對加拿大減息的4大誤解: 是否太早？一定要跟美國？加元會貶值？會引起入口通脹？

#加拿大經濟 #央行 #bankofcanada #減息

[@DChan-mn7qh]

Sigh. 我用開某品牌的厠紙,以前減價係賣$3.49~$3.99 一包,現在減價係賣$5.99~$6.99 一包. 短短兩年內加幅超過>50%,但我薪水就遠追唔到這個加幅！這是央行的嚴重行政失誤,唔好同我講什麼mandate, Tiff Macklem 你個廢柴保唔住2%通脹這個mandate 目標, 你應該要引咎辭職,升完之後而家同我講話壓返低,基數已經升咗,有什麼用？2% inflation on $3.99 is the same as 2% on $5.99? 呢條數點計？係唔係學咗某女士語言偽術,即係理財新哲學？

[@skfanfanfan]

That's why it is not a supply excess problem, it's going to be demand contraction.

[@RichardBrett899]

I am quite positive that inflation will come back after interest rates cut. There is no way out.

[@Emily.Vivien]

非常欣賞你的精僻專業知識分享

[@FamilyCheung-kc1pw]

今次你解釋得非常之清晰，well done

[@jasminelai9459]

分析非常清楚👍

[@fredchan1701]

留名等睇加央行出嚟話做錯咗不過唔駛負任何責任

[@fomalhaut4]

The last point about cutting interest rate and a relatively subdued impact on inflation could be contentious (maybe borderline misleading) this time. I am not confident with anchoring the results of the 2012-2015 case study to forecast our current situation because there has been seismic changes in geopolitics and socioeconomic conditions since a decade ago. The rate of change of inflation might have slowed down, but the lofty prices on many essential items and services are here to stay. And this is what most Canadians are brutally facing on a daily basis.

[@skfanfanfan]

The period 2008-2021 is an economic "twilight zone". As you said, and I agree, making a case based on just that period is also, imo, not sound.

[@latitude3695]

Thx

[@adrianfu3065]

佢咁搞, 年輕人想買樓真係難過登天ar!

[@user-uq5fs6hw9p]

理論还是理論，現實就是现實. 當衣食住行 高漲 就係經濟衰退個開始 呢啲就係現實

[@jonestango4460]

謝謝分享以上分析👍可否解釋點解加拿大政府只考慮inflation 不同時考慮employment?

[@CrystalLiu1]

very useful, thank you

[@stephanieho598]

我可以話俾你聽好似加拿大呢啲咁嘅國家，根本就唔可以自我管理自我作主，全部都是跟着隔離走，我係對與這些數據分析完全不會接受，你估如果美國話唔得，你可以減息嗎？什麼分析都是廢的，全部都是操作都是為政客為金融為美國在做事

[@pat13487]

💪💪

[@jimli1355]

最新加拿大5月通賬cpi反彈由2.7至2.9，主因房價和租金按年上升6.3％。點睇！

[@skfanfanfan]

加元不扭同資源價格有關，特別是油價。

[@hoolala35]

👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻

[@chuchu36]

resource 豐富

[@FamilyCheung-kc1pw]

我有朋友曾經講過佢喺溫哥華住好多年前利息升得好犀利，很多人都不敢買樓，他就走去購買， 當利息下調一年後，樓市就賺咗兩倍。he said when ppl are fear, you should be greedy. When ppl are greedy, you should be fear. 而家利息開始向下調，你能否講解吓溫哥華多倫多這樣高價的大城市將來一年後樓市嘅動向？ 多謝。

[@calvinlo7247]

聽咗少少，以前大學讀過嘅書都要燒晒佢。

[@jonestango4460]

根據Fig. 3 Estimated exchange rate pass-through, 加元貶值對Energy的影響卻有0.5 即是50%升幅😮很厲害😢加拿大是出油國為何會出現這種情況？政府有冇正視問題🤨？

[@beyondKOL]

oil produced in Canada is mostly for exports… domestic use especially east coast is imported oil

[@vh4475]

好高產！

[@wendyho2544]

+1

[@mitochondrial81]

"Lies, damned lies, and statistics" 唔好自欺欺人了，你出去買嘢食用，真係剩喺增加2%？

[@TH-ly2eh]

加拿大 係唔係好多本土人 同外地人移民走？

[@iancheng6527]

Half a million new immigrants came to Canada in the last two years.

[@treepazr4270]

如果好多人走，就唔會越嚟越多人，只會越來越少人，好似香港，明唔明？

[@stephanieho598]

錯，真係有人走，亦都有好多人想走，有些人選擇離開加拿大，但有些人選擇離開大城市，但係沒有數據，亦冇人會話俾你知，收移民是一件事有人走是另一件事，

[@stephanieho598]

人口增加係因為新收了很多移民和難民，加拿大一路會越來越多人口，只要美國繼續搞打仗，搞金融手段，啲錢同人都會想搵避難所，最危險嘅地方就係最安全嘅地方，住喺美國隔離肯定是要做生產工具，但平民百姓的思維是靠近大佬點都會安全啲掛，誰會理會他是賊還是兵，這個世界是拆的天下，可悲！

[@treepazr4270]

@@stephanieho598 當然有人走，越多人入嚟，就越多人走，好簡單道理，根本係一個基本定律。就等於大學越收得多學生，就會越多人唔合格，越係濫收學生，學生平均水平一定下降，試問世上有幾多精英，但廢柴就無限供應！