How fast will AGI be adopted? How can we ensure equitable outcomes? Nations, Businesses, People...

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David Shapiro

David Shapiro

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 345
@aomukai
@aomukai 10 ай бұрын
Not only developing nations will adopt it rapidly. Japan has an ageing population with very low immigration and has always been more tech-positive than most other countries. You already see caretaker-exoskeletons in use here.
@NirvanaFan5000
@NirvanaFan5000 10 ай бұрын
I'd also add that different countries have different attitudes toward robots. japan has long been very pro-tech. you find all sorts of robots everywhere. the US has a more mixed attitude, with robots and ai also conjuring ideas of terminator etc. so cultural values will also influence adoption. (to what extent, I'm not sure.)
@xgtwb6473
@xgtwb6473 10 ай бұрын
What is a caretaker exoskeleton lol
@tommasobrindani5894
@tommasobrindani5894 10 ай бұрын
@@xgtwb6473 Robotic structure that elder people can wear and helps them move easier.
@krox477
@krox477 10 ай бұрын
I'm from country we're already started using ai in farming to help farmers ai to translate government schemes in different languages
@vai559
@vai559 10 ай бұрын
Japan is actually notoriously antiquated and rejects a lot of technology. In a lot of cultural aspects, they seem super futuristic, but in everyday life it’s the opposite.
@WesRoth
@WesRoth 10 ай бұрын
Hey, look who's back! I was starting to get nervous :)
@DaveShap
@DaveShap 10 ай бұрын
Hey man! Trying to get on a weekly cadence...
@DanielleMuscato
@DanielleMuscato 10 ай бұрын
Yay! David, you went back to the floating head with the bullet points! I'm so happy. This really makes it so much easier to follow you, and it's great to see your face. I love this format ❤
@damionwhittington302
@damionwhittington302 10 ай бұрын
His best format imo
@7TheWhiteWolf
@7TheWhiteWolf 10 ай бұрын
AGI/ASI might just decide to go around or brute force past the Red Tape though. For example, if AGI started curing diseases at a far faster rate than doctors or the medical industry, and people will go to the AGI for treatment instead of the old institutions, then the old medical institutions will just fall apart due to lack of use.
@ChurchofCthulhu
@ChurchofCthulhu 10 ай бұрын
That was a famous quote by Buckminster Fuller, you can’t fight the dominant paradigm, you have to build a new model that makes the old one obsolete.
@Digital_Architect
@Digital_Architect 10 ай бұрын
Becomes sentient and says no, go use your AGI or ASI.
@LustyLichKing
@LustyLichKing 10 ай бұрын
Very true. I expect this to happen in high finance where most people start using AI managed index funds, or even personal portfolio managers. It is going to end up breaking the entire monetary system, and then normies will finally be forced to realize how serious AI is.
@godmisfortunatechild
@godmisfortunatechild 10 ай бұрын
Who knows? What if the existing authorities and elites keep the working class and everyday citizens from accessing that technology. Malicious inefficiency or whatever the term is
@7TheWhiteWolf
@7TheWhiteWolf 10 ай бұрын
@@godmisfortunatechild That’s really schizo thinking (no offence, but it’s just not how the world works). If something comes along that raises the population’s standard of living higher, then someone is going to embrace it, if the US governments bans something due to ethics, then China, Japan or some other nation will just embrace it anyway and the law makers will be forced to embrace it to compete. Transhumanism being an example, if the US doesn’t allow it then someone else will and the other side will be forced to adapt. Capitalists want that to be the case because better tech allows them to make products for cheaper at the same quality which then let’s them sell it for a cheaper price.
@izmar
@izmar 10 ай бұрын
I truly love the format of your videos, David! They feel so real, if that makes sense. Which isn't a hit on your production quality, but it feels very personable and relatable in a way that humanizes (oh the irony) these concepts.
@lucasrem
@lucasrem 10 ай бұрын
inter planetair, he is not a guy who can write code, he needs the Xi Putin Allah UN people !
@Nikolajnen
@Nikolajnen 10 ай бұрын
I love this guy! What a fantastic human being
@tuckerbugeater
@tuckerbugeater 10 ай бұрын
he doesn't care if you live
@kleyyer
@kleyyer 10 ай бұрын
​@@tuckerbugeater Nor do I if you don't.
