Data Update 2 for 2025: The Party Continued for US Equities

[@anthonyle8581]

thank you so much professor. The most concrete approach I have ever been introduced in valuation

[@larryhailu]

thank you professor for sharing your knowledge!

[@PrasantCroissant]

Thank you professor! Beautiful video to shed light on different ways and tools to look at the market. I loved both parts ❤ I actually felt you went quite fast on the tools and values used and assumptions. But when I paused the video to read through the numbers and annotations, I was able to better understand what was going on.

[@SandeepKumar-nk2ru]

I wish you were my teacher when I was doing college. Thank you so much sir!

[@ZThePursuit]

Thank you as always professor, these tools and insights are invaluable to me

[@tristanirwin4600]

Your the best. Very thoughtful and insightful perspective. Thank you for sharing ❤

[@Oishiilicious]

Thanks a lot for the video! This is very valuable information. I love the idea to use MC to get a feeling forthe distributions and correlations, brilliant stuff.

[@jiming7]

Thank you Prof!! I learn a lot from your lectures.

[@KodierungHerz]

Jesus christ this amazing man is giving us for free invaluable information

[@Alexey.Belousov]

Thanks so much, professor! Extremely helpful and very appreciated!!

[@cotedan]

The CAPE ratio is adjusted for inflation. To maintain consistency in accounting for inflation, would it be better to use the 10-year TIPS when calculating the spread between the inverse CAPE ratio and the risk-free rate, instead of using the 10-year Treasury bond?

[@PRAVEENMARUTHURMANA]

Thank you so much sir!

[@Pesky2024]

Thanks Professor for the insights, wonder how the outcomes of this framework will be, when applied to different market segmentation of Large, mid and small cap category stocks individually will be ???

[@FlyingFlaneur]

Aswath always makes my brain explode.

[@josephchoi417]

❤ my legend

[@JenniferHarris-l4m]

Thanks for the breakdown! Just a quick off-topic question: I have a SafePal wallet with USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (behave today finger ski upon boy assault summer exhaust beauty stereo over). What's the best way to send them to Binance?

[@Annette_Lisa]

Basically, I just made my first $300,000 in crypto trading. years of grinding, pivoting and failure, ideas not working out multiple consecutive times, depression, anxiety... but oh man once I saw the balance was over 300,000 - it really made it clear that all those years were worth it and has paid off. Looking forward to achieving financial freedom soon. And by the way, awesome content!

[@burnsie3326]

Absolutely. It's an exciting time to be in crypto. Strap in and enjoy the journey.

[@DannielleRosales]

Congratulations, do you mind sharing how you did it...

[@Annette_Lisa]

Can't share much here, I take guidance from ‘Evelyn Infurna’ a renowned figure in her industry with over two decades of work experience. I'd suggest you research her further on the web.

[@DannielleRosales]

I searched for her complete name on the internet and located her page. I then sent an email and scheduled a meeting to converse with her; now, I'm awaiting her response.

[@BrianWilliam-m6l]

Evelyn Infurna Services has really set the standard for others to follow, we love her here in Canada 🇨🇦 as she has been really helpful and changed lots of life's

[@tanyabischoff]

I used to think it was just about buying stocks, but I didn’t realize there are strategies for managing risk and actually making a profit. Now I feel kinda stuck since I’m not seeing any gains in my portfolio. Do you have any recommendations on what I should consider? I’d really appreciate it!

[@garnold-l5p]

It's not just about having money to invest in stocks; it's about knowing the right strategies for profit and managing risk. That's why working with an investment advisor is important-they have insights not available to everyone.

[@Mlanderos-t9e]

I totally agree with you. I started out investing on my own too and lost quite a bit. After the 2020 crash, I managed to pull out about $160k. I then invested that money with an analyst, and in just seven months, I made almost $580,000. It's amazing how having the right guidance can turn things around!

[@StephenRobello]

This is incredible. Could you recommend who you work with? I really could use some help at this moment.

[@Mlanderos-t9e]

I'm cautious about giving specific recommendations since this is an online forum and everyone situation is unique, but I've worked with Laurel Ann Watkins for years and highly recommend her. Look her up to see if she meets your criteria.

[@StephenRobello]

Thanks for sharing. I curiously searched for her full name and her website popped up immediately. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her.

[@Diego_Alcantara]

King Professor

[@hristokolev9857]

What is ERP?

