Early Oscar Predictions 2024 | Best Supporting Actor

[@singstreetcar5881]

Robert is winning. He is old, he has been in the industry for so long. He has made billions for Hollywood playing iron man (and sherlock homes) . An oscar will be a good reward for him. He is charismatic, he is going to campaign hard. He has a huge social media following. He is loved by his peers.

[@blackguyofthesouth2161]

Take out Iron Man and I was confused about which Robert you were talking about

[@drieuxkoeppel8152]

RDJ is 58. How is that OLD? Robert De Niro is 80. So I’m confused?

[@barry4649]

Thought you were on about De Niro

[@pophector]

He can't currently campaign yet for obvious reasons but I do agree it does feel like "his time" to win, as he gives a performance that would be both deserving and a "career award" (my same thoughts on Bradley Cooper in Maestro).

[@jeremyud]

Not only that, but RDJ is already a nominated actor.

[@barry4649]

De Niro has to be nominated. His role in Killers of the Flower Moon is possibly his best portrayal of a villain ever even over Cape Fear and Heat. Him and Scorsese still being so good in their 80s is just crazy to me, two absolute masters

[@Sharpe1502]

I agree. He was so good in Killers of the Flower Moon. Perfect Casting. I forgot that he was Robert De Niro for most of the movie.

[@joselgarlitos6368]

My only con for De Niro is his character is not very likeable as compared to Gosling’s Ken or as suave as RDJ’s role

[@joselgarlitos6368]

But De Niro is De Niro, he’ll sure get a nomination

[@Itssassafras]

It was sooooo boring and long and pointless

[@spartyontop]

He was good in it but I don’t see him having a chance against RDJ.

[@LouiseAndersen1991]

Having seen Barbie, Killers and Oppenheimer, RDJ is 100% my choice to win. He was amazing in Oppenheimer

[@barry4649]

I agree but it’s tight between him and De Niro in my opinion

[@jasoncoladonato1034]

@@barry4649They’d give it to RDJ. Nothing to worry about. I’m just assuming that’s how some of these voters think. They’ll be like, “Oh well Bob is Bob. He’s won before. Let’s give it to Downey.”

[@barry4649]

@@jasoncoladonato1034 yeah I agree

[@robfuzz]

I agree. He's due.

[@flowerfaeri]

Absolutely! Totally nailed it!

[@VeeLondon1449]

Robert Downey Jr, will hopefully win. He should have won for his phenomenal performance in Charlie Chaplin in 1993. Al Pacino won that year for his outstanding performance in Scent Of a Woman. Actually all of the nominations where quite brilliant that year x

[@joanreynolds955]

Simply put, it’s RDJ’s turn. How is it that he will be sixty in a couple of years and never won an Oscar when so many lesser lights have? You’re right. He should have won for Chaplin. I think he didn’t win because he was young and so obviously talented, they’d have plenty of opportunities to award him. Obviously, that’s not what happened. It’s his time. I won’t say it’s in the bag for him, but yeah.. I think that’s probably going to be on the Oscar voters’ minds when they mark their ballots, that along with his brilliant performance in Oppenheimer.

[@spartyontop]

If Heath Ledger wasn’t nominated for the Dark Knight or it wasn’t made that year, I feel like RDJ would of won. Heath deserved it though.

[@theitalianalien8477]

I love Jesse Plemons! However his role in KOTFM is very short and doesn't have huge dramatic moments

[@Sharpe1502]

I’m super irritated by that to be honest. I really wish Scorsese would’ve followed the book’s structure more because the person Plemons played was the main focus in the second half while Molly was the main focus of the first half.

[@slc2466]

Think you can bet the house on De Niro getting a nom, and challenging for the win. Looking forward to "Poor Things" and I hope you're right about Ruffalo- always have loved his work and thought he deserved a win for his breakthrough role in "You Can Count on Me," IMO as big an oversight as Anthony Perkins being ignored for "Psycho" (looking forward to your upcoming video on the Perkins' snub!).

[@heather8330]

Chris Messina is such a delight and an underrated actor. It’s a pleasure to hear you mention him and his work.

