and Europe became shit The US depending on everyone living in shit to elevate themselves wont work especially since they are no longer the sole superpower

[@Meteorknite]

Thats cause USSR acted as force of correction to USA. Getting stared down by USSR kept US level headed Well maybe its supposed to be china now since idea of USSR existing was of putting to US while china isnt

[@tiagomd3811]

@@Meteorknite Yup. One of the things that kept america and western europe investing heavily in social security until the 90s was the communist threat. I hopw China fixes this.

[@willevensen7130]

@@tiagomd3811 China won’t fix it.

[@lcoyle1998]

Don't really agree with too much of this. Especially the economic systems thing, Nixon taking the country off the gold standard should surely count as a big economic shift ...

[@retroflame3104]

FDR basically took the US of the gold standard for all intents and purposes Nixon just ended it officially.

[@zambiachirno4336]

let’s just don’t talk about truth

[@tuckerchisholm1005]

So Nixon leaving the gold standard was the proof of the transition (that had already happened culturally) form the post war boom (an era of building) to the decadent society (an era of enjoyment). The savings rate of US families shows this as well. So a lot of things happen every decade, but they dont constitute macro-changes to the cycle were in, but instead are phases of one larger cycle leading to either economic collapse, internal war, or external war (these are often interrrelated ofc). Not saying his theory is perfect just saying that anything thats happened since WW2 is not as important as WW2 and we have recency bias to over-emphasize things that are relaitvely major to us, but we havent seen real major yet

[@sharrefali3980]

The creation of Petro dollar is what did it for the economy. From Gold back to oil backed

[@snailevangelist]

i feel like the claims made by george friedman should be met with extreme skepticism. honestly, any historical framework based off of "cycles" are so absurd that they should be discounted almost immediately

[@lathrael7152]

"Big tech and huge companies would make way for new smaller companies" Hahaha! Nice one! I didn't realise before this was a comedy channel :) Since USA thought some businesses were "too big to fail" it's living in a corp hegemony guised as a democracy, they are the ones now who's running the show. No one is gonna make way for anyone.

[@WelcomeToDERPLAND]

Teddy Roosevelt should have been on the list of presidents who revolutionized the economy/government.

[@kennethheying7845]

Teddy also started the IRS.

[@antonoko]

@@kennethheying7845 No he didn't.

[@squeaky206]

​@@kennethheying7845That was Woodrow Wilson, Roosevelt and Taft had a bit of a falling out in the GOP and split the elections so the Democrats could win. If Bull Moose won, America would be a lot better off.

[@ethanwmonster9075]

Hoser be like : *Yeah this is big brain time.*

[@mali_sirek]

I feel like im watching leaks for a game update lmao

[@wes4736]

Tbh, I could see something like that happening this decade. Well over half of all US dollars in circulation have been created after the COVID lockdowns went into effect. We've only just begun to see the effects of this, and the next few years are extremely unpredictable.

[@mattmacknight3000]

Love how you constructed this video. This is maybe the first take on the current environment that doesn't result in the end of everything. Thank you for that.

[@kovicrisi1726]

In Canada this is the same case. We legit won't be able to afford a house alone. We also need a better economic system in place.

[@Danieldoomer]

Ya I heard the housing market their is terrible

[@WickedMapping]

Yeah, and a new PM

[@savannaha5038]

@@WickedMapping Trudeau may not be great but I'd take 10 years of him over 1 of Pierre "buy bitcoin to dodge inflation" Poilievre

[@WickedMapping]

@@savannaha5038 You Canadians do whatever. It ain't my country.

