Energy, not compute, will be the #1 bottleneck to AI progress - Mark Zuckerberg

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Dwarkesh Patel

Dwarkesh Patel

Күн бұрын

Full Episode: • Mark Zuckerberg - Llam...
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Transcript: www.dwarkeshpa...
Me on Twitter: / dwarkesh_sp

Пікірлер: 744
@mikerowave1986
@mikerowave1986 4 ай бұрын
Zucc got his latest patch 1.8342 - improved facial animations - improved vocal features - improved body language - custom hair - integrated eye moisturizer (no more eye licking) Still under development: - show emotions on face, voice, body language -
@universalsorrow
@universalsorrow 4 ай бұрын
kids. kids is probably the biggest patch you can have in your life. after kids, people change. whether they want to or not. your priorities change, your emotions change, your maturity changes. the biggest cares and worries in your life also change. it's not that zucc is more human or anything now. it's that he's a dad to 2 kids now. that demands a different persona
@Mr_Sh1tcoin
@Mr_Sh1tcoin 4 ай бұрын
-fully working schlong
@Mr_Sh1tcoin
@Mr_Sh1tcoin 4 ай бұрын
-fully working scchhhlong
@darioc23c
@darioc23c 4 ай бұрын
😂 same thought when I saw video
@unrealshrimp
@unrealshrimp 4 ай бұрын
Bro i was inhaling smoke when I read no more eye licking and I died
@siskavard
@siskavard 4 ай бұрын
Zuck is so much better at talking about nerdy shit than he is as a public-facing marketing guy lol
@PeterMilko
@PeterMilko 4 ай бұрын
yeah noticed that too
@brittney3156
@brittney3156 4 ай бұрын
Proof we should let people be real.
@Wobbothe3rd
@Wobbothe3rd 4 ай бұрын
That's true, but the real question is WHY? The real answer isn't found in Zuckerberg's individual personality, but the wokeness and censoring nature of his employees and the surrounding Bay Area.
@zzappligator
@zzappligator 4 ай бұрын
A sign he’s the real deal and not a show man.
@Master_the_cut
@Master_the_cut 4 ай бұрын
Literally me lol
@jeroenbauwens1986
@jeroenbauwens1986 4 ай бұрын
Dwarkesh cut it out of this clip but he mentioned to Mark that Amazon just purchased a 960 MW (=close to 1 GW) data center from Talen energy next to a Talen nuclear power plant in Penssylvania... around the same time they invested 1 billion dollars in Anthropic, the company that made llm Claude. So I have a feeling we WILL actually see that major leap in capabilities next year, unlike what Mark believes, or seems to believe.
@MrSchweppes
@MrSchweppes 4 ай бұрын
I completely agree with you!💯🎯
@verigumetin4291
@verigumetin4291 4 ай бұрын
Just looked it up online and it's true
@G73Server
@G73Server 4 ай бұрын
Are there pther compnies doigg NB the same?
@fafillionaire
@fafillionaire 4 ай бұрын
I work for the company that built the switch yard for this data center. When construction started almost 3 years ago it was a for a bitcoin miner, half way through we heard the buyer had backed out. Funny how I find a random youtube video that tells me the outcome, as we have not heard anything.
@ashleigh3021
@ashleigh3021 4 ай бұрын
@@G73ServerNot many companies have the ability to buy a GW plant that produces electricity 24/7.
@elginbeloy9066
@elginbeloy9066 4 ай бұрын
I never realized how much power was going into making these foundation models.
@tuhaggis
@tuhaggis 4 ай бұрын
You should see how much energy is used for bitcoin - more than some countries.
@erniea5843
@erniea5843 4 ай бұрын
So much for these big tech companies caring about climate, it’s all about AI dominance now.
@rejectionistmanifesto8836
@rejectionistmanifesto8836 4 ай бұрын
​@@erniea5843they only like to virtue signal when they can put the costs on average people
@Matlockization
@Matlockization 4 ай бұрын
@@erniea5843 Trust me, if their AI can turn out a portrait of George Washington as an African American, then they care about climate change !
@mitahenare8901
@mitahenare8901 4 ай бұрын
@@tuhaggis you should see how much energy is used for Christmas lights
@RubberFacee
@RubberFacee 4 ай бұрын
Zuck got his human-look update
@CPTSwoopty
@CPTSwoopty 4 ай бұрын
Stress and pressure will do that to a person.
@MysteriousApe1
@MysteriousApe1 4 ай бұрын
i also noticed that, wtf is happened? 😅
@wheniztheend
@wheniztheend 4 ай бұрын
​@@MysteriousApe1 I think it's mostly that he started growing his hair out. His hair looks much better at this length (makes his head look less like an alien). Also, his skin has more natural color to it. (via being in the sun or taking vitamins or something, idk)
@MatthewMS.
@MatthewMS. 4 ай бұрын
It’s the hair. He got a normal haircut and is in really good shape. We are the same age and I’m very proud of him.
@FanDutch
@FanDutch 4 ай бұрын
Yeah it’s the longer hair
@JedRichards
@JedRichards 4 ай бұрын
You need to unlock the fusion energy tech tree, before you can build your super AI. Everyone knows that
@WoppyHousen
@WoppyHousen 4 ай бұрын
Fission>>Super AI>>Fusion through Super AI is a much faster track. Just have to keep your population in check during the occasional crises meltdowns during the fission fase.
