Deep Dive 17/10/2023 - When and where will storm Babet hit - Met Office Weather Forecast

This is an in-depth Met Office UK Weather forecast for the next week and beyond, dated 17/10/2023
Storm Babet will hit the UK over the coming days producing heavy and persistent rain and a significant flood risk. There are many weather warnings in place including an amber warning for rain for parts of eastern Scotland.
Bringing you this deep dive is Met Office meteorologist Alex Deakin.
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Forecast and any weather warnings are accurate at time of recording. To ensure you have the most up to date weather information, check the hourly forecast and live warnings on the Met Office website or app.

[@mistymick4905]

The deep dive weather report, without a doubt is the Gold Standard in weather forecasting. Keep doing it. Thanks

[@990jimmer]

As a farmer, all I can say is this is the business! Thank you Alex et all at the Met Office.

[@Traceva]

Aidan’s new Graphics to explain the Rainfall are superb! Makes it so much easier to understand what is happening and also making comparisons across the U.K. Hugs Keep up the excellent work

[@giraffecat]

Huge fan of the cumulative rain graphics, it makes it very clear.

[@Mikee2022]

I so love the deep dives. I have learnt so much about the weather. Alex, you convey the weather in simple terms. Thanks so much

[@CragScrambler]

Cant beat a good deep dive.

[@peterfullerton4028]

they are superb.

[@CathyDudley]

The best educational weather forecast I’ve ever watched. Thank you ! 🎉❤😊

[@Martin-oo4kn]

first time here, i like the graphics and using the touch screen tv is so much better than a green screen. Very impressed

[@MrDryfield]

Well done Aiden the new graphics very informative

[@p.s.phouse6415]

10 OUT OF 10 FOR THOSE NEW GRAPHICS

[@dweamy1]

Loved the new graphics, so much easier to understand. Thank you for this deep dive, I'll get my brolly and rain mac ready!

[@ruthohare9840]

Oh, I do like the new rainfall graphics, very fancy!🥰👍 Yes, already very gusty here in North Devon.

[@dominicmonaghan9887]

Fantastic weather presenter and presentation. Much appreciated as I am just a KZbinr - not part of the other social networking platforms.

[@conniescanlon8760]

The bar graphics are great! Really gives a more realistic view of the amount of rain predicted. Watching from the Republic of Ireland, 💚

[@helenfoley9444]

Love the new graphics. So much easier intrpret the visual information. VERY DYSLEXIC/NEURODIVERGENT FRIENDLY. Just brilliant!

[@quartzar]

ADHDer here who is very much a visual learner. I agree!!

[@Pixieworksstudio]

Hey, spectacular graphics, Aiden! Thank you for the deep dive, it makes such a difference to gardeners and home-steaders in general.

[@chrisquilley1168]

Andrew quilley actor

[@mockingbird-media-uk]

my first time watching deep dive loved it, now subscribed and love that rolling rainfall graphic and how it develops

[@Traceva]

I hope everyone living in Aberdeenshire will remain Safe

[@TheVillageIdiotUk]

The phenomenon of “lee gustiness” is one I’ve not heard of before and yet I’ve encountered it many times, solving a long standing puzzle concerning my local topography and winds. Thank you ! I love these deep dives and 10 day trends.

[@sarathelwell6701]

Thoroughly enjoyed this deep dive. Thank you

[@robfuller7841]

Rainfall graphics are cool but definitely combine with place names in areas most prone to the event

[@FlyingAt30000Micrometres]

The new graphics are great, more of that sort of thing please :) It really makes data easy to take in.

[@pipoo1]

September 1995 type event for NE Scotland on the cards. In that event a plume of thunderstorms stalled over NE Scotland, and then became a self sustaining weather system and dumped over 200-250mm rain in 72 hours. This looks remarkably similar.

[@AlanJohnstoncoramdeo]

Love the graphics- hate the weather at the moment. Deep dive is great.

[@happydays3678]

Hello from north Cumbria. We have the "Helm Wind" and Helm Bar cloud formation, here in the Eden Valley, just west of the Pennines. Thanks for the very clear explanation, I now understand better why it happens.

[@carliem9494]

Well Done Aiden, graphics are amazingly clear ...brilliant job!

[@JohnyByrne]

Great video. Really informative and engaging. Especially loved the drawing!

[@radders261]

Have to say, the new graphics are awesome! And thank you for listening to us regarding the zooming in last week. Very well done meto!