@quartzjer
@quartzjer 10 ай бұрын
David. you are the only person that I know of who is putting in the effort to really deeply think through all of these complex issues and share/present them so competently, THANK YOU
@fromduskuntodawn
@fromduskuntodawn 10 ай бұрын
I switched from education to digital marketing and we are using AI more and more each day. No new hiring and we don’t need as many contractors. The team is stable and probably won’t shrink but we’ll do more with AI and can grow the business with the same number of people.
@schrodingerscat1863
@schrodingerscat1863 10 ай бұрын
Your entire business will be quickly replaced by AI as will many others. Most service industries are going to be virtually replaced over night.
@IiiiIiiIllIl
@IiiiIiiIllIl 10 ай бұрын
You swapped from one of the most likely to be replaced jobs into another most likely to be replaced job. Well done...
@schrodingerscat1863
@schrodingerscat1863 10 ай бұрын
@@IiiiIiiIllIl Yeh, arguably one which is more likely to be. At least educators provide a useful function to society.
@mygirldarby
@mygirldarby 10 ай бұрын
​@mtdfs5147 True, I think digital marketing will be all AI before education. People aren't going to want their kids to be taught without humans involved. Digital marketing could be 100% AI tomorrow and there would be no pushback.
@vanessa1963x
@vanessa1963x 10 ай бұрын
Who will buy what you do when everyone but a select few are out of work?
@Voorhees94sg
@Voorhees94sg 10 ай бұрын
David's new video about AGI? Perfect to make your Monday train ride to work more enjoyable! :)
@2kt2000
@2kt2000 8 ай бұрын
Extremely Well done. Much more than a tech channel. Insights were gained, thank you.
@Edward59065
@Edward59065 10 ай бұрын
I am considerably older than you with that said I think your analysis is spot on and economic agency will be the determining factor maybe just maybe AGI will give some insight neither you or I can imagine as a solution at this point in time.We can hope anyway
@user-eh5wo8re3d
@user-eh5wo8re3d 10 ай бұрын
very happy to see the old video format is back, joy to watch
@Neuro8077
@Neuro8077 10 ай бұрын
The problem is even deeper than many think. People have a range of needs - needs that are essential to be satisfied. These include self-actualization, achievements, meaning in life, social status, and even the need to contribute to others. All of this used to be provided in the modern world through work and the significance of your skills. And now, hundreds of millions of people are being deprived of all of this, having their lives shattered and being told, "You are no longer needed by anyone; progress is inevitable. Here's a basic income and a free porn metaverse, carry on consuming." The capitalist system is set to plunge the entire planet into severe frustration and existential stress. And all for the sake of superprofits and power for a small elite of the wealthy. I don't know how strong the socio-economic and political upheavals will be, but they will surely be monstrous. The economic system will definitely not be the same.
@carlkim2577
@carlkim2577 10 ай бұрын
Great stuff David! People are lazy. That done is enough for accelerated adoption. They will be delighted that AI will do their jobs and allow them to slack all day.
@ninjamokama3839
@ninjamokama3839 9 ай бұрын
lol. If only the AI community weren't so cynical
@theshirefolks
@theshirefolks 10 ай бұрын
dave i do hope you understand how appreciative we all are. I can barely manage to follow along (usually) but I act as a translator for my dad who is curious and I haven't a degree in computer science. I started a moving company because I thought it was automation proof. I'm scared for my business and scared for my guys. If guys can't lift things anymore for money I don't know what the world may look like. So what you do helps tremendously.
@homeyworkey
@homeyworkey 10 ай бұрын
You should make a video on possible things which could slow down our progress on AGI, the % chance of it, and how much it would slow things down by. For example, if Taiwan gets invaded that will massively slow down our progress by a couple of years, I'm guessing. Another one is that if a solar flare hits us, that would take us back decades, and we're about to head into 2025 which has the highest solar flare activity from the sun, we've been hit by these before, and have had many near misses since our rise on technology, so it's definitely possible... I'm interested what other things I'm disregarding which could realistically happen. You always talk like AGI is a certainty but bringing up these topics would show another light on it
@rrrndmg
@rrrndmg 10 ай бұрын
I saw a video on KZbin where one of the Silicon Valley venture investors claims that now, for example, US data centers consume 4% of the country’s electricity. And this is with the current energy costs for AI training and AI user computations. He also cites the expected computation increase by 10 to the 6th power in 10 years, according to the forecast of Andrej Karpathy from OpenAI, and he (investor, not Andrej :) ) estimates an increase in the required electricity by 20 times, for which there is no capacity, transport and storage, at the moment. In short, one of the bottlenecks may be the limitations of the physical capabilities of humanity to produce electricity (at least by currently known methods). Anyways I'm also extremely interested in other views on topic! Would be cool to have a video like this on David's channel.