@dayhillbilly
@dayhillbilly 4 ай бұрын
We don't need super AI. We already have fusion energy☀
@HobbyWoppy
@HobbyWoppy 4 ай бұрын
​​@@dayhillbilly From my GPT friend: "To generate 1 gigawatt (GW) of power using solar panels, you would need approximately 4 square kilometers of solar panels, assuming an average solar panel efficiency of around 20%. This can vary based on factors like solar panel efficiency and sunlight availability. (Confidence: Medium)" And then some batteries of cores.
@KCJbomberFTW
@KCJbomberFTW 4 ай бұрын
Fission is literally good enough It’s the cleanest cheapest safest energy ever made
@AORD72
@AORD72 4 ай бұрын
What? Just build far more energy efficient transistors. The human brain uses bugger all power. Build biological computers if you have to.
@edwalker598
@edwalker598 4 ай бұрын
energy always has been the determining factor of the advancement of society
@KCJbomberFTW
@KCJbomberFTW 4 ай бұрын
Nuclear energy was always the answer You can have desalination you can fight wildfire you can have infinite agriculture tech EVs etc
@KuddleKittens
@KuddleKittens 4 ай бұрын
​@KCJbomberFTW but noooo nuclear always goes kaboom
@sean_haz
@sean_haz 4 ай бұрын
​@@KCJbomberFTWwhat's the energy constraint for fighting wildfires?
@KCJbomberFTW
@KCJbomberFTW 4 ай бұрын
@@sean_haz excess water in reservoirs to scoop with planes
@honestabe_9207
@honestabe_9207 4 ай бұрын
Facts
@bonbon_ann2701
@bonbon_ann2701 4 ай бұрын
Zuck looks more human than usual. That's sus. XD
@eyeofthetiger7
@eyeofthetiger7 4 ай бұрын
I'm glad that you like his recent update
@juanramonsilva1067
@juanramonsilva1067 4 ай бұрын
He was living a fantasy life, where in his mind he was this multimillionaire giga chad pioneering the future of humanity. It seems he has gotten humbled by reality and realized that he isn’t what he thought he was. It’s good character development for him actually.
@Mojbojwoj
@Mojbojwoj 4 ай бұрын
@@juanramonsilva1067💯
@harmhoeks5996
@harmhoeks5996 4 ай бұрын
They got enough GPU compute now
@rodrigobarraza
@rodrigobarraza 4 ай бұрын
@@juanramonsilva1067 Well put. VR and AR isn't really his thing either. You can tell how in-tune he is when it comes to neural networks and AI.
@pkundr
@pkundr 4 ай бұрын
The efforts we put into replacing ourselves are remarkable
@skyhook_
@skyhook_ 4 ай бұрын
glitch in the simulation at 0:40
@dragonsandwarts5644
@dragonsandwarts5644 4 ай бұрын
Also at 0:30 the girl walks behind zucks head then reappears
@dragonsandwarts5644
@dragonsandwarts5644 4 ай бұрын
2:37 another glitch - the man just flat out disappears
@miloshp7399
@miloshp7399 4 ай бұрын
AI talking about why it's not possible to be developed 😂
@benjaminmathew289
@benjaminmathew289 4 ай бұрын
im not sure if ur joking but its just a speed up probably
@brokstine
@brokstine 4 ай бұрын
the zuck can bend the space time
@MrSchweppes
@MrSchweppes 4 ай бұрын
When the most powerful companies in the US (Microsoft, Google, etc.) need to solve a bottleneck in order to make progress, regulatory and other constraints will be quickly resolved. There is too much at stake when we talk about AI progress. So, expect a 1 gigawatt data center next year.
@ahamuffin4747
@ahamuffin4747 4 ай бұрын
Think so too
@Blashmack
@Blashmack 4 ай бұрын
AI progress is also tied to national defense interest. So I think they will definitely clear regulat process out of the way
@percy9228
@percy9228 4 ай бұрын
or just buy one like amazon done. "Amazon buys nuclear-powered data center from Talen" "The data center, Cumulus Data Assets, sits on a 1,200-acre campus in Pennsylvania and is directly powered by the adjacent Susquehanna Steam Electric Station, which generates 2.5 gigawatts of power." probably have it up and running within a year with the hardware installed.
@MrSchweppes
@MrSchweppes 4 ай бұрын
@@percy9228 🎯
@zerokelvin3626
@zerokelvin3626 4 ай бұрын
I work for a transmission system operator at the highest voltage level in the grid, and the number of connection requests for new data centers we're getting is just insane!
@harrisoncamm1054
@harrisoncamm1054 3 ай бұрын
What company?
@ICodeForALiving
@ICodeForALiving 4 ай бұрын
"1.21 Gigawatts!!! Great Scott!!" - Mark EmmetBerg
@matt.loupe.
@matt.loupe. 4 ай бұрын
“How long can the exponential curve going for?” There’s going to be a Nyquist-Shannon equivalent limit to the max data and compute you can throw at a model before you can’t improve it anymore. For example, if you trained an ai model on flipping a coin, it doesn’t matter if you use a 1-gigawatt cluster and 100 trillion coin flips as your dataset, the model is still going to be 50% chance. The question is how do you theoretically find that limit without throwing 10s of billions of dollars at training clusters.
