The Next Pandemic - How bad might things get? How should we prepare?

Pandemic preparedness is a hot topic. Why might the next pandemic be much worse that the COVID-19 pandemic? To answer that question, we need to consider the epidemiological factors like disease transmission, immunological response and virus mutation. We also need to understand R0, Case Fatality Rate, the incubation and infectivity periods and other factors that feed into how bad a pandemic might get. Understanding the epidemiology will help us plan a public health and global health strategy.
A big thanks to University College Cork (UCC) for supporting this video. They have an incredible MPH and BSc Public Health Science programs. UCC have a well deserved reputation for providing high quality public health teaching. Find out more here: www.ucc.ie/en/ckx11/
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[@gregmartin]

Get my FREE cheat sheets for Public Health, Epidemiology, Research Methods and Statistics (including transcripts of these lessons) here: www.learnmore365.com/courses/public-health-epidemiology-research-methods-and-statistics-resource-library

[@D.M.S.]

I worked in the health department during the pandemic and after that in science. As terrible as Covid-19 was, we actually were in luck. It could have been way worse, and now we know what needs to be better in the future. Can we do it? Yes. Will it be done? No. No, they won't prepare enough, because they don't know how to prepare for the future anymore.

[@caroline4054]

UCC's School of Public Health was delighted to partner with Greg on this informative and insightful video. Caroline Seacy

[@gregmartin]

It has been an absolute pleasure working with UCC

[@brainbomb.]

@@gregmartin You need to stop herding everyone together telling them that everything will be okay as long as they listen to the narrative.

[@ThuyLe-mi6qg]

Love Dr Greg Martin’s lectures. So smart and informative

[@stephane1623]

I would include certain things such as public health education for the general public, ensuring LIMCs have access to vaccines--this needs to be a global effort. Next, trust in science and preventing pandemics and lives to become a political football. Nobody wins in the later scenario.

[@brainbomb.]

If you don't want there to be another pandemic, stop trusting the people on tv who told you how to handle this one.

[@timhughes8275]

Greg, fantastic presentation making complex public health issues understandable also your earlier presentation warning about possibilities of future pandemics was so to the point. You mention the through the roof high R0 number for measles which we have managed to keep under control by vigorous MMR vaccination campaigns. (My wife is a PCP/MPH). Unfortunately KZbin has provided antivaxers a megaphone for spreading antivax misinformation and so we may well see much larger outbreaks as vaccine hesitancy gets fueled by those antivax channels and less people get their kids vaccinated. An aside I really enjoyed watching your R tutorials ,I used to use its predecessor S/Splus a lot but have not used it or R in more than 24years so it was great to watch. Interestingly fellow south african Trevor Hastie now a professor at stanford developed a lot of the basic statistical modeling packages in S when working at Bell Labs. Also interesting how even the FDA now embraces using R for doing more modern statistical analyses that SAS and other traditional stats packages don't offer.

[@scw3196]

Hi Greg, how would you see the next National public tracing work? Do you think technology (such as smartphone app) would work and how adoption by the public would happen?

[@Aischa125]

You have sparked my interest in infectious disease epidemiology once again - much appreciated 🙏 (coming from an epi student)

[@gregmartin]

Oh wow, Im so glad to hear that. Thank you!

[@dimitris7368]

you have a top notch microphone and a very bad camera, why dont you update it... it should be on the same level of your content which is very good.

[@gregmartin]

Agree :)

[@scw3196]

Fantastic video, very insightful

[@gregmartin]

Glad it was helpful!

[@brainbomb.]

@@gregmartin The first one was planned and Bill Gates says the next pandemic will be in 2025.

[@johnbeam1830]

Would you do a video on Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever? I was diagnosed back in December 2022. Thank you sir!

[@gregmartin]

Thanks for the suggestion and thanks for the super thanks - yes, I'll create video on Rocky Mountain Spotter Fever with pleasure.

[@sandbar3000]

Wow. Its a lot of words. .but you are getting no where!

[@susanchisena3189]

I know, I know weaponized hemorrhagic fever. Resp, contact the whole package. Also, extended incubation 3-4 weeks

[@Purplestickypill]

Good video

[@gregmartin]

Glad you enjoyed!

[@disturbingdevelopment4308]

A worse pandemic will at least silence the deniers because the evidence will be right up close and personal. I hope it doesn't happen, but realistically it will.

[@brainbomb.]

You won't comply your way out of a pandemic.

[@user-ib6ev5ow2r]

Nows the time to huddle up close to a bible and ask God our Savior to enter our lives, he wants us hugged up to him. No matter what these events are real, they will happen & the worst is yet to come, I do not go to church, never been the “churched” type, but as I’m learning more about what’s in the bible itself & witnessing with my own EYES the events stated that will happen in the ending times is literally HAPPENING. Idk what else proof humanity needs. Lord Heavenly Father I ask you to touch every single soul on earth, forgive us, and when the veil drops to save us, especially the ones whom truly love you but are stuck and lost in these scary times, & the children whom aren’t raised well or have much guidance for they do not know better, I ask for your love, protection, guidance, forgiveness, and most of all comfort, in Jesus name Amen 🙏🏽 ✝️

[@brainbomb.]

None of what you said helped. All I can take away from what you said is "shut up and blindly trust the authorit- I mean science".

[@doktorEko]

Are you taking some drugs?

[@brainbomb.]

He nust be.