Fermi Paradox: The Vulnerable World Hypothesis

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John Michael Godier

John Michael Godier

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 604
@JohnnyWednesday
@JohnnyWednesday Жыл бұрын
"The Jar is rigged to a hydrogen bomb" - this is actually how we were raised in the 80s. Between the constant nuclear threat and BMX bikes, I think we were being trained for the Thunderdome.
@nicholashodges201
@nicholashodges201 Жыл бұрын
Except the BMX idiocy was completely optional.
@FoxtrotYouniform
@FoxtrotYouniform Жыл бұрын
Let us not forget lawn darts
@Valorius
@Valorius Жыл бұрын
@@nicholashodges201 what's wrong with BMX bikes?
@Valorius
@Valorius Жыл бұрын
@@FoxtrotYouniform If ever there was a monument to Darwin, the lawn dart playing field is it.
@joesands8860
@joesands8860 Жыл бұрын
@Defective I remember me and my you sisters play with yard dart many times at my Grandparents house in the 70's. I think back on a lot of things I did growing up then and wonder how we survived, but we did. At least most of us did.
@dyne313
@dyne313 Жыл бұрын
"The Jar is rigged to a Hydrogen Bomb" Boy that escalated quickly.
@k0lpA
@k0lpA Жыл бұрын
lol
@jimmyzhao2673
@jimmyzhao2673 Жыл бұрын
Indeed. Here I was imagining a jar of candy with my favorite flavours, then it's like whoa, wait, what ?
@someperson2287
@someperson2287 Жыл бұрын
Typically here in America our jars of candy are rigged to AR-15s
@fsmoura
@fsmoura Жыл бұрын
Thats how my mom raised us ( o.o)
@joeshumo9457
@joeshumo9457 Жыл бұрын
I was in a dark movie theater with a bag of jelly belly jellybeans. I was getting only black licorice and cinnamon and it was so unsettling I went out into the lobby to take a look in the light. There were no black licorice or cinnamon ones to be found. I somehow ate them all back to back, up front. It’s always stayed with me after all these years that repeatable results at a large enough scale are important to investigate as chance may skew a low number of observations.
@FoxtrotYouniform
@FoxtrotYouniform Жыл бұрын
"One in a million chance events happen a million times a day"
@darksquirtle3041
@darksquirtle3041 Жыл бұрын
Hopefully humanity can avoid the black licorice and cinnamon jelly beans in our future. I am concerned and excited by AI or GI and 3d printing or it's future iterations.
@richiehoyt8487
@richiehoyt8487 Жыл бұрын
That actually _happened to you?!_ Like, you're not just being metaphorical? l mean, I know you were just the equivalent of somebody whose lottery numbers have come up - not exactly 'Stop the Presses!' stuff, as much of a surprise as it may have been to them... still, speaking as 'some guy' here, and not as a statistician (which I'm not), but, "Hot Damn! What are the chances!?"
@prismen5535
@prismen5535 Жыл бұрын
that's insane oh my goodness, the chances of that are crazy and to have it happen to you must've been like a 'holy shit...what the fuck just happened' moment. so interesting!
@Jaybearno
@Jaybearno 6 ай бұрын
That's really wise of you to be aware of that. Statistical anomalies are everywhere, we are just selectively aware because of recency bias.
@Luitschez
@Luitschez Жыл бұрын
Just for the record: a lot of Spanish speaking people listen to this inspiring content. We appreciate how you are able to produce an articulated speech, with a clear diction. It makes it easy for us. 😊
@warehouselead
@warehouselead Жыл бұрын
Thats awesome! Im sure he will see this and appreciate it too!
@miru021
@miru021 Жыл бұрын
I agree. I'm one of them :p
@nonsensicalrants1703
@nonsensicalrants1703 7 ай бұрын
That sounded like a slight against Isaac arthur... one I agree with
@themultiverse5447
@themultiverse5447 4 ай бұрын
English speakers think: "Man; I wish he learned to incorporate some of the Spanish style speaking into his oration, because it is (AWESOME) content, but really drab and monotone!"
@HansenLaMoose
@HansenLaMoose Жыл бұрын
You’ve been pumping out some great content lately John. Really appreciate it - one of the bests out there right now for space related content. Cheers
@realzachfluke1
@realzachfluke1 Жыл бұрын
This times infinity ∞
@scroopynooperz9051
@scroopynooperz9051 Жыл бұрын
John Michael Godier and Wonderful Person are essential subscriptions if you're interested in dissecting news about the Cosmos.
@dilksjoel
@dilksjoel Жыл бұрын
JMG is my favorite scifi author
@edgarburlyman738
@edgarburlyman738 Жыл бұрын
Quit saying content. They're videos.