[@ianbirks463]

The deep dives are simply brilliant. Thank you for explaining the wind over hills. I live on the east side of the Pennines. Now I know why we get so many faster winds.

[@Gazshadows]

Alex easily the best presenter for Met Office 💪

[@nigelmcarthur3468]

Brilliant, so beats the dumbed down forecasts on TV !

[@korbendallas71]

Love the deep dives. I especially love the dramatic faces in the thumb nails lol. We always watch to see who does the best.

[@beachcomberbob3496]

I love the new 'bars' graphic. It shows the rainfall much more readily than just numbers.

[@PaulKwanReborn]

That’s great! The colours of bars bringing additional information of the rain intensity. Great job! Could we say this is a 4-D graphic? 👏🏽

[@shaunruta5269]

The new graphics get a big thumbs up from me. A very well presented outlook on this upcoming storm, snd clearly not an easy few days for meteorologists to predict the severity of its impact.

[@AmandaJYoungs]

Thank you, Alex. I've always been interested in weather and forecasts, and these deep dives are so interesting. I love the new graphics and look forward to seeing them used to show a variety of things as well as rainfall. The best thing about these longer videos is that they teach us so much about how you do your job, and while I wouldn't want to do it (probably not clever enough anyway), learning from you guys is a very interesting 20-25 minutes at all times! I come away feeling I'm much better informed than I do in the shorter forecasts.

[@bradleywilliams5066]

Yeah the weather is great

[@jgprs]

New graphics are excellent. Very easy to follow and understand.

[@lindseyhunter6852]

18:14 love these deep dives, learnt loads. Really didn’t understand weather before watching the full team on KZbin. Alex your drawing is fab love the new graphics also well done

[@peterjackson6228]

Superb review of the forthcoming storm Alex. Really enjoy your enthusiasm and style in these videos 👍

[@ridefast0]

For the cumulative rainfall graphic, move the legend off the map and into the dead space at the side - it was covering the part of the map I wanted to see!

[@charlesmurphy9173]

What are the chances of getting an HQ tour? It would be cool to see some of the behind the scenes of everything

[@29silky]

They used to be HQ tours open to the public about once per month (on a Saturday) pre COVID. I've not seen them available since, not sure why?

[@colintmd]

Great new graphics MetOffice. A lot of hard graft has gone into it. Much appreciated. Love them.

[@Pickledwitch]

The total rainfall graphic was great, very easy to understand and visually looks good

[@andrewgiles4296]

Like the new graphics. As ever interesting and well explained.

[@peterjackson6228]

Excellent graphics! Visually superb! Aiden and the team has done very well to develop those rainfall graphics 👍

[@bollas76]

those new graphics are fantastic and very informative

[@St0rmbreaker]

Love the new graphics, I think they help people get a better feel of what/how something is going to happen. So pleased the 2 camera system has went, its much easier to understand when you just quickly flip into a full screen model whilst you are talking. Keep up the good work everyone and thank you.

[@ICR68]

LOVE the new graphics, Alex! Really brings the point home.

[@Claymore5]

Thanks for the great coverage of Babet, Alex - the butterfly flapping it's wings in Tokyo analogy came to mind when you described the effects of the typhoon. As for the new graphics for rainfall, they appeared highly intuitive to me - loved them.

[@DGKK55]

Sheesh, who'd have though I'd subscribe to a weather forecast?? 😂 Very informative and the speed with which you move through all the relevant information is spot on, covering all the necessary details for anyone and everyone without us feeling you went too fast for us to take it in, thank you!

[@gemmascire459]

Loving the graphics. And Alex use of the drawing tools to bring really complex info to life (yes, more practice needed but great anyway 😉!). The rainfall data in 3d was particularly helpful.

[@MrPhillipgraham]

Brilliant deep dive, love the in depth look and the new graphics. I never knew about lee hill gusts so that was surprising! Always asumed the lee side was sheltered from the worst of the weather.

[@retiree1033]

Coastal outlines could be more prominent when there is a lot of cloud cover.

[@lindachurchman9521]

You explain so well thank you

[@jillchew-tetlaw3388]

This was very Informative and I love the new graphics.

[@hansvanderbent5574]

love these vids, as I did my course in coastal navigation (sailing) I learned a lot about the workings of weather in these vids, I could only wish we had something like tis in the Netherlands ;-)

[@pauldavidson2443]

New graphics fascinating, looking forward to you exploring their potential

[@Yaarmehearty]

The new graphics are great, they are a really clear way of visualising the build up over time.