[@Nicovertime]

Thought he was great as always and would be fantastic if he's recognized but I stopped trusting the Academy to do the right thing a long time ago

[@patrickchappell5821]

Great discussion as always! Re comedic supporting actor nods - In addition to RD Jr's Tropic Thunder nod, there's Kevin Kline's WIN for Fish Called Wanda - one of my favorite films.

[@bamabat8435]

If not this year, Jeremy Allen White will definitely be nominated at some point. He's one of the best young actors working today, like Chalamet level talent.

[@alpe1987]

This is the one category where, what you predicted, means that this will be the most competitive yet. Robert Downey, Jr., Ryan gosling, Mark Ruffalo, Robert, De Niro, and Willem Dafoe are overdue and this will be exciting to watch who wins

[@Jose-sx4ql]

Thank you! A lot of people keep talking about Downy Jr. is overdue but Ruffalo, Gosling and Dafoe have had just as long careers and just as many nominations like what makes RDJ stand out in the narrative department? Honestly I think it will come down to who campaigns harder.

[@tjwhisenhunt1089]

@@Jose-sx4ql Dafoe has been overdue since the 80s. He should have one 2 already. His performances in Platoon, At Eternity’s gate, and the Florida Project he should have won. And the fact he didn’t get a nom for the Lighthouse was a clear robbery

[@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719]

I not only agree with your choices, I also agree with your rankings. Best Supporting Actress is going to be tougher. 🙃

[@bannokelly18]

I feel as though it’s going to go one of two ways. They give it to Gosling because his performance was not only great but had a profound impact on pop culture that year; also it’s the industry’s way of rewarding Barbie with a big reward as a “thank you” for helping bring back blockbuster films….. Or they pull a Meryl Streep in Iron Lady win for DeNiro as a congratulations for decades of great work, especially since this is apparently the best performance he has given in years. I see your view point on why they would give it to Downey Jr. and I think that is a very possible outcome. However you could also make the same argument with Willem Defoe . He’s never won, the Academy adores him, and he’s consistently been putting in great performances for decades.

[@106andie]

My hope is that Colman Domingo gets nominated for either lead, supporting or both, it would be huge for us since he would be the first actor of Guatemalan descent to be nominated 🙏🏼

[@vickster5001]

Such a tough year for acting slots as there’s so many great choices. I still need to see De Niro, but could see the other 4. I also loved Sessa and for me Charles Melton is the performance in that film that stands out. But then I love Magero too. Blimey, this is tough!

[@marcellusfinch6366]

Gosling could go and win best lead actor in a comedy/musical at the Golden globes and critics choice and go supporting for the rest of the awards

[@JimmyJim2u]

That's a strong line-up, Brian. I love the stills you used when announcing your five s. actors. Can you say character actor? LOL.

[@wutangalex]

Completely agree with your choices. I could be wrong, but I have a feeling RDJ will win on the night. The Academy sure do love a comeback story and RDJ fits that bill. At least it will be well deserved though and not on one of your lists where they got it wrong.

[@poett8875]

How is it a comeback tho? Robert Downey Jr has been around for a very long time and is still very popular🤷🏽‍♂️

[@maxcastleman]

I know it's always tempting to go with a comeback story, but the Academy fucks up that narrative just as often as they follow through on it. Sure, Brendan Fraser won, but what about Michael Keaton and Mickey Rourke?

[@timothypolanco8622]

I'm gonna be rooting for RDJ to finally get that Oscar. And as great as your videos are Brian, I would be really sad if you had to do a RDJ elusive oscar video.

[@Jared_Wignall]

I want to see Robert Downey, Jr. win for Oppenheimer. He gave a stellar performance that I’m still thinking about. Thank you for the video Rob, I hope you’re doing well, keep up the great work and take care!

[@h0pelessdreamerfilms]

I’m rooting for the underdogs here. Dominic Sessa was absolutely phenomenal. For that to be a debut performance is absolutely WILD, he was pitch perfect. And I honestly would love to see Jacob Elordi for Priscilla (which is a long shot for sure). I was incredibly impressed by his performance. Currently, I have Ryan Gosling at #1, but RDJ could definitely come in and sweep it.

[@austindevine248]

It’s a tough one cause Robert Downy Jr and Ryan Gosling we’re both great in their respective roles. It’s a tough choice between them

[@MrsImogen]

RDJ should win. I think his story is just so great, and he's fantastic in Oppenheimer. I'm rooting for him to win all the awards. He'll give hilarious speeches, which really is a bonus.