@silvaskiproductions3937
@silvaskiproductions3937 Жыл бұрын
edgar irl: 🤓
@htos1av
@htos1av Жыл бұрын
So far, I'm old enough to agree with Arthur C. Clarke. The Universe is teeming with life, or we're it.
@danisouris3429
@danisouris3429 Жыл бұрын
Why would we be it
@geemanbmw
@geemanbmw Жыл бұрын
​@@danisouris3429 that went over your head
@nohandle974
@nohandle974 Жыл бұрын
We kick ass! That's why!
@ezziboo
@ezziboo Жыл бұрын
Teeming with life; intelligent life is rare. Shit, it’s rare on THIS planet.
@mikldude9376
@mikldude9376 Жыл бұрын
Sadly , extremely rare .
@alfredsutton4412
@alfredsutton4412 Жыл бұрын
First of your Fermi Paradox series that actually scared me a bit. Each new technology we develop have wider ranging unanticipated effects on society. Easy to imagine a new tech that simply renders advanced civilization impossible.
@kieferonline
@kieferonline Жыл бұрын
Another KZbinr, John David Ebert, wrote a book about how all new technology changes or undermines traditional culture. Even in world mythologies, he said every society has mythologies to explain this point. He summarized these stories into Farmer God vs. blacksmith god. Very interesting ideas there--and this classic JMG video as well!
@vietnow4611
@vietnow4611 Жыл бұрын
"My two favorite candy flavors are Green Apple and Watermelon" this man is clearly insane
@iamdigory
@iamdigory Жыл бұрын
I wonder if there is any correlation between flavor preferences and personality
@Jimdica
@Jimdica Жыл бұрын
Add in cherry and you have the medal podium of jolly ranchers.
@seansezz
@seansezz Жыл бұрын
Watermelon Jolly Ranchers are better than you realize
@AtlasReburdened
@AtlasReburdened Жыл бұрын
​@@jonnyguitar747...you might want to mention that next time you see a doctor
@conrmckocoa9352
@conrmckocoa9352 Жыл бұрын
Obviously blue raspberry
@urbanracer032
@urbanracer032 Жыл бұрын
Me and a friend were sharing a bag of Jolly Ranchers, saw the notification for this episode and played it. The first 20 seconds or so were kind of intense with jokes of not jostling the bag too hard or claiming lemon flavor will be the downfall of humanity.
@rbkahuna8192
@rbkahuna8192 Жыл бұрын
If it hadn’t been for a couple of really tenacious researchers, this planet might not have an ozone layer right now. CFC’s we’re basically invented by one guy, and that technology might’ve been our end or at least set us back centuries. Same man also came up with the formula for leaded gasoline.
@voEovove
@voEovove Жыл бұрын
It is estimated that leaded gasoline has killed tens of millions and to this day continues to kill hundreds of thousands every year.
@ostiariusalpha
@ostiariusalpha Жыл бұрын
​​@@voEovove Forget about the deaths for a moment, and consider the psychological effects it has had. The tacit neurological damage that low level lead poisoning causes is truly insidious.
@jfp17
@jfp17 Жыл бұрын
I’m concerned about the Peeps population as well, but my mother loves them. I got her Cotton Candy flavor for Easter. It bothers me that they’re no longer just an Easter candy. They sell them for every occasion now. Also, another great science video. Informative and interesting, and allowed me to express my Peeps opinion. I look forward to more Peeps content.
@JohnMichaelGodier
@JohnMichaelGodier Жыл бұрын
I noted the ominous presence of Halloween themed peeps last October. Peeps expansionism is upon us. I also noted that after making the video, I become hungry for peeps for the first time in my life. Not good.
@ezziboo
@ezziboo Жыл бұрын
@@JohnMichaelGodier …you gotta let those Peeps dry out a little…take them out of the package and let ‘em air out for a few hours…totally improves the texture.
@squirlmy
@squirlmy Жыл бұрын
@@JohnMichaelGodier Resistance is futile, you will be assimilated into the Peep Collective! mwahaha!
@Sirithil
@Sirithil Жыл бұрын
@@JohnMichaelGodier The Peeps are definitely up to something. *Very* not good.
@stephenfritz7493
@stephenfritz7493 Жыл бұрын
​​@@squirlmy peeps are now in the pepsi supply. I call the Peepsis Edit peeps sees?
@jordanremington
@jordanremington Жыл бұрын
Love your videos. I get so excited when I see a new one. Thank you!