[@savannaha5038]

@@WickedMapping Ah fair enough. There's just an undending swarm of hyper-online Canadian conservatives, especially on youtube. They're really annoying and have no opinions beyond "Trudeau is bad and insane conspiracies are true," thought you were one of them lol

[@skippydw1228]

As someone who has entered their 30's this decade... this just makes me hate the time I was born even more. We don't get to experience any of the prosperity at the time we need it :(

[@ceterfo]

So I had a friend who got a scholarship to Columbia the school they went to is like our states top private school. So whenever somebody gets accepted to an ivy League all of a sudden they gained a lot more friends. That information even though it's supposed to be private does eventually get leaked to like the entire class, some how... All of a sudden everyone wants to be friends with the poor kid.

[@PoolGyall5441]

I think America is just having a bumpy road at the moment. If history truly does repeat America can come back even stronger.

[@debater452]

You are correct

[@Brandonhayhew]

I hope your not bs

[@Kingedwardiii2003]

@@Brandonhayhewlook at Rome during the late republic vs Rome at the start of Pax Romana, we will comeback stronger but our institutions might be changed

[@Brandonhayhew]

@@Kingedwardiii2003 this is the modern world, the world is different and different rules

[@averagedemocrat9546]

@@Brandonhayhew how is it different?

[@HeortirtheWoodwarden]

I'll move to the US very soon and I'm almost 18. I plan to stay there, so I hope I can still have a good life

[@shaggystoner5235]

As an American I wish you luck brother it definitely isn't easy

[@raincomedown_]

By all means stay out of the west coast

[@HeortirtheWoodwarden]

@@shaggystoner5235 Thanks bro

[@HeortirtheWoodwarden]

@@raincomedown_ I'll go to Miami Beach at first

[@genghiskhan5701]

Me too but I suggest wait for ten years before you do so(you will wait for a long time anyway due to visa application unless you married an American) as I do.

[@LUCIDX.]

Such great content. Thank you!

[@skeletonkeysproductionskp]

Brilliant analysis!!! Love this, will watch it again later to fully take it all in!

[@kashawashatvop203]

I came to the USA when I was 16 now I’m 20 and I become mechanic and life here is pretty good

[@Murad_el-Kaffas]

Glad to hear it man👍

[@AlexBigShid]

I'm Ukranian and I'm in the process of moving to the US once my visa is approved. My brother moved there in 2014 and got a great job and is trying to buy a house.

[@kashawashatvop203]

@@AlexBigShid I’m from Dominican Republic 🇩🇴 and been in the USA 🇺🇸 is the best thing that happen this country really helps the people but you have to work and then get everything now I’m a mechanic and I have pretty good life

[@swiftflight7927]

Cyclical historicism sure does seem appealing on the surface, but the there is no empirical proof that any exist. Another cyclical book is Generations, written in the 90s. In it they say there will be a crisis in the 2020s as well and reading it during the pandemic can certainly cause this to weigh heavy. But keeping in mind that we can't really count on these cycles is important.

[@chickenoodle3397]

This video has given me a lot of hope for the future unfortunately living through some tough times, soon to be worse

[@user-cd4bx6uq1y]

Politics literally includes existence itself. If something goes badly and no one knows why, it goes on. But we know that, and this creates more little crises that add up in exchange for preventing total crises

[@uydagcusdgfughfgsfggsifg753]

I think we’ll definitely head towards a more democratized future, we’re already seeing it right now with entertainment. It’s simply a better system than the gatekeeper sort of model we have now. Flatter corporate structures are desperately needed

[@BramMichaelson]

Nope. What we're headed for is some kind of technosocialistic authoritarian dystopia. But you will own nothing and be happy as you eat ze' bugs.

[@ligma192]

🤡🤡🤡

[@golagiswatchingyou2966]

What democracy? Everything is moving more towards authoritarianism.

[@ligma192]

@@golagiswatchingyou2966 people are asleep. Their optimism means nothing. They've been socially engineered to believe that democracy (the tyranny of the majority over the minority) is a good thing, causing the left vs right us vs them paradigm lie.

[@mid_fr]

@@golagiswatchingyou2966 the democracies getting destroyed bc of the crisis So basically its just a side effect of The American Crisis

[@randomlyselected8998]

Lol the little animals you used to replace the countryballs are quite fun.