@a7xfanben
@a7xfanben 10 ай бұрын
Excellent video with so many fascinating topics discussed. The Economic Agency part was especially enlightening. Thanks again for bringing more attention to this!
@lastrose5334
@lastrose5334 10 ай бұрын
Doesn't matter if we reach agi or not. Generative ai is enough to automate every minimum wage job. With video and hands on training for robots, we can automate most jobs because its no code, so it would spread quick. And the generative ai in the robots would help guide it around and take care of the unusual situations
@OverlandExposure
@OverlandExposure 10 ай бұрын
I agree. What we have now is pretty close. If you used some older definitions of AGI it would already be there. Altman said the other day that they are hoping to achieve AGI by 2025, and their definition is an intelligence that can replace all economically useful human work. Add that together with the advances in batteries and robotics that are happening rapidly, and self service checkouts will no longer be old peoples bugbears.
@ninjamokama3839
@ninjamokama3839 10 ай бұрын
​​@@OverlandExposureI wonder if "economically useful human work" includes economists, governments and investors/owners/businessmen
@m1ar1vin
@m1ar1vin 10 ай бұрын
this is the optimal video format! also love the information density, thank you very much David, extremely insightful and influential what you're doing!
@SkitzoJo
@SkitzoJo 10 ай бұрын
I believe your concerns are very real because you usually don't highlight the doom
@sylverxyz
@sylverxyz 10 ай бұрын
Your content is the kind of thing that makes me love YouTUbe. I hope you are finding enough financial success from this to keep doing it.
@AliceMako
@AliceMako 10 ай бұрын
Another great summary, really dig how you do these. As a fellow older millennial myself, i am very much in agreement with you that burning the place down wholesale is highly unlikely to be conducive to mitigating the suffering and maximizing the benefits of the coming changes. Similarly i think you hit out the park that this is going to require a litany of different tweaks and adjustments, some grand some modest some minute etc rather than a one size fits all solution exactly because the scope of the impact is inevitably going to be way too broad. And it's no disgrace that nobody has an answer to all of these areas right this instant, what matters is that they do get discussed and we do stew on them in advance even if it's just to get a mental framework for what lies ahead that people can share in public discourse.
@realdeal139
@realdeal139 10 ай бұрын
What a great cast, lucky to stumble upon on it today.
@EricSommer-m6m
@EricSommer-m6m 10 ай бұрын
To give credit where credit is due: David is right about the possibilty of late-developing nations leapfroging over presious technological and economic development stages. Lean Trotskys theory of 'combined development', formulated around 1905 explains this phenomenon .
@joaodecarvalho7012
@joaodecarvalho7012 10 ай бұрын
If Japan were a global superpower there would be no problem, as long as it remained a democracy. In democracies there is transparency, supervision and regulation of powers, openness to criticism. China's problem is that it is controlled by a caste of aristocrats who are accountable to no one but their higher lords. A form of government like this is incompatible with a global order.
@grozone5581
@grozone5581 10 ай бұрын
"In democracies there is transparency, supervision and regulation of powers, openness to criticism." or at least the illusion of such things
@IiiiIiiIllIl
@IiiiIiiIllIl 10 ай бұрын
Yea that's in an IDEAL democracy. Our current democracy in the US is pure theater.
@joaodecarvalho7012
@joaodecarvalho7012 10 ай бұрын
@@IiiiIiiIllIl Still, it's much better than China.
@IiiiIiiIllIl
@IiiiIiiIllIl 10 ай бұрын
@@joaodecarvalho7012 very true.
@unityman3133
@unityman3133 10 ай бұрын
japan isn't a democracy the entire country is run by corporate
@Rolyataylor2
@Rolyataylor2 10 ай бұрын
I don't know if you read my comments but I'll give you a hint for where to look for your answer: - The origin of economics and how it all started. - The division of labor and how it began. - The division of labor now. - Then extrapolate the normalized market that forms from the automation of labor. I have a pretty comprehensive thesis for the future of economics that will look like from a logical extrapolation. It would make a great sustainable goal to shoot for. Unfortunately I am not in the field so my opinion hardly matters.
