Exploitative Continuation Bet Sizing Featuring Alex "Assassinato" Fitzgerald

[@jamielailey4594]

These videos are so good! Assassinato is the most common sense based poker coach out there, everything is so useful in 'real' situations, thanks to Jonathan for making me aware of this dude!

[@empirerakeback]

Alex Fitzgerald is the man.

[@royalflush8173]

i agree that he is 100 %

[@mysteriesinmind]

These videos have had an immediate positive effect on my game. Thanks so much, Jonathan!

[@besnergreen]

...what is the most important thought?

[@peterwessel1827]

Hmmm

[@rljpdx]

pretty deep in BOSS #49 250k Day 1 Flight. 4th place, 80 left, 29 make it to day 2 + 2x tournament entry paid at the end of Day 1. still gotta make it through 61 more people but half the field is short stacked atm and blinds are wiping people out. stay the course. ( i was a bit premature here; see below, field ballooned to 352)

[@rljpdx]

man that was a grind. 6.5 to 7 hours. Total 352 players on this flight. 43 move on to day 2. i finished in 24th position with 1.393m(illion) in chips to take with me to day 2 plus the 2x min cash that was awarded for completing day 1. day 2 will be for pay jumps on March 7. looking forward to that. time for some rest. i had as much as 3m but can't win 'em all ;) i'll be able to play in some minor tourneys for the next few days til day 2.

[@rljpdx]

i know guys who have been playing this for the last few weeks and have bought 15+ bullets to try to make it to day 2. i got lucky and made it on my first bullet. ;)

[@fieldingst.pierre-porter4172]

I'm pretty sure the math at @9:53 is wrong.

[@grantgussman8667]

30 minutes of solid advice. Then 48 minutes of ads. Not kidding.

[@idonthaveaname42]

So is it easier to win online during the weekend or week

[@an.unarmed.civilian]

can someone clear this up for me (first hand, 2nd line on the turn), yes 550/1580 is ~35. So *hero* need Villain to fold 65% of the time. But Villain is looking at a 2130 pot, and needs to call 550. 550/2130 is ~26%. So when making bluffs should we be looking at odds from Villains perspective to try and figure out what his defending range will be? The difference being his range often has more that 26% equity against us, and from his perspective he can be wrong 75% of the time, vs from our perspective where we need 65% folds.

[@JonasTStefansson]

The pot is not 2130 until after villain has called so no, he's not getting 550/2130. You're only allowed to use your bet as a part of the pot when calculating fold equity. Pot odds are always bet to call divided by pot before call is added to the pot.

[@zisan6666]

@@JonasTStefansson upswingpoker.com/pot-odds-step-by-step/ This says u are wrong. I dont believe upswings coaches are wrong. If Villain has to call 550 to a pot of 1580 we calculate pot odds as 550/2080 which is 26%. So villain has to have only 26% equity to continue.

[@zisan6666]

As I understood by researching web for this concept. Equity percentage needed is not the same as minimum defence frequency. In this case villain needs 26% (550/2080) equity to continue breakeven and hero's bluff needs to work 35% (550/1530) of the time. Minimum defence frequency is 65% of his range for villain and he needs 26% equity to breakeven. I think thats it.

[@rljpdx]

new day, new tourneys started. time to finish this vid and start another jlit vid.

[@laterkijken6423]

advertise much? lol "i dont how a lot of time" proceeds to advertise for another HOUR

[@ricky5369]

"god I hate pocket jacks" haha

[@founik]

Jonathan, may I know your opinion here? Around 9:00 (first example). Actually I would say it depends on your goal/target. Do I want to make opponent fold on a flop? or on a turn? If I would like to make opponent fold on the flop, obviously I want to force him to throw away Ax hands and other over cards, and other small pairs and draws. Maybe even 8x with bad kicker. So I am betting on bigger size and I would say betting range from 66%-75% is fine. If I would like to make opponent fold on the turn to keep his Ace highs and over cards in and all his small pairs one one pair hands (and draws) . Then I am betting 33% on the flop and then I am hitting hard on the turn around 70-80% to make him fold almost his whole range. Of course slightly matters what card appeared on the turn, but in most of cases this should work. Because we want to make even our bluffs generating value + (and now don't get me wrong) a lot of GTO players on lower stakes are not able to handle this. Well, at least online it works quite fine.

[@PokerCoaching]

I am not sure what you are asking.

[@founik]

@@PokerCoaching Ah yea... Well I wanted to know, if you agree with my thought process? I mean... if the way that I've described above is possible to use in your opinion.

[@PokerCoaching]

@@founik All sounds fine to me, except I would generally say that making the opponents fold decent made hands is generally unlikely.