@JimStanfield-zo2pz
@JimStanfield-zo2pz 2 ай бұрын
What if you flipped the coin 5 times. You have an odd number, you are always going to have either more heads or more tails. If you flip it 6 times, there are a total of 64 possible permutations of the flip, 2/64 are all heads or all tails, 12/64 are one heads or one tails out of the 6, 30/64 are 2 heads or 2 tails out of the 6, and finally only 20 would give you a perfectly representative result of 50% heads and 50% tails. You'd only get this result 5/16, 31.25% of the time. This actually gets worse the more times you flip the coin, if you flip it ten times, you'd actually only get a perfect 50/50 heads and tails result 252/1024 times, 24.6%. there are always more non 50/50 results than 50/50 results. The best way would be to actually flip a coin some finite set of times within a larger finite set and then measure the distribution. Say sample 100 flips one billion times. And see if the distribution matches statistical expectations. But you run into kind of the same problem, just sort of at a higher dimension. Coin flips May be harder than you think, even trying to determine if a coin is really flipping 50% one way or the other
@santiagocarreno5881
@santiagocarreno5881 3 ай бұрын
Mark Zuckerberg looks so normal and human here, that it feels weird af; we want our lizard robot boy back
@xaxfixho
@xaxfixho 4 ай бұрын
Remember when a computer filled up a huge room 🤔
@BruKfu
@BruKfu 4 ай бұрын
i like ur thinking
@Ivcota
@Ivcota 4 ай бұрын
Moores law is no longer applicable right?
@the_original_dude
@the_original_dude 4 ай бұрын
remember when women were the computers, and lots of them were sitting in a room doing calculations
@Instant_Nerf
@Instant_Nerf 4 ай бұрын
@@the_original_dudeyeah they still are. Bankers, accountants
@the_original_dude
@the_original_dude 4 ай бұрын
@@Instant_Nerf no, they don't calculate manually anything
@christianross2567
@christianross2567 4 ай бұрын
Who ever is doing his human training is killing it.
@Arowx
@Arowx 4 ай бұрын
Just for some counter point the human brain runs on about 20 watts of power. Maybe needing Gigawatts and billions should be an indicator that this could be a wrong approach to reaching human level AI?
@percy9228
@percy9228 4 ай бұрын
you got a better approach? lets stop everything because the human brain is so much efficient?? it's all progress. you build tech so it improves other tech. the first transistors where astronomically bigger compared to leading edge now. give it 25 years of advancements
@Arowx
@Arowx 4 ай бұрын
@@percy9228 I just suspect this might be a bit of an AI tech bubble that bursts but gives us great chat bot technology but not real AI. It's a bit like the crypto bubble where we have all this technology and money to push into something that looks good but may not deliver on the hype people are building for it. Mind you if it does go full AI it will probably happen so fast our world would change completely within days. And I do not think we are ready for that.
@Arowx
@Arowx 4 ай бұрын
qwerty-np2iw There are potential lower energy computing solutions that could just be around the corner e.g. graphine, memristor and photonic technologies could totally change the energy needs of modern computing if they can go mainstream.
@christophermcdermott2443
@christophermcdermott2443 4 ай бұрын
@@percy9228 I mean we could get serious about education and up skill the whole world population. I bet even a small uplift in collective cognitive power would make a massive difference in the world
@percy9228
@percy9228 4 ай бұрын
@@christophermcdermott2443 there has never been a better time in human history as there is now for access to elite level education. This is all thanks to the internet. I've met people who learnt languages themselves using the internet. If you think about it, even the internet consumes ridiculously amount of energy, but no one on earth will argue to shut down the internet because of the tremendous good for humanity. we are reliant on it so much. AI will one day be considered in the same way. AI will shape how the world will work. Internet took a while before it was fully accepted. nowadays you need it just to apply for things. and I don't get your argument. you don't need to hand feed kids, just show them where to look to get answers. and now with AI in future they will have a personal tutor to guide them also. and parents who care already guide and parents who don't won't. no ones got time or energy to teach another kid when they busy earning food to pay for their family.
@GregoryWilnau
@GregoryWilnau 4 ай бұрын
1.21 gigawatts?!?!
@carkawalakhatulistiwa
@carkawalakhatulistiwa 4 ай бұрын
Is just 1 nuclear reactor
@GeneralKenobi69420
@GeneralKenobi69420 4 ай бұрын
When this baby hits 88 exaflops an hour.... you're gonna see some serious sh
@jklappenbach
@jklappenbach 4 ай бұрын
GREAT SCOTT!!!111!! What the hell is a jigawat?
@bigbadallybaby
@bigbadallybaby 4 ай бұрын
They just need to make sure their AI gets struck by lightning every time they need to ask it something. The trouble is, we don’t know when or where it’s going to strike.
@somename5632
@somename5632 4 ай бұрын
​@@GeneralKenobi69420 "88 exaflops an hour"😂
@erikkovacs3097
@erikkovacs3097 4 ай бұрын
AWS has 1GW in the Columbia river basin in dozens of sites and buildings.
@Neojhun
@Neojhun 4 ай бұрын
He specifically stated single site. Sure a bunch of service providers have a cluster of data center which equate to 1GW.