[@duanein3d]

I very strongly believe Ryan can win. I totally understand all of the things against it, but I just feel like it’s a cultural moment, he’s the biggest talking point of one of the year’s most beloved movies, and he’s loved in Hollywood but has never won. I just…reaaally see it haha

[@poett8875]

I think he can win too. Especially since the supporting categories are more accepting to comedic performances.

[@Kituchxy]

I only hope that happens if Margot Robbie gets in for Best Actress, bc if she doesn't even get nominated, I hope he doesn't aswell

[@thixiemattel]

this is a great year for maybes for me. I have ALWAYS loved Chris Messina, Jessie Plemons and Coleman Domingo. they’ve given some of my favorite performances ever on screen.

[@IaMD.B.]

Ryan Gosling was amazing in Barbie! He made the film for me.

[@OpticalSorcerer]

Honestly there's something so satisfying about "Barbie" going to the Oscars, especially for acting. Fantasy, sci-fi, and action films rarely get acting noms, which is ludicrous to me. It's why "WandaVision" getting Emmy noms for acting was so cathartic.

[@robfuzz]

Ruffalo deserved a nod for Zodiac in 2008. He was mesmerizing in that role.

[@pophector]

Excellent picks, the same as GoldDerby. Having seen all five, they all give great and worthy performances deserving of the acknowledgement from the Academy. I think it's really a race between Downey Jr, De Niro, and Gosling as well, but if anyone can be the dark horse in this race, it's Mark Ruffalo, who gives such a delicious and rich performance in Poor Things where he chews up the scenery in the best way possible, I can see him ride the enormous wave of love we may see for the movie this season. Dafoe is also excellent, adding some depth and humanity to the mad scientist he plays in the movie. I can attest to the fact that Charles Melton is great in May December and definitely worthy of awards recognition. Jacob Elordi is really good in Priscilla and his Elvis accent is top notch, but I have doubts that movie will get awards recognition outside of Cailee Spaeny's performance. John Magaro is wonderful in Past Lives but I feel may get drowned out with the 4th quarter heavy hitters. He does have the benefit of getting able to campaign for Past Lives through a SAG-AFTRA interim agreement, so maybe not all hope is lost there. Excited to see Dominic Sessa in The Holdovers next week and Colman Domingo in The Color Purple on Christmas. I don't see it for Jesse Plemons, he doesn't really have enough screentime in the movie for that much of an impression (same with Brendan Fraser). Thanks for another great video, Brian ❤

[@lilchaos4792]

Where did you see Priscilla and May December?

[@pophector]

@@lilchaos4792 New York Film Festival a few weeks ago.

[@RecordStoreDeva]

I love Ryan Gosling in Barbie. He was so evil in a funny way as Ken. But I think the titians of this race is Robert Downey, Jr and Robert Deniro, with Robert Downey winning. I'm sticking with that.

[@bradenmendiburu2731]

ryan gosling for the win!! he’s just ken

[@FantasticBeasts2024]

Kinda funny how Iron Man and Hulk are battling it out for supporting actor

[@samuelzins5089]

I'd be happy if either robert wins. Oppenheimer and killers of the flower moon were some of my favorite movies I've seen in theaters

[@benjiedano3874]

For me, Robert De Niro is the front-runner. Love RDJ and Ryan in their films, but Robert has the strongest perf among them.

[@Cinemadiction]

I think I agree

[@poett8875]

I think him already having two Oscar’s will be his biggest downfall. Just like Cate Blanchett last year. It’s really not about the best performance anymore. It’s all about the narratives unfortunately.

[@Cinemadiction]

@@poett8875 it's possible but he is still in the winning conversation for me,boseman lost to Hopkins so they don't always fall for narratives

[@zakuraiyadesu]

Love the videos, man. Keep it up!!!

[@lytaquiroz1524]

Im hoping Ryan wins it, really It would be such an original pick and also a recognition for comedies I also feel that De Niro could be left out, since his last nomination was 10 years ago and for Irishman he was totally left out of everything, but Plemmons could get in I feel the fith sloth is between Melton and Elordi, which is also very real for the Oscars in the male categories, which is younger actors, not getting many nominations

[@poett8875]

Elordi definitely isn’t happening. Be for real right now. De Niro is not getting left out. Especially with how massive the film is.