[@FireEverLiving]

Equity risk premium

[@jcmce]

🙏🤜🤛

[@haiyang1000]

5262 means market at 6000 is 14% overpriced

[@amytuttle1621]

Don't simply retire from something; have something to retire to. Start saving, keep saving, and stick to investments. Building wealth involves establishing routines, like consistently setting aside funds at regular intervals for smart investments.

[@quantarrow]

It’s really heartbreaking to see how inflation and recession impact low-income families. The cost of living keeps rising, and many struggle just to meet basic needs, let alone save or invest. It’s a reminder of the importance of finding ways to create financial opportunities. You've helped me a lot sir Robert! Imagine i invested $50,000 and received $190,500 after 14 days

[@IshrakHossain-rt8is]

Absolutely! Profits are possible, especially now, but complex transactions should be handled by experienced market professionals.

[@KaylaAnn11896]

Some persons think inves'tin is all about buying stocks; I think going into the stock market without a good experience is a big risk, that's why I'm lucky to have seen someone like mr Robert L Cox.

[@ufuksenol2005]

Finding yourself a good broker is as same as finding a good wife, which you go less stress, you get just enough with so much little effort at things

[@PineHosting]

Cox demonstrates an excellent understanding of market trends, making well informed decisions that leads to consistent profit

[@kenthughes4396]

CAPE is a joke. Among its biggest critics is Shiller’s friend Jeremy Siegel

[@gray38]

Love the theory however it all depends on Analysts Growth Estimates - that is a huge assumption, don't you think? Can we have a video on the standard error of Analysts Growth Forecasts

[@Bruusus]

what other option do you suggest?

[@FireEverLiving]

To get an idea of the accuracy, you could go through the Prof's ERP spreadsheets, which go back 10+ years and contain analyst estimates for the succeeding few years. They're not particularly accurate, but like the previous commenter said, what else are you going to use?

[@bobthebuilderhecanbuildit]

Better to use nothing than a false prophet

[@TheSwift87]

It’s an average of all estimates, extremes would be cancelled out.

[@aarsethdiane853]

Recently, I've been pondering retirement. I've also want to put $300K into the stock market now all thanks to Trump sucess in the election, but i need an approach that will align with my risk tolerance and financial goals to secure our future

[@emmapriscilla6132]

Find quality stocks that have long term potential, and ride with those stocks. I have found it takes someone who is very familiar with the market to make such good picks.

[@thomaswhiddon9124]

A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.

[@kimtreasa]

__*ONE Can Ffind a verifiable financial planner? I would not mind looking up the professional that helped you. I will be retiring in two years and I might need some management on my much larger portfolio. Don't want to take any chances.

[@thomaswhiddon9124]

Monica Lisa Payne is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with and set up an appointment.

[@kimtreasa]

Thanks, I actually did look her up curiously I copied her whole name and pasted it into my browser; her website appeared immediately, and her qualifications are excellent; thank you for sharing.

[@pechkagaming5464]

Thanks a lot! I have a question, are you going to present your views on this quantum computing drama, perhaps with valuation? I personally see this as a dumbest panic ever, there is undoubtedly a future in quantum field, what happened?

[@michaeld3223]

Those stocks are outside the realm of valuation and into the realm of speculation. If you are a longterm investor and believe in a company and the timeline the recent stock movements are irrelevant. All the valuation is about when the technology will be ready and what players will win. If you think 5 years and a certain company will win then I'm sure any math and assumptions of future value will support your investment because you will hit the jackpot and the current fluctuations won't even appear on a 5 year chart which will be a mountain. Or else you go bust....

[@MyDreamside]

Hi professor , you can take regressions for AAA corporate Bonds, BBB corporate Bonds and Junk Bonds with equity risk premius.I think equity risk premium should be about equal to junk bonds premium and 2 times the Baa corporate premium

[@FireEverLiving]

I've done a bit of analysis on that, but I decided that it wasn't useful. Firstly, owning a junk bond index is not the same as owning a lower-risk version of a market index, since you are owning liabilities of only the junkiest companies, who issue junk bonds. Major S&P 500 companies don't issue junk bonds. So you shouldn't use junk spreads to predict the non-junk market. Secondly, spreads seemed to me to be more a measure of sentiment than a source of info useful for prediction: similar to trying to figure out the ERP by taking a regression on the forward P/E.

[@johnyjsl9219]

So 80% chance market is overvalued and a 20% chance it is under. Caveat: there a variables that could be off or change.

[@sergemoscovite2933]

But we don't know what professor did at the beginning of this year: that's the acid test of his reflection. At the end everyone should take his own decision. What is the professor's decision?