@RestraHealth
@RestraHealth 4 ай бұрын
@@Neojhun riot blockchain will finish a 1GW site in Texas this year.
@andresprieto6554
@andresprieto6554 4 ай бұрын
It's not just energy production, its infrastructure as well. Even if we have the technology, it would take at least five years to build the necessary infrastructure to deliver the energy and thats being optimistic. So essentially they would have to place it next to a plant dedicated for it.
@pin65371
@pin65371 4 ай бұрын
Bruce Power up in Ontario Canada is planning on adding more reactors to their site. They are in the planning phase for an added 4800 MW. Maybe bump that up to 6800 MW and then sign long term energy contracts with Microsoft, Facebook, Google and Amazon. Its right next to a massive lake so cooling water is not an issue and there is lots of land there.
@percy9228
@percy9228 4 ай бұрын
check out "Amazon buys nuclear-powered data center from Talen", so now they just need to kit it out with AI hardware. so it's max a year away. this probably drive other tech giants to buy something similar or get locked out for 5 years. and it wasn't that expensive at $560m
@TheDunningKrugerEffectisReal
@TheDunningKrugerEffectisReal 3 ай бұрын
Yup its playing catch up. Technology chases math, and energy chases technology, ultimately the technology gets manufactured implemented for consumption markets either publicly or not.
@rajmudumbai7434
@rajmudumbai7434 4 ай бұрын
The better way for energy not being a bottleneck will be to reduce compute elements to be not based on traditional electronics, but go atomic scale and use extremely low power. Current approach in AI computing uses brute force. Soon progress will depend on finding more intuitive algorithms that converge quicker.
@raul36
@raul36 4 ай бұрын
It is literally what we have been working on for more than 15 years in laboratories around the world. Thanks for pointing out the obvious!
@burgundyknight6826
@burgundyknight6826 4 ай бұрын
Two promising prospects I have seen to make computing more efficient are graphene chips the band gap problem they experience has been improved on recently. Also AI designed chips are designed 1000× faster then human designed ones, they aren't close to the computing power of human made designed chips but at the rate they are improving will soon close that gap
@HakaiKaien
@HakaiKaien 4 ай бұрын
That’s what quantum computing is trying to do. But most power is consumed in transformers. They take the current and split it into a lower current and heat. And then needing cooling systems to dispense of the heat. Which is quite primitive to be honest. The electronic technology needs to mature. We are still at the infant stage of the electronic revolution
@edgedg
@edgedg 4 ай бұрын
Amazing editing!
@kewa_design
@kewa_design 3 ай бұрын
The cuts are really stunning
@franktfrisby
@franktfrisby 4 ай бұрын
Dude you grew like 20k subs in a span of a few days. awesome!
@Waldemarvonanhalt
@Waldemarvonanhalt 4 ай бұрын
In other words, SMRs will be ideal for powering data centres/servers and super computers.
@chookbuffy
@chookbuffy 4 ай бұрын
I can just imagine a bunch of private SMRs behind walled compounds that remain powered and cool while the rest of society sweats it out during blackouts
@Rawdiswar
@Rawdiswar 4 ай бұрын
If they ever get built.
@ss-fc2fh
@ss-fc2fh 4 ай бұрын
Zuck should look at what amzn did with Talen Energy. Amzn got almost a whole nuke unit.
@txterbug
@txterbug 4 ай бұрын
After Zuck found MMA he’s been a completely different dude. COMPLETELY different dude.
@TomM-p3o
@TomM-p3o 4 ай бұрын
Current AI architectures are ridiculously inefficient compared to the human brain.
@CamAlert2
@CamAlert2 4 ай бұрын
The efficiencies will only improve. Performance per watt is going up.
@rapidreaders7741
@rapidreaders7741 4 ай бұрын
To be fair, we still don't know how the human brain works exactly. The neuron-activation model used in NN's is an extremely simplified way of understanding the brain, that doesn't even capture 1% of its true complexity. That being said, I'm surprised just how well our current (general) models surpass most humans in the tasks they do.
@RJ-zm3qk
@RJ-zm3qk 4 ай бұрын
@@rapidreaders7741 Yes and that is the "problem". We don't even know how human brain works. These models are not self-aware. They just imitate self awareness, and that is 2 different things.
@raul36
@raul36 4 ай бұрын
@@CamAlert2 Isn't that technological innovation? Thanks for pointing out the obvious.
@RajarshiBose
@RajarshiBose 4 ай бұрын
I don't think this is the right way to put it. Many people like hinton believe nature took the way of training/ learning which is very efficient in terms of power consumption , it rejected other ways which does take a lot of power but could learn from a lot of data/ resource very fast without over fitting etc etc like SGD with back propagation. Today's ai uses learning algorithm which is very efficient in terms of time to train on large dataset and which fits very well, compromising power/computation.
@playwithmycrud
@playwithmycrud 4 ай бұрын
Energy is the #1 bottleneck of everything my guy
@Pantheos
@Pantheos 4 ай бұрын
I would love to see a large data center connected to a huge solar plant system that uses full power during the day and is throttled down to a minimum at night for the training over weeks.
@bishopoftroy
@bishopoftroy 4 ай бұрын
Yes but only if we keep making current microchip technology. If the transition to carbide silicon chips sooner then a massive 1GW center could ve powered by only a few MW with 5 times the computing power.