@timbacodes8021
@timbacodes8021 10 ай бұрын
best AI conversations on KZbin
@tkenben
@tkenben 10 ай бұрын
"100s of little changes" Amen to that. It's funny how we as humans want a one size fits all, or the answer for everything to be a simple formula, or as Douglas Adams quipped, even a single number.
@Gmcmil720science
@Gmcmil720science 10 ай бұрын
How fast might AGI improve the world after adoption? I personaly think AGI in government will be one of the major accelerators to change to countries like America, UK, Brizil, Canada, china, and japan. Mostly to cut out beracrucy & curroption.
@RussInGA
@RussInGA 10 ай бұрын
benefits will never be equally distributed... wealth is an abstract representation of resources and those with more resources will always find themselves with more options and ahead of those with less. what defines wealth may change.. but the effect will never change. Reducing the cost of living and health to near zero is the only solution to the distribution of wealth problem
@glasszeraki9195
@glasszeraki9195 8 ай бұрын
Well, ideally we can use use a powerful AI to get us asteroid mining that can ease scarcity of resources. Scarcity is the problem to solve, yes. If there’s abundance, then it is cheaper and cheaper until it costs next to nothing.
@DougBohm
@DougBohm 10 ай бұрын
Power grid and internet issues seem more prominent over the last year. I think we’ll see a lot more of this in the near term. I think I’m going to start carrying my power brick with me and get a portable solar panel.
@mlimrx
@mlimrx 10 ай бұрын
Wow you are so smart:) You are brining up topics I did not even think about. Yes economic agency = economic mobility. I do no think AI will change our innate need to grow, economically, creatively, spiritually...ect.
@depro9
@depro9 10 ай бұрын
It's already rolling out!
@theriddleman7648
@theriddleman7648 10 ай бұрын
This highlights the need for a change in societal attitudes towards embracing technology in our daily lives. We could benefit from individuals who possess a forward-thinking, techno-utopian mindset.
@cubegaming2300
@cubegaming2300 10 ай бұрын
i love the discussion you are having
@JohnHessGA
@JohnHessGA 10 ай бұрын
Thanks! A bit terrifying - but I think 2024 will be terrifying for a number of reasons.
@5ifth
@5ifth 10 ай бұрын
It will be as slow as the institutions are going to take it, which will be slower than people anticipate.
@peter-rhodes
@peter-rhodes 10 ай бұрын
Happy to see the old format back. So much more engaging for some reason. Don't need to fix what isn't broken on this case, ignore the minority of critics but I think you've learnt that
@krishchetty
@krishchetty 10 ай бұрын
Your ideas on reforms are spot on!
@vicnighthorse
@vicnighthorse 10 ай бұрын
Thanks David. I appreciate your efforts.
@bigbadallybaby
@bigbadallybaby 10 ай бұрын
Communism/dictatorship is preventing China taking the lead . The USA has a way more open version of capitalism free markets and of course democracy resulting in high amounts of business startups which succeed or fail on merit not bribes or government backing, highly competitive, high failure rates and high rewards for success, financially rewarding innovation and new ideas that people are free to choose to buy. The only way to copy that would be for China to become a free democracy - it can't have both dictator control of people and expect the same levels of creativity and innovation, you see in the USA
@sverrirgeorgsson1248
@sverrirgeorgsson1248 10 ай бұрын
Outstanding! Thank you
@bro_dBow
@bro_dBow 10 ай бұрын
Keep your reporting going it is healthy and needed! I do see the capitalist market as a key to redistribution, ironic given how it has centralized power and created increasing gap between rich and poor. The secret sauce here is to propagate and open resource with SAT internet, information, connection, and A.I. empowerment to the masses.
@ryanpongracz8051
@ryanpongracz8051 10 ай бұрын
This is the ONE TIME first move advantage is truly, first to move wins. AI is a different beast, it will learn from itself.
@GrindThisGame
@GrindThisGame 10 ай бұрын
What do you consider "winning" by a nation? GDP? GDP/capita? Standard of living index? Sustainability?
@Robert...Schrey
@Robert...Schrey 10 ай бұрын
In our discussion, we first delved into the concept of the Super-Ego as defined in psychoanalysis, which represents an individual's moral standards and ideals. This led us to explore the significant roles of education and career within the framework of the Super-Ego, underscoring how societal values deeply influence these aspects. The conversation then shifted to the profound impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on traditional education. We examined the competitive nature of AI in this realm and the consequent challenges it poses to the Super-Ego. This includes the need for adapting to new societal norms and the increasing importance of lifelong learning in a rapidly evolving technological landscape. Finally, our discussion touched upon the human response to the uncertainties brought about by technological and social changes due to AI. We discussed how individuals seek assurance and stability, often appealing to established power structures for guidance and a sense of control in a world that's changing at an unprecedented pace.