[@Cinemadiction]

Having seen killers,De Niro is a lock,no way he misses,he is win worthy,he is better than Downey and Gosling In my opinion, he should win I don't see Gosling winning, I'll be shocked if he wins a major award

[@Kituchxy]

I only agree with u if Margot gets in for Actress. If she doesn't, I hope he also gets snubbed.

[@Cinemadiction]

@@Kituchxy That's possible he is number 5 for me he could fall off,Robbie is possible but actress is stacked

[@JudeanIsrealite]

Chris massina, Robert deniro, and Downey official head runners

[@JudeanIsrealite]

My Defoe is the dark horse (as always)

[@MegaAtomium]

The Holdovers is AMAZING! Dominic Sessa should get a nomination.

[@jaidynr87]

I don’t buy the hype for RDJ tbh. I don’t think his performance was necessarily stronger than others, and he’d really be banking on the campaigning to help him win. I think he’ll absolutely get nominated but I think De Niro wins this easily. Best performance in the category by far

[@lilchaos4792]

Robert De Niro was by far the best. He's practically the co-lead. RDJ was barely in Oppenheimer..

[@seemonjena659]

If Anthony Hopkins can win Best actor Oscar for a 15 minute role in Silence of the Lambs then why can't Robert Downey Jr. win Best Supporting Actor Oscar for Oppenheimer?! It's not about the screentime one has rather it's about the impact the character one is playing has on the audience.

[@camilomoyavalderrama5977]

​@@seemonjena659In terms of that , De Niro should still win. He didn't just overshadowed the other characters when he was in the screen even Di Caprio few times, but also he runned the times of the movie. RDJ was great but slightly overperformed other characters.

[@samuelbarber6177]

I think we can guess that De Niro will be nominated. Personally I would so far pick Robert Downey Jr for Oppenheimer.

[@mr29]

Brian, I am really excited to hear your reaction to KOTFM. I was a bit underwhelmed if I am being honest. Parts were great but boy did DiCaprio overact.

[@vuronin1546]

I think there is a big competition between the two actors who are considered to win the Oscar, Robert DJ and Ryan, Robert is not Tony Stak anymore but the one who plays the role of Oppenheimer movie as a very strong or seriously interesting villain. And Ryan plays an important role in being humorous and emotional when playing babie. For me, Robert should be chosen. His current moment has come and he is the one who deserves the award and will definitely be recognized by the Oscars. about his acting when contributing to the film!

[@barry4649]

I think De Niro is actually the second best performance after Downey Jr, not Ryan Gosling

[@austindevine248]

And on top of that both roles are playing against type and the Academy goes crazy for roles like that and if either of them win it will be a major boost in their careers

[@shannonb082905]

Ryan Gossling for Barbie? You have got to be kidding! That is ridiculous.

[@natashameyer7940]

You’re missing Glenn Howerton from Blackberry

[@SamBryans128]

If Maria Bakalova makes it in for Borat, Ryan Gosling gets in for Barbie. I think the SAG winner will predict the Oscar winner (again). The question is: Will SAG predict all four winners for the third year in a row?

[@formidablefilmcritic]

Glenn Howerton as former co-CEO Jim Balsillie in "Blackberry" was hands down thee best acting performance I saw all year. Every single scene he's in is chillingly captivating, to the point it's almost scary at how convincing he is. Howerton is the off-the-radar threat to all those expected precursors (De Niro, Gosling, Dafoe) getting snubbed. Most of the critics have overlooked him, except for Tariq Khan at Gold Derby, largely because the film premiered way back in February at the BerlinIFF while last year's Oscars were in full swing. IFC Films just needs to kick his awards campaign into high gear; a nomination for Howerton here would be a big win for their waning production company who haven't really seen much awards success since "Boyhood" nearly a decade ago. All that said, Howerton is my surprise, Brian Tyree Henry-esque, nomination prediction, Brain. @theacademy @ifcfilms @glennhowerton #BestSupportingActor #Oscars

[@robfuzz]

Maybe Ryan splits all the heavy drama and wins. Its happened before, with Judy Holiday in 1951, and Glenda Jackson in 1974.