@chefpollo6037
@chefpollo6037 4 ай бұрын
Build a gas fueled power plant in East Texas and you’re gucci Zuck. Plug it into your zillion gigawatt datacenter and let Jerry Jones take you to the promised land.
@bitbraindev
@bitbraindev 4 ай бұрын
I thought about this for a while: instead of building massive data centers where AI runs, why don't we distribute the compute across the globe in a decentralized fashion? This would also de-risk the power requirements, as it is much easier to power something that requires just a bit of energy.
@unmanned_mission
@unmanned_mission 4 ай бұрын
They probably never thought of that. You are a visionary, they should pay you trillions for your unsolicited advice.
@bitbraindev
@bitbraindev 4 ай бұрын
@@unmanned_mission ah the internet. Who doesn't love it ♥️
@dhillaz
@dhillaz 4 ай бұрын
The volumes of data being moved in AI training necessitates everything being in a small space, even moving data between machines in the same rack becomes a bottleneck. Sometimes even the speed between individual chips can become a challenge (e.g. Nvidia developing NVLink for 900 GB/s)
@fablearchitect7645
@fablearchitect7645 4 ай бұрын
Because its inefficient. Parallel compute needs to be in close proximity to provide low latency for AI clusters. The AI clusters also require high bandwidth networking like InfiniBand which is prohibitively expensive over long distances.
@pillington1338
@pillington1338 4 ай бұрын
Will be interesting to see what kind of hardware advancements can be made to reduce the power requirements.
@Greg-xi8yx
@Greg-xi8yx 4 ай бұрын
It doesn’t have to be either or, I could see both energy and compute bottlenecks being the case, particularly if these exponentials continue for as long as the “optimists”, for lack of a better word, say that they will.
@6IGNITION9
@6IGNITION9 4 ай бұрын
A gigawatt is 3 million A100s or 1-2 million H100s. About 10x more power consumption than the biggest data centers today.
@percy9228
@percy9228 4 ай бұрын
what about the new Blackwell? by the time they build a nuclear power plant you'll have a new gpu
@jeffgorchynski
@jeffgorchynski 4 ай бұрын
10x on an exponential curve is not that far off
@materialdefender3599
@materialdefender3599 3 ай бұрын
"The human generates more bio-electricity than 120-volt battery and over 25,000 BTUs of body heat. Combined with a form of fusion, the machines have found all the energy they would ever need."
@Vold316
@Vold316 3 ай бұрын
I think this is the model they keep at their headquarters, much more human-like.
@benlee3117
@benlee3117 4 ай бұрын
Human Intelligence is powered by tacos.
@osefaa
@osefaa 4 ай бұрын
So symbolic to see people disapearing in the background as the talk about AI progresses.
@futureworldhealing
@futureworldhealing 4 ай бұрын
lmfao
@futureworldhealing
@futureworldhealing 4 ай бұрын
they also appear too
@brozbro
@brozbro 4 ай бұрын
wait til the overlord disappears you too.
@osefaa
@osefaa 4 ай бұрын
@@brozbro I'm planning to change my haircut, no chance...
@yaacheese8643
@yaacheese8643 4 ай бұрын
Looking way too into it little bro
@lazyupload
@lazyupload 4 ай бұрын
AI explaining that AI will reach a bottlneck to come people down
@jesan733
@jesan733 4 ай бұрын
Facebook et al are putting datacenters e.g. in the north of Sweden close to our hydro resources (and usually cheap cooling). It gives quite few direct employment opportunities, suck up a lot of power and raises energy prices in Sweden. It kindof outcompetes outdoor spas, incentivizes improved isolation in homes, some other energy hungry industries and so forth. We do look at new nuclear but that will take 10+ years to do, unfortunately, because it's so heavily regulation, just as he says.
@dot1298
@dot1298 4 ай бұрын
So, we would need modular thorium power units, customized for datacenters, build right on-site..
@dot1298
@dot1298 4 ай бұрын
..about time, that the US legislators wake up and make room in the laws for such new (hybrid) installations.
@the_original_dude
@the_original_dude 4 ай бұрын
They should build compute/data centers with power plants, no power lines going elsewhere. Both need cooling and security.
@Matlockization
@Matlockization 4 ай бұрын
It's a lot cheaper if you hook it up to the grid.
@percy9228
@percy9228 4 ай бұрын
check out "Amazon buys nuclear-powered data center from Talen"
@burgundyknight6826
@burgundyknight6826 4 ай бұрын
I have seen ideas of a modular mini nuclear plant that you could build into a building, supposedly they are safer and easier to maintain. I haven't even heard of a prototype being built, the government regulates this stuff heavily
@oscarhagman8247
@oscarhagman8247 4 ай бұрын
what if you build the datacenter on Iceland? they kinda have unlimited geothermal energy which is cheap and green
@TheWillvoss
@TheWillvoss 4 ай бұрын
And how do you transfer it? That’s infrastructure cited as a hurdle. Solution isn’t more power it’s engineering gpus and machines to work with less power consumption.
@SP-ny1fk
@SP-ny1fk 4 ай бұрын
Pay people to generate electricity via peddling.
@KevinTheNoobie
@KevinTheNoobie 4 ай бұрын
Holy shit you're a genius.