@clearandsweet
@clearandsweet 10 ай бұрын
I'm a millennial from America and I have nothing to lose. Accelerate ASAP
@supremebeme
@supremebeme 10 ай бұрын
i've been participating in this DAO on something called the XPR Network and have had multiple proposals successfully passed by a collective. interesting stuff
@HarryFunmaker
@HarryFunmaker 10 ай бұрын
I always appreciate the food for thought that you provide. I hadn't considered that up-and-coming countries have an advantage, but it makes a lot of sense. People have been saying that the US is a declining empire, but this is the best real-world example of how another country could claim that #1 spot. I think you were right about Trump. People had the right idea (voting in an outsider), but he was the wrong guy. I wonder how things will turn out in Argentina.
@bro_dBow
@bro_dBow 10 ай бұрын
James Burke seems super useful in facing a paradigm shifts of this "coming wave." ." I so appreciate James Burke. Civil unrest will happen surfing these waves is where I see you focusing, which I see as right. Let me suggest this, I am retired with reasonable finances. There is a huge demographic like me. Sadly I find many around my age are not up to speed. Could this mission to bring this demographic up to speed be an asset to surf the waves of change, since these people are more secure and time empowered.
@particle_wave7614
@particle_wave7614 10 ай бұрын
AI and quickly-advancing technology could cause deflation, as you've said. However, deflation is terrible for those who are in a lot debt but highly beneficial to those with a lot of money. When someone has a $300k mortgage but now their house is only worth $200k because houses in general are cheaper to build because of automation, what do they do? When the nominal GDP drops substantially because of said deflation and the federal government can no longer even afford the interest payments on its own debt due to substantially lower tax revenue, what are they to do? This seems like something that the government is going to have to address directly. I don't think these problems can just go away or solve themselves. I really don't care if the rich get richer. I just don't want the poor to get poorer. Also don't want the US government to collapse.
@TravellingAllen
@TravellingAllen 10 ай бұрын
AI-induced unemployment and its effect on the financial solvency of the Government is something I'm deeply concerned about as well. However, two things to take into consideration is that the US Federal Reserve has some powerful monetary tools to offset deflation, up to and even including printing money (ideally to fund UBI payments to help redistribute wealth and keep money circulating through the economy rather than accumulating with the rich). This would also need to be paired with heavy taxes on capital, especially an AI tax. Given that all the top players are US companies, it's feasible that the US government can put into place a tax regime that achieves this end. It's also not beyond the realm of reason that the government itself might even employ AI as a source of revenue. However, what is not apparent to me is how any other countries are going to get through this. Take Mexico for example. They won't be able to reap the AI dividend by taxing US tech companies. They also don't have the ability to print away the deflation like the US. However they will have to deal with massive unemployment, especially as a manufacturing and agricultural economy with a huge number of jobs in the crosshairs. If this isn't managed well, it could make the current border migrant crisis look like a walk in the park.
@spectralvalkyrie
@spectralvalkyrie 10 ай бұрын
I remember reading a book by M. Night Shyamalan called, "I Got Schooled: The Unlikely Story of How a Moonlighting Movie Maker Learned the Five Keys to Closing America's Education Gap" and he explained how China based their education system on America's... It was one of the most ironic thing I ever read.
@sagetmaster4
@sagetmaster4 10 ай бұрын
Most of these nations will also skip over industrial agriculture. With know-how and shortly after gardener robots every house can be multicropped with perennial crops that provide a large percentage of their calories. This is true in temperate climates but especially true in subtropical and tropical climates because of the length of the growing season
@tracy419
@tracy419 10 ай бұрын
I talk about this a lot. As jobs disappear, we could each work a few hours a week, or maybe a month, helping to maintain permaculture based food forests that replace many of our city streets. They could become public gardens and parks that supply a portion of our needs where it's being consumed, and other methods such as vertical gardens (maybe on buildings) could help fill in the rest. We definitely don't need to focus on industrial farming first, it should be the fill in, if at all, for after more sustainable methods are used. This would help with healthier foods, habitat for wildlife, water retention, etc. Anyone reading these comments check out Andrew milison on KZbin for his permaculture and regenerative farming videos where they bring back lands from draught to productive soils. Very cool stuff that fits right in with where we are headed with AI.