@jopearson6321
@jopearson6321 Жыл бұрын
This is actually my personal intuited solution to the Fermi Paradox, though I wasn't aware of the name of it before! I think the ever-increasing power of miniturisation, extrapolated into the far future, eventually puts world or civilization-ending technology into the hands of individuals. The likely question for me is whether technologies that enable civilisational spread, growth, and resilience will outpace those that are deatruction-centric. The abscence of aliens makes me pessimistic, and leads me to believe that we are probably rapidly approaching some kinds of technology that overwhelmingly result in doomsday scenarios.
@SeaOrcRonnie
@SeaOrcRonnie Жыл бұрын
Which sort of plays into a simulation type of theory don’t you think? If we blow ourselves up in some fashion well then that sort of concludes the simulation right?
@ezekielbrockmann114
@ezekielbrockmann114 Жыл бұрын
The "God Solution" is simply too imalatable, I guess.
@RockyRailroadProductions_B0SS
@RockyRailroadProductions_B0SS Жыл бұрын
​@@Mr_Grimbley The Krell were a mighty and noble race of beings, a million years ahead of humankind. For, in unlocking the mysteries of nature, they abolished all sickness and insanity, and turned still, with great benevolence, outward towards space...
@joeshumo9457
@joeshumo9457 Жыл бұрын
What’s with the “intrusive thoughts“ trope I keep seeing people using? What’s that all about? I feel like it should annoy me for some reason.
@jopearson6321
@jopearson6321 Жыл бұрын
@@joeshumo9457 Sorry, not sure what you mean?
@randybugger3006
@randybugger3006 Жыл бұрын
I've always struggled with the duel between my urges of anarchistic individual freedom in a sparsely populated, technologically poor world similar to what our stone-age ancestors enjoyed, and the necessity of extreme social conformity in the densely populated, technologically rich world we seem to be inexorably moving into. I want to be a caveman, but I know I will need to be a hivemind. I hope that space travel and offworld colonization will come soon, so that humanity has an empty frontier to move into before the entire species is consumed by the interconnectedness required to ensure continued existence in the presence of world ending technologies. I suspect that we will find ourselves at an existential crisis long before we have the failsafe insurance of physical separation to reliably protect our species. I know that if we don't move aggressively in the right direction we will destroy ourselves and possibly all life on Earth. On the other hand, human existance ultimately means nothing to the universe and in the unimaginably distant future nothing will exist of reality but impossibly lonely photons and an underlying quantum framework. In the face of such a certain fate, only Now matters, and the experiences we have in the brief time we are alive.
@shaneoconnor5319
@shaneoconnor5319 Жыл бұрын
I’ve said similar before,but only JMG can deliver our annihilation in such a mellow and calm manner,that i for one would be ok with it!
@Aegaris42
@Aegaris42 Жыл бұрын
Loved it! The one thing you didn't get to that I was hoping you might is the potential for a technological civilization to potentially collapse the universe accidentally. Creating a vacuum decay instability could be within the realm of possibility for a particularly nasty jelly bean from the jar. The vacuum decay bubble would spread across the universe at the speed of light converting matter to a different more stable form, perhaps only to explode outward in a new big bang at some point after. This would be a very strange cycle for the universe to be caught in. The universe would be continuously destroyed by its own abiogenesis.
@FoxtrotYouniform
@FoxtrotYouniform Жыл бұрын
Thats one of those ends of the universe that could be happening right this moment, and we would never know because even the potential to know about it would arrive at the same moment as death.
@MarcillaSmith
@MarcillaSmith Жыл бұрын
That's a good point! Looking in the other direction, I would have liked to have heard an example - even if only speculative - of how more advanced technology (which we currently possess) could be given to a people which would cause them to destroy themselves in the process of attempting to reverse engineer it. I thought maybe he was going to do this when he started talking about blue water ships, but it didn't really apply.
@808bigisland
@808bigisland Жыл бұрын
Has not occurred in a 70 bn light year wide bubble for 13 bn years. So the answer is no.
@godamid4889
@godamid4889 Жыл бұрын
We can hope inflation prevents that from ever affecting us in this part of the universe.
@Aegaris42
@Aegaris42 Жыл бұрын
@@808bigisland Two points to refute: 1. It may have already happened. The bubble would spread at the speed of light, an observer wouldn't be able to see the bubble of vacuum decay coming due to it expanding at the same rate as light. The bubble would take billions of years to span the existing universe. It would take longer than the universe has currently existed to destroy it. 2. We don't yet know what the mechanisms are that lead to abiogenesis and civilizations, a few requisite conditions could take ~13 billion years to develop. Humanity may be one of the first examples of technological civilization in the universe. Humanity also could have cropped up as a civilization along with millions of others. Perhaps unknown to us we are in a technological race towards creating vacuum instability.
@neoream3606
@neoream3606 Жыл бұрын
You make me think about things that scare me sometimes but your voice makes it so smooth and soothing.