@llejk
@llejk 4 ай бұрын
If you don’t have the brain, you must have the muscles.
@wally7856
@wally7856 4 ай бұрын
Human efficiency ~ 25%, diesel engine, fossil fuel power plant ~50%. We can't compete.
@EthanWombat13-om1en
@EthanWombat13-om1en 4 ай бұрын
Each time Zuckerberg says "Next Year" a person in this world vanishes. 2:34
@royalnonsuch
@royalnonsuch 4 ай бұрын
The Zuck measuring things only in Gigglewatts
@anzaklaynimation
@anzaklaynimation 4 ай бұрын
Now he looks a lot less like a robot.
@dirtydirt2482
@dirtydirt2482 3 ай бұрын
He's more human now. He updated his software 😂
@kellerbrown3454
@kellerbrown3454 4 ай бұрын
This likely means that the path forward is in simplifying AI models so they can do the same work with less energy. We learned about this in my first (and only) coding class - how do you simplify the code so the computer is doing less operations to get the same outcome? We did the same thing when we started building computers. What was once the size of a room is now on a nanoscale. Mark raises an excellent point, though I don’t think we’ll be building reactors and solar fields just to power a learning model - we have enough energy problems as it is. No, we can expect the technology to become much more efficient in the next 5-10 years, doing much more for less work. In the same way we were told to learn code in school, kids are going to be taught to use AI - it’s an incredibly powerful tool.
@pswire1117
@pswire1117 4 ай бұрын
Small Modular Reactors. It will never happen because of fear of nuclear power, but it's completely achievable technology and would generate a lot of new energy.
@danielsan901998
@danielsan901998 4 ай бұрын
too costly, the decrease in cost of solar panels will make it the most efficient option to scale up more energy production, and since only inference is time sensitive you can use the solar energy for training without needing a large amount of batteries.
@fred6907
@fred6907 4 ай бұрын
@@danielsan901998 Wrong. The area needed for solar to power just ONE gigawatt center would be insane, even if they manage to scale the efficiency. You carbon hippies need to educate yourself more, it's getting embarassing at this point.
@DMSparky
@DMSparky 4 ай бұрын
Seems odd to me that at the mid to high mega scale or even giga scale why they wouldn't be generating power on site with no grid tie. But having done work at high megawatt plants its not the kind of thing that you could build overnight. As far as I know Mitsubishi Power doesn't keep a lot of M501J Gas turbines sitting in stock in a warehouse. If you had a completely off the shelf design and could write a cheque you might be able to build one in 3 years.
@TheMurtukov
@TheMurtukov 4 ай бұрын
Zack looks great with that haircut
@henryzhao4622
@henryzhao4622 4 ай бұрын
Character and empathy, not technology, will be the bottleneck to a better world.
@alexisramirez79
@alexisramirez79 3 ай бұрын
So he committed to build a datacenter that runs on 1.21 gigawatts to get back to the future...
@diegocalderon3221
@diegocalderon3221 4 ай бұрын
Not if you have localized fusion production. No transmission, local generation, local consumption. Use AI to solve fusion and you’re done.
@yaneck4746
@yaneck4746 4 ай бұрын
You can imagine a future in Zuck's head where the physical constraint of the AI energy throughput gets lifted such that there is an actual location with a giant super computer like the one in the 2005 film The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy. LMAO that would be epic
@rico4u2day2
@rico4u2day2 4 ай бұрын
nyc typically consumes and anywhere from 5-10 gigawatts
@raul36
@raul36 4 ай бұрын
Computing and energy go hand in hand. The better the computational efficiency, the less energy will be needed. So, yes, both are a big problem, both current and future.
@MTXSHO9732vV8SHO
@MTXSHO9732vV8SHO 4 ай бұрын
I just read the first few comments, so fantastic to see what kind of focus people have, a bunch of Dudes worried about how a Dude looks. There is a 3 prong issue 1. As Zuckerberg said, adequate power supplies are needed 2. GPU Processing Power and 3. Backhaul of all devices that can share the data sufficiently, traditional TCP-IP structure is insufficient as is copper over UTP. I'm here for my money, he's already got his.
@Keyser95
@Keyser95 4 ай бұрын
Memes aside and jokes aside that he got an update, he’s got a fucking amazing point, lot of businesses opportunities for the people in the energy sector for the future but as always, regulations and bribery will get in the way that big corps will win these contracts to make the infrastructure and supply the energy.
@user-em4vq5cy4x
@user-em4vq5cy4x 4 ай бұрын
hedge against losing energy suppliers in "the age of wars" (which is over-hyped, but kind of has to be) , do this by buying into renewable energy & refining existing tech, when that's built you've hopefully got it structured to sell it for minimal loss or better yet break-even on it.. above is the unlikely scenario tho, you will most likely, in my eyes get a sustainable growth vehicle for this project and in effect you have AI also relying on the sun like we do, which is kind of nice.
@Iusedtohavemojo
@Iusedtohavemojo 4 ай бұрын
Yes we might be saved. My day just got brighter. Now im a but more optimistic about the future.