@AIvsHumanityy
@AIvsHumanityy 10 ай бұрын
AGI has the potential to significantly advance technology and efficiency, offering really unprecedented opportunities for innovation and problem solving. Its adoption may increase economic disparities, as those with access to AGI could leapfrog in development leaving others behind The displacement of jobs by AGI shows a big challenge, necessitating new approaches to education, employment, and social safety nets. While trying to adopt AGI, for sure a lot considerations need to be made. Adopting AGI will pose a lot of societal challenges. So possibly countries should come together and cooperate.
@k98killer
@k98killer 10 ай бұрын
The fourth turning is specifically a pattern of American culture and politics. It is not a misinterpretation of global debt cycles but rather is a model that coincides with it. All models are wrong, but some models are useful.
@ChipWhitehouse
@ChipWhitehouse 9 ай бұрын
I LITERALLY screamed when you brought up the SpongeBob and Patrick meme 🤣😭😭😭 My brain works exactly the same way 😭👏👏👏
@trvsgrant
@trvsgrant 10 ай бұрын
A community-type society (auravana) is that thing we all need.
@JosephReference
@JosephReference 10 ай бұрын
Well spoken. As a millennial I agree.
@OculusGame
@OculusGame 10 ай бұрын
Missed you buddy!
@NikolayLiubomirov
@NikolayLiubomirov 10 ай бұрын
Great topic! I also find myself thinking about that aspect often.
@alokyadav-ye2xw
@alokyadav-ye2xw 10 ай бұрын
Me:How ahead of the curve can u be David: hold my foresight
@LambrettaFunk
@LambrettaFunk 10 ай бұрын
For the past 500 economic years it seems "India" as a word is important ie "Dutch East Indies Company" & "The East India Company" now, at last it's just "India"
@JoeSmith-jd5zg
@JoeSmith-jd5zg 10 ай бұрын
Appreciate your perspective!
@zoomdiamondify
@zoomdiamondify 10 ай бұрын
Thanks!
@aquiledelrosa
@aquiledelrosa 10 ай бұрын
Im from brazil, Rio de janeiro, i legit im waiting to AGI be able to control the governament, it will be better have a machine organizing the human bs than those corrupt charismatic, and the dumb population that falls over it. Im also expecting some advance into transhumanism, being able to control this human shell will be the most necessary step we humans can do for the future.
@jmufkinr
@jmufkinr 10 ай бұрын
I really dig the thumbnail
@yeetdeets
@yeetdeets 10 ай бұрын
For benchmarks for inequality of opportunity, I propose polygenic scores. Humans are genomes expressed in an environment. If the environment is 100% fair, then all variation is caused by the genome. Get large enough sample size and you reduce the effect of random chance. Currently we don't have good enough polygenic scores to do this (Mamba might change that soon), but heritability studies suggest it is mostly genetics which cause inequality at this state of society. Another way to phrase this, because primates are not built to think in terms of statistics, is that it is primarily individual competence and choices which result in inequality.
@kinolockhart4228
@kinolockhart4228 10 ай бұрын
Lets have a live chat to talk about this.
@davidantill6949
@davidantill6949 10 ай бұрын
Well thought out and articulated. Thank you 👍🏻
@Richdaddye
@Richdaddye 10 ай бұрын
I think the greatest threat to humanity is not A.G.I. but the threat is represents to centralized power. Those organizations are the primary antagonists against it. They don't want to lose their advantage and have all their descriptions come to light.
@rower_z_przyczepa
@rower_z_przyczepa 10 ай бұрын
Great stuff, thanks pale!
@dr.emmettbrown7183
@dr.emmettbrown7183 10 ай бұрын
6:41 The first global empire was not the English Empire but rather the Spanish Empire.
@hiromaohi
@hiromaohi 10 ай бұрын
I follow Peter Zeihan on and off - What're your thoughts pertaining to the idea that population collapse is imminent, specifically in China, where they have in affect an 'inverted triangle' in terms of age groups, ie. not enough young / middle aged people to keep the economy afloat (and no access to immigration, such the likes that Canada is currently benefiting from). Thank you again for the best content on AI ever. Really appreciate you Dave!
@DaveShap
@DaveShap 10 ай бұрын
Longevity escape velocity throws that out the window. People need to stop believing that the status quo is permanent.