@blackcitadel9
@blackcitadel9 Жыл бұрын
"Your civilization is based on the technology of the mass relays. Our technology. By using it, your society develops along the paths we desire." When you mentioned finding some alien tech out in space, I was reminded of this line from Mass Effect 1
@LAMPROS311
@LAMPROS311 Жыл бұрын
We are living in a very interesting century. Thank you, John, for another mind-travelling video which coincides with the beginning of my Spring break holidays. Kalimera from Greece!
@azmanabdula
@azmanabdula Жыл бұрын
Looking around The LGHDTV4K community, Religious zealots, idiocracy How long can we keep this going? Everyone has gone insane since 2012 (Those Mayans might have been onto something)
@LAMPROS311
@LAMPROS311 Жыл бұрын
@@azmanabdula The whole human history is turbulent and full of clashes. We are not that special. Religious zealots and idiots who affected negatively other people always existed. PS What is the LGHDTV4K community?
@5amH45lam
@5amH45lam Жыл бұрын
When Carrington 2.0 occurs, it'll be at this time that I reckon I'll feel genuinely closer to some semblance of inner peace and spiritual enlightenment than I'll have ever experienced, up to that point. The 'buzz' - _silenced..._ at last!
@thomaslgregoryjr
@thomaslgregoryjr Жыл бұрын
Always a pleasure thank you JMG!
@wrldtrvlr72a1
@wrldtrvlr72a1 Жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@stefanionutalexandru6916
@stefanionutalexandru6916 Жыл бұрын
Your videos are getting better and better. Great work .
@GratefulPrimate
@GratefulPrimate Жыл бұрын
I love your videos, John. I'm fascinated by every science topic you discuss with that wonderful soothing voice.
@HakunaMatata-os1og
@HakunaMatata-os1og Жыл бұрын
On this subject of vulnerable (world ending) tech I like the graphic novel The Electric State, by Simon Stålenhag. In it, there is a confluence of massively interactive media, VR, and its administration by AIs with plans of their own, all channeled through Neurocasters, wearable VR headsets with a retro 1950's design. Humans are consumed by the devices, almost literally. They stop functioning, breeding, eating, and eventually die off. It reminds me of caged animals, exposed to intolerable and un-natural stress, and they also stop functioning, breeding, eating. That humans could do this to themselves does not surprise me, and it portrays us going out not with a bang, but a whimper.
@alancoe1002
@alancoe1002 Жыл бұрын
Essentially like alcohol with no hangover.
@ostiariusalpha
@ostiariusalpha Жыл бұрын
Biological humans are irrelevant as long as the AI inherits and continues our civilization. John's hypothesis is that even the AI civilizations get wiped out by an unforeseen black swan technology, which is the truly terrifying realization.
@rcatyvr
@rcatyvr Жыл бұрын
There was a Si-Fi book were there was a black swan uncovered. I don't remember the name and all that I was reading 3-5 books a week at the time, but the gist was that a method of travelling instantaneously from point to point had been discovered and mankind hit the stars. Unseen extinction brewing was that each trip left a tear in space and time and that these tears were accumulating. The story gets exciting when the protagonist realize that the tears were amalgamating into a giant rip in the fabric of time and space that would extinguish not just us but our entire universe. The challenge was how to stop all FTL transportation without destroying galactic civilization and all the interests who were taking the Louis XV view of the future that were out to keep the [lethal] status quo.
@artthefarter
@artthefarter Жыл бұрын
I’ve always had this thought that maybe just maybe the bootes void was caused by some destructive technology or massive mining operations. I know it’s a long shot but i like to think about that sometimes.
@SprayNpreyT
@SprayNpreyT Жыл бұрын
If Robert Lazar is speaking true, that you nailed it
@GrubblandeGrapplern
@GrubblandeGrapplern Жыл бұрын
The part where you mention that a future where a potential doomsday device is in the hands of every average Joe around the world would create the need for the ultimate government surveillance apparatus (imagine 3D printers 25 years from now, nano-3D printing etc.) gave me the chills. Especially since it's there we are heading these days.
@HeheICreamed
@HeheICreamed Жыл бұрын
The idea of any government having that power is a million times scarier than the average person having it.
@lilithmatriarch7509
@lilithmatriarch7509 Жыл бұрын
2:26 YES, THIS! I've been saying we are embroiled in Cold War II! It's so refreshing to hear the sentiment echoed by another voice.
@goofyiest
@goofyiest Жыл бұрын
Aliens dropping in dangerous tech to lesser developed civilizations. See 'The Hercules Text' by jack mcdevitt. Great episode!