@trojanhell7639
@trojanhell7639 4 ай бұрын
Wow a nuclear power plant to train the model ? 😯😯
@shrinidhikulkarni479
@shrinidhikulkarni479 4 ай бұрын
It's cz they want clean energy. 😅
@katielowen
@katielowen 4 ай бұрын
Confirmed: Zuck drinks Zippy Water™️
@Joseph-zi9fs
@Joseph-zi9fs 4 ай бұрын
The solution is distributed compute, networks such as Arbius
@Thedeepseanomad
@Thedeepseanomad 4 ай бұрын
Energy over time is what all works run on, and how much energy that must be spent ultimately determine the cost.. Perhaps one day, we can all have dividends from Open sourced machine production commons, where the capacity is measured in energy.
@MARKXHWANG
@MARKXHWANG 4 ай бұрын
that is why you need to upgrade everything to B200 chip
@vornamenachname906
@vornamenachname906 3 ай бұрын
Flops per watt makes no sense? Thats operation/s/watt But It should be Operation/watt*s And that's Operation/joule , and thats what makes sense.
@marshallodom1388
@marshallodom1388 4 ай бұрын
I leave lights on in my house all the time, I have energy to spare but nobody is asking me for it. I guess I'll let Duckerberg buy it and be responsible for the carbon footprint.
@I_dont_want_an_at
@I_dont_want_an_at 4 ай бұрын
Zuck has never looked better, more human or more likeable. He's aging nicely. He's letting his hair grow. He's not the centre of attention. He's in observer mode. very enjoyable to see
@onehotseat
@onehotseat 4 ай бұрын
Demand for energy, particularly renewable energy, is going to absolutely explode. Exactly what Zuck is referring to here. No one can build a GW datacenter today because no location has a GW of spare capacity. These companies deploying large cloud datacenters understand their impact on GHG emissions and want to minimize their environmental footprint. So renewable power generation, coupled with grid-level energy storage, is going to skyrocket. Time to invest in ETFs like FAN, GRID, TAN, etc.
@leslietetteh7292
@leslietetteh7292 4 ай бұрын
Very true. The real priority should be A.I macro-engineers (structural, civil, mechanical, electrical, etc.) building energy infrastructure and energy generation plants.
@burgundyknight6826
@burgundyknight6826 4 ай бұрын
Priority should be decentralized blockchain infrastructure that tracks all government spending. Once we can track all the tax funds and how the government spends it we can be able to allocate it properly to achieve our goals as a nation
@leslietetteh7292
@leslietetteh7292 4 ай бұрын
@@burgundyknight6826 I think using blockchain technology to track government spending is an interesting idea with some potential benefits, but also significant challenges and limitations. Here are some thoughts: Potential benefits: Could increase transparency and accountability around how tax dollars are spent May help reduce corruption and misuse of funds Allows citizens to more easily audit and analyze government spending Challenges and limitations: Technically complex to implement comprehensively across all levels/agencies of government Concerns around privacy and security of sensitive financial data on a public blockchain Blockchain doesn't inherently prevent misallocation of funds, just makes it more traceable after the fact Many government expenditures require some confidentiality (e.g. national security) and couldn't be on a public ledger Blockchain is still an emerging technology with scalability and efficiency constraints for massive datasets In terms of importance and priority, I would rank addressing our pressing energy challenges as a higher near-term priority than implementing blockchain for government finance. Developing clean, sustainable energy sources and upgrading energy infrastructure is crucial for combating climate change and transitioning to a carbon-neutral future. These are huge, capital-intensive undertakings that require major government investments and policy support. That said, I don't think it has to be a strict either/or scenario. Initiatives to improve government spending transparency can be worked on in parallel. And there may even be some synergies, e.g. using blockchain to track and verify how funds earmarked for sustainable energy projects are being allocated and spent. But if I had to prioritize one area for governments to focus on with urgency, I believe the energy transition and building out robust clean energy infrastructure should be at the top of the list given the timelines we face with climate change. Government financial transparency and accountability is important, but feels relatively lower stakes in comparison. Of course, this is just my view based on the information available to me. Reasonable people may weigh the relative importance of these issues differently.
@keyser021
@keyser021 4 ай бұрын
And suddenly it becomes clear why China had invested so heavily for 20yrs in their grid, to offset the day when power became the leading commodity distinguisher. In 2022, China was the leading country in terms of hydroelectricity generation worldwide with approximately 1,303 terawatt hours generated from hydro source, about 30 percent of the total hydropower energy consumption worldwide occurred in China. Over three-quarters of the country’s electric power supply relies on hydroelectric power. In that year, China added 13 gigawatts of hydropower capacity. 2nd: Brazil -- 428.06 terawatt hours 3rd: Canada 392.51 terawatt hours 4th: United States 248.76 terawatt hours
@EnderViBrittania
@EnderViBrittania 4 ай бұрын
As usual, China is always ahead. The next global hegemonic superpower, wants to replace the US.
@InnocentiusLacrimosa
@InnocentiusLacrimosa 4 ай бұрын
China needs its electricity to modernize its society. 1,4B people moving out of agrarian society. It is great that they build hydro as if it was more coal based (like it used to be and still is too much) the environmental damage would be terrible on both local (remember the smogs?) and global (global warming) level.
@meegs699
@meegs699 4 ай бұрын
Fuck it. Capture the sun with a Dyson sphere
@dr_IkjyotSinghKohli
@dr_IkjyotSinghKohli 4 ай бұрын
Zuck is apparently aware that a lightning bolt can generate the 1.21 Gigawatts required to produce whatever he requires.