[@stephencabrera9476]

1950

[@robfuzz]

@@stephencabrera9476 the Oscar ceremony was in 51

[@margretsims1322]

My favourite movie was the Sound of Freedom; not even mentioned......

[@kobrakitsch877]

Exactly. No BILL CAMP for Best Supporting Actor. No CRISTAL APARICIO for Best Supporting Actress. Hollywood is pedophile friendly.

[@jimmyl324]

Robert Downey since Less Than Zero is a great actor .

[@SleepFan771]

1. Robert De Niro (Killers of the Flower Moon) 2. Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) 3. Jacob Elordi (Priscilla) 4. Paul Mescal (All of Us Strangers) 5. Mark Ruffalo (Poor Things)

[@RobertBurns71405]

Gosling is who I’m predicting to win at the moment! He is very likable and stands out against the nominees❤️

[@fmtalks1386]

I doubt Ryan Gosling is a lock. I don't see it because of the type of film it is. I'm expecting a snub with not many folks, besides you, caring.

[@mariaphillips2664]

Hi,i what of glenn howerton for Blackberry haven't seen him on many lists but he also deserves to be mentioned.

[@roycerowland6162]

I am not going to predict anyone because I don't want to be let down if the people I want to be nominated for best supporting actor isn't nominated. I think that supporting actress is going to be tougher than we think but I think that Taraji P Henson and Danielle Brooks could both be nominated for supporting actress for The Color Purple. I don't want to be this guy but supporting actor could potentially look very white.

[@thrawncaedusl717]

I hope you are right about The Color Purple, but the release strategy (very late, no festivals) combined with a relative unknown at director makes me think it is going to flop and not compete in any major category. Yeah, Supporting actor is going to be very white, and I can’t even think of who else could compete. Maybe Teo Yoo if category fraud occurs and Past Lives is bigger than expected (which I’m hoping happens; Song deserves that Director nomination).

[@roycerowland6162]

@@thrawncaedusl717 I think that The Color Purple is going to get pretty good reviews and I think that the movie will be a box office hit, maybe not Barbie box office success but a success at the box office nonetheless. It may work in it's favor that it will be fresh in the minds of academy voters with the December release date.

[@Demetri450]

let down?

[@crystalsanchezTV]

When are you going to release early predictions for the other categories for 2024? I work on the red carpet and I like to be in the know.

[@singstreetcar5881]

Ryan winning but margot not winning will be weird. Rewarding a man for a movie based on a female character that was addressing male privilege etc. No need to worry for Ryan tho. The academy will reward him in future.him losing this oscar will help him in future just like Daniel kuluya. The get out performance was so good but he lost but him losing help him win best supporting actor for Judas and the black messiah

[@poett8875]

Not winning, but for her to not be nominated if Gosling actually wins will be odd to me. She gives the best performance of the movie if you ask me.

[@thrawncaedusl717]

@@poett8875she’s just in a much tougher category. Huller, Mulligan, Stone, Gladstone, Benning, Lee, and Portman are much stiffer competition than the current Supporting pool. People that don’t understand (or refuse to understand) that will complain, but it makes perfect sense; Robbie being better than Gosling doesn’t matter if she is not better than the people I named at the top (and she is not better than at least Huller and Lee imo).

[@drewengel7073]

@@thrawncaedusl717 I think Gladstone is going to be Best Supporting Actress, so the award is a better lock for her.

[@thrawncaedusl717]

@@drewengel7073I hope so. She announced for Lead, but it was not a lead performance and it feels unfair to her to have to compare her supporting performance to the genuine lead performances of Huller and Lee. I’d currently have her second in Supporting (behind Claire Foy, who was the best performance in All of Us Strangers); I don’t even have her in my top eight for Lead (and that is even not counting Emma Stone, who I haven’t seen yet).

[@Kituchxy]

​@@poett8875100%

[@ZoraTheberge]

Jesse Plemons is very good in KOTFM, but it’s not really a featured performance. He’s better than serviceable, but he doesn’t have a big moment. And if that movie has any flaws, it’s just that the last hour drags on a little too much. Plemons is certainly not to blame, it’s a Scorsese-ism, but his whole performance is in that last third act.

[@dfghdfghuytiu8207]

If DeNiro gets nominated, he’ll break Katharine Hepburn’s record for longest Oscar career. She went from 1933-1981, he’ll be from 1974-2023.