[@CMl8r]

Great video! It is great this video uses similar Microsoft paint skills that I have been fine tuning for years! Honestly some other KZbin channels have so much flash and video editing to only melt my mind with poorly written or researched content. This video has great content and just enough visuals to focus on what’s important, knowing history and knowing it repeats itself. All wrapped in a friendly Canadian bacon like approach, aboooout a non bias researched approach; it’s just easy and nicely digested. I am looking forward to more videos.

[@incognitoman3656]

I think even if he’s pessimistic, it’s still better than those goofy countryballs videos, and I enjoy the ambient music. The second I heard the twilight theme, I needed to see fellow enjoyers of his own style.

[@felipeperez4941]

The government should fear it's people, not the other way around!

[@sheepgolden3489]

This is actually an problem that people haven’t even realized is already effecting one state and harshly. My home state of Rhode Island seems to have like a 80% chance we enter a civil war and an economic crisis is currently in the process, this will effect world trade because while RI is keeping up with the demand there is A LOT of demand being one of the major shipping states.

[@connormcroberts5284]

touch grass if you think a civil war is going to happen please

[@sheepgolden3489]

@@connormcroberts5284 you realize the Rhode Island republicans LITERALLY said they if they didn’t get the governor spot this year that they would turn aggressive. Not saying a country wide civil war or even a long civil war (in fact probably not long at all because US gov is right there) but it could happen 80% is probably too high.

[@juanpablorodriguezjuarez8144]

@@connormcroberts5284 Don’t mind me, I’m just leaving my comment here to laugh at you in a couple years.

[@lucasharvey8990]

Nah, dog, the Republicans collect military-grade weapons for fun and the Democrats dye their hair for fun. If there's a violent civil conflict of any kind its pretty clear that it would be incredibly short and probably not even qualify as a civil war. Those Republicans would waltz right and ransack everything the same way they did at the capital on 1/6.

[@CliffCardi]

I’m an ex-Rhode Islander, and RI has been like that for decades. No war is gonna happen. Move to a state that’s far less expensive.

[@AReservoirDog]

1:39 - 2:10 This is why Jeane Kirkpatrick was right when she explained that Americans belive that any country can be democrotized at anytime, anywhere. She gave the example of Britian taking 700 years of cultural development to attain democracy. The United States is not like other nations as it is only around 250 years old and has never had a dictator or military junta. Kirkpatrick also explained that America goes into a nation and immediately tries to treat everyone in the country like western citizens of democracies no matter what the local traditional way of government is. This is to avoid being seen as an overt colonial power, but Americans are then shocked when we hand those people their country back and they have a civil war or just revert back to their old ways.

[@AReservoirDog]

@@EarthForces Well that is America's problem. We fought for our own freedom over 200 years ago, and in the time since have surplanted our former British masters as a Hyperpower. However rather than admit we are now an expansionist, and Imperialist we style ourselves as just coming over to "help out" with freedom and democracy.

[@beatboxx0eternal]

Hi Hoser, I am a Canadian. Your ideas about geopolitics and futurism are really striking and accessible. I was wondering how you became so educated? Like on the surface it's really easy to just riff off of the memes but the underlying principles you are applying and the way you extrapolate your ideas into the future are on another level. Even if you are just a communicator, you clearly know how to reach your audience and I forsee your channel only growing as more and more youth reject formal education and seek alternatives (also funny how you touch on that in your video.) What are your sources and are you educated? I am not educated but I understand geopolitics and futurism :) Thanks, Spencer

[@beanbag311]

0:30 I think he said that this video was a simplified summary of the book he mentioned, he also probably does his own research too

[@Gefdragoon]

Bro this is the comment section not Gmail

[@sgujuhgftyyuyy]

@@Gefdragoonthey're just addressing it to him at the start because they're asking him a question personally

[@GravityTrash]