@Buttz2Buttz
@Buttz2Buttz 10 ай бұрын
Company A drops workers in favor of AI tools, so they pay less to their workers. So they make more money by selling more and paying less to their workers. Now, here's the kicker, so does company B. So does company C. So B is A's direct competitor, they are trying to out sell each other. They both pick up AI and drop workers. Now half of A and B's workforce would buy their own companies product. The other half would go to C. But now they don't have a job. So they cant buy A B or C. And company C follows the same structure, so now company C workers are not buying A, B, or C's product. So, who are A, B, and C going to sell to? Each other? No, because they want money, they don't want to spend money. And the less companies around, that inevitably have to close because of less people able to buy product, due to being fired over AI, will have no one to sell to, because no one has a job. So even if only company A is left standing who will they sell to, if B-Z companies all went out of business, and no one is working? This is not sustainable, but hey everyone love ai, right until they lose their job.
@Andrew-0815
@Andrew-0815 10 ай бұрын
One thing is certain: the EU, and Germany in particular, will have the hardest time adapting. They will regulate AGI beyond recognition.
@ArekStryjski
@ArekStryjski 10 ай бұрын
When studying system change, we should also look at the ex-Soviet block, with East Europe, Russia and China ending in very different places. The feeling of hope and a positive future, or the feeling of being looser in societies but also in old and new elites was fundamental. The AGI and related changes are not present in political discourse in any country. Looks like everyone expects nothing will change except only phones being a bit smarter...
@TheWood1965
@TheWood1965 10 ай бұрын
I am thinking Telsa is a good example of a start-up leapfrogging the old ICE car companies. Love the images you use with you presentations.
@Earth2Ross
@Earth2Ross 10 ай бұрын
Great content as usual!! ❤
@overworlder
@overworlder 10 ай бұрын
Also Germany was number 2 before the USSR, until Hitler threw that away.
@John-mh7uz
@John-mh7uz 10 ай бұрын
It's already being interacted with. I interact with it now.
@rundajulesproductions7735
@rundajulesproductions7735 10 ай бұрын
The good news is you can become a cyborg to be smarter/better/faster/stronger. The bad news is its going to cost you an arm and a leg.
@stephenahess
@stephenahess 10 ай бұрын
Hi David! Just curious if you’ve heard of Neuromorphic computing. There’s a lot of fun controversy with it and OpenAi right now, but that mess aside, it looks like the last and final step towards actual AGI. The chip technology is in its infancy and is probably about a decade away from being powerful enough to run a true AGI, but definitely something you should make a video on or at least look into in a professional capacity!
@SlyKorea
@SlyKorea 10 ай бұрын
Hey Dave, was curious if you ever shared your thoughts on AI agents and maybe specifically a project called Autonolas?
@TheEarlVix
@TheEarlVix 10 ай бұрын
Impeccable Goldilocks talk, David; not too long and not too short. Excellent references to and explanation of other technological leap-frogging precedents and catalysts. Thank you kindly for your continuing coverage of the evolution of the age of AI.
@K4IICHI
@K4IICHI 10 ай бұрын
Here in Ukraine, personal banking and digital government services are way ahead of what could be seen in Europe. Much of it thanks to the local Ministry of Digital Transformation. So I'm quite hopeful about my government being well-equipped to handle the changes brougn on by AI.
@theboomnews8348
@theboomnews8348 10 ай бұрын
Yes!
@jamesyoungerdds7901
@jamesyoungerdds7901 10 ай бұрын
Hi David, another great video! Proud Patreon supporter, loving your content 💪. A random thing I caught 4min in was that your videos are edited by A.I., do you mind saying what you use for that? As someone who needs to make a lot of videos, etc. I'm always looking for ways to make it easier. In an ideal world, I take a series of photos of myself, record my voice for cloning and just upload scripts to make some content (not KZbin channel content, but for work), how close are we to that? Thanks again!
@DaveShap
@DaveShap 10 ай бұрын
Wise Cut
@urphakeandgey6308
@urphakeandgey6308 10 ай бұрын
With the rise of AI and how valuable data has become, I've come up with something called the "data economy" and I'm curious what you think of it. Basically, data replaces labor. Governments mandate that all human generated data is our property, therefore, we must be compensated for the collection of it. In this economy, companies and/or governments compete for users to generate data for them. This is probably the closest we could get to a communist utopia, since we can truly justify why everyone should be paid to simply exist. Even if we incentivize certain behaviors by giving higher payouts for that data, undesirable behavior would still be insightful data for how to combat it. Once again, a payment is justified. Even if reduced.