[@tml184]

Gosling for that shitty movie? No chance.

[@tomkibbe2124]

What about Paul Mescal for All of us Strangers?

[@ramongawlitta9858]

John Magaro reminded me a lot of Emory Cohen in BROOKLYN (2015). He may not get in, but his performance still resonates with me (as did Cohen's).

[@Dr.M550]

De Niro for the win

[@alexbuchholz7072]

Robert de Niro is incredible in this film. I love Downey Jr., but De Niro es sublime.

[@JIBBIEJINKS1]

I said the same thing coming out of Oppenheimer. I give Downey a 99% chance.

[@juancarlosgarza5511]

Jesse Plemons is not even going to sniff a nomination

[@camilomoyavalderrama5977]

I just have seen De Niro, Gosling and RDJ performances. All of them really good, but for me De Niro was the best. Of course, I should see other films to get a proper criteria.

[@p_nk7279]

DeNiro is super-good in Flower Moon. I support a win for him.

[@Pure_B]

There's always surprises in the supporting categories.

[@parkviewmo]

Good list!

[@joem5909]

If the film turns out to be as great as I’m anticipating, a dark horse might be Holt McCallany as Fritz Von Erich in The Iron Claw. I know the depths that story will go.

[@iamsoverybored878]

I haven't seen the Barbie movie. I'm probably the only collector that hasn't, but isn't Gosling a co lead. It would make sense to campaign him in supporting since he played Ken who is just Barbie's accessorie.

[@ienien7]

Robert Downey jr for me

[@Stephanlabize]

De Niro not getting a nomination for The Irishman was a travesty. He was INCREDIBLE. That phone call scene alone should have gotten him a nom. What a actor. This year,my vote goes to Downey.

[@MrRacine67]

Robert De Niro "is kind of an icon at this point". Are you serious? He's not "kind" of an icon. He IS and has been an icon for decades.

[@jakefollensbee]

Please let Glenn Howerton get oscar love for Blackberry. That would be so awesome.

[@tjwhisenhunt1089]

Finally someone mentions him. One of the most underrated films of the year. That scene where he does a Dennis Reynolds-esque outburst saying “I’m from Waterloo, where the vampires hangout!” should honestly make him a frontrunner 😂

[@robfuzz]

Totally agree but it won't happen. The film will be overlooked unfortunately. He was amazing though.

[@FantasticBeasts2024]

Supporting Actor: 1 Ryan Gosling - Barbie 2 RDJ - Oppenheimer 3 Mark Ruffalo - Poor Things 4 Robert De Niro - Killers of the Flower Moon 5 Jesse Plemons - KOTFM

[@lexkanyima2195]

Ben Affleck - AIR

[@l.t.w8985]

Mark Ruffalo is a tremendous actor. I think he's great in everything he does

[@doriangraye1971]

I could listen to this voice under my pillow. Soothing and smart.

[@tomlaflamme2118]

Just because Barbie is Comedy Remember Kevin Kline in Fish Called Wanda and Marisa Tomei in My Cousin Vinny both up against all drama performances

[@mrkhansson]

What about Coleman Domingo for "Color Purple?" He's supposed to be a double nominee for that & his great lead performance in "Rustin," which is the best thing about that film! Your list is #oscarssowhite.

[@thrawncaedusl717]

I just don’t see RDJ winning. To me, it is between Gosling and Ruffalo. This might be foolish, but for some reason I just don’t buy RDJ. I think Oppenheimer is being overrated by pundits (I don’t see it winning two acting awards, and think Cillian Murphy will win Lead). Also, Tom Conti (Einstein) deserves the win, but I know that is not happening.

[@AWJavier0808]

1 Robert Downey Jr In Oppenheimer 2 Mark Ruffalo In Poor Things 3 Charles Melton In May December 4 Robert De Niro In the Killer of the Flower 5 William Dafoe in Poor Things 6 Ryan Gosling In Barbie 7 Jeremy Allen White In Iron Claw 8 Dominic Sessa In The Holdover 9 Jason Clarke In Oppenheimer 10 Jacob Elordi In Saltburn or Priscilla

[@lexkanyima2195]

Ben Affleck in AIR

[@israelalvarez4884]

When is going to be anounce ?