Tbh we've had one of the worst economic crisis' that is 2008, and there was very little change done about it

[@heresyhunter4100]

I love this video. Having read the book myself a few months ago, I really am optimistic about the country in the long run. I'm also strongly debating whether or not to even go to college now if my degree won't be worth anything in 10 years. I'm just sad I can't time travel straight to 2032

[@viridianacortes9642]

I recommend you study for fun. Gain skills for knowledge’s sake. Also, go to community college. That way you get your prerequisites (and maybe some extra classes). You’ll save money, but still advance. Trade school and community college are a very good way to save money and gain skills/knowledge even if colleges and universities say otherwise. I wish I stayed in community college a bit longer.

[@camdrury2501]

@Viridiana Cortes your advice is to get 100k in debt… awesome advice

[@viridianacortes9642]

@@camdrury2501 Community College and Trade School is cheaper than University. If you take advantage and take as many of your courses/credits there, you'll have less debt.

[@RigobertosTacoShop]

@@viridianacortes9642 amen. That’s what I’m doing

[@GTM9164]

The world is so so much more connected and globalization is so much stronger today that some thing on the other side of the world could have have massive impacts on any country. This book seems to ignore how interdependent we have all become. To look at the US in more or less isolation is not something that can true be done.

[@thetaomega7816]

globalization could be the economic thing changing soon

[@chickenfishhybrid44]

The US is one of the least interdependent developed countries on earth.

[@barackobama2968]

This might be a stupid comparison but is it like a knitted scarf? Like you said, over time the world has become more connected and pulling one thread in that scarf would unravel the whole thing. Replace those threads with countries, they all keep the other threads in check like a system.

[@ehtresih9540]

Iv been waiting so long for this my popcorn has gone stale

[@ocut787]

Your Channel is sooo underrated. More of these Videos should exist.

[@PSIRockOmega]

I appreciate the positivity for the next decade. I hope you're right.

[@GUSTA99X]

Still believe in 🇺🇸 Once I finish my university studies I want to immigrate to the USA

[@tuckerchisholm1005]

We'd love to have you brother

[@hackman669]

Be smart and have a solid plan. Easy to get lost in this system. Best to have job lined up and place of residence. Lots of homeless and gangs. Be sure to pick a state and city that is cheap enough with plenty of jobs. Best to avoid any politics. Watch out for rowdies at night. Lots of mean minority gangs. Play it safe and you will do well. Avoid bars and areas of crime. Also be weary of loose women.

[@aaronrothwell6504]

The idea of the government having less bureaucracy sounds good until you realize most of its actually important.

[@thecoolannishatk.]

I love my EPA

[@katarishigusimokirochepona6611]

Too important to let the government do...

[@aaronrothwell6504]

@@katarishigusimokirochepona6611 what

[@alexxhendrix1552]

I just found out about this video, days after Texas situation started 💀💀💀

[@Loooam]

I wheezed when you said the budget would have made the founding fathers die of cringe 😂

[@dvoicer6785]

I feel like this is a very shallow analysis of history. There are way more things going on in history, and when it comes to people, "neat" little things that structure us don't usually hold up to scrutiny, and tend to fail to predict the future.

[@ligma192]

It's all shallow bc the true history about America being illegitimate is never considered or stated.

[@danshakuimo]

He did say this was oversimplified though

[@justingarlitz2788]

Excellent video. My only issue with the theory is that it doesn't take itself into account-- if we're learning/gathering data from the past, doesn't that present the opportunity to make changes gradually or at least without war/economic collapse?

[@UntoldHistoryAnimations]

I believe even with all that we know about our history and past mistakes, we always do everything to maintain the status quo, and hope nothing goes wrong. Things like Climate change prove that only crisis and extreme consequences will make a government change

[@Mehwhatevr]

@@UntoldHistoryAnimations this here. That was the issue with every president leading up to the 50th year. Trying too hard to maintain the status quo

[@LemonZ124]

Well history repeats itself so war is still a possibility

[@jaimeperez8247]

We’re the next generation guys. We have to fix this shit.