[@danwilliams6003]

Graphics gave a instant understanding of estimated rain totals. Very scary amounts of rain estimated there. Let's hope all stay dry and healthy.

[@richardwalker_]

I like what I’ve seen of the new graphics so far. It would be interesting to see what else the upgrade might bring, perhaps with some more ‘behind the scenes’ and how you decide what to show.

[@JohnGlendinning-ym8qb]

Great new graphics. Very interesting to hear how a weather system in the Pacific is affecting our weather this weekend. Fascinating stuff!

[@sekaita]

thank you Alex - love the new graphics!

[@PaulCrabtree276]

Thankyou for the Deep Dive - some great new graphics. Would be great if we could see these for ourselves and move around the country, looking at rainfall estimates and also the wind speed graphic, would be handy to look at our own areas and choose the data for our own towns and cities. I hope that can be arranged. Thanks

[@martindonovan290]

Nice graphics guys and very informative as usual

[@tuanpiccusgaming3555]

I am liking Aiden's new graphics. It clearly illustrates the cumulative amount of rainfall. It would definitely be handy for snow forecasting too. Great show btw!

[@casman1282]

Thanks for the detailed in depth explanations you give us on how the weather works. Could you at some point explain why some areas of low pressure fill and dissapate and others spin and churn around for days especially when you talk about a "cut off low" why do some lows fill and others last longer than others. Thanks again for the work you do.

[@kateshand2920]

The new graphics are incredible. They really show the build up of the rain. I love the Deep Dive and recommend it to everyone.

[@chrismiles7357]

Love the new rainfall graphic. Really clear. 👍

[@kevinjones4559]

Would be really interesting to add the state of the MJO and how it affects the weather.

[@stulazonby3523]

Why can't all weather forecasts be this informative!? Simply excellent. Thank you. You have another subscriber.

[@LillianGreenHiLilly]

Thank you for a really excellent and thorough forecast. No stone was left unturned. Please continue to keep us updated and keep up the good work. By way I'll only enjoy the graphics if this same gent continues with the forecasts

[@alayneperrott9693]

A really insightful video. I really love Aidan's new "Manhattan" rainbow cumulative plots - absolutely brilliant for visualizing and understanding what's going on. More, more, please! I should love to see some of these remarkable jet stream and weather configurations compiled as case studies in an (e-)book to help forecasters and weather nerds everywhere. I used to enjoy the case studies published in the journal Weather, but these were in B&W, published a long time after the event, and could not make use of all the wonderful satellite and other resources now available.

[@protectiongeek]

Yes - the new 3D graphic should be named a “Manhattan plot” or something like that.

[@EmilyEvans401]

Thanks Alex for this week’s Deep Dive. 😃 i love the animation rainfall and learning about Typhoons forming in the Pacific Ocean! Thanks dude.

[@gillswift274]

Thank you Alex, loads of fabulous info and I really like the new graphics 😊

[@danfry909]

Those new graphics are looking great. Very interesting representation. :) I've been watching the Deep Dives for some time, and love what you are doing here. Top work Met Office.

[@anthonycurran362]

Thanks, your presentations are always very good, and your relaxed improvised style communicates your undoubted knowledge 👍

[@nickthornton]

Excellent this week again and lots of interesting information. Thank you for not zooming in. Perhaps stay a bit longer on your ‘zoom in’ on the screen (I know I’m countering my comment about zooming here) but it’s very useful to see as there is a lot of data to take in. Your new software looks great and ‘viewer friendly’. Thanks again.

[@malcolmbrown5261]

Well explained forecast, very informative

[@yolinkin]

love the graphs ... but most importantly the reference points of average month rainfall compared to the next few days. that is sooooooooo much easier to comprehend what we`re about to go through. please keep on doing the references for perspectives

[@danellis-jones1591]

Good to hear you sounding better! I like the new graphics, really give a good idea of accumulations over time.

[@eileenclark7744]

Brilliant video . I really enjoy Deep Dive. So interesting to find out more about the patterns of weather.The graphics look great.

[@nigeljohnston1148]

This really is very informative. I live in Glenshee, Highland Perthshire, and it’s very important to have such information and be prepared.