[@JamesAreySeattle]

I really thought Matt Damon was perfect in Oppenheimer. His nomination might be overshadowed by Robert Downey, though.

[@raykincaid]

OMG. That was painful. To listen to, that is. Everything stated could have been expressed in 6 or 7 minutes. There was no need to pad it out with superfluous and repetitive information. Will not be watching further videos by this contributor.

[@ZoraTheberge]

RDJ is also my choice to win so far. He gives a very good transformative performance. And I don’t really see anyone else from Oppenheimer winning

[@Psyfoob]

lol @ the argument that De Niro hasn’t been nominated much since SLP. What has he done that was worthy of a nomination outside of ‘The Irishman’? ‘The War With Grandpa’? ‘Amsterdam’? ‘Dirty Grandpa’? His miss for ‘The Irishman’ could be chalked up as a fluke, and I think the first half or so of the film he is de-aged, and that kind of soured it a bit for some folks. His work in KOTFM is undeniable IMO. His best performance in over 3 decades, and he’s likely contending for the win.

[@tbam73]

How are you counting out The Color Purple performances when you havent seen it? Danielle Brooks is a Tony nominee for the same role and Taraji is an Oscar nominee. Hmm, odd

[@SoulKnightKing]

your biggest mistake is assuming DaFoe is in the 5th spot. a 5x AA nominee with an amazing acclaimed filmography also revered by actors, critics, and audiences while in a BP winning contender. he's not in 5th hes in contention to win. if he wins the globe he's sweeping. If he wins the bafta he can upset. plus DaFoes make up is the only contender thatll challenge Maestro's make up. It is way more DaFoe's time than RDJ

[@poihpioakarp8845]

My current GoldDerby predictions (as of 29.10.23): 5. Dominic Sessa (The Holdovers) 4. Robert De Niro (Killers of the Flower Moon) 3. Mark Ruffalo (Poor Things) 2. Ryan Gosling (Barbie) 1. Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) RDJ better win this shit or *so help me* This is a case where my top 4 feel absolute locks, and then the 5# is a death match. I want desperately to put back John Magaro (Past Lives) in there, but I feel like he's completely lost heat. I'm also having a hard time believing Willem Dafoe (Past Lives) because of recent cases like Nightmare Alley were they snubbed him. Charles Melton (May December) and Sterling K. Brown (American Fiction) are very close behind Sessa, and probably stand above Magaro by this point. I'm not buying Colman Domingo (The Color Purple), Glenn Howerton (BlackBerry), any of the other Oppenheimer boys or anyone from Air.

[@robfuzz]

Sessa would be great! I'm hoping Giamatti gets in and even wins.

[@poihpioakarp8845]

@@robfuzz update: I just swapped him for Melton I'm still not sure about that 5 spot at all though

[@DRUOPS]

Glenn Howerton BlackBerry

[@NathanR2D2]

Babe wake up The awards contender dropped !

[@maxcastleman]

I have no idea why everybody thinks Gosling is getting in, or could even win. I really don't think it's gonna happen. It's not the kind of performance they go for. And yes he was great in it. He was great in The Nice Guys too. It doesn't matter. To be honest I also don't see it happening for either of the guys from Poor Things. I'm going RDJ, De Niro, Charles Melton, Dominic Sessa and... I don't know, Colman Domingo for Color Purple? Jesse Plemons? That final slot is kinda up in the air right now. Maybe Dafoe WILL get in there and I'm still just bitter from his Lighthouse snub.

[@oldschoolabrahamhicks2742]

ooh have my doubts about the Kenergy!

[@robertmichel4063]

What the -- You didn't even _mention_ Matt Damon in "Oppenheimer"?

[@AlvaroIbacacheS]

Maybe it’s because I liked the movie so much, but people and critics are really sleeping on Barbie. If WB decides to use the same marketing genius they used while promoting the film, Barbie it’s gonna have big chances of sweeping the awards. The award campaign could be genius.

[@TheRobpralgo]

… ‘KIND OF an icon’?!?!?

[@poett8875]

That threw me off too. He’s a legend😂😂

[@RichardHannay]

Glen Howerton for BlackBerry

[@tonio7367]

Barbie please!

[@MovieFanZ89]

Why not Joaquim De Almeida for Missing?