[@bluenight104]

Calling America a technocracy is downright ridiculous. The US consistently ignores the experts or peddles lobbying efforts as data backed expert fielded opinions. Actual academia and field specialist are ignored quite often as talent management is never the priority.

[@johnpaulcross424]

Ngl this is mostly bunk, you can’t expect cycles to perfectly mirror one another like these especially considering how interconnected with the rest of the globe we are currently and how turbulent things are looking for them.

[@debater452]

Actually the US is pretty much economicly independent from the rest of the world

[@pengejarbintang]

Neil Howe and William Strauss already wrote this in their book The Fourth Turning in 1997.

[@bethmoth22]

So from the looks of it, we got a REAL shitstorm waiting to happen, and so long as we manage to survive it, we might be able to reap the benefits of it. Stay safe and stay smart out there, everyone.

[@Nik-bu9fd]

I remember my mom telling me how easy and simple it was to own land/a house/a car or anything that seems to be in surplus while simultaneously waning in tangibility in the 70s and 80s and how u could own all those things in ur 30s, but now u have to pick between all of those options if u don’t make $35,000+ annually…

[@rrose9161]

The status quo must be analyzed every decade and if a negative result is predicted then the system must change

[@Tejano12398]

Wealth inequality has been on the rise in America and also the middle class in America has been disappearing and take also the 30 trillion in debt in which it even grow more

[@debater452]

Wealth Inequality has been on the rise everywhere and the US is in a better position on this then a contry like China

[@Brandonhayhew]

Wealth and poverty gapes is widening every year

[@Tejano12398]

@@Brandonhayhew it’s weird how the richest states in America have the most wealth inequality one example is California Texas and New York

[@Brandonhayhew]

@@Tejano12398 the inequality in California, create a massive gap like there is more homeless people living in streets and the rich roaming around with Ferrari in the roads

[@karlsmoothiejespersen937]

Amazing video, very calmning and informative.

[@Commonchaffinch2]

This was the most noble KZbin video I have ever seen. Cheers brother 🇺🇸

[@immalogg1642]

I definitely see some ties of theory between America's future and current European policy. This is a future that I like, a better future. And I'll be honest I was coming into this video with a contrarian disposition, due to my notion of oversimplification and circumstantial evidence of how often a period repeats in the US. However, my mind has been changed. Thank you for this very interesting and eye-opening video, as it gave me a new thing to look into I had little prior thought of.

[@alonzoaguilar-vazquez5218]

I thoroughly enjoyed your video, yeah its not perfect but its your opinion screw all those people who have a hard time understanding that. I honestly value your work an perspective don't quit every video has been gold an enjoyable.

[@tombradydid9114]

All of the problems in the USA can easily be fixed but people are being to dramatic.

[@jnark32]

I love your channel and this is the most provocative video of yours I’ve watched. I think it’s really interesting even though I disagree with some major points. I do think this analysis elides the fact that the political system itself is heavily buttressed against major change.

[@rollog1248]

All i know is unity is strength, and whatever happens we as a country need to remain united. Whatever happens here the world is in for rough times and we need our strength.

[@imaboisir7227]

That's also what i think

[@thanoscube8573]

The United States of America!!

[@phantomdragon89]

I love the choice of Twilight Princess music in the background, and great video! ❤

[@RenzoIsHereYT]

The biggest problem here is that he completely forgets since Regan we had 3 - 4 crises: 1987 Black Monday 2000s Tech Bubble 2008 Great Recession and the covid recession The whole idea of "cycles" forget that all these problems are caused by people being greedy and could have all been avoided with regulations

[@JailResident]

are you comparing these downturns with events like the great depression and WW2 ?