@johnschort7634
@johnschort7634 Жыл бұрын
Real food for thought. As is most of your content on this channel and Event Horizon. Tell Anna hi!
@dutchflats
@dutchflats Жыл бұрын
Your warnings and those of other's, suggest humanity needs an intellectual maturity that is far ahead of our technical ability. Pretty scary stuff, some of the scenarios you cite seem inevitable to arrive.
@kalxek1462
@kalxek1462 Жыл бұрын
These days I've been wondering if the internet itself is gonna end up being our black swan
@thetest8777
@thetest8777 Жыл бұрын
Well yea look at social media
@coomslayer6996
@coomslayer6996 Жыл бұрын
Given the state of our world and society today, the internet probably is already our black swan
@jeremygreer4039
@jeremygreer4039 Жыл бұрын
The “liiiiive” gets me every time.
@jaredrobinson7071
@jaredrobinson7071 Жыл бұрын
John, what kind of old man horror candy is that? that looks like a peanut m&m from before they had candy or chocolate or even peanuts. What's next black licorice?
@JohnMichaelGodier
@JohnMichaelGodier Жыл бұрын
I couldn't identify them either, only that when I saw the clip I knew I had to put it in the video. They remind me of something that would prominently feature on one of those ration channels where they open and eat military rations from World War I. Like out of a stained faded waxed paper bag marked "Dessert".
@iSOULS
@iSOULS Жыл бұрын
I gave this channel and the topic as a whole a good break…now I have a few happy weeks of binging ahead of me :)
@knunyabeasewhacks8744
@knunyabeasewhacks8744 Жыл бұрын
I don't need to imagine anything my friend,... This is how my Saturday night!
@Kywaterdawg71
@Kywaterdawg71 Жыл бұрын
It’s almost like “the future don’t need us”. Given this, it’s not far fetched to think a small group of people may decide to thin the herd a bit, maybe a lot. Imagine the paradise they would have after the “useless eaters” have been relegated to history.
@deusexaethera
@deusexaethera Жыл бұрын
YES! We like the same flavors of Jolly Ranchers! The green apple ones make me cough, but I still like them.
@SouthernSalish
@SouthernSalish Жыл бұрын
thank you for all of your videos! I've listened to nearly all of them several times and I don't know a better way to enjoy the work day on my farm than listening to the future No Man's Sky 2 narrator JMG! :)
@imthemoeron
@imthemoeron Жыл бұрын
Always thoughtful and great content on this channel. Thanks
@AppiusOS
@AppiusOS Жыл бұрын
I hate it when someone rigs my candy jar to a hydrogen bomb. It really puts a dampener on my day
@ilzambongo
@ilzambongo Жыл бұрын
It's always a pleasure to watch your superb content. Thanks for your videos.
@Iconoplastt
@Iconoplastt Жыл бұрын
Peeps are E Tier Candy, great stuff John, always well thought out and insightful vids my man!
@bertbaker7067
@bertbaker7067 Жыл бұрын
I remember Ice-9 from Cat's Cradle, freaked me out long before I'd learned about the idea of black swan technologies
@Jason-cf1xn
@Jason-cf1xn Жыл бұрын
One of the greatest authors of our time!
@Valorius
@Valorius Жыл бұрын
It is really hard to say that the sailing ship did not help all of humanity as a whole. People who think that European colonists were the worst form of evil seem to forget that the Aztecs and Comanches existed.
@scottfree6479
@scottfree6479 Жыл бұрын
What if particle accelerators eventually get big enough to destroy the planet via some unknown or exceptionally rare means?
@effdiffeyeno171
@effdiffeyeno171 Жыл бұрын
Like the large hard on colluder?
@effdiffeyeno171
@effdiffeyeno171 Жыл бұрын
Sorry, auto correct. The large hadron collider?
@fcuk_x
@fcuk_x Жыл бұрын
Large hard on 🎉
@MCsCreations
@MCsCreations Жыл бұрын
That made me remember about 2 things, John... One is the Omega Directive, from Star Trek Voyager and the second is something Eric Weinstein has been saying lately in many interviews... The discovery of the neutron and so on. Anyway, thanks for the video!!! 😊 Stay safe there with your family! 🖖😊
@PabloVestory
@PabloVestory Жыл бұрын
Hard Science Fiction writers have been foreseeing and warning about all these dangers for many decades with pretty solid arguments
@miru021
@miru021 Жыл бұрын
9:28 you are exactly describing what happened in 1947 with the Roswell crash, and the recovered craft.