[@founik]

Jonathan Little, true, I think I will need to test different bet sizing to findout the sweet spot what is good enough to make them fold bigger part of their range, but also to avoid burning my money when they are not willing to fold decent made hand. Thank you Jon, really appreciate all your content and that you are active on comments! :)

[@elcaramelero1512]

in all honesty , I use to not like Alex , hated his ego , but, big BUT, i slowed my pride and bought his book, and let me tell you , i implemented some of these exploitative play on 2/5 games and I destroyed the game and felt good. Now I very much like Alex. thanks Alex, i made you some(bought your book) $$$ and you made me some $$$$. Made 150 times the cost of the book in the 1st session.

[@raghavchaudhry]

Hi. With 7Ts @ button, I feel that continuing to play small ball at turn & even river will be better after doing 33% raise on flop. If the villain calls 60% raise on turn then it will be a big pot for river. Will be nice to get suggestion.

[@JonasTStefansson]

The only problem is that you're setting your self up with a very high variance spot by allowing villain to get to the river. He'll get there a lot of the time or he'll know that he can end the hand and possibly win by calling the river. It's better to bet big on the turn, you risk less chips overall since you don't have to bet the river and villain is more likely to call you with a medium pair on the river knowing he won't have to face another bomb. Just bomb the turn :)

[@thecake03]

Fwiw there are no 3 ( unpaired)card combos under 9 that dont offer your opponent a straight draw.

[@19aries81]

How come you never advertise your app that's on the play store with all the jonathan little hand packs, great app

[@PokerCoaching]

Because I think PokerCoaching.com is similar but better.

[@austinemmorey6200]

What app are you talking about?

[@benspinello8039]

This man is the bomb! Fantastic stuff here.

[@danielmclaren8046]

Alot of great advice already given fantastic opportunity for people who care about the game.

[@guybrushthreepwood8174]

Check out his free podcast back episodes it's called "one outer podcast" it's fun and useful

[@footloosebacon]

Thanks for the info, cant get enough of this guy

[@Pccesar3]

What if they call with mid pair on a j.10.2 board

[@zion565]

Bomb turn 117% pot

[@SFreedberg1]

I have a question. What does HPT stand for?

[@dougaliDC]

David Freed Heartland Poker Tour. It’s a mid-major Poker tour with main event buy ins of $1,650. Mostly in the Midwest.

[@SFreedberg1]

@@dougaliDC Thank you for the info!

[@danieldenghel9407]

Check

[@Hackingurlypophehe]

I play this stratgie game 2009 til 2013 alot on 888 I play every stek from 1/2 til 25/50 only hu Problem was at that time. when i play sessies it is very difficult because soon or late every time i goes down, i never use tools and i watch a lot of video s from you Exactly what you say that was my strategie At that time you played also on 888 hu, if it for sure i played with you there I have make a account on pokercoaching

[@Tampa_tom]

Volume to low

[@sabinaoffroadracing8637]

Annoying speaker couldn’t listen

[@SFreedberg1]

have another question :) you say two cards 9 and below with no strait draws can handle any bets that we saw today - does that not include flush draws? So if board K 7 2 with two clubs, are we still betting?

[@PokerCoaching]

Likely!

[@SFreedberg1]

@@PokerCoaching Thanks

[@SFreedberg1]

I am a bit confused on around the 22:30 mark. You talk about BB defending with 35 to 40% and a flat caller only having 12% - you advise to be careful firing c bet against flat caller. In the example you showed we open raised the button. Who is this flat caller? Sorry, I'm not following.

[@PokerCoaching]

The flat caller is anyone who calls the initial raise.

[@SFreedberg1]

@@PokerCoaching ok, thanks for response. Think I was thinking of term cold calls. That clears it up.

[@111Jango]

Are in this package included also any of your other webinars Alex ?

[@PokerCoaching]

I am not sure what you are asking.

[@PokerCoaching]

Alex will be doing many webinars going forward. You can use your bonuses to get other Alex webinars.

[@davepassaro7133]

Do you mind if I tell you my offer? Such a skeezy move lol

[@johnecho2861]

And its a 30 min. video with a 1 hour ad ?

[@paulthompson8642]

Fantastic 🇺🇸👤/ i GOT mine.. it really makes u think.. i always wonder what are my options in a lot of situations this is a must-see

[@brentmorrow3682]

A

[@straight_flizzy]

👍🏾👍🏾👍🏾

[@jhtwenty]

8000 dolares when people lost comon sense lol

[@danieldenghel9407]

1

[@kame_kura]

"What is the most important thought?" 10 times... that was obnoxious.

[@danieldenghel9407]

Check