[@westcoastadventurers8504]

As an American, age 36, I love this video. It gives us younger people not merely a cause for why we feel the way we feel, but facts that when it comes time to end people's lives, we are in the right, in that it's justice when these things happen, because it's just that time of the cycle. Reasons not excuses to KXXX people. Thank you for providing that sir. I would not believe you would be the type of individual to harm people but your video greatly says otherwise. ❤ I strongly agree.

[@ThatBlueSkull]

geniunely unhinged comment

[@TheNerd781]

@@ThatBlueSkull I legitimately can't tell if this is sarcasm. I hope it is.

[@ThatBlueSkull]

I do also to be honest here but i kinda doubt it @@TheNerd781

[@premiersportingkc3443]

I heavily disagree with this video's reductive analysis of America and its history. Several authors have done the whole "history is a series of predicable cycles" thing, and there's a reason why those authors remain "pop historians" instead of historians taken seriously in academia. Simplistic narratives are rarely correct when studying history

[@ligma192]

Lmao it's all wrong, all of it. America is not a legitimate country. The true owners of America control the rest of the world (World economic forum). They don't care about what "lesser" people have to say nor do they care about what history they believe, they wrote it for the lesser people to believe.

[@Arcaryon]

That’s one core issue with ( political / historical / social ) science, the less flashy and more nuanced theories tend to get overshadowed by these kind of „I have a big idea and now watch me try and bend reality as much as I can to back it up" books.

[@E4439Qv5]

Oops, it's been 80 years. Time to upend the government.

[@tiagomd3811]

@@E4439Qv5 Your profile pic matches your comment so well

[@theking2uandme]

I’d recommend reading some of Ray Dalio’s books if you’re interested in this cyclical concept. He explains these cycles through an economic and historical perspective. This video has been a great summary in fact.

[@michaelusswisconsin6002]

As a middle American, I try to pay attention to these problems and try not to be part of the problem.

[@CaptainPlus1]

Hopefully it will blow over and be done with in a good way and the cycle can reset and I won’t have to deal with all this turmoil and hopefully social media that ain’t KZbin will be ultimately rejected since that will benefit humanity greatly

[@savannaha5038]

14:38 the gig economy is 100% rooted in big business though. If big business gets taxed to oblivion, the gig economy dies too, and I sure hope it does. Tbh the whole idea of the book is silly though, especially the "80 year cycles" thing. It's literally just something that has happened twice, where the first time happened to be equidistant between the founding of the country and the second time. Plus there seems to be no actual mechanism proposed for it, it's not like history is a magic wheel that spins arbitrarily, it's influenced by many things including powerful individuals, cultures, mass movements, economic conditions, etc. 21st century fortune-telling is all it is, really.

[@ihavenojawandimustscream4681]

The "80 years cycle" have been observed multiple time throughout the centuries,and its based on human aging. 70-80 years is the time needed for a generation to fully grow and reach their apex of influence in a society.Once that time passes a massive demographic shift happened (since that generation died off and gets replaced by a new one) which usually is followed by an economic and ideological change

[@brandonjohnson4849]

Every 10 years is a national crisis we've never seen before

[@tacticalbacon9877]

Did you just call my car a tool. I think of it more as a toy lol

[@theEddieworld]

*every single empire that falls* : we’re unique. we’re different we’re special there’s something about us we’re not gonna fall

[@DarrenWatson64]

I love how the video has a doomsaying title, but it actually ends on a positive note.

[@powasjington4262]

2010’s were messed up for me. Just pure misery. 2019 i was chilling then felt terrible again when 2020 hit but Im chilling now

[@gramioerie_xi133]

Good on ya

[@shapied]

Oh the misery

[@celvision3300]

@@shapied Everybody wants to be my enemy

[@MilkyMilly]

@@celvision3300 spare the sympathy

[@joshuabogert8893]

To me this is just the heart beat of my beautiful country. We go up and down but we are alive!!

[@manai2683]

Interesting. It's one of those cases where I do not have a strong opinion either way. But hopefully I'm here to observe whether this take place.