[@stestewart1119]

I love the new graphics.....it's seems to show the scale and intensity better...I understand it better 👍 and like you said it can be used for snow etc etc

[@urmeti]

New graphics looks cool, I like the grid style used, keep up with the good quality job guys, I can only wish that the public would have paid more attention to this and tried to understand the weather dynamics, life would have been easier for everybody.

[@gamingtonight1526]

A typhoon off Japan affects the UK, so the old "butterfly flapping its wings..." seems true! Didn't like with all the attention on Scotland, they cut off Southern England, where it looked like some parts would get 100mm! In other words, they should have shown the whole nation!

[@pmok6644]

I love your presentation, your drawing is also a good demonstration. I think you can do more like this video. Please keep educating us.

[@TheSttheresa]

Thank's for your explanations and I love the new graphics. Your doing a good job.

[@ianmorgan9291]

Always very informative and interesting.

[@miffa123]

New charts 👏👏 Can you consider a deep dive on past weather events? Like a spotlight on the great storm of 1987 or the big freeze. Awesome as always. Keeping a keen eye on the weather for the weekend in North Wales and hoping for dry weather .. think its all to play for at the moment

[@justineblore9329]

Excellent 3D graphics, and your graphics in general; they make it so easy to understand what's going on. The explainer about the origins of storm Babet was fantastic. Thanks Aiden and the Met Office.

[@cheviotsue]

This is very interesting. On KZbin there is a Canadian guy who looks at 'daily events worldwide'. He is fascinating as well - looks at what the Sun's doing, earthquakes, volcanoes and world weather.

[@joetitterington1222]

Love the Met office. Clearly passionate about what you do and it really comes across in your work.

[@BasilSimon]

The new graphics are great!! Keep them coming! Il count that as the Met Offices birthday present to me! Also..... the clarity of explanation is brilliant! I understand almost everything!! Basil Simon.

[@davewalters6246]

I really like the cumulative rainfall graphic! Where I am (Hollywood, just south of Birmingham), I measured our second wettest day in 15 years on Friday 13th. Looks like we're in for another decent splash this week too!

[@suzannedelgado4542]

You have my dream job. Not presenting but being a meteorologist ❤

[@29silky]

Go for it! Maths, physics, geography and environmental science are all good stepping stones towards a career in meteorology.

[@johnadams6771]

Since retiring I find it immensely rewarding being a voluntary climate observer for the Met Office, gathering the raw data using the properly calibrated official equipment and submitting the daily observation. Would be nice to see the Met Office making this role more widely known than it currently appears to be.

[@suzannedelgado4542]

@@29silky I got A's for gcse maths, physics and geography amongst others. I'm 42 now and quite sick. But I'd like to think I can still do something x

[@suzannedelgado4542]

@@johnadams6771 oh I'd love to do that. I can't work anymore but it would fill me with so much joy to do what you do. Any tips on how to get involved?

[@carbon1740]

Great work Alex, your Deep Dives are the best, just brilliant, thanks also to the team behind the scenes. Great work on the new graphics, the "gradually rising towers" look much more intuitive, even easier to understand.

[@gerrythompson1721]

Didn't know about this channel until KZbin algorithm pushed it my way today. Love it! Subscribed

[@phlanjo]

Solid delivery by the presenter

[@danielhutton5229]

Thank you, really love the new graphics and appreciate the in-depth approach of the deep dives. One question though. This is true most of the time from my perception but not always but why do weather systems appear to slow down when travelling over the land mass which is the UK. Why does this seem to create the difference between the speed of weather changes in Devon and Cornwall for example compared with London and Kent?

[@mistakay9019]

that rolling rainfall graphic is absolutely superb!

[@basic48]

Wonderful graphics providing a 3D representation of the weather...fantastic.

[@lindadunn5707]

Alex you have done it again a wonderful deep dive explanation, but when you showed me the graphics to come as you said for the next generation i did feel my age creep up on me as i am 60 this December 21st, so yeh i am feeling the pressure now 😮 getting on a bit , & why does the rain always affect my 3types of arthritis so badly the pressure gives my bones a burning 🔥 sensation & its never there only when we have rain on its way ? Longing for some sunshine now ,thankyou for a wonderful deep dive Alex & to all the staff @ the met office you make our week a little better shame about the storm though ! Take care if you are out & about in it ,lots of love & best wishes from Linda Dunn from Newport Shropshire UK ❤😊xxxx