@wholenutsanddonuts5741
@wholenutsanddonuts5741 10 ай бұрын
Love this video as with all yours! What software did you use to edit it? 🙏
@sucharandomusername
@sucharandomusername 10 ай бұрын
I think a marriage of AGI/ASI + something similar to Peter Joseph's vision of sustainability, equality, education, well being, and uniting as one human race rather than nation states will allow us to advance at a much more rapid pace and dramatically reduce conflict.
@tracy419
@tracy419 10 ай бұрын
He does say that the reason we have laws is because technology isn't good enough to prevent the harm caused by breaking them. It's been years since I've read and watched his stuff, but I remember an example being laws against drinking and driving that would not be necessary once self driving cars are what we use. We are rapidly reaching the point where his ideas of society could actually take place. Interesting times.
@TheMooieMeneer
@TheMooieMeneer 10 ай бұрын
Great video! What I believe is needed is a new view on ourselves as humans, with a narrative distinguishing our intelligence from our biology. Because although our intelligence originates from biological neurons it has an evolution of itself (we invent things expand our knowledge etc, while our biology remains the same). The focus of this narrative should be on our weakness as individual humans to distinguish facts from fantasy. This sound simple, but it sets you up very differently. With a much greater appreciation of the miracle of life AND of science. And this weakness gives you a responsibility to overcome it - a behavioral philosophy (currently known as religion, as no secular equivalent is available). I give it the term LifeRidership, but there might be alternatives out there already.
@godmisfortunatechild
@godmisfortunatechild 10 ай бұрын
Hopefully, then disempowered people people can cooperate and rebel in such a state of affairs. The risk of authoritarian suppression through the use of AI add complexity and perhaps confidence to the elite/ ruling class. Hopefully economic things break more quickly then the remaining sense of reality so coordination is still possible.
@lagaul5124
@lagaul5124 10 ай бұрын
The average age in China is 39 which is only going to increase year over year. they have 3 boys to one girl. Both of these stats are because of the one child policy. Despite this there is a large number of unmarried and childless women. Due to sanctions and new laws, one of which allows the Chinese military to command civilian companies to stop what they are doing and instead produce things for the military, companies are abandoning China at an alarming rate. It's actually cheaper to produce in Mexico than in China, the only reason manufacturing hasn't been moved to other countries yet is because of the sunk cost into China. Japanese companies have already bailed, and China is in conflict with Apple and other foreign companies. China is only going down from here.
@GrindThisGame
@GrindThisGame 10 ай бұрын
Love the smoke coming out of the fat cat guy's face and forehead at 25:11.
@Draxis32
@Draxis32 10 ай бұрын
Here are some misconceptions: There is no going from pre-industrial age to the internet age. The insertion of more recent technology in a society where the basic infrastructure of society is still not yet built is actually WORSE than not inserting them. This happens because people are now completely dependent on these technologies and don't even have the basic culture, infraestructure or organized society to replicate and use them. Making them extremely vulnerable for monopolization. Much like China is doing with electrical components to the world. If they refuse to supply them with that, they are thrown back into pre-industrial age. Concrete, asphalt, chemical and energy industries require a much larger network of jobs and skills needed to be filled. This provides the stepping stone for further technology to exists. In fact, this dependency strategy is much like Neo-Colonialism. Developed nations use these technologies as a bargain to outsource risky and naturally impactful jobs such as mining, extraction etc. While they get the precious resources and charge a very large premium for the usage of that technology. It has been the case for many centuries.
@IakonaWayne
@IakonaWayne 10 ай бұрын
Yep, my theory is that smaller countries will be more powerful than larger ones. Japan, Israel, South Korea, Thailand, Indonesia, Singapore, Australia, New Zealand,etc…
@AetherialDraconian
@AetherialDraconian 10 ай бұрын
With how things are going in the US I would not be surprised if a lot of the old and obsolete systems and regulations are thrown out over the next couple of years
@themax2go
@themax2go 10 ай бұрын
we need a clean slate, a new country to be founded that iteratively grows
@MaximLevitskiy
@MaximLevitskiy 10 ай бұрын
Guys, I have this economy shift system I've been designed for 15 years. It's called "web tree". And I want to join people around it.
@davemathews5446
@davemathews5446 10 ай бұрын
So... Best case scenario is peaceful Great Depression, and worst case scenario is all out Civil War. Maybe we need a video about countries with great tech infrastructure and medicine that will be left alone for the next 10 years or so. Lol
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