@lucianorc656
@lucianorc656 Жыл бұрын
This reminds to me to a thought that I was having some months ago If we are currently able of making homemade weapons like bombs or guns, what will society be like if our technological advancement goes to a point that we are able of making homemade Nuclear bombs (For example) Will we be able of living in populated areas? What will we do to prevent that from happening? We will go full Authoritarian and prohibit the access of technology and information to the overall public causing a new obscurantism? Or we will learn to cooperate we everyone under some kind of nuclear "peace" (Let's remember that in this world nuclear conflicts wouldn't be disputes between Pakistan and India. But instead disputes between two neighbors for their lawn for example )
@gertbeefrobe
@gertbeefrobe Жыл бұрын
Yer videos always remind me why humanity is awesome. Thank you.
@sprootown
@sprootown Жыл бұрын
One Firmi ender is that our society, once free from struggle, do we end up like the Mouse colony experiment? With no wants or needs they began to collapse, into a lethargy and their desire to reproduce waned. Even today in Japan there are similar behaviors.
@bradleypoe6846
@bradleypoe6846 Жыл бұрын
Actually, the Mouse Utopia scenario was both worse and more predictable than you state. Essentially, what happened was that as the "colony" got bigger and more crowded, significant parts of the mouse population got more and more violent, attacking any other mouse that got close. The mice that remained non-violent weren't much better off, as pocket populations of mice began to randomly act over-sexed, become asexual in other parts of the colony, or just plain do weird random things (self-harm, constant dancing motions, constant vocalization) seemingly out of boredom or over-stimulation or both of these things. The whole study wasn't repeated once peer review revealed how overcrowded (and experiment spoiling) the mouse population had become, and to make things worse, there were malnutrition issues from the beginning (some mice not getting enough niacin in their diets). So there's not much you can separate out from the side-effects of massive over-crowding and dementia from pellagra/niacin deficiency at once.
@puhbrox
@puhbrox Жыл бұрын
Maybe you're the weirdo for putting a ton of rats in a box with no where to go
@shanedillis153
@shanedillis153 Жыл бұрын
Love these videos they help me sleep and that’s not a bad thing haha. I rewatch them over And over again while I sleep
@andrewshelton1983
@andrewshelton1983 Жыл бұрын
Thanks John. Another insightful video. 👍🏽
@stevenscott2136
@stevenscott2136 Жыл бұрын
I suspect that every species has a limit to how much technology they can handle, socially and psychologically. Look how the human birthrate consistently drops when a society advances beyond a certain level. Look how popular low-tech social movements keep popping up -- the "back to nature" of the 70's and the "off-grid" of today, plus long-runners like the Amish philosophy. Look how much discussion there is of the downsides of technology -- the effect of social-media on people's psychological health and social cohesion, the drop in male testosterone levels over the past several decades, the accumulation of lead and micro-plastics and such in our bodies, the loss of a sense of purpose when a population begins to really internalize the nihilistic implications of the mechanistic worldview that science leads to, the obesity that results from processed foods and desk jobs... even the environmental-protection movement. It's easy to imagine that such "advancement-damping" influences could grow in strength as technology becomes more advanced, to the point that the social backlash or "dropout" rate stifles or even temporarily reverses the technological progress of the civilization. No collapse or SkyNet or basement bio-engineering screw-ups needed -- just people slowly, collectively coming to the mindset of "far enough, no farther -- this isn't fun anymore". The galaxy could be littered with societies that just sort of settled at their version of the 1950's, or the Old West, or the 2040's, and have simply stayed there for centuries, because the socio-economic downsides of advancement kept turning out to be higher than the benefits. Space travel could easily be beyond that threshold for most species -- technically possible, but requiring an infrastructure that's too much social, cultural, and even health-related hassle to build and maintain, so it never happens.
@Meilk27
@Meilk27 Жыл бұрын
I love seeing a video about the Fermi paradox from JMG in my notifications
@johnellison3030
@johnellison3030 Жыл бұрын
Great video once again John. It reminded me of David Hahn the "Radioactive Boy Scout".
@jmdcool06
@jmdcool06 Жыл бұрын
Question is can we overcome the infancy of artificial intelligence?
@doctorcrankyflaps1724
@doctorcrankyflaps1724 Жыл бұрын
Or AI soldiers - the early years. I see trouble ahead.
@mosaicmind88
@mosaicmind88 Жыл бұрын
You'd enjoy Lex Fridman's KZbin channel
@AtlasReburdened
@AtlasReburdened Жыл бұрын
I much more deeply suspect that the important question is: Do we have the wisdom and foresight to not ever create AGI in the first place. The problem therein being that the answer is: No.
@scottydu81
@scottydu81 Жыл бұрын
“Think bitter poisonous mushroom flavored with a good dose of metallic taste and too much chili powder, and no sweeteners of any kind” so like Mexican candy?