@LCTesla
@LCTesla 4 ай бұрын
so everything in the world is energy constrained. AI is not the exception. and everything that makes AI so great is now added to the list of reasons we need fusion power ASAP. or maybe we're just blessed for not having it. maybe this is the natural limiter on AI we've been hoping for.
@EnderViBrittania
@EnderViBrittania 4 ай бұрын
Meanwhile China building new energy capacity via coal and nuclear rapidly… so China won’t be slowing down.
@morpher44
@morpher44 4 ай бұрын
2:34 There is some sort of time traveler walking around behind the window. And then he disappears.
@tuneboyz5634
@tuneboyz5634 4 ай бұрын
iq unlimited!
@GrumpDog
@GrumpDog 4 ай бұрын
Sure.. Eventually.. But for now it's not, and it won't be until we're well past the point of major changes.
@AniketKapse
@AniketKapse 4 ай бұрын
Graphene is going to replace silicon soon. This will solve the problem.
@austinzizzi1142
@austinzizzi1142 4 ай бұрын
That’s why free sustainable solar is the only way forward
@BLAISEDAHL96
@BLAISEDAHL96 4 ай бұрын
All that Brazilian jiu-jitsu has made him more human!
@ladatanerds
@ladatanerds 4 ай бұрын
now it make total sense why Tesla bought solar city a long time ago
@JohnnyTheMonkey777
@JohnnyTheMonkey777 4 ай бұрын
This new updated version of Zuckerberg is much more human-like
@stcredzero
@stcredzero 4 ай бұрын
What about localized wind and solar? The amount of compute would be proportional to the amount of energy coming in. There would be some amount of batteries, but it might well be cheaper at a certain scale to simply build more solar and go with the fluctuating rate of available energy. If such systems are not connected to the grid, the permitting should be far simpler. Also, if they are not connected to the grid, but are located out in the desert somewhere, they would also be much easier to bomb out of existence.
@tuhaggis
@tuhaggis 4 ай бұрын
You would need millions of square meters of solar cells to reach a gigawatt. You would be building a solar array the size of a small city.
@stcredzero
@stcredzero 4 ай бұрын
@@tuhaggis Yes. But still I could totally see this happening.
@fred6907
@fred6907 4 ай бұрын
@@stcredzero A million square meters is the size of Egypt. And that's just ONE gigawatt datacenter. Still think it's a good idea? Do you Gen Z learn ANYTHING in school these days?
@KCJbomberFTW
@KCJbomberFTW 4 ай бұрын
Nuclear energy would make Southern California the epicenter of tech again
@ProBloggerWorld
@ProBloggerWorld 4 ай бұрын
I like that Zuck uses his companies to work on AI so that he can risk damaging some of his brain cells during MMA fights.
@eddyr1041
@eddyr1041 4 ай бұрын
Hence you see a glance if the future when nuclear fusion is on... no more limit on energy since it doesn't pollute...
@oorto1393
@oorto1393 4 ай бұрын
We should send datacenters out into space to train on solar energy.
@chrisminnoy3637
@chrisminnoy3637 4 ай бұрын
That's very very bad news (but not new news). If there is such a pressure for more power, by datacentra, then prices will go up of electricity exponentially. Customers will need to pay, making all goods more expensive, wages not sufficient, economic downturn. Making it less attractive to switch to electric cars and heatpumps while we need to get rid off fossils very fast. So yep, very very bad news....and we saw it coming already 10 years ago but like with most things that require a bit of intelligence to grasp the concept it is ignored by politicians and the masses.
@robertsullivan9232
@robertsullivan9232 4 ай бұрын
The hair def makes him look more human . Also the energy fields sound just like the matrix
@triggernm
@triggernm 4 ай бұрын
The problem is the GPU. Yes, it has the most peak performance for AI workloads, but it's still an architecture made for shading pixels. This is why GPUs are no longer the processor used in ADAS or self-driving cars. In that application, the energy efficiency is critical to the system (battery life = range) and so GPUs were phased out almost overnight. The same will happen now that everyone is racing to train and infer AI models. Once companies have their initial models developed, they will realize that TCO over the long run will be more important and AI hardware will start to transition away from GPU towards dedicated AI processors such as Intel's Gaudi processors and tenstorrent AI processors.
@dennisjames9091
@dennisjames9091 4 ай бұрын
How about the information bottleneck ? Is there enough public information available for training to require a gigawatt cluster ?
@JatinGera
@JatinGera 4 ай бұрын
Algorithms always had and will have more potential to grow at exponential rates than physical infrastructure. Eventually energy won't matter.
@neverendingweekend
@neverendingweekend 4 ай бұрын
I believe this was a few years ago. Before LLM’s was as prominent as they are now. So, the zuck may not be speaking about AI as we know it right now. 🤔
@thripnixe
@thripnixe 4 ай бұрын
Good week for zuck, US passed the tiktok ban, became the third richest person passing Elon.
@martinyuhas929
@martinyuhas929 3 ай бұрын
Let’s not clutter the issue with facts.
@Rawdiswar
@Rawdiswar 4 ай бұрын
Longest I've ever listened to Zuck speak tbh.
@jeffjones114
@jeffjones114 4 ай бұрын
this is why Nvidia is so important, few people are talking about the energy savings from their more efficient chips
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