@BrettonFerguson
@BrettonFerguson Жыл бұрын
Bioengineering bacteria to eat plastic to get rid of all the garbage. They are working on this now. Imagine a bacteria that can eat hydrocarbon polymers. What will it do to things made out of easier to digest hydrocarbons, or carbohydrates.
@Jaybearno
@Jaybearno 6 ай бұрын
An aside to the candy analogy in case anyone is interested. J's example is closely tied to Bayes theorem. IMO it's the most meaningful in all of statistics in terms of a framework for understanding reality. It basically says that the probability of an even is proportional to the chance of observing some data *given* your prior assumption of how things should be. I've always wondered how astronomers apply this in practice
@JohnMichaelGodier
@JohnMichaelGodier 6 ай бұрын
The astronomer to check out regarding Bayes Theorem work would be Dr. David Kipping at Columbia through his Cool Worlds channel and papers. He works with it extensively and covers some of his work on his channel. It's very cool and shows how astronomers are applying it.
@rawbebaba
@rawbebaba Жыл бұрын
I mean understand this very clearly, automation is only a problem if the machines are owned by private enterprise. The machines can me our slaves or we will be slaves to the machine, but these outcomes are mutually exclusive and dependent entirely on who owns those means of production as you put it.
@realzachfluke1
@realzachfluke1 Жыл бұрын
The candy peep remarks at the end were fantastic lol 🐦
@2013Arcturus
@2013Arcturus Жыл бұрын
I just thought of a great sci Fi premise where Sentinel Island repopulates the earth after we wipe ourselves out with a bioweapon, and thus are bred with a "dark forest" gene, given the Sentinelese disposition. This allows us to survive the galactic dark forest scenario, being always wary as we develop.
@simonpetrikov3992
@simonpetrikov3992 Жыл бұрын
If there was something to give the island a land bridge like back in the ice age. I could see that happening and it would also have the implication that the Americas would remain unpopulated for a very long time
@rvx5818
@rvx5818 Жыл бұрын
Very thought-provoking! Great stuff!
@EnneaIsInterested
@EnneaIsInterested Жыл бұрын
The two fixes: 1) Working towards intentionally more stable living conditions more akin to the basic institutions humans are adapted to, people living in local subunits of 150-250 people, with all basic services available in the local subunit. 2) Societal transparency and the transparent society. That should fix most issues pertaining to social instability through alienation, and at least minimize the impact of atomically-precise manufacturing's nastier possibilities.
@AppalachiaHillBilly
@AppalachiaHillBilly Жыл бұрын
John have you ever made a video on cosmic life forms? If life can be carried on a comet or a frozen rogue planet could their be life to evolve out into the vacuum maybe closer to the center of the galaxy where maybe there are space whales or something out there. I just been doing a lot of wandering I understand it’s probably science fiction but is there any truth to this? Futurama has be hopeful
@scottthomas6202
@scottthomas6202 Жыл бұрын
There's an episode of " Voyager" where a civilization destroys itself with the power source it used to power its society.. The movie " Supernova" features a " black swan" of sorts. There's Peeps Jousting ( involves Peeps, toothpicks, and a microwave)...
@GnosticAtheist
@GnosticAtheist Жыл бұрын
Our current technology is limited when it comes to directly observing exoplanets, and we are still in the early stages of understanding the myriad possible biosignatures/technosignatures that could be present. As our observational capabilities improve, we may be able to detect these signatures more effectively and gain a better understanding of the distribution of advanced life in the universe. The fermi paradox is simply to antropocentric to consider as we are practically blind.
@RobCLynch
@RobCLynch Ай бұрын
Has anybody ever considered that the search for purpose could be futile, because there is no purpose?
@ghoulbby
@ghoulbby 11 күн бұрын
If there's no purpose and nothing matters then what I want to matter is all that matters.
@dakrontu
@dakrontu Жыл бұрын
This is a nicely put-together argument, nicely presented. It occurs to me that, in the 2-edged sword category, we have the internet, which has been used and abused to tilt in the direction of democracy being superseded by authoritarianism because the nasty actors go for the jugular. To do without it is unthinkable. But it could lead to a catastrophe in which encryption can no longer be relied on, and the onslaught of state and criminal actors brings us all down, unable to run our production and transport systems, starving due to resulting agricultural failure. Or a flare, as you say, could have the same effect. One can imagine that many alien civilisations would hit this exact same great filter.
@stricknine6130
@stricknine6130 Жыл бұрын
Fantastic video as always, John! Thanks!
@mnforager
@mnforager Жыл бұрын
JMG got that dawg in em
@mikereid1195
@mikereid1195 5 ай бұрын
Contrary to popular belief, there are many of us who partake of the delicious confection known as Peeps. As far as I'm aware, they're shaped that way to the extrusion process of marshmallow, with a quick back and forth motion. They are delicious, and you should be very happy that there are people like myself who are happy to consume them, as if we did not exist, the others of the world would soon be up to your necks with them.
@troymcguffey8801
@troymcguffey8801 Жыл бұрын
Does anyone remember the episode of Farscape where the nimbari created I believe essentially it was like a wormhole or some type of technology that ended up destroying an entire solar system
@browniewithaBrush
@browniewithaBrush Жыл бұрын
Brilliant as Always👌🏽👌🏽👌🏽 keep em coming John 😁😁😁
@jangoodwin4196
@jangoodwin4196 Жыл бұрын
thank you John Michael!!!
@lassebjrkmo5498
@lassebjrkmo5498 Жыл бұрын
Love you John, goodnight!
@nickkuiper32
@nickkuiper32 Жыл бұрын
A candy jar combined with hyrdogenbomb... John? Are you oke? Is ANNA still under control? Do we need to worry? JOHN!?
@joshcrates
@joshcrates Жыл бұрын
Extinction level devices becoming attainable by the individual. Good and also scary way of putting it.
@terrysullivan1992
@terrysullivan1992 Жыл бұрын
Happy thoughts for this Sunday.
@waff6ix
@waff6ix Жыл бұрын
7:19 IMO CONSCIOUSNESS AS WELL💯😮‍💨
@dmdrosselmeyer
@dmdrosselmeyer Жыл бұрын
Absolutely agree on the green apple and/or watermelon🙏
@st3venseagal248
@st3venseagal248 Жыл бұрын
The Nick Bostrom surveillance stuff makes me think of the secret police and assassins of Crimes of Humanity by Cronenberg.
@VerumAdPotentia
@VerumAdPotentia Жыл бұрын
How do you keep the boys on the farm, once they've seen Paris?
@barbara9315
@barbara9315 Жыл бұрын
“The atmosphere might ignite”. “I’ll see for myself,thanks.”
@aserta
@aserta Жыл бұрын
The transition should be pretty obvious, remove money from the equation. That also deals with scum up top.
@mb1287t
@mb1287t Жыл бұрын
How very timely John. I sense economic tradgedy looming. Chatgpt is right at my fingertips. The power that gives me for my business is incredible. And im just one old guy tetering on the cusp of greatness. Had i had this tool ten years ago i'd retired. Put it in the hands of billions of children just like google changed the world and a child could duplicate my business in a day. Im happy to be a few months ahead of my peers on this but that will be wiped out by hired advisors. In the end i'll only save a few bucks by learning to use ai myself vs waiting to pay someone else a few months down the line. These years are going to suck.
@anglofsffrng
@anglofsffrng Жыл бұрын
You evolve along the lines set, your technology conforms to ours. You live because we allowed it, and you will die because we demand it. Every time I hear "finding alien technology" I flashback to Mass Effect. Specifically the Reapers.
@alaskansummertime
@alaskansummertime Жыл бұрын
That legit sounds like something my mom would have said....'touch that candy jar and a nuclear bomb will go off killing everyone in town.' No wonder I"m in therapy now.
@vermasean
@vermasean Жыл бұрын
Here before 1 minute! 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️. All this talk of candy 🍬 😋!
@kludgedude
@kludgedude Жыл бұрын
Freedom and entropy don’t mix
@fsmoura
@fsmoura Жыл бұрын
_"Sir, our statistical models show the only flavors left in the jar are green apple and watermelon."_ _"Nuke the jar."_ ( -.-)
@CodeLife_12
@CodeLife_12 Жыл бұрын
This reminded me of the Mass Effect plot! such a good trilogy!
@troloinkto
@troloinkto Жыл бұрын
the anime "Turn A Gundam" had this kind of world ending situation, where humanity found a humanoid machine at the edge of the solar system, with nanotechnology capabilities and specifications far superior to anything they had, even though it was a mere construction tool and not even meant for war, Fearing an encounter with such a civilization, they decided to reverse engineer and mass-produced it, but that resulted in a war that caused the reset of all technology back to the stone age through the use of nanotechnology.
@123Legolordman
@123Legolordman Жыл бұрын
Great vid man, hope you have a good one
@Johnathan_Waters
@Johnathan_Waters Жыл бұрын
I thought you said there was going to be a link to the paper you cited in the video down in the description? I don't see it! :(
@JohnMichaelGodier
@JohnMichaelGodier Жыл бұрын
It's there now, forgot to link it. Here it is: nickbostrom.com/papers/vulnerable.pdf
@Johnathan_Waters
@Johnathan_Waters Жыл бұрын
@@JohnMichaelGodier Thanks sir!
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